Trend Analysis
META’s Monster Gap — Gamma Ceiling. 8/1META’s Monster Gap — Gamma Ceiling at $785 or Room to Run Past $800?
🔍 GEX & Options Flow Insight (1st Image Analysis)
META ripped higher on earnings momentum, gapping from the $690s into the $770s, and is now stalling just under the Gamma Wall / Highest Positive NET GEX at $784.69. Options positioning shows bullish gamma support but overhead resistance could trigger a stall or pullback before another leg up.
* Call Walls & Resistance:
* 📍 $784.69 → Highest positive NET GEX / Gamma Wall
* 📍 $800.00 → GEX10 & GEX9 ceiling = ultimate squeeze target if momentum continues
* Put Support Zones:
* 🛡️ $750.00 → Key 2nd Call Wall zone now acting as gamma support
* 📉 $700.00 / $691.30 → HVL zone + hard put support
* 🚨 Breakdown below $691 opens the door to a deep retracement
* Volatility Insight:
* IVR 5.6, IVx Avg 31.6 → Low IV = cheaper premium for directional plays
* Call flow 11.6% = Not euphoric, but bullish sentiment
* GEX sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 = Long gamma environment, supportive of dips
✅ Option Trading Suggestion:
Bias: Bullish but extended — watch for consolidation before breakout
Strategy: Debit call spread (protects from IV crush)
* Entry Idea: Buy 780C / Sell 800C for Aug 2 or Aug 9 expiry
* Invalidation: Breakdown under 750 with volume
* Target: 785 → 800 on continuation
Why this works: META is riding strong bullish gamma positioning. As long as it holds above $750, dealer hedging supports price. Break above $785 could trigger short gamma acceleration to $800. But extended after earnings, so controlled size is key.
🧠 Technical Analysis (1H Chart) (2nd Image Analysis)
Market Structure & SMC:
* ✅ BOS + CHoCH sequence with a massive impulsive move from liquidity grab under $700
* 📈 Price is currently in the supply zone (purple box $768–$784) from historical resistance alignment
* 📊 First consolidation post-gap — watching for either breakout or gap-fill attempts
Trendline Dynamics:
* Strong bullish breakout from long consolidation
* Price is riding the upper slope of a sharp post-gap channel
SMC Zones:
* 🟩 Demand / OB Zone: $750–$724 → Ideal dip buy zone if retested
* 🟥 Supply Zone (Purple Box): $768–$784 → Current battle zone
🔄 Price Action & Key Levels
* Support:
* ✅ $750 → Former resistance, now key support
* ✅ $724 → Fib retracement confluence
* 🚨 $700 / $691.30 → HVL & hard gamma put wall
* Resistance:
* 🚩 $784.69 → Gamma Wall + supply top
* 🧨 $800 → Ultimate squeeze ceiling
🧭 Scalping / Intraday Trade Setup
🟩 Bullish Setup:
* Entry: $770–$772 dip reclaim
* Target 1: $784.69
* Target 2: $800 extension
* Stop: Close under $750
🟥 Bearish Pullback Setup:
* Entry: Rejection at $784.69
* Target 1: $760
* Target 2: $750
* Stop: Breakout above $785
🔁 Summary Thoughts
* META just printed a post-earnings breakout that could keep running into $785–$800 if gamma fuel continues.
* First consolidation after the gap is critical — if bulls defend $750, breakout setups remain strong.
* Caution chasing highs; better reward/risk comes from pullback buys into $750–$760.
* Dealers are long gamma, which supports range-bound chop with bullish bias.
🚨 Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk accordingly.
AUDJPY Poised to Start a Distribution Phase to 98.70AUDJPY Poised to Start a Distribution Phase to 98.70
On the 60-minute chart, AUDJPY has completed the accumulation phase, and it appears that AUDJPY is preparing for a breakout phase.
This is happening on the 60-minute chart.
The price that has already formed a pattern has a lower form and chances are that it may fall further from this area.
If this happens, AUDJPY may start another impulsive downward move.
In the overall picture, AUDJPY faced a strong resistance near 97.30 and is indicating a downward move to 95.70.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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The key point to watch is whether it can rise to 3900.73-4107.80
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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
The upward trend continues, with the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if the price holds above 3265.0-3321.30, a medium- to long-term uptrend is likely.
Currently, the HA-High ~ DOM(60) range is formed across the 3265.0-3762.33 range on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, the key question is whether support is found within the 3265.0-3762.33 range.
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While the price is trending upward along the short-term trendline, if it falls below the short-term trendline and encounters resistance by falling below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, a decline to the 3265.0-3321.30 range is likely.
ETH's volatility period is expected to last from August 6th to 10th.
The key point to watch is whether it can rise above the 3900.73-4107.80 range after this volatility period.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has entered an oversold zone, the downside is likely to be limited.
Since the OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel remains OBV > OBVEMA, a significant decline is unlikely.
However, since the TC (Trend Check) indicator is below zero, selling pressure is dominant.
Therefore, a decline below 3708.87 could lead to further declines. However, as previously mentioned, the decline is likely to be limited, so a significant decline is not expected.
Once the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is encountered, the trend is expected to re-establish itself.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain in more detail when the bear market begins.
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Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Chart favors BTC!🚀📊 Bitcoin vs S&P 500 – Ratio Signals Strength, Even If Stocks Correct 🔍📈
After posting earlier today about VOO (S&P 500 ETF) and the index itself hitting major resistance, I wanted to shift our focus to what could shine even if stocks pull back: Bitcoin.
This chart shows the BTCUSD/SPX ratio – in simple terms, how Bitcoin is performing relative to the S&P 500 . And what do we see? Clear, technical strength.
🔍 Key Observations:
BTC/SPX is currently breaking out from a bullish flag structure just above the 17.30–17.48 region
If the breakout holds, the projected technical target is near 26.37, the top of this multi-year channel
Historically, previous breakouts from similar zones have delivered explosive upside, even when equities struggled
🧠 So what does this mean?
Even if the stock market pulls back—as suggested in our earlier VOO/US500 chart—Bitcoin could still outperform, simply by dropping less, consolidating, or rising while stocks fall. That’s the power of analyzing ratios, not just absolute price.
We’ve already discussed how macro metrics like the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) are showing equity overvaluation. If capital starts rotating out of equities, Bitcoin is positioned as a beneficiary—especially if it maintains this relative strength.
💬 Final thoughts:
Don’t just look at BTC in isolation— look at it relative to what it's competing against
Ratios offer perspective: this one says Bitcoin’s trend vs stocks is up and strong
With solid support at 14.23 and room to run toward 26.37, this could be a chart to watch for months ahead
Are you watching this breakout? Let me know what your game plan is.
FOOD FOR THOUGHT: With Gold prices easing, stock markets at all time highs, is this the PERFECT time for big money to hedge with Bitcoin? Likely yes !
One Love,
The FX PROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
How to accurately grasp the gold trading opportunitiesGold was greatly affected by the positive non-farm payroll data, and it rose strongly, with the increase completely covering all the losses this week. The current gold trend has completely reversed the previous bull-short balance. After breaking through the 3300 level and rising to around 3355, it maintains strong upward momentum, and the possibility of further testing the 3360-3375 area cannot be ruled out. Due to the strong positive data, if everyone fails to chase the long position or set a breakout long position in time in the first wave of the market, the subsequent pullback opportunities may be relatively limited, so it is necessary to maintain an active strategy in operation. It is recommended to continue to be bullish when it retreats to the 3335-3320 area, and the upper target is the 3360-3375 pressure range.
We might be changing the trend in the coming months!I found this indicator extremely accurate for the past tops. We are focusing on the histogram today and looking once that green candles starts growing momentum taking BTC down the hill. If this idea proves right we might be bottoming around 400 days perhaps August 2026 ~45k
Dow Jones: Explosive US30 Trade Setup – Entry,Trap & Exit Mapped💎 Dow Jones Robbery Blueprint: The US30 Vault Crack Plan 💎
(Maximized for reach — within TradingView title limit)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Market Robbers & Money Movers 🕵️♂️💰🚨
This ain't your average analysis — it’s a Thief Trader-style 🔥tactical mission🔥 aimed at the mighty "US30/DJI" (Dow Jones Industrial Average). We're talkin' about a precision heist with a full blueprint: entry zones, trap setups, and escape exits. Read carefully — this ain’t for the faint-hearted traders! 🧠🦾
🧠 Entry Zones (The Break-In) 📈
🛠 ENTRY 1: Candle wick near 44200.0 – that’s the resistance gate. Wait for confirmation.
🎯 ENTRY 2: Sneak in at the Market Makers’ Trap around 43200.00 – a dirty zone where retailers get baited. Perfect time to strike long!
🧱 DCA/Layering strategy recommended. Stack those buy orders like a thief layering explosives on a safe. 💣💸
🛑 Risk Levels (Escape Routes/Stop Loss)
🔊 "Listen up, vault raiders! Never drop your SL until breakout is confirmed. If you jump early, you might land in a bear trap! 🪤"
🔐 Stop Zones (Based on Strategy):
🔐 Max Risk SL (5H TF): If you're deep, your last stand is at 43000.0
☝️ SL depends on your position sizing, number of entries, and risk appetite. Trade like a thief, not a gambler.
🎯 Heist Target (Profit Exit)
🏁 Escape Point: 46000.0 — or exit before heat rises! Don’t be greedy. Rob and vanish. 💨💰
🔥 Market Mood: Why the Heist Is On
"US30/DJI" is bullish AF — thanks to:
📊 Macro-Economic Wind at Our Back
📈 Institutional momentum
📰 Strong sentiment and intermarket flows
Check your chart radar: Fundamentals + technicals aligning = green light for robbery! 🟢
⚠️ Tactical Reminder: News Can Jam the Plan
📵 Avoid new entries during major economic releases
🛡 Use trailing SLs to protect running trades
Stay alert, stay alive. 💡
❤️ Support the Robbery Crew
Hit that 💥BOOST💥 — your love fuels our next mission.
Join us and ride daily heist plans with Thief Trading Style 🏴☠️🚀💰
Time to buy? Too much negative press. Buy in Fear- Updated 28/7Apple has been making steady gains since April 8th. Trading volume has been consistently strong, increasing intermittently, with sell pressure exhausted at the 200 USD mark. The price point is now sitting above the 200 daily EMA support, which indicates strong potential for continued upward movement. Apple's earnings are in focus this week, with predictions that they will exceed expectations, but the extent of that exceedance is the question.
Regardless of the competition from Chinese-made phones or Samsung, once you are in the Apple ecosystem, it is rare to leave. Even if buying cycles slow down, Apple often provides innovative solutions to problems that no other provider can. The focus on Apple regarding AI appears slightly biased and carries some elements of fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It would be foolish to bet against Apple in the long term, even if the necessary technology is obtained through acquisition. With a strong cash position, this should not be an obstacle.
So far, the charts have shown us two positive moves after flag patterns, with resistance just below and around the EMA 200 level, which is now acting as support. The RSI is in the upper regions but is far from overbought, indicating we have a good level of momentum. The accumulation distribution chart also suggests strong support for Apple from institutions. No clear pattern is yet forming on the charts, except for a possible ascending triangle on the weekly, which would be very bullish.
The 50-day EMA is likely to cross the 200 EMA in mid-August, drawing a lot of attention as this would create a Golden Cross. This event would occur just prior to the Apple launch in September, which is rumored to introduce significant updates and advancements. Considering all these factors, I anticipate that Apple will continue its upward momentum for the next six weeks, with some substantial moves followed by pullbacks to support levels. The launch events will likely propel Apple to reach an all-time high (ATH). NFA
Target price is >260
WTI Crude Oil Technical Outlook – Key Breakout or BreakdownWTI Crude Oil 4-hour chart suggests a potential inflection point after a strong bullish breakout from a larger symmetrical triangle pattern in late July. The price surged past key resistance levels and is now consolidating in a smaller symmetrical triangle formation just below the psychological $70 mark. This indicates a phase of indecision following a strong move, with market participants awaiting further confirmation.
Price is currently hovering around $69.82, with key levels marked at $71.03 (resistance) and $69.05 (support). The short-term price action within the tight triangle could determine the next move, with both bullish continuation and bearish reversal scenarios on the table.
Prices remain supported by supply concerns after Trump threatened to impose 100% secondary tariffs on buyers of Russian crude and warned China, a major oil consumer of severe penalties if it continues its purchases of Russian oil.
🔍 Potential Scenarios
- Bullish Breakout Scenario
If price breaks out of the smaller symmetrical triangle to the upside and clears the $70 resistance level with strong momentum, it may quickly test the $71.03 zone. A clean break above $71.03 would confirm the continuation of the previous uptrend, potentially opening room toward $72.50 and beyond in the medium term. The pattern would resemble a bullish pennant — a continuation pattern following the late July rally.
-Bearish Rejection and Breakdown
Conversely, a failure to sustain above $70 followed by a break below the lower boundary of the smaller triangle could lead to a sharper decline. The first critical level to watch would be $69.05; a break below this would likely invalidate the bullish setup and initiate a retest of the previously broken upper trendline of the larger triangle near $67.50. A further breakdown could lead price towards the larger support zone around $65–$66.
📈 Trend Outlook
- Short-Term: Neutral to Bullish — Consolidation in a smaller symmetrical triangle suggests a pause before continuation. However, the structure is still technically bullish unless $69.05 is broken.
- Medium-Term: Bullish Bias — The breakout from the large symmetrical triangle in late July indicates a shift in market sentiment, favoring higher prices unless the price fails to hold above $67.50.
- Long-Term: Cautiously Bullish — As long as WTI holds above the $65–$66 structural support area, the longer-term outlook remains constructive.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
EURUSD BUYING CORRECTION AND SHORTThe price is now at a strong support level and if it can be a double bottom it will retest the descending channel line and reach the orange resistance, but in the general direction the price prefers to fall due to breaking the black uptrend line. We also have a more beautiful scenario, which is if it can break the strong support we will go with the downward trend.
XRP at $2.93? They Forgot What’s Coming?XRP isn’t just another coin. With clarity coming from major rulings, its return to previous highs isn’t just possible it’s probable. I like this level. Watching price and fundamentals line up.
I’m not just looking at the chart — I’m looking at the bigger picture.
NASDAQ price dropAfter the Nasdaq price reaches around 23642.2, a historic drop will occur and the target is to drop to 16308.
Whatever happens at the highest price, the final destination is towards 16308.
I have identified the price levels in the middle of this expected drop that can cause the price to correct.
IG:NASDAQ
DXY USDOLLAR CRASH Incoming!Long-term fundamentals are bearish
Long-term sentiment = bearish
Long-term technicals = bearish
Trump wants a weaker dollar + FED injecting endless amounts of cash into the markets
driving stocks/ gold up, and the dollar down, losing purchasing power.
My plan is to look for shorts on the 1hr-4hr timeframe with lower timeframe confirmation.
Once price starts turning over, day-traders can join in.
Agree or disagree?
TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL)🔻 TRADE IDEA – EUR/USD SHORT (T2 TRAP REVERSAL)
📍 ENTRY ZONE: 1.1560 – 1.1580
🎯 TARGETS:
• TP1 = 1.150
• TP2 = 1.140
• TP3 = 1.130
• TP4 = 1.120
🛡️ STOP LOSS: 1.1600 (above Tier 2 trap extension)
📐 STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT:
• T1 (Macro): 🔻 Down
• T2 (Structure): 🔻 Trap Zone Active (161.8%)
• T3 (Execution): ⚠️ Rejection confirmed via M1 spike + engulf
• T4 (Micro): 🧨 Trap spike → lower high forming
📊 EXECUTION LOGIC:
• M1 rejection at 1.1580 confirmed
• Bearish engulf candle formed post-spike
• Multiple shorts laddered (1.1565 / 1.1580)
• SL held above extension zone
• Price now below both entries
🚦 TRADE STATE: ⚔️ ARMED
• Add-on only valid under 1.1560
• SL trail after 1.1550 break
• No long bias unless 1.1610 breaks with body close
#Renko #FractalCodex #EURUSD #ShortSetup #TrapReversal #Fibonacci #PriceAction
NVDA heads up at $183.72: Golden Genesis fib to mark a TOP?Chips have been flying high since the April lows.
NVDA has just hit a Golden Genesis fib at $183.72
This is a "very high gravity" fib so expect a reaction.
It is PROBABLE that we "orbit" this fib a few times.
It is POSSIBLE that we reject to form a major top.
It is PLAUSIBLE that we Break-n -Retest to continue.\
.
See "Related Publications" for previous EXACT plots ------>>>>>>>>
Such as this post at the last Golden Genesis:
Hit the BOOST and FOLLOW for more such PRECISE and TIMELY charts
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GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP【XAU/USD】GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP
Gold continues to trade within a large symmetrical triangle, tightening toward the end of its range. However, current candle structure shows clear bullish momentum, indicating the potential for a strong upside breakout.
🔍 Today’s Key Focus: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Market expectations are pointing to weaker-than-expected US economic data, which could trigger strong FOMO-buying for gold if confirmed. A poor NFP report would likely weaken the USD, supporting bullish continuation.
🔑 Strategy and Key Technical Levels:
Watch for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline to trigger Wave 3 of the bullish structure.
CP ZONE + OBS BUY ZONE triggered yesterday already yielded 160+ pips profit.
Strategy: Prefer buy-the-dip entries. SELL setups only valid on strong resistance rejection. Avoid counter-trend trades near breakout zones.
🟩 BUY ZONE:
Entry: 3276 – 3274
Stop Loss: 3270
Take Profits:
3280, 3284, 3290, 3294, 3300, 3305, 3310, 3320, 3330, 3340, 3350
🟥 SELL ZONE:
Entry: 3339 – 3341
Stop Loss: 3345
Take Profits:
3335, 3330, 3325, 3320, 3315, 3310, 3305
Pudgy Penguins (PENGU): Huge Volatile Movement IncomingPengu coin seems to be in a pretty dangerous zone; while we are hovering near the ATH and seeing some smaller pullback prices, we are yet to see the potential huge breakout take place or breakdown happen.
We have marked 2 zones to keep an eye on; if either of those zones is broken, a huge volatile movement will happen so be careful!
As long as we are above the Sell Zone, we are going to look for more MSB areas for smaller long scalps!
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