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Technical Analysis

BTCUSD Price action analysis on HTFHi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes. I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities. Higher Timeframe Analysis In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias. Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels. Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone. Trade Setup The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150. A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level. Intraday Outlook For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis. I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target. Final Thoughts Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one. Thanks for giving me some of your time. From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by PFXteam
EURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakoutEURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakout — it's a deep reaction before the real move EURGBP continues to form a textbook bullish megaphone, a structure designed not to trend, but to destabilize — forcing liquidity on both sides while smart money quietly positions. Two touches above (January and April), two below (February and May) — clean geometry, expanding volatility. Price is now reacting from the lower boundary, but we are still inside the pattern — and that matters. The reaction zone sits right on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, near 0.8350, precisely where price meets the lower trendline and the 200-day moving average. The bounce didn’t come from noise — it came from confluence. Candle structure is clean, volume slightly expands — not panic, but controlled demand. As long as price holds above the MA200, the scenario remains intact. A break below kills the setup — but that hasn’t happened. We’re not in breakout mode — yet. But price action is shifting. Pullbacks are weak, candles are full-bodied, and sellers don’t press. Momentum indicators confirm early recovery, but the real signal lies in how price holds its ground at key structure without struggle. Buyers aren’t running — they’re holding position. If the market pushes above 0.8430–0.8480 and confirms — acceleration begins. Until then, we remain in balance. Every candle is a stress test — and so far, the structure is holding strong. If smart money controls 0.8350, the breakout won’t just be bullish — it’ll be aggressive.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
4
Bitcoin Correction or Trap? Watch This Support Zone CloselyExclusive #Bitcoin Update I got lots of DMs, people are asking: Do you think the bull trend is finished, or is it just a correction and pullback? Guys, first stop panicking. This is exactly what the shark wants you to do. Don’t let them shake you out. Let’s get to the chart: My previous chart got invalidated, and the current situation is that CRYPTOCAP:BTC is defending strongly around the $104.8K to $104.3K support zone. According to the FIB level, we’re currently at the 0.383 level. This area has previously served as strong resistance, so it can now function as effective support. If bulls manage to bounce from this area and push above $107K, we could trigger a sharp move toward the $112K–$113K liquidation zone, where we have almost $12B in short liquidations acting as a strong magnet! Let's talk about the worst-case scenario, in case we break down below this supportive area, then we have 200 EMA and a strong support around $101.4k to $101.8k. I’ll keep you posted as things unfold. If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! #Bitcoin2025 CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
2
EURUSD – Ready to Break the Psychological CeilingOn the D1 chart, EURUSD is maintaining a stable uptrend structure with higher lows and a well-respected trendline. Buying pressure continues to emerge around the EMA 34 support zone, indicating that the bulls remain in control. Currently, price is approaching the psychological resistance level at 1.16420 – an area that has rejected price multiple times in the past. However, a potential breakout pattern is forming: if the price can close decisively above this zone, the next target could extend to 1.17750. While waiting for a breakout confirmation, traders can watch for minor pullbacks toward the trendline or EMA to find entries aligned with the trend. The overall momentum still favors the buyers, as long as the 1.13490 level holds.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
2
XAUUSD – Sideway breakout loomsOn the daily timeframe (D1), gold is still stuck in a wide sideway range between 3,105 and 3,451, which has persisted since early April. However, recent price action suggests the structure is gradually tilting toward a bearish bias. The rebounds from the current range bottom are weakening, with each successive peak failing to surpass the previous one. Moreover, the EMA 34 is being tested repeatedly — indicating that buyers are losing momentum. If the price breaks below the support area around 3,258–3,260 (which aligns with the EMA 34), the next target could be the 3,105 zone. And if this level also fails to hold, a deeper drop toward 2,976 may be triggered.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Rocky_trade_
XAUUSD – Facing headwinds from inflation expectationsHey everyone, we’ve got quite an interesting setup on gold today! As shown on the chart, XAUUSD is still moving within a clearly defined descending channel. After bouncing from the lower support area around 3,262, price is now retesting the upper boundary of the channel. What’s more important is that this area overlaps with both the 34 and 89 EMAs – creating a strong confluence of resistance. If price continues to be rejected here, there’s a high chance that gold will reverse and head back toward the bottom of the channel. A likely target could be around 3,232. As for the news: Core PCE – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge – is expected to rise. This has led the market to anticipate that the Fed might keep interest rates higher for longer. And when bond yields rise and the USD strengthens, gold – a non-yielding asset – tends to lose its appeal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Rocky_trade_
TradeCityPro | Comprehensive Bitcoin Analysis for 2025👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go for the most complete BINANCE:BTCUSDT Bitcoin analysis you can see. In this analysis, we are going to examine the data from monthly to weekly to daily time frames and more in the most complete way possible! 🌐 Monthly Timeframe In the monthly timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is positioned between two curved trendlines and has reacted to these zones multiple times. The last time the price hit the bottom of this channel, it recorded a low of 16,000, after which the crypto bull run began. The top of this channel also coincided with the 69,000 peak in the previous bull run, allowing us to identify the end of that bull run. One key point about this channel is that the slope of its trendlines is decreasing, and overall, a weakening trend in Bitcoin is observed, which is logical. This is because every time Bitcoin has made an upward leg, a massive amount of capital has flowed into it, so it naturally moves less in the subsequent leg. This point might seem negative to newer market participants, as Bitcoin’s bull runs used to happen faster in the past, and the price moved more significantly in percentage terms. For example, the 2017 bull run saw Bitcoin grow by nearly 7,000%, while in the 2019 bull run, it grew by about 1,500%. However, within this seemingly negative point, there’s a positive aspect: this reduction in volatility indicates Bitcoin’s maturity and that of the broader crypto market. When an asset has a large amount of capital invested in it, its volatility naturally decreases, but this also reduces the risk of investing in that asset. For instance, gold currently holds the top spot globally with a market cap of 21 trillion dollars, while Bitcoin’s market cap is around 2 trillion dollars. This gap makes Bitcoin appear as a better investment choice at first glance, as its lower market cap suggests greater growth potential. On the other hand, the risk of investing in Bitcoin is higher because it has less capital invested in it, and large institutions like governments prefer to invest in gold, earning lower returns over time compared to Bitcoin. For these institutions, the most important factor is risk optimization, and gold has proven itself as the lowest-risk asset over centuries. So, overall, we can conclude that the more capital flows into Bitcoin, the lower its volatility becomes. As volatility decreases, it becomes a safer asset for investment, attracting more interest from large institutions. Additionally, we should consider that if Bitcoin isn’t destroyed or proven to be a scam, it could become a safe-haven asset like gold in the future. Its supply is well-optimized, and due to the halving mechanism, its issuance is tightly controlled, which gives it an inherently bullish nature like gold. Note that when I say Bitcoin’s movements are slowing down and more capital inflow reduces its volatility, I don’t mean it will stop moving upward. Rather, it means its cycles will take longer, and its movements will be heavier. For example, gold, despite its high market cap, still moved upward last year. Currently, Bitcoin has started a new upward leg after rising from the 16,000 zone. It first reached the previous high, then, after reacting to the 0.5 Fibonacci Extension level (which overlapped with the 71,000 zone), it pulled back to the 57,000 zone and has now moved to the 0.618 level near 101,000. Based on the candles formed in the monthly timeframe, it seems the upward movement is ongoing. If the 0.618 level is broken, the price could see a few more bullish candles. The next Fibonacci level is 0.786, near 165,000, and if the price movement extends a bit longer, this level could also overlap with the top of the curved channel. In my opinion, the maximum potential for Bitcoin in this bullish cycle is between 160,000 and 180,000. However, keep in mind that this is just my personal view, and I’m not making decisions based solely on this analysis or planning to sell if Bitcoin reaches this range. This is merely a mental target, and if I see Bitcoin reaching this range with strong bullish momentum, there’s a chance it could break through. In that scenario, if Bitcoin reaches this range without any trend weakness and with high momentum, I’ll update the analysis for you and examine higher targets Bitcoin could reach. On the other hand, if I see Bitcoin’s momentum weakening and showing trend deterioration before reaching the resistance zone, I’ll adjust my perspective. If the trend reversal triggers I’ll discuss later are activated, I’ll exit the market. In the RSI oscillator, we have very important zones that can help us assess the trend’s health. A ceiling at 77.65 has formed, which, if reached by RSI, could indicate a momentum-based market top. However, if this level is broken, the bullish scenario I mentioned is highly likely to occur, and the price could move beyond our expected target. On the other hand, there’s a support floor at 58.90, and I believe the confirmation of the end of Bitcoin’s bull run will come with a break of this level in RSI. If RSI consolidates below this zone, bullish momentum will weaken, and the price will gradually enter a corrective phase. Regarding volume, I should note that the decreasing volume in this timeframe isn’t reliable data because Bitcoin’s volume is spread across various exchanges, and comparing volume at this scale isn’t accurate or useful. I have nothing more to say about the monthly timeframe. Let’s move to lower timeframes. 📊 Weekly Timeframe Let’s dive into the weekly timeframe, where we can observe price movements in greater detail. As you can see, after being supported at the 16,000 zone, Bitcoin faced a significant resistance at 31,000. Breaking this level kicked off the bullish trend. In the first leg, the price moved from 16,000 to 31,000, and after breaking 31,000 in the second leg, the upward move continued to 72,000. One of the main reasons for this bullish cycle was the U.S. interest rate. Simultaneously with the breakout of the 31,000 zone, the U.S. Federal Reserve changed its policies and began lowering interest rates. This triggered a massive capital inflow into Bitcoin, initiating its bullish move. During the corrective phase, the price oscillated between the 72,000 and 55,000 zones for several months. After breaking the 72,000 ceiling, another bullish leg took the price to 105,000. One of the reasons for this bullish move was Trump’s strong support for crypto during the U.S. election. He frequently mentioned Bitcoin positively in his speeches and considered it part of his policies. However, after Trump was elected president, he didn’t fully deliver on his promises. The imposition of tariffs not only impacted Bitcoin but also significantly affected the U.S. dollar, major company stocks, and indices like the S&P. As a result, Bitcoin dropped back to near the 72,000 zone. Additionally, for the past few months, the U.S. Federal Reserve has not changed interest rates due to these tariffs. In all its statements, it has indicated that it’s waiting for the tariffs to be finalized and is in no rush to make decisions regarding monetary policy. Thus, in recent months, the interest rate variable has been effectively neutral, with the most significant fundamental news being the U.S. tariffs against China and Europe. After Bitcoin’s drop to near 72,000, news of a 90-day agreement between China and the U.S. emerged, stating that tariffs would be lifted for 90 days to allow negotiations. This news was enough to restart the bullish move for Bitcoin and stocks like the S&P. As you can see, Bitcoin has now surpassed the 105,000 ceiling and is currently deciding its next move above this zone. Looking at RSI, there’s a key support level at 44.75, where every time the price has hit this level, a new bullish leg has started. This level accurately indicated the 55,000 and 72,000 bottoms and has been very reliable. However, there’s a clear divergence in RSI between the 72,000 and 105,000 peaks. The current peak above 105,000 is higher, but RSI is still forming lower highs, which could strengthen the divergence. Currently, RSI is near the overbought zone and appears to be rejecting from the 70 level. If RSI is rejected from this zone, the price might fake out the 105,000 breakout and drop below it. If this happens, it would signal a significant trend weakness, greatly increasing the likelihood of a trend reversal. However, if RSI consolidates above the 70 level and the price makes another bullish leg, we’ll still have divergence, but the trend weakness will be much less severe than in the fake-out scenario. If the price makes another bullish leg, our targets based on Fibonacci are the 130,000 and 160,000 zones. In any case, if RSI forms a lower high compared to its previous peak and the price enters a corrective phase, I believe the 44.75 level will break, activating the divergence. If this happens, we’ll get a momentum-based confirmation of the bull run’s end, and we’ll then need to wait for a price-based confirmation. Currently, the price confirmation for a trend reversal would first be a fake-out of the 105,000 breakout, with the main trigger being a break of the 72,000 level. If the price forms a higher high, we’ll need to wait and identify the trend reversal trigger based on market structure and conditions. Personally, I believe Bitcoin will have another bullish move to the 130,000 zone, and simultaneously, dominance will move upward again. After this move, as Bitcoin consolidates or corrects, dominance will drop, leading to an altcoin season for a few months. After Bitcoin’s consolidation and the end of the altcoin season, the market’s bearish phase will begin, which I’ll discuss further if it occurs. If you’ve bought Bitcoin at lower levels and are holding, I think you can continue holding, as there’s a high chance of another bullish leg, and we don’t yet have any confirmation of a trend reversal. I suggest continuing to hold until we get a clear reversal signal. For buying Bitcoin on the spot market in this timeframe, it’s not possible to provide a trigger right now, as we’re at the end of a bullish leg, and the upward trend from 16,000 has been very prolonged. I believe we’ll see at most one more bullish leg, so if you’re skilled at trading, I suggest using this capital to open positions in futures to maximize profits. Be cautious—I’m saying this only if you have trading skills, not to blindly open positions with all your capital without a trigger. That would only lead to losses. If you haven’t bought any Bitcoin in this bullish trend yet, you can wait for the potential altcoin season. I suggest starting now to identify good projects so that when Bitcoin dominance shows bearish confirmation, you can buy the altcoins you’ve researched and profit from that market phase. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin underwent a corrective phase, dropping to the 76,000 zone. After forming a base at this level, a bullish leg to 106,000 was triggered at 87,700. Currently, the price is above the 106,000 zone but hasn’t consolidated above it yet. The reason I say it hasn’t consolidated is that market volume is decreasing after the breakout. Additionally, when the price breaks through a supply zone like an all-time high, significant momentum is required, but that hasn’t happened, and the price is ranging above this zone without significant movement. If Bitcoin consolidates above this zone, the bullish move could continue. The targets we can consider are the 116,000 and 130,000 zones. The RSI oscillator has a critical support at 59.78, which is a very important momentum level. If this level is broken, this bullish leg could end, and the market might enter a corrective phase. Volume is also slightly decreasing and showing some divergence with the trend, which is another sign of trend weakness. If the price consolidates below 106,000, we’ll get confirmation of a fake-out of this breakout, and the price could move downward again. The lower support zones are 102,600 and 92,300. If the price forms a lower high and low below 106,000, we can confirm a trend reversal. Breaking the 76,000 level would be the main confirmation of a trend change. 💼 4-Hour Timeframe In the 4-hour timeframe, Bitcoin entered a corrective phase after reaching the 111,700 zone and has formed a descending triangle between the 106,000–107,000 range and a downward trendline. The 106,000–107,000 range is a very strong support zone, and the price has tested this level multiple times but keeps forming lower highs compared to 111,700, increasing the likelihood of breaking this support zone. On RSI, there’s a support level at 35.94, which is a very strong momentum zone. Breaking this level could confirm the entry of bearish momentum, increasing the likelihood of breaking the support zone. With a break of the support zone and the 35.94 level in RSI, we can enter a short position. If the price forms a lower high and low below this support zone, we can confirm a trend reversal. The next key support zones are 101,600 and 93,700. For the bullish trend to continue, breaking the downward trendline would confirm an upward move. If the trendline is broken, the price could rise to 111,700. Breaking the 111,700 level would be the main confirmation of the bullish trend’s continuation, activating the trendline breakout as the primary trigger. 🔍 Binance Open Interest is Surging as BTC Regains Bullish Momentum Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure. Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume. As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor. This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way. Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile. At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet. 📊 Minimal Sell Pressure Despite STH & LTH Deposits on Binance Keeping an eye on STH (Short-Term Holders) and LTH (Long-Term Holders) behavior gives us valuable clues about market sentiment. In this update, we’re focusing on Bitcoin inflows to Binance from both STHs and LTHs. These flows help us measure selling pressure and get a feel for how price action might unfold. Let’s start with STHs the group that tends to react quickly and emotionally to market shifts. 🧠 We’ve seen their behavior play out clearly in the past: During the August 2024 correction, they sent over 12,000 BTC to Binance. Then again, around late February to early March, during the tariff news-driven panic that pushed BTC below $80K, they dumped over 14,000 BTC. But here’s the good news: right now, STH inflows are still moderate only about 8,000 BTC has been sent to Binance so far, which is roughly in line with the last correction. 🔍 As for LTHs, the numbers are even calmer. Currently, just 86 BTC has flowed in from long-term holders—far lower than the 254 BTC seen before the last major top and way below the 626 BTC peak back in 2024. 📊 Bottom line? Whether we’re looking at STHs or LTHs, there’s no real sign of strong selling pressure at the moment. Still, it’s worth watching in the context of ongoing demand—which remains relatively healthy for now. Coinbase Premium Signals Strong Institutional Demand There’s no doubt institutions are stepping in and no, it’s not just because of ETFs. 💡 Why not ETFs? Because spot Bitcoin ETFs aren’t exclusive to institutions. Retail investors can access them just as easily, and in terms of raw volume, ETFs still don’t come close to the spot or futures markets. That said, the inflows are still impressive: the 30-day average daily inflow is now over $330 million, and that trend is holding strong. 🚀 The Real Signal? The Coinbase Premium Gap This metric tracks the price difference between Coinbase Pro (favored by U.S. professional/institutional investors) and Binance. Right now, the 30-day moving average of the premium gap is 55 a clear sign of heightened U.S. investor activity, which strongly points to institutional participation. 💰 Futures Activity Surges as Spot Demand Fades on Binance Futures volume on Binance has been rising, while spot volume has dropped significantly in recent days even as Bitcoin broke into price discovery. This shift in volume composition is worth watching closely, as it provides important clues about the market’s internal strength. Volume isn’t just a number—it reflects the type of demand driving the market. When demand comes from spot markets, it often suggests long-term conviction. In contrast, demand driven by futures markets tends to reflect short-term speculation, which can introduce instability. Since May 5, we’ve seen futures activity increase modestly, while spot volumes have clearly declined. This suggests that the current price action may be fueled more by leverage and short-term bets than by solid, long-term buying. Without strong spot support, trends powered by derivatives are more fragile and prone to sharp reversals. This environment calls for increased caution, especially for those considering new entries or leveraged positions. ⚡️ BTC Gains Bullish Momentum as Binance Open Interest Rises Tracking what’s happening in the derivatives market has become essential, given the current market structure. Derivatives volumes are significantly higher than those on spot markets or ETFs, especially on Binance, which ranks just behind the Chicago Mercantile Exchange in terms of volume. As a result, derivatives activity can have a major impact on Bitcoin’s price, making on-chain data related to derivatives extremely valuable to monitor. This has clearly been the case since BTC resumed its bullish trend, reflected in the rising Open Interest on Binance. It jumped from $7.5B on April 8th to over $11.2B today. We can also note that the 30-day and 50-day SMAs have just crossed back above the 100-day average. Derivatives activity has clearly helped fuel the price move, even though many short positions were opened along the way. Seeing Open Interest climb is generally a good sign, as it gives the market momentum and can lead to strong upward moves. However, this kind of push tends to be fragile. At the moment, we haven’t yet returned to a new Open Interest ATH on Binance, which may suggest that we’re not in a full-blown euphoric phase on derivatives markets just yet. 🔄 Bitcoin Heatmap Analysis Let’s move on to the Bitcoin heatmap analysis, which was missing from this analysis and completes the most comprehensive data for these days. I hope it’s useful for you. In the 6-month timeframe, Bitcoin has had a good upward trend but experienced a rejection after hitting orders in the 110,000–113,000 range. It’s currently in the 104,000 zone, with the most important support zone at 92,000, which is likely to hold. In the monthly timeframe, we’ve broken through the 106,000 zone, which was a strong support level based on orders, but there isn’t a strong support zone immediately below. The next support level is 100,000–102,000, which could be a solid level, while the 110,000–112,000 zone is currently the most valid resistance level for Bitcoin. In the weekly timeframe, a similar event has occurred. We’ve been rejected from the significant 110,000 resistance zone and are heading for further downside, but at a slow pace. In this timeframe, no specific support orders have been registered yet, and it will take some time for traders to place their buy orders on exchanges. However, even if we bounce from this level, we shouldn’t underestimate the 110,000 resistance. 📝 Final Thoughts This is the most comprehensive Bitcoin analysis for the community. We’ve done our best to collect the data comprehensively in this post for your awareness and present it to you in this analysis, hoping it has been useful for you! Our team has worked on this analysis for several days, so we’d be thrilled if you boost, comment, and share the analysis with your friends.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by tradecitypro
1.5 K
Professional Analysis: XAU/USD – GOLD Price Forecast : 📈 Professional Analysis: XAU/USD – GOLD Price Forecast 🟡 🗓️ Date: May 28–29, 2025 | ⏱ Timeframe: Intraday (Hourly) 🔍 Instrument: Gold vs. USD (XAU/USD) 📊 Technical Chart Summary 🟥 Resistance Zone: 📌 Level: $3,350 – $3,365 🛑 Price has rejected this zone multiple times, marking it as a strong supply area. 📉 Each test of resistance led to a pullback — showing seller strength 💪. 🟩 Support Zone: 📌 Level: $3,280 – $3,295 🛡 Multiple higher low bounces suggest this zone is being defended by buyers. 🔁 Price has formed 3 reaction lows, indicating accumulation 📥. 🔄 Structure & Pattern Recognition 🔺 Descending followed by Ascending Swings ⛳ Market shows a reversal attempt after forming a potential double bottom / triple test at support. 📈 Bullish structure forming with the latest swing creating a higher low. 📉 Past wave = Bearish Correction 📈 Current projection = Potential bullish impulse if the support holds. 📐 Projection & Price Action Forecast 📍 Current Price: $3,297.175 📈 Expected Move: Bounce off support → climb toward $3,330–$3,350 🔼 🧠 Rationale: Price testing support again Market respecting horizontal range No clean breakdown yet 📊 Bullish Scenario (Primary) 🔁 Rebound off support 🎯 Target: Resistance zone ($3,350) ✅ Entry: Above $3,300 with bullish candle close 🛑 SL: Below $3,280 📉 Bearish Breakdown (Alternate) ❌ Break below $3,280 🎯 Target: $3,260 or lower ⚠️ Wait for confirmation candle 🔚 Conclusion 🟡 Gold (XAU/USD) is trading within a well-defined range with buyers stepping in near $3,290 and sellers near $3,355. 📌 Based on current technicals, there’s a higher probability of an upward move, unless support breaks decisively. 🛠️ Pro Tip: 💡 Use RSI + Volume to confirm momentum on breakout. Look for bullish divergence or volume surge near the bounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
2
EUR/USD Technical Outlook (Read Caption)📈 EUR/USD Technical Outlook 🗓️ Date: May 28, 2025 🕒 Timeframe: Likely 4H 💵 Current Price: 1.13387 📍 Chart Zones & Market Structure 🟣 Support Zone (1.1280 – 1.1310) 🟢 Buyers Active! ✅ Strong demand visible with multiple bullish rejections (marked by green arrows). 🛡️ Market respects this zone – accumulation possible. 🧲 Acts as a springboard for upward moves. 🔴 Resistance Zone (1.1420 – 1.1450) 🔻 Sell Pressure High! Repeated rejection at this level (red arrows 📉). 🚫 Strong resistance; previous highs couldn’t sustain. ⚠️ Price may pause or reverse here again. 📊 Price Action Pattern 📐 W-Pattern / Double Bottom Formation The chart outlines a potential W-shaped recovery from support. 🔄 Suggests possible bullish reversal if neckline breaks around 1.1380. 🎯 Target post-breakout aligns with resistance zone (1.1420+). 🔮 Bullish Scenario (Blue Arrow) 💡 Plan: Break + Retest at 1.1380 = 🚀 Long Opportunity 📈 Target: 1.1420–1.1450 zone 📦 Entry confirmation: Bullish engulfing or strong breakout candle 🛑 SL: Below 1.1310 🧠 What to Watch 🔔 Key Economic Events Coming (🎯🇺🇸 & 🇪🇺 icons): High volatility expected — align trades with fundamentals. 📅 News catalysts can validate or invalidate the technical setup. 🧭 Professional Tip 📌 "Structure first, signals second" Let the price react at key zones before entering. Patience + Reaction = Precision Trades 🧠📊 ✅ Conclusion The market is in a neutral-to-bullish phase, trading between well-defined support and resistance. With a clean structure forming and economic events lining up, it’s a great moment to stay alert, plan your entries, and execute only with clear confirmation. 🎯📉📈
Long
by ZareeFxTradingAac
2
EURGBP Bullish Structure Analysis – Channel Breakout + Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown EURGBP has been trading within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a short-term bearish trend. However, price action recently broke out above the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or trend correction. This breakout marks a significant structural shift in market behavior. 🔵 Old Structure: Bearish, confined within the channel 🟢 New Structure: Bullish breakout above trendline + key resistance zone 🧩 Implication: Change in directional bias; potential for long opportunities 📍 2. Breakout Confirmation The breakout was confirmed by: A strong bullish impulse candle that closed above the descending trendline Price sustaining above previous resistance (~0.8405) Increase in bullish volume at the breakout point (if volume indicator is used) This suggests that the breakout is genuine, not a false spike or liquidity grab. 🌀 3. Retest Phase – The Critical Zone After breaking out, the market is now pulling back to retest the previous structure. This is a textbook price action move: 🔄 What’s Being Retested? ✅ Upper boundary of the descending channel ✅ Major horizontal support/resistance zone (~0.8405–0.8415) ✅ Broken trendline from previous lower highs ✅ QFL base (Quasimodo level that was swept) ✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement of the breakout move This zone forms a multi-level confluence area, making it a strong support for potential long entries. 🔍 4. Key Technical Observations Element Description 📐 Descending Channel Defined the prior bearish structure. Breakout invalidates this bias. 🧱 Trendline Retest Acts as dynamic support; price currently sitting on it. 🔃 SR Flip Zone Old resistance (~0.8405) turned into support—critical level. 📊 Fib 50% Retracement Provides technical alignment with potential buying interest. 📌 QFL/Order Block Zone Historical demand was swept and now being respected again. 🎯 5. Target Levels & Trade Plan If the structure holds and the price responds bullishly from the current zone, the next levels of interest are: ✅ Primary Target – 0.8460 A clear supply/liquidity zone from previous structure highs Also aligns with psychological round number and Fib extension ⚠️ Interim Target – 0.8430 Previous intra-channel resistance level May serve as a short-term reaction point ❌ Invalidation Level A clean break and close below 0.8390 would invalidate the breakout structure This would reintroduce bearish pressure and signal a potential fakeout 🧠 6. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) Entry: Around 0.8405–0.8415 on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, break of minor downtrend) Stop-Loss: Below 0.8390 (beneath structure & invalidation point) Take-Profit 1: 0.8430 Take-Profit 2: 0.8460 This offers a high R:R opportunity if managed with proper confirmation. 🧭 7. Risk Management & Considerations Avoid entering prematurely without a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, engulfing, RSI divergence). Monitor macroeconomic news—especially from BoE or ECB—as they can disrupt technical setups. Scaling into the position or using a split TP strategy can help protect profits. ✅ Conclusion This EURGBP setup is a textbook case of market structure trading: A well-defined channel breakout Followed by a clean pullback to structure With confluence across horizontal, diagonal, and Fibonacci levels If price respects this zone, bulls could drive toward 0.8460, offering a solid opportunity for traders who understand structure-based setups. 📌 Always wait for confirmation—structure gives us context, but entries need price action signals to minimize risk.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USDCAD: Bearish After the News 🇺🇸🇨🇦 USDCAD looks bearish after a release of today's fundamental news. A bearish breakout of a rising channel on a 4h time frame and a strong selling reaction after its retest provide a reliable bearish continuation. I think that the price may drop to 1.3743 support. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
2
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis: The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum. What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer) The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price. Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve. The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure. 🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established. After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation. The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish. 🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip. This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals. Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers. 🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support. This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence. 🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders. This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins. 📊 Trade Management Plan: Parameter Details Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term) Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs TP1 1.14500 (interim supply) TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone) SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea) RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🧠 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH) Curve Manipulation / Compression SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange) QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) Trendline + FVG Confluence Liquidity Pool Targeting Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation 🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations: Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests. Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload. If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions. ✅ Conclusion: This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management. Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD | Bearish Divergence | Bearish MomentumCurrently, EURUSD is clearly in a downtrend, consistently forming lower lows and lower highs, confirming a bearish market structure. According to Dow Theory, the recent bullish momentum has now shifted into a confirmed downtrend. Additionally, the 1-hour trendline support has been broken, signaling weakness in the previous bullish leg. We now anticipate a pullback toward the recently broken structure or resistance zone, where further bearish continuation is likely. On the 1-hour timeframe, a well-formed bearish divergence on the RSI adds confluence to our bias, indicating weakening bullish momentum and a potential trend continuation to the downside. Since our initial entry was slightly late, we’ve strategically placed a limit order near the retest zone and executed a partial position at the current market price to secure early exposure. Overall, structure and momentum both align with short-term bearish sentiment.
Short
by awaisulabdeen
Yen Strengthens Beyond 144 on InflationThe Japanese yen rose past 144 per dollar, extending gains after Tokyo’s core inflation beat expectations, increasing the likelihood of a 25 bps BOJ rate hike in July. BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said recent forecast adjustments were due to global risks and lower oil prices but reaffirmed the short-term policy stance remains focused on the 2% inflation goal. The yen also gained from safe-haven flows after a U.S. court reinstated Trump’s reciprocal tariffs. Resistance is at 144.50, with further resistance at 145.40 and 146.10. Support levels stand at 143.50, 143.00, and 142.10.
by ChartMage
JPYUSD Technical Analysis | (MMC) in Play + Target🟦 1. Structure & Price Action Overview The chart is of JPY/USD on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a clear picture of price movement over several weeks. We see three major market phases: Range/Resistance Phase (Left side of chart) Uptrend Phase (Middle – rising channel) Reversal Setup (Right side – potential bearish move forming) 📈 2. Uptrend Channel (Accumulation to Expansion Phase) From around May 13th, price started forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting a bullish channel (light blue shaded area). This is a classic ascending channel, often seen during a controlled uptrend where buyers are still in control but momentum is slowing. The channel took price directly into the resistance zone (marked in purple at the top). 🚫 3. Resistance Zone Rejection (Key Supply Zone) Once price hit the resistance zone (~0.00705), it failed to break higher. This level had previously caused sharp drops, so it's a well-established supply zone. Price was rejected and dropped sharply, breaking out of the ascending channel – a strong bearish signal. 🔄 4. Mirror Market Concept (MMC) – Curve Bending Pattern After the initial drop, price attempted a bounce, but couldn't even reach previous highs. The curved arrow labeled "Curve Bending" shows how the market is “bending” its momentum – not pushing upward anymore but turning into a reversal. This forms the mirror of the previous rise – indicating the market is ready to “mirror” that previous bullish leg, but to the downside. 🔄 5. SR Interchange (Support Flipped Resistance) The previous demand zone (around 0.006950–0.007000), where buyers pushed price higher during the uptrend, is now acting as resistance. This is called an SR Flip (Support becomes Resistance) – a very reliable technical sign of trend reversal. 🎯 6. Bearish Target Projection Based on MMC and symmetry of past movements, the chart is projecting a strong drop toward the 0.006800 support zone. This zone is also historically significant and acted as a demand area earlier. The black arrow and target box show this expected move, which aligns with the mirror structure. 🧩 Conclusion & Trade Plan Bias: Strong Bearish Confirmation : Channel break + rejection at resistance + curve bending Trigger: Price fails to reclaim 0.00700 and breaks below 0.006930 Target: 0.006800 Invalidation : Clean break & hold above 0.007050 🛡️ Pro Tips: Don’t just jump in — wait for bearish confirmation (like a bearish engulfing candle, or a failed retest). Always set your SL (Stop Loss) above the resistance zone (~0.007050). Let the setup come to you — don’t force trades.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
What to expect from WTI oil in the near term?We are currently not doing anything with WTI oil, but monitoring it very closely. Let's dig in! TVC:USOIL MARKETSCOM:OIL Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom