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Supply and Demand

Crude oil pullback bullish trend 💡Message Strategy Saudi price cuts and OPEC+ supply adjustments affect market sentiment Crude oil came under pressure in the middle of the week after Saudi Arabia cut its July sales price to Asia to the lowest level in nearly two months. This follows OPEC+'s decision to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, indicating that major oil producers are still prioritizing market share even amid volatile demand signals. This coordinated move by Saudi Arabia and Russia is seen as an attempt to constrain overproducers and strengthen control over global supply dynamics. Refineries drive crude stock draw, but fuel demand lacks Weekly data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) delivered mixed messages. U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 4.3 million barrels to 436.1 million barrels, driven by a sharp increase in refinery runs, exceeding expectations. Utilization rose to 93.4%, indicating that refineries are preparing for a seasonal peak in demand. Adding to the bullish signal from the crude stock draw. 📊Technical aspects On the technical side, the daily chart of WTI crude oil shows that oil prices have been under pressure for three consecutive trading days and are currently trading above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reflecting the dominance of short-term bullish sentiment. The MACD indicator shows a dead cross and the momentum column is enlarged, indicating that the upward trend is still continuing. In the previous post, we have pointed out that the upward target and trend of crude oil have been reached. The main theme of crude oil in the future will still be a bullish correction. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 62.50-63.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
2
Gold layout on the eve of non-agricultural 💡Message Strategy Gold has experienced the baptism of war, the first round of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and the stimulus of trade tariffs, and has reached a high of $3,500 in one fell swoop. What kind of support is needed for the next round to continue to rise? Obviously, on the first day, the US dollar must fall before gold can rise. The only condition for the dollar to fall is that the Fed cuts interest rates and releases the dollar. At that time, the US stock market will continue to rise and remain strong, and commodities will continue to rise. Behind this, inflation will be re-stimulated, but the premise is that the inflation problem is controllable, which is exactly what the Fed needs to balance. On the contrary, Trump hopes for superficial prosperity, which is why Trump called on the Fed to cut interest rates as soon as possible, but the Fed did not do anything. 📊Technical aspects Today's main strategy non-agricultural layout ideas ADP data is bullish for gold, and gold will rise in the short term. Once it goes sideways at a high level, even if tomorrow's non-agricultural data is positive or negative, the probability of gold changing is very high. The positive news at a high level will inevitably limit the upward momentum. In addition, near $3,400, it will inevitably trigger profit-taking. Therefore, it is unwise to chase the rise in the current situation. If the non-agricultural data is negative, gold may fall sharply. At present, around $3,370, the idea of ​​looking at a periodic correction remains unchanged. Around $3,370-3,390, the layout is still based on the high-altitude idea. 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3355-3365,3375-3395
TVC:GOLDShort
by TheodoreSilas
7
BULLS VS BEARS. WILL GOLD MATCH THE ATH?Glossary: Ged = Bearish scenario Green = Bullish scenario POI = Point of interest ATH = All time high LQ = Liquidity zone Gold since the beginning has been moving in a range and break fashion you'll see this across the board, always. A 4hr range is in the process of being formed ideally what wed like to see is for the high to be matched first. That simply would give more confidence for the bears to get in and short the market however now we sit with the though of where will it go first? preferred bias Buys to sell, ideally and the most logical outcome is the highs do get matched forming a strong liquidity zone that can be targeted at a future date, as price begins to fall new points of interest can then be formed (since there isn't a lot to target above right now), this will allow the market to have areas it can market when we see the bullish side of this range play out when ever that may be. Structure Current structure allows you to get in trades, previous structure allows you to get out of trades use it to your advantage, think. where does the money want to move next where will the banks get the best bang for their buck and most importantly where can we cause traders to LOSE, a trade you win is a trade someone else lost. so long you stick with where the big guys want to go you'll be on the right side Bullish bias (green) Key points get broken, imbalance fill, ATH matched (this is where short orders get stacked, future sweep target. Bearish bias (red) Area 1, this is the first key low im looking to break if we see a candle close below continue to area 2, there are traders who WILL get stopped out at zone 1 Area 2, this is our next key point in structure there will still be traders with open positions here also, again if we see a candle close below this zone continue to monitor for Area 3 Area 3, this may be a final target, however there's still POI's sat below if price shows strong signs of bearish momentum target Areas 4 and below can be open for discussion Conclusion personally i would like to see POI's built on the buy side as of right now before we move down simply because the market NEEDS somewhere to move from and to without that it would be erratic. If you found this helpful be sure to boost this idea, give a like and a follow, consistent charts will be posted on a weekly basis and let me know what you think down in the comment section too :)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MisterGBP
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: It's been a decent week on the markets with our path and red boxes playing well from the low to the high for the pull back trade into the region we wanted and then the long completing all but one Red box target which was missed by 20pips. With NFP tomorrow we would say caution on the markets as we can expect some pre-event ranging and MA play until the release tomorrow. For that reason, we have given the two levels of interest that we feel price will play until tomorrow's release. For now, we're not getting involved in gold until after the NFP move. As always, trade safe. KOG’s Bias of the day: Bullish above 3335 with targets above 3366✅. 3373✅ and above that 3390✅ Bearish on break of 3335 with target below 3320 and below that 3210 RED BOXES: Break above 3365 for 3372✅, 3375✅, 3388✅ and 3406 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3335, 3330, 3326 and 3307 in extension of the move
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
16
XAGUSD(SILVER):To $60 the silver is new gold, most undervaluedSilver has shown remarkable bullish behaviour and momentum, in contrast to gold’s recent decline. Despite recent news, silver remains bullish and unaffected by these developments. We anticipate that silver will reach a record high by the end of the year, potentially reaching $60. There are compelling reasons why we believe silver will be more valuable in the coming years, if not months. Firstly, the current price of silver at 36.04 makes it the most cost-effective investment option compared to gold. This presents an attractive opportunity for retail traders, as gold may not be suitable for everyone due to its nature and price. Silver’s price has increased from 28.47 to 36.25, indicating its potential to reach $60 in the near future. We strongly recommend conducting your own analysis before making any trading or investment decisions. Please note that this analysis is solely our opinion and does not guarantee the price or future prospects of silver. We appreciate your positive feedback and comments, which encourage us to provide further analysis. Your continuous support over the years means a lot to us. We wish you a pleasant weekend. Best regards, Team Setupsfx
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
2
EURUSD - Look for Short (SWING) 1:2.5!Price has formed an ascending channel on the higher time frame, currently consolidating before potentially entering a distribution phase. A breakout could occur in either direction, but if the chart pattern plays out as expected, we may see a break below the key support level. Let’s aim for at least TP1. Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Short
by S-Fx_
False Breakdown? BTC Eyes Rebound From Demand Zone!Bitcoin has broken below its strong rising trendline, but this move could well turn out to be a classic seller’s trap. Despite the breakdown, BTC is currently holding above the key breakout zone, which has historically triggered strong rebounds. The price is also sitting right inside a previous "accumulated & explode" demand zone — an area where buyers have consistently stepped in. If BTC manages to hold this zone, a sharp rebound could follow, trapping late sellers and driving price higher. However, if the support zone fails, we could see deeper downside. For now, this is a critical pivot — watch price action closely to see if bulls defend this level or if sellers gain control. If you liked it, do comment and follow us for regular market updates. THANK YOU
Long
by unichartz
BTC NEW UPDATE (4H)After dropping toward the 100K zone and sweeping the liquidity pool, Bitcoin has made a strong rebound to the upside, putting high-leverage short positions at risk. However, it is now approaching a supply zone that could potentially push the price back down toward the 98K area. If the market maker intends to drive the price lower and trigger a bearish scenario, this is the zone to do it from. Let’s see what happens. A daily candle close above the invalidation level ($107,000) would invalidate this analysis. Let’s see how Bitcoin reacts to the red box. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
4
THE KOG REPORT - NFPQuick one today as we haven't had much time to put together the report. Instead, the red box levels are shared below and the extreme red boxes are on the chart. We have key level 3365 which needs to break as shown and key level 3345 which needs to break downside. RED BOX TARGETS Break above 3365 for 3366, 337, 3385, 3390, 3406 and 3420 in extension of the move Break below 3350 for 3345, 3336, 3329, 3320, 3310 and 3298 in extension of the move As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
4
Netflix (NFLX) RSI Bearish Divergence Setting Up Major Rever📈 Summary: Netflix has rallied +44% in just 60 days, entering a steep, parabolic move. However, technical exhaustion signs are now flashing across multiple indicators — suggesting a potential near-term top may be forming. 🔍 Key Technical Observations: 1. Bearish RSI Divergence The RSI is making lower highs (~73) while price makes higher highs → classic bearish divergence. Similar divergences in December and February led to drops of –12% and –18% , respectively. 2. Parabolic Move + Rising Wedge Price has broken out of an orderly channel and is now moving parabolically , a pattern typically unsustainable. The current structure resembles a rising wedge , often a reversal formation . 3. Volume Weakness Volume has been declining throughout the recent push , signaling weak demand behind the rally. No climactic buying — this raises the risk of a sharp drop if momentum fades . 4. MACD Losing Momentum MACD histogram has flipped slightly negative. A potential bearish crossover is brewing. 🧭 Strategy Outlook 🚨 Aggressive traders could look for short opportunities below $1,240 , where support may break. 🧠 Options traders might consider a bear call spread once a daily close confirms the wedge breakdown. 📌 Key Levels Support to watch: $1,240 (break = confirmation) Next support zone: $1,190–1,155 (EMA cluster) Critical RSI trigger: break below 65 confirms bearish divergence playing out 🧩 Final Thoughts The RSI divergence, parabolic structure , and volume behavior all align for a potential pullback . While the trend is still technically intact, risk-reward favors preparing for a reversal , especially with prior divergences leading to significant downside.
NASDAQ:NFLXShort
by fredcast80
8
Bank Nifty Weekly Insights: Key Levels & TrendsBank Nifty ended the week at 56,578.40 with a gain of 1.49% Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone: The critical range to monitor for potential trend reversals or continuation is 56,706 to 56,469 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels: Support Levels: S1: 56,113 S2: 55,639 S3: 55,053 Resistance Levels: R1: 57,065 R2: 57,543 R3: 58,133 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained move above 56,706 could trigger buying momentum, potentially driving Bank Nifty towards R1 (57,065) and beyond. ❌ Bearish Scenario: If the index falls below 56,469, selling pressure may increase, pulling it towards S1 (56,113) and lower levels. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
Nifty 50 at a Turning Point? Key Levels & Market Outlook AheadThe Nifty 50 ended the week at 25,003.30 with a gain of (1.02%) If Nifty sustains below 24,924, selling pressure may increase. However, a move above 25,283 could restore bullish momentum. Key Levels for the Upcoming Week 🔹 Price Action Pivot Zone: The crucial range to watch for potential trend reversals or continuation is 24,924 -25,083. 🔹 Support & Resistance Levels: Support: S1: 24,689 S2: 24,375 S3: 23,987 Resistance: R1: 25,321 R2: 25,639 R3: 26,032 Market Outlook ✅ Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 25,083 could attract buying momentum, driving Nifty towards R1 (25,321) and beyond. ❌ Bearish Scenario: A drop below 24,924 may trigger selling pressure, pushing Nifty towards S1 (24,686) or lower. Disclaimer: lnkd.in
NSE:NIFTY
by ALICEBLUE
XAUUSD OUTLOOK 6th, jun , 2025Hey traders Yesterday gold give us a Bullish Move grabbed Buy side liquidity from 3403 Then Waterfall started till 3339 which is our Sell side liquidity pool Currently I'm seeing Short demand zone 3356 to 3350 which is expected as market likely to respect it and gave us a short pullback upto 3380 to 3390 Trade confirmations : Buy if price is getting rejection again and again from this zone target 3380 separated in 3 TPs Stoploss zone 3345 very tight Short term today bias Must DYOR (do your own research) This Trade is Not financial advise. I'm trying to upload daily XAUUSD bias plus some scalping setups , Your opinion in comment/ dm plz Good luck #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #goldanalysis #Forextechnicalanlysis #Goldtechnicalanalysis
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by forexroyalcapital