$META - Consolidation Cluster Bullish Flagging Ahead of The FedPrice held above key levels after breakout and is now flagging near highs.
700+ zone holding as new support
Strong structure with rising 9EMA catch
Volume cooling, but MACD remains bullish
Eyeing potential expansion above $708–710 range
This setup favors continuation. Watching for a clean break and close above $708 to confirm next leg higher.
Support and Resistance
Tron (TRX) Price Prediction: Nasdaq Deal Fuels Bullish ForecastThe $210 Million Nasdaq Rumor: Deconstructing the Hype for a Realistic Tron (TRX) Price Prediction
In the volatile theater of cryptocurrency, headlines can ignite market-moving frenzies, and few have been as potent as the recent whirlwind of news surrounding Tron (TRX). The prospect of a planned Nasdaq listing via a $210 million reverse merger, intertwined with the enigmatic presence of the Trump family, sent shockwaves through the community, promising a new era of mainstream legitimacy and sparking wildly bullish price predictions. However, as the dust settles, a clearer, more nuanced picture emerges—one that separates explosive rumors from the fundamental drivers that will truly dictate the future of Tron's price.
The core of the excitement stemmed from a strategic deal involving SRM Entertainment, a Nasdaq-listed company specializing in theme park merchandise. In a stunning pivot, SRM announced it would rebrand as Tron Inc., initiate a substantial TRX treasury funded by a $100 million private equity investment, and appoint Tron's founder, Justin Sun, as an adviser. This "reverse merger" was widely interpreted as a backdoor for the Tron blockchain to gain a coveted spot on a major U.S. stock exchange, a move that would grant it unprecedented access to traditional capital and validation. Adding a layer of political intrigue, the deal was facilitated by an investment bank where Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. serve on the advisory board.
This confluence of high finance, crypto ambition, and political association created a perfect storm for speculation. The stock price of SRM Entertainment skyrocketed over 500%, and the price of TRX saw a notable jump. However, the narrative quickly became more complex. Eric Trump clarified his position, denying any direct "public involvement" in the new company, despite expressing his admiration for Justin Sun and their established business connections.
While the deal with SRM Entertainment is very real, its direct implications for the TRX token are more complex than a simple "Nasdaq listing." The transaction is for the corporate entity, which will hold TRX in its treasury, not for the decentralized TRX asset itself to be traded on Nasdaq like a stock. This distinction is critical. The move provides Tron with a publicly-traded vehicle and significant capital, but the ultimate value of TRX still hinges on the utility and adoption of the Tron network itself. Therefore, a realistic price prediction must look beyond the initial hype and analyze the bedrock of Tron's fundamentals.
Deconstructing the Hype: The Nasdaq Deal and Trump Connection
The plan for SRM Entertainment, a Florida-based supplier of toys and souvenirs, to morph into Tron Inc. is a masterclass in financial engineering. Through a reverse merger, a private company (in spirit, Tron) can go public by merging with an existing publicly-traded company (SRM), bypassing the rigorous and lengthy process of a traditional Initial Public Offering (IPO).
The deal, valued at up to $210 million upon full exercise of warrants, involves SRM receiving a $100 million equity investment from a private investor to initiate a "TRX Treasury Strategy." This strategy mirrors the approach of companies like MicroStrategy with Bitcoin, where the public company's assets are heavily invested in a specific cryptocurrency, making its stock a proxy for that asset. With Justin Sun serving as an adviser, the new Tron Inc. plans to implement a TRX staking program and even a dividend policy for its shareholders, further intertwining its fate with the Tron ecosystem.
The involvement of the investment bank brokering the deal brought the Trump name into the headlines. Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr.'s roles on the bank's advisory board led to speculation about their involvement in the new Tron Inc. However, Eric Trump later clarified his position, separating his personal and business relationships from a formal executive role in the public venture, though the connection undeniably added to the initial media frenzy.
Beyond the Rumors: Tron's True Fundamental Strengths
With the Nasdaq hype contextualized, the real question for investors is: what is the intrinsic value of the Tron network? The answer lies in its undeniable dominance in one of the most crucial sectors of the digital economy: stablecoins.
The Undisputed King of USDT
The Tron network has become the world's primary settlement layer for Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin by market capitalization. The network hosts over $78 billion in USDT, a figure that has surpassed the amount on its main rival, Ethereum. This dominance is not accidental. Tron's architecture, which allows for high throughput and extremely low transaction fees, makes it the preferred network for USDT transfers, especially for retail users and in emerging markets.
During a single month in mid-2025, the Tron network processed over $694 billion in USDT transfers through nearly 90 million contract interactions. The vast majority of USDT holders on Tron are retail users with balances under $1,000, highlighting the network's deep penetration into everyday peer-to-peer and remittance use cases. This immense and consistent utility generates real, sustained demand for the network, forming the most solid pillar of its valuation.
A Growing DeFi and dApp Ecosystem
While stablecoins are its main draw, Tron's Decentralized Finance (DeFi) ecosystem is also substantial. The network holds a Total Value Locked (TVL) of over $8 billion, placing it among the top layer-1 blockchains. Platforms like the lending protocol JustLend and the decentralized exchange SunSwap are key contributors to this activity.
The network has processed over 10.5 billion transactions from more than 313 million user accounts, demonstrating a vibrant and active user base. Although a recent decline in TVL from its peak and slowing DEX volume has been observed, the sheer number of daily active users and transactions suggests a pivot towards non-DeFi dApps and peer-to-peer transfers, reinforcing its utility beyond pure financial speculation.
Tron (TRX) Price Prediction: Technical Analysis and Future Outlook
Given the strong fundamentals, particularly its role as the leading stablecoin platform, what can be expected from the TRX price?
Technical Indicators
As of mid-2025, TRX has shown resilience. Technical analysis reveals a generally neutral to bullish sentiment. The price has been consolidating in a horizontal channel, with key resistance and support levels being closely watched. Bullish signals, such as a "golden cross" and a bullish MACD crossover, suggest potential for upward momentum. A key indicator of its potential is its market-cap-to-TVL ratio, which, at 0.26, suggests the coin may be significantly undervalued compared to the value of the assets secured on its network.
Price Forecasts for 2025 and Beyond
Price forecasts for the end of 2025 vary but are generally optimistic, contingent on broader market conditions.
• Conservative Outlook: A conservative forecast places the potential price of TRX in a range between $0.18 and $0.35 for 2025. A move toward the upper end of this range would depend on a sustained crypto bull market and continued growth in Tron's user base.
• Bullish Scenario: An optimistic forecast suggests that if a full-blown "altseason" takes hold, TRX could surpass its previous highs and target levels between $0.45 and $0.70. Some long-term models even project a path toward $1.00 or higher by 2030, assuming Tron maintains its competitive edge and expands its use cases.
• Bearish Scenario: Risks remain. A regulatory crackdown on stablecoins, particularly Tether, could disproportionately impact Tron. Furthermore, a recent $2 billion drop in its DeFi TVL, despite user growth, suggests a potential weakness in its financial ecosystem that warrants monitoring. In a bearish turn, TRX could fall back to support levels around $0.21 or lower.
The "100x Gem" Fallacy
The headlines promoting Tron's Nasdaq deal were often accompanied by mentions of speculative new tokens like "BTC Bull Token," promising astronomical 100x returns. It is crucial for investors to recognize this as a common marketing tactic that leeches onto legitimate news to promote highly speculative and often worthless assets. The future success of Tron will not be found in chasing such gambles, but in the sustained growth of its core network. The real "alpha" is in understanding the fundamental utility that drives billions of dollars in transactions daily, not in lottery-ticket tokens.
Conclusion: A Bullish Continuation Built on Reality, Not Rumor
The story of Tron's Nasdaq listing is a potent reminder of the crypto market's susceptibility to hype. While the reverse merger with SRM Entertainment is a significant strategic maneuver that provides Justin Sun's ecosystem with a public-facing entity and a war chest, it is not the magic bullet that guarantees a higher TRX price.
The true bullish case for Tron is more mundane but far more powerful. It is the network's unparalleled dominance as the world's preferred highway for stablecoin transactions. This utility provides a constant, powerful demand for the network's resources. As long as Tron remains the fastest, cheapest, and most accessible platform for billions of dollars in daily USDT transfers, its intrinsic value will continue to grow.
The Nasdaq deal is a catalyst, but the engine is the ecosystem. Investors looking for a bullish continuation should focus on the steady hum of that engine—the growth in active wallets, transaction counts, and stablecoin volume—rather than the fleeting roar of market rumors. Based on these fundamentals, a steady, upward trajectory for TRX seems not only possible but probable, with the potential to retest and surpass previous highs as the digital asset market matures.
Why I Think GBPUSD Will Sell...Technical AnalysisHey Rich Friends,
I hope you're well today. I wanted to share why I think GBPUSD will sell today and maybe more this week. This is only my technical analysis so make sure you check the news and cross reference the indicators you have on your chart. This is what I am looking at:
- The market hit a swing high on 4H and has been creating lower highs.
- The momentum is picking up for the sellers based on candle bodies.
- The stochastic is facing down, the slow line (orange) is on top of the fast line (blue) and both lines have crossed below 50. These are bearish confirmations for me.
Additional information:
- Wait for the stochastic to cross below 20.
- Wait for a break of structure below 1.35320.
- I will be setting sell stops so that my trades trigger on the way down. I will set previous highs as my SL and previous lows as my TPs.
Good luck if you decide to take this trade!
Peace and Profits,
Cha
Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – June 17, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
⚠️ Resistance Rejection at 25K – Pause or Warning Sign?
Yesterday’s note rightly anticipated today’s challenge near 25K — and that’s exactly how the session unfolded.
Nifty opened at 24,977.85, right inside the critical resistance zone of 24,972–25,000, and formed a near O=H (Open = High) structure. The index quickly lost ground, dropping 135 points within the first hour to mark a day low of 24,813.70, forming a medium-sized Initial Balance (IB) within a wide CPR — conditions known for range-bound or tricky days.
Throughout the session, Nifty hovered largely inside the CPR and IB, with a false breakdown attempt around 12:50 PM. Such setups (wide CPR + higher value + medium IB) often result in false moves or low-conviction sessions, and today was no exception.
By day’s end, Nifty closed at 24,853.40, logging a modest −93.10 point dip, forming what can be termed as a healthy pullback — but the real test remains.
If bulls want to take charge again, they must breach and close above 25,025. On the flip side, if 24,800–24,820 gives way, it could trigger a slide toward 24,725 and 24,660 in the coming sessions.
🕯 Daily Time Frame Chart
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,977.85
High: 24,982.05
Low: 24,813.70
Close: 24,853.40
Change: −93.10 (−0.37%)
📊 Candle Structure Breakdown
Real Body: 124.45 pts → 🔻 Red Candle
Upper Wick: 4.20 pts
Lower Wick: 39.70 pts
🔍 Interpretation
Opened near the day’s high but selling dominated soon after.
Small upper wick shows minimal buyer strength; recovery attempts were mild.
Lower wick indicates some support emerged at day’s low, but overall tone remained bearish.
🕯 Candle Type
🟥 Bearish Candle – strong real body, minor lower wick — reflects steady intraday selling, though not overly aggressive.
📌 Key Insight
Nifty has now rejected the 25K zone two days in a row, turning it into short-term resistance.
If 24,800 breaks, expect pressure to mount — next watch: 24,725 → 24,660.
Bulls need a close above 25,025 to regain command.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 258.48
IB Range: 131.60 → Medium IB
Market Structure: ⚖️ Balanced
Trades:🚫 No Trade Triggered by System
📌 Support & Resistance Zones
Resistance Levels
24,894 ~ 24,882
24,972 ~ 25,000
25,060 ~ 25,080
25,102 ~ 25,125
Support Levels
24,825 ~ 24,847
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,660
24,590
💭 Final Thoughts
Today’s session didn’t break anything major — but it also didn’t conquer anything new.Stuck between major support and resistance, the index is coiling for a move. Bulls have the burden of proof now.
🧠 “Markets don’t pause forever — compression leads to expansion. Be ready when it chooses its direction.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
TON: The Cryptocurrency Powering Telegram’s FutureOKX:TONUSDT OKX:TONEUR
In the fast-paced world of cryptocurrencies, TON (The Open Network) stands out as a project with a compelling backstory and bold ambitions. Born from the vision of Telegram’s founders, the Durov brothers, TON was initially designed to bring blockchain technology into one of the world’s most popular messaging apps. Despite early regulatory setbacks, it has since evolved into an independent blockchain platform under the stewardship of the TON Foundation. With its deep ties to Telegram’s vast user base and innovative technology, TON is poised to make a significant impact in the crypto space.
First, what is TON?
TON, or so called The Open Network, is a decentralized blockchain platform originally conceived by Nikolai and Pavel Durov, the minds behind Telegram. The project began with an audacious goal: to integrate a cryptocurrency-then called Gram-into Telegram, enabling seamless digital payments and decentralized services for its users. However, in 2019, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) intervened, questioning whether Gram was a security rather than a cryptocurrency. This regulatory clash forced Telegram to step back, and the project was handed over to the open-source community.
Today, TON operates independently under the TON Foundation, a non-profit organization dedicated to its development. While it no longer has a formal tie to Telegram’s corporate structure, TON remains closely linked to the app’s ecosystem, powering various features and positioning itself as a key player in the cryptocurrency.
Technology and Features
TON’s blockchain is engineered to deliver exceptional speed, scalability, and versatility, distinguishing it from many other cryptocurrencies. At its foundation lies a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, where validators stake their tokens to secure the network and process transactions. This method stands in stark contrast to the energy-intensive Proof-of-Work systems of older blockchains like Bitcoin, offering a more sustainable and efficient alternative. To manage high transaction volumes, TON incorporates sharding, a technique that divides the blockchain into smaller, parallel chains, enabling simultaneous transaction processing and significantly boosting scalability. Beyond its core architecture, TON supports smart contracts, opening the door for developers to create decentralized applications (dApps) tailored to diverse needs, such as payments or gaming. The platform also extends its functionality with TON DNS, a decentralized domain name system, and TON Storage, a file storage solution, enhancing its scope as a comprehensive blockchain ecosystem. Together, these attributes position TON as a sturdy backbone for both everyday financial activities and intricate decentralized innovations, paving the way for a wide range of future projects.
Use Cases and Applications
TON’s real-world value springs from its deep integration with Telegram, a messaging giant boasting over 700 million active users. This massive user base serves as a powerful launchpad for TON’s adoption. Within Telegram, the cryptocurrency facilitates seamless peer-to-peer payments, allowing users to transfer tokens directly to one another with ease. It also powers the app’s “gifts” feature, where people can buy and send virtual gifts, all processed efficiently on the TON blockchain. According to data from the Dune analytics platform, the total market cap of these Telegram gifts exceeded $200 million, which points to the growing popularity and acceptance of TON technology among users. Taking this a step further, developers can build Telegram Mini Apps that operate within the platform, leveraging TON for transactions and other functions-a development that could evolve Telegram into a “super-app” akin to some kind of China’s WeChat, where users access an array of services without leaving the interface. Outside of Telegram, TON’s versatility shines through its support for smart contracts, making it an appealing option for decentralized finance (DeFi) initiatives like lending platforms and decentralized exchanges. Its low-cost, high-speed transactions also make it ideal for non-fungible tokens (NFTs) and blockchain-based gaming, while its efficiency positions it as a promising tool for global payments, particularly in regions with limited financial infrastructure. As Telegram continues to improve its ecosystem, the role of TON is expected to grow, which could lead to widespread adoption of the cryptocurrency around the world.
Market Position and Further Potential
The cryptocurrency field is home to many notable players, and TON is one of them. As of mid-2025, its market capitalization stands at approximately $8 billion, ranking it among the top 20 cryptocurrencies globally. Moreover, as Pavel Durov noted, TON has become the number one blockchain in terms of daily NFT trading volume, which only strengthens more its position in the market and demonstrates its leadership in the rapidly growing segment of non-fungible tokens. Its daily trading volume of around $200 million signals robust liquidity and investor engagement.
Also several elements underpin TON’s promising trajectory. Telegram’s vast and active user base provides an unparalleled advantage, offering a ready audience that could accelerate adoption as blockchain features are further integrated into the app. Additionally, TON’s forward-thinking design, with its emphasis on scalability and efficiency, sets it apart from older, less agile blockchains, attracting both developers and users seeking cutting-edge solutions. The growing synergy between TON and Telegram, combined with the rising mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies, points to a strong future. Industry observers suggest that TON could ascend into the top 10 cryptocurrencies, propelled by its innovative technology and the strategic advantage of its Telegram ecosystem, positioning it as a formidable contender in the blockchain race.
Investment Considerations
TON presents to us with a compelling blend of potential rewards and inherent uncertainties. Its tight integration with Telegram offers a distinct edge, as few cryptocurrencies can tap into such an expansive and engaged user pool, potentially driving demand as the platform introduces more blockchain-based functionalities. The cryptocurrency’s advanced technological framework further enhances its appeal, equipping it to support the next generation of decentralized applications, from DeFi to NFTs, which could translate into significant growth if Telegram’s monetization efforts succeed. However, this opportunity comes with caveats. TON’s history, including its earlier regulatory tussle with the SEC, serves as a reminder of the persistent legal and compliance challenges that could shape its path forward. Like its peers, TON is not immune to the crypto market’s characteristic volatility, with prices susceptible to rapid shifts caused by sentiment or external events. It also faces fierce competition from entrenched giants like Ethereum and fast-rising networks like Solana, all battling for supremacy in the blockchain space. Despite these hurdles, TON’s unique strengths and strategic positioning make it an intriguing prospect for observation and possible investment in the future.
TON is more than just a cryptocurrency, it’s a blockchain platform with the potential to transform digital interactions, especially within the extensive Telegram ecosystem. Its innovative technology, coupled with Telegram’s global reach, sets the stage for pretty notable growth in the years ahead. Though challenges like regulation and competition persist, TON’s prospects remain promising.
Why Silver Could Outperform Gold in the Coming Months? Silver recently broke out above the key 34.85 resistance level, and this could be a game changer for the medium-term outlook. With rising concerns over government debt, trade uncertainty, and escalating geopolitical risks, gold rallied strongly from 2000 to 3500. Gold and silver typically have a high correlation, and silver tends to follow gold. However, during the latest tariff-driven rally, gold pushed toward 3500 while silver failed to keep up. So, why did gold outperform silver this time?
The answer lies in the demand dynamics. Gold demand primarily comes from the investment side, while silver demand has traditionally been balanced around 50% investment and 50% industrial use. That balance has now shifted significantly. According to the Silver Institute, only 17.8% of 2025 silver demand is expected to come from investments. If we group jewelry and silverware with investment as a “store of value” category, the mix becomes 61% industrial and 39% investment.
This shift has been driven by a surge in silver demand from the electrical and electronics sector. The growth of clean energy and AI technologies has accelerated silver usage. In fact, the electrical and electronics sector is projected to account for 40.5% of total silver demand in 2025. This explains why slowing global trade and economic activity have had a more negative effect on silver compared to gold, pushing the gold/silver ratio to historically high levels.
That said, this same dynamic could fuel silver’s rise in the coming years, supported by long-term trends in clean energy and advanced technology.
The breakout of 34.85 is a significant technical development . Silver has been in an active uptrend channel since 2024, but the 34.85 level repeatedly capped upward moves since October. With this breakout, silver now has room to rise gradually toward the upper boundary of the channel, potentially reaching near 40. Key support levels to watch are 34.85 and 34.45. As long as they hold, the primary direction remains upward. The moves may be gradual but could include sharp surges and continuation patterns like flags.
The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block!Bitcoin Market Update (Extended & Insightful):
The current update for Bitcoin remains largely the same as the previous one. However, there have been some slight yet significant shifts in the market behavior.
The market recently managed to close above the Breaker Block (BPR), which initially seemed like a bullish signal. But as it approached the overhead supply zone, it faced strong rejection and started to decline again. This shows that sellers are still active at higher levels.
Right now, the market is treating the BPR as an inversion level, meaning it’s testing it as potential support. This level is crucial for determining Bitcoin's next move.
🔍 So, what’s the best approach now?
Patience is key at this point. The ideal strategy is to wait and watch. Let the market clearly break either the upper supply zone (which would confirm bullish momentum) or the lower BPR zone (indicating a bearish trend). Only then can we expect a strong directional move.
Until one of these key levels is decisively broken, Bitcoin is likely to continue consolidating within this range — moving sideways without a clear trend.
🧠 DYOR — Do Your Own Research!
Always analyze before making any trading decisions.
American Airlines Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 061625Trading Idea
1) Find a FIBO slingshot
2) Check FIBO 61.80% level
3) Entry Point > 10.6/61.80%
Chart time frame:B
A) 15 min(1W-3M)
B) 1 hr(3M-6M)
C) 4 hr(6M-1year)
D) 1 day(1-3years)
Stock progress:A
A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance
B) 61.80% resistance
C) 61.80% support
D) Hit the bottom
E) Hit the top
Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern.
When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point.
As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved.
If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks.
If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
NQ studyI am quite sure the sharp move is coming... which way will it happen we will see, for longer term positions there are no reasonable entries, so once we get a breakout of this distribution or consolidation either way we are likely to see the bigger traders joining along which will accelerate the movement, so far we are looking bullish and ld like to see prices remain above the measured imbalance from 24th of february and its 50 % level, as well as going higher should let us overtake the pink imbalance positioned higher and the minor buyside though we have already received the rejection from that area.
in this case
Looking for sellside delivery first of all I am interested in the minor sellside (20945) as we have formed the equal lows down there, breaking this level will likely put us in shorts for a period of time receiving so called correction to the upward movement we had.
Ethereum Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025
- Ethereum moving inside sideways price range
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 2754.00
Ethereum cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 2435,00 (lower border of the active narrow sideways price range from May), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from May.
The upward reversal from this support zone continues the active minor impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from last month.
Ethereum can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 2754.00 (upper border of the active sideways price range).
Google Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025- Google reversed from support level 175.00
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 180.00
Google recently reversed up from the support zone between the support level 175.00 (former Double Top from May) and the 38.2% Fibonacci correction of the sharp upward impulse iii from the start of June.
The upward reversal from this support zone started the active minor impulse wave v of the C-wave from the start of May.
Google can be expected to rise further in the active Rising Wedge chart pattern to the next resistance level 180.00 (which stopped the previous impulse wave (iii) earlier this month).
USDCHF Wave Analysis – 16 June 2025
- USDCHF reversed from key support level 0.8055
- Likely to rise to resistance level 0.8185
USDCHF currency pair recently reversed up from the key support level 0.8055, which stopped the previous impulse wave (1) at the end of April.
The support zone near the support level 0.8055 was strengthened by the lower daily Bollinger Band.
Given the oversold daily Stochastic, USDCHF currency pair can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 0.8185 (former support from May and the start of June).
USD/CAD Plunges Towards Initial SupportUSD/CAD broke below key support last week with price attempting to mark a third consecutive weekly loss. A break of multi-year uptrend threatens further losses here with confluent support now within striking distance at 1.3504/23- a region defined by the 1.618% extension of the February decline and the 78.6% retracement of the late-2023 advance. Note that channel support converges on this threshold over the next few weeks- risk for possible exhaustion / price inflection into this zone.
Resistance now back at 1.3720/95 with bearish invalidation steady at 1.3958/77. A break below this pivot zone exposes the 2024 LWC at 1.3360 and the 2023 LWC at 1.3218.
-MB