USD/CHF Long, SUGAR/USD Short, EUR/AUD Short and GBP/AUD LongUSD/CHF Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If 2 touch 5 min continuation, reduced risk entry on the break of it.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/AUD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
GBP/AUD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse up above area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Tradingforex
AUD/USD Long, SUGAR/USD Short and EUR/USD LongAUD/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse up above area of interest.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
EUR/USD Long
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 3 touch 1H continuation or 2 touch 1H continuation with 3 touch structural approach, 15 min risk entry within it.
EURUSD price analysis week 22📌After the surprise data on US services PMI skyrocketed, there was concern that the FED would cut interest rates less than expected. This caused investors to rush into the USD and pushed the Euro down despite the EUR PMI data. better than previously announced expectations.
📌EUR/USD recovers to 1.0850 as risk mood improvesEUR/USD gains traction and rises to 1.0850 on Friday. The improvement seen in the risk mood made it difficult for the US Dollar (USD) to maintain its strength and helped the pair erase some of its weekly losses.
📌EURUSD does not break the EMA 89 and continues to maintain its long-term uptrend. After bouncing up to 1.0850 EUR, it created a new, more stable and solid trendline. This 1.0850 area is currently a resistance area saved by the trendline and the old peak in the h4 time frame, so there is a high possibility that the pair will have a slight recovery. The highest increase that the pair can achieve next week is around the price range of 1.0930 after breaking the peak around 1.0890. On the opposite side, if the rising trendline is broken, the next support level is around 1.0770, at which point a short-term downtrend will begin to form if this support is broken.
🕯Trading signals
BUY EURUSD zone 1.07700-1.07500 SL 1.07200
SELL EURUSD zone 1.09300-1.09500 SL 1.09800
USD/JPY: Ride this Third wave Decline.The decline from 160.24 high subdivides into five waves. This move is significant as it identifies the dominant trend as down. The technical name for this pattern is a leading diagonal.
The subsequent three-wave price action unfolding in USD/JPY supports this bearish conviction. Countertrend price action commonly subdivides into a three. It is often slow, choppy and typically contained within a parallel channel. The technical name for this rally is a Zigzag pullback.
As illustrated earlier in my education ideas, in zigzag formations, the upper boundary of a parallel channel often projects the end of wave C with dramatic precision.
Moreover at 158.52, wave C would equal the length of wave A which is a common Fibonacci relationship in zigzag formations.
It is also the case that when a leading diagonal occurs in wave (1) position of an impulse, it is sharply retraced by a zigzag correction with 61.8% and 78.6% levels common targets. Although not shown,the 78.6% retracement level corresponds to the upper boundary of the trend channel and wave C equality target.
So in anticipation of wave (3) decline; a trader's bread and butter, the recommendation is to short at or near the 61.8% retracement level. The Protective Stop will be placed at 160.24; the origin of this decline. Why? Wave (2) of an impulse can NOT retrace more than 100% of wave (1).
The target for this trade is a drop of at least 13.58 as in (160.24 - 151.83) X 1.618. Why? As a guideline, wave (3) of an impulse often extends and commonly travels 1.618 times the length of the (1). A Risk: Reward of 1:3
Working with 153.60 as our key level. A break below this level would hint that wave (2) is over and wave (3) to the downside is underway.
Have a profitable trading week!
SOYBN/USD Short and SUGAR/USD ShortSOYBN/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SOYBN/USD Short and SUGAR/USD ShortSOYBN/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SUGAR/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
How to Confirm an Elliott Wave Count.Hello fellow traders, today I would like to show you how to apply a Kennedy Channeling technique (by Jeffrey Kennedy) to identify and confirm Elliott waves with more confidence.
1. Base Channel:- Wave 3 identification
When wave 2 is complete, connect the origin of wave 1 and the end of wave 2. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 1. As long as price action stays within this channel, you can consider price action corrective, probably wave C of a Zigzag. In a bullish trend, prices ought to break above the upper boundary line of this channel for wave 3 count to be acceptable.
2. Acceleration Channel:-Wave 4 identification.
Connect the extreme of wave 1 and the top of wave 3. Draw a parallel line starting at the bottom of wave 2. Only after prices break through the lower boundary line of the acceleration channel, could you be convinced that wave 3 is over and wave 4 is unfolding.
3. Final Channel:- Wave 5 identification
Connect the end of waves 2 and 4. Draw a parallel line along the top of wave 3 to project wave 5 target. It is quite common for wave 5 to terminate upon reaching the upper trendline of the final channel.
That's all for today. Trade wisely!
EUR/NZD Short, SOYBN/USD Short and WTICO/USD ShortEUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SOYBN/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
WTICO/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• 1H impulse down below AOI.
• If 3 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
Gold technical analysis: 21/5/2024The left chart suggests an equally-weighted gold basket of spot gold towards FX majors. It objectives to expose the underlying of energy of gold in general, and dilute the inverse dating among gold and americaA greenback – that is the maximum extensively observed gold market. On the proper we are able to see the gold futures (gold/USD) reached a document excessive on Monday along better buying and selling volume, even though it didn't keep onto profits above $2450 or the earlier document excessive and retraced lower.
It is likewise exciting to notice that the gold basket has stalled round $2800, simply below its very own document excessive set in April. A bearish divergence has additionally shaped at the gold basket and gold futures contract, each of that are withinside the overbought zone.
It can be tough to assemble a direct bearish case aside from gold stalling round key resistance levels. But that may be true sufficient for gold bulls to take notice and err at the facet of caution.
We`ve already visible as soon as fake damage of the April excessive for gold futures, so possibly bulls may also need to at the least see the gold basket damage to a brand new document excessive earlier than assuming gold futures will keep directly to profits. Of course, what ought to assist with the latter case is to look americaA greenback index damage and keep under 104. Otherwise, some other method is for bulls to await a retracement earlier than looking for proof of a better low for bullish swing change at a extra beneficial price, in anticipation of a damage to a brand new document excessive.
EURUSD: EURUSD analysis todayRecent information confirmed that US client charges fell in April, main to marketplace expectancies of a 50 foundation factor hobby fee reduce this year. However, warning from diverse Fed officers has tempered those expectancies, with buyers now predicting round forty six foundation factors of easing, merely factoring in fee cuts for November.
In early buying and selling on Monday, the euro rose barely to $1.087525, drawing close a almost two-month excessive of $1.0895 reached final week. The greenback index, a gauge towards six important currencies, confirmed little change, status at 104.forty six.
USDJPY: The USD holds steady as markets look for interest rate dThe US dollar remained broadly stable today as market participants await additional indicators to determine US interest rate developments. This period of anticipation follows recent cautious comments from US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials and signs that inflation may be easing.
The Japanese yen fell slightly at the start of the week, trading at 155.80 against the dollar. Investors are closely watching for any signs of potential government intervention, with the yen showing minimal volatility in recent days.
AUDUSD: AUDUSD analysis todayING predicts balance in USD forex pairs as buyers look ahead to the discharge of the April center non-public intake expenditures (PCE) rate index, predicted on May 31. The corporation believes that cross-asset volatility is in all likelihood to stay subdued withinside the coming weeks, that may spur the look for convey trades.
GBPUSD: USD pauses, market pays attention to April core PCE dataUSD pauses, market pays attention to April core PCE data
ING predicts stability in USD currency pairs as investors await the release of the April core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, expected on May 31. The firm believes that cross-asset volatility is likely to remain subdued in the coming weeks, which could spur the search for carry trades.
EUR/NZD Short, WTICO/USD Short and SOYBN/USD ShortEUR/NZD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 15 min rejection or phase line break.
WTICO/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SOYBN/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of interest.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
USDJPY: Can Japan use bond tools to support the Yen?Japanese authorities may have intervened twice in recent weeks to support the yen as it hit its lowest level in decades against the dollar, and they may have used reserves cash to do it.
BofA said a drop in demand for U.S. Treasury bonds could push up interest rates slightly and narrow spreads on the secured overnight lending rate (SOFR), a reference rate tied to mortgage agreements. Convenient to buy overnight.
USDJPY: USDJPY analysis todayDespite the dollar's general weakness against most of its counterparts, it continues to rise against the Japanese yen. The dollar rose 0.12% to 156.245 yen today, after previously reaching 156.80 yen. Japan's long-term yield remains low at 0.955%, even as the Bank of Japan's stance becomes more hawkish and the likelihood of a rate hike in June increases.
The dollar's recent peak against the yen on April 29, a 34-year high, prompted suspected interventions from the Bank of Japan and the Japanese Ministry of Finance. . Analysts, including IG's Tony Sycamore, speculate on the possibility of further intervention depending on the outcome of the US CPI report.
EURUSD: The USD fell against the euro awaiting CPI dataThe US greenback fell to a one-month low in opposition to the euro today, as buyers predicted the discharge of a key US inflation record that might affect US coverage decisions. Federal Reserve. The euro rose barely 0.03% to 1.0823 USD at some stage in Asian buying and selling hours, at one factor attaining 1.0828 USD, a stage now no longer visible given that April 10.
The US greenback index, which compares the greenback in opposition to a basket of six important currencies with a widespread emphasis at the euro, fell 0.11% to 104.94. Earlier, it touched a low of 104.92, its lowest in per week and a half.
At the identical time, US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark long-time period yield falling to 4.4414%, persevering with its in a single day decline of 3.five foundation points.
WTICO/USD Short and SOYBN/USD ShortWTICO/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
SOYBN/USD Short
Minimum entry requirements:
• Tap into area of value.
• 1H impulse down below area of value.
• If 2 touch 15 min continuation, 5 min risk entry within it, or reduced risk entry on the break of it.
The Fed will likely keep interest rates higher for longer1. Schmid of the Fed knows interest rates will likely stay high for a while.
2. Mester of Fed said it was too early to conclude that a re-detection was likely.
3. US data PPI is inconsistent.
4. Fed's Powell says the Fed will likely keep interest rates higher for longer.
5. ECB's Wunsch found no need to cut rates after the first cut in June.
The US April PPI published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics rose 2.2% from a year ago, a new high since April 2023, slightly higher than the previous 2.1%. It rose 0.5% from a month ago, beating expectations of 0.3% and the previous revised figure of -0.1%. Core PPI rose 2.4% year-on-year, slightly above expectations of 2.3%, and rose 0.5% month-over-month, exceeding 0.2% and expectations Previously it was 0.2%.
This data surpasses expectations, showing that the rate of hard emission appears to be getting stiffer. However, the actual performance of this report may not be as shocking as the downwardly revised March data.
AUDUSD: AUDUSD analysis todayUBS, a Swiss bank, stated in a May thirteen report: "Historically, May has been a superb month for the greenback. Our seasonal indicator indicates that call for for USD normally will increase in overdue April and peaking in mid-May, with the Euro (EUR), Australian Dollar (AUD) and New Zealand Dollar (NZD) normally maximum affected."
UBS added: "More mainly to the overseas exchange (FX) marketplace, that is additionally a signal that the marketplace can also additionally were preserving the USD lengthy for superb costs and as a shielding hedge. This prevents chance sell-offs in desire of the greenback as visible in preceding periods, while the greenback acted as extra of a supply of chance."