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Supply and Demand

GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold. We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF. We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower. This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe. ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BenFxLDN
EUR/USD CRAZZYY BULLISH BIAS (SMC Perspective) | 1H Outlook🔍 Analysis Summary: Price is consolidating above a clear demand zone after breaking previous structure to the upside. We’ve seen liquidity engineered above the swing high (marked X), followed by internal structure developing. I’m watching for a sweep into demand (grey zone) between 1.1520 – 1.1540, followed by a bullish reaction. Expecting a bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the lower timeframe to confirm continuation to 1.16340. 📌 Key Levels: Demand Zone: 1.1520 – 1.1540 Liquidity Sweep: Above recent highs (1.1596) Target Zone: 1.16340 Invalidation: Clean break below 1.1500 🗓️ Fundamental Drivers to Watch: USD Weakness – Driven by: Recent soft CPI & PPI data (cooling inflation) Increased chances of Fed rate cuts (starting September 2025) Risk-on market sentiment pushing money out of the USD Upcoming News Events: Wed 19 June – Fed Chair Powell Speaks 🗣️ → Any dovish tone supports the bullish EUR/USD case Thu 20 June – Initial Jobless Claims 📉 → A higher-than-expected print could confirm labor market weakness = USD bearish Fri 21 June – Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI (EUR & USD) → EUR strength + weak US data can fuel upside 🧠 My Plan: Watch for a liquidity sweep into demand Wait for bullish confirmation on M15 or M5 Target previous high & continuation toward 1.16340 💬 Follow for more SMC-based breakdowns. Let’s stay sharp and react, not predict. #EURUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ForexTrading #OrderBlocks #sam_trades_smc #PriceAction #FOMC #Fed #USD
Long
by sam_trades_smc
XAUUSD: The beginning of range trading.Last week, I perfectly predicted the sharp rise in the market. At the beginning of this week, XAUUSD reached a high of 3451, which is the front pressure position. Due to the cooling of risk aversion in the international market, the New York market fell back to 3373 on Monday. XAUUSD did experience a typical "news-driven callback", and the analysis of technical and fundamental aspects is very critical. The following is a professional analysis and operation suggestions for the current market: Key points and technical structure 1. Pressure level: 3450 area - The previous high pressure is effective. This is the resonance resistance area of ​​the upper track of the daily level channel + Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, and the demand for long profit-taking is concentrated. 2. Support level: 3370-3380 area - Currently falling back to 3373, here is: - 50-day moving average dynamic support - 4-hour chart previous low level support platform - Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level - If the daily closing is above 3380, the technical structure is still a healthy correction. News-driven logic - Negative factors: Geopolitical situation and peace talks ➜ Risk aversion cools down ➜ Gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset decreases. - Potential risks: The progress of peace talks may be repeated (such as the situation between Israel and Hamas and Russia and Ukraine). If the negotiations fail, safe-haven buying will return quickly. Need to keep an eye on news sources. Key signals for long-short game Long signal: long lower shadow candlestick appears in 3370 area, US dollar index (DXY) falls below 105.0 Short signal: rebound fails to break through 3400 integer mark, US bond yield rises above 4.3% Trading strategy suggestion - *Long order opportunity*: 3370-3380 light position to try long, stop loss 3355 (below the previous low), target 3400/3420. - *Short order opportunity*: 3415-3425 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 3440, target 3390. 2: Break down - Trigger condition: daily closing price <3365 The callback is upgraded to a deep correction - Target: 3340→ 3300 (psychological barrier + trend line support) - Operation: Chasing short needs to wait for a rebound to around 3400, stop loss 3420. 3: Restart the rise (probability 10%) - Trigger condition: Break through 3440 and stand firm for 1 hour - Possible driving force: Geopolitical conflict escalates/Fed rate cut expectations rise - Target: 3480 (historical high psychological resistance) → 3500 - Operation: After breaking through 3440, step back to 3425 to chase longs, stop loss 3405. Key event risks this week 1. Wednesday: US May CPI data (core CPI expected to be 3.5%) - If data > expectations: expectations of rate hikes rise → bearish for gold - If data < expectations: expectations of rate cuts come earlier → bullish for gold 2. Thursday: Fed interest rate decision + Powell press conference - Pay attention to the dot plot's hints on the number of rate cuts in 2024 (current market pricing is about 2 times) 3. Geopolitical headlines: progress in the Iran nuclear agreement, black swan risks in the French election Position management principles 1. Total risk exposure ≤ 5% of account net value 2. Reduce positions by 50% 3 hours before key events (avoid instantaneous fluctuations in CPI/FOMC) 3. Breakout strategy stop loss setting: 15 points outside the previous high/low to prevent burrs Conclusion: The effectiveness of the current 3373 support needs to be verified by Wednesday's CPI data. It is recommended that the London market operate in the 3370-3420 range and reduce positions before the US market to wait for data guidance. If you hold long positions, 3380 is the last line of defense; if you hold short positions, consider taking profits in batches above 3400. The medium-term bullish trend of gold has not been broken, but the risk aversion premium needs to be digested in the short term. If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management to solve your long-term loss problem, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
TVC:GOLD
by Ludvig_Band_King
WTI US OIL 17 JUNE 2025 TRADE IDEAThe WTI Crude Oil (US Oil Spot) chart shows price action still trading within a long-term descending channel, bounded by dynamic resistance and support dating back to mid-2022. Currently, price has bounced strongly off the $67–$58 demand zone, rallying toward the descending trendline around $76–$78, which also aligns with key historical supply levels. This area poses a significant challenge for bulls and may trigger short-term rejection. However, the recent impulsive bullish leg suggests renewed demand, possibly driven by geopolitical uncertainty and speculation of potential supply disruption. From a Smart Money Concept (SMC) perspective, WTI recently swept liquidity below the $58.69 low and formed a bullish Change of Character (ChoCH) as price broke through short-term structure levels. This confirms that smart money may have accumulated long positions in the discount zone. The rally targeting the $76.77–$78.30 range appears to be part of a mitigation move toward a supply zone, and traders may anticipate either a reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts near that level. Macro & Geopolitical Context: This bullish momentum in crude oil comes amid elevated tension between Iran and Israel, which historically injects volatility into energy markets. Any escalation could threaten oil production or export routes in the Middle East, particularly the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant percentage of global oil supply flows. Such events can drive speculative and fundamental buying in oil, pushing prices higher in anticipation of reduced supply. However, oil traders must also remain aware of OPEC+ policy decisions and U.S. inventory data, which can quickly shift sentiment. Trade Outlook: Bias: Bullish until $76–$78 zone; watch for rejection or breakout. Entry: Pullback entries between $70–$71 with bullish confirmation are ideal. Stop Loss: Below $66 or invalidation at $64 (below structure support). Take Profit: Conservative TP around $76.77; extended target at $78.30–$79.37. Alternative View: Strong rejection at the descending trendline may result in a return to the $67 or even $58 support if risk-off sentiment declines or supply concerns ease. In summary, oil is currently reacting to both technical and geopolitical catalysts. While the technical structure suggests a short- to medium-term bullish move toward the upper channel resistance, sustained upside will depend heavily on how the Iran–Israel conflict unfolds, and whether market participants anticipate further disruptions to global oil supply.
THINKMARKETS:WTILong
by karabompesi
Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook):1. Overall Trend (Short-Term): From early June onward, the trend has shown a clear upward movement, especially after June 11, suggesting bullish momentum. However, in the most recent candles (last 24–36 hours), there is a consolidation/sideways movement, potentially indicating a pause or reversal. 2. Key Support and Resistance Zones: Resistance Zone: Around 3,460–3,470 (the recent high before price pulled back). Support Zone: Near 3,380–3,390, previously tested before the last push upward. 3. Price Structure & Patterns: There was a strong rally from June 11–13, followed by a pullback and consolidation. This could be forming a bullish flag or pennant, which often precedes a continuation upward if confirmed by volume or breakout above resistance. 4. Recent Candlestick Behavior: Current candles are small-bodied with wicks on both sides — this suggests indecision or low momentum, often found before a breakout or reversal. 🧭 Potential Scenarios (Neutral Outlook): Bullish Continuation: A breakout above the recent high (~3,460) could resume the uptrend toward 3,500+. Bearish Reversal: A drop below the 3,380 support area could trigger a correction toward 3,340 or lower. 📌 Note: Watch for upcoming economic events marked on the chart — especially those with the U.S. flag, as USD news often significantly affects XAU/USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Sienalunaz
BTCUSD – Range Scalping Zones IdentifiedPrice tapped into a previous short zone near 108.6 and showed rejection. We’re watching for downside follow-through toward the 104.2 to 104.5 range where a potential long opportunity may form. This chart outlines clean range-based levels for scalping. These zones line up with prior liquidity sweeps and local structure shifts. Scalpers can look to react at these levels depending on how price behaves when we get there. Ideal for traders on lower timeframes like the 15m, but the concept applies across intraday setups. Always wait for confirmation before entering.
by RickyTSpanish
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would want the lower level red box to be tested and rejected in order to give us the move upside into that 3330-35 region where we wanted to monitor the price for the short. We managed to get a pin point move, however, we had to exit the short trades early due to the support level holding us up. We then continued to follow Excalibur and the red box indi’s which were suggesting higher pricing and by the end of the week we had completed all our bullish above target levels, plus Excalibur trade targets and LiTE again performed at 100% accuracy. A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade, analysis and post on. So, what can we expect from the week ahead? For this week we can expect some gaps on open which is going to make it difficult due to skewed data. We will however stick with the red box levels and the tools we have to make a plan for the two scenarios we may see potential of. Scenario one: Price opens and gaps upside, we’ll be looking for the levels of 3455-60 for a potential reaction in price, if achieved, an opportunity may be available to short there back down into the 3450, 3443 and 3435 levels. Scenario two: If we do open and gap downside, we’ll look for the levels of 3430-23 to hold us up, and if achieved, an opportunity to long there back up into the 3450-5 level and in extension of the move 3465 may be available. It’s a difficult one again as no one knows how the market is going to open and what is going to happen. So we’ll update traders as much as we can during the day and the week with KOG’s bias of the day and red box target levels KOG’s bias of the week: Bearish below 3465 with targets below 3425, 3420, 3410 and 3406 Bullish on break of 3465 with targets above 3477, 3485, 3492, 3495 and 3503 Red Boxes: Break above 3435 for 3443, 3448, 3465 and 3476 in extension of the move Break below 3420 for 3410, 3406, 3397, 3385 and 3380 in extension of the move Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades. LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
9
DXY Market Outlook: Eyes on 99.392Hello Traders, DXY found buyers at the 97.921 level we tracked last week and managed to close daily candles above this level. We can now refer to this area as a rejection block (D + RB). This week, the block was retested and encountered rejection from buyers. With this buyer reaction, our target is the peak level of the consolidation that brought the price here (99.392). There's a minor level to watch along the way: 98.586. However, considering the key level where the price reacted and the weekly chart showing no major obstacles ahead, we believe that targeting the peak of the consolidation that initiated the last decline (99.392) is the more suitable approach. Taking news data into account—and more importantly, geopolitical factors and unexpected developments—we still acknowledge the possibility of the price sweeping the low again. However, we don’t expect this to invalidate the overall scenario. With news catalysts, we anticipate the price reaching the target within the week. Until the next update, wish you many pips!
TVC:DXYLong
by FundedTraderMarkets
EURUSD: Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis: Global leaders gathering at the G7 summit in Canada has boosted investor risk appetite, favoring a stronger euro. The U.S. Federal International Trade Court’s ruling that Trump’s tariff actions were illegal has weakened the U.S. dollar to some extent. Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart): Overall trend is neutral with a slight bullish bias. Bollinger Bands move horizontally, while short-term moving averages show signs of forming a bullish arrangement. The MACD has formed a death cross, but green momentum has flattened. The RSI has risen to around 50, and the KD indicator forms a golden cross with upward divergence. Trading Strategy: Initiate light long positions near 1.1450, setting a stop-loss below 1.1400 and targeting around 1.1550. buy@ 1.14300–1.14500 TP:1.15500-1.15800 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
Long
by MonicaLongman
EURUSD Has breakout the ascending channel bullish strong now EURUSD Breakout Alert! EURUSD has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish momentum from the key support level at 1.15100. 📈 Technical Outlook (4H Time Frame): 🔹 Key Support: 1.15100 (confirmed bounce) 🔹 1st Resistance Target: 1.16300 🔹 Bullish Order Block: 1.12900 – strong demand zone below This breakout signals potential continuation to the upside. Stay tuned as price action develops! 🔥 📌 Like, Follow, Comment & Join us for more real-time updates! Trade smart, stay informed 😜 — Posted by Livia
Long
by LIVIATRACK
GBPJPY Selling strong from bearish order block📉 GBPJPY Technical Outlook – 4H Chart GBPJPY has been respecting the ascending channel, but we’re now seeing selling pressure emerging from a bearish order block near 196.100. 🔻 Short-Term Bearish Bias Key Technical Targets: 🔸 1st Target: 194.200 🔸 2nd Target: 192.300 📌 Potential Reversal Zone: Bullish order block spotted around 190.200, watch for possible reaction there. Stay sharp, trade safe! 💬 Like, Follow, and Comment your thoughts – 🔔 Join us for more timely updates and setups! — Livia 😜
Short
by LIVIATRACK
3
EURUSD PO3If a range forms in this area with distribution into HTF supply, there is a chance of a bearish PO3. One target for this could be the range demand starting in 2022. It is too early to predict this local distribution, as this has only been the first deviation. However, if it does not exceed the deviation limit and the supply, I will continue to monitor it. Starting in January 2025, there was a bullish PO3 that has already reached its technical target. However, it could expand further, invalidate this setup, and keep this demand for later. I will either discard or update this idea depending on developments.
by ramon_markiewitz
EURUSD: Potential Rebound at Key Point Within Ascending ChannelOANDA:EURUSD is moving within a clearly defined ascending channel, with the upper boundary acting as long-term resistance and the lower boundary providing dynamic support. The price has respected this channel, with multiple touches on both the upper and lower boundaries, reinforcing its structure. The recent pullback has pushed the price back to the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in. If buyers manage to defend this support level, we could see a move towards the upper boundary of the channel near 1.17650. However, failure to hold the trendline support may weaken the bullish outlook, potentially leading to a breakdown and further bearish pressure. Price action around this key area will be crucial in determining the next directional move. Traders should monitor candlestick patterns and volume for confirmation. As always, effective risk management is essential when trading this setup. If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Long
by Jessica_Paul
USDJPY Descending channel breakout ahead bullish strongFX:USDJPY Breakout Alert – Bullish Momentum on 4H Chart 💥 The pair has broken out of the descending channel with strong bullish confirmation. Price action is showing solid momentum and market structure shift. 🟢 Entry Level: 144.700 📍 Technical Targets: 1st Target: 146.000 (Key Supply Zone) 2nd Target: 148.500 (Major Resistance) 🔴 Stop Loss: 143.000 (Demand Zone) 📊 This setup is based on the 4H time frame, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing traders. 💬 Like, follow, and drop a comment if you’re riding this move! 💎 Join us for more updates, signals & insights. Let’s trade smart, not hard. 😜 #USDJPY #ForexSignals #BreakoutTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTrading #LiviaTrades
Long
by LIVIATRACK