F Investment 1D Conservative CounterTrend TradeConservative CounterTrend Trade
+ long impulse
- before 1/2 correction
+ expanding T2
+ support level
+ biggest volume 2Sp-
+ weak test
+ first bullish bar close entry
Calculated affordable stop limit
1 to 2 R/R take profit
Monthly CounterTrend
"- short impulse
+ 1/2 correction
- unvolumed T2
- resistance level
+ unvolumed interaction bar"
Yearly Trend
"+ long impulse
+ volumed T2 level
+ volumed 2Sp+
+ 1/2 correction
+ weak test"
Supportandresistancezones
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday’s chart idea is playing out as analysed.
Gold failed to break above the $3,395 resistance and has now pulled back, currently testing the first support zone — aligned with the 4H 200MA and Daily 50MA.
If this area fails to hold, price is likely to head toward the next key support zone, where we expect a potential reaction.
To resume bullish momentum, we need to see a strong close above $3,346. Key bullish zones remain $3,375 and $3,395.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,375 • $3,395 • $3,418 • $3,439
Support:
$3,361 • $3,346 • $3,330 / $3,306
$3,287 – Critical demand zone
🧠 Fundamental Focus:
All eyes are on Fed Chair Powell’s testimony today, which may offer clues about the Fed’s rate outlook and inflation stance. Any hint of continued hawkishness could weigh on gold, while dovish commentary may trigger renewed upside interest.
Expect heightened intraday volatility around his remarks — stay cautious.
Bearish momentum to meet support on USDCAD: Looking for a bounceEvening, just wanted to share what I’m seeing on the USDCAD chart
Price on USDCAD has been in clear bearish momentum, but we’re now approaching a strong support zone, that’s held firm multiple times before, as I marked it on my chart. Price is approaching the zone again and I am taking it into account for a potential bounce.
I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation as usual requirement before entering. If that support holds, I’m targeting 1.38400 , totally achievable if momentum shifts.
BUT, if this zone breaks with momentum, I’ll reassess it and stay flexible.
💡 Reminder: Patience is power, no entry until price shows me something worth reacting to. This is not financial advice.
Gold Short Term OutlookGold is currently trading around $3,368, caught between dynamic moving average resistance and an intraday resistance zone.
Price must break and hold above the $3,378 resistance to open the path toward $3,395. A confirmed break above the key $3,395 level could signal the start of the next bullish leg.
However, repeated failure to break above $3,395 — or even $3,378 — may drag gold lower into key support zones.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
$3,375 • $3,395 • $3,418 • $3,439
Support:
$3,361 • $3,346 • $3,330 / $3,306
$3,287 – Critical demand zone
🧠 Fundamental Insight:
Gold remains supported amid rising geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, U.S. airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear sites, escalating concerns over a broader conflict in the Middle East. This has reignited safe-haven demand, with gold catching a bid despite recent technical pullbacks.
Meanwhile, traders are weighing softer U.S. inflation signals against the Fed’s cautious stance. If tensions persist and economic data weakens, gold could benefit from both risk-off flows and increased speculation around potential rate cuts.
Gold Medium Term OutlookGold is currently trending within a rising channel after rejecting the $3,439 resistance zone, which marked a new Higher High (HH). Price is respecting the ascending channel support and is now testing the 50MA. The uptrend remains intact, with a sequence of Higher Lows (HL) and Higher Highs (HH) forming within the channel.
A break and hold above $3,378 could open the path for a re-test of $3,439 and potentially $3,501. However, failure to hold the rising channel support may shift momentum bearish, with $3,303 and $3,226 as the next major downside targets.
📌 Key Levels to Watch This Week:
Resistance: $3,378 • $3,439 • $3,501
Support: $3,303 • $3,226 • $3,171
🧠 Fundamental Insight:
Gold remains supported amid rising geopolitical tensions. Over the weekend, U.S. airstrikes targeted Iranian nuclear sites, escalating concerns over a broader conflict in the Middle East. This has reignited safe-haven demand, with gold catching a bid despite recent technical pullbacks.
Meanwhile, traders are weighing softer U.S. inflation signals against the Fed’s cautious stance. If tensions persist and economic data weakens, gold could benefit from both risk-off flows and increased speculation around potential rate cuts.
USDCHF H4 AnalysisUSDCHF Showing a Bearish Flag. If it breaks this zone above, Most probably can fly up to 0.82512 and higher to 0.83491. If no, Can rally between 0.80552 or even lower. Trading Analysis from 23-06-25 to 27-06-25. Take your risk under control and wait for market to break support or resistance on smaller time frame. Best of luck everyone and happy trading.🤗
ONDO — Reversal or more Pain ahead? After a strong rally back in 2024, ONDO topped at $2.15 — completing a clear 5-wave impulsive move. Since then, price has entered a prolonged downtrend, dropping over -70%, with no confirmed reversal signs yet.
We’re now trading around a critical zone near $0.70. So the question is: where’s the next potential bottom?
🔎 Technical Breakdown:
📍 VWAP Breakdown:
The yellow anchored VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) has been lost — a clear sign of market weakness. This VWAP was previously acting as support but has now flipped to resistance, which often precedes continued downside.
📌 Key Support Zone:
$0.80–$0.70 was a structural support area that has now been broken — another bearish sign.
📉 Fibonacci Confluence:
Taking the structure and applying a Fibonacci retracement, the 0.786 retracement lies at $0.4828 — let’s round that to a critical $0.50 zone. This level is important for several reasons:
Liquidity rests at a previous key low at $0.50128
Anchored VWAP Band (0.618 multiplier) aligns with the same area
The 8/1 Gann Fan also intersects around this zone
All roads lead to the $0.50 level as a potential high-probability reversal zone. A bounce from here — especially with volume confirmation or reversal candlesticks etc. — would be a signal worth watching.
💡 Educational Insight: Importance of 0.786–0.886 Fibonacci Zone + VWAP
While many focus on the 0.618 retracement, bear markets often go deeper.
The 0.786–0.886 zone is where emotional exhaustion kicks in — traders give up, liquidity pools build, and smart money steps in.
Combining this with Anchored VWAP adds precision:
VWAP reflects where the “average buyer” is positioned. When price reaches confluence with both deep fibs and VWAP fib bands, you have a statistically powerful setup for reversals.
🚨 Note: These zones are not automatic buy levels — watch for confirmation signs before entering.
🛎️ Set your alerts, stay patient, and as always let the trade come to you.
_________________________________
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USDCHF 15M ANALYSISThe analysis of my next trade works like this
Our entry is: BULLISH
(1) The 4H trendline broke
(2) We retested the 4H support
(3) We wait for a break and retest of our most recent 15 minute support
(4) We comfirm the bullish direction with our volume indicator (we want to see big volume that surprasses the 20 ema that is included in the volume indicator) and a bullish candlestick close.
IF YOU LIKED THE ANALYSIS PLEASE DROP A FOLLOW
EURUSD - 2nd potential entryEvening all
Here is a still screenshot of what I am looking for the market open on EURUSD come Sunday night after the spreads have died down on the pair.
My pending order will go directly on the FVG with my stops below the manipulation of the range.
If I get tagged in great. If I don't also great if we continue to move high I mill just manage the one position.
If I am tagged in I will give you and update with a new idea and then depending on how that idea plays out win or lose I will come back and re-visit it and break it down some more.
However I have high hopes for this trade to make it up to 1.16300
Have a great weekend
and I will speak to you all soon
EURUSD - BreakdownApologies video is a bit rushed.
Wanted to get it done before the weekend arrived.
There's so much more to this video and entry reason that I have left out unintentionally like the fact we swept the Asia lows before creating a BoS. There are also a few other things like I have left out but without looking at the chart right now I cannot remember off the top of my head.
I will post the idea of this trade below so you can see that I was taking it before it played out.
Hope you all have a great weekend and a better trading week than you had this week.
Enjoy
P.S if you have any questions please do message
TMGH Chart AnalysisTMG Holding trend has unfortunately reached a lower region than before. Despite its continuous projects' updates, it reached the mentioned support line 51.233, if it continued decreasing it might reach the support line 51.142 then 51. On the other side, this decrease isn't expected to be long. It is expected to rebound to reach the resistance line 51.386, then the resistance line at 51.631, then the resistance line 51.806
GBPJPY I Expect a Rally from the Buy Zone in the 1H Time FrameDescription:
I'm viewing the 195.116–194.845 range on GBPJPY as a strong buy zone. My target is 196.088. Once the trade setup becomes active or the target is reached, I’ll be sharing an update here. Stay tuned!
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
ARMANFIN Long IdeaARMANFIN chart looks strong. It is in uptrend and going towards ATH.
Supports and Targets are given in Chart.
Risk management is Important.
pro's : Repo Rate fallen down. Overall MFI space is better than previous quarters.
Con's : ArmanFinancial has no growth guidnace for FY26. They are in Asset Quality management currently.
GBP/USD - For FOMC & Fed Interest RateThe GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.3567
2nd Resistance – 1.3682
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Monthly Closing above 122000 will be a +ve sign.KSE100 Closed at 122143.57 on 13-06-2025
Monthly Closing above 122000 will be a +ve sign.
However, if the Index Stays above 122700, we may
witness upside again.
Breaking 118600 would bring more selling pressure.
& then Important Support would be around 112000 - 113000
and then around 110000.
Bullish on All Time Frames.MERIT Closed at 13.95 (13-06-2025)
Bullish on All Time Frames.
Immediate Support lies around 13 - 13.20 &
then around 12 - 12.20
However, 11 - 11.10 may be re-tested in extreme
pressure.
On the flip side, once 14.20 is Sustained, we may
witness upside towards 16 - 17 & then 19 -20
GBP/USD - H1-Triangle Breakout (17.06.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3485
2nd Support – 1.3444
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🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post !
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING
Thank you.
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TOTALCAP — The Next Trillion Crypto Move: Are You Ready?When people analyse the crypto market, they often default to Bitcoin and for good reason. It’s the one and only, the king. But sometimes, to see the forest instead of just the tree, you need to zoom out and study the broader picture.
That’s where the Crypto Total Market Cap (TOTALCAP) chart comes in. It’s essentially the mirror of Bitcoin, but it offers powerful macro insight — not just price, but scale. Looking at trillions instead of dollars changes how you frame support, resistance, and overall sentiment. Let’s dive in.
🧠 Why TOTALCAP Matters
TOTALCAP aggregates the value of every coin and token — the complete valuation of the entire crypto industry.
And while it often moves in sync with Bitcoin, it carries a different weight.
Shows the “big picture” of institutional and retail money flow
Offers clearly defined round-number zones (Trillions) as psychological S/R
Removes coin-specific anomalies and focuses on collective momentum
In bull and bear markets, these trillion-dollar thresholds act like major checkpoints. Watching how TOTALCAP interacts with these levels can give early signals that BTC or alts alone can’t.
Historical Key Levels & Structure
Let’s break it down by macro phases:
✅ November 2021 — Peak of Last Bull Market:
TOTALCAP peaked exactly at $3 Trillion.
This level acted as a ceiling — once hit, the market reversed sharply.
This marked the top of the 5-wave impulsive move (Elliott Wave theory).
📉 November 2022 — Bear Market Bottom:
TOTALCAP dropped below $1 Trillion, bottoming at $727 Billion.
This was almost a 0.786 fib retracement from peak — similar to BTC’s historical retracements.
The $1T mark was retested as resistance before being reclaimed as support.
📈 2023–2025 — The Bull Awakens:
$1 Trillion flipped into solid support throughout 2023.
A clear sign the macro market structure had shifted bullish.
Once $2T was breached, things moved fast.
🚀 Current State:
The market surged above the previous $3T ceiling.
TOTALCAP has hit a new ATH: $3.73 Trillion
Now, the question is: Is this the start of a new leg higher, or a bull trap before a correction?
🔍 Fibonacci Confluences — Why $3.7T Was Key
The sharp rejection at $3.7T wasn’t random. It aligns with:
1.0 Trend-Based Fib Extension: From 91.24B → 3T high → 727B low = 1.0 = 3.65T ✅ precise hit
1.272 Fib Extension of the macro move
Upper Pitchfork Resistance
Channel Top Rejection
→ All signals converged to mark that level as major resistance
🌀 Elliott Wave Macro Count
Looking at the weekly timeframe, we can see a clear impulsive 5-wave movement from the 2022 lows:
Wave 1: $727B → $1.26T
Wave 2: Correction to $975B ($1T) (support confirmed)
Wave 3: Massive rally toward $2.72T
Wave 4: Pullback toward $1.69T (VWAP retest)
Wave 5: $3.73T ATH
What does this imply?
According to classical Elliott Wave theory, after a full 5-wave move, the market tends to enter an corrective phase.
🔍 Some key levels to watch:
$3T: Historical S/R (was the 2021 top, now acting as a key level)
$2.31T: Recent swing low
$2T: Psychological and structural support
📌 Zone of Interest for Longs: $2.31T–$2T
This zone holds:
Previous consolidation zone from mid-2024
Fib retracement confluence
Likely forming Wave C bottom if this is a full ABC
🎯 Upside Targets — What If We Continue Higher?
Looking ahead:
🔸 1.618–1.666 Fib Extension = $4.42T–$4.53T
🔸 1.618 TBFE from previous cycle = ~$5.45T
📌 Rounded Targets: $4.5T, $5T and $5.5T
These are the next likely macro cycle targets — but only after a healthy correction and consolidation.
☀️ Macro Context & Summer Seasonality
Historically, summer tends to be a weaker period:
Lower volume
Institutional rebalancing
Geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty
📚 Educational Insight: TOTALCAP as a Tool
Treat TOTALCAP like the S&P500 of crypto.
Use round trillions as psychological levels: 1T, 2T, 3T, etc.
Always check if BTC’s price is aligned with where TOTALCAP is on the macro structure
Helps judge market strength even when BTC dominance is shifting
It’s especially useful when altcoins pump or dump out of sync with BTC — you can use TOTALCAP to track the real flow of money.
💡 Final Thoughts
We are likely in a corrective phase after a complete 5-wave cycle.
The area between $2.31T and $2T offers high-probability long entries
Watching how TOTALCAP reacts to these levels will help us anticipate the broader market’s next move
Summer slowdown could mean chop — but this also creates opportunities
💬 Let me know your thoughts: Are we entering a deeper correction? Or will TOTALCAP surprise us with a new leg higher?
Don’t forget to zoom out. The charts always tell the story.
_________________________________
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