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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July  8, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July  8, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 📉 U.S. Stocks Slip on New Tariff Threats President Trump announced plans to impose 25% tariffs on imports from Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Kazakhstan, South Africa, Laos, and Myanmar starting August 1, reigniting trade jitters. The Dow fell ~0.9%, the S&P 500 dropped ~0.8%, and the Nasdaq slid ~0.9% on the news, while bond futures rallied and the dollar strengthened ⚖️ Tariff Pause Deadline Looms Markets are focused on the July 9 deadline for the current tariff pause, which now hinges on imminent trade negotiations. Investors are balancing the risk of reimposition against progress with agreements involving the U.K., Vietnam, and Canada 💵 Consumer Credit Moderates June’s consumer credit increase slowed to $10.60 billion vs. April’s $17.87 billion—still strong, but a cooling sign in household borrowing patterns. This tempered the dollar’s rise amid mixed signals on consumer resilience. 🛢️ Oil Drops on Rising OPEC+ Supply Oil prices fell, with Brent dipping to ~$68.00/barrel and WTI to ~$65.30, after confirmation of OPEC+’s August supply hike—adding to bearish cues for energy stocks . 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, July 8: 3:00 PM ET – Consumer Credit (June) Moderation in borrowing signals possible easing in consumer-driven growth. 4:30 PM ET – API Weekly Crude Inventories A key indicator for energy markets; lower inventories lift oil prices, while builds push them down. Throughout the Day – Tariff Pause Deadline Market stability hinges on whether trade agreements materialize before the break expires. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #tariffs #consumercredit #oil #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
NAS100 - Stock market is waiting for tariffs!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets, but if it does not rise and corrects towards the demand limits, you can buy the Nasdaq index with appropriate reward and risk. Three months ago, Donald Trump postponed the imposition of severe retaliatory tariffs, granting America’s major trading partners more time to reach new agreements that Washington views as “fairer.” Now, as the White House’s July 9 deadline approaches, only two official trade deals have been finalized—one with the United Kingdom and another with Vietnam. As for China, merely a fragile temporary truce has been reached, which has so far prevented any additional tariffs from being enforced. Although reports suggest promising progress in negotiations with India, Japan, and South Korea, no final agreements have been secured with these countries yet. Interestingly, talks with the European Union—which had previously stalled—have suddenly taken a positive turn, and prospects for a deal with Canada in the coming days have also improved. However, given the limited time left, it seems unlikely that trade agreements with all of America’s 18 key partners will be reached before the deadline. This situation has raised a critical question for the markets: Will Trump set a new deadline for the remaining countries, or will the suspended tariffs be reinstated? The prevailing view is that the U.S. president will once again resort to threats before granting any extensions—this time not merely by reviving the “Liberation Day” tariffs, but also by promising even heavier tariffs to extract the last concessions from the remaining trade partners. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett stated that if no agreements are reached by August 1, tariffs will revert to the levels announced in April. He also emphasized that Washington’s core strategy in these trade talks is to apply maximum pressure. According to Bassett, letters will be sent to various countries, outlining the August 1 deadline for reaching deals. This news, which broke during the market’s closing hours, sparked a wave of risk appetite in the financial markets. In a week when the U.S. economic calendar is notably devoid of major data releases, investors are focusing their attention on the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June FOMC meeting—a document that could offer fresh insights into the trajectory of interest rates for the second half of the year. June’s strong employment report, which exceeded market expectations, has effectively dashed hopes for an interest rate cut this month. Now, if the positive economic momentum persists, the likelihood of a rate cut in the September meeting may also gradually be priced out by the markets. According to data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. employers announced 47,999 job cuts in June, marking a sharp decline from 93,816 in the previous month. Compared to June of last year, layoffs have dropped by 2%. However, total job cuts in the second quarter of 2025 reached 247,256—a 39% increase from the same period last year (177,391) and the highest second-quarter layoff figure since 2020. With no significant economic reports scheduled for the coming days, investors will be closely analyzing Wednesday night’s Fed minutes and the limited remarks from central bank officials—statements where every word has the potential to significantly move the markets.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Weekly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 7–11, 2025🔮 Weekly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for July 7–11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍 📈 From Panic to "Goldilocks" Rally The S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit fresh record highs, surging ~20% from April lows. Markets rallied on a combination of easing Middle East tensions, the 90‑day tariff pause, a new fiscal bill in Washington, and strong June jobs data. Still, strategists caution that optimism may be ahead of fundamentals, especially if trade volatility returns 💱 Dollar Weakness & Bond Market Watch The U.S. dollar remains near 3.5‑year lows amid rate‑cut speculation and trade progress. Treasury yields are volatile this week, impacted by concerns over escalating debt issuance, upcoming tariff deadlines (July 9), and the Federal Reserve’s stance . 🏢 Tech Leadership Shifts With the “Magnificent Seven” tech stocks near heights, growth is spreading: cyclical sectors, small‑caps, and industrials are gaining momentum. AI remains the primary engine, but resilience across a broader stock base is signaling a potentially sustainable rally ⚠️ Tariff Truce Deadline Looms (July 9) The April tariff pause expires mid‑week. U.S. plans to extend exemptions via trade talks with partners like UK, Vietnam, and Canada—yet any delay or failure may shock markets. Watch for headlines that may trigger spillover effects . 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Monday, July 7: Independence Day markets resume. Light trading expected ahead of data and tariff deadline. 📅 Tuesday, July 8: 10:00 AM ET – Consumer Credit (June) Gauges borrowing trends—an indicator of household health in a low‑rate environment. 📅 Wednesday, July 9: EIA Crude Oil Inventories & MBA Mortgage Apps & Wholesale Inventories Key mid‑week data points; oil builds may pressure energy stocks. Tariff Pause Deadline – Expect market volatility on news of extension or reimposition. 📅 Thursday, July 10: 8:30 AM ET – Initial & Continuing Jobless Claims 10:00 AM ET – Natural Gas Inventories Markets focus on labor health and energy trends. 📅 Friday, July 11: 10:00 AM ET – Treasury Budget Statement Details on government borrowing and fiscal outlook—markets sensitive to deficit risks. ⚠️ Disclaimer: These insights are for educational purposes only—not financial advice. Consult a licensed advisor before making investing decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #tariffs #Fed #AI #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
SPY (S&P500 ETF) - Daily Golden Cross and All-Time-High PriceSPY (S&P500 ETF) price has reached all-time-highs in July 2025, after a SMA Golden Cross printed on the daily chart. SPY is still in a price uptrend since May 2025, however a higher-low pullback has not occurred for the past two weeks. Resistance levels: $625, $630, $635, $640. Support levels: $622, $617, $614, $611. A significant reversal or bearish candle pattern has not occurred yet on either the daily or weekly charts. The Stochastic RSI indicator has reached overbought levels, both on the Daily chart and Weekly chart. Stock market earnings season begins in July 2025, trade deal negotiations and new tariffs are in progress this week. Volatility could increase this month due to these news catalysts.
AMEX:SPY
by NoFomoCharts
SWING IDEA - AJANTA PHARMAAjanta Pharma , a mid-cap pharma player with strong branded generics in ophthalmology, dermatology, and cardiology, is showing a compelling swing trade setup backed by a high-probability technical breakout. Reasons are listed below : Bullish engulfing candle on the weekly timeframe, indicating reversal strength 2,500 zone acting as a crucial support Holding above 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level , suggesting healthy correction Price trading above 50 & 200 EMA on the weekly chart – long-term strength intact Breakout from narrow consolidation near the 50-week EMA Target - 3080 // 3400 Stoploss - weekly close below 2415 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:AJANTPHARMLong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
Aurobindo Pharma picking up momentum.Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. engages in the manufacturing of generic pharmaceuticals and active pharmaceutical ingredients. It operates under the following geographical segments: India, USA, Europe, and Rest of the World. Its portfolio includes antibiotics, anti-retroviral, cardiovascular, central nervous system, gastroenterological, anti-allergies, and anti-diabetics. Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. Closing price is 1191.30. The positive aspects of the company are moderate Valuation (P.E. = 19.8), Strong cash generating ability from core business - Improving Cash Flow from operation, Companies with Low Debt, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, RSI indicating price strength and MFs increased their shareholding last quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter and High promoter stock pledges. Entry can be taken after closing above 1192 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 1249, 1299 and 1358. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 1403 and 1461. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1073 or 986 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:AUROPHARMALong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Niva Bupa gives a strong closing. Niva Bupa Health Insurance Co. Ltd. engages in the provision of health, travel, and corporate insurance services. It operates through the following segments: Health, Personal Accident, and Travel. Niva Bupa Health Insurance Co. closing price is 85.05. The positive aspects of the company are Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Companies with Zero Promoter Pledge, Rising Net Cash Flow and Cash from Operating activity, RSI indicating price strength and FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 73.5), PE higher than Industry PE and MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter. Entry can be taken after closing above 86 Historical Resistance in the stock will be 89.3, 94.8 and 99.2. PEAK Historic Resistance in the stock will be 102 and 106. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 79.58 or 75.2 depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIVABUPALong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
APPLE: 1st 1D Golden Cross in 2 years just formed.Apple is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 67.490, MACD = 1.760, ADX = 17.850) and yesterday it started forming the first 1D Golden Cross in more than 2 years. This signals the extension of the 2nd major bullish wave of the 3 year Channel Up. The previous one made an incredible extensino to +78.49%. That gives us the target to work with for the rest of the year. The trade is long, TP = $290. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by InvestingScope
3
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 3, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this abbreviated trading week, the S&P 500 Index has primarily shown an upward course, hitting and surpassing our target for the Outer Index Rally of 6235. Currently, the index demonstrates a consistent bullish trend, with the following objective for the Outer Index Rally set at 6420, followed by forthcoming targets of 6620 and 6768. Nevertheless, it is crucial to acknowledge the current price action may cause prices to retrace from their current fluctuation to test the Mean Support at 6200 before resuming their upward movement.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
SWING IDEA - JK LAKSHMI CEMENT JK Lakshmi Cement , a key player in India’s cement sector under the JK Group showing strong technical confluence making this a swing-worthy setup. Reasons are listed below : Formation of a bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart, indicating a potential trend reversal Strong support from the 50-week EMA , reinforcing medium-term trend strength Breakout from a consolidation range that lasted over a year, suggesting renewed momentum Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout , a classic bullish pattern Target - 1000 Stoploss - weekly close below 795 DISCLAIMER - Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services. @visionary.growth.insights
NSE:JKLAKSHMILong
by Visionary_Growth_Insights
6
RSKD - breakout confirmed, now waiting for retestRiskified (RSKD) shows a textbook breakout setup: daily triangle plus 4H bullish flag. Price already broke out and is now retesting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $5.21, which also matches the flag resistance flip and EMA cluster. This is a clean buy zone with strong technical alignment. Volume spiked during the breakout, trend structure remains intact, and moving averages are converging — usually a precursor to strong moves. The current pullback is orderly, and if buyers show strength on this retest, the price could target $6.00, then $6.54, and potentially $7.25 (1.618 extension). Fundamentally, Riskified offers fraud prevention tech for e-commerce. The business is benefiting from global growth in online transactions and improved margin control. While still unprofitable, recent quarters showed progress toward positive operating leverage and strong client acquisition. Tactical plan: — Entry on confirmation from $5.21 retest — TP1: $6.00 — TP2: $6.54 — TP3: $7.25 — SL: below $4.90 or $4.43 support zone You’ve been watching this one. The triangle broke. The pullback is clean. Maybe it’s time to stop watching and start participating.
NYSE:RSKDLong
by TotoshkaTrades
2
$RIOT Continues to Follow PathNASDAQ:RIOT Is sticking closely to the plan testing the bottom and top of the channel multiple times. Price closing above the weekly 200EMA and weekly pivot Friday will be a very bullish signal. As we have over 4 tests of the upper boundary resistance there is a high probability we break through and continue higher in a high degree wave 3. Initial targets are the weekly R5 pivot at $39 and all time high at range at $79. Price tested the .618 Fibonnaci retracement in a complex correction for wave 2. Analysis is invalidated below the channel support. Safe trading
NASDAQ:RIOT
by Maddox_Metrics
6
$WULF Critical Resistance!NASDAQ:WULF has had a great come back but has just hit a triple sword resistance: weekly 200EMA, weekly pivot and High Volume Node where I expect it to struggle for a while! Are CRYPTOCAP:BTC miners the new altcoins? Bullish continuation through these resistances will flip them to support and demonstrate fundamental resilience on an improving macro economic background overcoming technical analysis. Long term tailwind potential can be as high a10x from here but more realistic targets are the R3 weekly pivot $17 and R5 weekly pivot at $25. Analysis is invalidated below the high degree wave (4) of a leading (or ending) diagonal Elliot Wave pattern. Safe trading
NASDAQ:WULF
by Maddox_Metrics
$IREN Killing It. More Upside?NASDAQ:IREN has poked above the true all time high range (Launch price dump excluded) in a high degree Elliot wave 3 Long term target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $40 but may over extend with a bullish Bitcoin and Macro economic tailwind, coupled with AI growth. Many thought this was a greedy target at $5 but now that price is $16 it doesn't look so bad. You have to know when to let the runners run, that is were the big bucks are trading! Any retracement of a decent degree should expect to find support at the weekly pivot $9.4 before continuing upwards and may present an excellent buying opportunity! I will be posting the signal levels on Substack. As always ,all time high range will be the next support if price continues upwards from here. Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
2
$IREN Killing It. More Upside?NASDAQ:IREN has poked above the true all time high range (Launch price dump excluded) in a high degree Elliot wave 3 Long term target remains the R5 weekly pivot at $40 but may over extend with a bullish Bitcoin and Macro economic tailwind, coupled with AI growth. Many thought this was a greedy target at $5 but now that price is $16 it doesn't look so bad. You have to know when to let the runners run, that is were the big bucks are trading! Any retracement of a decent degree should expect to find support at the weekly pivot $9.4 before continuing upwards and may present an excellent buying opportunity! I will be posting the signal levels on Substack. As always ,all time high range will be the next support if price continues upwards from here. Safe trading
NASDAQ:IREN
by Maddox_Metrics
$TSLA Time to Fade or..?NASDAQ:TSLA (like NASDAQ:GOOG ) is standing out to me as bullish, yet, corrective Elliot Waves a higher degree series of ABCs appear to be underway. A final wave C appears to be underway which would take price too all time highs in an expanded flat correction pattern. My count could be wrong and the interference could be from the increase it sentiment volatility connected to the US headlines lately and Trump posting on socials. Things may get back to normal after the summer and a clearer pattern may emerge. Price is struggling to get past the weekly pivot point bullishly or the weekly 200EMS bearishly and is trapped within that range. For now long term target is the R2 daily pivot at $693 as the higher probability is continued upside Safe trading
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Maddox_Metrics