USDCAD Long – Wyckoff Spring PlaybookCause > Effect. Behavior > Breakouts.
We just printed a classic Spring + Test setup.
Here’s how the puzzle came together:
🔍 Accumulation Context:
Market ranged quietly for hours – demand building below the surface.
Spike down into previous demand zone with climax volume – the shakeout.
Quick reclaim of the zone with bullish absorption signals the Spring.
📈 Execution Plan:
Entry just above the spring low at 1.3617
Stop below spring at 1.3612
Targeting inefficiencies at 1.3645 and 1.3651 (prior supply pockets)
🎯 Why I Like This Setup:
Structure: Matches Wyckoff Spring logic (Phase C → D transition)
Volume: Shakeout came with high effort, followed by efficient reclaim
Timing: Happens in a zone where other traders might still be stuck short
> “In trading, the ones who recognize intent get in before confirmation.”
This trade idea isn’t about being right — it’s about understanding behavior.
I’m not reacting to candles. I’m tracking the motive behind them.
Support and Resistance
THEUSDT Analysis: Weak Buyers and Downside ConfirmationOn THEUSDT, my current observation is clear: buyers are extremely weak. This isn't just a hunch; the underlying order flow and volume dynamics point to a lack of conviction from the bullish side.
Because of this noticeable weakness, my focus will be squarely on the red box I've identified on the chart. This area is where I'll be actively seeking downward confirmations on lower timeframes. This means I'm looking for signs like:
Failed attempts to rally: Price pushing up into the red box but quickly getting rejected.
Increased selling volume: A spike in volume on bearish candles as price interacts with or breaks below this zone, especially on the volume footprint.
CDV (Cumulative Delta Volume) turning decisively negative: This would signal that sellers are genuinely taking control.
Low Timeframe (LTF) breakdowns: Clear bearish structures forming, like lower highs and lower lows, coupled with retests of broken support as new resistance.
Remember, my strategy dictates that I only analyze and consider trades on coins showing a sudden and significant increase in volume. While THEUSDT's current context may not be about a sudden bullish volume spike, the analysis of existing volume and order flow within this weakness is crucial.
The market rewards patience and confirmation. I will not be looking for long opportunities here. My attention is entirely focused on finding those bearish confirmations within the red box. If they materialize, it presents a clear directional bias for a downside move.
📌I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
📌My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
📌If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
🔑I have a long list of my proven technique below:
🎯 ZENUSDT.P: Patience & Profitability | %230 Reaction from the Sniper Entry
🐶 DOGEUSDT.P: Next Move
🎨 RENDERUSDT.P: Opportunity of the Month
💎 ETHUSDT.P: Where to Retrace
🟢 BNBUSDT.P: Potential Surge
📊 BTC Dominance: Reaction Zone
🌊 WAVESUSDT.P: Demand Zone Potential
🟣 UNIUSDT.P: Long-Term Trade
🔵 XRPUSDT.P: Entry Zones
🔗 LINKUSDT.P: Follow The River
📈 BTCUSDT.P: Two Key Demand Zones
🟩 POLUSDT: Bullish Momentum
🌟 PENDLEUSDT.P: Where Opportunity Meets Precision
🔥 BTCUSDT.P: Liquidation of Highly Leveraged Longs
🌊 SOLUSDT.P: SOL's Dip - Your Opportunity
🐸 1000PEPEUSDT.P: Prime Bounce Zone Unlocked
🚀 ETHUSDT.P: Set to Explode - Don't Miss This Game Changer
🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan
⚡️ PONDUSDT: A Trade Not Taken Is Better Than a Losing One
💼 STMXUSDT: 2 Buying Areas
🐢 TURBOUSDT: Buy Zones and Buyer Presence
🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB
📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total
🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction
🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
📊 XNOUSDT %80 Reaction with a Simple Blue Box!
📊 BELUSDT Amazing %120 Reaction!
📊 Simple Red Box, Extraordinary Results
📊 TIAUSDT | Still No Buyers—Maintaining a Bearish Outlook
📊 OGNUSDT | One of Today’s Highest Volume Gainers – +32.44%
📊 TRXUSDT - I Do My Thing Again
📊 FLOKIUSDT - +%100 From Blue Box!
📊 SFP/USDT - Perfect Entry %80 Profit!
📊 AAVEUSDT - WE DID IT AGAIN!
I stopped adding to the list because it's kinda tiring to add 5-10 charts in every move but you can check my profile and see that it goes on..
USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
California Resources Corporation (CRC) – Stock Analysis and ForeCalifornia Resources Corporation, a key player in crude oil production and carbon management, has recently experienced a notable uptick in investor interest.
This momentum appears to be supported by macroeconomic tailwinds, including renewed trade tensions between the United States and other major economies.
Historically, geopolitical uncertainty often leads to increased energy demand and price volatility, both of which tend to benefit domestic oil producers like CRC.
From a fundamental standpoint, investor sentiment toward CRC has grown increasingly positive. The company’s strategic positioning in California's energy transition—particularly its focus on carbon capture and storage (CCS)—is beginning to resonate more with institutional investors looking to align portfolios with sustainable yet profitable energy operations.
If these supportive fundamentals continue, there is potential for the stock to reach $56 in the coming months, assuming no major changes to current market dynamics or geopolitical influences.
Technical Outlook:
Entry Point: $44.68
Stop Loss: $42.73
Take Profit 1: $50.84
Take Profit 2: $55.88
As always, trade with care, apply proper risk management, and ensure your positions align with your overall investment strategy.
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BankNifty levels - Jun 16, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Yesterday was bad for BOEING CompanyYesterday was bad for BOEING Company.
This stock has been fighting to recover from the many challenges it has faced lately, and here comes the India news.
The stock (BA) experienced about 5% drop before its recovered a bit.
It is trading at about $203, but if it breaks the trendline on the chart and the $200 support zone, we might see it go downhill a little more.
I will be happy to buy using DCA strategy from $193 - $186 zone.
Trade with care.
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Nifty levels - Jun 16, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NESTLE INDIA SWING TRADE SETUP📊 Price Action & Trend Analysis
Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups.
Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely!
Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts.
👉👉👉Follow us for Live Market Views/Trades/Analysis/News Updates.
ADANI GREEN LONG TRADE SETUP📊 Price Action & Trend Analysis
Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups.
Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely!
Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts.
👉👉👉Follow us for Live Market Views/Trades/Analysis/News Updates.
GOLD|Bullish Momentum Builds in Gold Amid Geopolitical TensionsGold | Market Overview
The escalating conflict, particularly Israel’s attack on Iran, is significantly driving bullish momentum in the gold market. Should Iran respond, we may witness a continued rally toward new all-time highs.
As previously forecasted, gold successfully reached our target of 3431. A short-term correction toward this level is possible before the uptrend resumes. However, if the price manages to close a 1-hour candle above 3431, it will likely trigger a swift move toward 3500 and 3525.
• Pivot Level: 3431
• Resistance Levels: 3480, 3500, 3525
• Support Levels: 3404, 3376, 3366
HFCL Long Trade Setup📊 Price Action & Trend Analysis
Analyzing market trends using price action, key support/resistance levels, and candlestick patterns to identify high-probability trade setups.
Always follow the trend and manage risk wisely!
Price Action Analysis Interprets Market Movements Using Patterns And Trends On Price Charts.
👉👉👉Follow us for Live Market Views/Trades/Analysis/News Updates.
DeGRAM | GOLD reached the resistance area📊 Technical Analysis
● Third rejection of the H1 descending-channel roof (≈3 382) printed a bearish engulfing and confirmed the prior “false-break” spike; price is now back under the purple retest line that acted as supply all month.
● An intraday rising wedge has cracked; its measured leg aligns with the grey targets at 3 344 (minor support) and the 3 289 liquidity pocket near the channel’s mid-rail.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Firmer US 2-yr yield near 4.8 % after upbeat PPI and hawkish Fed dots lifted the DXY, while CFTC data show fresh trimming of gold longs, reducing dip-buying fire-power.
✨ Summary
Fade rallies 3 335-3 345; sustained trade <3 320 eyes 3 344 then 3 289. Bear view void on an H1 close above 3 350.
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GOLD → Geopolitical risks are driving gold prices up. To ATH?FX:XAUUSD is updating its interim highs as it retests resistance at 3435 amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. Economic risks are on the rise...
Gold rose 1.5% on Friday in Asian trading as investors sought refuge from escalating tensions between Israel and Iran. The price approached 7-week highs and could reach $3,500 if the conflict intensifies. The US and Israel have warned of serious consequences, while Iran has promised to respond. Geopolitics has overshadowed economic news, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the price is emerging from a local consolidation and testing a fairly important resistance level, forming a false breakout and correction. But this does not mean that the price will fall...
Resistance levels: 3425, 3435, 3461
Support levels: 3408, 3400, 3377
If gold consolidates above 3425 and continues to storm the resistance, growth may continue, and at the moment, there is a fairly high probability of a retest of the ATH. However, the ideal scenario would be a retest of the zone of interest 3408 - 3400 and the capture of liquidity before continuing growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SILVER (#XAGUSD): Strong Bullish Move Ahead?!It appears we've seen a legitimate liquidity grab following a test of a crucial daily/intraday structure on 📈SILVER.
After a false breakout of the highlighted area, the price rebounded and broke through a significant downward trend line and a minor horizontal resistance on the 4H chart.
I believe the market could stay bullish and potentially reach at least the 36.88 level again.
[06/09] [GEX] Weekly SPX OutlookLast week’s outlook played out quite well — as anticipated, SPX hit the 6000 level, closing exactly there on Friday. This was the realistic target we highlighted in last week's idea.
🔭 SPX: The Bigger Outlook
It's difficult to say whether the rising SPX trend will continue. We're still in the "90-day agreement period" set by the administration, and so far, the market has shown resilience, avoiding deeper pullbacks like the one we saw in April.
With VIX hovering around 17–18, we’ve reached a zone where further SPX upside would require volatility. For the index to continue rising meaningfully, it needs to reverse the current bearish macro environment, and that can only happen with strong buying momentum — not a slow grind.
The parallel downward channel drawn a few weeks ago is still technically valid. Even a short 100-point squeeze would fit within this structure before a larger move down unfolds.
GEX levels give us useful clues heading into Friday. We're currently in a net positive GEX zone across all expirations, giving bulls a structural advantage, just like last week.
As of Monday’s premarket, SPX spot is at 6009.The Gamma Flip zone is between 5975–5990, with a High Volume Level (HVL) at 5985.
🔍 Let’s zoom in with our GEX levels — this gives us a deeper view than our GEX Profile indicator for TradingView alone.
🐂 🟢 If SPX moves higher, the following are logical profit-taking zones:
6050 (Delta ≈ 33)
6075 (Delta ≈ 25)
6100 (Delta ≈ 17)
🎯 Targeting above 6100 currently feels irrational — for instance, the next major gamma squeeze zone is at 6150, but that corresponds to a delta 6 level (≈94% chance the price closes below it), so I won’t aim that high yet.
🐻🔴 In a bearish scenario:
5975 and 5950 are the first nearby support zones (Deltas 30 and 38).
If momentum picks up, 5900 becomes reachable quickly, even if it's technically a 17-delta distance — because that’s deep in the negative GEX zone.
📅 Don’t forget: On Wednesday premarket, we’ll get Core Inflation Rate data — a key macro risk that could shake things up, regardless of TSLA drama fading.
📌 SPX Weekly Trading Plan Conclusion
Whatever your bias, keep cheap downside hedges in place. We've been rising for a long time, and even if SPX breaks out of the descending channel temporarily, resistance and the gamma landscape may pull price back swiftly.
#banknifty - 10th June! NSE:BANKNIFTY NSE:BANKNIFTY1!
Understand the chart, observe the analysis, implement while trading:
Key Observations:
1. Trendlines:
- Resistance Trendline: A descending trendline (sloping down) marks the area where the price faces selling pressure. This indicates a pattern of lower highs.
- Support Trendline: An upward-sloping trendline beneath the price indicates where the price finds buying interest. This suggests a slight upward momentum at the support level.
2. Consolidation Zone:
- The price is moving within a tightening range between these two trendlines, forming a wedge or triangle pattern. This indicates consolidation, where the market is waiting for a breakout or breakdown.
3. Support Levels:
- Key support levels are highlighted at 53,407.75, 53,229.05, 53,057.45, and 52,784.15. These levels represent zones where buyers are likely to step in and prevent further price decline.
4. Resistance Levels:
- Resistance levels are marked at 53,679.35, 53,956.65, 54,128.90, and 54,304.25. These are zones where the price may face selling pressure.
5. Current Price Action:
- The price is currently at 53,577.70, approaching the descending resistance trendline. This is a critical point because it suggests a decision zone for the next move.
Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout:
- If the price breaks above the descending resistance trendline, it could signal bullish momentum.
- Potential targets are the next resistance levels at 53,956.65, 54,128.90, and 54,304.25.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
- If the price breaks below the support trendline, it may indicate a bearish trend.
- Possible downside targets are the lower support levels at 53,229.05, 53,057.45, and 52,784.15.
3. Neutral Consolidation:
- If the price continues to move within the wedge, traders may need to wait for a clear breakout or breakdown before acting.
What This Chart Suggests:
- The chart highlights decision points for the market, with the wedge pattern indicating an imminent breakout or breakdown.
- A breakout above resistance would suggest strength, while a breakdown below support would indicate weakness.
Trading Plan:
- For Buyers: Wait for a breakout above the resistance trendline and aim for higher resistance levels.
- For Sellers: Look for a breakdown below the support trendline and target the lower support zones.
Not SEBI Registere.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD correction from the 110k level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has reclaimed the rising-channel median at ≈106.8 k and immediately made a higher-high on expanding volume; hourly RSI also pierced its two-week bear trend, flagging fresh upside energy.
● An ascending triangle is forming between 107 k support and a 109.5 k ceiling; its measured move coincides with the red supply/upper rail at 111.6-112 k.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US PPI (-0.1 % m/m) dragged real 2-yr yields to one-month lows, easing dollar pressure, while spot-ETF desks soaked up another ≈4 600 BTC this week, signalling renewed institutional demand.
✨ Summary
Stay long above 107 k; triangle break over 109.5 k unlocks 111.6 k then 115 k. Long view invalidated on a 4 h close beneath 103 k.
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Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area.
On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today.
Trade safe,
Joe
Silver the sad metalIt's Friday and today's post is of less serious nature. Sometimes it's good to have a little fun and get back to very serious posts next week.
Gold and Silver often are part of the same conversation. It makes sense Silver and Gold price data have a correlation coefficient of approximately 0.80 over the past 20 years. I mean they are like to inseparable friends that have been doing everything together since before you or I were born.
So someone might ask hey silver why are you still sleeping. No new high since 2011 now for some of us that feels like just yesterday. Let's break it down though a child born in 2011 is now in Grade 9. Hope that silver was not to pay for their college fees.
A typical basket of groceries went up by over 42.94% according to CPI change. (Which is probably low since the basket changes and manipulates inflation numbers.) That puts current silver purchasing power at about ~$25 value of its 2011 price. Congrats 14 years later Silver half what it bought in 2011. That store of value is more like frosty the snow man in the summer time. Silver made the same price high in 1980 I'd tell you about it but I am not old enough. Let's ignore that for now.
Come on now it's not all gloom out there. Jokes aside. Silver price has moved up significantly since 2020 low around $11. What do we know about assets that break out after a long time stuck under a price point. Typically as some would say they go to the moon. Don't expect that here. Why it's been 45 years. If silver meets up with his old friend Gold he will remind his old friend that he is the more volatile of the two. Forget the moon it would be a space race to mars. My most conservative target would be $100. The 1.618 FIB retracement level. By that metric Gold is already at its 2 FIB retracement level. For silver that's 165.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
GIGAUSDT: The Sleeping Giant Awakens! wait it guys
📊 Key Stats (Live Update - May 11, 2025)
- Current Price: $0.02545 (-2.19%)
- Volume: 472.36K (Low volume - accumulation phase)
📈 Critical Levels
- Strong Support: $0.025 (Today's low)
- Resistance: $0.03413 (ATH)
- Breakout Target: $0.050 (+96% potential)
🔥 Why GIGA Could Explode
1. Extreme Discount: Currently -25.4% from ATH
2. Consolidation Pattern: Forming bullish pennant on 4H chart
3. Low Float Potential: Small market cap = big move potential
🎯 Trading Plan
- Optimal Entry: $0.018-$0.020 zone
- Targets: 🚀
→ $0.030 (+20% short-term)
→ $0.034 (+34% to ATH)
→ $0.050 (+96.5% breakout)
- Risk Management:
→ Stop Loss: $0.016 (-4%) - 4H CLOSE BELOW
→ Position Size: 1-3% of portfolio
⚠️ Important Notes
1. Low liquidity - use limit orders
2. Watch for volume spikes above 1M
3. Correlate with BTC movement
💎 Unique Opportunity
GIGA presents a classic "buy low" setup with:
- Tight consolidation near support
- High volatility potential
- Clear technical levels
🔍 Key Indicators to Watch
1. RSI (4H): Currently 45 (neutral)
2. Volume: Needs confirmation above 1M
3. Order Book Depth: Check for large walls
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📊 | Not financial advice 🖌️DYOR
DeGRAM | EURUSD above the 1.15📊 Technical Analysis
● Hourly close above 1.1500 completed a small ascending triangle; price is now hugging the rising-channel’s upper rail after a chain of higher-lows, pointing toward the 1.1600 objective.
● Triangle top and channel mid-line overlap at 1.1500-1.1520; while candles stay above, risk : reward favours a push to the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1650.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US core-CPI eased to 0.1 % m/m, driving Treasury yields lower and lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 %, weakening the dollar, while ECB officials talked up a “data-dependent” pause, keeping euro bids firm.
✨ Summary
Long bias while price holds 1.1520; targets 1.1600 then 1.1650. Invalidate on an hourly close below 1.1470.
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