Supply and Demand
Bitcoin Short Setup — Watch for Entry After Liquidity Grab📍 BTC Potential Short Setup — Watching for Liquidity Sweep and Orderflow Shift
I’m monitoring Bitcoin for a potential short opportunity.
📌 If price sweeps the previous week’s high (PWH), I’ll look for a lower time frame orderflow shift to confirm entry.
Additionally, the sweep may coincide with a mitigation of the 4-hour order block.
✅ If these conditions align, I’ll consider an entry from the 106192–106192 zone.
Conditions for entry:
→ Sweep of PWH liquidity
→ Lower time frame orderflow shift after the sweep
→ Possible mitigation of 4H order block
⚠️ No setup without confirmation — I’ll wait for a valid reaction on LTF before entering.
📍 Stay tuned and follow for live updates on this setup.
AVAX/USDTAVAX is currently in a consolidation phase.
The key area of interest is the liquidity zone around $20.14 combined with a daily FVG.
🎯 After a move into this zone, long setups can be considered — only if proper conditions are met.
Target to the upside: $21.49
📌 Waiting for confirmation before execution. No setup — no trade.
BTC short setup As previous weekly went good on BTC, a nice bounce from the area on swing setup. Now wait for the liquidity grab from 107.8k then take short, that whiteline is important to break and sustain for btc to continue it's Bullish trend. Longer sl is just to avoid wick damage closing matter here. Good luck, book at least 50% on 105.2k rest hold the position, and take long from mentioned zone.
PEP – Bullish Divergence at Weekly DemandPepsiCo (PEP) has retraced into a key weekly demand zone, where price previously launched long bullish legs. At the same time, a bullish divergence is forming between price and RSI, suggesting selling momentum may be weakening.
Structure has clearly shifted bearish over the past two years, with multiple breaks of structure (BoS). However, the current setup shows strong confluence for a potential mean reversion or reversal swing.
Two key supply zones are mapped:
First target (5:1 R:R) at the $141 area — recent supply.
Second target (12:1 R:R) near $162 — major macro supply.
EURUSD Interim Short Active, Looking for the LongInterim short active from our analysis posted last night, rejected off the lower end of the supply zone highlighted. Looking for the trade to trade down to a good Demand level to then take this trade up to the higher levels of the supply zone. Targeting the 1.1500 region. This will be all dependent on price action. If price moves to plan and 1.1500 is achieved we then can look for the original short position highlighted in last nights analysis.
BankNifty levels - Jun 10, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Nifty levels - Jun 10, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
OP / USDT 4hr PUMP INCOMING? OP/USDT – 4H Chart Summary
Market Structure:
4H Timeframe:
- Price consolidating within a descending triangle/wedge pattern, indicating potential buildup before a breakout.
- Lower Timeframes (1H and below): Bearish trend structure with lower highs and lows.
- OBV (On-Balance Volume): Forming a wedge—suggesting accumulation or distribution phase nearing a breakout.
Key Zones:
Demand Zone (Support):
- 0.5483 – 0.6351
This area has provided strong support historically. A clean break below could signal continuation of the larger downtrend.
Supply Zone (Resistance):
- 0.9068 – 1.0414
-Historically rejected price; high probability of reversal or consolidation if revisited.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
- FVG 1: 0.6659 – 0.6838
- FVG 2: 0.7024 – 0.7308
These inefficiency zones are likely to attract price if bullish momentum builds. Watch for potential short-term rejection or continuation setups here.
Volume Profile:
Strongest volume node (high liquidity zone) sits between 0.7470 – 0.8000
Suggests this area has been heavily traded and may act as magnet/resistance if approached again.
Fibonacci Confluence:
Previous swing high at 0.8232 aligns with the 0.618–0.65 golden pocket
A critical zone for potential take-profit or trend reversal on a breakout.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case:
If price holds above 0.6351 and bounces, look for:
- Retest of FVG 1, followed by FVG 2.
- Breakthrough of 0.7308 could target the golden pocket and swing high at 0.8232.
- Sustained bullish move may reach the supply zone above 0.9068.
Bearish Case:
- Breakdown below 0.6351 and especially below 0.5483 would:
- Invalidate the wedge support.
- Confirm continuation of the macro downtrend.
-Open room for new lows and bearish expansion.
Conclusion:
Price is at a key decision point inside a wedge.
Reaction at 0.6351 is critical—support bounce targets higher inefficiencies; breakdown signals deeper bearish continuation.
OBV and volume structure suggest an imminent volatility spike—prepare for a breakout.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last weeks KOG Report we said we would wait for the market to open and look for a reaction on the Red box and based on that reaction we would decide where we wanted to go and how to trade it! We immediately opened with a bounce which gave us the opportunity to then get on with the move upside as you can see in last weeks chart completing the move we wanted and the red box targets apart from 3406 (we got as far as 3404). We then identified the red box region we were expecting another RIP from and to the point we got the move down to complete the short. Please look at the chart, you will see how we picked the top, the bottom, and then the range trades within the circled levels with point to point, level to level trades all the way through the week.
A fantastic week in Camelot on not only Gold but all the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Looking at the economic calendar there isn’t much going on in the early part of the week so there is potential here for the move to terminate just below before giving a bounce upside into the levels of 3330-35 which is the level to watch for the break this week. A rejection at that level can cause further declines taking us into the 3350 level and possibly 3230-25 before we form a swing low.
There is a flip here as stated above, and that is that 3330-35 region, if we break above there then bulls have that opportunity to drive this upside to clear the NFP move and take us back to target the 3400 level. It all depends on the reactions we get at the levels so we’ll start the week with the plan of action, and of course, in these markets we’ll adapt If we have to.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306, 3299, 3297, 3285 and 3275
Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376
Red boxes:
Break above 3310 for 3320, 3332, if held above 3335, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3299, 3295, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
AUDUSD follow the ascending channel bullish now from key demand 📈 AUD/USD Technical Outlook – 1H Timeframe
The AUD/USD pair continues to trade within a bullish ascending channel, rebounding strongly from the key support zone at 0.64800. Momentum remains positive, signaling potential for further upside.
🎯 Next Technical Target:
1st Resistance: 0.65200
Traders should monitor price action near this level for potential breakout or rejection signals.
🔍 Stay tuned for more real-time updates, insights, and setups.
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— Livia 😜
Bitcoin - Bitcoin holds $100,000 support?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the supply zone. If this corrective move occurs, we can also look for Bitcoin long positions in the demand zone.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Bitcoin network transaction activity has dropped to its lowest level since October 2023. According to data from The Block, the seven-day moving average of Bitcoin transactions has recently declined to 317,000—marking the lowest point in the past 19 months. This decline comes at a time when Bitcoin’s price still hovers near its all-time highs.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin Core developers have recently stated that network nodes should not block the relay of low-fee or non-standard transactions if miners are willing to process them. This highlights a shift in Bitcoin’s policy direction and indicates a growing acceptance among some miners of lower-cost transactions.
In certain instances, miners’ appetite for transaction fees appears to have diminished. Mononaut, founder of the Mempool project, pointed out that a transaction with an almost-zero fee was recently included in a block. This could signal reduced network activity or a declining need among miners to prioritize high-fee transactions.
Currently, only 0.3% of American investors’ total assets are allocated to Bitcoin. Real estate dominates their portfolios, followed by bonds and stocks.This means that Bitcoin accounts for a very small portion of U.S. investor wealth. However, if even a small fraction of capital currently tied up in real estate, stocks, or bonds shifts into Bitcoin in the future, it could have a substantial market impact—an encouraging sign over the long term.
The United States has emerged as the dominant force in the Bitcoin ecosystem. A report by River outlines how this dominance has reached its peak. The U.S. holds nearly 40% of the total Bitcoin supply, and American companies account for a staggering 94.8% of public Bitcoin ownership. Additionally, 82% of development funding and approximately 79.2% of Bitcoin ETF ownership originate from the U.S. The country also commands about 36% of the global hash rate.
Since 2021, the total value of Bitcoin mined by American companies has reached $42.6 billion, accompanied by over $30 billion in investment into Bitcoin mining infrastructure. The U.S. now hosts more than 150 Bitcoin-related companies and 40 mining sites with capacities exceeding 10 megawatts.
Today, nearly two-thirds of all Bitcoin in circulation is held by individuals who rarely—or never—sell their coins. In just the last 30 days, roughly 180,000 Bitcoins have been moved to wallets with historically low selling activity. Meanwhile, whales continue to accumulate Bitcoin at price levels above $100,000.
PREPPING FOR LONGSUSD/CHF 1H - It will be interesting to see whether or not this area of Demand holds and whether we have means to enter in on this market with some long positions, taking advantage of the corrective wave that should trade price up and into the Supply Zone above.
Once we have clear rejection from the zone price is currently trading into, delivering us with some fractal breaks I will be using that to build on my confluence and I will be looking for some entries on the market.
I want to see the last fractal high that traded price down and into that Demand Zone break, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to now flip the balance, once we have that we can look to take part.
The potential trade here could be huge, its important we just wait patiently and sit on our hands, allowing price to come to us. Once I have the confirmation I need I will let you all know.
XAU/USD THOUGHTSXAU/USD 1H - I am in prep of buying into this market after price trading us down to clear the gap in the market and the OB that was just below that. We have means to trade this market bullish now, its just a case of waiting for an entry.
Price traded down, rejected well and broke structure to the upside, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to flip the balance in the market. I now want price to pullback fractally to give us a refined entry.
Price pulling back into our fractal area of Demand gives us another piece of confluence, it tells us that price is putting in clear bullish structure protecting the lows and breaking the highs.
By price pulling back down, its giving us a more refined entry with a better RR, setting our SL just below the zone we get involved in and our TP just below the last higher timeframe high.
AUDNZD Bearish Trend: Short Setup at Key Fib Levels?Hello traders! 👋 Diving into AUDNZD today.
Despite a recent bounce from the weekly order block and the weekly 0.618 Fibonacci level, the overriding trend remains strongly bearish on both the Daily and 4-hour timeframes. 📉 This keeps shorts on my radar.
🔍 Short Setup Considerations:
I'm considering short positions based on the following scenarios:
Scenario A: If the price reaches the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level accompanied by a liquidity sweep above a recent high.
Scenario B: Should the 0.618 level be breached, a short could be considered if the price then reaches the next 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level . Here, I'd look for a clear liquidity sweep and a subsequent reversal reaction from this level.
🎯 Potential Short Entry Zone: 1.0780 – 1.0800
I'll be patiently watching for price action to confirm one of these setups before considering an entry. Confirmation is key!
Remember to trade wisely and manage your risk.
XAU/USD 09 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: