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Supply and Demand

EUR/USD – Potential Short-Term TradeTime Frame: 1H Bias: Long (Bullish Reversal Expected) Setup Type: Reversal from Flip Zone Date: May 27, 2025 🔍 Market Context: The price is currently retracing after forming a short-term lower high. It has entered a prior demand zone (highlighted box) that acted as resistance-turned-support — a classic flip zone. The market has shown responsiveness to this zone in the past (bounces seen on May 22–23 and again on May 24), suggesting strong buyer interest remains here. 📌 Key Levels: Interest Zone for Longs: 1.1300 – 1.1320 This is where buyers are expected to step in again. Look for bullish price action confirmation in this zone before entry. Entry Trigger: Bullish engulfing, strong wick rejection, or bullish divergence within the demand zone. Target Zone: 1.1424 A clean 90-pip move (approx. 0.90%) from the entry zone — aligns with the previous high and liquidity pool. Stop Loss: Below 1.1300 (e.g., 1.1288) To protect against deeper sweeps of the zone. Risk-Reward: ~1:5 Excellent R:R if price reacts cleanly from the flip zone. 📈 Trade Idea Summary: Buy EUR/USD around 1.130–1.132 Stop Loss: 1.1288 Take Profit: 1.1424 R:R Ratio: ~1:4.8 Confirmation Needed: Bullish candlestick pattern or rejection wick in the zone. ⚠️ Note: If price slices cleanly through 1.1300 without wicks or slowing down, invalidate the setup — wait for a deeper retest or a fresh demand zone to form. ⚠️ Disclaimer This post is purely for educational purposes. I am not a financial advisor, and nothing here should be taken as financial advice. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. Or at the very least, consult your cat. 🐱
Long
by johntradingwick
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 5/29/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQM2025 - PR High: 21597.00 - PR Low: 21489.00 - NZ Spread: 241.5 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - GDP 12:00 | Crude Inventories Open session with momentum break beyond 21600 - 2% value increase before London hours Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 5/29) - Session Open ATR: 455.84 - Volume: 81K - Open Int: 267K - Trend Grade: Neutral - From BA ATH: -3.7% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20383 - Short: 19246 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQM2025Long
by mv3trader5
ETH NEW UPDATE (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section This analysis is still valid. Ethereum has a liquidity pool above the chart, and just behind that pool, there is a fresh order block. After sweeping the liquidity pool and hitting this order block, the price is expected to drop toward the flip zone. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
4
XAUUSD 1-Hour Technical & Fundamental AnalysisXAUUSD 1-Hour Technical & Fundamental Analysis Gold prices have shown clear signs of exhaustion around the $3,370 level, suggesting a potential slowdown in bullish momentum. This aligns with the improving global economic outlook, which is reducing investor demand for safe-haven assets like gold, resulting in a notable pullback in price. On the 1-hour chart, we identified a well-formed Head & Shoulders pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal. The major key support at $3,280 has been tested multiple times, establishing its strength. Price recently broke below this level, confirming bearish intent and opening the door for potential further downside movement. On the 15-minute timeframe, signs of accumulation appeared, followed by a retest of the previous major support (now resistance). This behavior suggests a possible liquidity hunt, where institutional players may manipulate price to trigger stop-losses before placing large sell orders. 📉 Bearish Fundamentals for Gold Market Exhaustion: Gold is losing bullish strength around ₹98,000 ($3,370), as improved economic conditions make investors less risk-averse, reducing gold’s appeal. Federal Reserve's Hawkish Tone: The Fed plans only two rate cuts in 2025, a more cautious stance than expected. This boosts the U.S. dollar’s strength, adding pressure on gold prices. 💵 Bullish News for the U.S. Dollar Fed's Rate Policy: The Fed's less aggressive rate-cut path strengthens the USD, making it more attractive to global investors. U.S. Economic Resilience: Solid U.S. data and reduced recession fears continue to fuel dollar demand, giving it an edge over gold as a safe haven. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
VELOCITY:GOLDShort
by RebornFXTrader
[05/27] Weekly GEX Outlook for SPX⚠️ Unbalanced GEX & Institutional Hedging – A Closer Look I haven’t seen such an asymmetric GEX setup in quite a while — and it’s definitely not a pretty one 😬. The current profile suggests a highly skewed positioning in the market: 📍 Massive upside expectation: It feels like the market is almost exclusively preparing for a move toward 6000. 🛑 Limited downside protection: Below the current level, there's very little hedging in place — especially unusual with Friday’s expiry approaching. 🔻 Current Key Zone: 5925-5930 The largest put open interest is sitting right around 5925, which is also close to spot. Below that? Things get murky. The GEX profile becomes fragmented and mixed, with no clear put support until much lower. Interestingly, most of the current downside hedging is clustered around the 5900–5925 range, which includes ITM puts — not OTM, as you’d typically expect from retail. 🧠 Institutional Footprint vs. Retail This hedging pattern — closer to ATM rather than deep OTM — suggests institutional players are managing downside risk with precision. In contrast, retail traders don’t seem to be actively hedging the downside with OTM puts, which is a notable shift from typical behavior in high-IV weeks like this. 🔼 What to Watch: The 5930 Breakout If SPX can break and hold above 5930, it enters a clear, call-dominated zone. From there, the path to 6000 looks much cleaner, with lighter resistance and the potential for a gamma-driven push 📈. The details show the same picture when examining more details: SPX conclusion 😬 In short: we’re at a tipping point. Below 5900, hedging is tactical and institutional. Above 5900, the path is open to 6000 — but only if bulls can take control at 5930!
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
NVDA GEX Earnings Outlook by OptionsNVDA reports earnings this Wednesday, and it’s a big deal. A major move could impact both the indexes and broader tech sector. The OTM 16 delta curve essentially overlaps with both the GEX profile and the expected probability zone — signaling strong confluence. 📈 Rising IV with falling call skew: Volatility is rising into earnings, while the call skew is dropping — a sign of growing interest in downside hedging/speculation. 🔷 Key inflection zone (129): Above 129, the market is unlikely to surprise. Below it, however, a domino effect could trigger increased volatility and put-side flows. Implied move into earnings is 6.62%, reflecting binary risk expectations from the options market. Strong gamma squeeze territory exists between 140–145, with significant call wall buildup around 140. The nearest expiry shows a positive net GEX — supporting short-term mean-reversion or hedging flow stability above 129, at least until the earnings print. 🔴 Downside risk scenario: In the event of a downward move, the market is most heavily hedged around the 125 level, which aligns with the deepest put support. 💡 Wheeling Opportunity Idea ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term), this might be a great time to start the wheeling strategy. Because earnings inflate volatility, you can sell a near-term cash-secured put (CSP) for solid premium — even on a 53DTE (July) option. Based on current GEX levels, we’re seeing: -Support (squeeze zone) around $125 -Call resistance around $140 -A potential upside squeeze extending to $145-$150 These align roughly with ~20 delta OTM options, so the premium is attractive. How would I personally start this: Sell a CSP for May 30 with the intention to get assigned if NVDA drops. If I do get assigned, I’m happy to own shares. Then, I sell a 60DTE covered call right after to collect another round of premium. If I’m not assigned, I sell a new 45–60DTE put the following week — still benefiting from the relatively high IV. 👉 Remember: High IV = synthetic time value. With this two-step method, you can harvest premium twice in quick succession. I used the same technique with NASDAQ:INTC , and it’s been performing well. 💥 ONLY IF you want to own NVDA long-term around the $130 level (even if it drops short/mid-term)!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TanukiTrade
GBPJPY Ascending channel breakdown selling from supply zone📉 GBPJPY Analysis – 4H Timeframe by Livia 😜 We’ve seen GBPJPY break below the ascending channel, confirming downside momentum. Price has already completed a textbook retest of the supply zone around 196.000, showing strong rejection. 🟢 Sell Entry Activated: 195.800 This level aligns perfectly with the breakdown structure and prior support turned resistance. 🎯 Technical Targets: 1️⃣ First Target – 192.600 (key structural support) 2️⃣ Second Target – 190.600 (major swing low & potential demand area) 🔍 Outlook: Bias remains bearish while price holds below 196.200. Expect increased volatility near 193.000 but momentum favors continued downside. Risk wisely, trade smart. Let’s ride this wave 🌊 #GBPJPY #ForexTrading #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #LiviaTrades
Short
by LIVIATRACK
1
Xauusd up trend breakdown ahead sell stron📉 OANDA:XAUUSD Technical Breakdown – 1H Timeframe Gold has broken below the uptrend structure, signaling a strong bearish momentum. We're now entering a SELL position at 3296, aligned with current technical signals. 🎯 Target Levels: ▫️ 1st TP: 3255 ▫️ 2nd TP: 3220 ▫️ 3rd TP: 3170 ▫️ 4th TP: 3135 🔍 Price action confirms the shift, and momentum indicators support downside continuation. Stay sharp and manage risk accordingly. Trade smart, – Livia 😉
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LIVIATRACK
3