Positive market: OIL rises sharply - Important area to watch forThe recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East has had a strong ripple effect across all commodities market. Just as we observed with Gold, it’s no surprise we’ve seen oil prices climb as well, given this uncertainty.
If you’ve seen my latest Gold analysis, you’ll understand how market sentiment has turned uneasy, and in times like these are what people trust when everything else feels risky. And naturally, with everything going on, Gold is seeing stronger demand again, and I expect the price to steadily climb and reach new highs because the momentum is unmistakable.
On Friday the 13th, oil prices spiked abruptly before pulling back slightly, showing just how sensitive the market is to potential supply disruptions. What’s fueling this rally is obvious, and it’s the fear around supply from such an important oil-producing area. This creates a great opportunity to take a position.
As you can see in my analysis, the price has recently broken above a key resistance zone and may come back for a retest. If this level holds as support, it would really confirm the bullish bias and make the move towards my anticipated target of 77,50 high probability, towards the next resistance zone level at 77,50 and 79,50.
If the price remains over this support zone, my bullish outlook stays the same. But, if it doesn’t hold above this level we could see a slight pullback before another definitve move up.
In such times, it’s important to watch price action closely especially near key technical levels, and let the market show your next move.
Support
GBP_CAD RISKY LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 1.8380
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 1.8426
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
ZONE SNIPER SETUP (BEARISH)BTC/USD Supply Zone Reaction Expected...!
Current price action is retracing toward a well defined supply zone between 107,016 and 108,576, an area of previous institutional selling. The expectation is a potential rejection from this zone, leading to a continuation of the broader downtrend.
If price taps into this supply and fails to break above, short opportunities become favorable targeting:
Intermediate support at 104,000.
Final target at 101,565, aligning with prior liquidity sweep.
Invalidation occurs on a strong close above 108,576.
#BTC/USD, #FOREX, @VeloraFXReal
BTCUSDT Update — Big Macro Forces In Play!!Hey Traders!
If you’re finding value in this analysis, smash that 👍 and hit Follow for high-accuracy trade setups that actually deliver!
Bitcoin once again testing key support levels as global tensions continue to fuel uncertainty in the markets.
Chart Overview:
BTC broke down from short-term resistance and is now retesting the major support zone between $102K–$103K. The structure still remains within a broader consolidation range, but this support zone is absolutely critical for bulls to defend.
Immediate Resistance: $106K → $110K
Immediate Support: $102K → $100K
A breakdown below $100K could trigger deeper liquidations towards $95K–$98K, while a successful defense here could push BTC back toward previous highs.
Geopolitical Impact:
Global headlines are heavily influencing risk assets right now:
🇮🇱 Israel-Iran tensions are escalating.
🇺🇸 The US is signaling stronger involvement diplomatically, adding more fear to markets.
📉 Traditional markets have already started to show signs of caution.
Bitcoin, as a risk asset, remains vulnerable to these global macro shocks in the short term.
The Game Plan Right Now:
If we see sustained support at $102K–$103K, there’s still room for a relief bounce towards $106K–$110K in the near term.
However, if global tensions escalate further, expect increased volatility with downside liquidity grabs.
Stay cautious with tight risk management. Macro headlines are still driving sudden sentiment shifts.
📊 My Bias:
Watching for potential sweep of $102K with possible reversal structure forming. Any clear reclaim of $105K may signal a local bottom.
📝 Key Takeaway:
Global narratives are bigger than technicals right now. The next few days could dictate whether BTC holds or faces another sharp liquidation event.
Stay patient. Stay disciplined. And most importantly: manage your risk.
👉 Follow for more real-time updates as we track both price action and macro headlines impacting crypto.
USDJPY Long potential setupWhat's going on?
USDJPY – Reload Zone Marked. If They Take Me Out, I’ll Be Waiting Lower.
Discipline means you don’t chase. You wait where the market must return.
Currently in 2 buys, one is an added position, then I moved my stop in from the purple line— but if those get wicked out, I’m hunting the next key demand zone just beneath 144.10. Where we'll have a textbook spring setup!
🧠 What I See:
We're forming a potential micro accumulation structure.
If the current position gets taken out, I’ll reload lower at the spring aligned with the prior reaction low + liquidity sweep zone.
🎯 Next Area of Interest:
Zone: 144.00 – 144.10
📌 Target Remains:
144.76 → 145.36
1.618 extension aligns with supply inefficiencies & range completion
---
> “Stop loss isn’t failure. It’s recon. The second entry — that’s where pros feast.”
I’m not trading emotion. I’m trading plan + precision + execution.
BTC/USDT: Sector Momentum and Decision Zone Ahead of the Fed__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
➤ Strong multi-timeframe bullish momentum, confirmed by the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator signaling “Strong Buy” across all timeframes (daily, 12H, 6H, 4H down to intraday).
➤ Major supports (102,600–104,250 $) act as the market’s anchor; the 105,800–106,100 $ resistance remains the key level to break for a confirmed further bullish leg.
➤ Volumes are weak to normal, with no recent distribution, climax, or panic/extreme behavior (ISPD DIV neutral); market remains rational.
➤ Short-term TFs (1H, 2H) are more hesitant—favoring consolidation/range, suitable for scalping or risk management rather than directional breakout trades.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
➤ Dominant bullish technical context, but facing key resistance, with macro and on-chain signaling for active caution.
➤ Opportunity: Buying pullbacks on 104,250–102,600 $, targeting extension if clean breakout above 106,100 $. Partial profit-taking into the 110–111k $ highs.
➤ Risk zone: Invalidation if there is a decisive break <102,000 $ or major red volume climax on failed resistance retest.
➤ Key catalysts this week: Fed/FOMC decision, major geopolitical events.
➤ Plan: Favour methodical accumulation pre-Fed, reinforce/swing post-announcement according to technical resolution.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
1D : Trading below broad 105,800–111,000 $ resistance, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strongly positive, normal volumes, no euphoria (ISPD DIV neutral). Healthy structure, upward bias confirmed.
12H/6H : Consolidation at major support; recent rebounds from 102–104k, no exhaustion signals. MTFTI Up but 2H-1H corrective divergence.
4H/2H : Range market, major supports defended, no breakout yet. MTFTI locally Down, indicating mild internal corrective dynamic.
1H/30min/15min : Intraday range, technical micro-bounces, weak directional bias, moderate volumes, no abnormal behavior. Scalping preferred below resistance, rigorous risk management.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong aligned buy signal across all TFs, sector environment supportive.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Key Points Summary
Strong bullish market, behavioral and technical stability.
Breakout >106,100 $ = legitimate bullish extension, 110k+ target.
Invalidation below 102k $: go to cash, wait for stabilization.
Volatility expected around (Fed/geopolitical) events: adjust sizing/stops accordingly.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Fundamental, Macro & On-Chain Analysis
Fed (FOMC June 17–18): Major breakout/volatility catalyst.
Geopolitical tensions (Israel/Iran): Risk-off spikes expected, watch liquidity zones.
On-chain: Key support at 100–102k $; no major distribution, long-term holders remain strong, options/futures point to underpriced volatility risk.
Strategy: Prefer gradual accumulation on supports, reduce exposure pre-Fed, confirm new swings post-FOMC.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Action Plan Summary
Accumulate on pullback 104,250–102,600 $, stop below 101,900 $.
Breakout >106,100 $: Target 110k–111k $, partial TP, monitor volume/volatility.
Avoid overtrading pre-FOMC or amid major geopolitical news.
Risk/Reward >2 on pullback – strict management mandatory.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion & Context Mastery
The market remains structurally bullish and supported by the combination of technical, sector and on-chain factors. However, macro/geopolitical volatility requires increased caution as the FOMC approaches. Focus on support entries, avoid chasing resistance until confirmed, and apply tight stops in this catalyst-rich context.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Gold Analysis (Bullish Bias)Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3426 - 3420
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # @VeloraFXReal
Taking profit on GE Aerospace stock to buy in lower after summerIt's clear NYSE:GE has hit overbought, it's the perfect time to take profits now. Less stress managing stocks over the summer too lol...
$196 is the 0.618 level I'm aiming to re-enter, there's also decent support near that level $190 to $200
SOLUSD 1D Chart Review1. Main Trend
Downward Channel: Price moving in wide, downward channels (black trend lines), which means that the medium and long term remains bearish.
The upper trend line is a strong dynamic resistance, the lower one – support.
2. Key Horizontal
Resistance (Resistance):
$168.32: Strong resistance level, which it has responded to many times in the past.
$183.55: Another important resistance, confirmed by historical highs.
$218.85: Further resistance with an interval obligation.
$248.30: Very strong, long-term resistance (far from the current price for now).
Support (Support):
$144.23: actually occurs close to this support – very level.
$130.99: Another potential level where price could look for a rebound.
$114.74: Strong support, last bastion of bulls near March/April low.
3. Price action (Price action)
Last candles emitted pullback from downtrend line and down to support area of $144.23.
that any attempt to grow above trend line is limited by sellers.
$144.23 level currently existing short-term support - its loss may be available in case of $131 or possibly existing.
4. Indicator
Stochastic RSI (at the bottom of the chart):
Stochastic RSI indicator stated that airlines (blue and orange) were in power (overbought) in recent devices, but suddenly started to turn down.
Currently occurs in neutral zone, however application of protection (oversold). In case of threat occurrence now, it may suggest risk of attack, but it is not yet decided.
It is worth noting whether to go to the area of 20 and start turning back - in case of a necessary necessity.
5. Scenarios for the days
Bullish (growth):
Maintaining support at 144.23 USD and hitting the downtrend line (around 160-165 USD).
Breaking the trend line and resistance at 168.32 USD will give a signal to load in the area of 183-218 USD, but for the tenth time it seems to be less important, attention given the market structure.
Bearish (fall):
Breaking support at 144.23 USD and closing below on the daily candle - the next target to 131 USD, and then 114 USD.
The downtrend channel is still working against the bulls.
6. Summary
Main trend: downtrend.
Price: Close to support, but the risk of you leaving a big one.
Key horizontals: $144.23 (short-term support), $168.32 (main resistance).
Stochastic RSI: Heading towards oversold zone, but not yet giving a clear conclusion about a breakout.
Recommendation: Observe the application of price at $144.23 and the behavior of Stochastic RSI. In case of a breakout - it is possible that they will occur.
GBPNZD Important Resistance and SupportThe pair is heading towards the resistance at 2.363, which has not been tested by the sellers, so there are still many sellers waiting in this area. The uptrend could extend to 2.276, the highest peak of last month.
If the resistance at 2.263 cannot be broken, then 2.238 is the sideway border of the pair, which helps support the price increase. When it breaks out, it confirms a reversal to the downtrend.
The price reaction zone can be noted around 2.229 before touching the strong support zone at 2.220.
Support: 2.238, 2.229, 2.220
Resistance: 2.263, 2.276
BTC gathers liquidity ahead of growth Inside the trading range Bitcoin has moved into a sell-off phase due to the situation in the Middle East. The sell-off could extend to 102500 - 100600. But as the market is trending and bullish, the support at 100600 may hold the price and allow the market to strengthen
Scenario: A false break of the resistance at 105280 is formed. Accordingly, I am initially waiting for a decline to 102500. If 102500 fails to hold the move, bitcoin could then head to the liquidity pool. A false break of 100600 may give a chance for a rise to 105200 - 108200.
JASMY Long Swing Setup – Oversold Bounce from Major SupportJASMY has seen a sharp decline in recent weeks, but price has now landed in a key support zone. With a potential bounce on the table, we’re eyeing the $0.015–$0.01355 range for a possible long entry toward resistance tests.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.015 – $0.01355
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.020
o 🥈 $0.024
o 🥉 $0.030
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.013
Gold may rise due to CPI and falling dollarMay CPI in the US rose by 2.4% - just below the forecast of 2.5%. This reinforced expectations of a Fed rate cut despite continued pressure from tariffs. The dollar is weakening, gold may gain in this situation
Gold is forming an upward structure. The fundamental background is changing and moving to the side of gold. Before the rise there may be a liquidity grab from below
Price is in consolidation. If trading shifts to the upper half of the current range, then a breakout and continued growth can be considered in this case
BTC/USD Analysis – 4H Interval (Sample Workflow)BTC/USD Analysis – 4H Interval (Sample Workflow)
Note: I do not have access to the exact 4H chart from your screenshot, so I will perform the analysis based on the current market situation and typical price zones and setups that are worth following (you can apply them to your chart in TradingView).
📊1. Support and resistance zones
Resistance: 110,000 USD
(the last local peak and the place where a strong supply reaction was visible)
Support: 105,000 USD
(the place of the highest volumes and previous bounces, supported by POC levels from your screenshot)
Next support: 103,000 USD
(important level resulting from previous consolidations)
🔍2. Trend & Price Action
Direction: In the short term, the uptrend dominates (a series of higher lows and highs), but a stronger supply wick has appeared - a local pullback is possible.
Observe: Possible correction to the nearest support zones, rebound from POC/VAL/VAH levels.
Price channels: You can draw a rectangle (channel) between 107,000 and 110,000 as the current volatility range.
📌3. Indicators
Stochastic Oscillator: Close to the overbought zone (above 75) - a signal of a possible short-term pullback.
CHOP (Choppiness Index): Low - suggests that the market has just moved from consolidation to a trend (another strong movement after the correction may develop).
📊4. Candlestick structures
Last H4 candle: Long upper shadow (a possible signal of demand exhaustion).
Watch:
Reversal patterns (e.g. pinbar, engulfing) on support/resistance zones.
🧠5. Scenarios and levels to watch
Bull scenario
Breakout of resistance 110,000 USD → possible quick move to 112,000–114,000 USD.
Condition: Increased volume and closing of 4H candle above resistance.
Bearish scenario
Bounce from 110,000 USD and drop to 107,000 or 105,000 USD.
If 105,000 USD is broken, possible retest of 103,000 USD.
BTC: Strong bullish trend, key resistance 111–112k in focus__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes (1D to 15min).
Major supports: 100335, 104940, 106743 – multi-timeframe confluence, natural risk management levels.
Key resistances: 109952 – 111949 (historical pivot zones).
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator clearly favoring "Risk On" (strong buy). Tech sector in leadership mode, favorable context.
Volumes normal to moderately elevated, no major behavioral anomalies (ISPD DIV neutral).
No significant divergence between technical and behavioral indicators detected.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall bias : firmly bullish, but tactical caution just below 111,000–112,000.
Opportunities : prioritize buys/reloads on pullbacks to 104,900–100,300.
Risk zones : clean break below 103.7k ⇒ risk of acceleration to 95.6k; invalidation if daily close <103,700$ or >2 sessions <97,100$.
Macro catalysts : Fed decision (06/18), US CPI (06/12), Trump speech (06/10); anticipate higher volatility.
Action plan : engage tactically below resistance; recommended swing stop-loss at $97,000; active management after each catalyst event.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D : Massive support 100k-103k, critical resistance 111–112k. Robust momentum and context, no behavioral overheating.
12H : Steady staircase progression, intermediate supports respected (104940–106743), healthy volumes, ongoing up-trend.
6H : Bullish background, no excessive flow or defensive behavioral signals.
4H : Resistance zone test (111949–109952), structure remains solidly up, no reversal detected.
2H : Slightly rising volumes on resistance test, no behavioral excess. Positive momentum.
1H : Active resistance test, moderate volumes. Bullish structure intact.
30min : Micro-consolidation below resistance, no excessive volume/behavior. Trend up.
15min : Volume spike on last upward move, rapid normalization. Reload possible if breakout above 110k is confirmed.
Multi-timeframe summary : Bullish confluence, no strong reversal signal as long as support at 103.7k holds.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong buy, tech sector leading, no structural risk detected in capital rotation.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Synthesis & Decision-Making
__________________________________________________________________________________
Dominant structure : BTC market structurally bullish, supported by multi-timeframe converging supports and solid tech sector.
No behavioral anomaly (ISPD DIV neutral); volumes under control; only vigilance below 111–112k due to matured seller pressure.
Macro context : Fed’s rates unchanged expected, major catalysts nearing with potential for significant volatility.
On-chain analysis : active distribution from long-term holders, critical area 103.7k–97.1k, demand must absorb “long-duration” supply.
Trading recommendation : favor buys/reloads on pullback (104,900–100,300); tactical caution under 111–112k; swing stop-loss at $97,000 advised.
BTC structurally bullish, but approaches a critical phase: robust multi-timeframe supports, positive macro momentum, no excessive behavioral exuberance. Heightened vigilance required below 111–112k due to pressure from long-term holders; dynamic risk management needed around major macro events.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Bitcoin is Super Bullish Right Now - Here is my BTC trade planSince Bitcoin is super bullish on monthly and weekly time frame, my focus is to trade trend continuation pull backs on the 4HR time frame.
For this particular trade, I want to see a pull back to a key level of either imbalance or the old high serving as new support for price.
I will be taking a bullish trend continuation setup on that 4HR pull back.
Target:
I expect to see Bitcoin break that all time high of 111k level and go as high as 150k per one.
GBPJPY: Weekly OverviewHello Traders,
Everything is clear in the chart. the yellow line is a HTF resistance.
********************************************************
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
$ENS / USDT 1D FAKEOUT ON FLAG? Incoming Pump? 📊 $ENS/USDT Perpetual Contract – Daily Timeframe Analysis
🟢 Bullish Setup
A bullish flag is forming on the daily chart — a continuation pattern indicating potential upward movement.
- Price recently entered into the golden pocket of the Fibonacci retracement tool marked from $16.881 – $25.241 on the third touch of the flag's resistance, triggering a fakeout, it now rests in the first Fair Value Gap.
- The strong wick rejection on the 3rd retest of the resistance/supply indicates bearish strength, momentarily pushing price lower.
- Despite this, the overall pattern remains valid as long as price respects the Golden Pocket and FVG zone below.
✅ If price closes above the golden pocket, it could present an excellent leveraged entry or spot position, with high reward potential off 67%.
🔴 Bearish Scenario
- So far, every test of the **4H supply zone** has resulted in rejection — showing persistent seller control at short-term resistance.
- If buyers fail to defend the golden pocket and recover the bullish trendline, the structure confirms a break. (Downtrend)
The confirmation of bearish pressure is the:
1) Large wick (Creating a shooting start candle pattern)
- Signaling bearish reversal.
2) Large Bearish Marubozu Candle.
- Indicates strong continuation of a downtrend.
3) Candle close below Trend line support.
- Showing Bears were able to successful make a major move.
🔽 In that case, we look to short after FVG confirmation and scalp down toward the daily demand zone.
📌 Patience is key. Let the price show intent before entering.
Please let me know what your thoughts are!
XRP/USD🔍1. Trend and Key Levels
General trend
In the medium term: We see a clear downtrend, marked by two wide blue trend lines (the upper line from the peak around $3.3, the lower from the local lows).
Recent weeks: Consolidation in a wide range between $2.72 and $1.98, with frequent attempts to break out.
📌2. Support and resistance levels
Green lines (resistance):
$3.16 — the historical peak of this wave, very strong resistance.
$2.72 — another strong resistance, around which the price was rejected several times.
$2.46 — local resistance, currently the price is below this level.
Red lines (support):
$1.98 — very important support, tested several times already.
$1.56 — lower support, coinciding with the lower line of the downtrend channel.
3. Market formations and structure
Declining channel: Wide channel marked by two blue lines. Price is moving in its lower half.
Short-term descending triangle: Visible at current levels – local peaks are getting lower, and support is around USD 1.98.
Volume: Volume advantage visible on descending candles.
📊4. Indicators
RSI
Currently around 40 — No clear advantage of the buyer side, slightly below the neutral zone. RSI does not give a signal of overbought or oversold.
RSI-based MA — Oscillates below the level of 50, which confirms the downtrend.
MACD
MAD and signal lines are below zero, without clear divergence.
Histogram: Slight advantage of bears – there is no signal to reverse the trend yet.
🧠5. Near-term scenarios
Bullish
Condition: Breakout above the local downtrend line (~$2.20–$2.25) and return above $2.46.
Target: $2.72 (test of resistance), further move possible to $3.16 in case of strong gains.
Bearish
Condition: Breakout and close below $1.98.
Target: $1.56 (main channel support), and even lower – lower channel line.
Sideways scenario
Further consolidation possible in the range of $2.46–$1.98, until a breakout from this range occurs.
📊6. Sentiment and summary
Medium-term trend: Down.
Buyers are weak, RSI low, MACD does not give a rebound signal yet.
Key level to watch: 1.98 USD – if it falls, the next stop is 1.56 USD.
Only a return above 2.46 USD may give the first signals of a trend change.
🧠Recommendation
For long-term players: Be careful, do not blindly catch the bottom.
For speculators: Play for a rebound only with a short stop below 1.98 USD.
For investors: Wait for a signal confirming a breakout from the channel or a clear divergence on the indicators.
Detailed analysis of the BTC/USD 4H chart🔍1. Chart Context
Interval: 4 hours (H4)
Current price: Around 104,950 – 105,400 USD
Range of recent candles: Strong rebound after a decline to around 101,000 USD.
Lower indicator: Stochastic RSI
📊2. Price Action Analysis
Market structure
Main trend (recent days): Downtrend – from the peaks of ~114,000 USD a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows.
Recent hours: Dynamic decline, followed by a quick, strong rebound from around 101,000 USD to ~105,000 USD.
Key technical levels
✅Resistance:
~105,500–106,000 USD – local peak of the last rebound wave and earlier lows from the end of May.
~108,000 USD – next key level, with a bigger upward movement.
Support:
~102,000–101,000 USD – bottom of the last movement, quick demand reaction, so-called “stop run” or false breakout.
~99,000 USD – psychological zone and important level in case of further declines.
📊3. Indicators
Stochastic RSI (bottom of the chart)
Currently: Stochastic RSI strongly overbought (above 80 points), both lines (blue and orange) are at the top and slightly curling.
Conclusion: Possible short-term correction/slowdown in growth. Overbought Stochastic RSI often precedes pullbacks, especially when testing important resistances.
🧠4. Possible scenarios
Bulls – Upside scenario:
If BTC breaks above $105,500 with momentum, a move to $106,000–108,000 is possible (another resistance and short squeeze).
The key will be the closing of the 4h candle above $105,500.
Bears – Downside scenario:
If the price does not break $105,500, profit taking and a pullback to $103,000–102,000 are possible.
Strong defense of the $101,000–102,000 level by the bulls – if it is broken again, it threatens to deepen the declines even to $99,000.
📊5. Additional Notes
Reduced Volatility: After such a strong bounce, there is often a period of “calmness” and consolidation.
Potential Traps: False breakouts for 4h and sudden changes in direction (characteristic of the crypto market).
📌6. Warning Signals
Stochastic RSI overbought – suggests to be cautious with long positions “on the top” without additional confirmation.
Lack of continuation after a strong bounce – if the price does not “reach” higher in the next candles, the risk of a correction increases.
🧠Summary:
Currently: BTC/USD in a short-term bounce phase after a strong decline. The price is approaching a significant resistance (~105,500 USD). Stochastic RSI shows overbought – possible correction or sideways movement.
Direction for the next few hours: Reactions at USD 105,500 (resistance) and ~USD 102,000 (support) will be key.
LINK Long Setup – Retrace to Key Support After Strong RallyLINK saw a strong rally from April to mid-May, and is now undergoing a healthy retracement. Price is approaching the $13.00–$13.50 support zone, offering a potential long spot entry as the market cools.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $13.00 – $13.50
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $15.00 – $16.00
o 🥈 $17.00 – $18.00
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $12.00
UCAD Bears Ready to Break 2 Month Long Falling Support??OANDA:USDCAD has been supported by a Falling Support Trend line since August 14th and here soon Price could potentially give us a Bearish Break to that Trend line!
Once a Breakout is validated, we could look for a Retest Set-Up for some Short Opportunities to take Price down to the Support Zone created by the August and September 2024 Lows.
An interesting fact to point out is if you observe the reaction of Price when it tests the Falling Support, we can see Price arc and the following reactions arc smaller, suggesting Bulls are losing strength on the push off of the Falling Support!
Price Action is being heavily driven by Fundamentals in the markets this week:
-USD-
ADP Non-Farm Employment - Previous 60K / Forecast 111K / Actual 37K
ISM Services PMI - Previous 51.6 / Forecast 52 / Actual 49.9
ISM Manufacturing PMI - Previous 48.7 / Forecast 49.3 / Actual 48.5
ISM Manufacturing Prices - Previous 69.8 / Forecast 70.2 / Actual 48.5
Unemployment Claims - Previous 239K / Forecast 236K / Actual 247K
*Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment and Unemployment Rate are to be released tomorrow
-CAD-
BOC held Interest Rates @ 2.75%
Ivey PMI - Previous 47.9 / Forecast 48.3 / Actual 48.9
*Employment Change and Unemployment are to be released tomorrow
With BOC holding Interest Rates and the Federal Reserve possibly looking to cut rates because of a "softening labor market", this could fuel CAD to overcome the pair and put Bears in control to pull Prices lower!
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