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Supportandresitance

Game-changing analysis technique that will elevate your strategyAs many of my loyal followers know, my analysis toolkit goes beyond just the standard fare of CME options data and COT reports. I dive deeper, utilizing additional filters like the average long and short positions of retail traders. These insights are publicly available, and while I won’t name specific sources to avoid any hint of hidden promotion, I’ll give you a clue: look for a website with the word "book" in its title. 📚 For years, I’ve relied on this data, and it has proven to be both reliable and insightful. The average positions of market participants serve as both filters and indicators. But what do I mean by indicators? Let’s break it down. When the price interacts with these levels, it reveals the market sentiment. For instance, if the price is below the average long position and breaks through easily, it’s a bullish sentiment. Conversely, if it hovers below the level and struggles to break through, that’s still bullish, as it indicates buyers are being drawn into profitable territory. Now, let’s flip the script for the bears: if the price breaks down from above or struggles below the average short position, that’s a bearish sentiment. The price isn’t responding to sellers, dragging them into a profit land. There’s more. Often, you’ll notice different behaviors near these key levels, allowing you to enter positions with an incredible risk/reward ratio of 3:1, 5:1, or even better! This clarity gives you insight into the current market mood—who’s being punished and who’s favored at that moment. Now, let’s take a look at the screenshot of the British Pound futures chart. Here’s what you’ll see: - A green line representing the average long position of retail traders. - A red line for the average short position. - The breakeven point of a put option contract for the June futures expiring on May 22, with 1,320 contracts at a strike of 1.295. Take a moment to study the chart. What do you observe? 🤓 Ok, breathe in, breathe out. Tomorrow, we’ll dive deeper into this analysis. Don’t forget to subscribe so you won’t miss the continuation of this story! The insights I’ll share are definitely worth your time, as I aim to shift your perspective on the market by demonstrating a clear methodology without relying on indicators or technical patterns. Stay tuned; it’s going to be incredibly valuable! 🚀✨
CME:6B1!Education
by ClashChartsTeam
GOLD - Price can continue to move up inside rising channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Long time price rising near the support line, but later it made a correction movement, breaking this line. Then price had a sharp impulse that confirmed bullish structure and started to grow inside a rising channel. After reaching the top boundary, the price reversed and started a pullback to the support area near $3265. This zone also aligns with the channel base and acted as a bounce point before, making it a strong technical level. Now the price is consolidating above this support, forming a higher low, which may confirm continuation. As long as price holds, and I expect it to bounce from support line and push toward $3480 channel resistance. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by WalterMoon
23
BTC Next Move - Bulltrap or Take-off?In todays overview, we will discuss the price action of BTC and what we could expect in the short-term. What will we discuss? - Bitcoin approaching key resistance - Daily trendline break - But no higher high yet - Stochastic RSI overbought on the daily timeframe - Defining the daily range - Downside targets within the range - Final thoughts ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Bitcoin Approaching Key Resistance Bitcoin is now pressing up against a significant resistance zone in the $88,000 to $89,000 range. This area is dense with liquidity, and many stop-loss orders have likely accumulated just above the previous local wick. It's not uncommon in these scenarios for price action to briefly push higher, grabbing that liquidity and triggering those stops, before reversing direction. A short-term stop run followed by a move to the downside wouldn’t be surprising and would align with typical market behavior in these conditions. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Daily Trendline Break – But No Higher High Yet On the daily chart, BTC has managed to break above a descending trendline that had previously capped price action. While that initial breakout was a promising sign for bulls, price has since been consolidating outside the trendline without yet printing a higher high. Until that happens, the overall market structure remains bearish on this timeframe. A confirmed higher high would be needed to shift the daily trend back to bullish. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stochastic RSI Overbought on Daily Timeframe The Stochastic RSI on the daily chart has been in overbought territory for more than a week, which is typically unsustainable for long periods. This kind of prolonged overbought reading often precedes a pullback. The key question is not if a correction will happen, but how deep it will go. Ideally for bulls, a minor pullback followed by a higher high would be constructive and could signal the beginning of a stronger upward move. But until then, caution is warranted. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Defining the Daily Range Currently, Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined range between $75,000 and $88,000. This is the key zone that traders should be paying attention to. As long as price remains within this bracket, we are in a ranging market, not a trending one. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Downside Targets Within the Range If price does get rejected at the resistance zone, downside targets to watch include support levels at $84,000, $80,000, and $75,000. These levels could provide bounce opportunities within the range. There’s no need to speculate on price moving significantly below $75,000 unless that level is cleanly broken. Similarly, upside targets beyond $89,000 shouldn’t be considered until we see a proper breakout and continuation. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Final Thoughts We should treat the current market as range-bound until proven otherwise. That means respecting the range: moves into resistance zones near FWB:88K – GETTEX:89K are potential selling opportunities, while dips into support around $75K–$80K may be areas to look for buying setups. Until either support or resistance gives way, expect this chop to continue, and trade accordingly. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Short
by Youriverse
47
XAUUSD buy opportunity targeting 3400XAUUSD buy opportunity targeting 3400 1. A golden opportunity emerges as XAUUSD eyes a bullish breakout. 2. Current market dynamics strongly favor long positions in gold. 3. Investor sentiment shifts amid global economic uncertainties. 4. Safe-haven demand fuels upward momentum in precious metals. 5. Technical indicators signal strong support and bullish continuation. 6. The 3400 target aligns with historical resistance and Fibonacci extensions. 7. Central bank policies and inflation concerns bolster gold's appeal. 8. Volatility in fiat currencies drives capital toward tangible assets. 9. Momentum traders are positioning early ahead of the breakout. 10. A strategic buy now could yield significant returns as gold ascends.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XAUUSD-Trade-ideas
3
US500 BULLISH SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLEhi Fundamental view The **US500 index** dropped due to several key factors affecting the U.S. stock market: 📉 **Tech Stock Decline** – Technology stocks faced heavy pressure, especially after **Nvidia** plunged **6.9%** due to U.S. restrictions on AI chip exports to China. Other stocks like **AMD (-7.3%)** and **Micron Technology (-2.4%)** also fell. 💰 **Federal Reserve Uncertainty** – Remarks from **Fed Chair Jerome Powell** raised concerns in the market. Powell warned that new tariffs could trigger higher inflation and slow economic growth, making investors uncertain about interest rate policies. 🛍️ **Surge in Retail Sales** – Retail sales jumped **1.4%** in March as consumers rushed to buy before new tariffs took effect. This highlights economic uncertainty, pushing investors to sell their stocks. Overall, a mix of trade tensions, uncertain monetary policy, and a tech stock sell-off caused the **US500 index to drop 120.93 points (-2.24%)** on **April 16, 2025**. Technical view Yes, the **bullish symmetrical triangle** pattern is often a strong signal for upward price movement. When the price moves within this pattern, it usually indicates a **tightening volatility** before a **breakout**, which can present a good market entry opportunity. 🔍 **Breakout Confirmation** 1️⃣ Increased trading volume when price breaks above the **upper trendline**. 2️⃣ A closing candle above the **triangle resistance** for a valid signal. 3️⃣ Price targets can be measured using the pattern’s initial height as a projection. 📈 **Potential Price Movement** If the breakout happens, the price could surge toward the next **resistance level**. However, if the breakout fails and price moves below support, the pattern could turn **bearish**. Warren Buffett famously said, “Be greedy when others are fearful.” good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by mytw0cents
BTC POTENTIAL TRIPLE TOP PATTERNhi From the previous chart, the price successfully broke through the upper trendline and started to rise. This could indicate that bullish momentum is taking over. Waiting for the price to break the upper trendline is a solid strategy for confirming bullish momentum. However, there is a potential triple top pattern forming, which could indicate that the price may face rejection at a key resistance level 86056.35 If the triple top pattern becomes more apparent and the price fails to break above resistance, it could signal the start of a bearish move. In this scenario, trading volume and price action around the resistance zone are crucial to observe. If volume declines and selling pressure increases, the price may drop further. good luck **My trading strategy is not intended to be a signal. It's a process of learning about market structure and sharpening my trading my skills also for my trade journal** Thanks a lot for your support
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by mytw0cents
SPY Trade Review – Potential Pop and Flop SetupI’m tracking a potential pop and flop scenario forming on SPY. There’s a setup for a possible 5.5% move higher, followed by the opportunity for a larger short of up to 15% toward final downside targets. SPY and its key influencers, including the Magnificent Seven , are currently rebounding off significant support levels. This could allow for continued upside before running into major resistance. As highlighted in the chart, we may see a further push higher of approximately 5.5% , taking us into the weekly/daily high support lost zone at $564 . If this level acts as firm resistance and price reverses, a break below $549.83 (our trigger for adding short exposure) could lead to a significant selloff. Downside targets include: - Target 1: $502 - Target 2: $476.30 (a potential new local low) A daily or weekly close above $564.52 would invalidate this short setup. This is a high time frame setup , but I’ve shown it on the 4-hour chart for greater clarity. Now we wait and see!
AMEX:SPY
by ViciTradingSolutions
2
BNB Bulls Must Defend This LevelBNB is currently trading near a key support and resistance zone, a historically significant area that has acted as both supply and demand over the past few years. After reaching its all-time high (ATH) near $793, price has been gradually correcting, and is now approaching a critical point. The 50-week EMA (Exponential Moving Average) is acting as dynamic support, and so far has played a strong role in providing bounce zones during corrections. This EMA is currently being tested once again, and price action around it will be crucial. Just below this lies a major horizontal support zone around $415–$430, which previously served as a breakout base in 2023. If this area holds, BNB could see a rebound attempt.
Long
by unichartz
Solana’s Critical Support at $120 - Will It Hold or Break?Solana has been respecting its $120 support level for over a year, consistently bouncing back every time it tested this zone. However, the price is now once again hovering around this crucial level after a small bounce a couple of weeks ago. The key question remains: will Solana hold this support and rally again, or is a major breakdown coming? Weakening Support: A Bearish Signal? When a price level is tested repeatedly, it often weakens as buyers at that level get exhausted. The most recent bounce from $120 was notably weak, indicating that buying pressure might be fading. This could be an early warning sign that sellers are gaining control, increasing the probability of a breakdown. The $75 Scenario: What If Support Fails? If Solana fails to hold $120, the next major support level sits around $75—a price zone where significant demand previously emerged. A breakdown could trigger a sharp move lower as stop-losses get triggered and bearish momentum accelerates. Key Factors to Watch: • Volume & Strength of the Current Test – Is buying volume picking up, or are sellers in control? • Market Sentiment & Macro Trends – Broader crypto market trends, Bitcoin’s movement, and macroeconomic factors could influence Solana’s direction. • False Breakouts & Traps – Sometimes, a brief break below support is a shakeout before a strong reversal. A reclaim of $120 after a breakdown could signal a bullish trap for shorts. Final Thoughts While $120 has been a strong floor for Solana, repeated tests make it more fragile. If buyers fail to step in with conviction, a drop toward $75 becomes a real possibility. However, if bulls defend this level strongly, we could see another bounce, potentially setting up a reversal. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
by Youriverse
43
Gold at the Edge! Rebound or Breakdown?Hi Traders! 🚀 XAU/USD is testing a key trendline support—will it bounce or break? 🔹 Scenarios: 📈 Buy if it breaks above $3,010, with a stop loss at $3,008 and targets at $3,020 and $3,057. 📉 Sell if it breaks below $3,008, with a stop loss at $3,012 and targets at $3,000 and $2,985. 📊 RSI near oversold—potential bounce ahead! Keep an eye on the price action. 📢 Stay alert to economic news! High-impact events could bring volatility. 🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros! 🚀 ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXOnTop