TSLA – Are You Buying Cheap or Buying Expensive?Tesla (TSLA) continues to trade within a long-standing macro range, well-defined by two behavioral zones:
🟩 Value Zone – Accumulation ($132 to $270.50):
This is where smart money tends to accumulate over time. Historically, moves from this zone lead to long-term rallies. Price spent multiple weeks here during major drawdowns — offering long-term entries at discounted value.
🟥 Premium Zone – Profit Taking ($270.50 to $409):
Above the midpoint ($270.50), price enters what can be considered the “expensive” territory. Historically, this area has acted as a supply zone, with frequent distribution and sharp reversals.
TSLA is currently sitting just above the midpoint, testing that equilibrium. Whether it consolidates for another leg higher or fails here could define the next swing move.
So ask yourself:
Are you buying value, or chasing premium?
Support and Resistance
BTC could form a new ATH between 118K-120KBTC will be resisted between 110 K- 111 K, but will continue to rally to form a new ATH between 118 K- 120 K.
There could be another possibility that BTC will sharply move to the 0.618-0.786 Fib channel, and then continue within that channel to make a new ATH.
Let's see.
BNBUSDT 4H Analysis – Bullish Reclaim After False BreakdownBNBUSDT is showing strong bullish potential after recovering from a classic false breakdown scenario. The price structure suggests a high-probability long setup backed by solid support reclaim, clean invalidation, and clearly defined targets.
Market Context
On the 4-hour timeframe, BNBUSDT dipped below its key support zone between $640.51 – $651.47. This move triggered a false break — where price momentarily breaks below key support to trap late sellers and absorb liquidity.
What followed is a sharp recovery back above the support region, confirming the breakdown as a liquidity sweep rather than genuine bearish continuation.
Key Technical Highlights
• Support Reclaim: After the wick to $633.22, price quickly rebounded and is now holding above $651.47, suggesting strong buyer interest at that zone.
• Supertrend Flip Potential: The Supertrend zone resistance at $654.18 – $660.30 is currently under pressure. A flip here could accelerate bullish momentum.
• Well-Defined Range Structure: The move sets the stage for a return to previous range highs, with clear take-profit targets and a tight invalidation level.
Trade Setup – Long Opportunity
• Entry: Current levels around $654 – $655
• Stop Loss (SL): $640.51 (just below reclaimed support)
• Take Profit 1 (TP1): $671.80
• Take Profit 2 (TP2): $690.03
• Risk–Reward Ratio: ~2.62
Setup Type: Reclaim + Range Continuation
This trade leverages the false breakdown as a springboard for upside continuation, with the SL placed just under the support line and clear TP levels based on prior resistance zones.
Strategy Outlook
The false break around $633.22 likely flushed out weak longs and triggered liquidity collection. Now that BNB has reclaimed the support and is stabilizing within a rising demand zone, buyers may aim for previous resistance levels.
A sustained close above $660.30 would further confirm bullish control, potentially speeding up the move toward TP1 and TP2.
PLTR 479% Parabolic Rally Meets RSI Divergence at Critical ZonePalantir (PLTR) has completed a near-perfect parabolic advance, rising more than 479% over 378 days from its demand base in early 2024. The move has been relentless — supported by breakout volume and accelerating price structure.
However, we are now at a potential inflection point.
Price is stalling at the upper end of the parabolic curve, right near a prior rejection level. At the same time, the RSI has been forming multiple bearish divergences, signaling weakening momentum despite new highs.
This exact combination — parabolic rise + RSI divergence — has preceded sharp corrections in the past.
The previous drop from this region led to a -47% decline, which found support in the $70–75 zone — now marked as a 2D demand area. That zone could again act as a magnet if momentum fades.
If PLTR breaks above $135 with strong volume, the divergence could be invalidated, but for now, the chart suggests caution. This may be a topping structure or the start of a broad sideways range.
USNAS100 – Bearish Bias Below 21780 Ahead of CPI and Trade TalksUSNAS100 – Bearish Pressure Below 21780, CPI & Trade Talks in Focus
Overview:
USNAS100 remains under downward pressure ahead of a key macro week, including US-China trade talks and the upcoming US CPI data.
Technically, price remains bearish while below the pivot level at 21780.
A break below 21635 may lead to further downside toward 21470 and potentially 21360.
On the upside, a 1H close above 21780 could invalidate the bearish view and open the path toward 21920 and the ATH at 22200.
Key Levels:
Pivot: 21780
Support: 21635, 21470, 21360
Resistance: 21920, 22200
Bitcoin — Breakout or Bull Trap? SFP Setup ExplainedAfter a clean drop that nearly tagged the psychological $100K level, Bitcoin printed a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) — sweeping the lows and snapping back with strength. That bounce wasn’t just a reaction — it was a liquidity reclaim.
Now, price structure is shaping into a potential Inverted Head & Shoulders — a classic reversal pattern often forming before a bullish continuation.
🔍 Key Level to Watch:
$106,694.63 — This recent key high was just taken out. If we see rejection here (SFP), it could set up a high-probability low-risk short opportunity.
🎯 Short Trade Idea (Only on SFP confirmation):
Entry: After price sweeps $106,694.63 and shows rejection
Stop-Loss: Above wick high (e.g., ~$107.4K)
TP Zones: $103.5K and $101.7K
R:R: ~1:7
✅ Cleaner setup with confluence from structure and liquidity — high probability if confirmed.
📚 Educational Insight: Why SFPs Work So Well
SFPs (Swing Failure Patterns) are some of the most powerful setups in trading because they:
Trap breakout traders
Sweep liquidity and reverse quickly
Offer clear invalidation (wick high/low)
Allow for tight stop-loss and high R:R setups
Using SFPs in conjunction with key highs/lows, volume, and structure dramatically increases your edge.
📈 Why Order Flow Is Crucial for SFPs
1. See the Trap Form in Real Time
SFPs are essentially traps — price sweeps a key level, sucks in breakout traders, and then reverses. Order flow tools let you see this happen:
A spike in market buys above resistance
Followed by a lack of follow-through (no new buyers)
And then an aggressive absorption or reversal (selling pressure hits)
Without order flow, this is all hidden in the candles.
2. Confirm Liquidity Sweeps with Delta & CVD
Watch for a delta spike or Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) divergence — a clear sign that aggressive buyers are getting absorbed.
This gives you confirmation that the sweep failed, not just a random wick.
3. Tight Entries with Confidence
When you see actual trapped volume or liquidation clusters at the SFP level, you can enter tighter with conviction — because you're not guessing, you’re reacting to actual intent and failure in the market.
4. Early Warning System for Reversal or Continuation
If the SFP fails to trigger a reversal (e.g. buyers step back in with strength), you’ll see it early in the flow — and can quickly reassess.
🧠 Bottom Line:
Order flow lets you stop guessing and start seeing the actual fight between buyers and sellers. Combine it with SFPs, and you're not just trading price — you're trading intent. That edge is huge.
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BankNifty levels - Jun 10, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We trust that this information proves valuable to you.
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Wishing you successful trading endeavors!
Nifty levels - Jun 10, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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Wishing you success in your trading activities!
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT:
In last weeks KOG Report we said we would wait for the market to open and look for a reaction on the Red box and based on that reaction we would decide where we wanted to go and how to trade it! We immediately opened with a bounce which gave us the opportunity to then get on with the move upside as you can see in last weeks chart completing the move we wanted and the red box targets apart from 3406 (we got as far as 3404). We then identified the red box region we were expecting another RIP from and to the point we got the move down to complete the short. Please look at the chart, you will see how we picked the top, the bottom, and then the range trades within the circled levels with point to point, level to level trades all the way through the week.
A fantastic week in Camelot on not only Gold but all the other pairs we trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
Looking at the economic calendar there isn’t much going on in the early part of the week so there is potential here for the move to terminate just below before giving a bounce upside into the levels of 3330-35 which is the level to watch for the break this week. A rejection at that level can cause further declines taking us into the 3350 level and possibly 3230-25 before we form a swing low.
There is a flip here as stated above, and that is that 3330-35 region, if we break above there then bulls have that opportunity to drive this upside to clear the NFP move and take us back to target the 3400 level. It all depends on the reactions we get at the levels so we’ll start the week with the plan of action, and of course, in these markets we’ll adapt If we have to.
KOG’s bias of the week:
Bearish below 3336 with targets below 3306, 3299, 3297, 3285 and 3275
Bullish on break of 3336 with targets above 3345, 3350, 3355, 3367 and 3376
Red boxes:
Break above 3310 for 3320, 3332, if held above 3335, 3347 and 3362 in extension of the move
Break below 3306 for 3299, 3295, 3285, 3280 and 3264 in extension of the move
Many of our followers and traders have seen the power of the red boxes, Imagine this on your own TV screen, 4H for swing trading, 1H for day trading and 15min for scalping. Any pair on any chart 23hrs a day. Add to that the Knights indicator giving you swing points, key levels and retracement levels and our custom volume indicator telling you when to long, when to short and when to stand back from your trades.
LEARN AND GENERATE YOUR OWN SIGNALS. You don't need any of us to guide you.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
DeGRAM | GOLD forming the ascending wedge📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is coiling inside an ascending flag that is riding the new support line at 3 342; flag range compression after each pull-back signals energy for a thrust.
● The pattern sits above the old channel roof, turning the former resistance into a launch pad; measured move of the flag points to the next confluence at 3 435.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US jobless claims ticked up while 10-yr yields slipped under 4.30 %; lower carry costs and renewed Chinese reserve buying reported by Reuters keep dip-buyers active in bullion.
✨ Summary
Buy 3 330-3 350; flag break targets 3 435, stretch 3 500. Invalidate on a 4 h close < 3 245.
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decisive moment for AUDNZD !! a broken trendline , after last LL price made support level and after that we can see a upward movement these confluences suggest that AUDNZD is going to start bullish rally currently the price is retracing and testing the drawn trendline. instant buy with SL just below the support zone or try to find bullish divergence on 30min or 15min tf and and then trade accordingly
SPX500 – Volatile Week Ahead as Trade Talks and CPI LoomSPX500 | Overview
Fundamental Insight:
S&P 500 futures edged lower early Monday as traders brace for a high-impact week.
Key events include:
- US-China trade talks in London (Monday)
- U.S. inflation data (CPI) expected midweek (Wednesday)
Markets are cautious, awaiting clarity from both geopolitical developments and macroeconomic indicators, which could trigger strong directional moves.
Technical Outlook:
The price appears to be entering a correction phase, with the potential to drop toward 5966.
A confirmed break below 5966 may extend the bearish trend toward 5938 and 5902.
However, a break above 6030 would invalidate the bearish scenario and could trigger a bullish continuation toward 6098 and potentially a new all-time high (ATH).
Pivot Line: 6010
Support Levels: 5966, 5938, 5902
Resistance Levels: 6030, 6098
AUDUSD follow the ascending channel bullish now from key demand 📈 AUD/USD Technical Outlook – 1H Timeframe
The AUD/USD pair continues to trade within a bullish ascending channel, rebounding strongly from the key support zone at 0.64800. Momentum remains positive, signaling potential for further upside.
🎯 Next Technical Target:
1st Resistance: 0.65200
Traders should monitor price action near this level for potential breakout or rejection signals.
🔍 Stay tuned for more real-time updates, insights, and setups.
👉 Like, follow, comment, and join the community for daily market analysis and trading ideas!
— Livia 😜
PREPPING FOR LONGSUSD/CHF 1H - It will be interesting to see whether or not this area of Demand holds and whether we have means to enter in on this market with some long positions, taking advantage of the corrective wave that should trade price up and into the Supply Zone above.
Once we have clear rejection from the zone price is currently trading into, delivering us with some fractal breaks I will be using that to build on my confluence and I will be looking for some entries on the market.
I want to see the last fractal high that traded price down and into that Demand Zone break, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to now flip the balance, once we have that we can look to take part.
The potential trade here could be huge, its important we just wait patiently and sit on our hands, allowing price to come to us. Once I have the confirmation I need I will let you all know.
XAU/USD THOUGHTSXAU/USD 1H - I am in prep of buying into this market after price trading us down to clear the gap in the market and the OB that was just below that. We have means to trade this market bullish now, its just a case of waiting for an entry.
Price traded down, rejected well and broke structure to the upside, telling us that enough Demand has been introduced to flip the balance in the market. I now want price to pullback fractally to give us a refined entry.
Price pulling back into our fractal area of Demand gives us another piece of confluence, it tells us that price is putting in clear bullish structure protecting the lows and breaking the highs.
By price pulling back down, its giving us a more refined entry with a better RR, setting our SL just below the zone we get involved in and our TP just below the last higher timeframe high.
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● A bullish engulfing on the grey 1.135-1.139 demand band reclaimed the inner trend-median and confirmed the base of the rising 2-month channel.
● The pull-back has just retested the broken wedge top (~1.140) as support; pattern height projects a grind to the channel mid-rail / horizontal cluster at 1.1565.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Ahead of the ECB’s expected “one-and-pause” 25 bp cut, EZ core CPI stayed stuck at 2.9 % y/y while soft US job-openings and lower T-bill yields narrowed the 2-yr spread, helping bids return to the euro.
✨ Summary
Long 1.137-1.140; hold above 1.135 seeks 1.156 ➜ 1.160. Invalidate on H4 close < 1.126.
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AUDNZD Bearish Trend: Short Setup at Key Fib Levels?Hello traders! 👋 Diving into AUDNZD today.
Despite a recent bounce from the weekly order block and the weekly 0.618 Fibonacci level, the overriding trend remains strongly bearish on both the Daily and 4-hour timeframes. 📉 This keeps shorts on my radar.
🔍 Short Setup Considerations:
I'm considering short positions based on the following scenarios:
Scenario A: If the price reaches the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level accompanied by a liquidity sweep above a recent high.
Scenario B: Should the 0.618 level be breached, a short could be considered if the price then reaches the next 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level . Here, I'd look for a clear liquidity sweep and a subsequent reversal reaction from this level.
🎯 Potential Short Entry Zone: 1.0780 – 1.0800
I'll be patiently watching for price action to confirm one of these setups before considering an entry. Confirmation is key!
Remember to trade wisely and manage your risk.
USDCAD Short Opportunity Description :
USDCAD is setting up for a potential short — I’m watching closely for an upthrust into the highlighted zone to initiate the position. Here’s my current read:
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
1. Trendline Break
Previous bullish trendline broken with conviction. Market structure now vulnerable to bearish continuation.
2. Volume Spike with Selling Pressure
Notable increase in volume on bearish candles — suggests smart money exiting or early sellers stepping in.
3. Anticipating an Upthrust
Watching for price to sweep the highs around 1.3695–1.3700, fail to sustain, and drop back inside range.
This would provide a low-risk entry with tight stops above the highs and 5r+ down to 1.3652, possibly even lower.
📌 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 1.3695–1.3700 (after upthrust confirmation)
Stop: Above 1.3710
TP1: 1.3652 (structure low)
TP2: 1.3600 (extended target if momentum builds)
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🧠 Why This Setup?
This aligns with key principles I trade:
Trendline breaks often lead to retests followed by continuation.
Rising volume on the break is confirmation, not noise.
A failed breakout (upthrust) into previous supply zones is often the "last push" before price collapses.
Let me know if you're seeing something different. This is how I’m planning to attack the chart today.
6/9 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsLast Friday, gold experienced a sharp drop, briefly testing the 3300 level. From a technical standpoint, the market has started to show early signs of bottom formation, which could materialize either as a double bottom / multiple bottom pattern, or through a direct upside breakout.
If the former unfolds, we expect a stronger and more sustainable rebound.
If it turns into a straight bullish leg, traders should be cautious of potential exhaustion in the rally, which may invite a renewed bearish attack.
📊 Key Macro Focus This Week:
Markets will be primarily influenced by data releases on Wednesday through Friday, including:
Monthly CPI
Initial Jobless Claims
Inflation Expectations
As a result, Monday's trading will be dominated by technical patterns, with a bias toward a corrective rebound. The strategic focus should be on buying near support, with short-term opportunities to sell near key resistance.
📌 Monday Trading Plan:
✅ Buy in the 3303–3286 zone (early base-building area)
✅ Sell in the 3343–3353 zone (overhead resistance)
🔄 Intraday pivot levels for tactical entries:
3338 / 3326 / 3317 / 3309