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Supply and Demand

ETH Critical Next Few Days.Hello I am the Cafe Trader. Today we are taking a close look at Ethereum. After the Tariff news and the Jobs report, The market as a whole seems very bearish suddenly to many. Even though we do have aggressive sellers in the short term, The market is still bullish in the mid to long term. Let's take a look. Sentiment has changed A major catalyst (like the Tariffs news) can cause a change of terrain. Buyers may become more bashful, taking their foot off the gas (where the put it before). Reactions to kry levels (like "top of demand") will give us clues into how strong are they still. Short Term ETH had a huge rally, Whats does a healthy rally need for a continuation? Consolidation This brings us to the charts Top of demand gives us evidence of how convicted these current buyers still are in a market. A hot reaction = Aggressive Demand. Cold Reaction = Hesitant or lack of Demand. Todays close was a touch cold, but considering the recent bearish news and data, not terrible. Buyers are still active in this area, but since the terrain might have changed, I have given you two scenarios. Green Scenario For this to play out, we need to see buyers step in immediately. The longer ETH stays in this demand, the heavier they will become (and it's a long way down) Wait for a second test minimum. Best to get a hot reaction. If it presses into the demand zone, Cut it early. (always good to wait for a close) Entry 3,518 Stop 3,360 TP 1 3,990 TP 2 Breakout? Trailing stop? Red Scenario If we can't close above top of demand (Like tomorrow...) This is the likely scenario. I would be hard pressed to try and catch a knife this overextended. So until we identify where the new sellers are sitting, I can't give you any trades on this scenario. If you are short biased this could run all the way down to the bottom of demand. I'll keep a close eye this over the weekend and keep updates. Long Term These prices should be according to your personal sentiment on ETH. Aggressive = 3,500 Good price = on the trend roughly 2,900 - 3k STEAL = 2,200 - 2,400 That's all for ETH! Enjoy your weekend, and Happy Trading! @thecafetrader
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by thecafetrader
XAUUSD 1HR ANALYSIS🔔 XAUUSD 1H Analysis | August 1, 2025 Gold is currently consolidating inside a symmetrical triangle on the 1-hour timeframe. Price action has tightened, indicating a potential breakout scenario is near. Two key paths are highlighted: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the triangle resistance may lead to a clean push towards $3,310, and if momentum sustains, $3,334 becomes the extended upside target (liquidity zone and prior supply area). 🔹 Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below triangle support could send price toward $3,270 first. If this level fails to hold, further downside toward $3,245 is expected — a major support and demand zone. 📍 Current Price: $3,291.98 ⏳ Wait for breakout confirmation with volume and momentum before committing to direction.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HurricaneFx_
Gold Outlook – Friday August 1st | Navigating NFP VolatilityGold has been in a clear downtrend all week, confirmed on the 4H chart and pushed further by the Fed rate decision earlier this week. With NFP ahead today, I’m staying sharp and focused only on confirmed setups: 🔻 Sell Setup: Below 3274.33 First TP: 3268 (+50 pips) Final TP: 3264 (+97 pips) 🟢 Buy Setup: Above 3343 Target: 3359 (+160 pips) 🎯 This is not the day to guess — it’s about being fast, clean, and rule-based.
FPMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Thetraderscollective
renderwithme ||| XAU/USD Monthly Analysis (August 2025 Outlook) #Fundamental Analysis Gold prices are influenced by macroeconomic factors, monetary policy, and geopolitical events. Based on recent data:Federal Reserve Policy: The Fed’s decision to maintain interest rates at 4.25–4.50% in July 2025, with a hawkish tilt, has strengthened the US dollar, putting downward pressure on gold. A stronger USD typically reduces gold’s appeal as it’s priced in dollars. However, expectations of a potential rate cut in September could support gold if signaled by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Watch for updates in the FOMC statement or Powell’s comments for clues on future policy. #Economic Indicators: Strong US economic data, such as a robust labor market (jobless claims at a 3-month low) and rising consumer confidence (Conference Board’s Index at 97.2 in July), suggest increased economic activity, which could bolster the USD and limit gold’s upside. Upcoming data like the US PCE Price Index and Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in early August will be critical for gauging inflation and labor market trends, impacting gold’s trajectory. Geopolitical and Safe-Haven Demand: Reduced safe-haven demand due to de-escalating global trade tensions and geopolitical stability has capped gold’s gains. However, any escalation in conflicts (e.g., Russia-Ukraine or Middle East) or renewed trade disputes could drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Central Bank Demand: Continued central bank gold purchases could provide long-term support, but a slowdown in buying might weigh on prices. # Inflation and Currency Dynamics: Persistent US inflation supports the USD, limiting gold’s attractiveness. Conversely, a recovering Chinese economy or global policy easing could boost gold demand. #Technical Analysis Recent technical data suggests a mixed outlook for XAU/USD on the monthly timeframe:Price Levels and Trends: As of late July 2025, XAU/USD is trading around $3,291–$3,337, consolidating after retreating from a high of $3,440. The monthly chart shows a medium-term uptrend channel that began in early 2025, with support around $3,285–$3,300 and resistance at $3,355–$3,430. A decisive break above $3,355 could signal bullish momentum toward $3,500 or higher, while a break below $3,285 might target $3,130 or lower. Indicators: The 14-day RSI at 46.10 suggests neutral momentum, neither overbought nor oversold. Technical indicators show mixed signals, with 15 bearish and 11 bullish signals as of July 28, 2025, reinforcing a cautious outlook. Key Levels: Support: $3,275–$3,225 (major demand zone), $3,130 (potential deeper pullback). Resistance: $3,355, $3,430, $3,500 (psychological level). A bearish descending channel on shorter timeframes (e.g., 1H, 3H) suggests potential downside unless $3,320 is breached. Monthly ForecastBearish Scenario: If the USD remains strong due to hawkish Fed signals, persistent inflation, or robust US economic data, XAU/USD could test support at $3,275–$3,225. A break below this zone might lead to $3,130 or even $2,900 in a deeper correction, especially if safe-haven demand weakens further. Bullish Scenario: A Fed signal of rate cuts, renewed geopolitical tensions, or increased central bank buying could push gold above $3,355, targeting $3,430 or $3,500. A breakout above $3,430 could aim for $3,830, as suggested by some analysts. Expected Range: For August 2025, XAU/USD is likely to trade between $3,225 and $3,430, with volatility driven by US economic data and Fed policy updates. A monthly close above $3,430 would strengthen the bullish case, while a close below $3,225 would favor bears. Trading ConsiderationsRisk Management: Given the mixed signals, use tight stop-losses. For bullish trades, consider entries near $3,275–$3,300 with stops below $3,225. For bearish trades, enter near $3,320 with stops above $3,355. Key Events to Watch: Monitor the US PCE Price Index, NFP report, and Fed statements in early August for directional cues. Geopolitical developments could also trigger sudden moves. Volatility: The 30-day volatility is low at 0.91%, suggesting consolidation, but upcoming data releases could spark sharper moves. # Chart for the reference will give u better idea to take decisions in my views top has been made ~~ Disclaimer ~~ This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational \ educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading. # Boost and comment will be highly appreciated.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by renderwithme
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 8/1/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2025 - PR High: 23347.50 - PR Low: 23241.75 - NZ Spread: 236.0 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings - Nonfarm Payrolls - Unemployment Rate 09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Engulfing daily bar from ATH into new week lows Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 8/1) - Session Open ATR: 262.82 - Volume: 45K - Open Int: 280K - Trend Grade: Long - From BA ATH: -2.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 23811 - Mid: 22096 - Short: 20383 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2025
by mv3trader5
XAUUSD prices current scenario This chart presents a range-bound price action within an ascending channel and offers two potential breakout trade opportunities depending on price direction. 🔍 Chart Summary: > Current Price: Around 3326-3328 > Pattern: Ascending channel > Bias: Neutral (waiting for breakout) 📊 Channel Analysis: > Price is moving inside an ascending channel, marked by two parallel trendlines (support and resistance). > This suggests gradual bullish pressure, but the price is still within a consolidation/ranging structure. > Buyers and sellers are currently indecisive, waiting for a clear breakout direction. 🧠 Trade Scenarios: ✅ Buy Setup: : Condition: Breakout above the upper channel resistance : Confirmation: Break and close above channel, ideally with strong bullish candles and volume : Target: 3370 (marked as TP1 for buy trade) > Reasoning: Breakout confirms buyer dominance and momentum continuation ❌ Sell Setup: : Condition: Breakdown below the lower channel support : Confirmation: Break and close below the channel with a bearish engulfing or volume spike : Target: 3300 (marked as TP for sell trade) > Reasoning: Break below structure indicates loss of buyer control and return of bearish trend ⚠️ Key Notes: : The ascending channel suggests short-term bullish strength, but no strong trend has been confirmed yet. : Avoid entering within the channel—this is a no-trade zone due to market indecision. : Wait for confirmation of breakout/breakdown before entering trades. ✅ Conclusion: > The price is currently in a rising consolidation channel. > Breakout above = buy opportunity toward 3370 > Breakdown below = sell opportunity toward 3300 This is a classic wait-for-breakout setup—ideal for breakout traders looking for defined risk and reward zones.
TVC:GOLD
by Ahmad_Fxbeast
2
XAUUSD Price at Decision Point – Bounce or Breakdown?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading between two significant zones — a ⏫ 1H Order Block above and a 🛑 Major Support level at 3268. At this stage, price action remains undecided, and we have a few key scenarios to monitor: 🔄 Potential Scenarios: 📌 Price taps into the 1H OB, then shows signs of rejection — this could trigger a move back down toward support. ⬇️ Price drops directly to 3268, where buyers may step in for a potential bounce. 🚀 If the price breaks through the OB, it may continue pushing up toward the liquidity area around 3248. ⚠️ If support fails, we could see a deeper bearish continuation. These zones are crucial for both intraday and swing setups. Be patient and wait for a clean reaction to catch a high-probability move.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Erin_Gold_Vault
Equity Residential Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set Up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Equity Residential Quote - Double Formation * Stop Loss - *Medium Range | No Size Up | Subdivision 1 * 182 bars, 256d | Date Range Method | Completed Survey - Triple Formation * (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3 - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings * Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry And Can Occur Unevenly - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 68.00 USD * Entry At 63.00 USD * Take Profit At 56.00 USD * (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation - Continuation Pattern | Not Valid - Reversal Pattern | Not Valid * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:EQRShort
by TradePolitics
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set Up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. Quote - Double Formation * Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. Quote | Completed Survey * Stop Loss - *Medium Range | No Size Up | Subdivision 1 - 202 bars, 282d | Date Range Method - Triple Formation * (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3 - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings * Stop Loss Feature Varies Regarding To Main Entry - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 514.00 USD * Entry At 478.00 USD * Take Profit At 421.00 USD * (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation - Continuation Pattern | Not Valid - Reversal Pattern | Not Valid * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:TMOShort
by TradePolitics
Freenet AG Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set Up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Freenet AG Quote - Double Formation * (Uptrend Argument)) - *(Diagonal Shift)) | Completed Survey * Stop Loss - *Medium Range | No Size Up | Subdivision 1 - 199 bars, 279d | Date Range Method - Triple Formation * (P1)) / (P2)) & (P3)) | Subdivision 2 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition | Subdivision 3 - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) | Regular Settings - Position On A 1.5RR * Stop Loss At 30.00 EUR * Entry At 28.00 EUR * Take Profit At 24.00 EUR * (Downtrend Argument)) & No Pattern Confirmation - Continuation Pattern | Not Valid - Reversal Pattern | Not Valid * Ongoing Entry & (Neutral Area)) Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Sell
PEPPERSTONE:FNTND.DEShort
by TradePolitics
EURUSD - 31/7/25Price has reached a zone that broke the structure - see BoS on the left. Now that price is here in the zone, im not comfortable entering a buy order yet. The full bearish candle into the zone, leaves me with an indication that price may go lower. +ve: 1. Big bearish candle in to the BoS zone - price may drop lower 2. There is equal low liquidity on the left which sits just below the zone which is expected to be taken out 4. HTF direction is still bullish -ve: 1. below the equal low liquidity is an efficient zone before some imbalance 2. that imbalance may draw price to it and stop me out Second trade idea: Assuming that the first trade does not hold, then my focus will be the extreme zone where i will place a buy limit. TP: 8.86R
Long
by AlpenglowTrader