AUDUSD: Dropping To the Weekly FVG, As Expected!In this video, we will analyze the following FX market for July 31 - Aug 1st.
AUDUSD
Been waiting and watching for this move, and we've tracked it for weeks! It's happening now!
Look for it to continue until we reach the +FVG!
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Support and Resistance
AUD/USD Rejected at Resistance-Fed on TapYesterday’s Fed-induced sell-off broke through the monthly opening-range lows / 52-week moving average with the bears now poised to mark a sixth-consecutive daily decline.
It's worth noting that weekly momentum peaked at 60 on the April advance with RSI now poised to close back below 50. The observation suggests the broader downtrend remains intact and a pivot / break below slope support could mark trend resumption.
Initial weekly support is eyed with the February high at 6408 and is backed by the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range / February high-week close (HWC) at 6354/57. A break / daily close below this region would be required to suggest that a more significant high is in place, potentially signaling a larger reversal underway. In such a scenario, the next downside objectives would be the yearly low-week close and 2023 low-close at 6291/96, followed by the 61.8% retracement and 2022 low-close at 6186–6201. Both of these zones are key areas of interest for potential downside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached.
Look for initial resistance back at the 52-week moving average (currently ~6460) with key resistance now seen back at the 61.8% retracement / yearly high-close at 6550/77. Note that the upper parallel converges on this threshold over the next few weeks and further highlights the technical significance of this zone. Ultimately a breach / weekly close above the 2021 trendline (red) would be needed to validate a breakout of the multi-year downtrend in Aussie.
Bottom line: A reversal off downtrend resistance is now approaching initial support- risk for trend resumption heading into August. From a trading standpoint, the immediate focus is on the weekly close with respect to 6400- rallies should be limited to the 52-week moving average IF Aussie is heading lower on this stretch with a close below needed to keep the immediate short-bias viable heading into the monthly cross.
Keep in mind we get the release of key US employment data tomorrow with Non-Farm Payrolls on tap. Stay nimble into the release and watch the weekly close / August opening-range for guidance for guidance.
-MB
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 1, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 1, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
🎢 Illusion Rally: What You See, Isn’t What It Was!
🧾 Nifty Summary
As we all expected, a negative gap-down opening occurred due to external news. Nifty opened 183 points lower, tested the 24,660–24,675 support zone, then rebounded sharply after a symmetrical triangle + VWAP breakout. The rally pierced through all key levels like a hot knife through butter, topping at 24,950, only to reverse with equal intensity. Closed at 24,765.
📌 Despite the technical structure, today’s move had no clear technical reasoning — more likely triggered by a mix of tariff news, confidence in Modi, weekly + monthly expiry, and manipulation.
📌 in spite of a bullish candle, strong upper rejection from 24,950 hints weakness. Candle appears bullish on colour, but bears dominated intraday close — forming a bearish Moboroshi Candle (illusion of strength).
📌 Bearish Moboroshi Candle Structure : close > open and close < Previous Close
🔍 Intraday Walk
📉 Gap down of 183 pts
🟢 Support held at 24,660–24,675
🔺 Symmetrical triangle + VWAP breakout
🚀 Sharp upmove to 24,950 zone
🔁 Reversal with same intensity
📉 Closed at 24,765 — below prior close
🖼 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,642.25
High: 24,956.50
Low: 24,635.00
Close: 24,768.35
Change: −86.70 (−0.35%)
Candle Structure:
✅ Green Candle (Close > Open) → +126.10 pts real body
⬆️ Upper Wick → 188.15 pts (Very Long)
⬇️ Lower Wick → 7.25 pts (Tiny)
Interpretation:
Opened near yesterday's low
Intraday sharp rally towards 24,950+
Faced strong selling at highs
Closed above open, but way below high — signals clear rejection
Candle Type:
📌 Bearish Moboroshi Candle — Appears bullish but hides weakness
🧠 Buyers strong initially, but sellers took control at the top
Key Insight:
Bulls need decisive close above 24,880–24,910
Else, expect drift back toward 24,660–24,675
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 208.29
IB Range: 93.95 → Medium
Market Structure: Unbalanced
Trades Triggered:
✅ 10:40 AM – Long Entry → Trailing Target Hit (R:R – 1:6.25)
📌 Trade Summary: Big R:R win today on breakout with trailing logic execution!
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
🔺 Resistance Zones:
24,820 ~ 24,830
24,850
24,880 ~ 24,890
24,910
🔻 Support Zones:
24,780
24,725 ~ 24,715
24,660 ~ 24,650
24,620 ~ 24,600
💭 Final Thoughts
"When the move can’t be explained, the best position is caution."
Today's market behavior reinforces the idea that not all moves are technical. Keep your tools sharp, but don’t ignore contextual chaos.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
EURGBP CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTUREEURGBP CONTINUING BULLISH TREND STRUCTURE IN 4H TIME FRAME.
Price is currently in a secondary trend.
Price is expected to end the secondary trend and start primary trend again.
On higher side market may hit the targets of 0.87400
On lower side 0.85950 may act as a key support level.
XAUUSD: BUYThere are some good trading opportunities in the market. That's when to buy. Gold prices haven't fallen further since falling back to 3390. There's no further negative news. Therefore, there won't be a significant short-term decline. Our focus will be on tomorrow's non-farm payroll data update. This is a crucial factor that can cause gold prices to rise or fall significantly in the short term.
I'll update you with real-time buy and sell opportunities. This is based on research from the Swing Trading Center. It's highly authoritative. Don't miss out! Remember to stay tuned.
XAUUSD: BUY 3292-3282 TP 3320. SL 3265
USD/CHF Rally Threatens ReversalThe July opening range broke to the topside on the heels of yesterday’s FOMC rate decision and takes USD/CHF back above the 25% parallel- a weekly close back above the April lows at 8040 tomorrow would suggest a more significant low is in place / a larger reversal is underway. Look for initial support near 8103 today for guidance.
Initial topside resistance objectives eyed at the 1.618% extension of the monthly advance and the 61.8% retracement of the May decline at 8222/46 backed by the median line, currently near the 83-handle. Key lateral resistance stands at 8380-8416- a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range, the 2024 low-close, the 2023 low-week close (LWC) and the 2024 yearly open (an area of interest for possible topside exhaustion / price inflection IF reached).
Support rests at the yearly LWC at 7946 with a break / close below 7881 needed to mark resumption of the broader multi-year downtrend. Subsequent support objectives seen at the 2011 LWC at 7769 and the 2011 low-close at 7669.
Bottom line: USD/CHF is threatening a larger reversal within the broader downtrend. From a trading standpoint, losses would need to be limited to 8040 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with weekly close above 8103 on Friday needed to keep the immediate advance viable into the August open.
-MB
AUDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psych Level 0.90000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.51
Entry 120%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
DeGRAM | SOLUSD is holding the $177 level📊 Technical Analysis
● SOLUSD is bouncing from the rising trendline support at 177 after a retracement, maintaining structure within a bullish ascending wedge.
● Price holds above the prior resistance-turned-support near 176.9, with a clear path to retest the 205.8 and 219–222 confluence zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Solana's 30-day DApp volume ranks top 3 among L1s, signaling increased utility. Institutional SOL inflows also continued for a fifth week, per CoinShares.
● Strong user metrics and positive funding rates suggest bullish momentum remains supported on-chain and through derivatives markets.
✨ Summary
Buy dips above 177. Targets at 205 ▶ 220. Long setup holds while price stays above 175.
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DeGRAM | GOLD reached the $3300 level📊 Technical Analysis
● XAUUSD remains capped below a broken trendline retest near 3,355, while price forms a lower-high inside a descending channel.
● The repeated rejection of the 3,357.83 resistance level, coupled with failed bullish continuation, points to renewed downside toward 3,300 and 3,262.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● A rebound in the DXY after strong US consumer sentiment and pending home sales adds pressure to gold, reaffirming real-yield strength.
● Traders are reducing long exposure ahead of upcoming NFP data and Powell’s next statement, shifting bias away from risk hedges.
✨ Summary
Short bias below 3,355. Break under 3,320 eyes 3,300 → 3,262. Key breakdown risk if lower trendline fails.
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USDCAD Wave Analysis – 31 July 2025
- USDCAD broke resistance zone
- Likely rise to resistance level 1.3900
USDCAD currency pair recently broke the resistance zone located between the resistance level 1.3785 (upper border of the sideways price range from the start of June) and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from May.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active impulse wave 3, which belongs to medium-term impulse wave (B) from the start of July.
USDCAD currency pair can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 1.3900 (target price for the completion of the active impulse wave 3).
BINANCE COIN (BNBUSD): Bullish Continuation Ahead
BNB is going to resume growth after a retest of a recently broken structure.
A bullish breakout of a resistance line of a bullish flag provides a strong bullish confirmation.
I think that the price will go up to 844 level.
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LONG ON EUR/USDEUR/USD is currently at a major demand level after sweeping sell side liquidity.
The Dxy (Dollar) is overall bearish. I expect the dollar to fall and EUR/USD to rise to the previous high / supply level for over 200-300 pips.
News most likely will affect this pair in terms of volatility.
GBPJPY: Important Demand Zone 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY is trading within an important demand zone that
is based on a rising trend line and a horizontal support.
We see a false violation of that and a bear trap, followed
by a bullish imbalance candle.
I think that the pair may go up and reach at least 198.08 level.
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USDCHF - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure.
This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback.
No opposite signs.
Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further.
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Copper testing support!Following the surprise announcement that the US administration is exempting tariffs on refined metals, the price of copper has tanked and connected with a 6M support from US$4.3805. Notably, directly above, we have a 1Y resistance level from US$4.4590 and a 3M resistance level at US$4.5515, while a breakout south could lead the base metal to as far south as 6M support at US$4.0380.
Given the downside momentum, a breakout lower could serve to add to the current bearish flow and potentially see sellers pyramid positions.
Written by the FP Markets Research Team
BankNifty levels - Aug 01, 2025Utilizing the support and resistance levels of BankNifty, along with the 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP, can enhance the precision of trade entries and exits on or near these levels. It is crucial to recognize that these levels are not static, and they undergo alterations as market dynamics evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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MEW : A meme coin that hasn't grown yetHello friends🙌
Given the decline we had, you can see that buyers entered the specified support area and entered the price into the ascending channel. That is why we can buy with risk and capital management and stay with it until the specified targets.
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UK 100 – Moving Back Into the Spotlight It’s been a while since we covered the UK 100, but it feels like recent moves and the fact there is a Bank of England (BoE) rate decision next Thursday (August 7th) means it warrants some extra attention.
For much of 2025 the UK 100 has been the under achiever when compared to other European indices, but things have changed slightly in July as a result of the breakout above the previous all-time high at 8909 (more on this below in technical update) which has led to multiple record peaks all the way up to the most recent one registered on July 28th at 9177.
This up move has been aided by bullish technical momentum, a weaker GBPUSD exchange rate, which can add support to the index given that UK 100 companies are multi-national, earning over 60% of their revenue outside of the UK, and increased expectations for a BoE rate cut of 25bps (0.25%) at their next rate meeting on Thursday August 7th.
Now, looking forward, before traders get ready for that BoE meeting, they must contend with the challenges presented by President Trump’s trade policy and two key US economic data releases that could impact sentiment towards the UK 100 into the weekend. The first piece of data is the US PCE Index inflation print, released later today at 1330 BST and the second is tomorrow’s Non-farm Payrolls update at 1330 BST.
Once traders have more clarity on the outlook for global trade after President Trump’s August 1st tariff deadline has passed, alongside the fresh insight into the current path of US inflation and the health of the labour market provided by these two pivotal pieces of economic data, their preparation can begin for a potential 25bps (0.25%) rate cut in the UK, as the market expects and the accompanying commentary from BoE Governor Bailey in the press conference on whether more cuts could be in the pipeline across the remaining months of 2025.
Technical Update: Assessing the Current Uptrend
Since posting a low of 7525 on April 7th it has been a positive period of trading for the UK 100 index, a move that has seen a near 22% advance. As the chart below shows, except for the decline down to 8692 on June 26th, this has been an almost uninterrupted phase of price strength, as a positive pattern of higher price highs and higher price lows has materialised.
Of course, there is no guarantee that this type of positive pattern will extend and continue to see new all-time highs posted, but traders may be anticipating further attempts at upside price extension, especially while support below current price levels remains intact.
So, with this in mind, let’s look at what could be the relevant support and resistance levels that might influence trader sentiment over upcoming sessions.
Potential Support Levels:
While Monday did see a new all-time high posted at 9177, a price sell-off then materialised to register a low for the day at 9060, but with support being found at this level, it might be suggested this now represents a higher low within the positive trend and as such, is potentially now the first support focus, as the chart below shows.
Traders may find it useful to monitor how 9060 performs as a support on a closing basis, as if it were to give way over coming sessions, a more extended phase of price weakness may result. Such downside support breaks could then see the focus shift to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of June 26th to July 28th strength which stands at 8990, possibly even the 50% level at 8933.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Having been capped by the July 28th high at 9177, the UK 100 index may now need to see successful closing breaks above this level to suggest a continuation of the recent positive price trend.
Successful closing breaks above the 9177 high, may be an indication of continued price strength, opening potential for moves to the next possible resistance at 9253, which is the 161.8% Fibonacci extension, even 9335, the higher 200% extension level.
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