USD/CAD - Triangle Breakout (23.05.2025)The USD/CAD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3792
2nd Support – 1.3760
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Supportandresistancezones
PEAQ — Fibonacci Meets Wyckoff Structure +100% SetupAfter more than 70 days of sideways action, PEAQ is finally showing signs of life — with a well-defined structure that suggests accumulation is giving way to a potential new trend.
What we’re seeing aligns closely with a classic Wyckoff Accumulation pattern. A local bottom formed around the psychological $0.10 level, followed by a clean breakout — marking a potential Sign of Strength (SOS).
Now comes the real opportunity.
Wyckoff Accumulation Structure
Following the long consolidation range:
🔹 Phase D: Breakout from range = Sign of Strength (SOS)
🔄 Current: Pullback = potential Last Point of Support (LPS)
The recent correction has now retraced into the 0.786 Fib zone of the impulse wave — a deeper but still healthy retracement for Wyckoff structure. Notably, this level also coincides with the previous highs that PEAQ broke out from, now flipping into support. A perfect test of demand.
🔍 Confluence Zone Breakdown
0.786 Fibonacci retracement: ~$0.1312
Previous highs: ~$0.14
Monthly open: $0.1289 (ideal invalidation level)
These overlapping signals create a tightly packed support zone that defines the next high-probability long setup.
🟢 Long Setup — 0.786 ($0.1312)
Entry: $0.1312
Same stop-loss: $0.125 (below mOpen)
Targets: $0.2589 and 1.618 Trend-Based Fib Extension target at $0.2694
R:R: ~16:1+
Potential upside: +100%+
📘 Educational Insight: Wyckoff Meets Fibonacci
This setup is a combination of Wyckoff theory and Fibonacci structure:
SOS breakout signals strength
LPS pullback into 0.786 Fib = high-probability continuation zone
Previous highs now acting as support
When structure, confluence, and psychology align — you don't chase. You wait.
📌 Summary
✅ 70+ days of accumulation
✅ SOS confirmed
🔁 Now retracing to LPS around $0.131
🔒 Monthly open provides clear invalidation
🎯 Targets: $0.2589 and $0.2694
💰 Potential R:R: 16:1+
Each chart is a lesson. Read it with patience, trade it with purpose.
___________________________________
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GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (23.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3502
2nd Resistance – 1.3534
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EURGBP new fall expecting
OANDA:EURGBP whats next, we are have break of DESCENDING TRIANGL, then its be created DESCENDING CHANNEL, which also is be breaked, now we have breaked and trend line.
Price currently is in zone. Expectations are to see break of zone and higher bearish fall.
SUP zone: 0.84600
RES zone: 0.83500, 0.83200
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Signals Reversal from Discount PricingGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, we are closely monitoring NAS100USD for a potential reversal of bearish institutional order flow. While the broader trend has been bearish, current price action presents strong confluence for a bullish shift, suggesting an opportunity to align with a possible upside move.
Market Context:
NAS100USD is currently trading in deep discount territory, which historically presents favorable conditions for institutional accumulation. We’ve observed a liquidity sweep—price took out previous sell stops—suggesting institutions may have order-paired against willing sellers at these discounted levels.
Key Observations:
SMT Divergence with S&P500: While the S&P500 took out its previous low, NAS100USD remained above its corresponding low. This divergence signals underlying strength and institutional buying on NAS100USD, offering a strong indication of a reversal.
Bullish Structure Hints: Minor breaks in market structure to the upside are emerging, further validating the bullish narrative.
Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently trading inside a bullish order block that is also aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a strong confluence zone that may act as support for continued upside movement.
Trading Strategy:
Await confirmation of support holding within the order block and FVG zone.
Target 1: Relatively equal highs just above current price action—an engineered liquidity pool where buy stops are likely resting.
Target 2: The premium FVG, a key area of institutional interest where longs accumulated at a discount will be offloaded for profit. The area of fair value is an region where the institutions start to book their profits.
By reading the divergence, price action, and institutional behavior, we can strategically position ourselves to capitalize on a high-probability reversal.
Happy Trading,
The Architect 🏛📊
EURGBP: Potential sell setup towards 0.8500?OANDA:EURGBP has reached a notable resistance level, an area that has been a clear turning point in the past, leading to some notable reversals. Given this, there is once again potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 0.8500 , which for me is quite an achievable target now.
But if the price breaks above this zone and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, leading to further upside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Nifty Might Range-Bound until it doesn't break 24950 levelToday 21/05/2025 around 11 O clock Nifty Tested 24950 the push was not above average volume driven that's why market was going to pullback although something absence of sellers comparatively had seen on 13 may u can see on chart but still it required to break 24950 level with good volume for being upward journey, until we expect market may range between 24500-25000.
strong Resistance- 24950-25000
Strong Support -24500
Taking Support from a Strong Trendline
Bullish Divergence on shorter tf.
Taking Support from a Strong Trendline
around 14.50 which is also a Channel Botom.
Channel Top is around 21 - 22 but mid-way
resistance is around 17 - 18
So Good Entry would be is 16 is Crossed & Sustained
on weekly basis otherwise around 13.50 - 14.60
GBP/USD - Triangle Breakout (16.05.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3389
2nd Resistance – 1.3441
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Higher Low intact.Important to Sustain 51 - 52 on
weekly basis for further upside.
If this level is crossed with good volumes,
we may witness 59 - 60
and if 51-52 is not sustained, we may witness
36-37 again & even 26 - 27 (in extreme selling pressure)
which seems somewhat unlikely because HL has not yet broken.
EUR/USD - Triangle Formation (16.05.2025)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1321
2nd Resistance – 1.1376
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USD/JPY - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 145.34
2nd Support – 143.81
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[𝟬𝟱/𝟭𝟮] 𝗪𝗲𝗲𝗸𝗹𝘆 𝗦𝗣𝗫 𝗚𝗘𝗫 𝗣𝗹𝗮𝘆𝗯𝗼𝗼𝗸🔍 IF/THEN QUICK GAMMA PLAYBOOK
IF > 5825 THEN path to 5900 → stall/profit-taking likely
IF > 5900 THEN path to first 5950, then 6000 → gamma squeeze extension zone
IF < 5825 THEN path to 5700 → test of transition zone support
Chop Zone: — re-entry = short-term balance/testing zone
IF < 5700 THEN path to 5500 → gamma flush / dealer unwind risk
🧭 𝗘𝗫𝗧𝗘𝗡𝗗𝗘𝗗 𝗭𝗢𝗡𝗘 𝗠𝗔𝗣/b]
✅ Gamma Flip Level
5700 → This is the confirmed Gamma Flip level = High Volatility Zone = HVL. We are comfortably above it, confirming positive gamma environment.
🧱 Major Call Walls / Resistance to upside from here
5900 → Significant call resistance zone (highlighted across GEX, profile, and /matrix command). 5825–5900 = Current rally zone → expected stall at 5900 (Profit-taking zone)5950 → Next mid-large positive gamma wall to the upside, mid-station between mounts. Dealers short gamma, adding fuel to breakout.6000 → Positive Gamma squeeze continuation target. Gamma squeeze intensifies → likely extends to 6000.🟦 Transition / Chop Zone
5700–5825 → Previous chop range. Retrace could test this before renewed upside.Currently outside and breaking up from this zone, indicating trend initiation.
Balance zone from prior structure.
Expect fade setups if price dips back in.
Needs catalyst or strong sell flow to re-enter meaningfully.
🛡️ Major Put Supports to the downside
5700 → = HVL, also aligned with pTrans and Put support.Dealer unwind risk, downside opens.5500 → Key level if the 5700 zone fails — “total denial zone” of current FOMO.
-----------------------------
This week’s SPX setup remains decisively bullish from a gamma perspective. The GEX profile shows strong positive gamma, with institutional and dealer hedging flows firmly positioned to support continued upside—especially into Friday’s OPEX. The environment is ideal for a controlled melt-up: volatility is softening, implied volatility is trending lower, and there’s no sign of panic in the options market.
Put pricing skew is also declining, which suggests reduced fear and a shift toward more aggressive call buying—another sign of bullish sentiment. Dealer positioning implies that any upward momentum is likely to be chased and hedged into, reinforcing the trend.
However, traders should stay alert: if SPX slips back below 5825, we may see a pause or retracement back into the 5700–5825 transition zone. Only a decisive break below 5700 would flip the gamma regime back to negative and open the door to real downside volatility.