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Trader1mran

US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span. This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders: Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond? 🔻 Key Observations: Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure. Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines. Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior. Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle
FPMARKETS:US100
by Trader1mran
GBPUSDThe market structure on GBPUSD shows a clear liquidity sweep above recent highs, followed by a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, signaling a potential reversal. After the liquidity grab, price failed to sustain above the swept highs and started to form lower highs. The RSI indicator also confirms a bearish divergence, strengthening the bearish bias. Currently, price is consolidating below the MSS level, which could act as a supply zone on any retest. A strong bearish continuation is expected, targeting the SSL (Sell-side Liquidity) level marked below, which aligns with a potential demand zone from late June. The bearish projection suggests a move toward the 1.3350–1.3400 area. This setup favors short opportunities on lower timeframe pullbacks, maintaining a bearish outlook as long as the price remains below the MSS.
by Trader1mran
XAUUSDGold has shown a strong historical pattern of impulsive rallies followed by significant corrections. After the recent explosive move from the $2,067 breakout zone to new all-time highs around $3,500, representing a +67% rally, the metal appears overextended and due for a healthy pullback. Past cycles suggest that after such parabolic moves, price tends to retrace back to key demand zones or previous accumulation levels. In this case, the medium-term correction target aligns with the $2,800–$2,750 region — a strong structural support and confluence with the 2024 breakout base. While the long-term trend remains bullish, this setup hints at a potential mean reversion or consolidation phase. Traders should remain cautious at current highs and watch for signs of distribution and lower highs forming in the coming weeks
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Trader1mran
USDJPYUSDJPY is currently approaching a major breakout zone as it nears the apex of a symmetrical triangle pattern. The pair has broken above the key horizontal resistance area around 145.80–146.00, which previously acted as a strong supply zone. Price is now challenging the descending trendline resistance. A confirmed breakout and retest of the triangle and resistance zone may open the door for a bullish continuation toward 147.50, and potentially 150.00+, as marked on the chart. However, if the breakout fails, we may see a pullback toward the 145.00–144.80 support region before any further upside. This setup highlights a potential breakout-retest-continuation scenario. Traders should watch for price action confirmation near the trendline for further direction.
by Trader1mran