NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
Technical Analysis
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/06/2025Nifty is expected to open flat near the 24700–24750 zone. The index has been consolidating in a tight range over the past few sessions, indicating indecision and a potential breakout on either side.
If Nifty sustains above the 24750–24800 zone, a bullish breakout may unfold with upside targets of 24850, 24900, and 24950+. A clear move above 25000 will confirm strong buying momentum with extended targets of 25150, 25200, and 25250+.
On the downside, if Nifty breaks below 24700 and fails to recover, fresh selling pressure could drag the index toward 24650, 24600, and 24550.
$UNH contrarian idea ..Hello, this seems to be the "BUY THE DIP!" name definitely on the retail side. A guy once told me, if everyone is talking about getting into something, buying something, it might be a good time to sell and get out of that something. Example: I have been buying Bitcoin for five years, the price has risen and now everybody is talking about Bitcoin, that might be a clear indicator to sell some of that position and take profits; contrarian. So, something is telling me this name isn't ready to just ride to the upside like everybody is imagining. A big zone is down around $200, a 7 year demand. This name is in turmoil, randomness happens. I believe the name would have kept going down if the insider buy did not come in and bring some momentum. I can see this name retracing back to $275 and below. Will be interesting to see. On watch is $275p 6/20.
WSL
BTC/USDT – Tactical Bullish Consolidation__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : STRONG BUY signal confirmed across all timeframes via the Risk On / Risk Off Indicator (stable green line, dominant bullish momentum).
Support & Resistance : Major multi-timeframe support at 104,000 USDT , with key resistance between 108,000–111,000 USDT .
Volume : No extreme spikes, below EMA – no panic-buy or selling climax detected.
Behavioral Indicators (ISPD) : Neutral sentiment across the board – no signs of overheating or capitulation.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall Bias : Bullish. Technical momentum is aligned with supportive macro drivers and resilient on-chain dynamics.
Trade Opportunities : Tactical buys on confirmed re-tests of 104k support; upside targets at 107k, 108k, with potential extension to 111k.
Risk / Invalidation : Strong rejection below 104k combined with fading Risk On / Risk Off Indicator → could trigger a flush toward 100k or even 94k–97k.
Macro Catalysts : US/China tensions (volatility), altcoin breakouts (risk appetite), on-chain data in euphoric phase.
Action Plan : Active monitoring, scalp bullish impulses, partial TPs under resistance, hedge on volume spikes to the downside.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis – BTC/USDT
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D : Consolidating below major resistance (108k–111k), with key support at 104k. Bullish momentum, neutral volume. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : STRONG BUY .
12H : Technical rejection at 104k–108k clusters, firm support at 100k–104k. Momentum holds, no behavioral excess.
6H : Same price levels as higher TFs. Strong momentum and neutral sentiment, no anomalies detected.
4H : Bullish rebound off 104k, facing resistance at 108k+. STRONG BUY signal intact, normal volume.
2H : Support holding firm, bulls in control. No weakness observed.
1H : Price compressing within 104k–107k. Underlying bullish momentum remains solid.
30min : Consolidation under 105.5–107k resistance. Indicator remains bullish. No sign of capitulation.
15min : Repeated tests of 104k support, slight softening in signal but bullish bias remains.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Conclusion – Execution & Position Management
__________________________________________________________________________________
Directional Bias : Bullish. Constructive consolidation with strong sector momentum.
Key Levels : 104k (support) and 108k–111k (resistance).
Strategy : Buy dips on validated re-tests, scalp breakouts, swing above 108k.
Risk Triggers : Breakdown below 104k with volume spike, or bearish reversal in Risk On / Risk Off Indicator .
Watchlist : Unusual volume spikes, ISPD turning red, abrupt macro changes.
__________________________________________________________________________________
AAVE ANALYSIS🔮 #AAVE Analysis 💰💰
📊 #AAVE is making perfect and huge rounding bottom pattern in daily time frame, indicating a potential bullish move. If #AAVE retests little bit and breakout the pattern with high volume then we will get a bullish move📈
🔖 Current Price: $248
⏳ Target Price: $348
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
#AAVE #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
WHAT'S THE FAITH OF INTEL CORPORATION STOCK? From the perspective of technical analysis, INTC is approaching a key psychological level at $19. In addition, it's in a downtrend. If the key level should hold by pushing price higher, leading to a break out of the downtrend line and closing with a strong bullish candle above the down trend line and resistance level around $22, this will indicate a strong bullish signal. Likewise, this is supported by a bullish divergence signal from the awesome oscillator. Otherwise, a failure of the psychological level of $19 may lead to price dropping further.
Furthermore, we need to look beyond technical analysis. Fundamental analysis also has some insights for our decisions.
Fundamentals for INTC established a bearish bias. The summary is as follows:
Financial Health :
• Negative EPS (-$4.47): Intel is losing money.
• High Debt ($50B): This can limit growth and increase risk.
• Declining Revenue: Sales dropped from $80B (2021) to $51B (2024).
Valuation:
• Cheap P/S (1.66x), but no P/E (due to negative earnings).
• Dividend yield (2.56%) is at risk of being cut.
Sentiment:
Stock price fell from $56 to $19.55 (65% drop). Institutional investors may be wary.
Fundamentally, INTC is weak — best suited for speculative, long-term bets (if you believe in a turnaround).
Strategy for Traders:
1. Conservative Approach:
- Wait for:
- Break out of downtrend line and resistance around $22 and positive earnings/news.
- Rising volume to confirm momentum.
- Target: $27–$30
- Stop-loss: Below $17 (apply proper risk management).
2. Aggressive Approach:
- Buy near $18–$19 with tight stop-loss ($16).
- Target resistance level at $22.
3. Avoid If:
- You’re risk-averse or prefer stable companies.
- Intel’s debt/revenue trends worsen.
Note:
- Short-Term Trade: Only if breakout confirms ($22+). High risk, but possible 20% bounce.
- Long-Term Investment: Avoid unless Intel shows profit/debt improvement.
Always use stop-losses —Intel’s fundamentals make it volatile.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advice. The outcome maybe different from the projection. Don't take the signal if you can't accept the risk.
PLTR 1D — When the tea is brewed and the handle’s in placePalantir’s daily chart is shaping up a textbook cup with handle pattern — one of the most reliable continuation setups in technical analysis. The cup base was formed over several months and transitioned into a consolidation phase, building a rectangle structure where smart money likely accumulated positions before a breakout.
Now here’s the key: price has not only broken out — it’s settled above all major moving averages, including EMA 20/50/100/200 and MA 50/200. The breakout candle was supported by surging volume, signaling strong participation from institutional buyers. When all the averages start bending upwards, it's usually not by accident.
The breakout above the $121 resistance zone unlocked a pathway toward a target at $187 , derived by projecting the height of the cup upward from the breakout level. This kind of structure, once confirmed, often fuels aggressive continuation — and this one’s got the setup locked in.
From a fundamental perspective, Palantir is holding solid ground: strong earnings reports, expanding government and commercial contracts, and aggressive development in AI services. Institutional interest is rising steadily, and that momentum is visibly reflected in price action.
To sum it up: price has launched cleanly out of the consolidation zone, pierced all critical MAs and EMAs, and continues to gain momentum. While the market sips its tea, this cup is boiling hot. Just don’t forget your stop loss — this is a trading desk, not a tea party.
If you enjoy posts like this, drop a like, share it around, and let’s hear your thoughts below. It keeps ideas moving and the content flowing — free, sharp, and relevant.
EURJPY Weekly Analysis – Major Structural Breakout & Target🧱 1. Consolidation Zone: The Dual Directional Area
From around August 2024 to May 2025, EURJPY traded inside a well-defined consolidation range, marked between approximately 155.00 to 165.00. This phase can be categorized as a Dual Directional Zone, meaning both buyers and sellers had tactical entries, but the market was in accumulation/distribution mode.
This phase often traps breakout traders and builds liquidity on both sides.
Price repeatedly swept highs and lows inside this zone but lacked any commitment, signaling that larger players were building positions.
The flat structure over months hinted that a major move was imminent.
⚠️ 2. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
The first clue of shifting momentum was the CHoCH, which signaled a change in direction and flow of control.
The lower highs and lower lows began to shift into higher lows, showing buying strength beneath the surface.
This change didn’t immediately lead to breakout, but it marked the early intention of bullish dominance.
🚀 3. Major BOS (Break of Structure): Confirming the Bullish Bias
The clean break above the range high was the confirmation of a major bullish BOS.
This wasn’t just a minor pop — it was an aggressive breakout, validating that institutional liquidity had been accumulated and was now being deployed.
The price ran swiftly toward the Bullish Target Zone (~177.50–180.00) with very little pullback, suggesting urgency from buyers or short-covering from trapped sellers.
🎯 4. Bullish Target Reached – What's Next?
Price has hit the projected Bullish Target Area — a region of prior imbalance and psychological round numbers.
Traders who caught the breakout now face a critical decision point: Will price continue higher into price discovery mode, or is this the exhaustion phase?
If price holds above the BOS level (~165.00), there’s still room for continuation. But signs of rejection or slowing momentum here could lead to a correction.
🔻 5. Bearish Alternative: Trap and Reversal Scenario
The bearish path is not out of play — in fact, this move upward could potentially be a liquidity sweep.
If price fails to stay above the BOS and rapidly closes back into the consolidation range, it would suggest a bull trap.
This would confirm a deviation, which often leads to violent reversals.
The projected Bearish Target Zone (~145.00–147.50) aligns with prior unmitigated zones and imbalance that may attract price if sentiment flips.
🧭 6. Trading Strategy & Risk Planning
For Bulls: Watch for consolidation above 165.00. Breakout + Retest entries toward 180.00 or beyond offer high R/R.
For Bears : Look for exhaustion or fakeout patterns (like a Quasimodo or supply engulfing) near current highs. A breakdown and close below 165.00 signals short entries targeting 150s and potentially 147s.
💬 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a prime example of how patience during a range and reaction after breakout pays off. Smart traders don’t chase — they prepare.
A bullish continuation may still be in play.
However, if this move was only a liquidity purge, the reversal could be deep and fast.
Stay alert, mark your key levels, and trade what you see — not what you feel.
EURGBP Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Structure Mapping & Target🧠 Market Structure Overview:
The current EURGBP structure is a textbook example of Market Mapping Cycle (MMC) behavior—where price progresses through accumulation, breakout, manipulation, and eventual rebalancing. The pair has completed a liquidity sweep and is on its final leg toward a defined reversal target zone.
🔹 Phase 1: Accumulation Within Channel
From August to late December 2024, EURGBP traded inside a descending channel.
This move created an illusion of bearish control, but careful observation reveals it was a liquidity engineering setup.
Institutions were accumulating beneath key swing lows, marked by equal lows and multiple false breaks.
The “Previous Channel Structure” identified on the chart is crucial—it acted as a bear trap and formed the base of the MMC curve.
🔹 Phase 2: Break of Structure (BOS) and Smart Money Entry
In early January 2025, the market broke structure with strong bullish candles.
This Major BOS was the first signal of institutional engagement, shifting the structure from distribution to accumulation phase.
After the BOS, price tested the breakout level, forming a curve support (MMC's bullish arc structure).
This is where smart money typically adds positions on retracement.
🔹 Phase 3: Liquidity Sweep & Acceleration
In March 2025, EURGBP dipped sharply, triggering a liquidity sweep below prior lows.
This fakeout move was a classic manipulation phase—clearing late buyers before a fast reversal.
Price rejected strongly from the curve support, confirming the MMC continuation.
🔹 Phase 4: Expansion Toward MMC Target
The market moved vertically, respecting the MMC curve structure and 50% retracement zone of the last impulse (noted on the chart).
This movement shows momentum expansion, typical of MMC Phase 3.
Price is now rapidly approaching the Target + Next Reversal zone at 0.86800–0.87200.
🔻 What to Expect Next:
The Target Zone aligns with multiple confluences: supply imbalance, psychological round number, and prior liquidity void.
Expect strong reaction or reversal from this zone.
Confirmation is needed before shorting, ideally via:
Lower Timeframe Break of Structure (LTF BOS)
Bearish divergence or volume exhaustion
Candlestick rejections (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bars)
📈 Summary of Key Technical Elements:
Concept Observation
MMC Phase Expansion (Phase 3)
Liquidity Sweep March 2025 – below prior support
BOS (Break of Structure) Early 2025 bullish breakout
Current Bias Bullish until 0.8700 zone
Reversal Potential High at MMC Target + Supply Zone
📚 Educational Note:
This analysis follows the Market Mapping Cycle (MMC) method—a higher-level view of Smart Money Concepts. By studying price curves, liquidity zones, and psychological areas, traders can anticipate market behavior before traditional indicators catch up.
JPYUSD Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Smart Structure & Target Zones🧠 Market Sentiment & Technical Landscape
The JPYUSD currency pair has entered a decisive phase in its multi-week bullish run, driven by structural integrity, smart money behavior, and market psychology. This chart captures a strategic trade progression using the Mind Market Concept (MMC) approach — a hybrid strategy blending curve dynamics, volume imprints, and structural flow to track institutional intent.
We're seeing a powerful alignment of structure, momentum, and volume signals, all pointing to a potential high-probability completion near the upper target/reversal zone.
🔍 In-Depth Technical Breakdown
🔹 1. Curve Support Foundation – The Psychological Bedrock
At the heart of this bullish move lies the Black Mind Curve Support — a dynamic, rounded trendline support based on momentum cycles and structural lows. This curve is not arbitrary; it’s a reflection of where smart money has repeatedly absorbed sell-side liquidity before marking up the price.
Multiple rejections from this zone around 0.00640 – 0.00650 provided confirmation of intent.
The rounded nature of this curve support mimics market accumulation patterns — think of it as a “loading zone” before explosive movement.
🔹 2. Structural Breakout – A Clean Bullish Sequence
Price respected a multi-month resistance line and finally broke out in April–May 2025. The breakout wasn't just technical — it occurred after:
A liquidity sweep below the February-March higher low
A retest of the curve
A sharp bullish engulfing formation on the weekly chart
This combination confirms a high-confidence shift in market structure — transitioning from ranging accumulation to directional markup.
🔹 3. Volume Imprints – Institutional Footprints
The chart highlights a Needed Volume area — this is where previous institutional order blocks likely existed. The strong bullish move into that zone confirms:
Buyers were active and aggressive
The area served as both resistance and a breakout retest
This volume footprint now acts as a supportive launchpad, reaffirming trend continuation logic.
🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone
As price continues climbing, it’s now approaching a critical confluence zone around 0.00720 – 0.00725. This zone is projected using:
Fibonacci extension of the last impulse
Measured move symmetry
Historical supply and resistance (Q3 2024 highs)
This is not just a target — it’s a high-probability reversal area. Expect:
Potential exhaustion candles
Momentum divergence
Institutional profit-taking
📊 MMC Strategy Approach – Trade Blueprint
Parameter Detail
Bias Bullish (until reversal confirmation)
Current Price ~0.00694
Buy Zone 0.00685–0.00690 (pullback entry)
Target Zone 0.00720–0.00725
Curve Support 0.00650–0.00660
Invalidation Clean break below curve or engulfing bear momentum
This MMC-based setup emphasizes patience, psychological precision, and proper confirmation for both entry and exit. The idea is to buy smart (on structure), and exit smarter (at institutional interest zones).
⚠️ Key Trader Insights
Don’t chase — wait for clean entry signals near structure (curve or trendline retest).
Use volume confirmation — don’t trade against low-volume rejections at resistance.
Watch emotional extremes — FOMO at targets often precedes reversal.
Plan for both scenarios:
Continuation → scale partial profits at target
Reversal → shift bias if bearish confirmation aligns with momentum loss
🔖 Summary Outlook
✅ Trend: Bullish continuation, respecting structure
🎯 Immediate Focus: Reaching the 0.0072 Target + Next Reversal Zone
🔄 Actionable Tip: Monitor for rejection/absorption candles in the upper blue zone
💼 Risk Management: Use curve break or engulfing reversal as an exit trigger
This setup reflects high technical confluence and fits into a longer-term institutional roadmap. Whether you're swing trading or intraday scaling within this wave — the logic remains powerful.
XAGUSD Weekly Technical Analysis Breakdown (MMC Style) + Target📈 Chart Summary:
The chart shows the price action of Silver (XAG/USD) on the daily timeframe, capturing a significant shift in market sentiment. This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Maker Cycle) concept and a combination of Smart Money Concepts, Pennant Structure, and Volume Contraction patterns.
Over the past weeks, XAGUSD has transitioned from accumulation and markup to distribution and markdown, suggesting that smart money has exited long positions and is now pushing price toward discount zones for future reaccumulation.
🔍 Detailed Breakdown:
🔹 1. Major Resistance Area – The Selling Origin
At the top of the chart, we see a major resistance zone near $35–$36, which acted as a structural ceiling for months. Each time price approached this area, sellers stepped in aggressively, rejecting price and creating long wicks.
This level represents institutional supply—where big players offload positions, often leaving a liquidity trail behind for later use.
🔹 2. Pennant Formation + Volume Contraction – Classic Distribution
From late April to mid-May, Silver formed a pennant structure, a well-known consolidation pattern. What's special here is the volume contraction—a subtle clue that buyers are drying up while sellers prepare for a large move.
This is a classic Wyckoff distribution behavior:
Buyers are lured in as price moves in a tight range.
Breakout traders enter early expecting a bullish continuation.
Institutions trap liquidity before dumping price into inefficiency.
The mini Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside acted as a false breakout, perfectly engineered to trap liquidity above the pennant.
🔹 3. Structural Breakdown – Momentum Shifts Bearish
Once the trap was complete, price reversed with strong momentum, breaking past key supports and violating internal structure. The label "Structural Analysis" marks the beginning of this break in market structure, confirming the change in character.
This shift aligns with Smart Money’s "Manipulation → Distribution → Expansion" logic.
We also note how price broke below the SR-interchange zone, where support became resistance—a powerful reversal confirmation.
🔹 4. Target + Next Reversal Zone – The Magnet
Currently, Silver is headed toward the $29–$28 zone, highlighted in red as the "Target + Next Reversal" area.
This level has high confluence:
Acts as a previous QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level).
Has unmitigated demand.
Matches with earlier lows where smart money likely accumulated positions.
Here, we can expect either a strong bounce or short-term consolidation before the next directional move.
📌 Confluence Zones:
Key Zone Significance
$35–$36 Major Resistance (Supply / Exit zone)
$33.5 Mini BOS & Liquidity Trap Area
$31.8 – $32.5 Structural Break Zone (Old Demand Broken)
$29 – $28 Target + Reversal (High Confluence Zone)
🧠 Smart Money Perspective:
This entire sequence is not random—it’s engineered.
Institutions:
Collected orders at the bottom.
Pushed price up to resistance.
Consolidated in a pennant to build liquidity.
Triggered a false breakout to trap late buyers.
Dumped aggressively, targeting previous lows for re-entry.
This is the Market Maker Cycle in action — and we’re in the Distribution to Markdown phase right now.
🎯 Trading Plan:
Short-Term Bias: Bearish until $29–$28 is reached.
Swing Traders: Look for signs of reversal in the $28–$29 zone (bullish engulfing, FVG fill, or demand reactivation).
Day Traders: Watch for pullbacks to the $32.5–$33 resistance zone to enter continuation shorts.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook example of how Smart Money manipulates structure, traps liquidity, and moves price in phases. Patterns like pennants, BOS, and SR flips, when combined with volume and context, give us clear directional bias.
If you're still chasing the breakout without understanding the setup behind it, you're trading against those who engineered the move. Understand the structure — or get trapped by it.
BTCUSD Weekly Structure Analysis – Bearish Trend + Target🔍 Overview:
Bitcoin has shown us a classic market structure shift, moving from bullish strength into a clear bearish retracement, all while respecting major zones and smart money concepts. This current price action highlights a Bearish Break of Structure (BOS), followed by a continuation move toward a key demand zone, which we are eyeing for the next potential reversal opportunity.
🧩 1. TRC Breakout & Early Bull Run
The chart shows a strong bullish phase starting from November 2024, which peaked in late May 2025.
The TRC (Trendline Resistance Channel) Breakout marked the shift from lower highs to higher highs.
This breakout was the initial sign of bullish strength, leading to a break of structure (BOS) around the $108,000–$110,000 level.
⚠️ 2. BOS Confirmed – Structure Starts to Crumble
Once price reached the reversal area near $112,000 (supply zone), we saw a failure to form new highs.
The Bearish BOS was confirmed when price failed to hold support and aggressively broke below the previous higher low.
This BOS is our first confirmation of trend exhaustion and a transition into bearish structure.
🧠 3. Structural Analysis & Smart Money Behavior
Notice how price moved sideways near the top before dropping — a typical distribution phase.
This is where smart money distributes positions to retail buyers at the top before the markdown.
After the BOS, each lower high confirmed the bearish market structure, with no strong bullish CHoCH in sight.
🧱 4. Major CHoCH & Interchange Zone
Look lower on the chart — the SR Interchange Zone around the $76,000–$78,000 area is significant.
This acted as resistance in early 2025, flipped into support later, and now stands as a potential Major CHoCH (Change of Character) if price revisits and reverses here.
If price respects this zone again, it could mark the next bullish accumulation phase.
🎯 5. Current Target: $83,000–$85,000 Zone
Based on structural behavior, liquidity voids, and past interaction, our short-term target is the $83,000–$85,000 demand zone.
This area is marked as “Target + Next Reversal” on the chart.
We expect either:
A reaction and reversal from this zone
Or a deeper push toward SR Interchange depending on volume and macro triggers
🧮 Key Technical Breakdown:
Component Observation
Trendline Break TRC Breakout in February
Bullish BOS Confirmed around $108,000
Reversal Area ~$112,000 (Supply/Distribution)
Structure Shift Bearish BOS confirmed
Current Target $83,000–$85,000
CHoCH Potential $76,000–$78,000
Bias Bearish short-term
🧠 Trading Wisdom:
“Structure tells the story — price action confirms it.”
Always analyze shifts in structure, not just candle patterns. BOS and CHoCH are some of the most reliable tools in understanding true market intent, especially when aligned with high-volume reversal areas.
✅ Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is currently in a controlled retracement phase, and we are watching closely how price behaves near the $83K–$85K demand zone. If that fails, the deeper SR Interchange at ~$76K becomes the next high-probability zone for long entries.
This is a time to be patient, analyze clean structure, and ride with smart money, not against it.
Gold Analysis Weekly (XAU/USD) – Bullish Pennant + Target🔍 Overview:
The XAU/USD (Gold) chart is displaying a textbook Pennant Pattern, and we are witnessing a powerful bullish breakout from this structure. This is a great example of how price consolidates before continuing its larger trend — in this case, upward.
Let’s break down each major component of the pattern and price behavior:
🧩 1. The Pennant Pattern – Continuation Structure
A Pennant typically forms after a strong impulsive move (flagpole), followed by a period of consolidation where price creates lower highs and higher lows, forming a triangle-like shape. This structure reflects market indecision, but it’s usually a pause before continuation.
In our case:
The rally in March–April built the flagpole
The April–May consolidation formed the pennant
The recent breakout signals trend continuation
🎭 2. Fake First Move – Classic Trap!
One of the key traits of pennants is the initial fake breakout—and that’s exactly what happened here.
The chart shows an early bearish break, which was a liquidity grab or fake move meant to trap retail traders who entered short too early.
Smart money often uses such tactics to create imbalance and then reverse the market in the opposite direction.
🔄 3. Major CHoCH (Change of Character)
Following the fake move, price reversed aggressively, breaking internal structure and forming a Major Change of Character (CHoCH).
This was the first signal that the bulls were back in control and that the bearish pressure was only temporary.
🧱 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) & Trendline Break
The decisive move came next — when price broke above the upper trendline of the pennant and took out previous highs.
This break is what we call a Major BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market is shifting from consolidation back into trend mode.
The breakout was backed by momentum candles, indicating institutional activity.
🎯 5. Target Zone: $3,700–$3,750 (Reversal Area)
Using the measured move technique (height of the flagpole projected from breakout point), the calculated target zone lies between $3,700 and $3,750.
This area is also marked as a potential reversal or profit-taking zone, so we might expect:
Partial pullback
Sideways action
Or even a deeper correction before continuation
📚 Key Technical Insights:
Component Observation
Pattern Bullish Pennant
First Move Bearish Fakeout
Confirmation Signal CHoCH + BOS
Trendline Break Yes, confirmed
Target Zone $3,700 – $3,750
Current Price ~$3,290 (at time of writing)
Bias Strong Bullish (short to mid-term)
🧠 Educational Takeaway:
“The first move is often the fake move.”
This is a golden rule in trading consolidation patterns like triangles and pennants. Always wait for confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) before committing capital to a trade. This strategy avoids traps and puts you on the right side of the market.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold (XAU/USD) has completed a successful bullish pennant breakout, and all key confirmations are in place.
We’re now eyeing the $3,700–$3,750 zone as the next target — with the potential for either reversal or continuation depending on how price reacts.
Keep an eye on this chart — the next few sessions could offer great setups for both swing and position traders.
ONDO ANALYSIS📊 #ONDO Analysis
✅There is a formation of Descending triangle pattern on weekly chart 🧐
After a small retest towards to its support zone we would see a bullish movement
👀Current Price: $0.8820
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #ONDO price action and volume. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#ONDO #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
BTC/USDT: Correction to H1 Demand Zone? Multi-Timeframe Strategy🔹 H1 Context (Bullish):
- Demand zone (green) below Fib 0.5: Key support.
- Breakout (BOS) suggests bullish continuation *after possible correction*.
🔹 M5/M15 Situation (Short-Term):
- Price rejecting red zones (immediate resistance).
- Scenario 1 (Bearish):
→ If price respects red zones: Correction toward H1 demand ($103K).
→ Action: Short trades in M5/M15 targeting green zone.
- Scenario 2 (Bullish):
→ If red zones break: Confirmation of strength (new highs target).
🔹 Risk Management:
- Short entries: Rejection at M5/M15 red zones + M1 confirmation.
- TP: M15 lows ($103.5K) or H1 demand zone ($103K).
- SL: Close above red zones.
🔹 Technical Key:
- H2 Order Block as dynamic support: If respected, prevents drop to H1.
- Confluence: H1 demand + Fib 0.5 = High-probability area.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Trading #Crypto #H1 #M15 #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci
Ripple is Approaching An Important ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring XRPUSDT for a selling opportunity around 2.25 zone, Ripple is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2.25 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
EURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakoutEURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakout — it's a deep reaction before the real move
EURGBP continues to form a textbook bullish megaphone, a structure designed not to trend, but to destabilize — forcing liquidity on both sides while smart money quietly positions. Two touches above (January and April), two below (February and May) — clean geometry, expanding volatility. Price is now reacting from the lower boundary, but we are still inside the pattern — and that matters.
The reaction zone sits right on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, near 0.8350, precisely where price meets the lower trendline and the 200-day moving average. The bounce didn’t come from noise — it came from confluence. Candle structure is clean, volume slightly expands — not panic, but controlled demand. As long as price holds above the MA200, the scenario remains intact. A break below kills the setup — but that hasn’t happened.
We’re not in breakout mode — yet. But price action is shifting. Pullbacks are weak, candles are full-bodied, and sellers don’t press. Momentum indicators confirm early recovery, but the real signal lies in how price holds its ground at key structure without struggle. Buyers aren’t running — they’re holding position.
If the market pushes above 0.8430–0.8480 and confirms — acceleration begins. Until then, we remain in balance. Every candle is a stress test — and so far, the structure is holding strong. If smart money controls 0.8350, the breakout won’t just be bullish — it’ll be aggressive.
NZDUSD: Move Up Ahead 🇳🇿🇺🇸
Thursday's and Friday's sessions were bullish on NZDUSD.
After a test of a rising trend line, the price formed
a double bottom pattern on a 4H time frame and violated its neckline.
I think that the pair may rise next week and reach at least 0.6 level.
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Bitcoin Correction or Trap? Watch This Support Zone CloselyExclusive #Bitcoin Update
I got lots of DMs, people are asking:
Do you think the bull trend is finished, or is it just a correction and pullback?
Guys, first stop panicking.
This is exactly what the shark wants you to do. Don’t let them shake you out.
Let’s get to the chart:
My previous chart got invalidated, and the current situation is that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is defending strongly around the $104.8K to $104.3K support zone.
According to the FIB level, we’re currently at the 0.383 level. This area has previously served as strong resistance, so it can now function as effective support.
If bulls manage to bounce from this area and push above $107K, we could trigger a sharp move toward the $112K–$113K liquidation zone,
where we have almost $12B in short liquidations acting as a strong magnet!
Let's talk about the worst-case scenario, in case we break down below this supportive area, then we have
200 EMA and a strong support around $101.4k to $101.8k.
I’ll keep you posted as things unfold. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! #Bitcoin2025
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT