Aussie Weekly overviewHello Traders,
Be more cautious for short trades from 0.65031
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Support and Resistance
UK100G AnalysisLooking at the chart it's clear we are in a current uptrend, but we have quite a significant level just above our current position.
If we manage to break this level then I would expect a continuation to the upside and be looking for longs, If we fail to break this level then I expect that we will come back to collect some of these areas of imbalance marked on the chart. These are 1D and 4H levels that have not been mitigated fully and could provide liquidity for the next leg up.
We could still come back for some of this liquidity if we break that level but would give a much better indication of the price heading up, a failure to break could see us hit some of the recent lows again. Marked by the demand zone on the chart.
I'll be waiting to see what happens as it stands and using my usual ORB strat in my daily trades while I wait for a swing either way.
EURCHF: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF may pull back from the underlined resistance today.
As a confirmation, I spotted a double top pattern after a test
of a key intraday resistance and a violation of its neckline with
a high momentum bearish candle on Friday.
Goal - 0.93585
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GOLD LONG🔥 XAUUSD TRADING PLAN – 4H/15M Confluence-Based Setup (as of June 9, 2025)
🧠 Bias: STRONGLY BULLISH (while above $3,290)
🔍 TRADE OVERVIEW
Item
Detail
Pair
XAUUSD (Gold)
Timeframes
4H (macro bias), 15M (entry precision)
Entry Style
Scale-in with confirmation from lower TF
Risk Type
Aggressive with tight SL
Target
$3,500 (ATH)
Stop Loss
Initial SL: $3,288 (tight), invalidation SL: $3,280
RR Ratio
1:4+ minimum
✅ ENTRY ZONES (with reasons and confluences):
🔹 Zone 1: $3,294 – $3,308 (LIVE price area)
🔁 Type: Immediate entry on confirmation (15M bullish structure)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 4H Key Support from previous horizontal base.
✅ 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement of major bullish leg.
✅ Demand Zone tapped twice on 4H and 15M.
✅ Bullish Rejection Candles forming in both TFs.
✅ Break and Retest of descending wedge/channel on 15M.
✅ Touch of ascending trendline on 4H — trend still active.
🎯 Entry: Execute small size position now around $3,298–$3,306
📍 SL: $3,288 (below trendline wick trap + structure)
📍 TP1: $3,336
📍 TP2: $3,375
📍 TP3: $3,420
📍 TP4: $3,500
🔹 Zone 2: $3,266 – $3,280 (Deeper pullback entry)
🔁 Type: Scale-in/add-on (limit order)
📌 Reasons:
✅ 50%–61.8% Fibonacci Zone (mean reversion level).
✅ 4H Trendline Deviation Trap Zone (fake-out potential).
✅ Liquidity Sweep Zone below current support = classic entry trap.
✅ Reversal candlesticks expected on 15M here if tested.
🎯 Entry: Set limit orders at $3,274 ±3
📍 SL: $3,258
📍 TP: Same levels — ride toward ATH with scaling logic
🧱 TRADE MANAGEMENT – SCALING STRATEGY
Position
Entry Zone
SL
Risk %
TP1
TP2
TP3
TP4
Entry #1
$3,298–$3,306
$3,288
0.5%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #2
$3,266–$3,274
$3,258
0.75%
$3,336
$3,375
$3,420
$3,500
Entry #3 (Optional Pullback Buy)
$3,230
$3,218
0.5%
$3,294
$3,336
$3,420
$3,500
💡 Total Risk: ~1.75% with staggered entries
📈 Scaling Out: Partial profit on each target, trailing SL above structure post TP2
🔁 LIVE MONITORING SIGNALS
If you see this...
Then do this...
Bullish engulfing on 15M in Zone 1
Enter with tight SL
Breakout above $3,320
Move SL to BE
Retest of $3,294 with strong rejection
Re-enter/add-on
Clean break down below $3,280
Close position; wait for $3,230
📉 INVALIDATION CONDITIONS
Clean 4H close below $3,280 AND break of trendline support
Break of 61.8% zone ($3,266) without reversal pattern
Sudden fundamental shock (e.g. CPI/NFP ruining trend)
🏁 FINAL TARGET PATH
✅ $3,336 – intraday resistance
✅ $3,375 – minor swing high
🔜 $3,420 – clean breakout zone
🏁 $3,500 ATH – Final TP target, psychological + technical milestone
GOLD → Correction to 3275FX:XAUUSD and medium-term outlook: Friday's strong unemployment data strengthened the dollar and triggered a sell-off in gold. Money is temporarily flowing out of the metal and into currencies and the stock market...
Technically, gold is still in a bullish phase on the global timeframe. Logically, the situation is more reminiscent of a countertrend correction of the zone of interest before continuing growth.
Despite the rise in the DXY after Friday's news, the dollar is still under pressure from Trump, who is pushing for an early interest rate cut. This move could significantly shake the market (dollar down, gold up)
Locally, on the hourly XAUUSD timeframe, we can clearly see how the price is breaking out of the uptrend, thereby triggering a downward impulse.
Resistance levels: 3325, 3343
Support levels: 3303, 3275
The liquidity level of 3300 could act as a magnet for the price, from which a correction to the resistance of the range of 3325 could form (liquidity hunt), but due to the change in the fundamental background, gold may continue its correction to 3275 (support zone) before a possible continuation of growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold is vulnerable under 3340-3350 zone1. What happened last week?
As expected, Gold broke below the key 3340–3350 support zone and even slipped under 3300 during the Asian session this Monday, briefly reaching new short-term lows. The bearish pressure continues to dominate.
2. Key question now:
Is the drop over?
3. Why I expect the correction to end soon:
- The recent decline totaled nearly 1100 pips – a strong impulse move.
- Price is now undergoing a typical retracement after a steep sell-off.
- The previous support zone at 3340–3350 is now acting as resistance – a textbook role reversal.
- I expect this zone to attract sellers again.
4. My trading plan:
I remain bearish and plan to sell rallies, especially if the price shows rejection signs in the 3340–3350 area. This correction could offer an ideal re-entry for shorts at better risk/reward levels.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
The trend is still bearish. I’m waiting for the market to confirm resistance around 3340–3350 before executing my next move.
USD/CAD 4-Hour Technical & Fundamental AnalysisUSD/CAD 4-Hour Technical & Fundamental Analysis
USD/CAD has dropped below a key support level, pressured by both technical and fundamental bearish drivers as the U.S. dollar weakens and the Canadian dollar gains strength. The 4-hour chart structure shows a potential distribution phase followed by a liquidity grab, signaling smart money manipulation before a possible continuation to the downside.
Price broke down below the minor support at 1.36800, triggering short entries. However, a sharp reversal followed, hunting stop-losses and liquidating early sellers. This false breakout indicates a manipulation phase, where price seeks liquidity before choosing direction.
If the price closes below 1.36700 with a solid 4H candle body, it confirms bearish intent and opens the door for a continuation down to the next key support, aligning with broader USD weakness and CAD strength.
📊 Trade Setup
📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.36700 (Sell on 4H candle close below)
🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.37310 (Above liquidity zone)
🎯 Take Profit: 1.34750 (Next minor support / 1:3 RR)
This setup capitalizes on institutional distribution, manipulation, and liquidity hunting behavior, providing a clear bearish roadmap.
Fundamental Outlook:
U.S. Dollar Weakness
Non-Farm Employment Change (June 6):
Actual: 139K vs Forecast: 126K | Previous: 147K
Slowing momentum in job growth hints at labor market softening, increasing the probability of a Fed rate pause.
Trade & Fiscal Pressure:
Reuters reports that 90% of FX strategists expect continued USD decline due to:
Expanding federal deficit
Unpredictable trade policy
Over $3.3 trillion added to national debt from tax cuts and stimulus packages
Canadian Dollar Strength
The CAD surged to an 8-month high (1.3665 on June 5), supported by:
Rebound in oil prices (Canada’s top export)
Optimism surrounding U.S.–China trade negotiations
A U.S. trade court blocking proposed tariffs, boosting risk sentiment
📌 Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
ETH NEW UPDATE (4H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
Inside the red zone from the previous analysis, there was also a SWAP zone that price reacted to. The pullback trendline has also been broken. After re-evaluating the chart, the best area for a potential re-entry is the $2,165 to $2,250 range.
Do not enter a position without a proper setup and risk management | you could easily become market maker bait.
A daily candle close above the invalidation level would invalidate this bearish scenario.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDJPY Pending Short at 146.32In this idea, I have plotted all the necessary information on the chart itself. But allow me to point them out in words:
1. A resistance zone drawn with a rectangle that shows 5 red down arrows, out of which 4 are historical price rejection points and the last one is an expected rejection point at the top of the resistance zone which will be our short entry.
2. An Elliott Wave count update that shows a double combination wave 2 showing that we are now in a C wave of the double combination Y wave.
3. 3 different trendlines: The purple is expected to break, the blue is where price is expected to be rejected that will coincide with the top of the resistance zone, and the green which will be our stop loss if break above.
4. A take short position risk-reward plot where SL is set is initially set up at 147.187 but this should really be following the green trendline, and a TP that is initially set at the blue H&S neckline at 141.042 (see previous USDJPY idea for the big picture H&S plot).
Overall, I am expecting a final push for USDJPY to move up that will be in-line with the equity markets last leg up) and then a higher degree wave 3 down for USDJPY that will also be in-line with equity markets downturn.
Good luck!
EURUSD InsightHello to all subscribers, and welcome!
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to hit the Boost and Subscribe buttons!
Key Points
- There was a report suggesting that the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is likely to consider slowing the pace of tapering at its monetary policy meeting later this month. Currently, it is reducing bond purchases by ¥400 billion per quarter, but a plan to cut that to ¥200 billion is reportedly under discussion.
- According to the U.S. Department of Labor, non-farm payrolls in May increased by 139,000, exceeding the market expectation of 130,000. The unemployment rate for May came in at 4.2%, matching forecasts.
- On June 5, President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping held a phone call. At the upcoming U.S.-China high-level meeting on June 9, export controls each country has implemented to block essential raw materials and technologies from reaching the other are expected to be a major topic of discussion.
This Week’s Key Economic Events
+ June 11: U.S. May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ June 12: U.K. April GDP, U.S. May Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ June 13: Germany May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
EURUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is rebounding from the 1.11500 level and is currently trending upward toward resistance near the recent high. A short-term rise toward the 1.16000 level looks highly likely. However, it remains uncertain whether it will break above the resistance level. We'll reassess the direction once the price reaches the previous high.
Gold on Monday depends on this wave of operationsBefore the non-agricultural data on Friday, gold maintained an overall oscillating pattern, opening at 3354, briefly rising to around 3375 and then falling under pressure, entering an overall oscillating downward mode. We also caught the rhythm of long orders many times and successfully exited the market with profits. Although the non-agricultural data was bearish, gold did not dive quickly, but rebounded to around 3363 after short-term fluctuations, and then fell under pressure again, and finally closed in an inverted head shape, with obvious technical bearish signals.
From the perspective of form, gold is expected to continue to rebound high and high next week. Focus on the support of this week's low point of 3296. Once it falls below, it is possible to further explore the 3270-3260 area. However, if this position remains stable and unbroken, the market still has room for rebound and repair.
From a specific technical perspective, the obstructed decline of the 3375 line on Friday is more critical, with the lowest intraday drop to 3307, and the bearish momentum is still strong. It is recommended to be prudent in operation and do not blindly chase orders.
🔸Operation ideas for gold next week:
1️⃣ If it rebounds to 3320-3325, you can try to arrange short orders. If it rebounds further to 3338-3345, it is recommended to cover short positions.
2️⃣ The first target is the 3295-3306 area. If it effectively falls below, continue to hold and look for a lower position.
3️⃣ The support below is focused on the 3295-3285 area, and the pressure above is still mainly 3335-3345. The market is mainly oscillating in the middle of the range. It is recommended to watch more and act less, and wait for key point signals before intervening.
If you are currently having trouble with gold operations, welcome to communicate with me. I will update the strategy as soon as possible according to the intraday market and try my best to make your investment less detours.
BTCUSD/US02YWen moon?
Seems like BTC will accelerate against the 02Y US… just 1 year ago this was considered a risk asset against a save heaven. The 2 years treasury note is still pretty much under the feds control, seeing that DXY is bullish I don’t think we will get a cut in rates, but BTC will start a rally.
TSLA cup and handle INVALIDATEDThe TSLA cup and handle breakout case has been invalidated as of Thursday June 5th of this past week. The start of the week showed lack of conviction in the follow through to and over the 360 price level, where sellers stepped up. This indicated a slowdown in bullish momentum and a weakening trend early in the week. The ultimate catalyst that caused the breakdown for TSLA was, of course, the public breakup of Musk and DJT over social media platforms. This caused a "waterfall effect" of intense selling pressure through low volume zones from ~330 to the high volume node and put wall at the 280 level. Price ended up overshooting 280 but ended up reclaiming that level by the end of the session and bounced higher the following day. At this point, the weekly and daily charts are showing a short term wedge formation that may take some weeks to play out. There has not been signs of big institutional buying at the these levels as of now, and as such I suspect that there may be a bit more downside these coming weeks. My current idea is a short/put position under 293.5 to about 273, with a maximum target of 250. If price ends up at or near 250 levels, I would look to start a long position for a play back up to the 300 level.
BTC - Weekly outlook - Bullish.Following on from my HTF analysis on BTC, same shit applies you little reprobates! - BTC tapped into a weekly FVG on Thursday, taking out 4 hour and daily liquidity levels in the process.
Since tapping the Weekly FVG, price has printed a strong bullish reversion, back into the 4H and Daily areas of potential resistance. Right now, is crunch time (so to speak) - BULLS NEEDS TO SEE THE DAILY PREM ARRAYS BEING DISRESPECTED.
So far, the 4H FVA has been respected, with LTF disc arrays being respected also, with that being said, the next logical targets within reach are the daily (light blue) PDA's above current price action. Asian session to run these highs? Possibly, bulls need to see strong support created in these areas if they are to realistically find levels to move higher from.
Biggest question is how much supply is residing above these levels? IF WE REACH TO THE DAILY SWING HIGH, WE NEED TO OBSERVE FOR LTF SIGNALS OF A SWEEP FORMING - ideal scenario is for price to RUN the Daily SwH to the continue towards the STH - THESE ARE OUR TARGETS FOR THIS WEEK. - Only thing that will change my bias is if the daily sweeps the SwH at 106.9K (pretty much 107K, another key level for analysts).
Happy Trading people, don't forget - trade what we SEE, not what we THINK!
ETH on its way to 3000It’s clear we’re currently trading within a range between 2k and 4k on Ethereum.
Although we deviated below 2k, price reclaimed the range with strength, which is very bullish. Over the past few weeks we’ve been consolidating in what appears to be a bull flag, and I’ve been buying anywhere between mid to lower range.
A breakout seems likely soon, with a potential test of the 3000 resistance level
Long and confident