Support and Resistance
SOL (Weekly timeframe): Trend structure Price is approaching a key macro support zone. However, as long as it remains below the $148 level, I cannot rule out the possibility of one more corrective leg toward the $76–$55 range before a medium-term bottom is established and a potential resumption of the broader uptrend begins.
A breakout and sustained close above the $148 level would serve as the first technical signal that either:
- a corrective wave B (preceding a deeper correction toward the macro support zone) is unfolding, or
- a new long-term bullish trend aiming for all-time highs is beginning.
Monthly outlook:
My previous idea from November 2024 has fully realized its structure:
Thanks for reading and wishing you successful trading and investing decision!
XAUUSD(GOLD): +1874 PIPS Target| Touching $3600? Gold experienced a significant price surge, driven by the ongoing conflict between Iran and Israel. This heightened uncertainty among global investors led to a price touch of $3445. The current price is accumulating, and we anticipate a strong bullish distribution in the near future. Please prioritise accurate risk management during trading.
Good luck,
Team Setupsfx_
Technical Trend Analysis of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), a leading player in the IT services sector, has recently garnered attention for its potential volume increase, making it a focal point for technical analysis.
This blog post delves into the current technical trend analysis of TCS stock (NSE: TCS) based on the 1-day chart.
Selection Rationale
TCS was selected for this analysis due to its observed potential for increased trading volume, a critical indicator of market interest and price movement. The analysis employs a trendline drawn from the highest highs to capture the stock's directional momentum, complemented by Fibonacci retracement levels to identify key support and resistance zones.
Trendline and Fibonacci Analysis
The primary trendline, established from the peak highs, indicates a downward trajectory over the observed period. This suggests a bearish sentiment prevailing in the short term. Overlaying the Fibonacci retracement tool, the price action reveals significant support at the 0.236 level, currently aligning around INR 3,445.70. This level has historically acted as a strong support zone, where the stock price has demonstrated resilience against further declines.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Levels: The chart highlights resistance at INR 3,660.00 (0.5 Fibonacci level), INR 3,936.90 (0.618 level), and INR 4,176.50 (0.786 level), with the upper bound nearing INR 4,600.00.
Support Levels: Beyond the current support at INR 3,445.70, additional support is noted at INR 3,200.00, with a potential downside to INR 3,055.50 if the trend continues.
Volume Insights
The volume bars at the bottom of the chart reflect intermittent spikes, particularly around key price movements. This corroborates the selection criterion of potential volume increase, suggesting that significant buying or selling pressure could influence future price action.
Conclusion
The technical analysis of TCS indicates a bearish trendline with the stock currently testing a critical Fibonacci support level at 0.236 (INR 3,445.70). Investors and traders should monitor this level closely, as a break below could signal further downside, while a rebound may indicate a reversal or consolidation. Given the potential for volume-driven movements, staying attuned to market developments will be essential for informed decision-making.
For a more comprehensive analysis or real-time updates, consider utilizing advanced tools and platforms like TradingView, and consult with a financial advisor for personalized investment strategies.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making investment decisions.
ADBE: Fractal Pattern Repeating Again?ADBE has printed a surprisingly consistent technical pattern since 2023:
A rejection from supply, followed by a gap-down, then a gradual but deep decline.
We may now be witnessing the early stage of a fourth repeat.
📘 Historical Pattern
Zone 1: ~$575
• Gap: –5.71%
• Drop after gap: –12.11%
• Duration: 49 days
Zone 2: ~$551
• Gap: –8.85%
• Drop after gap: –18.55%
• Duration: 32 days
Zone 3: ~$458
• Gap: –6.71%
• Drop after gap: –18.21%
• Duration: 25 days
Zone 4: ~$425 (current)
• Gap: –2.53%
• Post-gap = in progress
🧠 All three prior moves began with a gap, followed by a small bounce, and then a larger sell-off.
Each of them dropped between –12% and –18% from the post-gap high.
🔍 Current Structure
• Price just rejected from ~$425 (1D supply)
• New gap-down of –2.53% has just occurred
• Currently sitting on critical DCS support zone: $382–$388
This is a high-stakes inflection area. A close below this support could trigger the next leg lower.
⚙️ Options Setup (Bearish Thesis)
💡 Trade Idea: Bear Put Spread (400 / 350, Jul 18 expiry)
• Defined risk with a 2.2:1 reward/risk ratio
• Breakeven ≈ $384
• Thesis becomes actionable if price breaks below the $382 DCS support
• Invalidation: strong reclaim of ~$425 supply
This setup targets a continuation of Adobe’s repeating structure.
It limits downside exposure while offering meaningful reward if breakdown confirms.
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Gold will inevitably fall after risingGold has risen sharply due to the violent geopolitical conflicts and the surge in risk aversion. It once reached around 3445, but in the process of falling back, it only touched 3408 and rebounded again, stabilizing above 3400. It is obvious that due to the changes in fundamentals, the sentiment of gold bulls is high; although the upward momentum of gold near 3440 has weakened, there is no clear signal of peaking yet!
For short-term trading, it is relatively difficult to participate at present. To be honest, I naturally don’t want to chase gold at a high level; but there are no more signals to support me to short gold for the time being. However, with the rebound of gold, the current short-term support below is in the 3425-3415 area, followed by the psychological support of the 3400 integer mark; and the short-term resistance above is in the 3455-3465 area, followed by the area near 3480.
Compared with the profit and loss ratio, I prefer shorting gold for short-term trading, because gold has performed relatively strongly in the London market. Logically, gold will have the inertia to rise in the New York market, so I think gold may rise and then fall in the New York market, so my current plan is to try shorting gold starting in the 3455-3465 area.
Because the changes in gold's fundamentals are more extreme and complex, you must set up SL when participating in transactions.
GOLD: Exponential Scaling 1.618^1/5Gold's natural growth patterns have apparent alignment Fibonacci progression.
Exponential Scaling using a constant phi (1.618) raised to 0.20 power exponent:
The lines follow historical movements with exponential accuracy, aiding the identification of swing points of major momentum shifts.
Major swings metrics:
Gold Breaks Out- Bulls Eye Record High Gold prices are poised to mark a third consecutive daily advance with XAU/USD clearing the June opening-range on news of war breaking out in the Middle East. The breakout takes price into uptrend resistance and while the broader outlook remains constructive, the immediate advance may be vulnerable while below this slope.
A rally of more than 1.7% extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line before pulling back and the immediate focus is on today’s close with respect to the record high-close at 3431. Risk for near-term inflection off this zone with a close above needed to mark uptrend resumption. Subsequent resistance objectives are eyed at the record high at 3500 and the 100% extension of the May rally at 3578- look for a larger reaction there IF reached.
Initial support now rests back at the 61.8% retracement of the April decline / the record high-day close (HDC) at 3355/80- losses should be limited to the median-line IF price is heading higher on this stretch. Subsequent support seen at the May / June open at 3288/89 with bullish invalidation now raised to the May LDC / late-May swing low at 3240/45- a close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / a larger reversal is underway.
Bottom line: The gold rally has extended into uptrend resistance at the median-line- risk for possible inflection / topside exhaustion into this slope. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 3355 IF price is heading for a breakout with a close above the median-line needed to fuel the next major leg of the advance.
Keep in mind we get the release of key interest rate decisions from the Bank of Japan, the Federal Reserve, and the Bank of England next week. The ongoing conflict in Iran adds an additional layer of event risk as gold presses record highs- stay nimble next week and watch the weekly closes for guidance here.
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market:
Core PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4%
Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation.
PPI m/m:
Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5%
Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft.
Unemployment Claims:
Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K
Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market.
Market Outlook :
These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move.
DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum .
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Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame .
EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels .
I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news:
1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3440-3450
TP 3430-3420
BUY 3415-3400
TP 3420-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
ORCL heads up at $212 then 220: Double Golden Fibs may STOP runORCL has been flying off the last Earnings report.
About to hit DUAL Golden fibs at $212.67-220.21
Ultra-High Gravity objects in its price-continuum.
It is PROBABLE to consolidate within the zone.
It is POSSIBLE to reject and dip to a fib below.
It is PLAUSIBLE but unlikely to blow thru them.
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My last Plot that caught the BreakOut EXACTLY:
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Tensions in the Middle East. (Levels to watch, things to do). Iran and Israel situation is tense. Lot of investors have lot of questions in mind. I am trying to provide my opinion for the same in the video. I am trying to give my Technical and Political commentary on the situation in this educational video. The political commentary is based on my 15+ years of experience in the Middle East and is my personal opinion. I hope this will answer a lot of questions for you. I have also tried to give Techincal support and resistance levels for Nifty. In the 10 minute I have tried to cover as many points as I can. Along with the list of things to do as an investor. I hope this will help many of you.
As it was expected there was a deep fall in the market due to Israel Vs Iran tensions. US is also a direct or indirect party to the situation and if there is further escalation other global powers will mostly get involved. Due to the this situation market opened gap down at 24473. What we saw post that is Indian market recovered smartly from that situation to close at 24718. That is a huge 245 point recovery to end the day. This is why colour of the candles throughout the day (As this is an hourly chart are green despite we ended in red. (That is a classic Technical lesson for understanding candle sticks analytics). The closing is above the father line support of 24674 which is a good sign as this will be our support (Strong support for Monday.) I have spent more than 15 years in the Middle East and happen to know a little bit out of my personal experience, having interacted with a lot of locals. Thus I am trying to answer a few questions that might be coming in the minds of may investors including myself.
Q&A
The Question now are we out of danger?
Answer: Not yet.
Question 2: Why we are not out of danger?
Ans: The geo-political situation is very tense. The scale of Israeli attack was massive and there are clear and present chances of Iran counter attack which has already begun. Israel will respond again and Trump has already said that the next attacks by Israel will be even more fierce. No Iran is no palestine and there would be many countries that might support Iran. Specially China has already hinted support. Russia another ally is busy with Ukraine but you never know.
Question 3: How it goes for the other Middle Eastern countries?
Ans: There are lot of countries with US and Western bases on them. If Iran attacks them there are chances of other Western countries getting into the act too. In addition to some Middle Eastern countries getting into the act for the purpose of self defence. Thus over the weekend the things can get either very tense.
Question 4: What happens to India and Indian markets?
Ans: Today Indian markets have shown a lot of resilience. Global meltdown can affect us to for sure. But as we are neutral (As of now as it seems). The damage to our market hopefully will be minimal. Moreover recovery will be swift once the situation becomes less tense.
Question 5: What should investors do?
Ans: Long term investors can hold on to their long term positions in blue chip stocks. Keep stop losses and trailing stop losses in place for the mid-cap and small cap stocks. If some stop losses are hit or trailing stop losses are hit, you can always buy again as market is not going anywhere. The dip that we might potentially see can be an opportunity for long term investors for bottom fishing again and recalibrating their portfolios. (You can use the current situation to realign your portfolio for buying the trending stocks which have giving good results this quarter or have been giving good results since last few quarters.) Get rid of the stocks that have been dragging your portfolio down. Market has provided another opportunity for a fresh start.
Things you can do:
1) Gold and Silver are always a great option when it comes to uncertain times.
2) Do not give a knee jerk reaction in selling off your winners.
3) Watch the global updates and keep stop losses and trailing stop losses accordingly.
4) Re-calibrate your portfolio
5) If you are sitting on cash use the dip for investing in stocks with long term perspective.
The support for Nifty Remain at: 24674 (Father line support), 24640 (Mid-channel support), 24492 (Trend line support), 24382, 24208 and finally 24077 (Channel Bottom Support). a closing below 24077 will enable and empower bears to Pull Nifty further down.
Resistances for Nifty remain at: 24752, 24818, 24906 (Mother line Resistance), 25043, 25138 and finally 25223 (Channel top Resistnace). Above 25223 Bulls will potentially take over the market.
To know more about Mother Father and Small Child theory, Parallel Channel, Technical and Fundamental analysis and to learn it to master it. Read my book. The Happy Candles Way To Wealth Creation available on Amazon in Paperback and Kindle version. The book is one of the highest rated books in the category and many readers consider it as a Hand Book for Equity investment.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. The political commentary is based on personal views and analysis. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
BNB as market indicator?Technically, BNB provides the perfect range setup. After forming a potential 'spring', the price went above the midband, but then retested the range low once more and has been bouncing ever since. Given that the price also broke the downtrend on the daily timeframe, the BNB chart could indicate that the altcoin correction is over. Technically...
GoPro | GPRO | Long at $1.35NASDAQ:GPRO is a strong brand name, but with a dying userbase / lack of growth. The company has no major turnaround planned, but the chart is interesting. The stock seems to be currently consolidating as the historical simple moving average (white line) is working its way down toward the price - which often leads to a jump. Another candidate for the Santa Claus rally? Or, will the "value" lead to an acquisition? Nothing is guaranteed, but something may be brewing. While not a long-term "buy and hold" candidate for me (personally, unless the business changes or growth seems relevant), it looks very intriguing from a technical analysis perspective. Thus, at $1.35, NASDAQ:GPRO is in a personal buy zone.
Target #1: $1.70
Target #2: $2.00
Target #3: $2.50
Target #4: $2.88 (if some good news emerges...)
GBPUSD – Rejection From New Price High Questions UptrendThe escalation in geo-political risks overnight in the Middle East, marked by Israel's attack on Iranian nuclear sites which was followed by Iran's retaliatory drone strikes against Israel, have seen a rush to safe haven assets, which this time included buying dollars (a rarity of late!).
This has seen GBPUSD fall quickly from a fresh 2025 high hit early this morning at 1.3633, back down to lower levels around 1.3540 (at time of writing) and questions whether the highs for GBPUSD may now be in place in the short term, with traders possibly reluctant to add to fresh longs into the weekend, and ahead of next week's Bank of England (BoE) rate meeting on Thursday (June 19th).
Looking forward into the Friday close, traders may now be on headline watch, especially considering Iran's vow to respond to Israel's initial attack with harsh blows against both Israel and the US. Any attack by Iran against US targets, while potentially unlikely, could be viewed as a level up and President Trump has stated that the US are on high alert just in case.
On the data front, the US Preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment for June is released at 1500 BST today. This will provide the next update on US consumer inflation expectations as well as sentiment, which although important are possibly unlikely to shift the focus of traders from progress reports regarding geo-political developments in the Middle East.
Technical Update: Rejection From New Price High Questions Uptrend
Of late, it has been a positive phase of sentiment that has been evident for GBPUSD, as a price pattern of higher highs and higher lows has formed, as the chart below shows.
This has resulted in a new recovery price high being posted this morning at 1.3633, which represents the highest trade in GBPUSD since late February 2022. However, so far this new upside extreme in price has held and seen price weakness emerge.
This may now see some traders questioning the ability of GBPUSD to maintain its current upside momentum, even suggest the potential of a more extended phase of weakness.
What support and resistance levels might be worth watching to maybe help determine the next direction of price movement?
Potential Support Levels:
Having held price weakness seen earlier this week, the rising Bollinger mid-average may continue to be a support focus. This currently stands at 1.3504, and closing breaks below this level, if seen, might result in a more extended phase of weakness.
Such downside breaks in price, while not a guarantee of further price declines, could see focus then shift to potential support at 1.3444, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and if this in turn gives way on a closing basis, towards 1.3385, the deeper 50% retracement level.
Potential Resistance Levels:
As the chart below shows, sellers have been found this morning at the 1.3633 level and may be again. This could prove to be the first resistance point to monitor if fresh attempts at price strength are seen over coming sessions.
Successful closing breaks above 1.3633 as a result, could point to an extension of the current uptrend pattern, with the next resistance level then potentially being 1.3749, which is the January 2022 high.
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Nucor | NUE | Long at $120.17Nucor NYSE:NUE , a US manufacture of steel and steel products, will likely capitalize on reduced foreign competition as tariffs become reality. The CEO also recently stated that the steelmaker's order backlog is the largest in its history and is increasing prices. So, while there is a potential for short-term downside as tariff "unknowns" are negotiated, the longer-term upside may be there for those who are patient... but time will tell.
Basic Fundamentals:
Current P/E: 21x
Forward P/E: 15-16x
Earnings are forecast to grow 29.6% per year
Projected Revenue in 2025: $32.3 billion
[*} Projected Revenue in 2028: $39.4 billion
Debt-to-Equity: 0.4x (healthy)
Dividend Yield: 1.8%
Technical Analysis:
Riding below the historical simple moving average and there is risk the daily price gap near $109 will close before moving higher. If there is a "crash" in price, $70s is absolutely possible which will be a "steel" if fundamentals do not change.
Targets in 2027:
$142.00 (+18.2%)
$187.00 (+55.6%)