BankNifty levels - Jul 04, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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Supply and Demand
XAUUSD – Smart Money Sell Setup during New York Session | ICT St
Gold (XAUUSD) has just completed a classic liquidity grab above the London session highs, forming a potential Judas Swing as New York begins.
On the 4H timeframe, we clearly have a bearish BOS (Break of Structure), and price has returned to a Premium zone within a bearish FVG and OB (Order Block).
Today is NFP Friday, and after the Fed kept rates steady mid-week, we’re expecting high volatility.
Current price action has swept the overnight liquidity and is now reacting inside a Repricing Block, aligning perfectly with the NY Midnight Open level.
🎯 My Sell Plan (Live Execution):
Sell Limit: 3306.50
SL: 3317.50 (Above OB high)
TP1: 3281.20
TP2: 3268.50
TP3: 3253.90
🧠 Bias: Bearish
🕒 Session: New York
🧮 ADR: 43 pts
📉 Market Structure: Bearish
This setup follows the ICT methodology using time, liquidity, structure, and displacement.
If we break above 3317.50 with strong displacement, the idea becomes invalid.
Let's see if Smart Money takes it down into Friday’s close.
DXY USDOLLAR CRASH Incoming!Long-term fundamentals are bearish
Long-term sentiment = bearish
Long-term technicals = bearish
Trump wants a weaker dollar + FED injecting endless amounts of cash into the markets
driving stocks/ gold up, and the dollar down, losing purchasing power.
My plan is to look for shorts on the 1hr-4hr timeframe with lower timeframe confirmation.
Once price starts turning over, day-traders can join in.
Agree or disagree?
GBPUSD - 31/7/25 - Bullish reversalThe setup is not great, but im expecting a pull back on the dollar which should result in a bullish move on the GBP and EUR.
There is an extreme zone that i would like price to reach to with the possibility of not taking out the previous HL. But lets see.
+ve:
1. Extreme zone that resulted in the bullish move.
2. slight imbalance above the extreme zone
3. Dollar setting up for a pull back that will result in a bullish move on GBP
4. TP is just above the equal high liquidity zone
-ve:
1. close to the higher low and that may be swept
GBPUSD Technical BreakdownTrendline Breakout:
Price has decisively broken above a short-term descending trendline, signaling a potential shift in intraday momentum from bearish to bullish.
Support Zone (1.3185 – 1.3195):
This demand area has provided a strong base, with multiple successful rejections confirming buyer interest.
Resistance Levels:
Near-term resistance: 1.3213 (minor breakout level – watch for retest)
Key upside targets: 1.3240 followed by the major supply zone at 1.3275 – 1.3290
📈 Trade Outlook:
Bias: Bullish above 1.3213
Entry Idea: Look for bullish confirmation on a retest of 1.3213 as support
Targets:
TP1: 1.3240
TP2: 1.3275 – 1.3290
Invalidation: A sustained move below 1.3185 would invalidate the setup and reopen downside risk.
GOLD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello, Traders!
GOLD surged up sharply
On Friday and is already
Retesting the horizontal
Resistance of 3377$
From where we will be
Expecting a local pullback
On Monday as Gold
Is locally overbought
Sell!
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GBP_NZD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GBP_NZD has retested
A resistance level of 2.2500
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down so we are
Bearish biased now and we will be
Expecting the pair to go further down
SHORT🔥
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XAU/USD 01 August 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Bitcoin FOMC aftermath & plan aheadHi all,
As you may have noticed, Wednesday's FOMC meeting delivered a less-than-optimistic outlook. The absence of rate cuts, combined with uncertainty about potential cuts in September, triggered a downward move in the markets.
Bitcoin is currently trading 7% below its high from July 14th. I anticipate a relatively shallow downtrend and plan to add to my position around $112,000.
CADCHF: Bullish Move After the Trap 🇨🇦🇨🇭
There is a high chance that CADCHF will go up today.
After a test of a key horizontal support, the price formed
a liquidity grab with a consequent bullish imbalance.
We can expect growth to 0.5887
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U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Technical Analysis – 4-Hour TimeframeU.S. Dollar Index (DXY) Technical Analysis – 4-Hour Timeframe
Following yesterday’s economic data from the United States, which included stronger-than-expected GDP growth and consumer confidence figures, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has continued its upward trend with strength. These developments have reinforced expectations for continued monetary tightening—or at least keeping interest rates elevated—which in turn has boosted demand for the dollar.
On the 4-hour chart, after a strong bullish rally, the dollar index has now reached a key resistance zone that previously acted as a major barrier.
Bullish Scenario:
If the current resistance zone is decisively broken and price stabilizes above it, the bullish momentum could extend further toward higher technical levels. This scenario would gain additional strength if upcoming economic data continues to support the dollar.
Bearish Scenario:
However, if the price fails to break through the resistance and signs of buyer weakness begin to emerge, a corrective pullback toward previous support levels may occur. This scenario could be further intensified if weaker economic data is released or if the Federal Reserve signals a more dovish stance.
At the moment, traders are advised to closely monitor the price reaction to the current zone and wait for confirmation before committing to the next move.
SHIBA | Bullish Breakout ABOVE Ideal Buy ZoneBINANCE:SHIBUSDT
Shiba is know to make big increases in short periods of time... that's why we love it!
The tricky thing about SHIBA is that the pumps can be unpredictable so the best way to ensure a position is to buy as low as possible to the ideal buy zone.
In the weekly timeframe, the technical indicators are not quite bullish yet. The moving averages is still above the price, meaning the bulls have yet to take full control of the price in lower timeframes.
The same can be said for the daily, although we are seeing progress as the 200d moving averages have been reclaimed:
Bull Trap Confirmed: GBPUSD's 8% Rally Faces ExhaustionLets Face it we had a great 6 months already clocking 60%+ Returns already.
And after sitting ducks for almost 2 months now we finally have a trade.
- Its a very self explanatory chart
- Trading at resistance
- Head & Shoulder pattern
And the best part the right shoulder is still yet to be formed! My favourite type of entry.
1.It gives a better risk reward ratio (1:7 expected)
2.Better Entry (No long red candles)
3. And even if the pattern fails it we may still reach the neck line which is target 1.
Entry Criteria
- A Red candle at the entry Line Marked
- Stoploss Above the Entry Candle
Target 1- 1.3361
Target 2- 1.3252
Target 3- 1.3169
Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
Break down before the run upSo i feel this will go to the 4 hr OB. My reasoning is there's very little buy volume, the OBV is very low even though the price climbed a bit, and the RSI is below 50 still, so still bearish imo. But the market has its own ideas so be wary and watch closely. Make money my friends!
META Double Top? Think Again. Hello, my name is The Cafe Trader.
As part of our MAG 7 Series, we tackle META next on the list.
This article is for:
– Long-Term Investors
– Long-Term Hedges
– Swing Traders
– Options Traders
⸻
Brief Notes:
1. Meta is going all-in on AI, integrating it across all platforms (Instagram, Facebook, WhatsApp…).
2. 97% of Meta’s revenue still comes from ads. They’ve rebounded strongly from Apple’s policy changes—thanks in large part to AI targeting.
3. Meta is thinking long-term with AR/VR.
4. International user growth has exploded.
Conclusion: Bullish winds continue to blow behind META.
⸻
Long-Term Levels
• Aggressive Buy = $701.59 → Marked as “Top of Demand.” This is where aggressive buyers are looking to add.
• Good Value = $626–$635 → Marked “Bottom of Demand.”
• STEAL = $496–$501 → Marked “Extreme Demand.”
Why not buy at the ‘Heavy Demand Zone’?
Great question. If bears take out those buyers above this zone, it suggests something major has shifted in sentiment around META.
Even though there’s heavy demand here, I’d want to observe how sellers approach the area. You’ll likely get multiple chances to enter if buyers defend it. But if it breaks down, the best pricing lies at “Extreme Demand.”
For long-term holders looking to hedge downside, I suggest a Bear Put Spread or outright puts. More on this under the Red Scenario Options.
⸻
For Traders
Let me be real—this chart is tricky.
The V-shaped recovery signals strong bullish interest. That insane rally took out a major seller, further fueling the bulls.
That said, how we pulled away from the previous ATH (all-time high) shows weakness—low buying interest, followed by a real seller stepping in.
So yeah, I’m mixed on sentiment. But I’m confident in identifying liquidity and managing exits fast.
⸻
Two Scenarios
✅ Green Scenario
– Stock:
The bounce off “Top of Demand” is a strong bullish signal. Bears will be under pressure around $729, though I expect one more rejection before we break through.
I liked the original entry at “Top of Demand.” If entering again, I’d wait for a crack below that zone and watch the close—if we recover and close above it (especially if the dip was deep), that’s a strong signal to re-enter.
Target: take partial or full profits around $729. Hold the rest for highs or a breakout.
– Options:
If you can grab the 715 Calls with 3–5 days out for under $4.50, this setup could easily hit 2–3R.
Even better if you can get closer-to-the-money contracts for cheaper.
⸻
❌ Red Scenario
– Stock:
I believe this “new seller” is a fabricated seller—likely to get squeezed.
But if no new buying interest shows up to challenge that seller, we could see pressure on “Top of Demand” and a legit correction, maybe even a broader consolidation range.
Next few days will reveal the strength of buyers.
If no aggressive buying steps in, I like the short setup, targeting “Bottom of Demand” for TP.
– Options:
Long-Term Holders:
Use 2–3% of your META share value on a Bear Put Spread or put options.
If using puts, get 2–3 weeks of time. Go as close to the money as your risk allows.
Active Traders:
This could move fast if it plays out. If you can grab a 710 Put with 3–5 days for under $1.00, hold until a big red candle (3–5%) forms.
If it keeps dragging down, roll into a new contract the following week.
⸻
Follow for more analysis and updates — and as always,
Happy Trading.
📲 @thecafetrader
GBPJPY: Pullback From Resistance 🇬🇧🇯🇵
I think that GBPJPY will pull back from a wide
intraday supply area.
As a confirmation, I see a bearish imbalance candle that
is formed after its test.
Goal - 198.51
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GBPJPY is in the Down Trend From Resistance LevelHello Traders
In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts