USDTHB Stalled Momentum, Still Trends DownOrdinary least squares method suggests we are still trending down in this pair even as many other Southeast Asian currencies are trending much further down such as USDSGD as can be seen here: In that respect, Thailand is an under-performer, but momentum has stalled even though some of the technicals are pointing towards a bit of an upward rebound. However, I am of the view that we still need to trend down a bit more before this sentiment can be achieved.
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Thaibaht
Target hit. Now reversing on a Channel Down. Short.TP = 33.600 hit as the previous 1D Channel Up aggressively broke to the upside (as indicated by the 4H consolidation mentioned on the previous post) and peaked at 34.650. Now a new 1D Channel Down has emerged (RSI = 30.614, MACD = -0.139, Highs/Lows = -0.2244, B/BP = -0.4740) aiming at a Lower Low near the 31.850 support. We are short with TP = 32.000.
Consolidation before Channel Up continuation. Long.USDTHB should enter a consolidation phase on 4H (as seen on the Rectangle with high volatility, ATR = 0.0861) in order to bring down the overbought values on the most recent bullish run on the 1D Channel Up (RSI = 72.893, Williams = -12.000). The suggested course of action is to buy on every dip within the Rectangle, TP = 33.600.