XAUUSD: Accumulation in process,Waiting for Bullish DistributionHello,
Today, we will analyse the key points of each significant move.
Following the price’s all-time high at $3500, it experienced a sharp decline and failed to maintain that level. A substantial 2400 pips would have resulted in significant losses for many accounts. Initially, it was perceived as a minor correction, with the expectation of further price appreciation. However, this assumption proved incorrect. After reaching an even higher peak, the price invariably undergoes a more substantial correction.
At 3260, substantial bullish volume surged into the market, necessitated by the presence of a fair value gap. Subsequently, the price experienced a decline, reflecting the prevailing bearish trend, which favoured the bears. However, at 3200, a pivotal level representing a discounted price point, bull volume surged. This powerful bullish impulse propelled the price to 3432, ultimately confirming the bullish trend. AB=CD there recurring pattern emerged weekly. When the price reached the 3432 level as a fair value gap, the CD pattern commenced.
AB=CDTheHeyIndeed, we have identified a recurring pattern. It appears to be an equal move in any direction, and it has manifested precisely as anticipated. We were aware that the price would reject at 3120, and it did so accordingly. Currently, the market is in our favour. Upon market opening, it exhibited a positive gap, propelling the price to 3450. However, it subsequently declined, reaching 3384.
Presently, we find ourselves in the accumulation phase, poised for distribution. This distribution is anticipated to be substantial, potentially leading to another record high, potentially reaching 3650.
Moving forward, the price could continue towards our target from its current position. Alternatively, there exists a possibility that it may drain the sell-side liquidity and reverse from 3360-3370.
Our take-profit levels are set at 3450, 3490, 3520, and finally, 3600. When entering the market, it is advisable to employ a short time frame. It is important to note that this analysis is merely our opinion, and market conditions may deviate from expectations.
We extend our best wishes for success and safe trading. If you wish to demonstrate your support, you may consider liking, commenting, or sharing this analysis with others.
Sincerely,
Team Setupsfx_
Supply and Demand
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Although many were anticipating a strong move upside on the open, we stuck to our guns and the algo which gave us the bias level as bearish below. Although we wanted a little bit higher, this worked well today with nearly all our bearish below target being completed again in one day apart from the remaining 3380.
For this reason, we'll stick with the plan for now with resistance now being the 3406 level which if held can force us down further into the level given before a potential RIP. With FOMC around the corner, we can expect some choppy and ranging price action tomorrow so tread carefully on the markets if you're less experienced.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425✅, 3420✅, 3410✅ and 3406✅
Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503
Red Boxes:
Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move
Break below 3420 for 3410✅, 3406✅, 3397✅, 3385✅ and 3380 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Price moved well today sticking to the bias level and completing the first two TP levels we had shared. The path illustrated yesterday also worked well giving the move into the support level, then the bounce upside into resistance before then resuming the move.
With FOMC tomorrow we can expect any sharp movement to happen in the late session and Asia, otherwise the pre-event price action has begun, we have a range in play with resistance above at the 3395 level and support below 3355-60 which has been highlighted. The bias will stand for now but we're going to take a back seat.
Price: 3382
KOG’s Bias of the day:
Bearish below 3401 with targets below 3365, 3358 and below that 3350
Bullish on break of 3401 with target above 3410 and above that 3425
RED BOXES:
Break above 3395 for 3406, 3410, 3416 and 3419 in extension of the move
Break below 3378 for 3368✅ and 3355 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
ETH NEW UPDATE (8H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
After the pump and hitting the red zone, it got rejected.
It's better not to open a short position on Ethereum, as its dominance appears bullish | which means it might be resilient against a potential drop.
The closing of a daily candle above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
$FET 4Hr Time frame DUMP before PUMP? $1 Recovery!FET/USDT – 4H Time Frame Analysis
Pattern Formation: A rounding top is clearly visible, suggesting weakening bullish momentum and potential trend reversal.
Trend Structure: Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish trend.
Key Zones:
Supply Zone: $0.85 – $0.975
Demand Zone: $0.35 – $0.45
Neckline Support: Price is approaching a critical neckline level. A break below this could trigger strong downside movement.
Weekly FVG & Fib Confluence:
Below the neckline lies a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement aligns with this zone, forming a golden pocket — a key support area.
Scenario 1 – Bullish Reversal:
If price holds above the golden pocket, a bounce could push it back toward psychological levels (e.g., $0.70 and $0.80)
Scenario 2 – Bearish Continuation:
If price fails to hold the FVG/GP zone, this invalidates bullish setups.
Expect a breakdown targeting the $0.35–$0.45 demand zone.
#GBPJPY: 600+ Pips Swing Move, JPY To Drop! GBPJPY has successfully rejected the area previously identified in our analysis of GJ. We had anticipated a price rejection and reversal with a strong bullish impulse, which has materialised. Following the positive candle close on Friday, we anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend and potential reaching of the 200 mark.
When trading, it is crucial to prioritise risk management. Conduct your own analysis and utilise this information solely for educational purposes.
Three potential targets have been identified: 198, 200, and 202. A stop loss can be positioned below our buying zone, as indicated by the black-marked zone.
Your support, expressed through likes, comments, and shares, is greatly appreciated and encourages us to continue providing valuable content.
❤️🚀
Team Setupsfx_
GBPUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The UK-India Free Trade Agreement provides long-term bullish support for GBP.
The IMF raised the UK's 2025 growth forecast from 1.1% to 1.2%, boosting market confidence in the pound.
Global trade tensions indirectly underpin GBP.
Technical Analysis :
GBP is in a rebound uptrend. Short-term 5/10-day moving averages are converging, and Bollinger Bands show slight narrowing, indicating a neutral bias.
MACD death cross with shrinking red momentum (bearish).
RSI edges up near 65 with limited upside (neutral).
KD golden cross diverging upward from near oversold (bullish).
Trading Strategy:
Enter light longs at 1.3400 if supported.
buy@1.3400–1.3410
TP:1.3500-1.3550
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Positive market: OIL rises sharply - Important area to watch forThe recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East has had a strong ripple effect across all commodities market. Just as we observed with Gold, it’s no surprise we’ve seen oil prices climb as well, given this uncertainty.
If you’ve seen my latest Gold analysis, you’ll understand how market sentiment has turned uneasy, and in times like these are what people trust when everything else feels risky. And naturally, with everything going on, Gold is seeing stronger demand again, and I expect the price to steadily climb and reach new highs because the momentum is unmistakable.
On Friday the 13th, oil prices spiked abruptly before pulling back slightly, showing just how sensitive the market is to potential supply disruptions. What’s fueling this rally is obvious, and it’s the fear around supply from such an important oil-producing area. This creates a great opportunity to take a position.
As you can see in my analysis, the price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would really confirm the bullish bias and make the move towards my anticipated target of 77,50 high probability, towards the next resistance zone level at 77,50 and 79,50.
If the price remains over this support zone, my bullish outlook stays the same. But, if it doesn’t hold above this level we could see a slight pullback before another definitve move up.
In such times, it’s important to watch price action closely especially near key technical levels, and let the market show your next move.
BTCUSD UP Trend buy strong from key support 🚀 #BTCUSD Update (4H Time Frame)
Bitcoin is maintaining a strong bullish trend, bouncing confidently from the key support zone at $105,000. Momentum is building as buyers step in aggressively.
📈 Technical Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $110,000
🎯 2nd Target (Major Resistance): $111,900
Price action is showing strength — watch for consolidation or a breakout near resistance.
👇 Like, Follow & Drop a Comment 💬
Join us for more real-time updates, analysis & signals!
— Livia 😜
#Crypto #Bitcoin #BTC #Trading
Gold's Next Move Up: Why I'm Waiting for This 1H Order Block.Hello, traders! 👋 Let's take a look at the current price action on Gold (XAU/USD).
📉 Current Situation: Correction Phase
After a strong impulse that swept the Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Gold has entered a correction. This corrective move has a clear target below: a key 1-hour order block that aligns with the 61.8% daily Fibonacci level. This area acts as strong support and a potential reversal zone for the continuation of the uptrend.
⚠️ Patience is Key
Price has not yet reached a safe discount zone for considering long positions. This is where the "whale's" Point of Interest (POI) lies. It's highly probable that large players will deliver the price to this zone to "refuel" (mitigate their positions) before continuing the move up, or at least to test the manipulation that swept the initial BSL.
My Trading Plan
🎯 The Long Setup
The primary condition for considering a long setup from the $3356 - $3365 area is:
Mitigation of the 1-hour order block.
The 61.8% Fib level must hold with a clear reversal reaction on at least the 4-hour timeframe.
I don't expect this to happen today. It's likely that price will first build liquidity above our POI before dropping into it. Only from that zone, and with LTF confirmation, can we consider safer long positions.
This is not financial advice. My analysis is for educational purposes only.
Gold’s uptrend is clear, controlled, and far from overGold remains the centerpiece of bullish momentum, trading within a well-defined ascending channel. Price continues to respect the structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, with no signs of exhaustion thus far.
A key resistance level was recently broken and has now flipped into support. Price is currently retesting this zone — a classic move in trending markets. If this area holds, it would validate the breakout and open the path for a potential move toward $3,460, aligning with the channel’s upper boundary.
As long as price stays above this retested support, the bullish outlook remains intact. A failure to hold, however, would invalidate the setup and shift focus to the lower channel boundary as the next area of interest.
Reminder: Always wait for confirmation before entering and apply strict risk management.
BTC is still bearish (2H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
The red zone seems to have had enough orders to reject the price downward. It is expected that the price will drop at least to the green zone below.
There will be some fluctuations along the way.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would want the lower level red box to be tested and rejected in order to give us the move upside into that 3330-35 region where we wanted to monitor the price for the short. We managed to get a pin point move, however, we had to exit the short trades early due to the support level holding us up. We then continued to follow Excalibur and the red box indi’s which were suggesting higher pricing and by the end of the week we had completed all our bullish above target levels, plus Excalibur trade targets and LiTE again performed at 100% accuracy.
A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade, analysis and post on.
So, what can we expect from the week ahead?
For this week we can expect some gaps on open which is going to make it difficult due to skewed data. We will however stick with the red box levels and the tools we have to make a plan for the two scenarios we may see potential of.
Scenario one:
Price opens and gaps upside, we’ll be looking for the levels of 3455-60 for a potential reaction in price, if achieved, an opportunity may be available to short there back down into the 3450, 3443 and 3435 levels.
Scenario two:
If we do open and gap downside, we’ll look for the levels of 3430-23 to hold us up, and if achieved, an opportunity to long there back up into the 3450-5 level and in extension of the move 3465 may be available.
It’s a difficult one again as no one knows how the market is going to open and what is going to happen. So we’ll update traders as much as we can during the day and the week with KOG’s bias of the day and red box target levels
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425, 3420, 3410 and 3406
Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503
Red Boxes:
Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move
Break below 3420 for 3410, 3406, 3397, 3385 and 3380 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders,
DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers.
With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392).
There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach.
Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week.
Until the next update, wish you many pips!
US30 Consolidates Amid Geopolitical UncertaintyUS30 Overview – Market Caught Between Geopolitical Risk and Technical Boundaries
The ongoing Middle East crisis continues to weigh on market sentiment, keeping US30 (Dow Jones) in a consolidation phase.
Technical Outlook:
Price is currently trading between 42160 and 42410.
As long as it holds above 42160, a move toward 42410 remains likely.
🔺 A break and stability above 42410 would confirm bullish momentum toward 42810.
🔻 A break below 42160 opens the door for a decline toward 41780, with further downside potential.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42410
• Support: 42160 / 41780 / 41310
• Resistance: 42610 / 42810 / 43210
Bearish till 1.35158.Price has created a bearish Type 1 dealing range on the 1 hour chart within a type 2 dealing range. This warrants bearish price action till 1.35158. My entry is at 1.35892 which lines up with both the equilibrium price level of the range as well as the consequent encroachment of the balanced price range. Furthermore, note the market maker sell model formation on the 1H chart. This poses a high probability sell set-up.
GBPUSD - Next point of interestAfternoon All,
So our GBPUSD trade from earlier didn't quite go to plan however I knew full well that we were building liquidity to the left on the higher timeframe.
This will be my next point of interest for a potential long.
Lets see how price plays out when we get down there.
GBPUSD - LongUnfortunately I can't post the idea on the 5min to give you a better idea of where we are at in terms of the entry for this.
However I am looking to be tagged into this trade and have a limit order where I have set it.
Hoping to be tagged in. If we aren't we move on. and if we lose we move on.
If im able to help with any questions you may have do send them my way
BTCUSDT: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The Federal Reserve's potential rate cut is expected to increase market liquidity, driving up prices of risk assets like Bitcoin.
Positive developments in China-U.S. trade talks have boosted market risk appetite, benefiting Bitcoin's price.
Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin rebounded strongly from the June 5 low of $100,377, with the RSI quickly recovering from oversold territory to around 55, indicating robust rebound momentum.
The lower Bollinger Band near $101,000 provided strong support, and price has now returned above the middle band.
Overhead resistance: $107,000 and $108,000
Support levels: $103,000, $101,500, and $100,000
Trading Recommendation for Aggressive Traders
Consider initiating light long positions if price pulls back to the $103,000–$103,500 zone.
Trading Strategy:
buy@ 103000–103500
TP:106000-108000
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EUR/USD CRAZZYY BULLISH BIAS (SMC Perspective) | 1H Outlook🔍 Analysis Summary:
Price is consolidating above a clear demand zone after breaking previous structure to the upside.
We’ve seen liquidity engineered above the swing high (marked X), followed by internal structure developing.
I’m watching for a sweep into demand (grey zone) between 1.1520 – 1.1540, followed by a bullish reaction.
Expecting a bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the lower timeframe to confirm continuation to 1.16340.
📌 Key Levels:
Demand Zone: 1.1520 – 1.1540
Liquidity Sweep: Above recent highs (1.1596)
Target Zone: 1.16340
Invalidation: Clean break below 1.1500
🗓️ Fundamental Drivers to Watch:
USD Weakness – Driven by:
Recent soft CPI & PPI data (cooling inflation)
Increased chances of Fed rate cuts (starting September 2025)
Risk-on market sentiment pushing money out of the USD
Upcoming News Events:
Wed 19 June – Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🗣️
→ Any dovish tone supports the bullish EUR/USD case
Thu 20 June – Initial Jobless Claims 📉
→ A higher-than-expected print could confirm labor market weakness = USD bearish
Fri 21 June – Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI (EUR & USD)
→ EUR strength + weak US data can fuel upside
🧠 My Plan:
Watch for a liquidity sweep into demand
Wait for bullish confirmation on M15 or M5
Target previous high & continuation toward 1.16340
💬 Follow for more SMC-based breakdowns. Let’s stay sharp and react, not predict.
#EURUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ForexTrading #OrderBlocks #sam_trades_smc #PriceAction #FOMC #Fed #USD