DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Your Plan to Buy Explained
There is a high chance that US30 will resume growth soon.
The index is currently testing a wide daily support cluster.
My signal to buy will be a bullish violation and a candle close above
41920 minor horizontal resistance.
A bullish movement will be anticipated at least to 42200 level then.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trading
USDCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.842.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.830 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCAD RETEST OR FRESH DOWNTREND? PRICE AT A CRUCIAL CROSSROAD!USDCAD 22/05 – KEY RETEST OR FRESH DOWNTREND? PRICE AT A CRUCIAL CROSSROAD!
🌐 MACRO BACKDROP:
Canada’s CPI and Retail Sales have come in weaker than expected, signaling sluggish consumer demand and reducing the probability of near-term rate hikes by the Bank of Canada.
Meanwhile, the USD is stabilizing, supported by steady U.S. Treasury yields after the Fed reaffirmed its “higher for longer” stance.
Oil prices, a major driver of the Canadian Dollar, have shown no significant breakout, further weakening CAD’s bullish momentum.
🔍 TECHNICAL OVERVIEW (H1–H4 Chart):
After hitting a key swing low at 1.3820, USDCAD is now retracing towards the 0.5 Fibonacci zone (1.3889 – 1.3913), which also aligns with:
The 200 EMA resistance (red line)
Previous structure rejection zone
➡️ This area is critical – it could act as a trap zone before price resumes downward or breaks to confirm a short-term bullish reversal.
📈 TRADE SETUPS:
🔻 SELL SETUP (HIGH PROBABILITY IF PRICE FAILS AT RESISTANCE):
Entry: 1.3900 – 1.3913
Stop Loss: 1.3930
Take Profit Targets: 1.3884 → 1.3859 → 1.3847 → 1.3820
🔹 BUY SETUP (IF PRICE HOLDS ABOVE THE BASE ZONE):
Entry: 1.3820 – 1.3823
Stop Loss: 1.3805
Take Profit Targets: 1.3847 → 1.3880 → 1.3913
⚠️ STRATEGY NOTES:
Be cautious during the New York session, as potential comments from Fed officials or crude oil updates could spike volatility.
This is a textbook case of “reaction vs. continuation” at a Fibo cluster – stick to confirmed candlestick signals to avoid false breakouts.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
USDCAD is in a corrective rally after an extended decline. The 1.3913 zone is a key decision point. Sellers should watch for signs of exhaustion, while buyers can target short-term retracements if support holds at 1.3820.
BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY! AUDUSD 22/05 – BREAKOUT OR REJECTION? WATCH 0.64137 KEY ZONE CLOSELY!
🌐 MACRO OVERVIEW
DXY is starting to lose momentum after a sharp rally fueled by the Fed’s hawkish stance. However, there’s still no clear signal of an imminent rate cut.
Meanwhile, the RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) maintains a steady policy, offering short-term support for AUD. While rates remain unchanged, the central bank’s cautious tone adds a defensive layer for the Aussie.
On the trade front, Australia has seen marginal recovery in commodity prices, though ongoing concerns about Chinese economic slowdown continue to weigh on sentiment.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (Timeframes: H1 – H4)
AUDUSD is forming a tight symmetrical triangle, with lower highs and higher lows — a typical precursor to a breakout.
The current price at 0.6418 is sitting right along the lower trendline. Price action here is critical to determine today’s direction.
🔍 Scenario A – Upside Breakout (30% probability):
If price breaks and closes above 0.64700–0.64910, we could see bullish continuation toward the 0.65134 resistance zone.
🔍 Scenario B – Breakdown (70% probability):
A strong break below 0.64137 could trigger a move toward 0.63964 and potentially deeper into the 0.63640 liquidity zone.
🎯 TODAY'S TRADE PLAN
🔵 BUY SCALP (only if price reacts strongly at trendline support)
Entry: 0.6414 – 0.6416
SL: 0.6408
TP Targets: 0.6445 → 0.6470 → 0.6490
🔴 SELL SETUP (if triangle is broken to the downside)
Entry: 0.6405 – 0.6396
SL: 0.6420
TP Targets: 0.6364 → 0.6340
⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTES
Expect high volatility during the U.S. session as PMI and Unemployment Claims data are released.
Stick to your TP/SL levels with discipline — the market may sweep liquidity on both sides before choosing a direction.
📌 SUMMARY:
AUDUSD is consolidating in a clean technical pattern while macro uncertainty looms. Whether we break up or down, the key is to trade what the market gives — not what we think. React to confirmation, not prediction.
EUR/CAD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.567
Target Level: 1.549
Stop Loss: 1.579
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
USD/CAD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 1.400 level area with our long trade on USD/CAD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GOLD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,458.82
Target Level: 3,187.96
Stop Loss: 3,639.42
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 4h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING? EURUSD 22/05 – STRUCTURE SHIFT OR FALSE BREAKOUT? MAJOR MOVE LOADING?
🌐 MACRO OUTLOOK
The market remains caught between dovish expectations and hawkish reality. While recent US CPI and PPI came in weaker than expected, Fed officials have refrained from confirming any imminent rate cuts, keeping the dollar resilient in the medium term.
Meanwhile, the ECB’s cautious stance and ongoing inflation risks across the eurozone continue to cap euro strength. The divergence in tone between the Fed and the ECB adds to the short-term volatility and uncertainty around EURUSD’s direction.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1 + H4 Timeframe)
EURUSD has faked a breakout above the 1.1310–1.1320 resistance zone and is now pulling back to the key structure support around 1.1279 — a critical short-term level.
📌 Key Observations:
Bearish engulfing candle formed on H1 after price rejected the upper zone → potential reversal signal.
EMA 13 is crossing below EMA 34 → suggesting short-term downside pressure.
A confirmed H1 close below 1.1279 opens room for deeper retracement towards 1.1234 (previous demand/FVG area).
If momentum builds, we could see a broader correction toward 1.1148 in the coming days.
⚙️ TRADE STRATEGY FOR TODAY
🔻 PRIMARY SCENARIO – SELL THE RALLY
Entry Zone: 1.1315 – 1.1318 (near FVG + fake breakout zone)
Stop Loss: 1.1360
Take Profit Targets:
→ TP1: 1.1279
→ TP2: 1.1234
→ TP3: 1.1148
🔹 ALTERNATE SCENARIO – BUY SCALP ON STRONG REACTION
Buy Entry: 1.1234 – 1.1230 (only with bullish M15 confirmation)
Stop Loss: 1.1210
Take Profit: 1.1279 → 1.1300
🧠 STRATEGIC INSIGHT
A D1 candle close below 1.1234 will confirm a structure break and likely initiate a deeper downward trend.
On the flip side, if 1.1234 holds and US jobless claims disappoint later today, EURUSD may recover back to test 1.131x.
Market sentiment is highly reactive — stay flexible and prioritize price action confirmation.
📌 FINAL THOUGHTS:
EURUSD is at a pivotal point — either confirming a new downtrend or bouncing back within the current range. This is a trader’s market: clear key levels, disciplined risk management, and adaptive execution are essential.
📈 Follow for real-time chart updates, FVG mapping, and more daily trading setups.
Stay smart, stay sharp. Risk management first.
Artavion Analysts Forecast Bitcoin to Reach $100,000 by End of MThe analytical company Artavion has released an updated forecast for the price of Bitcoin (BTC) by the end of May 2025. According to the experts, amid sustained institutional demand and limited supply following the recent halving, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could reach $100,000 in the coming days.
Key Growth Drivers
Analysts highlight several factors contributing to Bitcoin's price growth:
📈 Institutional Demand: Ongoing accumulation by investment funds and banks through spot ETFs approved in the U.S. and Asia.
⛏ Reduced Supply: The April halving has decreased miner rewards, limiting daily BTC issuance.
🇺🇸 Fed Policy Easing: Expectations of interest rate cuts are increasing demand for alternative assets, including crypto.
💼 Market Confidence: Growth in long-term holders and increasing BTC withdrawals from exchanges indicate a “HODLing” trend among investors.
Company Comment
"We are witnessing stable accumulation and a capital shift into digital assets. If markets avoid major shocks, Bitcoin has every chance to consolidate above $95,000 and briefly test the psychological barrier of $100,000," said Alexey Gurov, senior strategist at Artavion.
Potential Risks
Despite the optimistic outlook, analysts point out several risks that could impact the forecast:
📉 Unexpected macroeconomic data (e.g., rising inflation, stronger U.S. dollar);
⚠️ Regulatory actions from the SEC or other global bodies;
🌍 Escalation of geopolitical tensions, which could trigger risk-off sentiment.
Conclusion
Considering the current market environment and macroeconomic expectations, Artavion maintains a positive short-term outlook for Bitcoin through the end of May, while cautioning investors to remain aware of the sector’s inherent volatility and risk.
JPY Hits 2-Week High as Dollar WeakensThe Japanese yen strengthened to around 143 per dollar on Thursday, its highest in over two weeks, as concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook pressured the dollar. Fears that Trump’s proposed tax cuts could add over $3 trillion to U.S. debt weighed on investor confidence.
Japan’s Finance Minister Kato said he did not discuss currency levels with Treasury Secretary Bessent at the G7 summit.
Domestically, core machinery orders surged 13% in March, beating expectations of a 1.6% drop, while May PMI data showed continued weakness in both manufacturing and services.
xauusd stron down next movePrice is in a resistance/selling zone near 3,310–3,340.
Expected to reject and drop to the target/support near 3,260.
Strong bearish bias based on resistance zone.
Disruptive Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Confirmation:
If the price breaks and closes above 3,340, this invalidates the resistance zone.
This would trigger stop-losses from sellers and initiate buy momentum.
Volume Spike & Momentum:
EURNZD: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇪🇺🇳🇿
Odds are high that EURNZD will retrace from the underlined blue resistance.
The pair looks bearish from the intraday perspective after a release
of German fundamentals this morning.
I think that the price may drop to 1.9027 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?GOLD PLAN 22/05 – FVG LIQUIDITY & POLITICAL SHOCKS: WILL THE SELLERS STRIKE BACK?
🌍 Fundamental & Geopolitical Overview:
🔺 Breaking Political News:
On the night of May 21, two Israeli embassy officials were fatally shot near the Jewish Museum in Washington in what’s being labeled an anti-Semitic terrorist act.
→ Former President Trump condemned the attack, calling it “disgusting” and demanding an end to extremism.
→ Events like these typically boost gold as a safe haven, but this time the market appears hesitant.
🔺 Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve remains hawkish, signaling “higher-for-longer” interest rates.
→ This continues to support USD strength, putting downward pressure on gold.
🔍 Technical Outlook (H1):
Gold (XAUUSD) recently topped around 3397, followed by a strong bearish rejection candle at that level.
Two Fair Value Gaps (FVG) are now defining market sentiment:
Upper FVG: 3330 – 3356 (partially filled)
Lower FVG: 3277 – 3247 → highly likely to be targeted if breakdown occurs.
EMA 13 & EMA 34 are flattening out, indicating consolidation within a breakout range.
🧭 Trade Strategy for Today:
🔻 PRIMARY SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3395 – 3397
Stop Loss: 3401
Take Profit: 3390 → 3386 → 3380 → 3376 → 3370
🔻 SELL SCALP:
Entry: 3358 – 3360
Stop Loss: 3364
Take Profit: 3354 → 3350 → 3346 → 3342 → 3338 → 3330
🔵 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3296 – 3294
Stop Loss: 3290
Take Profit: 3300 → 3304 → 3308 → 3315 → 3320 → 3330 → ???
🔵 BUY SCALP:
Entry: 3316 – 3314
Stop Loss: 3310
Take Profit: 3320 → 3324 → 3328 → 3332 → 3340 → 3350
⚠️ Key Things to Watch:
FBI and White House responses to the DC shooting could ignite renewed risk-off sentiment, pushing gold higher suddenly.
A break above 3400 invalidates today’s setup – expect renewed bullish pressure if that happens.
📌 Pro Tip: Don’t chase the market. Let price come to your zones. Respect SL/TP and manage risk – especially on volatile days like today.
📣 Follow this account for live updates, scalping levels, and macro-triggered trading zones in real time!
BTCUSD UPDATE - 22- 05- 2025This chart illustrates a potential rising wedge pattern in the Bitcoin/USDT (BTC/USDT) 45-minute timeframe on Binance. Here's a breakdown of the key elements:
Chart Analysis:
Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish):
The price is moving within converging trend lines (marked in blue), forming a rising wedge — typically a bearish reversal pattern.
The projected breakdown (blue arrow) suggests a move downward out of the wedge.
Support Zone (Yellow Box):
A strong historical support zone is highlighted, around the $103,000–$104,500 range.
This is the likely target if the price breaks down from the wedge.
Bearish Target:
If the breakdown occurs, the price may fall to the yellow support zone.
Volume spikes on recent candles suggest increasing interest or volatility.
Stop Loss Zone (Red Area):
The red shaded area at the top of the wedge likely represents a stop-loss for a short trade setup.
Current Price: Around $110,708.20 at the time of the snapshot.
Summary:
The chart implies a potential short opportunity based on the rising wedge breakdown, targeting the yellow support zone. Confirmation would be needed from a strong bearish candle closing below the lower wedge boundary with increased volume.
Would you like help identifying entry/exit points or risk management strategies for this trade setup?
XAUUAD UPDATE 22-05-2025The chart you provided is a technical analysis for Gold (CFDs on Gold - US$/OZ) on a 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of what it shows:
1. Price Action:
The current price is around $3,331.56.
The price has recently entered a resistance zone (highlighted in yellow-red near the top).
2. Resistance Zones:
Upper resistance: Around $3,389 (top yellow box).
Immediate resistance: Around $3,330–$3,340 (where price is currently reacting).
3. Support Zone:
Lower support: Around $3,142–$3,160 (bottom yellow box).
4. Bearish Outlook (as indicated by the blue arrow):
The chart suggests a potential rejection from the current resistance zone.
A projected drop toward the lower support area is illustrated.
There’s a red-shaded box likely representing a stop-loss zone, implying a short trade setup with entry near the current level.
5. Volume: There’s a moderate rise in volume recently, which could support the momentum shift.
Conclusion: The chart analysis suggests a short setup expecting gold to fall from the current resistance zone to the support zone around $3,140, assuming price fails to break above resistance.
Would you like a technical analysis or trading plan based on this idea?
USD-CHF Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 0.8213 and we are already
Seeing a local rebound so
We are locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 1.1300 which is confirmed
So now the price is consolidating
Above the new support
And after a potential retest
Of the support level we are
Likely to see a further
Bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for May 22, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
📈 Treasury Yields Surge Amid Weak Bond Auction
U.S. Treasury yields continued their upward trajectory, with the 10-year yield nearing 4.6% and the 30-year yield surpassing 5%, marking the highest levels since early 2023. This increase followed a weak $16 billion auction of 20-year bonds, which attracted less investor demand and sold at higher-than-expected yields. Factors contributing to the rise include fading recession fears, persistent inflation concerns, and growing fiscal worries related to potential tax cut extensions.
📉 Stock Market Declines as Tech Stocks Retreat
The stock market experienced significant losses, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropping 1.9%, falling below its 200-day moving average. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell 1.6% and 1.4%, respectively.
💼 Snowflake ( NYSE:SNOW ) Reports Strong Earnings
Snowflake Inc. reported record quarterly revenue of $1.04 billion, surpassing expectations. Product revenue increased 26% year-over-year to $996.8 million. The company raised its full-year forecast to $4.325 billion, reflecting a 25% year-over-year increase. Despite a GAAP net loss of $430 million, Snowflake posted an adjusted profit of 24 cents per share, exceeding the 21-cent estimate.
📊 Morgan Stanley Turns Bullish on U.S. Stocks
Morgan Stanley has shifted to a bullish stance on U.S. stocks and bonds, raising its outlook due to signs of market stabilization and improving growth conditions. The bank maintains a base target of 6,500 for the S&P 500 by mid-2026, with a bullish scenario projecting 7,200.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Thursday, May 22:
8:30 AM ET: Initial Jobless Claims
9:45 AM ET: S&P Global Flash U.S. Services PMI for May
10:00 AM ET: Advance Services Report (First Quarter 2025)
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
SPY Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for SPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 594.29
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 563.56
My Stop Loss - 611.99
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCAD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for USDCAD is below:
The market is trading on 1.3934 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.3958
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY On The Rise! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the NZDJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 85.502
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 85.708
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
QQQ about to FLUSH?! Let's talk about it!I'm not saying it's over but you have to admit it does feel like we are going to see a decent size pullback...2-6% over the next few weeks on the NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY
- TVC:VIX back over 20
- US20Y hit 52 week high
- USDJPY starting to creep towards April lows
- $491.54 GAP to fill on NASDAQ:QQQ
- $447.58 Bigger GAP to fill on NASDAQ:QQQ
- Credit starting to become and issue
- Banks/ Credit companies tanked today
There is bullish pieces as well but we do look extended here and a healthy 2-6% would be welcomed...A break of $475 level spells trouble on QQQ.