Trading
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 18, 2025🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 18, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
💼 Business Inventories Flat in April
U.S. business inventories held steady in April, indicating stable consumer and wholesale demand. That suggests production won't need to cut sharply in the near term, supporting GDP outlook
🏭 Industrial Production Slips
Industrial output declined 0.2% in May, signaling ongoing weakness in factory activity amid less favorable global trade conditions .
🌐 Geopolitical Pressures Persist
Heightened tension in the Middle East continues to pressure risk assets. Investors remain focused on safe-haven flows into gold, Treasuries, and defensive equities, with analysts noting the risk backdrop remains tilted to the downside
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Wednesday, June 18:
8:30 AM ET – Housing Starts & Building Permits (May)
Measures new residential construction — leading indication of housing sector health.
8:30 AM ET – Initial Jobless Claims
Tracks the weekly count of new unemployment filings — useful for spotting early labor-market weakening.
2:00 PM ET – FOMC Interest Rate Decision
The Federal Reserve is expected to hold steady. Market focus will be on any commentary that hints at future tightening or easing plans.
2:30 PM ET – Fed Chair Powell Press Conference
Investors will parse Powell’s remarks for guidance on rate paths, inflation trends, and economic risks.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is for educational/informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #housing #Fed #geo_risk #charting #technicalanalysis
GBPNZD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for GBPNZD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 2.2314
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Lowanticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 2.2402
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDCHF My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on USDCHF and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 0.8147 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.8131
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
DAX: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 23,509.95 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 23,389.15.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 3,394.60 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.15524 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15663.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GBPAUD Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2.074.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2.083 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move? Gold’s Game of Traps: Is the Dip a Setup for a Bigger Move?
After an aggressive rally fueled by geopolitical FOMO headlines, gold (XAUUSD) saw a sudden pullback — but what looked like weakness might actually be a setup for smart accumulation. The market narrative is shifting, and price action is sending important signals...
🌍 Global Drivers Behind the Volatility
Middle East conflict between Israel and Iran continues to escalate, prompting global safe haven flows. Evacuation warnings and nuclear deal pressure add more uncertainty to the mix.
Despite bullish news, gold failed to hold its highs — a potential bull trap as institutional players took advantage of retail FOMO to offload.
Big capital may now be rotating from gold into other sectors like energy (oil) and discounted equity assets.
📉 Price Action & Technical Outlook (M30–H1)
After topping around 3442–3440, price snapped back into the mid-range — a sign of liquidity hunting rather than a full reversal.
The EMAs (13/34/89/200) on the M15–M30 timeframes are showing early signs of bearish crossover, hinting at further short-term weakness.
Below current price sits a clean Fair Value Gap (FVG) that could act as a magnet — aligning with a high-probability buy zone.
🎯 Trading Playbook
✅ BUY Setup – "Smart Money Entry Zone"
Buy Zone: 3342 – 3344
Stop Loss: 3338
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3348 → 3352 → 3356 → 3360
→ 3364 → 3368 → 3372 → 3380+
💡 Look for price to tap into the FVG and form a base with bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence, or rising volume) before entering.
❌ SELL Setup – "Fade the Overhead Resistance"
Sell Zone: 3440 – 3442
Stop Loss: 3446
Take Profit Targets:
→ 3436 → 3432 → 3428 → 3424
→ 3420 → 3415 → 3410
⚠️ Only short on a strong rejection or bearish engulfing candle near the resistance — do not short blindly.
🧠 Market Psychology Insight
The initial Asian-session rally was likely a news-driven liquidity event.
Institutions appear to be rotating capital, using emotional retail entries as exit liquidity.
Current market conditions suggest a shakeout before a longer-term bullish move.
📌 Final Note
Don’t chase price. Let it come to your zones. This market is being driven by geopolitical narrative and smart money behavior, not just technicals alone.
✅ Stay patient.
📊 Trade with logic.
🧘♂️ Let others FOMO — you focus on levels and confirmation.
👉 Follow for real-time London session updates and reaction-based entries.
USD-CHF Bearish Bias! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Is making a local bullish
Pullback but will soon
Hit a horizontal resistance
Level around 0.8185
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDCAD - a few technical things togetherFib's retracement level of 50.00% will probably give the trend some strong upward impulse,
After that, this "Bull Flag" will come into play, and the price will go up a little bit higher,
The next step is to enter the price into the current "Most meaningful" channel...
Our take profit is: 0.82550. (Near +24 pips from current price).
Macromics Group: Market Trends Overview (June 2025)Global Economic Landscape: What Has Changed?
June 2025 marks significant shifts in the global economy. After several years of instability caused by the pandemic, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, markets are gradually stabilizing. However, new challenges are emerging: rising risks in Asia, digital transformation in Europe, and strategy shifts in the U.S.
China and India continue to show strong growth rates—5.8% and 6.5% respectively. Europe, by contrast, is lagging behind due to slow recovery and persistent inflation. The U.S. maintains a steady course driven by consumer spending and innovation, reporting 2.1% GDP growth.
Macromics Group continues to deliver in-depth analytics and strategies for clients seeking to understand and capitalize on these changes. We analyze trends across more than 120 industries, helping companies adapt and thrive.
Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy: A Shift Toward Stabilization
Financial regulators have begun cautiously lowering interest rates after the peaks of 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve has dropped its rate to 4.5%, while the ECB has reduced its rate to 3.75%. This is made possible by a decline in inflation: 2.7% in the U.S. and 3.1% in the EU.
Meanwhile, developing nations like Turkey and Argentina are still grappling with high inflation. These countries risk falling behind the global recovery unless decisive steps are taken.
Overall, the global course is toward soft stabilization: interest rates remain high but steady. This creates favorable conditions for investment and long-term planning.
Financial Markets: From Caution to Moderate Optimism
Stock markets in June 2025 show mixed performance. U.S. indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, thanks to the booming tech sector. Stocks of companies involved in AI, quantum computing, and cybersecurity are particularly strong.
European markets are less active but relatively stable. Growth is limited by high costs, demographic issues, and the transition to ESG standards. In Russia and CIS countries, markets are under pressure due to sanctions, currency restrictions, and reduced investment.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar and Chinese yuan dominate. The ruble is volatile, the euro is stable, and the yen is strengthening as a safe haven asset.
Technology: The Engine of New Markets
The main trend in 2025 is AI and automation. Companies are deploying neural networks in logistics, marketing, finance, and HR to cut costs and boost efficiency. Demand for AI professionals and developers is surging.
5G infrastructure has matured in most developed countries, unlocking new potential in IoT, telemedicine, and remote work. At the same time, quantum computing is advancing rapidly, with commercial solutions expected by 2026.
Macromics Group invests in next-generation analytical platforms, enabling clients to access real-time insights and forecast trends before they go mainstream.
Energy and Sustainability: ESG and the “Green” Shift
Energy markets have stabilized after the turbulence of 2024. Oil prices remain between $70–$85 per barrel—comfortable for both producers and consumers. Meanwhile, renewable energy—solar, wind, and hydrogen—is seeing record investment.
Corporations are increasingly reporting according to ESG standards. It’s not just a trend, but a new business reality. Investors demand transparency, consumers prefer socially responsible brands, and regulators impose mandatory reporting.
Macromics Group supports clients in transitioning to sustainable models by developing ESG strategies, assessing risks, and offering financial solutions.
Conclusion: Outlook for the Second Half of 2025
The first half of 2025 showed that markets are learning to operate in a new reality. The global economy is no longer chasing rapid growth, but adapting to volatility. Key focus areas are technology, sustainability, and smart resource management.
For businesses, this means quick adaptation, innovative thinking, and reliance on data-driven decisions. In this context, Macromics Group serves not just as an analyst but as a strategic partner.
Our recommendation: act proactively. In times of uncertainty, those who plan years ahead and use quality data will win.
EURUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.157.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.165 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NZDCAD Is Going Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.825.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.822 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
NZD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on NZD/CHF right now from the resistance line above with the target of 0.487 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CAD-CHF Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a retest
Of the horizontal resistance
Of 0.5990 and pullback is
Already happening so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD_JPY MOVE DOWN AHEAD|SHORT|
✅AUD_JPY made a retest of
The strong horizontal resistance of 93.900
Level of 106.083 and as you
Can see the pair is already
Making a local pullback from
The level which sends a clear
Bearish signal to us therefore
We will be expecting a
Further bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
CHF-JPY Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 177.327 and the
Breakout is confirmed so
We are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD-CHF Pullback Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF made a retest
Of the strong wide horizontal
Resistance around 0.5289
And we are already seeing a
Local pullback so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish move down
On Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZD_CAD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NZD_CAD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 0.8160
After trading in a local downtrend for some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 0.8182
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
PTON Peloton Potential Buyout Interest from Amazon or NikeIf you haven`t bought the dip on PTON, before the rally:
Now Peloton Interactive PTON remains a compelling bullish candidate in 2025, supported not only by strategic buyout interest from major players like Amazon and Nike but also by significant unusual options activity signaling strong investor conviction in a near-term upside move. These factors combined create a powerful catalyst for a potential stock rally.
1. Confirmed Buyout Interest from Amazon and Nike
Since 2022, credible reports have indicated that Amazon and Nike are exploring acquisition opportunities for Peloton, recognizing its value as a leading connected fitness platform with over 2 million subscribers.
Amazon’s interest fits its broader health and smart home ambitions, while Nike sees Peloton as a strategic extension of its digital fitness ecosystem.
Such buyout interest implies a potential premium valuation, which could trigger a sharp upward re-rating of Peloton’s shares if a deal materializes or even if speculation intensifies.
2. Massive Unusual Call Option Activity for July 18, 2025 Expiry
A mystery trader recently purchased over 80,000 call options on Peloton with a $7 strike price expiring July 18, 2025, representing a $3.1 million bet on a price rise within the next few months.
On May 20, 2025, over 90,000 contracts of the $7 strike call expiring July 18, 2025 traded, equating to roughly 9 million underlying shares—well above Peloton’s average daily volume.
This unusually high call volume signals strong bullish sentiment and possible insider or institutional anticipation of a positive event, such as a buyout announcement or operational turnaround.
3. Strategic Fit and Synergies for Acquirers
Peloton’s subscription-based connected fitness platform offers Amazon and Nike a valuable recurring revenue stream and engaged user base.
Amazon could integrate Peloton’s offerings into its ecosystem of devices, health services, and e-commerce, while Nike could leverage Peloton’s content and hardware to deepen its digital fitness presence.
The potential for cross-selling, brand synergy, and data monetization enhances Peloton’s attractiveness as an acquisition target.
4. Attractive Valuation and Growth Potential
Peloton’s market cap has contracted significantly, making it an affordable target for large corporations with strategic interests in health and fitness.
Recent product launches, cost-cutting measures, and renewed marketing efforts aim to stabilize and grow Peloton’s subscriber base and revenue.
The connected fitness market continues to expand, driven by consumer demand for at-home and hybrid workout solutions.
5. Technical and Sentiment Indicators
The stock has shown signs of stabilizing after recent volatility, with support forming near $6–$6.50.
The surge in call options activity, especially at strikes above current prices, suggests growing investor confidence in a near-term breakout.
Historical patterns show Peloton’s stock reacts strongly to buyout rumors and unusual options volume, often resulting in rapid price appreciation.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SNAP Upside PotentialIf you haven`t bought SNAP before the previous earnings:
SNAP Key Fundamental Strengths in Q1 2025:
Metric Q1 2025 Result Year-over-Year Change
Revenue $1.36 billion +14%
Daily Active Users (DAU) 460 million +9%
Monthly Active Users (MAU) 900 million+
Net Loss $140 million -54% (improved)
Adjusted EBITDA $108 million +137%
Operating Cash Flow $152 million +72%
Free Cash Flow $114 million +202%
SNAP strong fundamental performance in Q1 2025, marked by accelerating revenue growth, expanding user engagement, sharply improving profitability, and robust cash flow generation, sets a solid foundation for a potential stock rally this year.
The company’s innovation in AR, diversified revenue streams, and healthy balance sheet further support a bullish outlook. Investors focusing on fundamentals can view Snap as a growth stock with improving financial health and significant upside potential in 2025.
My price target is $14.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SILVER Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for SILVER is below:
The market is trading on 36.320 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 35.168
Recommended Stop Loss - 36.830
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK