MarketBreakdown | EURUSD, AUDUSD, USDCHF, EURCAD
Here are the updates & outlook for multiple instruments in my watch list.
1️⃣ #EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Though the pair remains quite weak for the last few days,
I strongly believe that bulls have unrealized potential.
The pair may continue rising and reach the underlined yellow resistance soon.
2️⃣ #AUDUSD daily time frame 🇦🇺🇺🇸
The price is testing a significant horizontal resistance.
Its bullish breakout will provide a strong bullish signal.
The pair will go way higher then.
3️⃣ #USDCHF daily time frame 🇺🇸🇨🇭
The price is stuck within a narrow consolidation range.
I think that a sideways movement is going to continue
and the price will drop to the support of the range soon.
4️⃣ #EURCAD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇨🇦
The price action is contracting within a symmetrical triangle pattern.
Such a pattern signifies a deep indecision.
A breakout of one of its boundaries will indicate the side of the next market move.
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Technical Analysis
1,505% from $0.20 to $3.21 on massive 1+ Billion volume $KLTOWOW 🤯 1,505% from $0.20 to $3.21 on massive 1+ Billion shares traded 🚀 NASDAQ:KLTO
I sent out 2 Buy Alerts for everyone to get paid nicely ✅
This will trigger more runners, premarket already got movers NASDAQ:MEGL , NASDAQ:MRIN , NASDAQ:EVGN
MARA Is Waking Up And Looks Promising For The Crypto MarketMARA Is Waking Up And Looks Promising For The Crypto Market, as it can send the price even higher this year from a technical and Elliott wave perspective.
Marathon Digital Holdings with ticker MARA nicely and sharply recovered away from the strong support after a completed projected higher degree abc correction in wave B/2. So, similar as Crypto market, even MARA can be forming a bullish setup with waves »i« and »ii« that can soon extend the rally within wave »iii« of a five-wave bullish cycle within higher degree wave C or 3, especially if breaks above 21 first bullish evidence level. It could be easily supportive for the Crypto market if we consider a positive correlation.
WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION? XAUUSD – WILL GOLD CONTINUE ITS RALLY OR FACE A MAJOR CORRECTION?
Gold is at a pivotal point after experiencing a significant correction following its recent rally. With the market showing mixed signals, the question now is whether gold will continue its upward trajectory or experience further corrections before breaking new highs. The current global economic climate, combined with macroeconomic factors, will be the driving forces behind gold's next move.
🌍 MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK & MARKET SENTIMENT
US Dollar Strength: The USD has been strengthening, which has put some pressure on gold prices. However, this comes amid uncertainty in global trade relations, particularly between the US and China, which is creating mixed market sentiment. Gold remains a key asset for hedging against currency risks and geopolitical tensions.
Federal Reserve's Stance on Interest Rates: The Fed has signaled that while inflation remains a concern, it’s unlikely to cut interest rates in the near future. This could limit gold's upside potential in the short term, but the metal remains attractive due to its safe-haven status.
Geopolitical Tensions: With ongoing concerns over US-China trade talks and tensions surrounding Ukraine, investors continue to flock to gold as a hedge against political and economic instability. These external pressures continue to fuel demand for gold.
📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 – EMA 13/34/89/200)
Current Correction: Gold has been correcting after a strong surge, testing key support levels like 3300. On the H1 timeframe, the EMA indicators suggest consolidation and weakness, signaling that further pullbacks are possible before any potential breakout.
Technical Pattern – "Flag" Formation: Gold is forming a bearish flag pattern, indicating a temporary pause after a strong upward trend. This pattern suggests that gold might continue to trade sideways, with a breakout above key resistance levels leading to a continuation of the uptrend.
Key Resistance and Support Levels: Gold is facing significant resistance levels at 3320 and 3330, while key support levels at 3300 and 3270 will be crucial to watch in the coming sessions.
📍 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance Levels: 3320 – 3330 – 3338 – 3350 – 3360
Support Levels: 3300 – 3270 – 3250
🧭 RECOMMENDED TRADE SETUPS
🔵 BUY ZONE: 3270 – 3272
SL: 3265
TP: 3280 → 3300 → 3320 → 3330 → 3350
🔻 SELL ZONE: 3320 – 3325
SL: 3330
TP: 3310 → 3295 → 3280 → 3265
✅ SUMMARY
Gold is currently experiencing a correction after a solid rally, but the long-term outlook remains bullish. Macro-economic factors, including the Fed’s policies and geopolitical risks, are likely to drive gold prices higher in the future. However, short-term fluctuations should be expected as the market tests key resistance and support levels.
Traders should focus on well-defined entry and exit points within these key levels and maintain a disciplined risk management strategy.
BTCUSDT – Uptrend Intact, Resistance Still in PlayBitcoin is currently moving within a healthy uptrend, showing a strong rebound from the 101,332 USDT support zone—aligned with the EMA 89 on the daily chart. Following an impressive recovery, the price is now approaching the 111,892 resistance area, which previously halted the bullish momentum and triggered a deep correction.
However, recent price action shows signs of stalling, suggesting a possible consolidation phase. If BTC fails to break above 111,892, a mild pullback toward the 104,000–101,000 zone may occur to build fresh momentum for the next bullish leg.
From a news perspective, the crypto market is buoyed by improving sentiment after weak U.S. job data, increasing the odds of an earlier-than-expected Fed rate cut. Additionally, continued capital inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are supporting medium-term upside potential for BTC.
EURJPY Technical Breakdown (MMC Strategy) : Target Zone 🧠 Concept Focus: MMC – Mirror Market Concept
The Mirror Market Concept (MMC) helps identify pattern inversions, price reflection zones, and structural symmetry that hint at upcoming market turns. This chart reflects a curve-based reversal logic rooted in smart money behavior, volume analysis, and pattern exhaustion.
📊 Technical Structure Breakdown
🔹 1. Volume Contraction + Breakout (June 6–7)
Early signs of bullish pressure were detected with volume contraction, forming a tight range wedge/triangle.
This is often a liquidity trap where weak hands sell into strength.
Smart money absorbed sell-side liquidity before impulsively breaking out.
This is a common MMC move: contract > trap > expand.
🔹 2. 50% Area Used – Smart Money Trap (June 9)
After the breakout, price tapped into the 50% equilibrium zone of the previous major move.
This level often acts as a liquidity sweep zone, ideal for smart money to unload or build counter positions.
The rejection wick here confirms that institutional traders reacted at this level.
🔹 3. Curve Bending Pattern – Exhaustion in Play
The market has now entered a curve bending phase, visible with the arching price movement.
This signifies momentum exhaustion, where bullish attempts get weaker.
Think of this curve like a mirror ceiling — as each high gets tapped, it bends, showing the market can't sustain higher levels.
🔹 4. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: ~164.150–164.200)
Based on MMC symmetry and previous demand zones, the area highlighted as Next Reversal is a key structure zone.
This is where we expect price to react — either bounce (for buyers) or break (for continuation shorts).
A clean bounce here could mirror the earlier pattern in reverse, hence the Mirror Market Concept.
🔁 Summary of Market Psychology
🧲 Volume contraction signals manipulation.
🎯 50% zone rejection shows trap completion.
🪞 Curve bending shows buyers losing strength.
🔻 Price likely to drop into the reversal zone, completing the mirror leg.
🧩 What Traders Should Watch
Indicator/Zone Notes
50% Area Used Smart Money Exit or Entry Trap
Curve Bending Reversal Geometry (Momentum Exhaustion)
Next Reversal Zone Smart Money Demand Zone (~164.150)
Break Below 164.100 Confirms deeper bearish continuation
🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook
🔍 Short Bias: Look for confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, BOS on lower TFs) to enter shorts below curve zone.
🛑 Invalidation Level: Clean breakout above 165.500 would invalidate the mirror structure and shift to continuation long.
🎣 Reversal Scouting : If price respects the Next Reversal Zone, there could be a potential long scalp back into mid-range.
🧠 Educational Note: MMC in Action
The Mirror Market Concept is powerful for intraday trading. It uses pattern reflection, liquidity logic, and price symmetry to forecast reversals before typical indicators catch up. If mastered, this concept can give early reversal entries and trap avoidance.
BTCUSD – continuing to buy as breakout confirms bullish setupBTCUSD is forming a classic “cup and handle” pattern, now breaking above key resistance. Price is holding within an upward channel, and if momentum stays strong, the next target could reach 160,000 and beyond.
It might seem hard to believe, but the structure points to continued bullish momentum. I’m not missing this opportunity and continue to build long positions as this breakout develops.
EURUSD Analysis (MMC Strategy) : Structure Mapping + Target🧠 Overview
This analysis is based on the MMC (Market Mapping Concept), combining smart money principles, structure mapping, and price behavior analysis. EUR/USD has been showing strong bullish activity over the past few months, but we are now approaching a critical decision zone. Let’s break it all down.
🔹 1. Arc Structure – Accumulation Phase (Dec 2024 – Feb 2025)
The chart starts with a well-defined Arc formation, signaling accumulation by large players.
Price showed a series of higher lows within the arc, compressing volatility.
This is where smart money quietly loads positions before pushing price.
Key Insight: This arc often precedes an impulsive breakout, as seen next.
🔹 2. Central Zone Breakout (Feb – Mar 2025)
The price exploded out of the arc, breaking through the central compression area.
Marked as the Central Zone, this acted as both support and a launchpad.
This phase included imbalance filling, reaccumulation, and clean price action.
Observation: Notice the aggressive bullish candles—clear indication of institutional interest.
🔹 3. Structure Mapping & QFL Zone (April 2025)
A classic QFL (Quick Flip Level) was formed after the initial rally.
Price pulled back into a structure support zone, respected it cleanly, and bounced back.
This gave a textbook smart money entry.
Structure Mapping highlights how each leg of the trend is forming based on supply/demand reaction.
🔹 4. Major BOS – Break of Structure (May 2025)
Price broke the previous swing high, giving us a Major Break of Structure.
This BOS confirms a change in character (CHOCH) from ranging to trending.
After BOS, the market retested the breakout zone—providing a second ideal long entry for continuation traders.
🔹 5. Minor Resistance Zone (Current Price)
Currently, price is testing a Minor Resistance zone around 1.1400–1.1450.
This level acted as resistance earlier and may slow price down temporarily.
However, there’s still room for bullish continuation unless reversal patterns emerge.
Key Watch Point: If price shows weakness here (e.g., rejection wicks, bearish engulfing), short-term retracement may follow.
🔹 6. Next Reversal Zone (Projected Target: 1.1700–1.1800)
The green box above marks the Next Reversal Zone, based on historical supply, Fibonacci extension levels, and structure analysis.
Expect this area to act as strong resistance unless momentum is very strong.
This is a potential TP zone for long traders or an area to scout for short opportunities if reversal signals appear (divergence, order block rejection, liquidity grab).
📌 Key Levels
Zone Price Range Role
Central Zone 1.0800–1.1000 Support/Accumulation
Minor Resistance 1.1400–1.1450 Immediate Hurdle
Next Reversal Zone 1.1700–1.1800 Target / Short Setup
QFL Zone 1.1100–1.1200 Smart Money Entry Point
🧠 Strategy Outlook
✅ Bullish Bias: Structure is clearly bullish. Buyers are in control.
🕵️♂️ Watch for Reaction at Minor Resistance – a clean break = continuation, rejection = short-term pullback.
GBP/JPY: Institutional Moves Signal Liquidity ShiftFenzoFx—GBP/JPY tested the 196.4 resistance for the third time since May, with no liquidity sweep above this level, indicating massive liquidity remains.
GBP/JPY approaches 194.6 support with a full-body bearish candlestick, suggesting institutional selling pressure. The COT report shows non-commercial traders reducing long positions, with a net change of -12,863 contracts.
Despite the dip, GBP/JPY remains bullish, and 194.6 could offer a discount entry. Traders should monitor M5 and M15 for long entries. A breakout above 196.4 could target 198.25.
>>> Trade GBP/JPY at FenzoFx.
USDJPY Analysis: MMC Resistance vs Major BOS (Technical View)🔍 Chart Summary:
The USDJPY pair is currently trading around 144.58, showing strong signs of structural buildup as it approaches a critical inflection point. This analysis leverages MMC (Market Mapping Concept) and price action structure to identify two possible directional outcomes — each grounded in key technical levels.
🧠 Key Technical Highlights:
📌 1. Expanding Wedge Pattern:
Price previously formed an expanding structure, signaling volatility and accumulation.
Expansion typically precedes major directional breakouts — either trend continuation or reversal.
📌 2. Downtrend Break Test:
A long-standing descending trendline has now been tested multiple times.
A confirmed breakout would be significant, indicating a major shift in market momentum.
📌 3. Resistance Zones:
Minor Resistance Zone around 158.00–160.00 marks a key supply area.
Watch for price action behavior if this level is tested — possible rejection or breakout continuation.
📌 4. Major Support Zone:
Support near 139.00–140.00, where price previously bounced, represents a solid floor and demand zone.
📌 5. BOS (Break of Structure):
Two BOS levels are marked:
Minor BOS (Around 146.00): Immediate reaction level to watch.
Major BOS (Around 149.00–150.00): If broken, could lead to sharp bullish continuation.
🔮 MMC Forecast Scenarios:
✅ Condition 1: Bullish Breakout Scenario
Price breaks above the descending trendline and clears the Minor BOS.
Target zone: 158.00–160.00 resistance.
Structure confirms bullish dominance if Major BOS is cleanly broken and retested.
⚠️ Condition 2: Bearish Rejection Scenario
Price rejects from current trendline or Minor BOS and reverses.
Potential drop toward Major Support around 140.00.
Watch for reversal confirmation with bearish engulfing candles or re-entry into expanding zone.
🧭 MMC Outlook Summary:
The chart is setting up for a key decision point. The market will either validate a bullish breakout structure or revert back into bearish continuation. These scenarios align with the MMC mapping method, providing clear conditions for traders to follow without bias.
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (MMC) – Resistance or Target Zone🔍 Overview
Bitcoin has executed a strong bullish recovery over the past few sessions, breaking out of a well-structured bullish channel and testing a significant resistance zone. The move exhibits traits often identified in MMC strategies, including liquidity grabs, engineered price action, and trap-based breakouts.
This chart analysis combines curve support structures, channel dynamics, and resistance reactions—all crucial components of technical strategy layered with smart money behavioral cues from MMC.
🔹 Price Action Breakdown
📈 1. Blue Ray – Liquidity Shift Signal
The bullish impulse was initiated from what is labeled the "Blue Ray" zone—a deep liquidity pocket often used by smart money to trap sellers.
This area marks a liquidity sweep after a steep selloff, creating the perfect environment for institutional buy orders to fill before driving price upward.
📉 2. Channel Formation & Breakout
A clean ascending bullish channel formed during the rally, showing a methodical stair-step price climb.
This consolidation phase provided multiple reentry opportunities before a sharp breakout, which signals a transition from accumulation to expansion, often seen in MMC mapping.
🧭 3. Curve Support – Parabolic Price Action
Price hugged a curve support line, often interpreted as a parabolic base.
This curve reflects increasing momentum—buyers are stepping in earlier at each dip, creating higher lows in a tightening arc.
This structure is also commonly seen in smart money accumulation zones as price is pushed upward while retail sentiment lags.
🚧 4. Resistance Zone – High Interest Reversal Region
BTCUSD is now inside a key resistance zone (~$109,800–$111,500), which has acted as both supply and previous swing highs.
MMC traders often identify these zones as trap areas, where price gets aggressively pushed up to fill institutional short orders.
This zone contains high sell-side liquidity, meaning there's a strong chance for a reversal or false breakout.
🔄 5. Projected Reversal Zone
A potential correction could bring price down to the next reversal zone (around $106,500–$107,500).
This zone is supported by:
The curve structure, which is still active.
Previous minor resistance turned support.
Institutional demand likely waiting to reload long positions.
📉 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation
If BTC can break and sustain above $111,500, especially with strong volume, it will likely push into new local highs.
In this case, curve support may be used for re-entry on pullbacks.
❌ Bearish Reversal Setup
A rejection from this resistance zone—especially with a long-wick candle, engulfing pattern, or divergence—could confirm a short-term top.
MMC-style reversals often occur quickly and aggressively, trapping late buyers.
⚙️ Trade Management Insights
Trade Setup Entry Area Target Stop-Loss Notes
Aggressive Short ~$110,800 ~$107,500 ~$111,800 Only on strong rejection pattern
Conservative Long ~$107,000 Retest $110,000+ Below $105,500 Only if curve support holds clean
Breakout Buy Above $111,800 Open upside Below $110,000 Wait for breakout + retest
🧠 MMC Observations
Price Engineering: The market moved through clean zones quickly—classic MMC manipulation to clear liquidity.
Trap Zones: The resistance zone may act as a bull trap where late retail buyers are absorbed.
Smart Money Flow: Institutional traders may now shift to distribution mode unless curve support holds firmly.
💬 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is at a key decision point. Traders should remain flexible but vigilant. The presence of curve support combined with aggressive upward momentum suggests bullish strength, but the resistance zone and prior liquidity behavior warn of potential trap activity.
Monitor the reaction closely in the next 1–2 candles. A failed breakout could trigger a swift 2–3K retracement.
📌 Tip: Combine this analysis with on-chain volume or open interest data for better conviction.
Gold (XAUUSD) Technical Analysis : MMC Setup Confirmed + Target📊 1. Market Structure Overview
After a strong rally earlier this month, XAUUSD entered a corrective phase and formed a descending trendline which acted as resistance for multiple days. This trendline has just been tested and broken, suggesting that the correction may be coming to an end.
At the same time, price is showing signs of strength by bouncing off the lower boundary of a long-standing parallel ascending channel—a structure that has acted as dynamic support over the past two weeks.
🧱 2. Key Technical Elements
🟦 Support/Resistance Interchange Zone (S/R Flip)
Price recently interacted with a horizontal S/R interchange zone around the $3,310–$3,330 area.
This zone served as resistance during the earlier part of the trend and is now acting as support after the breakout.
It also overlaps with the mid-section of the ascending channel, adding confluence to this support area.
📐 Descending Trendline Break
The break above the descending trendline signals a potential shift in momentum.
Traders often view this kind of breakout as an early indicator of bullish continuation, especially when combined with volume or retests.
🟩 Next Reversal/Target Zone
A green box is highlighted around the $3,345–$3,355 zone, which could act as the next resistance or reversal level.
This is based on prior market structure and Fibonacci extension zones.
This area may offer a take-profit level for longs or a short-term reversal zone for countertrend traders.
🔍 3. What to Watch
✅ Bullish Scenario
If the price sustains above $3,310 and holds above the broken trendline, we could see a push toward the $3,345–$3,355 area.
Ideal long entries may occur on a retest of the trendline or the S/R flip zone, confirming it as support.
❌ Bearish Scenario
Failure to hold above the $3,300–$3,310 support region would invalidate the breakout.
A clean break below this zone could result in a drop back to the lower parallel channel boundary near $3,270 or even lower.
⚙️ 4. Trading Plan & Bias
Short-term Bias: Bullish (Trendline break + support hold)
Mid-term Bias: Cautiously Bullish (until major resistance is tested)
Risk Management: Stop-loss for long entries should be placed below $3,300 with targets near $3,345 and $3,355.
💬 Conclusion
This setup presents a classic case of trendline breakout + S/R flip confluence, which often leads to favorable risk/reward opportunities. Gold traders should monitor the retest behavior around current levels closely, as it will likely determine the next directional move.
📌 Always wait for confirmation, manage risk, and don’t chase moves—especially near major zones.
EURUSD – Still a chance to rebound if support holdsEURUSD has recently pulled back slightly after approaching resistance near the rising trendline. Currently, price is heading back to retest the support zone around 1.13200 – a key confluence area with the EMA89 and previous swing lows. This is a crucial level. If it holds, there’s a strong possibility for a rebound toward the 1.14280 resistance area.
On the H4 timeframe, the price structure remains within an ascending channel with no clear signs of trend reversal. The formation of higher lows suggests that buying pressure is still present. Notably, if this week’s CPI, PPI, and NFP data come in weaker than expected, market sentiment may shift further toward the idea of an early Fed rate cut – potentially providing a lift for EURUSD.
Additionally, rising geopolitical tensions could increase risk aversion, weakening the USD and further supporting the euro.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 10/06/2025Nifty is opening with a gap-up near the 25250 level, approaching a crucial resistance zone. This area has previously acted as a turning point, and today's opening could define whether bulls retain control or face exhaustion.
If Nifty sustains above 25250, we can expect further upside momentum toward 25350, 25400, and 25450+. A clean breakout above this level could open the path to short-term bullish continuation.
However, if the index struggles to hold above 25250 and reverses, profit booking may kick in, pulling the index back toward 25150, 25100, and even 25050.
Holding above 25050–25100 will be key for maintaining a positive structure. A breakdown below this zone may shift sentiment in favor of bears.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(10/06/2025)Bank Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up around the 57000 level, placing it directly at a critical resistance zone. This area has previously acted as a rejection point, making today's price action especially significant.
If the index sustains above 57050, it may trigger a fresh bullish leg with potential upside targets at 57250, 57350, and 57450+. Strong momentum above this range could lead to continued buying pressure through the session.
However, if Bank Nifty fails to hold above 57000 and starts rejecting the zone, a reversal may play out. In that case, downside movement toward 56750, 56650, and 56550 can be expected.
Holding above 56550–56600 is essential to maintain bullish structure. If the price dips below that, short-term weakness may extend.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 10, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📱 Apple Disappoints at WWDC Keynote
Apple ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) faced criticism after a lackluster WWDC keynote. Major AI and Siri upgrades were delayed, prompting a 1–1.5% drop in Apple shares—the weakest move during today's presentation
🎮 GameStop to Report Q1, Crypto Pivot in Focus
GameStop ( NYSE:GME ) is scheduled to announce Q1 earnings after market close. Investors will be watching for updates on its $500M Bitcoin allocation and potential crypto-related strategies
📈 Small-Business Optimism Rises
The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index for May came in at 95.9—above the 94.9 consensus—showing modest improvement in sentiment among small firms
📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊
📅 Tuesday, June 10:
6:00 AM ET – NFIB Small Business Optimism (May):
A reading above expectations could boost risk market sentiment by showing stronger Main Street confidence.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Please consult a licensed professional before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
EURUSD: Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.14200 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.14200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
XPTUSD 1W:While Everyone Watches Gold, Platinum Quietly Wakes UpGold gets the headlines — but platinum just broke two years of silence with a clean, high-volume breakout from a symmetrical triangle on the weekly chart. And this isn’t noise — this is the structural shift traders wait for.
Price has been coiled inside a compressing wedge since early 2022. Equal highs. Equal lows. Stop hunts both ways. The classic “shake out before take off.” Now? The breakout is in. And the weekly candle closed above resistance with volume confirmation. Oh, and while we're at it — the 50MA just crossed above the 200MA, signaling a long-term trend reversal.
Target? Measure the triangle height: ~398 points. That projects a breakout target of 1440 USD, which aligns perfectly with previous institutional rejection zones.
But this isn’t just about the chart.
🔹 South Africa, the top global supplier, is struggling with energy and production cuts;
🔹 The Fed is pausing rate hikes — the dollar weakens, metals rally;
🔹 Demand from hydrogen tech, clean energy, and industrial catalysts is on the rise.
Translation? Smart money has been accumulating. The move from 965–1070 was just the ignition. The drive hasn’t started yet.
So while everyone fights over gold highs, platinum sits at the base of a move no one's prepared for — except those who know how accumulation ends.
🧭 Key support: 965–985
📍 Resistance zone: 1150–1180
🎯 Measured target: 1440+
09/06/2025: WILL WE SEE A BREAKOUT ABOVE 1.3550?GBP/USD PLAN – 09/06/2025: WILL WE SEE A BREAKOUT ABOVE 1.3550?
🌍 Macroeconomic & Fundamental Context:
UK Economic Outlook (BoE): The Bank of England (BoE) is under pressure due to inflation and has to make decisions regarding interest rate policy. Diverging opinions on whether to raise or lower rates are creating uncertainty in the market.
US Economic Outlook (Fed): The Federal Reserve's monetary policy continues to be a major influence on the USD, especially as the Fed maintains its rate hikes to control inflation.
US-UK Trade Relations: Trade negotiations between the US and the UK will remain an important factor this week, and any new developments could impact GBP/USD.
📉 Technical Analysis – GBP/USD:
On the H4 and H1 timeframes, GBP/USD is consolidating within a corrective structure, and price has broken several key Fibonacci levels. The EMA indicators (13, 34, 89) are showing strong momentum.
Key Resistance Levels:
1.3550 – This is a major resistance level. If broken, GBP/USD could continue its rally towards 1.3612.
Key Support Levels:
1.3520 – A short-term support level. If this breaks, price may retrace back to 1.3470.
🎯 Trading Scenarios for Today:
🟢 BUY ZONE:
Buy Zone: 1.3520 – 1.3500
SL: 1.3480
TP: 1.3550 → 1.3570 → 1.3600 → 1.3620 → 1.3650
If price retraces to 1.3520 – 1.3500, this would be an ideal buying opportunity with a target at 1.3550. Look for confirmation from technical indicators and the current trend.
🔴 SELL ZONE:
Sell Zone: 1.3550 – 1.3570
SL: 1.3590
TP: 1.3520 → 1.3500 → 1.3470 → 1.3450 → 1.3420
If price reaches the resistance zone of 1.3550 – 1.3570, consider selling with targets at the support levels below.
🟡 Scalping:
Buy Scalping: 1.3520 → 1.3500
Sell Scalping: 1.3570 → 1.3600
Look for short-term opportunities when price moves within the range.
⚠️ Important Notes:
Pay close attention to short-term fluctuations and any major economic data releases from the BoE and Fed.
Risk management is key during volatile periods.
📌 Conclusion:
GBP/USD is in a short-term corrective phase, but a breakout above 1.3550 could trigger a strong rally. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels carefully and ensure risk management is in place.