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Trend Analysis

NATURAL GAS REACHED THE KEY SUPPORT LEVEL. WHERE TO GO NEXT?NATURAL GAS REACHED THE KEY SUPPORT LEVEL. WHERE TO GO NEXT? XNGUSD has come to a crucial support level of 3.0000. Although the sentiment here stays as quite bearish (seasonally, August is not the perfect month for natgas buyers), we expect the price to rebound from the level of 3.0000 towards 3.3000 first. Afterwards, the continuation of bearish trend is expected with final target of 2.6000 before cold season beginning.
CAPITALCOM:NATURALGASShort
by ProfessorSingapore
DXYThe Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announced on July 30, 2025, that it will maintain the federal funds rate at the current target range of 4.25% to 4.50%. This keeps the rate unchanged from previous meetings, continuing a "wait-and-see" approach amid mixed economic signals. The decision was supported by a 9-2 vote. The committee highlighted that recent data suggests economic activity growth has moderated in the first half of the year, with low unemployment and somewhat elevated inflation. The FOMC indicated it would carefully assess incoming data, the evolving economic outlook, and the balance of risks before making further adjustments. There is no rate cut at this meeting, but the Fed remains attentive to risks on both sides of its dual mandate of maximizing employment and achieving inflation around 2%. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the need for additional data, particularly regarding the impact of tariffs on inflation and economic conditions, before changing policy. The economy showed stronger-than-expected second-quarter growth, but inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target, contributing to the decision to hold rates steady. The committee's stance reflects caution despite pressure from political sources to cut rates. The next FOMC meeting after this one will be in September 2025, and some economists predict a possible rate cut then depending on economic developments. Powell's press conference and the FOMC statement will be closely analyzed for any subtle shifts in policy tone or outlook. In summary: Federal funds rate maintained at 4.25% - 4.50% Economic growth moderated but remains solid Low unemployment, inflation somewhat elevated Fed is data-dependent and cautious No rate cut for now but possible in September This is consistent with the ongoing approach since late 2024 of holding rates steady to balance inflation control and support for the labor market.
ICEUS:DXYLong
by Shavyfxhub
EURUSD targeting 1.10 after breaking key supportEURUSD has finally broken below the key 1.15 level, triggering a move lower in line with earlier expectations. The drop follows the US imposing fresh tariffs on European goods, a move that traditionally strengthens the currency of the tariff-imposing nation. Supporting the dollar further, the latest ADP and GDP reports came in stronger than forecast, while the Fed remains hawkish despite pressure from President Trump to cut rates. Inflation is expected to rise as tariffs take effect, giving the Fed reason to stay firm. Technically, EURUSD may still bounce short term but the overall bias is lower. As long as it stays below 1.1653, the bearish case holds. Target zones include 1.10 or even 1.0950, offering a risk-reward ratio close to 3 to 1. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information
Short
by ThinkMarkets
Roadmap to 3982: Key Long Entries and Profit ZonesThe initial long entry zone is between 3290 and 3275 . From this range, an uptrend is expected to begin, targeting 3416 , which is our first exit point to close the initial long position. After that, we wait for the next long entry , ideally around 3333 to 3319 . A new upward movement from this range is expected to reach 3455 . At this level, we continue to hold the position while placing the stop loss at the entry level to protect profits. The next take profit target is 3650 , which may be reached by the end of 2025 or in 2026. The final target is 3982 , which is likely to be hit in 2026, as the market may not have enough strength to reach it in 2025.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by teconlab
CHFJPY: The Logic Behind the Inevitable CorrectionCHFJPY recently bounced from what seemed like a perfect support level. Many likely saw this as a buy signal. But when the price failed to make a new high, it sent a clear warning: the correction isn't over yet. This analysis dives into why that first bounce was a trap and where the next institutional levels are waiting below—the ones with the real fuel for the next major move up. The CHFJPY pair continues its long and strong global uptrend . However, the market cannot move in one direction indefinitely without pullbacks; sooner or later, corrections occur. Large capital, or "Whales," who are the most important market participants, need to refuel with liquidity to continue their advance and to shake off piggybacking competitors. Right now, CHFJPY is in a 4H structure correction . The first target for this correction was the 61.8% Fib level and a daily order block. The price did show a reversal reaction from them, but it lacked enough liquidity to create a new ATH, and the price continued its corrective movement. The next target for the correction will be the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at ~183.909, in conjunction with a 4H order block . This move will also sweep liquidity from the low of July 16th. Two Potential Long Scenarios SCENARIO 1: Entry from the 78.6% Fib Level & 4H Order Block The first long entry scenario will be triggered by a clear reversal reaction from this support confluence. ► Setup Condition: Price must reach this zone, mitigate the order block, and close decisively above the 78.6% level, showing strength. An entry will require LTF confirmation (a BOS or the beginning of LTF order flow). ► Invalidation: If the 78.6% level is broken and the price closes below it, this scenario is invalid. In this case, the 4H order block itself will act as liquidity, and an attack on the 4H structure's break level (BOS 4) will likely occur. SCENARIO 2: Entry After a Deeper Liquidity Sweep This path becomes active if the first scenario fails. ► Setup Condition: A liquidity sweep with a candle wick below the 4H BOS level (183.333), with the price then closing back above this level. The final confirmation would be the start of a new order flow on a lower timeframe. ► Invalidation: A decisive close below the 4H BOS level will invalidate all long scenarios and will signal that the correction is shifting to a higher timeframe structure. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The principles and conditions for forming the manipulation zones I show in this trade idea are detailed in my educational publication, which was chosen by TradingView for the "Editor's Picks" category and received a huge amount of positive feedback from this wonderful, advanced TV community. To better understand the logic I've used here and the general principles of price movement in most markets from the perspective of institutional capital, I highly recommend checking out this guide if you haven't already. 👇 P.S. This is not a prediction of the exact price direction. It is a description of high-probability setups that become valid only if specific conditions are met when the price reaches the marked POI. If the conditions are not met, the setups are invalid. No setup has a 100% success rate, so if you decide to use this trade idea, always use a stop-loss and proper risk management. Trade smart. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ If you found this analysis helpful, support it with a Boost! 🚀 Have a question or your own view on this idea? Share it in the comments. 💬 ► Follow me on TradingView to get real-time updates on THIS idea (entry, targets & live trade management) and not to miss my next detailed breakdown. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Long
by TheWhaleSM
4
Bull Trap Confirmed: GBPUSD's 8% Rally Faces ExhaustionLets Face it we had a great 6 months already clocking 60%+ Returns already. And after sitting ducks for almost 2 months now we finally have a trade. - Its a very self explanatory chart - Trading at resistance - Head & Shoulder pattern And the best part the right shoulder is still yet to be formed! My favourite type of entry. 1.It gives a better risk reward ratio (1:7 expected) 2.Better Entry (No long red candles) 3. And even if the pattern fails it we may still reach the neck line which is target 1. Entry Criteria - A Red candle at the entry Line Marked - Stoploss Above the Entry Candle Target 1- 1.3361 Target 2- 1.3252 Target 3- 1.3169 Keep Your Risk Reward Intact! Not An investment Advice
Short
by REUBEN_EUSTACE
USDZAR Bullish ideaAs we can see this is our USDZAR quarterly shift idea were we are anticipating price to rally to the upside toward our draw on liquidity objectives. We had a weekly volume imbalance and monthly mean threshold order block show us support after we took out major liquidity points. We also showed more support on our daily FVG and a market shift taking place after a displacement. We are anticipating a rally for USDZAR and will be looking to see how price plays out. USDZAR is an exotic pair that is part of the emerging markets and emerging markets/exotic pairs can usually lead ahead of major forex pair or lag between major forex pairs so this can also help us with our intermarket analysis of forex pairs when determining our dollar strength against other basket currencies.
Long
by That_Guy_Trades
6
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements. 🔍 1. Trend Analysis Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure) The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by: Ascending support (lower boundary) Ascending resistance (upper boundary) Market structure shows: Higher Highs (HH) Higher Lows (HL) ✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks. 📐 2. Market Structure Elements Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.) Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950 Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd) Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300 Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320 Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700 🔁 Break of Structure (BOS) The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift. 🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis 🔼 Resistance Zone The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320 Multiple rejections in this area Trendline resistance also aligns here A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction 🔽 Support Zone (Immediate) 23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range 🟩 4. Demand Zones Zone 1: 22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs Zone 2: 22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event 🧠 5. Key Observations Price is at a critical inflection zone: Testing a resistance zone At the upper trendline of an ascending channel A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow) Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220 If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested Ichimoku Cloud: Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation ⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas ✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180) Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation ❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support) Short entry valid below 23,180 with: TP1: 23,050 TP2: 22,900 A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion 🔚 Conclusion Current Price: 23,298.4 Trend: Bullish, but at resistance Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AllyPipsExpert
4
Nifty levels - Aug 01, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve. The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior. We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors. * If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located below the chart. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it. Wishing you success in your trading activities!
NSE:NIFTY
by sacxe
JSTUSDT Forming Bullish MomentumJSTUSDT has recently gained attention among traders as it moves closer to a key breakout level. The chart shows a series of higher lows, indicating underlying bullish momentum despite short-term rejections near resistance zones. The price action reflects a coiling structure with tightening price ranges, hinting at an imminent breakout. Volume has remained consistent, which is often an early sign of accumulation and growing investor interest. As JSTUSDT continues to test its resistance zone, a successful breakout could lead to a sharp upside move. The projected gain of 20% to 25%+ aligns with the measured move from recent consolidation zones. This movement is supported by market interest in JST, which is a core part of the TRON ecosystem, providing decentralized finance capabilities like stablecoin lending and borrowing. The project’s integration and use within the TRON network continue to attract both retail and institutional investors. Technically, the price is respecting key support and resistance levels, with clear zones marked out on the chart. The support zone has held strong on multiple tests, making it a potential launchpad for the next leg up. With volume backing the setup, and favorable sentiment across broader market conditions, JST is well-positioned for a breakout rally. Short-term traders and mid-term investors should keep JSTUSDT on their watchlist, especially as momentum builds near the upper resistance area. If the breakout confirms with a daily close above resistance backed by volume, it may trigger rapid price movement. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
1
GBPUSD – Daily Timeframe Analysis: Head & Shoulders PatternThe GBPUSD daily chart is currently presenting a textbook Head & Shoulders reversal pattern, a powerful bearish signal that often marks the end of an uptrend and the beginning of a new downward cycle. This setup demands attention from swing and positional traders alike, especially considering the size and clarity of the structure. 🔍 Pattern Breakdown Left Shoulder: Formed in late May, establishing a significant high before a corrective move. Head: A higher peak was made in early June, which now stands as the pattern's highest point. Right Shoulder: A lower high formed in mid-July, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Neckline: The crucial horizontal support zone around 1.3330–1.3340 was tested multiple times and has now been decisively broken, triggering a confirmed bearish setup. 📊 Technical Significance This Head & Shoulders pattern becomes especially meaningful due to: Multiple rejections at the neckline, confirming its strength as support-turned-resistance. Bearish volume expansion on the breakdown, adding weight to the selling pressure. Formation on a daily timeframe, suggesting a long-term trend reversal rather than a short-term pullback. 📌 Trading Strategy for Traders ✅ Sell Setup (Short Position) Entry: Around the neckline zone on retest (1.3320–1.3340) Stop Loss: Above the right shoulder (~1.3550) Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 1.3100 (psychological and horizontal support) 🎯 Target 2: 1.2900 (measured move from head to neckline) 🎯 Target 3: 1.2650–1.2600 (extended downside zone based on structure) ⚠️ Risk Management Tips: Don’t chase the breakdown — wait for a pullback/retest of the neckline to get a better risk/reward entry. Ensure position sizing is appropriate based on the stop loss distance. If price reclaims the neckline with strong bullish momentum and closes above 1.3350, exit short and reevaluate. 🧠 What Traders Should Keep in Mind Macro Fundamentals: Watch upcoming economic events like BoE rate decisions, US NFP, and inflation data, which can cause volatility and impact the technical scenario. Dollar Index (DXY) trend should also be monitored closely. If DXY rallies, GBPUSD breakdown can accelerate. Trendline Confirmation: Align this with any break of rising trendlines drawn from previous lows. 📌 Final Thought This pattern marks a crucial turning point in GBPUSD. The momentum has clearly shifted from buyers to sellers, and the breakdown opens up significant downside room. As a swing or position trader, this is a high-probability setup with a clear invalidation point (above the right shoulder) and a favorable risk-reward ratio. 📉 Patience and precision are key here. Let price come to you at the neckline, confirm rejection, and then take the trade with confidence. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
Short
by TradZoo
8
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility. 👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
BTC CAN HIT 125K AFTER SHORT CORRECTIONHello friends, Bitcoin has made an incredible climb, carefully looking at the chart and also based on Elliott wave theory, it is clear that Bitcoin is completing submicro wave 4 of micro wave 5, wave 4 is usually an extended wave that covers a large time period with up and down fluctuations, I think the end of submicro wave 4 will be in the 110k-112k range in the four-hour timeframe. I think Bitcoin will break the 25k range in the coming days.
Short
by vmoradian6
2
GOLD in 15minHello to all traders. 😎😎 I hope all your deals will hit their targets. 🎉🎉 After yesterday's heavy drop on the last day of July. We had a weak growth. I think the price will retest $3300 and we will have another drop to the $3280 area. Look for short positions in the $3300 area. Remember that this is an analysis and be sure to do money management when trading. What Do You Think? Which scenario do you think is happen? **Share your thoughts!** ⬇️ Don't forget that this is just an analysis to give you an idea and trade with your own strategy. And don't forget the stop loss🛑🛑🛑 ❤️❤️❤️The only friend you have in financial markets is your stop loss❤️❤️❤️ Please support me with your ✅' like'✅ and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me 🙏😊 Be Happy , Ali Jamali
OANDA:XAUUSD
by alijtg
XAUUSD Intraday Technical Analysis – Bullish Breakout SetupGold (XAUUSD) is showing signs of bullish recovery after a sharp sell-off, with current price action around 3305.86 USD hinting at a potential breakout on the 1-hour timeframe. - Technical Overview Price structure: After a steep decline, gold formed a base near the 3284–3299 zone and is now climbing back, with a potential inverse head-and-shoulders formation taking shape. EMA cluster: Price is approaching the confluence of the EMA 50, EMA 100, and EMA 200, currently acting as dynamic resistance around 3309–3323. A break above these levels may confirm bullish strength. Fibonacci retracement: The bounce appears from the 0.874 extension, indicating the end of the previous bearish leg. Volume analysis: Increasing bullish volume supports the idea of a potential breakout. - Key Levels to Watch Zone Type Price Level (USD) Remarks Immediate Resistance: 3,309 – 3,323 - Major test zone; overlaps with EMA 50/100 Major Resistance : 3,337 – 3,340 - Previous high; if broken confirms bullish continuation Support Zone: 3,299 – 3,302 - Intraday support turned demand zone Critical Support: 3,284 – 3,285 - Recent swing low; invalidates bullish view if broken - Intraday Strategy Suggestion Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout Entry: Buy on breakout and retest of 3,309–3,323 SL: Below 3,299 TP1: 3,337 TP2: 3,355 - Confirmation by strong bullish candle closing above EMA cluster and above resistance zone. Scenario 2 – Buy on Pullback Entry: Buy limit at 3,300–3,302 SL: Below 3,284 TP1: 3,323 TP2: 3,337 - Look for RSI divergence or bullish engulfing candle at support for higher conviction. - Final Note The bulls are attempting to reclaim momentum after a major correction. If gold can sustain above the 3,309 resistance and hold the 3,300 base, a short-term bullish reversal could materialize.
FX:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2
GAMUDA - Leading stock in CONSTRUCTION SECTORGAMUDA - CURRENT PRICE : RM4.97 Based on Japanese Candlestick , 30 April 2025 candle was a LONG CLOSING BOZU WHITE CANDLE . At that particular moment, it changed the trend from BEARISH to BULLISH because : 1) Price already above EMA 200 and closed on that day above EMA 50 2) Price closed into ICHIMOKU CLOUD 3) CHIKOU SPAN starts moving above CANDLESTICK 4) MACD also bullish At current moment, after two days of selling pressure the share price turns positive today and closed higher than previous day's high. This may consider as potential buy on dips for those didn't have position yet. Supported by rising EMAs, the share price may move up to test the all time high level. ENTRY PRICE : RM4.94 - RM4.98 TARGET : RM5.36 and RM5.57 SUPPORT : Below EMA 50 on closing basis
MYX:GAMUDALong
by IMRAN_96
META Double Top? Think Again. Hello, my name is The Cafe Trader. As part of our MAG 7 Series, we tackle META next on the list. This article is for: – Long-Term Investors – Long-Term Hedges – Swing Traders – Options Traders ⸻ Brief Notes: 1. Meta is going all-in on AI, integrating it across all platforms (Instagram, Facebook, WhatsApp…). 2. 97% of Meta’s revenue still comes from ads. They’ve rebounded strongly from Apple’s policy changes—thanks in large part to AI targeting. 3. Meta is thinking long-term with AR/VR. 4. International user growth has exploded. Conclusion: Bullish winds continue to blow behind META. ⸻ Long-Term Levels • Aggressive Buy = $701.59 → Marked as “Top of Demand.” This is where aggressive buyers are looking to add. • Good Value = $626–$635 → Marked “Bottom of Demand.” • STEAL = $496–$501 → Marked “Extreme Demand.” Why not buy at the ‘Heavy Demand Zone’? Great question. If bears take out those buyers above this zone, it suggests something major has shifted in sentiment around META. Even though there’s heavy demand here, I’d want to observe how sellers approach the area. You’ll likely get multiple chances to enter if buyers defend it. But if it breaks down, the best pricing lies at “Extreme Demand.” For long-term holders looking to hedge downside, I suggest a Bear Put Spread or outright puts. More on this under the Red Scenario Options. ⸻ For Traders Let me be real—this chart is tricky. The V-shaped recovery signals strong bullish interest. That insane rally took out a major seller, further fueling the bulls. That said, how we pulled away from the previous ATH (all-time high) shows weakness—low buying interest, followed by a real seller stepping in. So yeah, I’m mixed on sentiment. But I’m confident in identifying liquidity and managing exits fast. ⸻ Two Scenarios ✅ Green Scenario – Stock: The bounce off “Top of Demand” is a strong bullish signal. Bears will be under pressure around $729, though I expect one more rejection before we break through. I liked the original entry at “Top of Demand.” If entering again, I’d wait for a crack below that zone and watch the close—if we recover and close above it (especially if the dip was deep), that’s a strong signal to re-enter. Target: take partial or full profits around $729. Hold the rest for highs or a breakout. – Options: If you can grab the 715 Calls with 3–5 days out for under $4.50, this setup could easily hit 2–3R. Even better if you can get closer-to-the-money contracts for cheaper. ⸻ ❌ Red Scenario – Stock: I believe this “new seller” is a fabricated seller—likely to get squeezed. But if no new buying interest shows up to challenge that seller, we could see pressure on “Top of Demand” and a legit correction, maybe even a broader consolidation range. Next few days will reveal the strength of buyers. If no aggressive buying steps in, I like the short setup, targeting “Bottom of Demand” for TP. – Options: Long-Term Holders: Use 2–3% of your META share value on a Bear Put Spread or put options. If using puts, get 2–3 weeks of time. Go as close to the money as your risk allows. Active Traders: This could move fast if it plays out. If you can grab a 710 Put with 3–5 days for under $1.00, hold until a big red candle (3–5%) forms. If it keeps dragging down, roll into a new contract the following week. ⸻ Follow for more analysis and updates — and as always, Happy Trading. 📲 @thecafetrader
NASDAQ:META
by thecafetrader