#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 16/06/2025Today, a slightly gap-up opening is expected in Nifty near the 24,735 level. If Nifty sustains above the 24,750–24,800 zone after the opening, it may lead to a continuation of the upside move toward 24,850, 24,900, and potentially 24,950+ during the day. This zone can attract intraday buying interest, especially if supported by volume and momentum.
However, any rally approaching the 24,950 level should be watched cautiously, as it may act as a reversal zone, triggering profit booking or intraday resistance.
On the other hand, if Nifty fails to hold 24,700 levels and starts drifting lower, fresh selling pressure could emerge, pushing the index toward 24,650, 24,600, and even 24,550 during the session.
Technical Analysis
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/06/2025)Today, a slightly gap-up opening is expected in Bank Nifty near the 55,550–55,600 zone. If Bank Nifty sustains above this zone, it may attempt an upside move toward 55,750, 55,850, and potentially 55,950+ levels during the session.
If Bank Nifty starts trading above 56,050, a further bullish rally can be seen, taking it higher toward the 56,250, 56,350, and 56,450+ zones.
On the downside, if Bank Nifty slips below the 55,450–55,400 zone, it may face further selling pressure, leading to a possible move toward 55,250, 55,150, and 55,050 levels.
Forex Weekly Portfolio Selection – Top Trade SetupsWeekly Forex Portfolio Selection – H1 Chart Analysis
Using the Weekly & Daily Currency Strength Index, we’ve identified the strongest and weakest currencies to build a focused trading portfolio for the week.
📊 Currency Strength Ranking (1 = Weakest, 8 = Strongest):
EUR: 8
CHF: 7
CAD: 6
GBP: 5
AUD: 4
NZD: 3
USD: 2
JPY: 1
➡️ The Euro (EUR) is currently the strongest, while the Japanese Yen (JPY) is the weakest.
🔍 Analysed Pairs (H1 Timeframe):
EURJPY
EURUSD
CADJPY
GBPUSD
This selection focuses on high-probability setups aligned with trend and strength analysis.
EURUSD: Move Up Ahead?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD nicely respected the underlined key horizontal support.
A strong rejection from that and a formation of a bullish imbalance candle
indicate a highly probably bullish continuation next week.
Goal - 1.1608
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NASDAQ Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring NAS100 for a selling opportunity around 21,700 zone, NASDAQ was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 21,700 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBP/JPY Tests 196.4FenzoFx—GBP/JPY is testing the 196.4 monthly high, a fragile resistance after four previous attempts.
On Friday, bulls pushed higher with a long-wick candlestick, but the Stochastic Oscillator signals an overbought market.
The bullish trend remains intact if GBP/JPY holds above 193.8 support. A breakout above 196.4 may target 198.3, while closing below support could shift momentum downward.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook — 16 June 2025👋 Hello team, here’s where we stand before the upcoming key week:
🔎 The Narrative
Gold remains in bullish control after weeks of controlled expansion.
The clean breakout above previous major highs triggered liquidity resets that cleared significant weak-handed positions.
Last week’s sweep into 3447 activated premium liquidity, trapping late buyers at the edge of impulsive highs. But the game is far from over — smart money continues to rotate liquidity at these extreme levels, using premium expansion to build further trap pockets both above and below.
Behind this technical expansion, macro tensions continue to fuel underlying gold demand. Geopolitical uncertainties remain elevated with the Middle East escalation risk growing, while recent Fed positioning keeps rate path expectations flexible.
The upcoming FOMC decision later this week will likely act as the true liquidity catalyst — until then, gold remains positioned for further inducement cycles as both buyers and sellers continue to get baited into traps.
🔼 Premium Supply Zones
Price Zone Description
3447 – 3470 Weak high sweep — premium liquidity trap fully active
3500 – 3525 Main extension liquidity pocket — Fibonacci cluster (1.272 & 1.414 extensions)
3550 – 3570 Exhaustion inducement — full 1.618 premium extension stack
🔽 Demand Defense Zones
Price Zone Description
3415 – 3395 Minor imbalance recalibration — short-term liquidity refill zone
3365 – 3345 Core breakout OB + FVG overlap — main recalibration zone if pullbacks extend
3285 – 3265 HTF bullish structure base — BOS origin + deep recalibration defense level
🎯 Where We Stand Right Now
✅ Smart money holds full control inside premium expansion.
✅ Inducement layers remain open both above and below current price.
✅ We expect short-term liquidity sweeps before any major expansion unfolds.
✅ No change in bias — bullish structure remains valid while 3285 holds.
🔐 The Mindset
👉 This is not the place for aggressive chasing.
👉 Liquidity will continue to hunt both sides into key events ahead.
👉 Our job is not to predict, but to position with discipline once liquidity confirms displacement inside the calibrated zones.
🚀 If this breakdown helps you stay locked:
💬 Drop a 🚀, leave your thoughts & follow for full sniper-level updates as we approach a volatile week ahead.
Stay sharp — the trap is already in play.
— GoldFxMinds
GBPUSD: Your Trading Plan For Next Week 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
Your next signal to buy will be a bullish violation of its neckline.
To confirm a breakout, we will need a daily candle close above 1.362.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 1.37 level then.
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Gold: silence on the charts—because the real money already movedThe gold market isn't reacting — it's confirming. The Israeli strikes on Iran? That’s the trigger. But the move started earlier. Price was already coiled, already positioned. All the market needed was a headline. And it got it.
Price broke out of the accumulation channel and cleared $3,400 — a key structural level that’s acted as a battleground in past rotations. The move from $3,314 was no fluke — it was a textbook build: sweep the lows, reclaim structure, flip the highs. Volume spiked exactly where it needed to — this wasn’t emotional buying. This was smart money pulling the pin.
Technicals are loaded:
— Holding above $3,396–3,398 (0.618 Fibo + demand re-entry zone)
— All major EMAs (including MA200) are now below price
— RSI strong, no sign of exhaustion
— Candles? Clean control bars — breakout, retest, drive
— Volume profile above price = air pocket — resistance is thin to nonexistent up to $3,450+
Targets:
— $3,447 — prior high
— $3,484 — 1.272 extension
— $3,530 — full 1.618 expansion — key upside target
Fundamentals:
Middle East is boiling. Iran is ready to retaliate. Israel is already escalating. In moments like these, gold isn't just a commodity — it's capital preservation. The dollar is rising — and gold still rallies. That means this isn’t about inflation, or rates. It’s about risk-off. Pure, institutional-level flight to safety.
Tactical view:
The breakout is done. Holding above $3,396 confirms the thesis. Pullbacks to that zone? Reloading points. While gold remains in the channel and momentum is clean, the only side that matters right now — is long.
When price moves before the news — that’s not reaction. That’s preparation. Stay sharp.
Bearish Bias Holds as Oil Rises & Rate Differentials NarrowUSDCAD – Bearish Bias Holds as Oil Rises & Rate Differentials Narrow
🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) continues to gain ground this week, supported by two key drivers:
Crude oil prices surged due to Middle East tensions and renewed demand optimism — boosting CAD as a commodity-linked currency.
US-Canada yield spreads narrowed, following revised expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may keep rates higher for longer, while the Fed is seen pausing.
Short-term event risks to watch:
🇨🇦 Canadian Manufacturing Sales data today at 13:30 GMT
🇨🇦 G7 Summit in Alberta from June 15–17, which may influence oil and energy policy sentiment
Our latest fair value estimate for USDCAD has shifted lower to 1.3613, reflecting tighter rate spreads and stronger oil. Technical structure remains tilted to the downside.
📉 Technical Outlook – M30 Chart
🔹 Structure:
Price remains in a short-term downtrend, with a well-defined descending trendline capping upside attempts.
The pair recently tested the EMA 89–200 zone and failed, suggesting continued bearish pressure.
🔹 Key Zones:
Dynamic Resistance: 1.3638 – 1.3660 (trendline + EMA cluster)
Support Area: 1.3592 → 1.3578
A break below 1.3578 could expose deeper downside toward 1.3420 (September lows)
🔹 Momentum Indicators:
RSI has bounced from oversold (30) but remains in bearish territory.
The current rebound looks corrective — potentially a dead cat bounce.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Flows favour commodity-backed currencies like CAD, especially with energy prices rising.
USD has weakened slightly as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady next week.
Sentiment is leaning toward "sell the rallies" on USDCAD for now.
🎯 Trade Setup Scenarios
🔻 SELL SCENARIO – If price retests and rejects 1.3638 – 1.3660
Entry: 1.3640 – 1.3655
Stop-Loss: 1.3685
Targets: 1.3592 → 1.3578 → 1.3510
🔺 BUY SCENARIO – If strong bullish reaction occurs at 1.3592 – 1.3578
Entry: 1.3580
Stop-Loss: 1.3545
Targets: 1.3620 → 1.3640
⚠️ Focus on trend continuation. Only consider buys if clear rejection or bullish confirmation appears at support.
✅ Conclusion
The current trend in USDCAD favours sellers, with fundamental momentum supporting CAD via higher oil and narrowing yield differentials. Key resistance at 1.3638–1.3660 remains the pivot zone to monitor. With Canadian data and the G7 Summit ahead, volatility could increase.
Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?USDJPY – Dollar Momentum Fades | Can 143.07 Hold as Support?
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Outlook
USDJPY has faced strong downside pressure recently as risk-off sentiment boosts demand for the Japanese Yen, following escalating tensions between Israel and Iran.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rallied on geopolitical concerns but is struggling to sustain momentum near the 98.30 resistance zone.
Despite the Bank of Japan's ultra-loose monetary policy, JPY is acting as a safe haven in current global risk conditions.
Traders are awaiting next week’s monetary policy decisions from both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan. Both central banks are expected to keep rates unchanged, but forward guidance could spark major volatility.
According to UOB Group, the dollar's recovery potential is weakening, and further downside toward 142.20 is possible, unless price reclaims the 144.60–144.95 resistance zone.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔸 Trend Structure
USDJPY remains in a mild downtrend, but price has bounced from the 143.074 key support zone.
A recovery towards 144.624 is in play, but that zone must be cleared for bullish continuation.
🔸 EMA Outlook
Price is currently testing the EMA 89 and 200 — a rejection from this area could trigger another move down.
EMA 13 & 34 are now acting as short-term dynamic support.
🔸 Key Price Zones
Resistance: 144.60 – 145.26
Support: 143.07 – 142.20
🧠 Market Sentiment
Risk aversion continues to dominate as geopolitical headlines drive sentiment.
The Yen is benefitting from capital protection flows despite Japan’s dovish stance.
Large funds may be starting to hedge by rotating into JPY from elevated USD levels.
🎯 Trading Scenarios for June 13
📌 Scenario 1 – Short Setup (Rejection at Resistance)
Entry: 144.60 – 144.90
Stop-Loss: 145.30
Take-Profit: 143.60 → 143.07 → 142.50
📌 Scenario 2 – Long Setup (Rebound from Support)
Entry: 143.10 – 143.20
Stop-Loss: 142.70
Take-Profit: 144.00 → 144.60
✅ Wait for confirmation at key levels — avoid trading in the middle of the range when volatility is headline-driven.
✅ Conclusion
USDJPY remains trapped between strong resistance at 145.26 and buying interest at 143.07. If risk sentiment persists, the Yen may continue to strengthen. However, central bank decisions next week (Fed & BoJ) will be the major catalysts for any medium-term breakout.
GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk |GBPUSD – Sterling Slips Amid Geopolitical Risk | Will Support Hold for a Bounce?
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
The British Pound (GBP) is under pressure as risk sentiment deteriorates following a sharp escalation between Israel and Iran.
Israel launched a major military campaign, striking dozens of nuclear and military facilities in northeastern Tehran.
PM Netanyahu announced the start of "Operation Rising Lion", aimed at eliminating the Iranian nuclear threat.
US President Donald Trump voiced support, stating that Iran “must never have a nuclear bomb.”
Investors reacted by fleeing to safe-haven assets, pushing the US Dollar (DXY) from 97.60 to nearly 98.30.
Meanwhile, next week’s Bank of England (BoE) and Federal Reserve meetings are in focus. Both are expected to hold rates steady, but weak UK economic data may pressure the BoE to adopt a more cautious or dovish tone.
📉 Technical Analysis – H1 Chart
🔸 Trend Structure
GBPUSD broke down from its recent high at 1.36288 and is now approaching key support between 1.35350 and 1.34957.
As long as 1.3495 holds, the move appears to be a technical correction, not a reversal.
🔸 Fibonacci & Moving Averages
Current price sits near Fibonacci 0.236 retracement of the recent swing.
Price is trading below the EMA 13 & 34, but EMA 200 near 1.353x still acts as potential support.
🔸 Resistance to Watch
The next upside target sits at 1.3588, followed by the previous high at 1.3628.
🧠 Market Sentiment
Risk aversion is dominating due to geopolitical headlines.
GBP is vulnerable as a risk-sensitive currency.
However, if tensions ease and central bank decisions next week come in line with expectations, GBP could rebound from its currently discounted levels.
🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion
✅ BUY ZONE: 1.35350 – 1.34957
Stop-Loss: 1.3460
Take-Profit Targets: 1.3588 → 1.3628
Enter only on bullish price action confirmation around the support zone.
✅ Conclusion
GBPUSD is trading under geopolitical stress, but the technical setup around 1.3495 – 1.3535 offers a potential bounce zone. A short-term recovery could unfold if sentiment stabilizes and central banks maintain the expected policy stance.
Oil Price Rally Stalls at $77.72, Just Below 2025 HighFenzoFx—Oil prices resumed their bullish trend, accelerating after geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The rally paused at $77.72, just below the 2025 high.
RSI 14 indicates an overbought market, while volume accumulation at $73.7 suggests possible sell orders. A consolidation phase is likely before further gains.
If oil pulls back, key demand zones at $64.00 and $66.00 offer bullish opportunities, with a potential move toward the 2025 high at $80.59.
Rate Cut Bets Keep Silver in FocusSilver slipped toward $36 per ounce as investors locked in gains after hitting a 13-year high. The metal remains supported by strong industrial demand, supply deficits, and safe-haven interest during global uncertainty. Industrial uses, especially in solar and electronics, account for over half of the demand. A fifth consecutive annual supply deficit is expected, though the Silver Institute sees the gap narrowing by 21% in 2025. Softer U.S. inflation data for May also increased expectations of Fed rate cuts beginning in September, helping sustain interest in precious metals.
Resistance is set at 36.90, while support stands at 35.40.
Gold Surges Amid Middle East TensionsGold surged more than 1% to exceed $3,440, approaching record levels amid a sharp rise in safe-haven demand. The gains came after Israel's strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities, fueling concerns over a wider regional conflict. Uncertainty surrounding potential US tariffs added to market jitters. Additionally, softer US inflation data increased expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, enhancing gold's appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Resistance is seen at $3,430, while support holds at $3,350.
Weaker PPI Caps Dollar Strength in GBP/USDGBP/USD fell to around 1.3530 early Friday as escalating tensions in the Middle East supported demand for the US Dollar. Israel’s preemptive strike on Iran raised fears of retaliation, with Iranian officials warning of severe consequences for both the US and Israel, pressuring risk-linked currencies like the Pound. However, weaker US PPI data limited further USD strength. May’s PPI increased just 0.1%, below the 0.2% forecast, while the core PPI also came in softer. Attention now turns to the upcoming Michigan consumer sentiment report.
Resistance is at 1.3600, with support around 1.3425.
EUR/USD Slips on Geopolitical TensionsEUR/USD dropped to around 1.1530 on Friday, ending a four-day rally, as safe-haven demand lifted the US Dollar amid rising Middle East tensions.
Israel struck Iranian targets to weaken its nuclear program, prompting emergency measures. The US denied involvement but warned Iran not to target its assets.
Trump’s plan to expand steel tariffs from June 23 added trade uncertainty, while soft US inflation data kept Fed rate cut hopes alive.
Markets now await the US Michigan Sentiment report for further signals.
Resistance is located at 1.1580, while support is seen at 1.1460.
California Resources Corporation (CRC) – Stock Analysis and ForeCalifornia Resources Corporation, a key player in crude oil production and carbon management, has recently experienced a notable uptick in investor interest.
This momentum appears to be supported by macroeconomic tailwinds, including renewed trade tensions between the United States and other major economies.
Historically, geopolitical uncertainty often leads to increased energy demand and price volatility, both of which tend to benefit domestic oil producers like CRC.
From a fundamental standpoint, investor sentiment toward CRC has grown increasingly positive. The company’s strategic positioning in California's energy transition—particularly its focus on carbon capture and storage (CCS)—is beginning to resonate more with institutional investors looking to align portfolios with sustainable yet profitable energy operations.
If these supportive fundamentals continue, there is potential for the stock to reach $56 in the coming months, assuming no major changes to current market dynamics or geopolitical influences.
Technical Outlook:
Entry Point: $44.68
Stop Loss: $42.73
Take Profit 1: $50.84
Take Profit 2: $55.88
As always, trade with care, apply proper risk management, and ensure your positions align with your overall investment strategy.
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Safe-Haven Demand Boosts Gold as Middle East Tensions EscalateHey Traders,
In today’s trading session, we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around the 3,380 zone. Gold is currently trading in an uptrend and is experiencing a correction phase as it pulls back toward this key support and resistance area.
On the fundamental side, reports indicate that Israel struck Iran overnight — fueling a classic geopolitical risk-off sentiment. This escalation is driving strength in safe-haven assets while putting pressure on riskier markets. Gold typically benefits from this kind of uncertainty, adding further weight to the technical setup we’re seeing today.
Trade safe,
Joe