Adjustments do not change the trend, continue to be bullishToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after reaching 3452. After repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels, it went down. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully reached the target of 3330, and secured profits. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders to stop profit near 3420. The current market is still in a bullish trend after the shock and retracement. Adjustment does not change the trend. Retracement is an opportunity. The key is to find the right entry point.
From a technical perspective, the support below focuses on the 3410-3405 area, and the key support is at 3400-3390. If the daily level stabilizes in the above area, the upward structure will continue, and the short-term is still expected to test the previous high. Short orders need to strictly control risks, and the trend of low and long is still the main theme.
Gold operation strategy: Buy gold when it falls back to around 3410-3405, and consider covering positions when it falls back to 3400-3395, with the target at 3430-3440.
For more real-time strategies, I will remind you at the key points as soon as possible,🌐 remember to pay attention!
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
Support and Resistance
MGP Ingredients | MGPI | Long at $29.57MGP Ingredients NASDAQ:MGPI has been in "crash" phase since 2023 due to lower U.S. liquor consumption, a whiskey glut, a CEO resignation, a facility closure, and a shift to higher-margin business. While currently trading near $30, the book value is at $39, forward price-to-earnings is 8x, debt-to-equity is 0.4x (low), and some insiders have been awarded stocks and options (although, selling has been rather high, too). Earnings and revenue are expected to grow slowly beyond 2025, but this year is anticipated to be the worst in some time. The low expectations may already be priced in, but time will tell. While I do not plan to be a long-term holder of the stock, the price is within my "crash" simple moving average area and the fundamentals aren't terrible. If interest rates are lowered within the next year, I believe this could begin the turnaround for the company (although slow).
Thus, at $29.57, NASDAQ:MGPI is in a personal buy zone for a swing trade.
Targets:
$35.00 (+18.4%)
$40.00 (+35.3%)
Integra LifeSciences Holdings | IART | Long at $12.39Integra LifeSciences Holdings Corp NASDAQ:IART manufactures and sells surgical instruments, neurosurgical products, and wound care solutions for neurosurgery, neurocritical care, otolaryngology, orthopedics, and general surgery. The stock has fallen over the past few years due to earnings misses / lowered earnings per share guidance, slow revenue growth, and operational challenges / recalls. But the company has been around since 1989 (endured many ups and downs during that time), has over 4,000 employees, a book value near $20 (undervalued), a forward price-to-earnings between 6x-9x (depending on the source), and revenue growth beyond 2025 and into 2028. Debt is slightly high with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.2x and a quick ratio near 0.8x (company may have difficulty meeting its short-term obligations with its most liquid assets), it is thus a risky play. But the valuation and potential turnaround should get some attention.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price has entered and exited my "crash" simple moving average area 3 times now (see green lines). While I think $10 is likely in the near-term, it appears the stock *may* be forming a bottom - especially given the book value is more than 60% from the current price. But, as always, medical device stocks are always a major investment risk, so due diligence is needed.
Thus, at $12.39, NASDAQ:IART is in a buy zone with a note regarding the potential for a dip near $10 before a move up. Targets will be kept low for a swing trade.
Targets:
$15.00 (+21.0%)
$16.50 (+33.2%)
Solid V Shaped recovery within the Parallel channel for NiftyNifty recovered sharply within the parallel channel. The reasons that can be attributed are inherent strength in the Indian market and swift recovery in IT, Infra, Metal, commodities, Realty, Mid and Small cap browsers. The closing of Nifty was at 24946 which is just above the mother line which is at 24908. The same mother line provided the support to Nifty in the last few hours of trade when there was some intraday profit booking pressure.
Nifty Supports remain at: 24908 (Mother line Support), 24836, 24690 (Father Line Support), 24555 (Channel Bottom Support) and 24480 recent low. Below 24880 Nifty will be very weak and Bears in that scenario can drag Nifty further down to 24195 or 23957. These are the levels as of now. If we go below these levels in unlikely circumstances we will update the levels once we get there.
Nifty Resistances remain at: 24973, 25106 (Mid Channel Resistance) and 25231.Once we close above 25231 we will update further levels.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold short-term strategy
📊Technical aspects
Gold technicals continued the bullish unilateral oscillation upward rhythm. The daily level closed with a strong positive for three consecutive trading days. The overall price continued the bullish unilateral oscillation upward rhythm.
Today, the market opened high at 3448, and the highest reached 3452 and then fell back. So far, the lowest fell back to 3409 and rebounded.
The current market trend is to go long on the retracement. The trend remains unchanged. Don’t be misled by the retracement adjustment.
From the 1-hour market analysis, the support below is around 3408-10, and the short-term bullish strong dividing line moves up to the 3388-93 level.
The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the same low-long rhythm. Short positions against the trend need to be cautious. There is a high probability that the short-term will continue to rush up and test the previous high.
I will remind you of the specific operation strategy in the channel, please pay attention.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:3410-3420
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps stair-stepping along the inner trend-line of the 2-month rising channel; each dip to the line (green arrows) is met with higher lows, confirming firm demand around 1.1485-1.1500.
● Friday’s break back above the former wedge cap turned 1.1550 into support; clearing the last swing high at 1.1605 would expose the channel median / fib cluster at 1.1650, with the upper rail near 1.1745 as an extension.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US retail-sales and a slump in NY Fed manufacturing pulled Treasury 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, while ECB speakers warned that further cuts “are not a given,” narrowing the rate gap and reviving euro bids.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1520-1.1560; hold above 1.1550 targets 1.1650 ➜ 1.1745. Bias void on an H4 close below 1.1480.
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Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Reach Previous ATH?!Bitcoin is above EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the specified supply range. If this range is broken, the path to the rise and a new ATH for Bitcoin will be presented.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market is required, more than we would like. If the downtrend continues, I can buy in the desired range.
Bitcoin is now approaching its all-time high, yet unlike previous bullish cycles, we have not seen widespread profit-taking so far. The market’s whales currently seem uninterested in large-scale selling at these levels and appear to be waiting for higher price targets.
Since the start of January 2024, cumulative inflows of over $60 billion have poured into crypto-related investment products in the U.S., including ETPs and ETFs. In addition, retail investor futures trading volumes have recently surpassed their one-year average. Indicators of retail activity suggest that a significant number of smaller investors have become active in the futures markets.
The total assets under management by crypto investment funds surged to an unprecedented $167 billion in May. This impressive growth was fueled by net inflows of more than $7 billion into these funds. Meanwhile, global equity funds recorded $5.9 billion in outflows, and gold funds, for the first time in 15 months, also saw capital leaving.
The year 2025 could turn out to be the most dangerous year yet for cryptocurrency holders. Already, more than 25 incidents involving physical attacks on crypto owners have been reported, and the year isn’t even over. These attacks have targeted individuals whose digital asset information or identities were compromised, leading to thefts, kidnappings, physical threats, or assaults.
On another front, the total value of circulating stablecoins has surpassed $250 billion, more than doubling from its mid-2023 low of $123 billion. USDT remains the market leader with a 62% share, followed by USDC at 24%, while other stablecoins such as USDe, DAI, and BUIDL are also expanding their presence.
It is worth noting that average spot trading volumes on centralized exchanges have dropped to their lowest levels since October 2020.This kind of pattern typically precedes a significant price move—whether that’s a sharp rally or a deep correction. It’s also possible that this phase of uncertainty could persist for several more weeks.
Bitcoin Attepmpts a Comeback with the Break of 106350Bitcoin is break above the key 106350 resistance and continues to rise. As long as BTC stays above this level, short-term bullish outlook remains intact.
The biggest risk for crypto right now is its correlation with the stock market. With the July 9 tariff deadline approaching and the Israel–Iran conflict raising broader market and oil price risks, a potential selloff in equities could weigh on crypto as well.
The good news for crypto is Ethereum's strength. In the last bull cycle, when BTC neared the cycle top, ETH began to lead, pulling altcoins up with it. While the market doesn’t appear to be at that stage just yet, recent inflows into Ether ETFs suggest that BTC could be nearing its final leg higher.
In the short term, 108350 is the first level to watch.
Gold is gaining momentum – Can the bulls drive it up to $3,485?OANDA:XAUUSD is a typical case of a market trading within an ascending channel, with price action consistently respecting both its upper and lower boundaries.
As you can see in my analysis, the price has recently broken through an important resistance zone and may return to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will indeed confirm the bullish trend and make the move towards my projected target of 3,485 highly likely, aiming for the next resistance zone at 3,485 and 3,500.
If the price remains above this support zone, my bullish outlook remains intact. However, if the price fails to hold above this level, the short-term bullish outlook will therefore be disrupted and may be followed by the next downward retracement.
Make sure to always use proper risk management.
BTCUSDT Daily: Analyzing Key Support & ResistanceChart Overview:
BTCUSDT Chart indicates the price action from a bearish phase into a significant bullish reversal and subsequent consolidation. Key price levels, market structure shifts, and Fibonacci retracement zones are highlighted, offering potential areas of interest for traders.
1. The Bearish Phase & Breakdown (February - April):
• Initial Downtrend: The price initially depicts a downtrend characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, indicating strong bearish control.
• "Break Down": In late February/early March, price decisively broke below a significant support level (indicated by the "Break Down" label). This confirmed the continuation and strength of the bearish momentum, pushing BTCUSDT to lower lows around the $76,000 region.
2. The Market Structure Change (Late April - Early May):
• Trend Reversal: Following the lows in April, we observe a strong bullish impulse. This rally culminated in price breaking above a critical resistance zone (highlighted by the upper grey box labeled "Market Structure Change").
• Significance: This "Market Structure Change" is a pivotal event. It signifies a shift from bearish control (lower highs/lows) to bullish dominance (higher highs/lows), as previous resistance becomes potential support (a "flip" level). This is often the first major sign of a trend reversal.
3. The Bullish Impulse & All-Time High (May - Early June):
• Strong Uptrend: After the market structure change, BTCUSDT experienced a powerful bullish move, establishing new higher highs.
• "All Time High at $112,000": The price reached a new all-time high around $112,000 (specifically labeled as 111,999.0). This peak marks the top of the measured bullish impulse, which serves as the anchor point for the subsequent Fibonacci retracement.
4. Current Consolidation & Fibonacci Retracement (June - Present):
• Pullback from ATH: Following the new all-time high, BTCUSDT has pulled back and entered a period of consolidation, exhibiting a ranging behavior.
• Fibonacci Retracement: A Fibonacci retracement tool has been applied from the significant swing low (around $93,389.7, which is the 1.0 Fib level relative to the ATH) to the "All Time High." This tool helps identify potential support levels where price might find buyers during a pullback.
o "Daily Immediate Support": This area, approximately between $102,694.4 (0.5 Fib) and $100,498.5 (0.618 Fib), has acted as strong immediate support. Price has bounced from this zone multiple times, confirming its significance. The 0.618 Fibonacci level is often referred to as the "Golden Ratio" and is a highly watched retracement level for potential reversals or strong support.
o "Daily Key Support": This deeper support zone, around $93,389.7 (which aligns with the 1.0 Fib of the previous swing and the prior "Market Structure Change" area), represents a critical level. If the "Daily Immediate Support" fails, this zone would be the next major test for bullish continuation. Its alignment with the previous market structure change adds to its importance as a "flip" level (former resistance turned support).
• "Daily Target": The label "Daily Target" is positioned near the previous highs/resistance. In the current context of consolidation and pullback, this area now acts as a key resistance zone that bulls would need to overcome to resume the uptrend towards new all-time highs. It represents the immediate bullish objective.
Potential Scenarios:
• Bullish Continuation: If BTCUSDT continues to hold above the "Daily Immediate Support" (green zone) and then breaks above the "Daily Target" resistance with conviction, it would signal a likely continuation of the uptrend towards new all-time highs above $112,000.
• Deeper Retracement: A breakdown below the "Daily Immediate Support" would likely lead to a test of the "Daily Key Support" (lower grey zone). A strong bounce from this level would still keep the bullish structure intact for the larger timeframe.
• Trend Invalidaton/Reversal: A decisive break below the "Daily Key Support" (lower grey zone / 1.0 Fib of the prior swing) would be a significant bearish development, potentially invalidating the recent bullish market structure and indicating a deeper correction or even a reversal of the current uptrend.
Conclusion:
BTCUSDT is currently in a consolidation phase after a strong rally to new all-time highs. The immediate focus is on whether the "Daily Immediate Support" holds. Traders should closely monitor price action around both the immediate and key support zones, as well as the "Daily Target" resistance, for clues on the next directional move. Volume confirmation for any breakouts or breakdowns will be crucial.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
20250616-XAUUSD IdeaThe flag pattern in the major time frame did not succeed. Instead of breaking below the 3295 price level, the price was rejected at the top of the descending channel. Looking back, I now interpret this as a leading diagonal that initiated an uptrend. After reaching the previous high at the 3435 price level, a rising wedge pattern has formed. On the smaller time frame, there are shorting opportunities. Long opportunities may appear when the price hit the uptrend line.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-15 14:00 UTCBTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-15 14:00 UTC
This setup illustrates a high-probability short-term trade using confluence between technical indicators, price action, volume behavior, and order book data.
Entry Conditions
A potential long entry was identified around 105,289.39 based on the following:
RSI (21) was in the oversold zone, below the 40 level
MACD (8/18/6) histogram flipped from negative to positive, signaling momentum shift
Stochastic (21,5,5) showed a %K/%D bullish crossover in the oversold region
A bullish reversal candlestick pattern formed near short-term support
Whale activity detected in the order book, including a 3.87 BTC buy wall
EMA Ribbon (5/13) indicated a bullish crossover
Take Profit & Risk Management
Target level for potential profit was set near 106,489.39, representing approximately a 1.2% move from entry
Stop loss was positioned at 104,689.39, around 0.6% below the entry to maintain a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio
Order Flow Context
On-balance volume (OBV) was rising, supporting upward pressure
Bid dominance reached 41.9%, indicating aggressive buyers in control
Depth of market showed strong support from large limit buy orders
Important Notes for Traders
Always backtest setups before applying in live market conditions
Use stop losses to protect capital
Aligning with smart money concepts and institutional order flow.XAUUSD is currently experiencing a significant decline after sweeping the liquidity resting above its previous highs. This downward movement has also resulted in a break of the key trendline, signaling potential for further bearish momentum. The market now appears to be heading toward the marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the demand zone, where additional liquidity is also positioned along the broken trendline. Furthermore, there's another FVG located below the current price level, providing a strong confluence for a continued drop. It’s advisable to remain patient and wait for the price to reach this FVG zone. Once it does, we could potentially find a high-probability buying opportunity from that level, aligning with smart money concepts and institutional order flow!
DYOR! Not Financial Advice.