Get started

Technical Analysis

Ethereum bulls are enjoying the momentAfter violating the upper side of the range, MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM is now aiming for the 3000 zone. Will the buyers have enough steam to drag it there? Let's have a look. CRYPTO:ETHUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:ETHEREUM
by Marketscom
2
EUR/JPY Short🎯 Trade Setup Plan 👇 Aggressive Entry (Riskier) Sell Limit: 164.90 SL: 165.90 TP1: 160.00 TP2: 157.00 TP3 (optional): 155.00 Use this only if you want to catch the wick, but recognize the higher chance of being swept. ✅ Conservative Entry (Recommended) Wait for a daily candle close under 162.00 after touching 164. That confirms rejection. Entry: On next day’s minor retest (e.g., 162.50–163.00) SL: 165.50 (above recent highs) TP1: 160.00 TP2: 157.00 TP3: 155.00 Risk: 1–2% depending on confirmation strength 📌 Optional Breakout Plan (In case resistance breaks cleanly) Buy Stop: 165.60 SL: 164.30 TP: 170.00 (weekly resistance) Use only if a strong daily close above 165 confirms breakout.
Short
by tradercat2025
XAUUSD | 1H Chart Analysis | Uptrendurrently, Gold (XAUUSD) is showing bullish momentum after breaking previous market structure to the upside. Price has formed a clear Higher Low (HL) and Higher Highs (HH), indicating that short-term structure has shifted into an uptrend. 🔼 Key Technical Observations: The previous LL (Lower Low) got broken, and price created a new HL, showing buyer pressure. The bullish structure is supported by an ascending trendline. Price is currently trading near PDH (Previous Day High) and approaching a key supply/resistance zone (highlighted in red). RSI is still not in extreme zones but steadily climbing, showing strength in the current bullish move. 📊 Current Market Structure: Shift from previous downtrend into short-term uptrend. Formation of clear HL & HH. Price respecting trendline support. Clean bullish break of internal resistance levels. 📌 Potential Scenarios: Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation): If price holds above the PDH and supply zone gets broken, we may see continuation toward TP1 and higher. Scenario 2 (Rejection & Short-term Pullback): If price faces strong rejection from the current supply zone, short-term retracement is possible toward the previous demand zones or trendline support. Possible pullback zones: 3340 → 3320 → 3310 area. ✅ Bias: Short-Term Bullish As long as price holds above the HL zone and trendline, bulls are in control. But keep an eye on price reaction around current supply zone for any signs of weakness or reversal.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by awaisulabdeen
Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPIDXY 11/06 – Dollar Index Eyes FVG Breakout Ahead of CPI | Reversal Risk After 100.31? The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to consolidate within a rising channel on the H2 timeframe, with price tightening just ahead of a key macro event — the US CPI report. DXY is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone, where liquidity hunts and potential reversals become highly probable. 🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT 📌 US CPI (June 12): The main macro driver for DXY this week. A hotter-than-expected print → strengthens the Fed’s hawkish stance → DXY likely to spike. A weaker-than-expected CPI → boosts rate cut expectations → downside pressure on DXY. 📌 Risk Sentiment: Institutions are readjusting their exposure ahead of CPI and FOMC. This has caused DXY to hover near EMA89 — a sign of indecision. 📌 Cross-asset Flows (Bonds & Gold): Treasury yields are stable, but surprises in CPI could lead to capital rotation between gold and USD, increasing volatility in XAUUSD and DXY simultaneously. 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Trend Structure: DXY is following a clean ascending channel on H2, with higher lows respecting the lower trendline. EMA Confluence (13–34–89–200) Price is consolidating near EMA89 and below EMA200 (99.40), forming a neutral short-term bias. A clean breakout above EMA200 could trigger acceleration into the FVG zone. Key FVG Zone (H2): 99.63 – 100.31 is an unfilled Fair Value Gap. This zone may act as a magnet for price before any meaningful rejection or breakout. Potential Reversal Area: A rejection at 100.31 could trigger a sharp pullback toward the liquidity zone around 98.68. 🧠 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK CPI will set the tone for DXY’s mid-term trend. Watch the 99.63 – 100.31 FVG zone for liquidity sweeps and potential rejection. Wait for confirmation, not prediction — especially in macro-sensitive environments.
TVC:DXYLong
by MMFlowTrading
“Gold Eyes 4‑Hour Demand at $3,322” 11 June 2025Gold (XAU/USD) has consolidated near $3,332 after an SMC-style structure sweep above $3,338, which likely captured institutional liquidity before a clean CHoCH and pullback toward a key demand zone at $3,322–$3,328. This demand zone held firmly—on a bullish 4‑hour candle—indicating underlying strength. Key technical confluences: CHoCH above $3,322 confirms bullish structure. Price above 200‑SMA and mid-Bollinger Band on 4H. RSI (~55‑60) and MACD showing resumed bullish momentum. ✅ 4H Entry Strategy Breakdown Bullish Retest Wait for price to revisit $3,322–$3,328 with bullish candle formation → enter long. SL just below $3,312; targets at $3,345 and then $3,355. Breakout Option If momentum pushes price above $3,353 resistance, follow the breakout with target zones extending to $3,365–$3,380. Supply Rejection Alternatively, watch for reversal patterns near $3,345–$3,353. A confirmed rejection opens a short trade down to $3,322. Scalp Play For quicker profits, scalp the bounce from the demand zone with tight stops and targets within the 4‑hour upper range. Risk note: US CPI and trade headlines may inject volatility. Waiting for candle confirmation is critical to validate setups.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
Boeing (BA): Watching for a Break Above 218.80NYSE:BA has a strong chance of breaking above the 218.80 level , with a potential move toward 221.98 . I plan to enter 1 tick above 218.80, with a stop-loss based on the 5-minute ATR (period 10). 🔍 Technical Outlook: BA is currently moving within an upward ABCD channel. The projected upside is capped by a strong resistance zone at 221.98 – a level derived from the daily chart and previous price action. The market may or may not react to it, but it’s a logical target within a solid risk-to-reward setup. One aspect I particularly like about this setup is the market’s inability to close significantly below the previous pivot high at 215.80. This suggests underlying strength. If we see a confident move above resistance, the trade could be triggered with momentum.
NYSE:BALong
by Zechyx
XAU/USD MMC Analysis – Structure Flip, Trendline + Target Zone📊 Market Sentiment and Price Structure Overview: Gold has been navigating a highly structured range with multiple clear zones of support and resistance that have now started to break down in favor of a short-term bullish trend. The chart reflects a transition from a bearish descending channel to a potential bullish continuation pattern. Today’s analysis is centered around three core ideas: Market Structure Shift (Break of structure) Support/Resistance Interchange (horizontal + channel) Trendline Dynamics (bullish control) Each of these plays a key role in shaping trade bias and decision-making. 🧱 1. Straight SR Interchange Zone (Key Historical Level): Marked on the left side of the chart, this level has acted as both support and resistance over the last several days. Traders call this a “flip zone” — price often bounces off this area multiple times as buyers and sellers wrestle for dominance. ✅ Multiple touches indicate institutional interest. 🔄 This zone adds confluence to other structure zones, increasing its strength. 🧲 Price currently hovers near this level, suggesting indecision or a setup for a larger move. 📉 2. Descending Channel SR Flip – Confirmation of Shift: The descending green channel served as a dynamic resistance over multiple sessions. Price remained below it during the previous downtrend. However, a breakout occurred, followed by a successful retest, turning it into support — a textbook bullish structure flip. This move was also a signal of trend reversal, which was followed by higher lows and a shift in price behavior. 📈 3. Upward Trendline – Short-Term Bullish Control: A diagonal ascending trendline is forming beneath price action, supported by multiple rejection wicks and higher lows (marked in blue). This shows that buyers are stepping in earlier, absorbing selling pressure. 🔁 Each touch confirms strength. 📉 A break below this line could signal weakness or trend exhaustion. Watch closely — this line becomes your dynamic support and invalidation point for any long positions. 🔄 4. Major BOS (Break of Structure) – Trend Change Confirmed: We’ve seen a clean break of structure above previous swing highs — this is key in market structure analysis. When a lower high is invalidated by a higher high, it often marks a trend reversal. This BOS now acts as a major support area. As long as price remains above this zone, bullish continuation is favored. 🚨 5. Reversal Zone in Sight – Potential Resistance Ahead: Highlighted as “Next Reversal” in the chart, this area around $3,360–$3,370 is a confluence of: Past resistance Mid-channel region Psychological round numbers Price is nearing this level, and we may see a temporary pullback or rejection before any further continuation. 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔵 BULLISH SCENARIO (Base Case): 🟢 Entry: On a retest of trendline or BOS zone ($3,330–$3,340) 🛡️ SL: Below $3,325 🎯 TP1: $3,360 🎯 TP2: $3,390 🧠 Reasoning: Structural shift confirmed, trendline respected, SR flip confluence. 🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO (Counter-Play): 🔴 Entry: At rejection from $3,365–$3,370 zone (reversal box) 🛡️ SL: Above $3,380 🎯 TP1: $3,345 🎯 TP2: $3,330 🧠 Reasoning: Reversal from resistance zone, potential trap setup, fading exhausted move. 📌 Summary: Gold is in a key decision phase after a major structural flip. The battle between bulls and bears is now centered around the trendline and next resistance zone. As always, patience and confirmation will be key. Trendline = dynamic support BOS zone = structural support Reversal area = possible short-term ceiling 💡 Best trades will come from reactions, not predictions. 🚀 Stay Updated: Follow this idea for live updates as price reacts to these zones. If we break and hold above the reversal box, expect bullish continuation. Otherwise, watch for potential trap plays and short-term pullbacks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Will Oil Prices Face Downward Pressure After EIA's Forecast?Macro approach: - The EIA’s latest short-term outlook projects weaker oil prices as rising global inventories weigh on the market. Sluggish demand growth and increased production are expected to push output above consumption, building stockpiles and adding pressure on prices. - Traders are also monitoring the ongoing US-China trade talks in London. Sentiment remains cautiously optimistic after US Commerce Secretary Lutnick described the negotiations as progressing well. - On the supply side, Saudi Aramco has reduced its Jul oil shipments to China by 1 million barrels compared to Jun, suggesting that the recent OPEC+ production hike may not translate into substantial new supply. Technical approach: - USOIL retested both the descending trendline and resistance near 64.50 before pulling back. The price remains above both EMAs, signaling that bullish momentum is still intact. - A breakout above 64.50 and the descending trendline could open the door to 68.00–70.00. - However, failure to clear this resistance may lead to a retreat toward the 60.00 support level. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
FX:USOILSPOTLong
by DatTong
McDonald 1H Long PositionMy self-built strategy has sent me a signal for a long position. I bought a tranche of NYSE:MCD long and will be targeting the upper gaps as my profit targets. The first station will be around $306, and the second target lies between $318 and $319. Currently, the 1H chart is forming a nice divergence and had a huge volume spike, and my strategy indicates a high probability setup for this chart. Given the current market volatility, I’ll be keeping a close eye on my open position to be able to react quickly if needed.
NYSE:MCDLong
by Karoshi-Trading
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 11/06/2025Nifty opened with a slight gap-up near the 25100 level, continuing its recent pattern of consolidation. Despite the positive opening, the index remains well within its established range, suggesting that market participants are still awaiting a decisive breakout. There are no major changes observed in key support or resistance levels compared to the previous sessions, reinforcing the view that the market is currently lacking strong directional momentum. On the upside, if Nifty sustains above the 25100–25250 zone, it could attempt a move toward 25350, followed by 25400 and potentially 25450+. However, this upward move will require strong follow-through buying to break the current consolidation zone. Until then, any intraday rallies may face resistance near the 25250 mark, making it a crucial level to watch for bulls. Conversely, failure to hold above the 25200–25250 region could lead to a reversal toward 25150, and if selling pressure intensifies, a further decline toward 25100 and 25050 may unfold. These levels are important short-term supports and have previously acted as buying zones. A break below 25050 may open the gates for deeper cuts, though that remains unlikely unless broader market sentiment weakens.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(11/06/2025)Bank Nifty is opening with a slight gap-up around the 56650–56700 zone, continuing its consolidation phase from the previous sessions. The index has been oscillating within a narrow range, reflecting indecision among market participants. Today’s early movement suggests that unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown, the sideways momentum may persist. If Bank Nifty manages to sustain above the 56650 level, it could attempt an upside toward 56750, 56850, and possibly 56950+. A stronger bullish breakout would be confirmed only if the index crosses and holds above 57050. On the other hand, failure to hold above 56600 and a breakdown below 56450 may trigger a short-term correction toward 56250, 56150, and 56050. Given the tight structure, traders should remain cautious, avoid aggressive entries, and focus on quick trades with defined stop-losses and targets.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by TradZoo
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 11, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍 🤝 Cautious Optimism on U.S.–China Trade Progress Markets responded positively to fresh developments in ongoing U.S.–China trade talks, with S&P 500 and Nasdaq closing ~0.6% higher — the third straight day of gains — on hopes of easing trade barriers 📉 Treasury Yields Climb as Auction Approaches Bond investors grew cautious ahead of a key Treasury debt auction and incoming U.S. inflation data. The 10-year yield stayed elevated, weighing modestly on equities . 💹 Global Markets Showing Resilience Asian and European markets tracked U.S. gains midweek, driven by trade-talk optimism, despite lingering concerns over slower global growth and debt levels . 📊 Key Data Releases 📊 📅 Wednesday, June 11: (No major U.S. releases — focus remains on market reactions to trade talks and Treasury auctions.) ⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
USD/MXN: Bearish Momentum Persists, Testing Key SupportUSD/MXN continues to grind lower, maintaining a persistent downtrend that has remained intact since mid-April. The pair is currently hovering near a short-term support area just above 19.00, with little sign of bullish reversal as of now. 🔍 Technical Breakdown Bearish Structure: Price remains below both the 50-day (19.63) and 200-day (20.02) SMAs, with both averages now pointing lower — confirming the strength of the ongoing bearish trend. Momentum Indicators: MACD remains firmly in negative territory with a persistent bearish histogram, suggesting downside momentum is not yet exhausted. RSI is approaching oversold levels, currently at 34. While not yet in extreme territory, it hints that the pair may be nearing a potential short-term pause or bounce. Support & Resistance: Price is testing a minor support zone around 19.00, with the next significant level lower coming in near 18.58, a level last seen in early Q3 2023. On the upside, initial resistance stands at the breakdown point near 19.49, followed by stronger resistance at the confluence of moving averages. ⚙️ Outlook USD/MXN is trading firmly within a well-defined downtrend, marked by lower highs and lower lows. As long as price remains below the 50-day SMA, the bias remains bearish. While the RSI suggests some caution is warranted as the pair approaches oversold conditions, there is no definitive bullish divergence or reversal pattern yet. If the current support gives way, bears could target deeper retracements. Conversely, a sustained rebound back above 19.49 would be needed to challenge the bearish structure. -MW
by FOREXcom
Silver Bulls Breach Key Resistance – Momentum BuildsSilver (XAG/USD) has punched through a major horizontal resistance level around the psychological $35.00 mark, marking a significant technical breakout with bullish continuation potential. 🔍 Technical Highlights Breakout Above Multi-Month Resistance: Price has cleanly broken above the key $35.00 zone, which had capped upside since late 2023. The breakout follows a tight consolidation range, suggesting a measured accumulation phase has ended. Moving Averages Aligned Bullishly: The 50-day SMA is rising sharply and sits well above the 200-day SMA. Price is comfortably trading above both averages, confirming a strong uptrend structure. MACD in Strong Positive Territory: MACD has surged above its signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum. No signs of a bearish crossover in sight. RSI Enters Overbought Zone: RSI is currently near 70. While this signals strong momentum, it also raises the potential for short-term cooling or consolidation before any continued leg higher. ⚙️ Outlook The breakout above $35.00 represents a major bullish development, potentially opening the door to further upside exploration. The impulsive nature of recent gains, combined with rising momentum indicators and trend-confirming moving averages, all favor the bulls. However, the overbought RSI suggests the possibility of a short-term pullback or sideways consolidation before the next move higher. Traders may want to monitor for a potential retest of the $35.00 area as support, which could offer a higher-probability continuation setup within the broader uptrend. -MW
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by FOREXcom
GBPUSD – Holding the Uptrend, Eyeing Resistance BreakoutThe GBPUSD pair continues to respect a well-defined ascending channel on the H4 chart. Each time price retraces to the lower boundary, buying pressure has consistently stepped in. Currently, price is hovering near the channel’s lower edge and the EMA89 – forming a technical support area around 1.35370. If this zone holds, there is a strong potential for a rebound toward the resistance zone near 1.36100–1.36300, which has rejected price twice before. From a news perspective, markets are awaiting the U.S. CPI report tomorrow. If inflation data comes in weaker, expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates will increase, putting pressure on the USD and allowing GBP to extend gains. Additionally, the Bank of England is expected to maintain a more hawkish stance due to persistent domestic inflation – which further supports the pound’s upward momentum. Watching the EMA and lower channel boundary is key. If a clear bullish signal forms at this zone, a trend-following long strategy could carry a high probability of success.
Long
by Rocky_trade_
Oil's Volatility Meets Fed's Patience: A Path to 1.3643?USDCAD – Oil's Volatility Meets Fed's Patience: A Path to 1.3643? 🌍 Macro Landscape: Diverging Monetary Paths & Oil's Influence The USDCAD pair is currently navigating a complex environment shaped by diverging central bank policies and the significant influence of crude oil prices. While the Federal Reserve is signaling a "higher-for-longer" interest rate stance due to sticky inflation, the Bank of Canada (BoC) is in a more nuanced position, balancing inflation control with economic growth. This divergence creates a fundamental tailwind for the USD. However, Canada's economy is heavily tied to commodity prices, especially crude oil. Recent volatility in oil markets can exert significant pressure on the Canadian dollar. If oil prices remain subdued or face downward pressure, it could exacerbate the CAD's weakness against the USD, amplifying the impact of policy divergence. 🏦 Central Bank Policy Divergence: Fed's Firmness vs. BoC's Caution Federal Reserve: FOMC members continue to signal patience on rate cuts. Recent inflation data (PCE, CPI) shows persistent price pressure, particularly in the services sector, reinforcing the Fed's hawkish bias. This suggests the USD may retain its strength as higher rates attract capital. Bank of Canada: The BoC, while having taken aggressive steps previously, might be more cautious in its future rate decisions. Any dovish undertones or hints at pausing rate hikes could weaken the CAD. Conversely, a resurgence in inflation or stronger economic data could prompt the BoC to maintain a firm stance. This policy divergence, coupled with external factors like commodity prices, creates a fertile ground for significant moves in USDCAD. 🌐 Capital Flows: Safe-Haven Dynamics and Commodity Impact Global capital flow models indicate a shift towards the US dollar as a preferred safe haven amidst geopolitical tensions and global economic uncertainties. While Gold remains a traditional hedge, the USD's yield advantage makes it an attractive destination for institutional capital. For CAD, its sensitivity to commodity prices means that capital flows are heavily influenced by the outlook for global growth and energy demand. A softening global economic outlook could lead to reduced demand for commodities, weighing on the CAD, and potentially driving inflows into USD-based assets. 📊 Technical Structure: Channel Breakdown & Bearish Momentum Towards 1.3643 On the H1 chart (as observed from the provided image): Price Channel: USDCAD has been trading within a clear ascending channel. However, the price recently broke below the lower boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. Moving Averages: The price has moved below the EMA 13 – 34 – 89. This bearish alignment (EMA "fan-out formation" in reverse) confirms a short-term bearish momentum is building. The 200 EMA (red line) is currently acting as a key resistance level, near the prior support turned resistance. Key Resistance (Sell Zone): The region around 1.36989 (aligning with previous support and possibly a Fibonacci retracement level) is now acting as a crucial resistance. Any retest of this zone, especially with bearish candlestick patterns, could offer selling opportunities. The 200 EMA reinforces this zone as a strong overhead barrier. Key Support (Target Zone): The price is projected towards 1.36431. This level aligns with a strong prior support and also coincides with the Fibonacci Extension 1.382 level from a previous swing, making it a high-probability target for bearish moves. A bounce from 1.36734 (a mid-channel support or Fibonacci level) could offer a temporary reprieve, but the overall technical structure points to the lower target. 🎯 Trade Strategy Recommendations Scenario 1 – Sell the Pullback (Preferred): Entry: 1.3685 – 1.3695 (retest of broken channel line/resistance near 1.36989, possibly confluence with 200 EMA). Stop-Loss: 1.3720 (above recent swing high/channel top). Take-Profit: 1.3673 (initial target) → 1.3643 (main target) → 1.3620. Scenario 2 – Breakout Momentum Sell (if price consolidates below 1.3673): Entry: 1.3670 (break below 1.36734 with strong bearish momentum). Stop-Loss: 1.3690. Take-Profit: 1.3643 → 1.3620. ⚠️ Key Events to Watch: US PCE Price Index (upcoming data): If hotter-than-expected, this would reinforce the Fed’s hawkish tone and lift USD. Canadian CPI (upcoming data): Cooler-than-expected inflation could prompt a more dovish stance from the BoC, weakening CAD. Crude Oil Inventory/News: Any significant news or data regarding global oil supply/demand can directly impact CAD.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
1
Storm Ahead? Key Level Breakout or Dangerous Reversal!USD/JPY: Storm Ahead? Key Level Breakout or Dangerous Reversal! Overview: The USD/JPY pair stands at a crucial crossroads, with technical signals indicating the potential for significant volatility in the near term. Will the Yen regain its footing, or will pressure from the USD continue to push the pair to new highs? This analysis delves into technical, fundamental, and macroeconomic factors to outline potential scenarios and identify key trading zones. Detailed Technical Analysis: Primary Trend: The USD/JPY chart clearly shows a short-term uptrend, supported by an ascending trendline (dashed line on the chart) and upward-sloping moving averages (MA). Trend analysis is considered the most important area of technical analysis, and is key to determining the general direction of a security. However, the price is approaching strong resistance zones, suggesting potential selling pressure. Technical analysis is a trading tool used to evaluate stocks and attempt to predict their future movements by analyzing statistical data obtained from trading activity. Key Price Levels: Crucial Resistance Zone (SELL Zone): Around 144.894 - 145.178. This is a significant Fibonacci Extension zone (1.13 and 1.236), where the price has reacted in the past and could attract strong selling pressure. If the price breaks and holds above this zone, the uptrend will be confirmed. Crucial Support Zone (BUY Zone): Around 143.600 - 143.750. This support zone is formed by previous lows and the ascending trendline. If the price corrects to this zone and shows reversal signals, it could be a good buying opportunity. The next support zone is around 142.800. The goal of technical analysis is to determine the buy and sell points of a stock. Technical Indicators: The MAs (blue, orange, red) maintain a relatively consistent distance and are sloping upwards, supporting the uptrend. However, the convergence of MAs near resistance zones could signal a weakening of upward momentum. Price Patterns: Currently, the price is forming a pattern similar to a bull flag or an ascending triangle, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend if it breaks upwards. Conversely, if the price fails to overcome resistance and breaks the uptrend line, a bearish reversal pattern could form. Wave analysis is a technique based on the observation that markets move in specific patterns called waves. Relevant Fundamental and Economic Factors: Macroeconomic Analysis (Japan): The Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues to maintain ultra-loose monetary policy, with negative interest rates and yield curve control. This exerts continuous downward pressure on the Yen. Any signal of change from the BOJ regarding policy will have a significant impact on USD/JPY. Macroeconomic Analysis (United States): The U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) is still in an aggressive monetary tightening cycle to combat inflation. Inflation reports (CPI, PPI), employment data (NFP), and statements from FED officials will be key drivers for the USD. If U.S. inflation remains high, the FED may continue to raise interest rates, pushing USD/JPY higher. Fundamental analysis focuses on evaluating economic, political, and social factors affecting the value of a currency pair. Upcoming Economic Events: Closely monitor inflation reports from both the U.S. and Japan, GDP data, unemployment rates, and policy meetings of the BOJ and FED. These events will act as catalysts for sharp movements. Conclusion and Trading Recommendations: USD/JPY is in an uptrend but approaching crucial resistance zones. BUY Entry: When the price breaks and closes above 145.178, confirming the uptrend continuation. Or when the price corrects to the 143.600 - 143.750 zone and shows bullish reversal candles (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer). Take Profit: Higher Fibonacci levels (e.g., 1.382 at 145.491 or 1.5 at 145.918). Stop Loss: Below the nearest support zone, e.g., below 143.500 if buying at support, or below 144.800 if buying after a resistance breakout. SELL Scenario: Entry: When the price approaches the 144.894 - 145.178 zone and strong bearish reversal signals appear (e.g., Gravestone Doji, bearish engulfing, double top pattern). Take Profit: Lower support levels, e.g., 143.700, 142.800. Stop Loss: Above the resistance zone, e.g., above 145.300. Risk Disclaimer: Financial markets always involve high risks. Always manage your capital carefully and never trade with money you cannot afford to lose. This analysis is for informational purposes only and not investment advice.
Short
by MMFlowTrading
Inverse Head and Shoulders Now Clear On Bitcoin ChartTrading Fam, It has now become apparent that Bitcoin has formed an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily. This is very bullish and should the pattern follow through, it gives some good long-range targets to shoot for by the end of this year and potentially, well into the next. Calculating our first target is relatively simple. We draw a measurement from the bottom of the head (that largest dip) to the neckline. We then move that measurement line to an approximated breakout area. This then gives us an estimated target of around 150k. I will say that this is a fairly sure target before the end of the year if and when that neckline is broken to the upside. Target number two should be that 350 DMA in my opinion. Bitcoin likes to kiss that 350 DMA in bullish markets. So, where ever that ends up being pricewise during this next upwards movement is a good target #2. I would estimate it will be at least 175-180k. But if we break that 350 DMA to the upside, then you will know the end of our bull cycle is drawing close. Bitcoin may blow-off here and generally would stay above that 350 DMA for at least another month or two. In our last bull cycle it remained above the 350 DMA for 5 and a half months. Selling anytime we are significantly above that 350 DMA pricewise and timewise is not a bad strategy because you will know we are nearing the end of our bull cycle at this point. I hope this post gives you some good long-term targets and trading strategies going forward. Personally, I will be looking to sell much if not most of my holdings once Bitcoin breaks above that 350 DMA. Of course, as always, I will keep you all posted when that time comes. Best, Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by stewdamus
2