Bearish momentum to meet support on USDCAD: Looking for a bounceEvening, just wanted to share what I’m seeing on the USDCAD chart
Price on USDCAD has been in clear bearish momentum, but we’re now approaching a strong support zone, that’s held firm multiple times before, as I marked it on my chart. Price is approaching the zone again and I am taking it into account for a potential bounce.
I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation as usual requirement before entering. If that support holds, I’m targeting 1.38400 , totally achievable if momentum shifts.
BUT, if this zone breaks with momentum, I’ll reassess it and stay flexible.
💡 Reminder: Patience is power, no entry until price shows me something worth reacting to. This is not financial advice.
Support and Resistance
EURAUD forming a top?EURAUD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.7805.
We look to Sell at 1.7805 (stop at 1.7840)
Our profit targets will be 1.7705 and 1.7680
Resistance: 1.7830 / 1.7850 / 1.7880
Support: 1.7710 / 1.7680 / 1.7650
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
ISRG Daily Chart: Anticipating a Bounce from Key Demand Zone Overview:
ISRG has been in a recovery phase since its lows in early April, establishing an upward trend. However, after hitting significant resistance in May, the stock has entered a corrective pullback. This chart outlines a potential long setup, waiting for a strategic entry at a confluent demand zone.
Key Observations & Levels:
1. Post-April Recovery: Following a sharp decline, ISRG initiated a strong recovery in early April, demonstrating clear higher highs and higher lows (represented by the initial green zig-zag line).
2. Supply/Resistance Zones (Red Boxes):
o Upper Resistance (600 - 620): This zone represents a significant overhead supply from previous highs in February/March. It is the primary target for any significant bullish move. The chart specifically highlights "Target 600" (601.23).
o Intermediate Resistance (550 - 570): This zone acted as strong resistance in May/early June, leading to the current pullback. Price failed to sustain above this level, signaling a need for a deeper correction before a sustained push higher.
3. Demand/Support Zone (Green Box: ~480 - 500):
o This is the critical "buy zone" highlighted on the chart. It aligns with previous support levels and a potential area where strong buying interest emerged. The chart specifies an entry point around 488.77. This is where we anticipate buyers to step in and reverse the current short-term bearish momentum.
4. Current Price Action & Potential Path (Dotted Line):
o ISRG is currently trading around 512.82, in a clear pullback from the intermediate resistance. The dotted line indicates a possible path where the price might consolidate or even attempt a small bounce before ultimately heading lower to tag the key demand zone. This suggests a patient approach, waiting for the price to reach the optimal entry area.
Trade Plan:
This setup is based on the anticipation of a strong bounce from the defined demand zone:
• Entry Zone: Wait for price to enter the 480 - 500 demand zone. The chart's proposed entry is precisely at 488.77.
• Stop-Loss: A tight stop-loss is placed below the demand zone at 457.71. This level represents a clear invalidation point for the bullish thesis, as a break below it would indicate further downside pressure.
• Target: The primary target for this long setup is the 600 - 620 overhead resistance zone, specifically marked at 601.23. This offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Scenario:
The most probable scenario outlined is that ISRG will continue its current correction, potentially with some minor bounces, until it reaches the strong demand zone between $480 and $500. From there, we anticipate a significant rebound, aiming to challenge the $600 target.
Invalidation:
A sustained daily close below $457.71 would invalidate this bullish setup, suggesting that the current downtrend is stronger than anticipated and could lead to further significant declines.
Conclusion:
ISRG presents a compelling long opportunity if it continues its pullback to the robust demand zone around
480−500. Patience is key to capturing this potential reversal for a move towards the $600 target. Always manage your risk accordingly.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
BTC: Elliot Cycle AnalysisA simple Elliot wave analysis of BTC's cycle. I predict we top out between 140-190k, before entering a bear market that will last ~12 months, likely ending early 2027. I can imagine that we form a massive H&S before we decline.
I believe the widespread adoption of crypto, BTC reserves, ETFs, etc. will serve as a bulwark against too harsh a winter. We perhaps drop to the 56k support, which would be an excellent buy-back opportunity.
Prepare to exit the market and remain tethered up for about a year or so. Don't get greedy. Things are gonna heat up real soon for the broader market.
Happy trading,
Melonfarmer
GE Daily Chart: Corrective Pullback Towards Key Support LevelOverview:
GE has experienced a significant bullish run since early April, forming a well-defined ascending channel. However, recent price action indicates a potential corrective pullback after failing to sustain above the upper boundary of this channel. The stock is currently trading below the lower trendline of its previous upward channel, suggesting a short-term weakening of momentum.
Key Observations & Analysis:
1. Ascending Channel (April - June): From early April to early June, GE demonstrated a strong, consistent uptrend, respecting the boundaries of a well-defined ascending channel. This indicated strong bullish sentiment and controlled accumulation.
2. Recent Break Below Channel: In the past few days, the price has clearly broken down below the lower trendline of this ascending channel. This is a significant technical event, often signaling a potential deeper correction or a pause in the previous strong uptrend.
3. Current Price Action: GE is currently trading around $239.72, having pulled back from its recent highs near 255-to- 258. The red candlesticks confirm the ongoing selling pressure in the short term.
Identified Support Levels:
We have identified two crucial support zones where buyers might step in, based on previous price action and potential demand areas:
• 1st Support Zone (230 - 238): This is the immediate and first line of defense for the bulls. This zone aligns with previous consolidation areas and could act as a strong demand zone if the selling pressure subsides.
• Key Support Zone (215 - 220): Should the 230-238 support level fail to hold, the 215-220 zone represents a more significant "Key Support." This level appears to be a stronger historical demand area that could provide a more robust bounce opportunity.
Potential Price Scenarios & Target:
Based on the current pullback and identified support levels, two primary bullish rebound scenarios are outlined:
• Scenario 1 (Shallow Pullback): The price finds strong support within the 230-238 range. From there, we could see a rebound, potentially retesting previous highs.
• Scenario 2 (Deeper Pullback): If the 1st support fails, the price extends its correction to the 215-220 Key Support zone. A strong bounce from this level would then be anticipated.
In both scenarios, the projected upside target for a rebound is the 250 - 258 Target zone. This target range aligns with the previous highs and the upper boundary of the now-broken ascending channel.
Invalidation:
A sustained close below the 210 level would be a significant bearish development, invalidating the immediate bullish rebound thesis and potentially opening the door for further downside.
Conclusion:
GE is currently undergoing a healthy corrective pullback after a strong rally. Traders should closely monitor the price action around the identified support zones (230−238) and (215−220) for potential bullish reversal signals. A successful bounce from either of these levels could see GE aiming for the 250−258 target.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
NEIRO – Re-Entering for Continuation Toward Yearly OpenGiving BINANCE:NEIROUSDT another shot at a long. (Last one was a great one)
Caught the first impulse move, and now looking for continuation into the Yearly Open.
Starting to bid here and will stay patient this week— Mostly dependent on CRYPTOCAP:ETH reclaiming the 2900–3000 zone.
That reclaim would shift my outlook entirely and increase the probability of new highs.
Longing here for now, with eyes on confirmation soon.
XAUUSD:Sharing of the Latest Trading StrategyAll the trading signals today have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉
Fundamental Analysis:
The U.S. May CPI data came in below expectations, while jobless claims exceeded forecasts, reinforcing expectations of a Fed rate cut. Coupled with heightened Middle East tensions, safe-haven demand for gold has surged.
The US Dollar Index retreated below 98, providing support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis:
The 4-hour chart shows gold in an ascending channel, indicating bullish dominance, though a pullback should be watched.
Bollinger Bands resistance at 3405, support at 3350. Current price is near the upper band with a price-volume divergence, suggesting short-term momentum may weaken.
Trading Strategy:
Focus on long positions on pullbacks around support 3350. Consider shorting near 3405 resistance if the level holds.
Trading Strategy:
Sell@3405-3395
TP:3360-3350
buy@3350-3360
TP:3380-3390
Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now!
👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
IBM Approaching Channel Resistance – Bear Call Spread Setup?IBM has rallied strongly within a clear ascending channel since late 2023, pushing recently into all-time highs and testing the upper boundary of the structure. This level has acted as resistance multiple times in the past — and we may now be approaching another potential rejection zone.
🔍 Key Technical Context:
✅ Price trading near ATHs, pressing against the top of the rising channel.
🟦 Structure remains bullish, but extended and overbought.
🔄 Prior touches of channel highs led to pullbacks (see red markers).
🧲 A demand zone remains intact around $266–270, but price is currently stretched above it.
🧠 Options Strategy Outlook:
With volatility elevated and price near structural resistance, this could be a solid setup for a Bear Call Spread:
Sell Call near: $285–290
Buy Call near: $295+ (to define risk)
Thesis: Price will remain below upper channel or stall around ATHs.
📌 Summary:
IBM is in a strong uptrend — but technical conditions suggest exhaustion risk near channel resistance. No short signals yet, but for non-directional traders, this could be a low-risk zone to build income-based spreads.
I'll be monitoring for:
🕯️ Reversal patterns at resistance
📉 Breakdown below $278 = early weakness
❌ Break and close above channel = invalidates idea
Accurately capture golden trading opportunitiesBased on the current trend, it is recommended to focus on low-long operations, but be wary of the market repeating the pattern of the previous few days of high-rush, wash-out and fall. From the perspective of key points, 3360 has been converted from a previous resistance level to a support level. At the same time, the hourly line forms an important support near 3358. If there is a stabilization signal at this position, it can be regarded as a good opportunity to go long. However, if the market falls below the 3356 line, it is not ruled out that the price will further fall to around 3345. This position is the key long-short watershed during the day. Once it is lost, the short-selling force may increase; in extreme cases, if there is a deep wash-out, the gold price may even pull back to 3325. For the upper resistance, pay attention to 3395-3405 first. If it can break strongly, it can further look to 3414.
Based on the above analysis, the trading strategy is as follows:
If gold falls back to the area near 3345-3355 and does not break, you can consider arranging long orders;
When the price rises to the area near 3395-3405 and does not break, you can try to arrange short orders.
When operating, be sure to strictly set stop losses and control risks.
Today's market trend is completely in line with the predicted rhythm, with a clear shock structure and flexible response around key points. With precise layout based on two-way thinking, we can achieve a double kill of long and short positions and a steady harvest. If your current gold operation is not ideal, and we hope to help you avoid detours in your investment, please feel free to communicate with us!
PLTR – Structure Holding… For Now (4H Outlook)Palantir is compressing near ATHs, but showing early signs of exhaustion on higher timeframes. On the 4H chart, structure is still bullish — but fragile.
🔍 Key Technical Structure
• Series of Breaks of Structure (BoS) confirming the bullish trend
• Price is currently sitting above the $125 4H demand zone, near previous highs
• Invalidation for the bearish thesis sits at $140
🧭 Strategy Outlook
If $125.50 fails:
→ Next demand: $113.00–$105.00
→ Below that: strong support zone at $98.00–$89.00
If $140 breaks and holds:
→ Bearish divergence invalidated
→ Continuation toward new highs likely
📌 Summary
Price is at an inflection point. Structure remains bullish, but momentum is weakening across higher timeframes and RSI divergence is still active.
Watching $125.50 as the trigger:
Below = potential sell-off
Above = stay patient
Gold price fluctuates again, layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data favors bulls
📈 Market analysis:
The high of 3392 in the US market fell back for the first time to test the 3377 area to stop the decline and then tried again but failed to break through the 3400 integer mark. It can be seen that this position is very suppressed. The top and bottom conversion of 3377 has become the watershed for bulls to defend in the future market. 3400 is the short-term key pressure and the closing line has a long upper shadow K. If 3377 is lost, the price will fluctuate again. In the short term, focus on the 3390-3400 resistance on the upside and the 3377-3365 support on the downside.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3385-3395
TP 3370-3360
BUY 3365-3360
TP 3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
USD/CAD Breaks Through Multi-year Trend Support USD/CAD broke through a key pivot zone last week at 1.3721/94- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the 2021 advance and the 61.8% retracement of the late-2023 advance. The subsequent decline is now extending more than 2.9% off the May highs with initial support within striking distance.
Weekly momentum has now dropped to the lowest levels since 2021 and a break of the 2021 uptrend (2022 trendline) threatens further losses ahead. Initial weekly support rests at the 1.618% extension of the February decline / 78.6% retracement of the late-2023 advance near 1.3504/23. Note that basic channel support converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and further highlights the technical significance of this zone (area of interest for possible downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached). Subsequent support rests with the 2024 low-week clow (LWC) at 1.3360 and the 2023 LWC at 1.3218.
Weekly resistance is now eyed back at 1.3721 & 1.3795. Broader bearish invalidation is now lowered to the 52-week moving average / 2022 swing high near ~1.3961/78- a breach / close above the yearly channel would ultimately be needed to suggest a more significant low is in place.
Bottom line : USD/CAD has broken below multi-year uptrend support and threatens further losses in the weeks ahead. From a trading standpoint, look to reduce portions of short-exposure / lower protective stops on stretch towards 1.3523 IF reached- rallies should be limited to 1.3795 IF price is heading lower on this break with a close sub-1.35 needed to fuel the next major leg of the decline.
-MB
JASMY Long Swing Setup – Oversold Bounce from Major SupportJASMY has seen a sharp decline in recent weeks, but price has now landed in a key support zone. With a potential bounce on the table, we’re eyeing the $0.015–$0.01355 range for a possible long entry toward resistance tests.
📌 Trade Setup:
• Entry Zone: $0.015 – $0.01355
• Take Profit Targets:
o 🥇 $0.020
o 🥈 $0.024
o 🥉 $0.030
• Stop Loss: Daily close below $0.013
SPY - 1 Hour ShortSPY – 1H Technical Breakdown (Short Bias)
Price action on SPY has recently traded into a clearly defined higher-timeframe supply zone, where prior bearish order flow originated. The current structure shows signs of exhaustion after a liquidity sweep above recent swing highs, which likely triggered breakout entries and stop-loss clusters — a common precursor to reversal.
We’ve observed a loss of momentum as price consolidates beneath this supply zone, signaling inefficient buying and a potential shift in control from buyers to sellers. The rejection from this zone aligns precisely with the projected schematic path, reinforcing the short bias and supporting the hypothesis of a distribution phase.
The anticipated move targets the mid-550s, a region marked by prior accumulation and unmitigated demand, making it a logical zone for price to seek out resting liquidity.
🔹 Key Technical Confluences:
Entry from a confirmed supply zone
Sweep of prior high followed by internal weakness
Structure showing early lower highs and compression beneath resistance
Market currently following the projected schematic path outlined in advance
🛡️ Risk Parameters:
Stop-loss is placed conservatively above the supply zone highs to account for further probing
Take-profit aligned with prior demand and structural inefficiencies
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (R:R): Estimated 3:1+, offering a highly asymmetric return profile
This is a tactically planned short with strong technical backing. As long as price respects current structure, we maintain bearish conviction until the 555–560 zone is tested or invalidation occurs above the supply.
EUR/USD remains bullish
💡Message Strategy
The EUR/USD exchange rate continued to rise in the European session, gradually approaching the previous high of around 1.1600. The US dollar continued to be under pressure due to the market's rising expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year and the increasing uncertainty surrounding the US foreign trade policy.
US President Trump recently said that he would send letters to trading partners in the next one to two weeks to notify them of unilateral new tariff measures, which once again plunged the market into a state of worry. In addition, the US CPI annual rate in May was 2.4%, lower than the expected 2.5%, which strengthened the bet that the Federal Reserve will restart the interest rate cut cycle in September.
At the same time, the relatively hawkish signal of "interest rates close to neutral levels" released by ECB President Lagarde, coupled with the market's rethinking of the role of the euro in the context of "de-dollarization", jointly supported the upward structure of the exchange rate. Currently, traders are paying close attention to the US PPI data and initial jobless claims to be released in the evening, which may have a traction on the short-term trend of the US dollar.
📊Technical aspects
Judging from the chart, the current price of EUR/USD is near the upper track of the Bollinger Band (1.1548), and the Bollinger Band is in an expanding state. The width of the Bollinger Band has widened, reflecting the increase in volatility, suggesting that there may be a possibility of a large-volume breakthrough in the future.
In terms of MACD indicator, the DIFF line continues to rise and forms a golden cross with the DEA line. Although the momentum of the bar chart is not strong, it has not turned negative, indicating that the bullish momentum is moderate; RSI is running around 64, close to the overbought area but no divergence is formed. The market momentum is bullish and the technical side is slightly bullish.
Short-term support is at 1.1500 and 1.1440; if it effectively breaks through 1.1600, the upside space may reach 1.17.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 1.1450-1.1550
#XRPUSDT #4h (Bitget Futures) Descending channel near breakoutRipple just printed a dragonfly doji resting 50MA regained support, looks ready for short-term recovery.
⚡️⚡️ #XRP/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: Bitget Futures
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (8.0X)
Amount: 5.2%
Entry Zone:
2.2438 - 2.2088
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 2.3535
2) 2.4493
3) 2.5450
Stop Targets:
1) 2.1199
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:XRP BITGET:XRPUSDT.P #4h #Ripple #MadeInUsa xrpl.org
Risk/Reward= 1:1.2 | 1:2.1 | 1:3.0
Expected Profit= +45.7% | +80.1% | +114.5%
Possible Loss= -38.2%
Estimated Gaintime= 1-2 weeks
Slowing Global Economy and Output Hikes Weigh on Brent OilBrent crude oil is holding steady around the $60 level, even after OPEC announced another 411,000 barrels per day increase in output, following similar hikes in May, June and smaller one in April. This latest adjustment comes at a time when global economic slowdown concerns are rising, making the decision a risky one. Although the main reason points to non-compliance from Kazakhstan and Iraq, some believe the United States may have played a role, possibly through pressure from Trump aimed at controlling inflation during the ongoing tariff hikes.
With several consecutive production increases now in place, a growing surplus is likely to develop over the second half of 2025. This would maintain downward pressure on oil prices if demand fails to keep pace. At the same time, the broader economic outlook is weakening. Recent manufacturing activity data from China, the United States, the European Union, and the United Kingdom all came in below 50, suggesting a faster rate of contraction. The presence of widespread tariffs is expected to continue weighing on business sentiment and consumer demand, potentially leading to rising unemployment and slowing growth.
In this environment, any short-term spikes in Brent and WTI prices are likely to remain opportunities to sell, unless there is a meaningful shift in underlying fundamentals. For a more detailed view of economic trends, please refer to the latest monthly report.
Brent crude has been in a steady downtrend since March of last year. While the price movement doesn't follow a perfect trend channel, the structure has generally held well. At the moment, Brent is hovering near the middle of this declining channel.
The former long-term support zone around $70 to $72. If prices move up toward this zone, it could present a fresh selling opportunity as long as the resistance holds. On the downside, the $60 level and the area just below it have formed a solid medium-term support, which has held up so far.
Still, oil bulls should be cautious around the $60 mark. Even though support looks strong for now, the overall direction of the trend and the broader fundamental backdrop suggest that this level could eventually break. Any long positions taken near current levels should factor in the potential for renewed downside pressure.
Short gold ,it is expected to retreatToday, we accurately seized the trading opportunity of long gold at 3350 according to the trading plan, and hit TP: 3380 in the process of rebounding. We firmly grasped the profit of 300pips in the short-term long trading. At present, gold maintains the trend of continued rise! Now I definitely do not advocate chasing gold in short-term trading. On the contrary, I will actively look for good opportunities for short-term short trading to earn profits from short-term retracement.
In the short term, the suppression area I focus on is the 3390-3395 area, because the gold trend is relatively strong during the European session, and the US session should continue. If gold cannot break through this area in the short term, gold will likely usher in a wave of retracement. I think it should not be difficult to test the 3370-3360 area downward; secondly, we must pay attention to the same suppression area as the short-term high of 3402: 3405-3415; if gold touches this area and stagflation occurs, then it may form a secondary high in the short term, thereby hitting the firmness of the bulls' confidence and ushering in a retracement.
So next, I will test the gold short trade around the two areas of 3390-3395 and 3405-3415. Relatively speaking, the profit and loss ratio is still very favorable to us! But in the process of trading, we must strictly set up protection, after all, it is a counter-trend trade in the short term!
BVOL (Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index) Weekly TF 2025 Summary:
BVOL (Bitcoin Historical Volatility Index) remains compressed near historic lows. This analysis explores the potential for a volatility expansion cycle, key Fibonacci retracement levels, and how shifts in volatility may precede directional moves in BTC and the broader crypto market.
Chart Context:
Timeframe: Weekly (1W)
Current BVOL: ~13.23
Historical Support Zone: ~11.76–15 (consolidation base since 2022)
Resistance Area: ~25–35 (marked breakout threshold)
Fibonacci Retracement (from peak ~192.79):
23.6% = 56.17 → 2nd TP
38.2% = 89.01 → 3rd TP
48.6% = 99.74 → Intermediate fib zone
61.8% = 123.63 → Cycle expansion cap (potential BTC top region)
100% = 192.79 → All-time spike (rare volatility events)
Key Technical Observations:
Consolidation Floor: Since mid-2022, BVOL has hovered near extreme lows often a prelude to sharp directional moves.
Support-turned-Resistance: Past volatility surges often topped near fib clusters (23.6%, 38.2%, 61.8%). These will likely act as TP zones during volatility spikes.
Expected Path:
Base breakout above 25 → TP1 = 35
Acceleration phase → TP2 = 56–60
High volatility climax → TP3 = 85–89
Volatility Trend Commentary:
Current Phase: Low volatility compression, common in accumulation phases.
Volatility Expansion Signal: A break above the 25–35 band may signal the start of a high-volatility impulse (typically aligned with large BTC directional moves).
Dotted Paths on the chart reflect the two key expansion possibilities:
Straight rally up to TP3 (85)
Mid-stage pullback post-TP2 (bear trap scenario)
Macro Correlation:
BVOL vs BTCUSD: Historically, BVOL lows precede strong BTC trends — both bull and bear cycles.
BVOL vs BTC.D: BVOL surges often shift dominance; either BTC leads during volatility or altcoins rotate post-BTC move.
BVOL vs TOTAL / TOTAL2 / TOTAL3:
Volatility compression in BVOL is directly tied to range-bound TOTAL3.
Total:
Total2:
Total3:
BVOL expansion is often mirrored by strong TOTAL2 & TOTAL rallies.
Confluence seen between BVOL TP zones and critical fib levels in TOTAL charts.
Bias & Strategy Implication:
Volatility Expansion Expected: Current structure is unsustainable; expansion is highly probable in coming weeks/months.
Watch BTC Price Action: If BTC breaks key levels while BVOL rises → Confirmed trend.
Portfolio Strategy: Prepare for volatility-driven liquidation zones. Use BVOL to gauge position sizing and risk.
Notes & Disclaimers:
This analysis is part of the BitonGroup Macro Series.
BVOL is not a directional indicator but a volatility proxy. use in combination with price and dominance metrics.
Always combine volatility forecasts with proper stop-loss and leverage management.