GOLD → Retest of resistance within a bearish runFX:XAUUSD breaks through the upward trend support amid a rallying dollar. Since the opening of the session, the price has been testing the zone of interest, but bears are quite aggressive...
Gold is partially recovering after falling to $3,268, a monthly low caused by the Fed's hawkish tone. The Central Bank kept its rate at 4.25–4.5% (9 votes to 2), highlighting uncertainty due to Trump's tariffs. Markets now estimate the probability of the rate remaining unchanged in September at 58% (previously 35%). The dollar's rise slowed amid concerns about the extension of the US-China trade truce and profit-taking ahead of key US employment data (after strong ADP and GDP reports). The nearest drivers are labor market statistics and trade news, while the technical picture for gold remains bearish.
Technically, on D1, the price is breaking key support zones, including the trend line, which overall only increases selling pressure on the metals market...
Resistance levels: 3310, 3320, 3334
Support levels: 3287, 3267, 3255
As part of the correction, the price has exhausted the entire daily ATR, forming a retest of the liquidity and interest zone. If the bears keep the price below 3320-3310, gold may head towards support...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Support and Resistance
Gold Rejected at 3315 – But Bulls Might Not Be Done Yet📌 What happened yesterday?
During the Asian session, Gold printed a fresh local low at 3268, continuing the downtrend that already dropped over 1700 pips in just one week. However, that move quickly reversed, and we saw a natural corrective bounce.
📈 Resistance holds firm
The correction took price back up into the 3310 zone, which acted as confluence resistance. After two taps into that area, price failed to sustain above 3300, indicating sellers are still active there.
❓ Is the upside correction over?
I don't think so. The recent drop has been choppy, lacking the strong momentum of previous legs. This type of price action often signals that we are still within a correction, not in a clean continuation.
📊 What am I watching?
I’m actively monitoring for:
• Exhaustion signs on the downside
• Upside reversal signals
My plan is to open long trades only when I see confirmation, aiming for a move back toward the 3330 zone, which could act as resistance.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Following on from the FOMC KOG Report which worked quite well, we’ll stick with the same chart and for today suggest caution. It’s the first day of the month and the last day of the weekly candle. The close here for gold is important and will give us further clues to the next few months.
We’ve shared the red boxes and the red box targets are below. There is a key level above 3306-10 which will need to be breached to correct the move back up to the 3330-34 region for the weekly close. However, we now have an undercut low which is potential if there is more aggressive downside to come and that level is sitting around the 3240-50 region which for us may represent an opportunity for a swing low. We’re a bit low and stretched here to short and as we’ve already hit our target for the day so we’ll wait for the extreme levels and if hit and our indicators line up, we may take some scalps. Otherwise, as usual on these events, the ideal trade will come next week.
RED BOXES:
Break above 3290 for 3295, 3306, 3310 and 3320 in extension of the move
Break below 3275 for 3267, 3260, 3255 and 3250 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD Update – Down Continuation to 3250?1. What Happened Yesterday
After an anemic correction that formed a bearish flag, Gold finally broke below 3300 and even dipped under the 3280 support zone — which was my primary downside target. While the move during the day didn’t have enough momentum to reach my second sell limit, I was already in a low-volume short position, so I didn’t miss the move entirely.
2. The Key Question
Has the drop ended, or are we looking at further downside?
3. Why I Expect More Downside
• The overall structure remains bearish.
• The newly formed resistance (previous support) is now the new sell zone.
• If the price drops towards 3280 again, continuation to 3250 becomes very probable.
4. Trading Plan
Selling rallies remains the preferred strategy, especially on spikes into resistance. As long as the price stays below 3335-3340 zone, the bearish outlook remains intact.
5. Conclusion
Sell the rallies. The technical picture still favors downside continuation — no need to overcomplicate it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of FOMC Update:
Thank you.
RED BOX TARGETS:
Break above 3335 for 3338, 3340, 3345, 3347 and 3357 in extension of the move
Break below 3320 for 3310✅, 3306✅, 3302✅, 3297✅ and 3393✅ in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Bitcoin - Will the liquidity at $122K be the next target?Bitcoin is currently trading within a defined corrective channel, which has been developing over the past few weeks. Price action within this structure has been characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, suggesting a mild downtrend. However, these movements lack strong momentum, indicating that the market is consolidating rather than entering a deeper correction. This kind of structure often precedes a significant breakout, and given the nature of the current price action, a retest of previous highs remains a realistic possibility.
Bullish Scenario
Looking at the overall structure of the channel, a bullish breakout seems increasingly likely. For this scenario to unfold, BTC needs to hold the midline of the channel as support. If this level is respected, it could pave the way for a push towards the upper boundary of the channel and a potential break above the lower high structure near $120,000. A successful breach of that level could trigger a move toward the $122,000 liquidity zone, with the potential to challenge the all-time high (ATH) in the near future. Holding the midline and breaking above key resistance would provide confirmation of strength and continuation to the upside.
Bearish Scenario
On the flip side, if BTC fails to hold the midline as support and starts closing below it on the 4H timeframe, we could see a renewed move toward the lower boundary of the corrective channel. This could lead to a test of the unfilled 4H fair value gap (FVG) highlighted in the chart, located around the $112,000 – $113,000 area. This zone also coincides with a strong historical support level, making it a logical area where buyers might step in and provide the momentum needed for a more sustainable bullish reversal.
Final Thoughts
While both scenarios remain valid, the price structure within the corrective channel currently leans slightly more toward a bullish outcome. The lack of aggressive selling and the potential for liquidity above the previous highs support this view. However, trading is never about certainty but about preparing for various possibilities. Being aware of both bullish and bearish setups allows traders to react with flexibility and discipline depending on how the market unfolds in the coming sessions.
-------------------------
Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like 👍 and leave a comment 💬, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
HelenP. I Bitcoin will rebound down from resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. A technical review of the chart reveals a prolonged period of horizontal consolidation, during which the price has been trading within a well-defined range between support at 114700 and resistance near 119700. This phase of balance follows a significant prior uptrend, and a major ascending trend line is currently intersecting this range. My analysis for a short position is based on the expectation of a final 'test and fail' at the top of this consolidation. I believe the price will make one more attempt to rally towards the resistance zone around 119700. A strong rejection from this area, demonstrating sellers' control, would serve as the main confirmation for a bearish bias. Such a rejection would likely initiate a powerful downward move across the range, with sufficient momentum to break the critical ascending trend line. This would be a significant structural event, signaling a potential reversal of the larger trend. Therefore, the primary goal for this scenario is logically set at the 114700 support level, the bottom of the consolidation range. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SHIB/USDT: Shiba Inu Setting Up for a Bullish Reversal?Shiba Inu (SHIB) is currently trading around $0.00001208, showing signs of stabilizing near a key support zone after a recent pullback. The market appears to be forming a rounded double bottom pattern, which could evolve into a strong W-shaped bullish reversal if confirmed with volume and breakout above short-term resistance (~$0.0000135).
This level could be pivotal for long-term accumulation.
What to Watch
*Key Support Zone: $0.00001200 - price is holding this level firmly.
*Short-Term Resistance: $0.0000135 - a breakout could confirm bullish continuation.
*Indicators: RSI is cooling off after a high, which could provide momentum for a new leg up.
SHIB may be quietly setting the stage for a powerful recovery. This support level looks like a gift for those with patience and vision. DCA smartly, monitor dips, and don’t panic, because when this pattern breaks out, you’ll wish you had loaded up earlier.
This isn't about hype...it’s about positioning. Stay disciplined. Stick to your plan. SHIB might just surprise everyone again.
DeGRAM | GOLD fixed below the triangle📊 Technical Analysis
● XAUUSD is forming a bearish descending wedge within a broader symmetrical triangle, facing rejection at 3,310 near prior support-turned-resistance.
● Repeated failure to hold above trendlines and continued lower highs favor a drop toward the 3,246.56 level, with possible overshoot if support breaks.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Rising real yields and hawkish Fed tone continue to pressure gold; ISM Manufacturing Prices and NFP loom as next volatility catalysts.
● Reduced ETF inflows and strong dollar on resilient US macro data weigh on demand for non-yielding assets.
✨ Summary
Short bias below 3,310. Breakdown eyes 3,246 → 3,200 zone. Resistance holds while trendline caps recovery.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
GOLD - Price can fall to support level and then start to riseHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
The price was consolidating for an extended period inside a wide, horizontal range.
A strong bullish impulse eventually broke the price out above the resistance of that flat channel.
This breakout move created a new significant high before sellers forcefully rejected the price downwards.
This rejection marked the beginning of the current falling wedge pattern, which has guided the price lower since.
The decline within the wedge has now brought the asset down to a critical historical support zone at $3285.
I expect that this key support will hold, causing a reversal and a new rally that targets the $3345
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin stop loss hunting end, entry for Long is now!!Hi on this chart that may happen with more than 70% possibility we have one of the easy setups and strategy which i call it FAKEOUT&LIQUIDTY this happen usually near trendline support or range zone support or even resistance and after a possible fakeout usually market kick sellers or Buyers and then with high volume market reverse.
I saw High volume and Fake breakout in my mind and i think it can be one of those times so we open long and lets now wait for this 1:2(Risk:Reward) signal to play.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
XRPUSDT → Range formation. Retest of resistanceBINANCE:XRPUSDT.P , after a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352 and the elimination of traders, has entered a correction phase. The trading range shown below has been formed, with an emphasis on resistance...
XRP previously formed a false breakout of the daily resistance level of 3.352, as indicated in the idea above. After changing its market character, the price entered a correction phase. Focus on the range of 3.00 - 3.264. A retest of resistance (zone of interest and liquidity) is possible before falling to 3.161, 3.05 or to the liquidity zone of 3.00. There are no technical or fundamental reasons for exiting the consolidation; most likely, a retest of the zone of interest may end in manipulation and a pullback to support...
Resistance levels: 3.1609, 3.264, 3.352
Support levels: 3.05, 3.00
I do not rule out the fact that a retest of the 3.264 resistance level may have a breakout structure and the price will continue to rise, but based on the price behavior pattern on D1, the market structure, and market stagnation, I conclude that at the moment, the chances of seeing a correction from resistance are higher. Further developments will need to be considered after the retest of key zones on the chart...
Best regards, R. Linda!
SILVER (XAGUSD): Time for Pullback📈SILVER appears to be oversold following yesterday's decline.
After testing a significant daily / intraday support level, there's a noticeable bullish reversal.
The price formed a cup & handle pattern on the hourly chart and has broken above its neckline. We can expect a pullback to at least 37.64.
ZORA 5-Wave Completion — 30% Crash Incoming?After exploding +1150% in just 20 days and completing all 5 waves, ZORA is now consolidating — trading sideways just under the $0.10 psychological level for the past 4 days.
📉 Current Market Structure
The current structure shows signs of a developing Head & Shoulders pattern, with price:
Trading below the daily open (dOpen) and weekly open (wOpen) → Bearish signs
Hovering near the prior daily open (pdOpen) → a breakdown here would confirm bearish continuation
🔴 Short Setup - Bearish Scenario
If ZORA breaks below pdOpen, we’re likely heading for:
0.618 Fib retracement at $0.06137 of the final wave 5
Confluence with 1.272 Trend-Based Fib Extension (TBFE) at $0.06148
This zone marks the next high-probability reaction point and a potential long opportunity if price shows a bounce or reversal.
📉 Overall Short Trade Target
The full retracement target sits between $0.0529 and $0.0514, offering multiple layers of confluence:
0.5 Fib retracement of the full 1150% move
0.786 Fib retracement of the final wave 5
Aligned with an old trading range and daily level
This makes it an ideal demand zone for patient bulls but only once price confirms.
💡 Educational Insight
This setup highlights an example of Elliott Wave Theory in action — after a strong 5-wave impulse move, markets often enter a corrective phase. The completion of wave 5, especially near key psychological levels like $0.10, often marks a local top, where price corrects toward key Fibonacci retracement zones.
Combining wave structure with confluence factors like Fib levels, VWAP, and prior trading ranges helps traders identify high-probability reversal zones — allowing for better timing, risk management, and trade planning. Always wait for confirmation before jumping into any trades.
Summary
Bearish continuation confirmed on pdOpen breakdown
First support zone: $0.0613–$0.0614
Final downside target: $0.0529–$0.0514
Look for long opportunities only on reaction + confirmation
_________________________________
💬 If you found this helpful, drop a like and comment!
Want breakdowns of other charts? Leave your requests below.
ETHEREUM (ETHUSD): Strong Bullish SignalsI spotted 2 important price action confirmations on 📈ETHEREUM:
The price has surpassed a resistance line of a bullish flag and established a confirmed change of character (CHoCH) on the 4-hour chart.
I believe the market will maintain a bullish trend, with the next resistance at the 4000 level.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Bearish Continuation Ahead?!
Gold retested a recently broken significant liquidity cluster.
I see a clear sign of strength of the sellers after its test
with multiple intraday confirmation.
I think that the price will retrace to day to 3276 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPUSD shows signs of a potential recoveryGBPUSD shows signs of a potential recovery towards the resistance zone. This price action indicates a possible short-term reversal or consolidation phase. We are currently observing for confirmation signals such as:
These could signal a build-up for a move back toward the key resistance at 1.34400. Traders should stay alert for price behaviour near this level as it may act as a turning point or breakout trigger.
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of luck buddies.
Ps: Support with like and comments like for better analysis.
Those daily +20% to +30% candles soon will appear!!Those Fibonacci levels which are last supports for healthy & #Bullish market are all touching i mean the 0.218$(0.5 #Fibonacci) & 0.202(0.61 #Fibonacci) and i think these supports are strong enough to stop the correction and soon again it will pump and even can break daily high near 0.42$ and hit targets like 0.5$ and 0.75$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚