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#014: USD/SGD SHORT Investment Opportunity In recent days, an extremely interesting window has opened on the USD/SGD exchange rate, a pair often overlooked by retail traders but highly sensitive to Asian institutional flows. I decided to open a short position, betting on a decline in the US dollar against the Singapore dollar, for a series of structural, real, and measurable reasons. The US dollar has begun to show clear signs of weakness. Recent macroeconomic data releases have been below expectations, particularly those related to inflation and consumption. At the same time, market expectations regarding interest rates are shifting in the opposite direction from a few months ago: the probability of a rate cut by the Fed by the end of the year is growing. Added to this is a visible decline in open interest on dollar-linked futures contracts, a clear sign that many institutional long positions are being closed. The market simply no longer believes in a strong dollar. While the US dollar is losing momentum, the Singapore dollar is quietly but solidly strengthening. The Monetary Authority of Singapore has maintained an extremely prudent and conservative monetary policy, and capital flows into Asian markets continue to grow. The Singapore dollar has historically been seen as a regional safe-haven currency, and in an environment where the US dollar is weakening, it becomes an ideal candidate to accommodate new relative strength. One of the most significant factors in this decision, however, is retail sentiment. Currently, over 80% of retail traders are long USD/SGD. This imbalance is striking. Typically, when the vast majority of non-professional traders are aligned on one side, the market ends up moving in the opposite direction. Institutions, on the other hand, patiently build short positions, taking advantage of excessive retail euphoria. Conventional sentiment is often the best counter-indicator. Chart and volume analysis perfectly confirm this scenario. In recent candles, we have seen an anomalous spike above resistance, followed by a sharp rejection. This is classic behavior: institutions push the price above a key zone, trigger long retail traders' stops, raise liquidity, and then let the price fall. No news, no macro trigger: just pure manipulation. The structure now has all the characteristics to unload downwards. The chosen take profit level is not random. It is positioned in an area historically defended by institutions, specifically between 1.27680 and 1.27720. In that range, there are volume gaps, representing the classic unloading zones where banks close positions. Furthermore, FX options show a high concentration of put strikes in that same zone, confirming that options desks are also working to defend a bearish move. All these elements combined—macroeconomic, behavioral, volumetric, and positioning—lead to a single logical conclusion: shorting USD/SGD at this precise moment is a rational, concrete trade, and consistent with institutional flows. No gambles. No forcing. Just chance, balance and timing.
Short
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
#011: Long Investment Opportunity on GBP/CAD After weeks of compression, GBP/CAD is showing clear signs of institutional accumulation. The price recently released a false bearish breakout below 1.8400, followed by a reabsorption and spike with decreasing volumes: a typical "retail flush" structure. Added to this are clear macro elements: The pound is supported by a still-tight monetary policy, with the BoE maintaining a hawkish tone. The Canadian dollar is suffering from declining oil expectations and the risk of a more rapid rate cut by the BoE. 📉 What happened? The market attempted to "clear" the 1.838–1.840 zone with a rapid, unfollow-through bearish move. This behavior, combined with the Open Interest reading and retail positioning, suggests an institutional entry intention in the area between 1.8375 and 1.8365. 📈 Positioning A Buy Limit was placed at 1.83740, with a wide Stop Loss at 1.82890, outside any visible hunting zone, and a Take Profit at 1.86280, where profit-taking has historically occurred on similar patterns. 🎯 Main motivations for long Accumulation visible with stop-hunt below support at 1.8400 Net long GBP futures position Retail short above 70%, a typical reversal signal No significant volume obstacles until 1.8620 Psychological resistance already tested (1.846, 1.850) ⏳ Estimated timeframe The setup could develop over several days, with the first movement as early as today (Friday) and completion by mid-next week. The intention is to follow the banking flow, without anticipating or reacting to emotional price movements.
Long
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for July 29, 2025🔮 Nightly  AMEX:SPY  /  SP:SPX  Scenarios for July 29, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market‑Moving News 🌍 U.S.–EU Trade Deal Sparks Optimism The U.S. and EU signed a trade framework allowing a 15% tariff rate on most EU imports, averting harsher penalties. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed at fresh record highs, supported by upbeat tech earnings sentiment—Tesla advanced on a new $16.5B AI chip deal with Samsung—while U.S.–China trade talks resume in Stockholm. Fed Likely to Hold Rates; Political Pressure Mounts The Fed is expected to leave its benchmark rate at 4.25%–4.50% at the July 29–30 FOMC meeting. Chair Powell faces growing political pressure from President Trump to cut rates and concerns about central bank independence remain elevated. Trade Talks Extension to Avoid Tariff Hike Deadline The August 1 tariff deadline looms. Markets are watching to see if trade deals with China, Canada, and the EU extend the pause or risk new tariffs. Volume in AI/chip stocks and industrials reflects sensitivity to trade developments. 📊 Key Data Releases & Events 📊 📅 Tuesday, July 29 FOMC Meeting Begins — All eyes on Fed rate decision and updated projections. GDP (Advance Q2 Estimate) — Expected around +1.9% on signs of economic rebound. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This summary is for educational and informational purposes only—it is not financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. 📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #Fed #trade #tariffs #PCE #jobs #technicalanalysis
AMEX:SPYLong
by TrendTao
CRUDE OIL Bullish Continuation! Buy! Hello,Traders! CRUDE OIL made a rebound From the support just as I predicted and the price Went further still and broke The key horizontal level Of 66.50$ and the breakout Is confirmed so we are Bullish biased and we will be Expecting a further bullish Move up! Buy! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:USOILLong
by TopTradingSignals
1
EURUSD: Will Go Down! Short! My dear friends, Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 1.15996 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 1.15562..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Short
by FreeXauusdSignals
1
Bitcoin & Altcoins: Technical Analysis and Market OutlookBitcoin (BTC) Analysis Bitcoin is currently forming a short-term bullish pennant within a larger long-term pattern, projecting a potential target around $135K. Key Levels: BTC is consolidating between the lower zone at $117.3K and the upper zone at $119.7K. Breakout Potential: A break above this pattern could propel BTC toward a new all-time high (ATH), surpassing the current ATH at $123K. Macro Events This Week: Wednesday: The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, with no changes expected. Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, providing insights into potential future rate cuts. Friday: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data release, which could further influence market sentiment. Ethereum (ETH) Breakout Ethereum has decisively broken through its 4-year historical resistance around $3,725, closing the week above this level. This breakout signals a strong bullish outlook for ETH, with potential for further upside. Altcoin Highlights BNB: Has shattered its previous all-time highs, showcasing significant bullish momentum. XRP: Reached approximately $3.64, reflecting strong gains and market interest. Market Context The crypto market is showing robust activity, with altcoins following Bitcoin and Ethereum's lead. Key macroeconomic events this week could introduce volatility, so traders should stay vigilant. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Every trader is responsible for their own strategy and risk management. Happy trading and good profits! 🚀
Long
by CRYPTONIA5