CRUDE OIL (WTI): Pullback From Key Level
WTI Crude Oil looks overbought after a test of key daily horizontal resistance level.
A violation of a minor horizontal support on an hourly time frame after its test
provides a strong intraday confirmation.
I expect a retracement to 66.33 level.
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Support and Resistance
Trend Break + Earnings Strength = ROHLTD Watch!Royal Orchid Hotels Ltd (ROHLTD) has caught the market’s attention recently with a powerful breakout move on the charts, supported by strong fundamentals. The company operates a growing chain of hotels across India under the Royal Orchid and Regenta brands. With domestic tourism booming and business travel recovering steadily, the company is well-positioned to benefit from rising demand in the hospitality sector.
From a technical perspective, the stock had been under a downward-sloping trendline for several months, consistently facing resistance. However, in the latest session, ROHLTD managed to break this trendline with a strong bullish candle and a noticeable increase in volume.
📈 The breakout occurred with volume confirmation, indicating genuine buying interest.
📍 The key breakout level is ₹403 — a daily close above this confirms strength.
🟩 A strong support (reversal) zone lies between ₹365–₹377, where buyers are expected to step in on dips.
🎯 Upside price targets in the near-to-mid term are ₹428, ₹450, ₹485, and possibly ₹545.
On the fundamental side, the company shows healthy financial performance. Revenues have been consistently growing and currently stand above ₹300 crore annually. Profit margins are stable, and the company is maintaining solid profitability.
💰 The Return on Equity (ROE) is around 25%, reflecting efficient capital use.
💸 The company is free cash flow positive, which adds to financial strength.
⚖️ Debt levels are moderate, with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio.
🧮 The stock may appear slightly overvalued near ₹398–₹400, but the strong business outlook and asset-light expansion model justify the premium to some extent.
ROHLTD is also strategically expanding into new cities using a franchise and management contract model, which reduces capital expenditure and increases scalability. This positions the company well for long-term growth without over-leveraging its balance sheet.
For swing traders, the breakout provides an opportunity to enter above ₹403 with a stop loss below ₹360. The targets to watch would be ₹428, ₹450, and ₹485 in the coming weeks. For long-term investors, gradual accumulation near ₹365–₹380 on dips could be a smart strategy, with the potential to reach ₹500+ over the next 6–12 months, provided the company maintains its growth momentum.
In conclusion, ROHLTD is a rare case of a technical breakout aligning with strong fundamentals. While near-term volatility may persist, the overall trend appears bullish, making it a solid candidate for both traders and investors keeping a mid- to long-term view.
Disclaimer: lnkd.in
S&P500 Update: Break of Lower TrendlineIn this video, I updated the wave count for S&P500 and discussed 2 different ways of counting it but ended with a bias on a stronger wave 3 down as opposed to a wave 5 of 1 down.
The stop loss is above 6016, with 2 take profit targets:
1) 5940
2) 5923
Good luck!
Why FPT?Starting first looking at what the company is doing.
AI
The buzz word of most news headlines.
$200 Million Investment: FPT has committed to a landmark $200 million investment to build an AI Factory in partnership with global chip giant NVIDIA. The goal is to create a complete ecosystem for AI development, offering not just the raw computing power (GPU infrastructure) but also the software platforms (FPT AI Studio) and expert consulting needed to build and deploy AI solutions.
This one ties AI and chips together:
University Collaboration: FPT University is a strategic asset. They are working directly with NVIDIA and other institutions like the VNU University of Technology to incorporate AI into their curriculum, aiming to help train the 30,000 to 50,000 AI and semiconductor engineers Vietnam needs by 2030.
Chips
FPT is targeting the design aspect of making chips and there is a lot of international demand to cut into China's monopoly. FPT being in Vietnam is already in a strategically significant area. Samsung is Vietnam's single largest foreign investor and happens to be able to fabricate chips. They also have multiple existing partnerships with FPT and are no strangers to working together. Compute is hottest commodity of the modern age. Though compute is the final product I'll go over how we get there.
First stage mine it
Vietnam has an estimated 3.5 million metric tons Rare Earth Reserves. The world's sixth largest reserves. The key challenge is converting this immense potential into actual production and processed materials. In 2024 Vietnam produced 300 metric ton. So there is a lot of room to grow.
Why this matters:
This national ambition is backed by a new, aggressive legal framework. Key policies like Resolution 10-NQ/TW and the new Law on Geology and Minerals (effective July 1, 2025) mandate that raw ores must be processed in-country and explicitly push for Vietnamese companies and their partners to lead the charge. This strategy aims to prevent the export of raw minerals and build a complete high-value supply chain within Vietnam.
While FPT is not a mining company, these laws are designed to create a stable domestic supply of processed rare earths and high-value materials. This is a critical long-term advantage for a company like FPT aiming to build a world-class semiconductor design center, as it ensures future access to a secure, local supply chain.
Stage 2 is processing
Multiple countries are working on doing this. It's very complicated and the struggle seems to be making in cost effective outside of China.
Stage 3 Design
Conceptualizing the chip's architecture. (Fabless companies like NVIDIA do this). This is precisely the high-value role FPT is targeting.
Stage 4 Fabrication
This is mostly TSMC and Samsung. It's why Taiwan and chips is so related. Also worth mentioning Samsung not do fabrication in Vietnam. It does it in South Korea.
Stage 5 Assembly, Test, and Packaging (ATP)
Cutting the finished wafers into individual chips, assembling them into protective packages, and testing them to ensure they work. Companies like Intel and Samsung already do this in Vietnam.
Telecommunications Segment
While its growth is more modest (around +11.3% in 2024), it is highly profitable and provides consistent, predictable cash flow that helps fund the high-growth initiatives in the Technology segment.
Education & Other Investments
The education section has 1 simple con and that's birthrates in Vietnam. Currently below the replacement rate but effort is being made to change that. Other then that it's all good news. Over the last 50 years Vietnam has gone from it being common to have some elementary school education but no high school or university or English. To pumping out highly educated English and Vietnamese speaking students ready to take on global competition. This factory of new skilled workers means both proud parents and a nation about to steal the spotlight on a global stage. Vietnam while a small country by land mass makes up for it in a population of 100 million and a relentless work ethic. It's the definition of hard times make strong people and strong people make good times. The good times are coming. Why this matters to FPT Education? Good education costs money but it also makes $$$. With this new labor force they will be able to afford great education for the next generation. What else? Well when you got great education other people will use it. Looking forward, as Vietnam solidifies its status as a stable, high-tech hub, it's plausible that its top-tier educational institutions, like FPT University, will attract foreign students, creating an entirely new, high-margin revenue stream that is likely not on most investors' radar today.
Price Chart
Price is sitting on the weekly 8 SMA. Waiting for a move above 122000 VND this is the next FIB retracement level. Right now we have a possible low at 106000 VND and possible higher low at 115000 VND . Stoploss at 110 000 VND means that upside potential is way bigger then the downside risk. To be clear the stoploss can't be at 114900 while this might work with low volatility stocks on larger US exchanges. The risk of getting wicked out of a position here on HOSE is way different. My optimistic target right now would be 190 000 VND and FIB retracement projection is 192 500 VND. Most likely I'll take profit before that.
MACD cross
MACD is still bearish there is a chance of a cross in the next few weeks.
Daily saw a nice move up. It's also very close to attempting a cross up. It's bearish but allows for an asymmetric trade when down side stop loss can be small. While upside can be huge. Lose small and win big. I opted for tight stoploss rather then waiting for signals to all line up. Some people might be less aggressive but not waiting here is about identifying in the price favorable conditions for minimal downside. Meaning it's clear where the position become invalid.
RSI
The daily RSI has a really nice double bottom. To me this increases the likelihood of a reversal substantially.
Stoch RSI
With Stochastic RSI continuing to move up we should know soon if this position is correct of not.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
Repeated sweeps, gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Pay attention to the initial unemployment claims data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold price jumped higher in Asian session. The short-term upper pressure is at 3375. Once it breaks, the upward route of bulls will be opened. The RSI indicator in the 1H chart began to retreat after touching the overbought area. Last night's high of 3360 is now a breakthrough, and the previous strong suppression is at 3350. This morning's Asian session was also broken and stabilized. Then 3360-3350 has changed from a suppression position to a support position. Therefore, the next position we should pay close attention to should be around 3360-3350. If it can fall back to 3360-3350 in the future, it is possible to enter the market to do more, but at the same time, it is also necessary to defend 3345. Independent trading requires a SL.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3360-3350
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Room for Further Strength as Price Approaches ResistanceOn the 1-hour timeframe, I estimate that XAUUSD is currently forming wave c of wave b of wave (a). This implies that XAUUSD still has the potential to strengthen, testing the 3379 level and possibly retesting the resistance area at 3403. However, caution is warranted going forward, as this outlook reflects the bearish scenario for XAUUSD.
At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish FVG.Gold Market Update:
The gold market is currently moving upward after previously sweeping the liquidity below the previous day's lows. This liquidity grab typically signals the exhaustion of bearish momentum, and in this case, it appears to have served as a springboard for the current upward movement.
Notably, the bearish PD arrays (Price Delivery Arrays)—which are often indicative of bearish structure and order flow—are currently failing to hold. This failure suggests a weakening of bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment toward bullishness.
At present, the market has invalidated the 4-hour bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) and successfully closed above it. This is a significant development, as it often implies that the price is rejecting lower levels and building strength to push further upward. In simple terms, the market has absorbed the bearish imbalance and chosen to go higher, showing strong bullish intent.
Given this scenario, it's reasonable to interpret that the market is now aiming for higher levels, specifically toward the previous weekly high—marked on the chart with the line labeled "WH" (Weekly High). The price action suggests that the market is in the mood to test or reach that level in the near term.
However, this is not a guarantee. It's essential to watch the market closely for further confirmation signals before making any trading decisions. Additional confirmations could come from continuation patterns, bullish structure formations, or order flow alignment.
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Reminder:
Always Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before making any financial decisions.
This is not financial advice.
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers,
We’re glad to have you here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the booster and subscribe!
Key Points
- The U.S. and China have reportedly reached a principled agreement on a framework to implement the Geneva Accord. President Trump announced that "all necessary rare earth elements will be supplied by China in a 'prepaid' format," effectively lifting export controls.
- The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May rose by 2.4% year-over-year, falling short of the market forecast of 2.5%. The core CPI also increased by 2.8%, below the expected 2.9%.
- The U.K. announced results of its spending review, indicating a 2.3% increase in total government budget. Fiscal concerns triggered a spike in the 10-year gilt yield, which briefly rose to 4.6190%.
Major Economic Events This Week
+ June 12: U.K. April GDP, U.S. May Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ June 13: Germany May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The pair has continued its upward momentum supported by a trendline, but it's currently pausing near the 1.36000 level. There’s still potential for a breakout above this resistance, so further observation is needed to determine the direction. If it breaks above the recent high, a mid- to long-term rise toward the 1.40000 level is possible. Conversely, failure to break resistance could lead to a decline toward the 1.32000 level.
USD/CHF Testing June Low as Momentum Turns SouthRising geopolitical tensions and sliding U.S. Treasury yields have dragged USD/CHF sharply lower, delivering a bearish engulfing candle on the daily and pushing the pair back towards the June low at .8160. The move sets up a potential short should that level give way.
A clean break of .8160 would allow for positions to be established with a stop above for protection, targeting a retest of the April 21 swing low at .8040. Momentum signals are turning bearish, with RSI (14) breaking its uptrend and drifting further from neutral, while MACD looks set to cross the signal line below zero.
While a long setup is also a consideration should .8160 hold, recent price action and momentum shifts suggest it’s a low-probability play.
Good luck!
DS
The gold trend is perfectly in line with expectations.The recent trend of gold is consistent with my expectations. Overall, the rebound is mainly based on fluctuating downward, and the rhythm of the oscillation between long and short positions is perfectly grasped. The upper resistance is still strong, and gold can still be shorted if the rebound is not broken.
From the current analysis of the gold trend, the lower support focuses on the area around 3315-3305. If it falls back to this position range, continue to look at the continuation of the rebound upward; the upper resistance focuses on the area around 3350-3362. The overall rhythm of the high-altitude and low-multiple range is still maintained, and the strategy is mainly to participate in the range back and forth.
1. Go long when gold falls back to 3315-3305, and the target is 3330-3340;
2. Go short when gold rebounds to 3350-3360, and the target is 3340-3330.
XAUUSD analysis - potential for pullback and continuationOANDA:XAUUSD is currently consolidating near $3,310 after a decisive breakdown below the ascending trendline, signaling a shift in the short-term structure from bullish to bearish. This breakdown was accompanied by strong bearish momentum, indicating that buyers have temporarily lost control of the market.
After the initial drop, the price is now attempting to retrace toward the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone, with the 0.618 level located around $3,335. This zone also coincides with dynamic resistance from short-term moving averages (EMA cluster), making it an important confluence area. A rejection from this level would confirm a bearish retest, supporting the idea of a continuation toward the 1.618 Fibonacci extension near the $3,225 level.
However, if the price breaks and holds above $3,348, the bearish scenario will be invalidated, potentially signaling that buyers are regaining strength and may aim to reclaim higher resistance levels.
Traders are advised to wait for confirmation, such as a bearish engulfing candle, rejection wicks, or a surge in volume, before entering short positions. As always, this is a personal viewpoint, not financial advice. Trade with appropriate risk management.
Beware of the bull trap in gold.
📊Technical aspects
Gold fell to 3330 and then began to rebound. After the release of the US CPI data, gold rose rapidly. This is the time to test human nature and the true understanding of the market.
Is it the bulls coming or the positives being realized and the market continues to fall? Then many people may see the big rise and start chasing the rise, and then the market will once again make a big reversal as if it is a joke.
After the release of the US CPI data, gold continued to short at 3360-65. Gold fell as expected. Gold fell as it went up. This shows that the above section was a market that lured more buyers. The rebound will continue to be mainly short.
Since gold is now tempting to buy, it means that the main trend of gold is still short, so the rebound will continue to be short.
Gold closed with a long upper shadow in 1 hour, so gold is still a strong resistance area above 3350. The upper shadow just happened to surge upward with the help of data, which is the so-called false breakthrough. Gold rebounded to 3350-60 in the US market and continued to be short.
💰 Strategy Package
This is the charm of the market. Some people are always wavering between ups and downs, while others can always grasp the turning points. However, the prerequisite is to be able to see the trend clearly and follow the trend.
Short Position:3365-3370,3370-3380
Crude oil is expected to break through the $68.00 mark
💡Message Strategy
WTI crude oil futures prices soared during the European session on Wednesday (June 11), continuing Tuesday's gains, but failed to reach the important level of $66.45. Currently, bulls are focusing on whether they can clearly break through the technical resistance level to confirm the continued upward trend.
OPEC+ plans to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, the fourth consecutive month of increase. Its impact on global supply may be weakened. Domestic demand in Saudi Arabia and other OPEC+ members may increase in the summer, helping to absorb the additional supply. According to Capital Economics, this internal consumption may support oil prices in the short term by offsetting the increase in supply.
China-US trade truce boosts risk appetite, but demand questions remain
WTI hit a seven-week high, reflecting the recovery of market risk appetite after the China-US trade negotiations. The two sides have agreed on a framework for restarting the trade truce and easing rare earth export restrictions, boosting market sentiment.
📊Technical aspects
Oil price forecast: Bullish bias strengthens above key resistance level
If the bears regain control, $64.50 will be seen as the near-term support. A successful break above $66.75 could open up space for the next major upside target near $67.50.
Supported by geopolitical tensions, easing trade concerns and stable demand fundamentals, the outlook for crude oil remains bullish, provided that WTI can close above $66.75.
If a breakout is confirmed, it may attract new buying and push prices towards the $68 mark. However, if the current gains cannot be maintained, oil prices may fall back to the $64.50 range.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 64.50-65.00,65.00-65.30
GOLD → Strengthening and return to range. Focus on 3340FX:XAUUSD is forming a fairly strong support zone (a cascade within an upward line). The price is returning to the range, with bulls storming 3330-3340.
Markets are awaiting US inflation data (CPI), which may affect expectations for a Fed rate cut in September (chances are about 52%). Optimism following progress in US-China trade talks is supporting sentiment, but uncertainty remains due to a court ruling allowing Trump to maintain tariffs. This is holding back the dollar and helping gold. CPI forecast: 0.2% growth, core inflation 0.3%. Lower inflation, on the other hand, will support expectations of lower rates and strengthen demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Technically, gold is stuck between the boundaries of a symmetrical triangle. Overall, this situation is reflected in all markets. Consolidation is forming and the price could break out in either direction...
Support levels: 3301, 3330, 3340
Resistance levels: 3349, 3361, 3375
Focus on the boundaries of the previous range - 3330 - 3340. If the bulls, after the assault, manage to hold their ground above this zone, the market may take the initiative due to support and continue its growth towards areas of interest.
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOONUSDT → The coin that gets killed...BINANCE:SOONUSDT.P is under pressure. The coin looks extremely weak against the backdrop of a bullish market, with key support ahead, separating traders from the panic zone and a sharp decline
This coin is being killed. The price is gradually consolidating and compressing before support - the trigger is 0.2332. Against the backdrop of the overall decline that the market has experienced after a slight impulse from 0.2332, shocks are forming with the aim of capturing liquidity (red check marks). This generally indicates that large players are gathering a bearish position. A breakout of the risk zone will trigger panic and distribution.
Against the backdrop of growth in Bitcoin and the top 10 cryptocurrencies (bull market), the SOON coin is gradually declining and contracting towards key support, which could be broken accompanied by strong sell-offs.
Resistance levels: 0.2478, 0.25777
Support levels: 0.2332
If the coin continues to contract towards the 0.2332 support and form a pre-breakdown consolidation, there will be little chance of survival. In the short and medium term, I expect prices to fall.
Best regards, R. Linda!
AUDUSD → Correction after a false breakout before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to rise amid uncertainty surrounding the dollar, which continues to consolidate. The currency pair is preparing to test resistance at 0.6537
The dollar is stuck in place due to market uncertainty. At the same time, the Australian dollar is strengthening and is ready to test the liquidity zone
Within the current trend, the currency pair is heading towards resistance and the liquidity zone. We opened far away, and as we move towards the target, the potential for further growth may end. A false breakout of 0.6537 could trigger a correction
Resistance levels: 0.6537
Support levels: 0.6509, 0.6479
A sharp move towards resistance without the possibility of further growth could cause a false breakout of 0.6537. Price consolidation below this level could trigger a correction before growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!