XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
The 4-hour chart still shows a bearish configuration with MACD in a sustained death cross, displaying no signs of reversal. Gold’s decline may have further room.
During the US session, gold rebounded to near 3349 but fell again, remaining pressured by moving average resistance. The overall trend remains range-bound.
Awaiting the CPI data release, price is likely to maintain a sideways trend before the announcement.
Monitor overhead resistance at the 3350–3360 zone. Continue to short on rebounds as long as resistance holds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3350-3340
TP:3300-3280
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Supply and Demand
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
Not a bad day on the markets but the ranging only allowed us to scalp and take short trades from the bias level published and the extension level which did give an extremely decent move downside.
We now have support at the 3320 level with resistance 3330 which should be attacked if support holds. There is a level below 3310-12 which needs to be kept an eye on for the Asian session, but for now we'll stick with the plan.
Tomorrow we have a lot of news and after the accumulation over the last two days we're expecting some aggressive price action. Take it easy, play the game and remember, large lots on small accounts blow accounts.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306✅, 3299✅, 3297✅, 3285 and 3275
Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345✅, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376
Red boxes:
Break above 3310 for 3320✅, 3332✅, if held above 3335✅, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3299✅, 3295✅, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Grocery Outlet Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General
1. Push Set Up
2. Range Set up
3. Break & Retest Set Up
Notes On Session
# Grocery Outlet Stock Quote
- Double Formation
* (A+ Set Up)) At 45.00 USD | Completed Survey
* Wave Feature On Wave *(5)) | Subdivision 1
- Triple Formation
* (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2
* (TP1) | Subdivision 3
* Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition
- (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings
- Position On A 1.5RR
* Stop Loss At 17.00 USD
* Entry At 14.00 USD
* Take Profit At 8.00 USD
* (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation
* Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area))
Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities;
European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging)
Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand;
Overall Consensus | Sell
[GEX] TSLA Breakdown & Options Trade Idea for 39DTELast week, TSLA dropped hard, likely due to political tensions. Let’s not forget — just a month ago, their EVs were showcased at the White House entrance...
In the span of 30 hours, TSLA fell -22% (see red line below), while SPX barely reacted. Why? Because both realized and implied volatility dropped — remember VIX is around 17/18.
This sharp TSLA drop already seemed overdone, which helped fuel the +5% bounce on Friday.Most TSLA options positions are near-term and still show negative sentiment — but further expirations grow increasingly bullish.
🔍 If you use options GEX matrix , you’ll see the bearish hedging flow gradually turns more neutral-to-bullish.
Most cumulative support/resistance zones lie between 250–340, with spot currently just under the chop zone.
🧠 TSLA Trade Idea
It’s been a while since I posted a neutral Iron Condor, but TSLA might be an exception.
Despite last week’s IV spike, call pricing skew still dominates across expirations — as seen in our Options Overlay indicator.This tells me the market doesn’t fear TSLA crashing below 200. So, I’m aiming to capture premium on the July 18th expiry without day trading.
I’m thinking of something simple, well-manageable in either direction.To refine leg placement, I use visual GEX zones.
🐻🔴 Downside:
Strong put support at 250
Gradual support layers up to 280
🐂 🟢 Upside:
Target area: 340–350 for the July 18 expiry.
📅 Closing the Trade:I'll consider closing or adjusting at 21 DTE or when 50% max profit is hit — per TastyTrade’s studies.
🔁 Rolling Plan:IF short delta on one side drops below ~14 and price pulls away, I’ll roll the untested side to collect more credit.
🧑🏫 I’ll likely post trade management live in Discord for educational purposes.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
🦋 Bonus Idea: TSLA Broken Wing Butterfly
If you think TSLA has more downside, a Put Broken Wing Butterfly — like the one shown in my previous YT video — is also a great way to structure this trade using the same GEX levels.
There’s no single way to use Gamma Exposure — it’s the most actionable hedging signal we have. Combine it with your knowledge of strategies and you can trade almost any scenario.
One thing’s for sure — this market moves faster than ever.A single day of internal conflict wiped -22% off TSLA…The next morning, the market already moved on, so as always:
Trade Safe Out There!
AMD Approaching Key Supply Zone – Rejection or Breakout?📌 Thesis:
AMD is approaching a critical 1D supply zone ($122–$130) with bearish RSI divergence, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion.
🔍 Technical Overview:
✅ Structure: Bullish recovery confirmed with Break of Structure (BoS).
📈 Price Action: Higher highs into known supply zone.
📉 RSI: Forming lower highs, showing classic bearish divergence — a common warning signal near key resistance.
🧭 MACD: Still positive, but momentum is slowing.
📊 Volume: Healthy, but not confirming a breakout (yet).
📌 Base Case (Bias):
Rejection from supply zone is likely, given weakening momentum. Watch for bearish reversal candles around $122–$130.
If rejection confirms:
🎯 First target: EMA cluster ($116).
🛑 Invalidation: Clean breakout above $130 with volume.
🔁 Alternate Scenario:
If AMD breaks and holds above $130, divergence is invalidated.
Next upside target: $140–$150 (previous resistance zone).
✅ Trade Plan:
🔹 Short setup: Bearish rejection + divergence confirmation at supply zone.
🔹 Long setup: Breakout + retest of supply zone turned support.
Conclusion:
This is a technical inflection point for AMD. Price action in the coming sessions will likely define the short-term direction. Trade the setup, not the prediction.
SPX500 weekly overviewThis 6,136.54 calculated by 4821.59 and 3506.64 and worked really well as top of the SPX500!
Expect the zone around that line! All zones could be chosen to long the instrument.
4821.59 * 2 - 3506.64 = 6,136.54
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
BTCUSD: weekly overview for trading!Hello Traders, I'm mostly an investor for this instrument.
for this week we are struggling hard in middle of a long-term channel and also the effect of halving cycles could move the instrument more and more down.
But I'm waiting for good news form USD weakness. I'm still more bullish for Bitcoin.
****************
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A good start to the week with the lower level holding as expected and giving us the tap and bounce for the longs which we wanted to target the 3330-35 level on. This is now completed and if preference is for higher, there is a higher hotspot which could be a possibility.
For the above reason, although we may get a RIP from around here it's on the flip with support now 3320, so the higher level is possible in the early session before a retracement which will be level to level for now, unless there is a clean reversal. If we hold that 3320-15 level it's very likely they will want to take this higher!
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306✅, 3299✅, 3297✅, 3285 and 3275
Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376
Red boxes:
Break above 3310 for 3320, 3332, if held above 3335, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3299✅, 3295✅, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move
As always, trade safe.
KOG
BTCUSD Descending channel breakout strong bullish BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Breakout Alert!
4H Timeframe Technical Analysis by Livia 😜
Bitcoin has officially broken out of its descending channel with strong bullish momentum! 📈
Entry Level: $105,500 ✅
📌 Technical Targets:
🎯 1st Target: $106,800
🎯 2nd Target: $108,700
🎯 3rd Target: $110,300
Momentum looks solid—watch for retests and continuation patterns for additional entries. Always manage risk. 🛡️
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💬 Join us for real-time updates, setups & insights!
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #BreakoutAlert #TechnicalAnalysis #LiviaTrades
Trade Plan (Multi-Leg Strategy)This chart outlines a two-phase trading strategy:
▶ Buy from the demand zone, followed by
▶ Sell from the resistance/range zone.
🟦 Phase 1: Buy Setup
Buy Entry: Around 3301 (marked demand/support zone)
: TP1 (Take Profit): 3340–3350 zone (previous supply/resistance area)
: The price is expected to bounce from this demand zone and rally toward the Range Zone.
🟧 Phase 2: Sell Setup (After Confirmation)
Sell Zone: After price hits 3340–3350 and confirms rejection in the Range Zone
> TP1 for Sell: 3310–3300 zone
> Final Target: 3250 (major support level)
> This move expects a bearish reversal after failing to break the range top.
🟡 Key Notes:
Range Zone = 3340–3350 is a key decision point. Wait for a reversal signal (e.g., double top, bearish engulfing) before shorting.
The setup blends support/resistance, price action, and zone trading logic.
✅ Summary:
Buy from 3301 → TP at 3340–3350
Sell from 3340–3350 (after confirmation) → TP1: 3300, TP2: 3250
EURJPY HTF Distribution pt.2This is the lower timeframe distribution model I mentioned in pt.1. I am looking either for a model 2 from extreme supply or another deviation inside the deviation limit for a model 1. A good time displacement would be optimal and a bearish BOS would confirm it for a valid entry.
EURJPY HTF Distribution pt.1This could end up as a model 1 distribution that gets completed with another distribution model as 2nd deviation while coming into supply. With the right confirmations this could end up in a beautiful trade. I will make a part 2 in a minute where i show the potential lower time frame distribution model.
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for WTI Oil.
Resistance 1: 63.6 - 65.9 area
Resistance 2: 68.2 - 69.2 area
Resistance 3: 71.4 - 75.2 area
Support 1: 61.8 - 62.8 area
Support 2: 59.0 - 60.8 area
Support 3: 55.1 - 57.2 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Two Targets First $130,000 And Then $150,000Bitcoin is poised for significant distribution, with a potential price surge to $130,000, followed by a swing target of $150,000. The current accumulation phase is poised to transition into a substantial bullish move. We anticipate a surge in bullish volume in the coming days or weeks. Our analysis anticipates this transition to be completed by the end of the year or sooner.
It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a specific price movement and is provided solely for educational purposes.
We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. If our analysis has been of assistance, we would appreciate it if you could express your gratitude by liking and commenting.
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Team Setupsfx_
BankNifty levels - Jun 11, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Wishing you successful trading endeavors!