USOIL || Geopolitical Spike Hits Major Resistance - Watch $77.77🛢️
📅 June 13, 2025
👤 By: MJTRADING
🔍 🧭 Fundamental Context – Risk Premium on the Rise:
Crude oil surged sharply today following reports of Israeli airstrikes on Iranian territory — a move that reawakens fears of broader Middle East escalation. Iran plays a crucial role in OPEC and controls the strategic Strait of Hormuz , through which ~20% of global oil passes.
While Iran has not officially responded yet, markets are pricing in the potential for:
* Military retaliation
* Disruption of oil exports or maritime routes
* Heightened volatility across global risk assets
=======================================================
📉 📊 Technical Structure – Tag of Key Resistance at $77.7:
Price exploded upward, piercing the descending channel that's been intact since mid-2022.
Today's daily wick tagged the $77.70 level, a major horizontal resistance and channel top.
This zone has repeatedly acted as a pivot in both bullish and bearish phases.
Volume confirmed the move – highest daily volume in months, suggesting institutional reaction.
💡 Trading Outlook:
🔼 Scenario A – Breakout & Close Above $77.7 = Bull Continuation
If tomorrow closes firmly above $77.70:
Target 1: $88.88 supply zone
Target 2: $90.00 psychological resistance
Setup: Conservative entries on retest of $75–77 area with tight invalidation
🔽 Scenario B – Failed Breakout → Fade Back Inside Channel
If this was a headline-driven spike with no follow-through, bears may re-enter strongly
A close below $75 could confirm bull trap
Support zone to watch: $66.66 (mid-channel, EMA confluence)
⚠️ Risk Factors to Monitor:
Iran’s response (military, diplomatic, strategic)
US/NATO reaction to potential escalation
Strait of Hormuz disruption
OPEC commentary or Saudi-led output adjustment
Market sentiment unwind (profit-taking from overbought spike)
💬 Markets love emotion, but traders survive with structure. This is not the time to be reckless — size down, be responsive, and respect both breakouts and fakeouts.
📎 #CrudeOil #Geopolitics #OilSpike #WTI #MiddleEastTensions #Iran #IranIsrael #TechnicalAnalysis #MJTRADING
Trading
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 3,423.03.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 3,467.03.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURUSD Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 5h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.152.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.163 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZDUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.601.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.588 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPUSD Is Going Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.354.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.345 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 104,672.03
Target Level: 107,484.65
Stop Loss: 102,785.72
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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CAD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
CAD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 105.623
Target Level: 104.251
Stop Loss: 106.529
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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GBP/NZD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 2.241 level area with our short trade on GBP/NZD which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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GBP/AUD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the GBP/AUD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 2.078 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?XAUUSD – Gold Surges on Middle East Conflict: What's the Next Move?
🌍 Geopolitical Shock Fuels Market Volatility
The gold market responded sharply after Israel launched a series of targeted airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, including the Natanz uranium site. These actions triggered global concern:
Gold jumped to $3,430/oz, hitting a new weekly high
WTI crude surged by over 8%
US equity indices dipped significantly
The US remains officially neutral but confirmed it will defend its troops if provoked
Investors are now moving rapidly into safe-haven assets, especially gold.
📊 Technical Breakdown (H1/M30)
Trend Structure: Bullish momentum continues following the breakout above $3,392
Key Support Zone: $3,412–$3,426, with price holding above this region
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Identified between $3,405–$3,412, could act as re-entry zone
EMA Alignment: Price is above the 13, 34, 89, and 200 EMAs — signalling strength across short and long-term moving averages
Psychological Resistance: Eyes now on the $3,454–$3,456 zone for potential selling pressure
🧠 Market Sentiment & Risk Behaviour
Risk-off mood dominates: Capital is rotating into gold, CHF, and JPY
Traders are reacting to news headlines over economic data
Institutional flows are entering strongly on dips, building positions in defensive assets
🎯 Trade Setup for 13th June
✅ Buy Zone: 3384 – 3382
Stop-Loss: 3378
Targets: 3388 – 3392 – 3396 – 3400 – 3405 – 3410
❌ Sell Zone: 3454 – 3456
Stop-Loss: 3460
Targets: 3450 – 3446 – 3442 – 3438 – 3434 – 3430
📌 Tactical Summary
Gold remains a go-to asset amid geopolitical uncertainty. While the technicals support further upside, caution is warranted near resistance. Any easing in military headlines could trigger a fast retracement.
🔍 Pro tip: Avoid chasing. Let price confirm near key levels before entering. Manage risk diligently in high-volatility environments.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Support
US30 shows some strength after a test of a key intraday support.
A cup and handle pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
indicate a local strength of the buyers.
I expect a pullback to 42550
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EUR/USD Short and GBP/USD ShortEUR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 15 min continuation forms, 5 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 5 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 15 min continuation forms, reduced risk entry on the break of it or 15 min risk entry within it.
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
GBP/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
- If tight non-structured 1H continuation forms, 15 min risk entry within it if the continuation is structured on the 15 min chart.
- If tight structured 1H continuation forms, 1H risk entry within it.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy June 13, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy June 13, 2025:
Yesterday's trading session, gold prices increased sharply after accumulating at 3300 - 3340. In terms of fundamental analysis: the news of the "special situation" between Israel and Iran has greatly affected the crude oil market and investors' confidence in gold. At the beginning of today's trading session, gold prices are still increasing according to the main trend and are showing a correction, but we should wait for a short profit-taking wave to trade.
In the weekend trading session, we should limit trading and maintain trading principles to ensure safety.
Important price zones today: 3491 - 3496, 3471 - 3476 and 3395 - 3400.
Today's trading trend: SELL.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: SELL XAUUSD zone 3474 - 3476
SL 3479
TP 3471 - 3261 - 3451 - 3431.
Plan 2: SELL XAUUSD zone 3494 - 3496
SL 3499
TP 3491 - 3481 - 3471 - 3451.
Plan 3: BUY XAUUSD zone 3395 - 3397
SL 3392
TP 3400 - 3410 - 3430 - 3450.
Wish you a safe and profitable weekend trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Gold Price Analysis June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3348. That led to a price gap today.
3375 is a resistance zone that is showing price reaction in the Asian session. If it cannot be broken at the end of the session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355 for BUY strategies in the GAP zone.
Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3411.
Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3338 zone for BUY signals today. Target is still 3411 but there is still 3386 which may have a reaction.
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮 Nightly AMEX:SPY / SP:SPX Scenarios for June 13, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍
🚨 Israel Strikes Iran — U.S. Markets Sell Off
Israel launched airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear and military facilities, triggering a sharp risk-off move in global markets. U.S. stock futures slid over 1%, driven by a drop in equities and a surge in safe-haven assets
🛢️ Oil Prices Surge 7–8% on Supply Fears
Brent crude jumped over 7%, reaching ~$74.65/barrel, while WTI rose nearly 8%—the strongest move since early May. The sudden energy-price spike reflects heightened fears of supply disruptions in the Middle East
💱 Dollar & Safe Havens Climb
True to form, the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, Swiss franc, gold, and Treasuries rallied as investors moved to the safety of low-risk assets amid escalating geopolitical uncertainty
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, June 13
(No scheduled U.S. economic data)
Data flow will take a backseat as markets digest geopolitical developments and await the weekend.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #geopolitics #oil #safety #charting #technicalanalysis
CAD_CHF STRONG SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅CAD_CHF will be retesting a support
Level soon around 0.5920
From where I am expecting a bullish reaction
With the price going up but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD-CHF Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF fell down sharply
But the pair will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.5281 from where we
Can go long with the
Take Profit of 0.5312
And the Stop Loss of 0.5273
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
An Internet Disaster - NET & GOOGL FallAs of Thursday, June 12, 2025, a significant internet outage has disrupted services across multiple major platforms, including Google, Amazon Web Services (AWS), Spotify, YouTube, Discord, and Shopify. Cloudflare acknowledged experiencing intermittent failures and noted that some services were beginning to recover, though users may continue to encounter errors as systems stabilize.
The root cause of the disruption has been identified as an issue with Google Cloud's Identity and Access Management (IAM) service, which affected various services globally. While Cloudflare's core services were not directly impacted, some of its services relying on Google Cloud experienced issues.
Imagine how far Net could've fallen if IGV / Cloud stocks weren't strong today.
NZD_JPY WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅NZD_JPY is trading along
The rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 87.429
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold Trading Strategy June 12Yesterday's D1 daily frame bounced and closed above 3347. That led to a price gap today.
3375 is a resistance zone that is showing a price reaction in the European session. If it cannot be broken by mid-European session, it is possible to set up a sell at 3355. The 3355 zone for BUY strategies is in the price gap created at the beginning of today's trading session.
Any price decrease today is considered a good opportunity for buying Gold to aim for 3432
Pay attention to the 3355-3347-3321 zone for today's BUY signals. Target is still 3432 but you need to pay attention to the 3397 zone where there may be a reaction from the Sellers.
Support: 3355-3347-3321
Resistance: 3397-3432
AUDCHF The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDCHF below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5349
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5357
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK