AVGO Long1. Broader Market Structure
1.1 Change of Character (CHoCH)
A clear Change of Character occurred at $290.53, where price broke below a prior higher low. This was a key early signal of a potential bearish reversal, as bullish momentum began to weaken and sellers stepped in with conviction.
1.2 Break of Structure (BOS)
Following the CHoCH, a Break of Structure was confirmed at $289.29. Price broke below the prior swing low, confirming a transition to a bearish market structure and validating the developing downtrend.
2. Supply and Demand Zones
Supply and demand zones are pivotal in understanding institutional behavior and predicting likely areas of price reaction.
2.1 Demand Zones (Green)
These zones mark levels where buying pressure has historically been strong, often signaling areas of institutional accumulation.
Zone A: $276.00 – $277.50
Most recent reaction zone with a long lower wick on July 23.
Indicates strong buy-side interest and likely first level of defense if price pulls back.
Zone B: $270.00 – $272.50
A deeper demand zone, formed around July 14–15.
Represents a base for the previous bullish rally and acts as a swing-level support.
Zone C: $269.00 (extreme low)
A structural low marking the last major demand level before a trend breakdown.
A violation here would shift sentiment toward a longer-term bearish outlook.
2.2 Supply Zones (Red)
These are areas of historical selling pressure, often aligning with distribution phases or resistance from unfilled institutional sell orders.
Zone X: $282.50 – $284.00
Formed during the sharp selloff on July 22.
The first upside resistance where sellers may re-enter.
Zone Y: $288.00 – $290.53
High-timeframe supply aligning with the CHoCH and swing high.
Significant distribution zone that must be broken decisively to confirm bullish reversal.
3. Price Action Within the Bordered Region
Price is currently trading around $279.58, just above the local demand zone.
Expecting a pullback into the $276–$277.50 zone (Zone A), allowing liquidity collection and re-entry from institutional buyers.
If this demand zone holds and price forms a higher low, a bullish continuation is likely—targeting the $282.50–$284.00 supply zone.
A further break above this area could attempt to revisit the macro supply at $288–$290.53.
Invalidation: A clean break and close below $276.00 would expose the price to deeper downside into Zone B or Zone C.
Supply and Demand
EURCHF Price Is looking UpHi there,
The EURCHF looks bearish at the M30, with the first resistance target potentially being 0.93319. I anticipate for the price to reach above area (B) into the 0.93419 price area for a potential push up to the 0.93488 area, and if momentum is strong in the higher time frames, then the bias is set for 0.93578.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
ADA Spot Entry – Pullback Opportunity AheadADA has reached a major resistance zone, and with the broader market appearing overbought, a healthy pullback looks likely. We’re watching for a dip into the next key support area to accumulate for spot holdings.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.75 – $0.77
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $1.00 – $1.15
o 🥈 $1.50 – $1.60
• Stop Loss: Just below $0.72
Gold Takes Flight, But Will Support Hold? Watch This Zone!Gold has broken its key resistance level in the New York session and, at the same time, has taken support from the trend line, which is pushing it upward. Currently, however, gold has also broken through another minor support level, and we can now observe that it is pulling back and moving downward.
It is advisable to remain patient at this stage. Wait for the market to come down to the zone where the previous resistance has now turned into support. If the price reacts positively at that level and shows signs of holding, we could potentially see a good buying opportunity from there.
As always, please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. This is not financial advice.
SPX500 Near ATH | Earnings Week Could Fuel Next MoveSPX500 | Weekly Outlook
The S&P 500 continues its bullish run, trading at record highs as investors await a critical week of tech earnings. Reports from Alphabet and Tesla could be key in justifying the lofty valuations driven by the AI boom.
Technical Outlook:
The price is expected to consolidate between 6341 and 6283 before any decisive move. A short-term bearish correction may occur initially, but if the price holds above the support zone, a push toward a new ATH at 6341 is likely. A breakout above this level could extend gains toward 6375 and 6393.
However, a break below 6283 would indicate weakness, potentially driving the price toward the demand zone near 6250 and 6224.
Support: 6283 · 6250 · 6224
Resistance: 6341 · 6375 · 6393
PUMP N DUMPGrabbed shares at .41 just looking for a gap fill see what happens if we get there i believe a PnD group has sent this on an impressive rally before and are looking to do it again, tight stop recommended. Daily and weekly rsi look good for a move only thing that would crush this further right now is a reverse split as I belive they've already completed a couple offerings recently.
GBP/USD Pair Technical Overview!The GBP/USD pair is trading in a general upward trend after seeing some pullbacks due to the renewed strength of the US dollar. However, it failed to close below the 1.33649 level on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes, thus maintaining a positive outlook.
The next target for this pair is at the 1.3690 level. The bullish scenario will remain valid unless the price breaks below the 1.33649 level and creates a daily candle close beneath it.
Simple Swing Trading Strategy with Smart Money Concept Explained
I will share with you the essential basics of swing trading forex gold with Smart Money Concepts.
You will learn how to do swing trading with the best SMC strategy.
I will teach you to c ombine order blocks, liquidity zones and imbalances to spot accurate entries and confirmation signals.
If you just started learning swing trading Forex with Smart Money Concepts, I strictly recommend trading with the trend only.
The cases and examples that we will discuss will be strictly trend-following ones.
Swing Trading with SMC in Uptrend
For swing buying any forex pair, we will look for the market that is trading in a bullish trend.
To confirm that the market is rising, you will need to execute structure mapping and find a forex pair that updates Higher Highs HH and Higher Lows HL.
Above is the example how I confirmed that GBPUSD is bullish with structure mapping. You can see that the pair consistently updates the highs.
Once you identified a bullish pair, your next step will be to find the zone from where the next swing move will follow.
According to the rules, the market remains in uptrend till the price is staying above or on the level of the last Higher Low HL.
Here is such a zone on GBPUSD.
It is based on the last Higher Low and current price levels.
We will assume that buying orders will concentrate within that area and from that a bullish rally will follow.
The problem is that this area is extremely wide, and we can not just buy randomly within.
Our next step will be to find liquidity zones within.
To buy, we need demand areas.
I found 4 price action based historic demand zones on GBPUSD.
We will need to wait for the test of one of these zones and then wait for an order block - a place where smart money are placing their buy orders.
The problem is that we don't know in which of these areas the order block is, so we will need to wait for tests of these zones and a consequent imbalance to confirm it.
To confirm a bullish imbalance for swing trading Forex, I recommend analyzing a 4H time frame after a test of a demand zone.
According to Smart Money Concepts, a bullish imbalance can be any sign of strength of the buyers : bullish breakout of a vertical/horizontal resistance, change of character, high momentum bullish candle, bullish price action pattern, etc.
An order block on GBPUSD was confirmed with a breakout of a resistance line of a falling channel on a 4H time frame.
That was the signal that Smart Money are buying, and that is your signal to open a swing long trade.
You place a buy position then with a stop loss below the order block and a target - at least a current high.
Swing Trading with SMC in Downtrend
For swing selling any forex pair, you will need to find a market that is trading in a bearish trend.
I suggest applying structure mapping to identify such a pair.
It simply should update Lower Lows LL and Lower Highs consistently.
USDCAD is trading in a bearish trend.
Structure mapping helps to easily confirm that.
Then, we will need to identify the zone from where the next bearish wave will start.
According to Smart Money Concepts structure mapping rules, the market remains bearish till the price is staying below or on the level of the last Lower High LH.
That's such a zone on USDCAD.
It is based on current prices and the last Lower High.
We will assume that selling orders will be distributed along the entire lenth of our zone.
Of course, we can not sell randomly within that zone because it is relatively extended.
Our next task will be to find liquidity supply zones within.
I found 2 price action based supply zones within our underlined area.
Before we sell, we will need to find an order block.
A place from where smart money are selling big.
To spot that, I suggest waiting for a test of one of our supply zones and wait for a bearish imbalance on a 4H time frame.
According to SMC, a bearish imbalance can be a bearish high momentum candle, a bearish CHoCH, a bearish price action pattern, a bearish breakout of a horizontal/vertical support , etc.
You can see that a lower supply zone was tested on USDCAD.
Our bearish order block confirmation is a bearish Change of Character, a formation of a high momentum bearish candle and a breakout of a rising trend line.
After that we can open a swing sell position and expect a bearish movement at least to a current low.
Stop loss should lie strictly above the order block.
TP should be at least a c urrent low.
That is how a trade should be executed on USDCAD pair.
Remember that there is no guarantee that the order block will be within a liquidity zone. You should learn to track the signs of smart money and their operations.
A proper combination of a trend analysis, liquidity zones and order block is the essential basis of a profitable swing trading Forex.
Mastering that, practice recognizing the imbalances and confirmations for spotting the best swing trading entries.
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Nifty levels - Jul 24, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis:Gold is currently retesting the $3,440 zone — a key level for the next move.
🔹 Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks and holds above $3,440, we may see a continuation toward $3,455, where a pullback or bearish correction could occur.
🔹 Bearish Scenario:
If selling pressure increases and the price breaks below $3,420 with confirmation, a move down to retest the $3,385 area is likely.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research before making any trading decisions.
XAU/USD 23 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Head & Shoulders Pattern Spotted in PayPal Holdings IncHead & Shoulders Pattern Spotted in PayPal Holdings Inc.
A Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern has been identified in PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL), but unlike the traditional bearish reversal setup, this could be an inverse Head & Shoulders, signaling a potential bullish turnaround.
Key Observations:
1. Left Shoulder – A decline followed by a rebound.
2. Head – A deeper low, then a recovery.
3. Right Shoulder – A higher low, suggesting weakening selling pressure.
4. Neckline Break – A decisive close above the resistance (neckline) confirms the bullish reversal.
Price Projections:
- Support at $55 – This level has held strong, acting as a critical demand zone. A bounce from here could fuel the next rally.
- Upside Target at $93 – A successful breakout above the neckline could propel PYPL toward $93, representing a ~40% upside from current levels.
Why This Matters for Traders:
- Bullish Momentum – The pattern suggests that sellers are exhausted, and buyers are stepping in.
- Volume Confirmation – Increasing volume on the breakout would strengthen the bullish case.
- Market Sentiment Shift – If PayPal sustains above key resistance, it could attract institutional interest.
Trading Strategy:
- Stop Loss – Below $55 for risk management.
- Target – $93, with interim resistance near $75 and $85.
Final Thoughts:
While technical patterns are not foolproof, the inverse H&S in PYPL suggests a potential trend reversal. If the breakout holds, $93 could be the next major target, making PayPal an interesting watch for swing traders and investors.
GU 23/07Yesterday our OF changed on the M15 aligning with the H4 trend, I have established H4 as bullish, at the moment in the M15 we have swept a low and broken supply so I want to monitor price as it comes back into my M15 demand in order to look for longs where we start to see LTF OF align with the M15 and H4 trend
CHFJPY Looks Toppy… Is a 500 Pip Crash Coming?CHFJPY Has Exploded Past 180 — But Is the Top Already In?
After blowing clean through the key 180 resistance level, CHFJPY has continued surging into July — a month historically known for thin liquidity as traders hit holiday mode. These low-volume environments often lead to exaggerated price moves, much like we see in late December.
From a structural standpoint, this pair looks seriously overextended and ripe for a sharp pullback — with potential downside targets around 180 and 178 over the coming weeks.
If I were a bull, I’d want to see a clear break and weekly/monthly close above 186 before considering further upside.
As it stands, I’m gradually building into a short position, eyeing that 180 handle as my first key level.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments — agree, disagree, or seeing something I’m not?
*This is my personal analysis shared for educational purposes only. Always do your own research — never blindly follow anyone’s trades.*
USDCHF – Two Levels, One PlanWe’re watching two key resistance zones for a potential short.
If the first level holds and gives a signal, we’ll short from there.
If that level breaks, we may switch to a short-term buy up to the next level.
Once price reaches the second resistance, we’ll be ready for another sell opportunity.
No predictions — just following the flow.
Apple (AAPL) — Expected 20% GrowthThe fundamental outlook for Apple stock remains positive: the upcoming fall presentation and anticipated AI-related announcements are driving bullish sentiment.
Technical picture:
The price has broken through a key trendline, signaling a shift in momentum toward growth.
Near-term target: a move toward the 225.0 level.
Next step: a possible pullback to 214.0 for a retest of the support level.
Long-term scenario: after the correction, I expect a rise toward 250.0, which could bring approximately 20% growth within 1–2 months.
This growth potential may coincide with Apple’s upcoming earnings report and further AI news.