Get started

Technical Analysis

GBPJPY – Losing control zone, downtrend taking shapeGBPJPY is still trading within a long-term ascending price channel. However, what’s concerning is that recent price action has broken out of the previously established price box – which had acted as a stabilizing structure for the uptrend. Buyers failed to maintain momentum, repeatedly getting rejected at the top of the box. Currently, GBPJPY is showing signs of breaking below the short-term support inside the price box, raising the risk of a deeper correction toward the lower boundary of the channel. A “lower high” structure is clearly forming, confirming that selling pressure is taking over. From a news perspective, the Japanese yen is gaining strength as risk-off sentiment increases, while the pound is losing ground due to cautious tones from the Bank of England following a string of weak economic data. This shift is weakening GBP's appeal and could accelerate the bearish trend. Strategy: Wait to SELL if price pulls back to the former resistance zone within the price box and shows rejection signals. The downtrend will be confirmed if the recent low is broken. Stay out if there’s no clear confirmation. What do you think will happen next with GBPJPY?
Short
by Rocky_trade_
EURUSD plunges without brakes – The bears take full control!EURUSD continues its steep decline as both macroeconomic and technical pressures mount. A trade deal unfavorable to the EU, combined with the Fed’s hawkish stance, has fueled USD strength and dragged the euro sharply lower. At the same time, strong U.S. labor data and rising employment costs further reinforce the bearish outlook. On the H1 chart, EURUSD is clearly moving within a descending channel. Key price zones have been broken with no significant bullish reaction, indicating that sellers remain firmly in control. The market is heading toward a psychological support area, with no signs of reversal as RSI stays weak. I remain biased toward SELL setups on any short-term pullbacks, avoiding countertrend trades in this environment. If downside momentum continues, deeper targets may still be ahead. In a market dominated by bearish sentiment, trading with the trend remains the smartest and safest approach.
Short
by Rocky_trade_
BTC/USD – Strong Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone BTC/USD – Strong Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone 🟢 Technical Outlook: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has tapped into a well-defined Demand Zone near 115,000–116,000, showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal. This level aligns with key liquidity zones, smart money concepts, and price inefficiencies — offering high-probability long setups. 🧠 Key Technical Highlights: 🔻 Equal Lows + Sell-Side Liquidity: Market swept equal lows, grabbing liquidity below support — a common institutional setup before a bullish push. ✅ Break of Structure (BOS): A prior BOS indicates a shift from bearish to bullish structure after liquidity collection. 📉 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price created and respected an FVG after the BOS, validating bullish intent. 📊 Imbalance Filled: A prior price inefficiency has now been filled, completing a clean move from imbalance back into structure. 📈 Target Zone: 119,000 USD Marked as the logical next stop — sitting near prior resistance and a liquidity zone. 🎓 Educational Insight: This is a textbook Smart Money Concept scenario: Sell-side liquidity sweep Demand zone tap Imbalance rebalancing Shift in market structure It shows how institutions often engineer liquidity grabs before a large directional move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Weekly Market Wrap – Nifty Slides, Global Sentiment WeakensNifty ended the week on a bearish note, closing at 24,565, down 270 points or nearly 1.1% from last week's close. It touched a high of 24,956 and a low of 24,535, perfectly respecting the range I shared last week: 25,300–24,400. As I highlighted earlier, the inverted hammer formation gave the bears an upper hand—and the index corrected 1.74% from the recent highs. My view continues to favor caution, with the expected trading range for the upcoming week at 25,000–24,100. Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: 24,400 (key bounce area), followed by 24,100 / 23,900 in case of further breakdown. Resistance Zone: Upside capped near 25,000. If the market holds 24,400 around 6th–7th August, expect a short-term bounce. However, if this level is breached, expect dips to 24,100 or 23,900, which could offer short-covering opportunities. Global Cues: The S&P 500 also had a rough week, closing at 6,238, down 2.5% week-on-week. This decline sparked a wave of selling across global markets. The 6,200 level is crucial—if it holds, we might see a rebound globally, including in Indian equities. Below that, 6,100 remains the breakout retest zone, which I believe should provide some cushion. 💡 Strategy Going Forward: Focus on stocks showing relative strength in this falling market—they’ll likely lead the rally once sentiment turns. Avoid chasing rallies, and watch for signs of bottoming out near key support zones. Keep an eye on global indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones, as their stability will dictate near-term direction for Indian markets. Stay sharp, stay prepared. Let the bears have their moment, but be ready to pounce when the tide turns.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
DOGEUSDT Analysis : Trendline Decision & Dual Directional Point📌 Market Context & Current Setup: DOGEUSDT has been trading within a well-defined descending channel, respecting a strong trendline resistance, which has acted as a bearish ceiling for several sessions. The price action has been heavily influenced by supply zones formed after sharp impulsive drops, creating multiple QFL (Quick Flip Levels) — key to spotting structural bottoms and high-probability reversal zones. Currently, the price is hovering near a critical decision point, where two key scenarios may play out: A breakout and bullish reversal toward major resistance A dip into a deep demand zone for final accumulation before reversal Your plan reflects MMC (Market-Mind-Confirmation) methodology, preparing for either scenario with clear levels, logic, and psychology in place. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔻 1. Trendline Confirmation (Bearish Control): The price has respected the downtrend line multiple times, confirming strong bearish momentum. No candle body has closed decisively above it, showing sellers still have control. However, price is now consolidating near this line, indicating a potential weakening of selling pressure — a classic sign of upcoming trend exhaustion. 🟩 2. Support Zones – Structural Layers: 📍 Minor Zone (S/R Flip – ~$0.215–0.220): This zone is a previous support turned resistance. It’s the first checkpoint the price needs to reclaim to confirm a breakout. A successful flip from resistance back to support would add strong bullish confidence. 🟩 Reversal Zone (~$0.185–0.190): Marked on your chart as a "Reversal Area" — likely derived from QFL methodology. Price has historically bounced from this area, indicating buyers are willing to step in aggressively. This zone aligns with smart money demand accumulation and could serve as a final liquidity sweep zone before a major reversal. 📍 Major Resistance Zone (~$0.250–0.260): The next major objective once a trendline break is confirmed. Also aligns with previous highs and volume nodes — a solid target for bullish trades. 🔄 Scenario-Based Strategy: 📈 Scenario 1 – Breakout Toward Major Resistance: Price breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the minor S/R zone. This would confirm a bullish structure shift, validating that sellers are losing strength. After reclaiming ~$0.215, the path toward $0.240–0.260 opens up. Retests or flag breakouts within this range can be re-entry points for trend traders. 📉 Scenario 2 – Deeper Retest and Accumulation: If the price fails to break out and dips further, the reversal demand area (~$0.185) becomes critical. This is where buying pressure is expected to return, and as labeled in your chart: 👉 “If it goes down, we will double the supply” This suggests an averaging-down or pyramiding strategy based on strong structural confidence. This technique is valid only when the area is backed by solid confluence (trend exhaustion, demand, and past bounces). 🧠 MMC Strategy (Market – Mind – Confirmation): Market: Bearish short-term trend, but price is approaching oversold territory near structural demand. Mind: You’re prepared for both outcomes – breakout or dip. Emotion is out of the plan. Confirmation: You wait for signs — break and retest of trendline, bullish engulfing candles, or wick rejections from demand. This mental clarity helps maintain trading discipline and keeps emotional bias out of decision-making. ⚙️ Execution Plan: Component Scenario 1 (Breakout) Scenario 2 (Deep Buy Zone) Entry Signal Break & close above trendline + minor SR reclaim Bullish reversal candle within demand zone Stop Loss Below trendline + S/R flip (~0.210) Below demand zone (~0.182) Target 1 $0.235 $0.235 Target 2 $0.255–$0.260 $0.255–$0.260 Risk Level Medium Higher R:R potential Strategy Notes Aggressive on confirmation only Add to position on wick traps 🧠 Trader Psychology Tips: Be patient — confirmation beats prediction. Set alerts at key levels to avoid emotional entries. Scaling into trades based on zone reactions builds flexibility and control. "Double the supply" approach must be paired with strict invalidation levels. ✅ Summary: DOGE is trading within a descending wedge. Key decision zones are marked clearly (trendline, S/R flip, reversal demand). Breakout could lead to a quick 15–25% upside. Reversal zone offers great R:R with accumulation opportunity. Strategy is well-aligned with disciplined execution and trader psychology.
by GoldMasterTrades
AUDJPY: goodbye uptrend?On the 4H chart, AUDJPY has printed a textbook double top pattern, breaking the rising trendline and diving below the 95.6–95.78 support zone - now acting as resistance. The pair is currently retesting this zone from below, which often provides a clean re-entry point for bears. This area also aligns with the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing it as a key resistance. If the price rejects this zone, the next target is 93.85 (1.618 Fibo projection), followed by 93.25 and potentially 91.71 if momentum strengthens. Fundamentally, the yen gains strength on risk-off flows and diverging rate expectations, while the Australian dollar is pressured by falling commodity prices and a likely pause from the RBA. This widens the rate differential and weakens AUD. As long as price remains below 95.78, sellers are in control. Watch for a rejection from this retest zone.
Short
by TotoshkaTrades
Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment. Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level — and more critically, below the red lower trendline — would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term. 🔽 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend. 🧭 The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined — green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum. 📌 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
by TrendShot
Microsoft (MSFT)–Watching for Pullback Entry After $4T MilestoneMicrosoft Corp. NASDAQ:MSFT has become the second company after Nvidia to cross the $4 trillion market cap, powered by strong AI and cloud demand. Azure revenue grew 34% to $75B in 2024, with a $30B AI infrastructure investment fueling future growth. Q4 EPS came in at $3.65 on $76.4B revenue, showing strong fundamentals. We are looking for a pullback to key support for a long entry: Trade Plan: Entry Zone: $515 – $518 Take Profit: $536, $555 Stop Loss: $502 #Microsoft #MSFT #Stocks #Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #AI #Cloud #BigTech #NASDAQ
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Richtv_official
GBP/USD | SMC Roadmap – Clinton Scalper POV🧠 Institutional Structure Overview GU has been aggressively distributed from the 1.358xx premium zone, creating a strong downward market structure. We now observe: A clean internal BOS confirming bearish intent Major liquidity voids left behind Price currently resting around discount levels (0.236–0.0 zone) This sets the stage for a "fake recovery" trap before deeper markdown. 📉 Anticipated Smart Money Playbook 🔹 Scenario 1 – Short-Term Internal Rally (Liquidity Grab) Price may engineer liquidity by forming a corrective retracement toward: → First Rejection Zone: ~1.33747 (aligned with fib 0.5 & diagonal internal trendline) → Extended Trap Zone: 1.34893 (near fib 0.705 + previous unmitigated OB) This will allow Smart Money to unload positions before continuation lower. Expect a sharp sell-off post-liquidity sweep. 🔹 Scenario 2 – Continuation Without Full Retrace If price fails to climb above 1.325xx, we could see an early breakdown after a minor internal rally. Key level to watch: → Support-to-Sell Zone: 1.31622 A clean break + retest here opens the way for a bearish expansion toward mid-July lows. 🎯 Key Levels to Monitor Support Zone: 1.31622 → Valid for potential internal bounce Short-Term Target if rally forms:  → 1.33747 → Liquidity Cluster  → 1.34893 → Final Trap Zone before HTF selloff Mid-Term Target if breakdown confirmed:  → 1.3050 → Old demand + final downside imbalance  → Below 1.30 → Long-term liquidity void 🔍 SMC Takeaways Premium Zone = Distribution, especially when price is beneath BOS Discount Zone = Trap/Reload, but not always for bullish continuation Market seeks efficiency, so every imbalance is eventually filled True entry is not at key levels, but at confirmations within them (M5/M15 shift after sweep) 🎯 Trade Smart. Think Like Liquidity. 📌 Follow @ClintonScalper for more SMC breakdowns with precision.
by SCALPER-Clinton
1
Ethereum (ETH/USD) Technical InsightsEthereum (ETH/USD) Technical Insights **Chart Overview** * **Current Price**: \~\$3,631 * **EMA 7 (Red Line)**: \$3,720.80 * **EMA 21 (Blue Line)**: \$3,522.96 * **Key Support Zone (Pink area)**: \~\$3,600–\$3,650 * **Support 1 (S1)**: \~\$2,950 * **Support 2 (S2)**: \~\$2,500 * **Uptrend Line**: Still intact, but under pressure **Technical Insights** * **Price Breakdown**: ETH has dropped below the **EMA 7**, and is now testing a **critical horizontal support zone** around **\$3,600–\$3,650**. * **Trendline**: Still holds, but ETH is **hovering just above it**, signaling a potential bounce or breakdown. * **EMA 21** near \$3,522 is the next short-term support if \$3,600 fails. * **Momentum**: Recent candles show **strong selling**, indicating weakness, but no full breakdown yet. **Bullish Scenario** *Conditions**: * Price **holds above** \$3,600–\$3,620 zone and the **trendline** * **Bounce** with bullish daily candle from current zone or above \$3,650 **Buy Setup**: * **Entry**: \$3,620–\$3,650 on confirmation * **Stop-loss**: Below \$3,520 (just under EMA 21) * **Targets**: * TP1: \$3,720 (reclaim EMA 7) * TP2: \$3,850–\$3,940 * TP3: \$4,100+ **Bearish Scenario** **Conditions**: * Price **breaks below** \$3,600 and **the trendline** * EMA 21 is lost with strong bearish candle **Sell Setup**: * **Entry**: Below \$3,580 on breakdown * **Stop-loss**: Above \$3,650 * **Targets**: * TP1: \$3,520 (EMA 21) * TP2: \$2,950 (S1) * TP3: \$2,500 (S2) **Bias: Neutral with Bearish Lean** * **Decision Zone**: ETH is at a key inflection point * Wait for **confirmation**: bounce or breakdown before entering
CRYPTO:ETHUSD
by Harry_Megat
+330% this morning $1.25 to $5.38 on massive 270 million volume🚀 +330% this morning 💥 $1.25 to $5.38 on massive 270 million shares traded volume so far NASDAQ:SNGX money maker of the day! 2 Buy Alerts sent out, also posted it in my premarket watchlist while it was still up only +30%! Forget about NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:AMZN NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AAPL AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ they will never be able to create such gains in a single day or should I say minutes This isn't options trading either, it's a stock that went up that much this morning
NASDAQ:SNGX
by ProfitTradeRoom
1
BTC analysis, supports 116k, targets 122k, caution below 115.9k__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Bullish momentum confirmed on all timeframes (1D to 1H). Key supports: 115,960 / 117,423 / 117,700. Main resistances: 119,573–119,800–122,318. Volumes overall normal to moderately high, no climax. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: strong buy signal for all higher TFs, neutral on 30m/15m (momentary exhaustion). ISPD DIV neutral across all frames, no extreme or behavioral signals. MTFTI trend: up / strong up across the board. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Main bias: confirmed bullish, high-range maintained between 116k–122k. Opportunities: buy on validated pullbacks between 116k–117.7k, take partial profits under 119.5k–122k. Risk areas: sharp downside below 115,960 with potential extension to 112k/110k. Macro catalysts: PCE (slightly above consensus), Fed on hold, moderate volatility. No negative crypto catalyst in sight. Action plan: Tactical stop-loss below 115,960, defensive management within range. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D – Support: 115,960 (Pivot Low), Resistance: 119,573–122,318. Strong momentum, resistance clusters. 12H/6H/4H – Bullish structure, moderate volume participation, consolidation under major resistance, pullbacks defended. 2H/1H – Compression between pivots, patience before breakout or support retest. 30m/15m – Tight consolidation, Up momentum but neutral behavioral signals, compression pre-move. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong buy on all TFs except intraday, neutrality on 30m/15m (temporary stall). ISPD DIV : No euphoria/fear, median persistent zone. Volumes slightly above average, healthy structure. Summary: Technical and fundamental confluence, upper range maintained, no reversal signals present. __________________________________________________________________________________ Summary and Strategic Plan __________________________________________________________________________________ Main bias: confirmed bullish on all frames, but increased caution above 122k. Plan: tactical buy only on validated pullback/price action, defensive profit-taking near resistance. Stop-loss below 115,960. Major invalidation under this threshold (low liquidity area). Monitor reactions to upcoming macro events (PCE/Fed) and any escalation in geopolitics. __________________________________________________________________________________ Macro/Fundamentals & On-chain __________________________________________________________________________________ US Macro: PCE YoY above forecast (2.6% vs 2.5%), Fed on hold, USD under pressure. No systemic negative crypto alerts. IMF to classify BTC as “national wealth” from 2026. On-chain: Large liquidity test absorbed, 97% of BTC supply in profit, network consolidation in 117k–122k. Specific risk on break <115k: potential acceleration towards 110k. __________________________________________________________________________________ Summary: BTC/USDT is in a structural range 116k–122k with a dominant bullish bias, supported by technicals, strong macro and on-chain content. Accumulating at supports and defensive sells near resistance remain optimal until confirmation of a directional breakout. Suggested stop-loss: <115,960. Moderate risk until the next major macro/event catalysts. __________________________________________________________________________________
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Ox_kali
TONUSDT Analysis : Bullish Setup Breakout – Advanced MMC Analyze“Blue Ray Pattern Breakout Confirms Bullish Trend Continuation” The 30-minute chart of TONUSDT highlights a clean and structured bullish setup based on the MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) methodology. The price action exhibits disciplined market behavior, respecting structural levels, breakout dynamics, and volume-based reactions. 🔷 1. Blue Ray Pattern – Trend Continuation Phase This chart begins with the formation of the Blue Ray, a visual representation of trend consolidation and energy buildup. This pattern functions as a trend continuation flag or wedge. Prices compressed within a narrowing range, forming higher lows and lower highs, signaling accumulation under buyer control. Once the pattern matured, we witnessed a decisive bullish breakout, where the price closed above resistance with conviction. This event marked a clear market intention shift and established a new impulsive leg. 🔍 2. Breakout Confirmation and Follow-Through Post-breakout, TONUSDT experienced: High-volume candles with elongated bodies, indicating increased buyer participation. Immediate upside momentum that pushed the asset into a short-term overextended condition – often a healthy sign of strength when followed by a controlled pullback. The breakout wasn’t just a false move – it was sustained, and the price held above the broken structure, proving that supply was absorbed and buyers were dominant. 🔑 3. Demand Zones (Minor and Major) Two key MMC demand zones are highlighted: 🔹 Minor Demand Zone (~3.43–3.45): This is the most immediate support and current price is hovering just above it. It's the first zone of interest for buyers and may serve as a re-entry or scaling point. 🔸 Major Demand Zone (~3.34–3.36): In case of deeper retracement or volatility, this zone is expected to act as a strong bounce region based on past structure and MMC’s reversal logic. Price memory here suggests accumulation or reactive interest. 📐 4. Structure, Momentum, and Higher Timeframe Confluence TONUSDT is in a confirmed uptrend, forming a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The structure supports a bullish flag breakout with minimal overhead resistance. The projected path drawn on the chart illustrates a stair-stepping price pattern with continuation toward 3.60–3.70, if current levels hold. 📊 5. MMC Strategy Bias – Bullish Using the MMC lens: Blue Ray breakout confirms continuation Volume absorption succeeded at the base of the flag No signs of dominant supply entering post-breakout Wave projection supports ongoing momentum Structure favors buying dips, not shorting spikes 💡 Trader’s Takeaway: TONUSDT is providing a textbook bullish opportunity under the MMC framework. As long as price stays above the Minor Demand Zone, continuation upward toward 3.60 and beyond remains in play. If price dips to the Major Zone, watch for strong buyer reactions for fresh entries. Ideal for MMC traders and technical analysts looking to align with structured, logic-based entries and exits. This setup reflects market strength, technical clarity, and volume confirmation – a powerful trio for continuation plays.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
XAGUSD Analysis : Bearish Setup 2x Supply to Next Reversal Zone🔍 Market Context & Technical Overview Silver (XAGUSD) has recently gone through a sharp corrective phase after breaking above a key structural high and retesting previous resistance. The current price action reflects a clean MMC-patterned behavior, including volume absorption, QFL trap, and interaction with a descending trendline that has now become critical for further directional bias. 🧠 Key Observations Based on MMC Principles 🔵 1. Volume Absorption at the Triangle Breakout After a prolonged consolidation phase inside a triangle pattern, volume absorption took place—indicating hidden accumulation. A breakout above the structure was confirmed with momentum (also breaking a previously established “High Breaked” level). This breakout led to a vertical move towards the 2x Channel Supply Interchange Zone, where price reversed sharply. 🟥 2. Supply Interchange Zone (2x Confirmed) Price encountered resistance at the green supply block, which acted as a 2x supply zone—a critical confluence where previous sellers re-engaged. This area had previously served as the channel boundary, creating a supply interchange effect. ⚠️ 3. QFL Zone Trap (Fake Momentum) The price printed a QFL structure, where it created a flat base, faked a move up, and quickly reversed. The QFL base acted as a trap for late buyers, which aligned with the start of a bearish phase that is still ongoing. 📉 4. Downtrend & Trendline Respect Price has respected a strong descending trendline since the reversal at supply. Each retest has resulted in a lower high, confirming the bearish structure is intact for now. Currently, the price is trading below this trendline, reinforcing short-term bearish sentiment. 📦 Key Levels to Watch Zone/Level Type Role 38.70 – 39.20 2x Supply Zone Strong resistance, reversal origin 37.40 – 37.60 Minor Level Short-term support turned resistance 36.00 – 35.40 Next Reversal Zone ✅ High-probability long area, MMC expects reaction Trendline Dynamic Structure control, needs break for bullish shift 🔁 Scenarios Based on Structure 📈 Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal from Green Demand Block Price is approaching the next MMC reversal zone (green box below 36.00). MMC logic suggests a 100% probability of bullish reaction based on: Volume cycle completion Downward exhaustion Proximity to previous institutional accumulation zones Expected move: bounce toward trendline retest and minor resistance at ~37.50. 📉 Scenario 2: Break Below Green Zone = Panic Sell If the green zone fails to hold: A panic drop toward 34.80–35.00 is possible. However, based on MMC mapping, this is less likely without a major macro catalyst. 💡 Strategic Thoughts (MMC Traders’ Lens) We’re observing a classic MMC Phase 3 correction following Phase 2 expansion. The current cycle favors reaccumulation, especially if a wick or engulfing candle forms inside the green zone. Price action traders should wait for confirmation (e.g., break of trendline, bullish structure on 1H) before entering. 📌 Educational Trade Plan (Not Financial Advice) Setup Entry Zone Stop Loss Target 1 Target 2 Reversal Long 35.80 – 36.20 35.40 37.50 38.70 Trendline Break Long Above 37.10 36.40 38.00 39.00 Bearish Continuation Below 35.40 36.10 34.80 33.90 🧾 Conclusion & Final Note Silver is trading at a make-or-break point as it approaches a high-probability reversal zone, identified through MMC methodology. Watch the price action near 36.00 closely—it holds the key to whether we begin a new bullish phase or extend this bearish cycle. ✅ MMC traders will stay reactive, not predictive, and align with structure. 🚨 Patience is key—let the market show its hand before commitment.
FX:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP Steps Into A Correction Within Ongoing RecoveryEURGBP is sharply down after reaching April highs for wave »v« of an impulse into wave A. As expected, the pair is now unfolding a three-wave abc corrective setback within higher-degree wave B. Currently, EURGBP is breaking below the channel support line in a sharp and impulsive projected wave »a«. A corrective recovery in wave »b« may follow, considering that RSI is already at the lower side of its range. Overall, we are still tracking this correction toward the 0.85x support area, which could act as a base before a potential bullish continuation higher into wave C.
Long
by ew-forecast
USDJPY 4H Analysis : Curve Breakout & Retest Completed + Bullish"Momentum Building Above Retested Demand – Will Bulls Take Control?" 📊 Market Structure Overview: USDJPY has shown a clean bullish structure in recent sessions, supported by a strong demand retest and a steady parabolic curve formation (Black Mind Curve Line). The pair has successfully broken above a major resistance, retested it, and is now holding higher ground—suggesting potential for continued upside if current structure holds. 🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Demand & Retesting Behavior The chart highlights a key demand zone (green box) that was previously used after a bullish move. Price recently returned to this zone for a clean retest, validating its role as a strong support. This type of retesting behavior is critical in smart money analysis, confirming that accumulation has occurred and sellers have been absorbed. 🔹 2. Major Breakout Confirmation The previous major structure level has been decisively broken to the upside. This level now acts as support, increasing the probability that the bullish move will sustain. 🔹 3. Black Mind Curve Line (Parabolic Structure) A parabolic curved trendline supports the current price action, showing how bulls are gradually gaining momentum. This curve represents buyer interest increasing over time, which often leads to an aggressive breakout when paired with retest confirmation. 📍 Key Price Zones: Type Price Level (Approx.) Description 🔹 Retesting Zone ~148.800 – 149.100 Support zone after major breakout 🔺 Resistance Target (1) ~150.500 Bullish breakout target (short-term) 🔻 Downside Risk (2) ~147.000 – 146.500 Bearish invalidation zone if demand fails 🔹 Full Supply Area ~145.000 – 145.500 Historical supply zone if price fails completely 🔮 Trade Scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias) Retest is complete, and price is holding above the curve and demand zone. If bullish momentum continues: 📈 Target 1: 150.50 – Near-term resistance and liquidity area 📈 Target 2: 151.20+ – Extension target if buyers dominate Bullish Confirmation: Price must stay above ~149.00 and continue forming higher highs. Entry ideas: Wait for minor consolidation above current price or bullish breakout from mini range. ⚠️ Scenario 2 – Bearish Rejection If price rejects from current level and breaks below the curve and demand zone (~148.80): 📉 First downside target: 147.00 (minor support) 📉 Final bearish target: 145.50 (full supply zone) Bearish Confirmation: Breakdown of curve support and close below the retesting zone with momentum. Such a move would suggest buyers failed, and market may rotate lower. 🧠 Market Sentiment & Psychology: Smart Money Behavior: Demand was filled cleanly and retested, indicating possible institutional interest at that level. Momentum Curve: As shown by the black curve, momentum is rising gradually—this reflects confidence building among buyers. However, price is near psychological resistance (150.00–150.50 zone), where heavy sell orders might be placed. The market is in a decision zone, where confirmation of strength or failure will dictate the next 200–300 pip move. 🎯 Summary: USDJPY is showing a bullish structure supported by: A valid retest of demand A clean breakout of major resistance An ascending parabolic curve If bulls defend the current zone, we may see a powerful continuation toward 150.50+. If price fails to hold above the retest zone, downside risks open toward 147.00 and potentially the full supply at 145.00. 📌 Trade Smart: Wait for price confirmation, manage risk with stop placement below the demand zone or structure lows, and avoid chasing the move.
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Analysis : Major Breakout Setup | Big Move Loading"Bitcoin Coiling Below Key Resistance – Breakout or Trap?" 🔍 Technical Overview: Bitcoin is currently trading within a compressed range, sitting just below a key descending trendline that has capped upside movement for multiple sessions. Price is consolidating between minor highs and lows, hinting at a build-up of momentum for the next breakout move. The setup presents a classic compression inside a bearish wedge, but with increasing bullish pressure evident from higher lows and wick rejections near minor supports. 🧱 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🔸 1. Descending Trendline Structure Price has formed a downward sloping resistance line from earlier highs. This trendline has acted as a dynamic ceiling, rejecting multiple bullish attempts. Each time price approaches it, the rejection gets weaker, indicating a possible breakout attempt soon. 🔸 2. Multiple Minor & Major Zones Minor Resistance: Around $118,800–$119,200 A short-term ceiling that has paused bullish rallies. Price needs a clean break and close above this to initiate momentum. Major Resistance: ~$121,000–$121,200 This zone aligns with a previous significant swing high. A break above here could result in strong bullish continuation toward ATH levels. Minor Support: ~$117,000 Price has repeatedly bounced from this level. A breakdown would indicate fading bullish strength and open the downside. Major Support: ~$115,000 A historically strong demand zone. If BTC fails all bullish attempts, this would be the final defense for buyers. 🧠 Market Psychology Insight: Price is trapped between aggressive short-term sellers and accumulating buyers. Buyers are placing confidence in this area by defending higher lows. Sellers are still protecting the trendline, but with each retest, the defense weakens. This is a classic equilibrium zone where liquidity is building—once imbalance hits, a strong impulsive breakout (either direction) is likely. Volume and momentum should be watched closely as a breakout with confirmation may trap the opposite side, leading to a strong move (short squeeze or long liquidation). 🔮 Scenario Forecasts: 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario: Price breaks above $119,200 → minor resistance flips to support Retest of the broken trendline confirms a bullish breakout Price targets: First Target: $121,000–$121,200 (major resistance) Second Target: $122,500+ Third Target: $123,800–$124,000 (All-Time High) Confirmation Needed: 4H candle close above descending trendline and $119,200 with rising volume. 📉 Bearish Rejection Scenario: Price gets rejected from the trendline or minor resistance zone Breaks below $117,000 minor support Possible targets: First Target: $116,000 (reaction zone) Second Target: $115,000 (major support) A fall below $115,000 could invalidate the bullish buildup and invite strong bearish continuation. This would signal that bulls failed to reclaim control, and sellers maintain market structure dominance. 📌 Key Levels Summary: Type Price Range Significance 🔺 All-Time High $123,800–124,000 Final upside target 🔸 Major Resistance $121,000–121,200 Key breakout level 🔹 Minor Resistance $118,800–119,200 Immediate trendline + local supply 🔹 Minor Support ~$117,000 Local demand base 🔻 Major Support $115,000 Last line of defense for bulls 🧭 Conclusion & Strategy: Bitcoin is approaching a make-or-break zone under a significant descending trendline. Price compression is tightening, and a breakout looks imminent. Traders should stay patient and wait for confirmation—either a breakout and successful retest for longs or a rejection and trendline defense for shorting opportunities. Whether it’s a breakout toward $121K and ATH, or a drop toward $115K support, this setup offers a high-probability trade opportunity for both bulls and bears depending on the confirmation.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Analysis : Channel Break, Demand Zone + SR - Interchange"High-Probability Zone Reaction & SR Flip Confirmation" Gold (XAUUSD) is currently reacting from a significant support zone after completing a bearish breakout from a well-established ascending channel. The market structure indicates both threat and opportunity depending on how price behaves around key levels ahead. 🔍 Structure Breakdown & Price Behavior: 🔹 1. Rising Channel Violation Over the past few weeks, price was comfortably moving inside a well-respected ascending channel, making higher highs and higher lows. Recently, however, price broke below the lower boundary, which is often a bearish signal—indicating a possible trend reversal or a deeper correction phase. Such breakdowns suggest buyers are losing control, and bearish sentiment is gaining strength. 🔹 2. Supply Zone Reaction & Drop Before the breakout, we observed a sharp rejection from a high point, triggering a sell-off. The price completed its move into a previously defined supply zone, resulting in a strong bearish impulsive leg that pushed it outside the channel. This move shows clear institutional distribution—where large sellers unloaded positions around that zone. 📍 Key Zone Focus: 🟩 Previous Reversal / Demand Zone (Green Box) Price is now sitting in a historically strong demand zone, which acted as a major reversal point in the past. This area is marked as the first zone of interest where buyers might step back in to defend. The green box represents a liquidity pocket where institutions previously accumulated positions—hence it’s a strong bounce candidate. 🟦 SR Interchange Zone (Blue Box) The next major level above current price is the SR Interchange zone, around 3,320–3,340. This level was previously broken and now acts as resistance. It's crucial because it represents the battle zone where the market will decide whether to continue bearish or shift back bullish. 🧠 Market Psychology & Order Flow Insight: The recent aggressive selling pressure from the highs, followed by a bounce from the demand zone, shows a shift from euphoria to fear. Sellers are active at supply, while buyers are attempting to defend the previous demand. The market is currently in decision mode—and the SR flip zone (3,320–3,340) will be the judge. A break and retest above this level signals strength and potential for a trend resumption. A failure to reclaim it would confirm bearish dominance and open doors for deeper targets. 🔄 Possible Scenarios Ahead: 📈 Scenario 1 – Bullish Rejection & Breakout: If buyers successfully hold the 3,280–3,260 demand zone and push price above the SR Interchange zone, we can expect: 📍 Target 1: 3,360 (mid-term resistance) 📍 Target 2: 3,400–3,420 (previous high & upper trendline) This would confirm a fakeout from the channel and a bullish continuation pattern. 📉 Scenario 2 – Failure at Resistance & Drop Continuation: If price fails to reclaim the interchange zone, expect a retest of the green demand, followed by a potential drop toward: 📍 3,260 – local support 📍 3,240 – major support (unfilled demand below) 📍 3,220–3,200 – ultimate downside target This would solidify a bearish market structure, confirming the sellers are in control. 🧭 Key Levels To Watch: Level Type Price Range Significance Supply Zone ~3,400–3,420 Major institutional selling area SR Interchange (Blue) ~3,320–3,340 Critical resistance / flip zone Current Price ~3,297 Watching reaction for momentum shift Demand Zone (Green) ~3,280–3,260 Key support / bounce zone Major Demand Pending ~3,240–3,220 Next support level if drop continues ✅ Conclusion: Gold is at a critical inflection point. The recent bearish breakout signals weakness, but the current support zone may provide a short-term bullish setup if buyers defend it effectively. A successful reclaim of the SR flip zone will shift sentiment bullish again. Otherwise, a deeper correction is likely. This setup is ideal for both swing and intraday traders—look for confirmation signals at the current support and SR zone before executing trades.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Will Upcoming Data Determine the Next Gold's Direction?Macro approach: - Gold retreated this week, reversing early gains to trade near four-week lows amid renewed US dollar strength and caution ahead of the Fed's policy decision. - The retreat was mainly pressured by stronger-than-expected US economic data and a tentative revival in risk appetite, offsetting pockets of safe-haven demand. - Key drivers included robust US GDP growth for 2Q, a bounce in consumer confidence, and the Fed's steady rates with a more hawkish tone, suggesting cuts may be further out. - Meanwhile, recent US-EU and US-China trade deals eased some global uncertainty, damping gold's appeal as a hedge.  - Market participants also eyed the labor market's continued cooling, but resilient consumer spending further buoyed the dollar. - Gold may remain volatile, with potential upside if upcoming US PCE inflation and NFP reports disappoint expectations. Any escalation in trade tensions or signals of Fed policy easing could renew support for gold prices. Technical approach: - XAUUSD fluctuated within the range of 3285-3560, which is below the broken ascending trendline. The price between the two EMAs awaits an apparent breakout to determine the next trend. - If XAUUSD breaks below the support at 3273, confluence with EMA78, the price may plunge to retest the following support at 3167. - On the contrary, remaining above the support at 3273 may lead XAUUSD to retest the resistance at around 3560. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by DatTong
2
GBPUSD – Daily Timeframe Analysis: Head & Shoulders PatternThe GBPUSD daily chart is currently presenting a textbook Head & Shoulders reversal pattern, a powerful bearish signal that often marks the end of an uptrend and the beginning of a new downward cycle. This setup demands attention from swing and positional traders alike, especially considering the size and clarity of the structure. 🔍 Pattern Breakdown Left Shoulder: Formed in late May, establishing a significant high before a corrective move. Head: A higher peak was made in early June, which now stands as the pattern's highest point. Right Shoulder: A lower high formed in mid-July, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Neckline: The crucial horizontal support zone around 1.3330–1.3340 was tested multiple times and has now been decisively broken, triggering a confirmed bearish setup. 📊 Technical Significance This Head & Shoulders pattern becomes especially meaningful due to: Multiple rejections at the neckline, confirming its strength as support-turned-resistance. Bearish volume expansion on the breakdown, adding weight to the selling pressure. Formation on a daily timeframe, suggesting a long-term trend reversal rather than a short-term pullback. 📌 Trading Strategy for Traders ✅ Sell Setup (Short Position) Entry: Around the neckline zone on retest (1.3320–1.3340) Stop Loss: Above the right shoulder (~1.3550) Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 1.3100 (psychological and horizontal support) 🎯 Target 2: 1.2900 (measured move from head to neckline) 🎯 Target 3: 1.2650–1.2600 (extended downside zone based on structure) ⚠️ Risk Management Tips: Don’t chase the breakdown — wait for a pullback/retest of the neckline to get a better risk/reward entry. Ensure position sizing is appropriate based on the stop loss distance. If price reclaims the neckline with strong bullish momentum and closes above 1.3350, exit short and reevaluate. 🧠 What Traders Should Keep in Mind Macro Fundamentals: Watch upcoming economic events like BoE rate decisions, US NFP, and inflation data, which can cause volatility and impact the technical scenario. Dollar Index (DXY) trend should also be monitored closely. If DXY rallies, GBPUSD breakdown can accelerate. Trendline Confirmation: Align this with any break of rising trendlines drawn from previous lows. 📌 Final Thought This pattern marks a crucial turning point in GBPUSD. The momentum has clearly shifted from buyers to sellers, and the breakdown opens up significant downside room. As a swing or position trader, this is a high-probability setup with a clear invalidation point (above the right shoulder) and a favorable risk-reward ratio. 📉 Patience and precision are key here. Let price come to you at the neckline, confirm rejection, and then take the trade with confidence. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
Short
by TradZoo
8