EURUSD is Nearing an Important Support!!Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.15400 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.15400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Technical Analysis
GOLD OUTLOOK – READY FOR THE NEW TRADING WEEK (JULY 21–25)GOLD OUTLOOK – READY FOR THE NEW TRADING WEEK (JULY 21–25)
🟡 Market Recap:
Gold made a strong bullish reversal at the end of last week, following a liquidity sweep at the FVG ZONE 3310. Price surged quickly toward the OBS SELL ZONE around 335x–336x.
However, by Friday’s close, price reacted to multiple confluences (OBS + FIBO zones) and closed below the VPOC level in the recent uptrend – forming a potential short-term top.
📉 Outlook for July 21–25:
No major economic data expected next week.
However, geopolitical tensions and trade policy concerns (e.g. tariffs, military conflicts) will be the key catalysts.
These events could lead to high volatility and liquidity grabs across the board.
🧠 Technical Perspective – H1 Mid-Term View:
Gold continues to form multiple unfilled Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) after strong bullish moves.
Recent price action created new high-zone FVGs, but lower FVGs remain untested.
🔁 Expected scenario: A potential retracement to fill the lower FVG zones (3310/3305), followed by another bullish leg.
📍Trading Strategy:
Wait for price to retrace into FVG Low Zones.
Look for early BUY setups at confluence areas:
CP zones
FIBO retracement levels
Volume/Price reaction zones
🎯 Target Outlook:
Bullish targets around 333x – 336x remain valid.
If price sustains momentum after pullback, we may aim for Buy Side Liquidity near 3371.749.
✅ Key Reminders:
Avoid chasing highs (FOMO).
Stick to proper TP/SL rules, especially with headline-driven markets next week.
🎉 Wishing you a relaxing weekend – recharge and get ready to conquer the markets next week!
🚀 GOD BLESS ALL
AUDUSD – bullish momentum returns, ready for a breakout?AUDUSD is showing clear strength after rebounding from a key support zone. The bullish structure remains intact with a series of higher lows, and the ascending trendline continues to hold. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy retracement before the market gathers momentum for the next leg up.
On the news front, the pair is supported by strong Australian employment data and expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates steady. This has slightly weakened the US dollar, giving AUD room to recover.
If buying pressure holds, AUDUSD could break through the overhead resistance and enter a new bullish phase. Now is the time for traders to watch price action closely and wait for a clear confirmation signal!
GOLD hits resistance – usd strikes back!XAUUSD is charging into the "danger zone" around 3,375 – a level where bulls have fallen before.
But this time, gold faces a heavyweight opponent:
– The US economy is revving up like a race car: consumer demand is surging, jobless claims are dropping.
– The Fed holds its hawkish stance like a loaded weapon: high interest rates aren’t going away.
– The US dollar is back in full force, and bond yields are shooting sky-high.
While gold buyers try to climb higher, pressure from the “USD fortress” is building fast.
Every uptick in XAUUSD now… might just be a setup before the fall.
If selling pressure returns near the previous highs, another sharp drop in gold could be just around the corner.
USDJPY – Rejection Pressure Builds, Is a Reversal on the HorizonUSDJPY has been rejected for the third time at the diagonal resistance line, forming a potential lower-high pattern that suggests a reversal could be underway. The RSI is dropping from the overbought zone, clearly indicating weakening bullish momentum. If the price breaks below 146.900, a bearish trend may be confirmed, with a possible move toward the lower support area.
On the news front, U.S. Treasury yields have stalled after a strong rally, and jobless claims have ticked up slightly—dampening expectations for further Fed rate hikes. This puts pressure on the USD while favoring the safe-haven JPY.
Traders should closely monitor the price action around the 149.300 level. Continued rejection could offer a prime shorting opportunity!
GBPJPY set for breakoutGBPJPY is currently trading in a sideways pattern within an ascending channel. The support zone around 197.900 has been respected multiple times, while price repeatedly fails to break above the 199.800 resistance – signaling that built-up pressure may soon erupt.
Recent data shows that UK inflation remains high, and the Bank of England may maintain its hawkish stance, supporting the GBP. Meanwhile, global risk-off sentiment continues to weaken the JPY.
If price breaks through the current resistance, it would confirm the continuation of the uptrend, with a target toward the upper boundary of the red channel. However, if rejection persists, buying from support remains a valid strategy.
GBPJPY: Get Ready to Buy 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY is consolidating within a narrow horizontal range
on a daily time frame.
I am waiting for its bullish breakout and a daily candle close above
199.85 to confirm the next bullish wave.
A rise will be expected to 201 level then.
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18/07 Gold Outlook Market Tensions Mount Liquidity Zones in Play Gold Outlook – Market Tensions Mount, Liquidity Zones in Play
Price action heats up as we enter the final trading day of the week. Are you ready to ride the wave or get caught in the liquidity sweep?
🔍 Market Sentiment & Global Highlights
Gold rebounded strongly after dropping on better-than-expected US data. However, several macro risks are keeping gold buyers in the game:
Buy-the-dip activity emerged amid concerns that Trump’s tariff policies may fuel inflation.
Rate cut expectations remain strong as US core inflation shows no signs of cooling.
Geopolitical risks intensified as Israel conducted fresh airstrikes on Syria.
EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods should trade talks break down.
💡 These tensions are giving gold strong support — especially as traders prepare for potential volatility into the weekend.
📈 Technical Overview – Liquidity Zones at Play
Yesterday's bounce from FLZ H2 (3310) — a critical demand and liquidity zone — triggered a clean reversal. Sellers took profit, volume shifted, and buyers regained control. Price has since pushed up to retest the OBS SELL ZONE + CP Pattern near the 334x area with a sharp reaction.
For today, price is likely to revisit lower liquidity pockets (M30–H2) before making the next directional move.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3312
Take Profits: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360+
⚡ BUY SCALP ZONE: 3326 – 3324
Stop Loss: 3320
Take Profits: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365
Stop Loss: 3370
Take Profits: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330
⚠️ Final Notes
Today’s session has no major news releases, but as it’s the end of the week, we may see liquidity grabs and unexpected volatility. Stay disciplined, stick to your plan, and always respect TP/SL.
🔔 Follow the key zones carefully – volatility loves indecision.
USDJPY Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.500 zone, USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 148.500 zone, USDJPY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 148.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDJPY Symmetrical Triangle – Be Ready for Breakout or BreakdownUSDJPY is currently squeezed inside a well-formed symmetrical triangle, indicating a breakout is imminent. This consolidation pattern is nearing its apex, and price action is getting tighter. A sharp move in either direction could unfold soon. Here's how to prepare:
🟢 Bullish Breakout Setup:
Entry Trigger: 1H candle close above 148.70
Stop Loss: Below last higher low or triangle support (~148.15)
Targets:
TG1: 149.20
TG2: 149.60
Final TG: 149.95–150.00
Bias: Favors trend continuation (previous uptrend)
🔍 Confirmation: Strong breakout candle with momentum and/or volume.
🔴 Bearish Breakdown Setup:
Entry Trigger: 1H candle close below 148.15
Stop Loss: Above triangle resistance (~148.70)
Targets:
TG1: 147.60
TG2: 147.20
Final TG: 146.80
Bias: Reversal or failed trend continuation
🔍 Confirmation: Clean breakdown with bearish candle close + possible re-test rejection.
⚠️ Avoid premature entries inside the triangle. Wait for a confirmed breakout or breakdown with candle close and rejection follow-up.
🎯 Tip: Triangle breakouts often result in fast directional moves. Plan your lot size based on volatility and stick to your risk parameters. This is a high-probability setup — trade with discipline.
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Pre-Market Prep 7.18.2025What it do, everyone! Here’s my pre-market prep for Friday, July 18th. Just to give you a quick overview, I'm using my prior value areas, the prior day's high and low, and the CVA levels from my market profile. I use all this history to help me plan my trades for the day.
So, starting with the S&P, as of now we’re green across the board. We’re in balance up from the prior day’s range, value area, and the CVA. My main plan is to look for acceptance and a pullback to a confluence area for longs. If we get rotational and break out of that area, I’m ready to go short.
For the NASDAQ, it's a similar story. We’re rotational in the prior value area and range, but we’re balanced up from the recent CVA. Right now, I’m waiting to see if we can confirm acceptance and then I’ll look for a short from that rotational area down to the prior value area low.
In the Russell, I’m seeing clear acceptance above all levels, so a pullback to the confluence area for a long would be ideal.
For Gold, I’m also seeing it in balance up on all fronts. My first move would be a long from the prior day’s high. If we drop a bit lower, I’ll be looking at that CVA and PVA area for another long.
The Euro is a bit more mixed. We’re rotational in the prior day’s range but balanced up in the value area and CVA. I want to clear the prior day’s high before taking any big moves.
The Yen is also rotational, so I’m looking to trade the extremes, maybe some scalps while we’re balanced in the prior value area.
For the Aussie Dollar, we’re in balance up from the PVA, but rotational in the prior day’s range and CVA. I’m looking for shorts near the top area and longs at the bottom, staying out of the middle for now.
And finally, Crude Oil is rotational on all fronts. My first plan is to look for shorts from the confluence area down to the prior day’s range.
That’s my pre-market prep for today. Let’s trade smart. Happy Friday, peace!
US30 Rejection at Channel Resistance US30 is showing a repeated pattern of rejection at the upper boundary of the descending channel. Price has now tapped this trendline for the fourth time, forming a consistent bearish structure.
Price rejected again at the top of the descending channel (marked by orange circles)
Clear sell setup with stop above the most recent swing high, targeting the lower channel boundary around 44,200, aligning with past demand.
Short below 44,685
Target: 44,200
Stop: Above recent highs near 44,913
Risk/Reward: Favourable if structure holds. If this pattern plays out as before, we can expect another push to the downside within the channel.
A break and retest of the midline could add extra confirmation.
#US30 #DowJones #PriceAction #SellSetup #BearishRejection #ChannelTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bearish Move From Trend Line
I see a test of a strong trend line on US30.
The price formed a head & shoulders pattern on that
and a breakout of its neckline on an hourly time frame.
I expect a retracement to 48390
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Bitcoin Swing Reinforcement, Strategic Stops Below 115k__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
__________________________________________________________________________________
Momentum : Strong bullish trend on all timeframes above 1h (MTFTI dark/gray, “Strong Up” confirmed).
Supports/Resistances :
Key supports: $104,000–$110,000 (HTF), $116,000–$118,000 (STF).
Strategic resistances: $120,000–$122,000 (HTF), ATH $125,000.
Volumes : No excess, healthy and regular flows.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong BUY across all higher timeframes, US tech sector momentum is bullish.
ISPD DIV : Neutral across all TFs, no extreme behavioral signals.
Multi-TF behavior : Bullish confirmation down to 1H; neutral/profit-taking mood on 15min–5min.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Strategic Summary
__________________________________________________________________________________
Overall bias : Strong bullish as long as the $116,000 zone holds.
Opportunities : Swing entries on pullbacks $116,000–$118,000; first take-profits at $122,000–$125,000. Potential extension up to $130,000 if on-chain momentum persists.
Risk zones : Below $115,000 = invalidation, structural downside risk (swing closure recommended).
Macro catalysts : No imminent major macro event, structurally mild volatility. Geopolitical hand neutral for now.
Risk management : Mandatory stop $114,800–$115,000, current risk/reward >2:1 on the bounce zone.
Action plan : Buy on clean retracement above 116k–118k, actively track STH profit-taking, reactively adjust if major S/R clusters break.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Multi-Timeframe Analysis
__________________________________________________________________________________
1D : Supports 104k–110k, major resistance 120k–125k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator STRONG BUY. ISPD DIV neutral, volumes regular. MTFTI Strong Up.
12H : S/R 117.5k–119.3k, strong support 115k–116k. Risk-on sectorial momentum active. Volumes unaltered, confirmed uptrend.
6H : Resistance 119.3k, support 116k. Still strong buy, healthy flows, technical uptrend confirmed. Bounce ops 116k–117k.
4H : Support 117.5k–118.2k. Resistance 120k–121k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator only buy, general up. No abnormal volume.
2H : Support 118k/116k, resistance 120k. Sectorial momentum intact, uptrend solid, best scalping/retest at 118k.
1H : Support 118k, res. at 119.5k then 120k. Sectorial momentum strong, no volume/ISPD excess.
30min : Support 118k, resistance 119k/119.8k. Slight momentum drop, context healthy. Fast entries on rebounds.
15min : Support 118.2k, resistance 119.3k. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator neutral. MTFTI micro-volatile. Volumes steady.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Decision Synthesis
__________________________________________________________________________________
Confluences : Bullish alignment across HTFs, strong sector momentum, healthy volumes, no behavioral excess.
Divergences : Slight short-term fading on lower TFs. Adjustment signal, not a trend reversal.
On-chain : All holders in profit, early STH profit-taking but no structural top. Potential extension 122–130k$ before local exhaustion zone.
Risks : Drop below 115k would invalidate the swing dynamic. Geopolitical stress to be monitored, but little short-term transmission.
Strategy : Buyers to reinforce between 116k–118k, secure partials above 122k. Strict stop below 115k.
__________________________________________________________________________________
Litecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As ExpectedLitecoin Continues Its Bullish Cycle As Expected, which can send the price even higher from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
We talked about Litecoin back on May 30, when we spotted a bullish setup formation with waves (1) and (2) that can extend the rally within wave (3) of a five-wave bullish impulse.
As you can see today on July 18, Litecoin with ticker LTCUSD is now breaking strongly back above May highs after we noticed a complex W-X-Y correction in wave (2). Now that ALTcoin dominance is stepping strongly in, we may easily see more gains within a projected five-wave bullish cycle during the ALTseason, just be aware of short-term pullbacks.
EUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless DataEUR/USD Forecast – Bears in Control Ahead of US Jobless Data
🌐 Macro View: Dollar Regains Strength Amid Uncertainty
EUR/USD remains under selling pressure as the greenback finds renewed strength following midweek weakness. The market is bracing for fresh U.S. jobless claims data, expected to show a slight rise to 235K. A print below 220K could reignite USD demand, while a surprise above 240K may offer a temporary lifeline for the euro.
Amid geopolitical and economic turbulence, the euro continues to underperform as investors shift to the dollar for safety and yield advantage.
📉 Technical Outlook – MMF & Smart Money Perspective
The recent breakdown below 1.1600 confirms the bearish momentum. Based on the MMF (Market Momentum Flow) methodology, price action is currently moving within a controlled distribution structure, suggesting further downside potential.
Key zones identified from H1 structure:
OBS + FVG High Zone (1.1662 – 1.1687): Strong supply zone + volume imbalance.
1.1637: Mid-key level and possible liquidity magnet.
1.1616 – 1.1573: Ideal area for sweeping sell-side liquidity before any sustainable bounce.
If price reclaims 1.1662, intraday bullish correction may be in play. However, as long as 1.1687 holds, bears remain in control.
🧭 Trade Plan for Today
🔴 SELL ZONE: 1.1662 – 1.1687 (FVG + OBS Volume Zone)
SL: 1.1710
TP: 1.1637 → 1.1616 → 1.1590 → 1.1573
✅ Preferred entry zone aligned with high-volume imbalance & MMF rejection pattern.
🟢 BUY ZONE (Scalp Only): 1.1575 – 1.1580 (Sell-side Liquidity Zone)
SL: 1.1550
TP: 1.1612 → 1.1630 → 1.1645
⚠️ Use with caution — only upon clear price reaction at lower liquidity sweep area.
🔍 Strategy Insight
This is a classic scenario of a controlled pullback within a larger bearish structure. Patience is key — let price tap into imbalanced zones before executing. Given today's U.S. data, volatility may spike during the New York session, so risk management is crucial.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you expect EUR/USD to retest the 1.1550s zone, or could a surprise from U.S. job data flip the narrative?
👇 Drop your analysis below & follow for more MMF-based setups.
Quick take on DJIACurrently, the Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI is trading within a short-term downside channel. However, could it just be part of a correction, before another possible leg of buying? Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:US30
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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XAUUSDDear traders,
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that gold could extend its short-term decline after being rejected from the range boundary. However, that bearish structure was quickly invalidated following a sharp upside move, signaling a potential trend reversal. If this momentum continues, I anticipate that price may soon reach the levels of 3,355 and 3,365.
Feel free to leave a comment if you have any thoughts to add. Good luck!
Silver Rebounds Toward $38 as Dollar EasesSilver rebounded toward $38 per ounce on Friday, recovering from a two-day decline as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased. The move reflected shifting sentiment on Fed policy and trade conditions after earlier losses sparked by inflation data that reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts.
U.S. stock futures edged higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, driven by strong retail sales, lower jobless claims, and optimism in AI-related tech stocks after Taiwan Semiconductor’s positive forecast. On monetary policy, Fed officials remain divided: Mary Daly expects two rate cuts this year, while Adriana Kugler urges caution due to tariff-driven inflation. President Trump reinforced trade tensions by sending letters to over 20 partners setting new tariffs between 20% and 40%.
In corporate updates, United Airlines expects stronger earnings in the second half of 2025, and Chevron signaled higher future cash flow as production in its top U.S. oil field nears a plateau.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.