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Trend Analysis

$SPY – FOMC Risk Window: AI Predicts Downside Drift📅 Forecast Window: July 30 – August 30, 2025 📡 Powered by VolanX Protocol v3.0 | WaverVanir DSS 🏛️ MACRO SETUP – JULY 31 FOMC: 🏦 Fed Funds Rate: 5.50% (expected hold) 🧊 Inflation: Cooling but sticky (CPI ~3.2%, PCE ~2.6%) 💼 Labor Market: Slowing but not collapsing 📈 CME FedWatch: 91% odds of no hike, but tone may be hawkish 🧠 Key Risk: Liquidity compression or prolonged pause = risk-off conditions 🧠 VOLANX PROTOCOL FORECAST (30-Day): 🔸 Current Price: $636.29 🔹 AI Target: $627.46 (−1.4%) 🟠 Signal: HOLD 🧮 Direction Accuracy: 85.5% ⚠️ Model Confidence: −2.049 (bearish drift) 📊 Volatility Forecast: Low (~1.36%) = slow bleed conditions 📉 WAVERVANIR DSS SIGNAL: 🔸 Sentiment Score: 78 🔻 15D Forecast: $630.49 (−0.8%) 🔻 30D Forecast: $616.68 (−2.9%) 📉 Bias: Mild Bearish 🛑 Signal: Hedge exposure, reduce risk, do not chase longs 🔥 OPTIONS FLOW SNAPSHOT: 🚨 $1.53M Call Sweep (645C, Aug 8) = Speculative breakout bet 📉 Multiple Put Sweeps (633–634P, Aug 4) = Institutional hedging 🟢 Mid-dated 638C/645C flows (Aug 15–22) show straddle-the-news positioning 📐 TECHNICAL ZONES TO WATCH: 📉 Support Levels: $627 = Fib + VolanX AI Target $616 = DSS Forecast + liquidity pivot 📈 Resistance Levels: $639 → Gap close $645 → Major breakout trigger (options magnet) 🕯️ Structure: Distribution bias → No clear momentum unless Fed surprises dovish 🎯 STRATEGIC OUTLOOK: Scenario Probability SPY Reaction 🟡 Hawkish Hold 65% Pullback toward $627 ⚪ Neutral Hold 25% Choppy → $639 max 🟢 Dovish Surprise 10% Spike to $645+ 📌 VolanX Protocol Guidance: "This is a defense window. AI models and options flow both suggest uncertainty, not conviction. Trim longs, hedge risk, and wait for post-FOMC confirmation." #SPY #VolanX #WaverVanir #FOMC #MacroForecast #OptionsFlow #DSS #SMC #LiquidityTraps #SmartMoney #TradingSignals #AITrading #FederalReserve #TechEarnings #RiskWindow #HawkishFed #FedHold #MacroAI
AMEX:SPY
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
3
HCL Copper 1M, TF Anticipating Growth & Key Levels ⚙️ Materials: Commodity Cycle Turnaround (Green energy metals, China recovery) Government of India Enterprise Hindustan Copper Limited (HCL) The company is undergoing a significant mine expansion, projecting a 5x increase in output. This positive development is already reflected in institutional interest, with DIIs increasing their exposure by 8.2% in Q1. At the time of this analysis, the price stood at 273. We've observed a volume climax at the bottom, suggesting a potential exhaustion of selling pressure and a base formation. The white ghost candles pattern illustrate an anticipated future price path, which I project based on current market dynamics and patterns. This projection outlines a potential trajectory we will monitor closely as price develops. A strong engulfing bullish candle formation above the 281 pivot (🔵) would signal significant bull strength and confirm a strong upward momentum. A confirmed breakout above the monthly resistance level (🔴) would be a critical bullish signal. initiating further long positions upon a successful retest of this breakout level. My primary accumulation zone for potential entries is identified in green (🟢 dotted), ranging between 241 and 212. This range represents an area where I anticipate favorable risk-reward for entry. Target & Time Horizon: While precise timing is always challenging, I estimate the projected target up to 100% ( above in the white dotted line) could be reached around Q2 2026 or before as markets perform. Disclaimer: This analysis represents a personal projection based on current market observations. Trade Safely, Always DYOR #हिन्दुस्तान कॉपर लिमिटेड #indianeconomygrowth
NSE:HINDCOPPERLong
by Jova-A
USDJPY: Breaking Out With Macro Backing 🟢 USDJPY | Breakout Opportunity Above Resistance Timeframe: 1H Bias: Bullish Type: Break and Retest 📊 Technical Setup USDJPY is currently consolidating at a key 4H resistance zone (147.75–147.90). A clean breakout and retest of this area will confirm bullish continuation. • Entry: Above 147.90 (after confirmed candle close + retest) • SL: Below 147.30 • TP: 148.90 / 149.60 • RR: ~1:2.5 • Indicators: RSI showing strong upside momentum, holding above 50 🧠 Fundamentals + Macro Confluence • USD Strength: Strong macro & delayed rate cuts support USD upside • JPY Weakness: BOJ remains dovish; risk-on sentiment weighing on JPY • COT + Conditional Score: USD score increased to 17, JPY dropped to 8 • Risk Sentiment: VIX at 14.2 = RISK ON → bearish JPY bias 🧭 Gameplan “Wait for confirmation above resistance before entering” 🔔 Set alerts around 147.90 and monitor lower timeframes for retest and bullish candle structure.
Long
by wajahatarif
GBPUSD: Selling the Retest | Clean Break, Wait for Confirmation🔻 GBPUSD | Sell the Retest of Broken Support Timeframe: 1H Bias: Bearish Type: Break and Retest 📊 Technical Setup GBPUSD has broken a key 4H support zone (~1.3460–1.3494) which now acts as a turncoat resistance. Price is currently pulling back, offering a prime opportunity to sell the retest. • Entry: 1.3460–1.3490 (after confirmation of rejection) • SL: Above 1.3508 • TP: 1.3398 • RR: ~1:2 • RSI: Bearish momentum, RSI < 50 with mild recovery—ideal for a fade trade 📉 Macro & Fundamental Confluence • GBP: Despite hawkish BOE tone, GBP is showing technical weakness and soft CFTC positioning • USD: Strong macro bias with rising conditional score and delayed Fed cuts (still supporting USD strength) • Seasonal Bias: GBPUSD marked bearish in seasonal chart • COT Data: GBP positioning turning bearish after previous net build-up 🧭 Gameplan “Wait for the retest of broken support-turned-resistance to reject before entering short. Stick to the zone.” 🔔 Set alerts around 1.3460–1.3490 and monitor for bearish engulfing or pinbar confirmation.
Short
by wajahatarif
GBPJPY is in the Down Trend From Resistance LevelHello Traders In This Chart GBPJPY HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today GBPJPY analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GBPJPY market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GBPJPY Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Short
by ForexMasters2000
Dow Jones US30 Trend Analysis and Trade Plan Breakdown📈 US30 (Dow Jones) is currently in a strong bullish trend 🔥. This is clearly visible on the 4H chart, where we’re seeing a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows 🔼🔼. 👀 I’m watching for a potential long opportunity, especially since the higher timeframes remain firmly bullish 🟢. 🎥 In the video, we break it down: A quick overview of the 4-hour structure Then dive into a potential trade setup on the 30-minute chart ⏱️🔍 🧠 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice ⚠️📚
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by fxtraderanthony
Fibonacci Retrace Strategy NAS100 Trade Idea📈 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is holding a strong bullish trend 🚀. After a weekend gap-up 🕳️➡️📈, price retraced back into the gap zone—exactly what you'd expect in a healthy trending market. 🔍 I'm applying my Fibonacci Expansion + Retrace Strategy 🔢, watching closely for a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️ within the previous price swing. That’s where I’ll be waiting for a bullish market structure break 🔓📊 to confirm my long bias. 🧠 Patience is key here—let the setup come to you. 📌 As always, this is not financial advice!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by fxtraderanthony
How I’m Trading the EURJPY Break of Structure Setup📈 EURJPY Analysis Update 🔍 I'm currently watching EURJPY closely. On the weekly timeframe, the pair is clearly in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Price has recently tapped into a previous daily bullish order block 🧱 — a key zone of interest. Now, I’m watching for a break of structure (BoS) 📉 followed by a bullish continuation, especially if price pulls back into the fair value gap (FVG) 📊 near the current low. As always, this setup — along with all key details and trade considerations — is fully broken down in the 🎥 video. ⚠️ This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
GOLD REMAINS UNDER PRESSURE AFTER U.S. INFLATION DATA📊 Market Overview: Gold is trading around $3294, down from $3311 earlier after U.S. Core PCE and Employment Cost Index came in as expected — reinforcing the Fed's hawkish stance. A stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields continue to weigh on gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key resistance: $3302 – $3305 • Nearest support: $3285 – $3275 • EMA09 (H1): Price is below the 9-period EMA → short-term trend remains bearish • Candlestick / volume / momentum: After the sharp drop, price is consolidating between $3293–$3298 with low volume. Failure to break above $3302 may trigger further downside. RSI near 45 suggests room for more selling. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to decline in the short term if it fails to reclaim $3302 and the dollar remains strong through the Asian and European sessions. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD: $3296 – $3298 🎯 TP: $3280 / $3275 ❌ SL: $3305 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: $3275 – $3278 (if reversal candle appears) 🎯 TP: $3295 ❌ SL: $3270
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
2
GOLD SETUP – BUY THE DIP OR SELL THE LIQUIDITY?Smart Money Playbook with Macroeconomic Context 📅 Date: July 31, 2025 🧠 Analyst: Clinton Scalper 🔍 Technical Breakdown (XAU/USD – H1/H4 Confluence) Price is currently reacting within a key Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone and appears to be setting up a liquidity sweep on both sides before committing to a strong directional move. 🟢 BUY PLAN Entry: 3,284 SL: 3,275 TP Targets: ▫️ TP1: 3,290 ▫️ TP2: 3,300 ▫️ TP3: 3,310 ▫️ TP4: 3,320 ▫️ TP5: 3,330 ▫️ TP6: 3,340 ▫️ TP7: 3,350 Key Support Zone: 3,276–3,284 → Bullish OB + previous demand + potential BOS if price holds 🔴 SELL PLAN Entry: 3,324 SL: 3,334 TP Targets: ▫️ TP1: 3,320 ▫️ TP2: 3,310 ▫️ TP3: 3,305 ▫️ TP4: 3,300 Sell Zone: Inside FVG + liquidity inducement structure → Sell into imbalance after price fakes above recent swing highs 🔎 Smart Money Logic Price is navigating a deep retracement inside a key FVG, targeting both sides of liquidity before trend continuation. The BUY PLAN aligns with a classic "liquidity sweep → OB rejection → internal structure break". The SELL PLAN is a short-term scalping idea inside the FVG liquidity zone, where institutional orders are often triggered before real bullish continuation. 🌍 Macroeconomic Context US GDP data recently came in slightly below forecast → weaker USD outlook. Gold demand remains supported due to: Geopolitical risks (Ukraine, Taiwan tensions) Market uncertainty over next Fed move (dovish bias increasing) Real yields declining → bullish for precious metals However, any hawkish Fed speak or sudden bond yield spikes can trigger intraday sell-offs into OB demand. 🎯 Trading Strategy Outlook Buy if price sweeps below 3,284 and holds the demand zone. Target extended upside as macro supports gold. Sell scalp at 3,324–3,330 zone if price shows rejection in FVG zone, but don’t overstay shorts. ⏳ Patience is key: Let price fill liquidity zones and follow smart money trail. 📌 Summary 🔸 Primary Bias: Bullish (Buy Plan favored due to macro + structure) 🔸 Secondary Bias: Bearish scalps from premium FVG 🔸 Watch for: USD volatility, yields, and institutional reaction in OB/FVG zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SCALPER-Clinton
1
BTC/USD – Strong Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone BTC/USD – Strong Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone 🟢 Technical Outlook: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has tapped into a well-defined Demand Zone near 115,000–116,000, showing early signs of a potential bullish reversal. This level aligns with key liquidity zones, smart money concepts, and price inefficiencies — offering high-probability long setups. 🧠 Key Technical Highlights: 🔻 Equal Lows + Sell-Side Liquidity: Market swept equal lows, grabbing liquidity below support — a common institutional setup before a bullish push. ✅ Break of Structure (BOS): A prior BOS indicates a shift from bearish to bullish structure after liquidity collection. 📉 Fair Value Gap (FVG): Price created and respected an FVG after the BOS, validating bullish intent. 📊 Imbalance Filled: A prior price inefficiency has now been filled, completing a clean move from imbalance back into structure. 📈 Target Zone: 119,000 USD Marked as the logical next stop — sitting near prior resistance and a liquidity zone. 🎓 Educational Insight: This is a textbook Smart Money Concept scenario: Sell-side liquidity sweep Demand zone tap Imbalance rebalancing Shift in market structure It shows how institutions often engineer liquidity grabs before a large directional move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mentor_Michael03
Gold Struggles at Resistance – Indicates Lower Lows AheadGold has been in a clear downtrend after facing a strong rejection around the 3,438 level (main resistance zone). Price is currently moving within a descending channel, confirming the formation of lower highs and lower lows – a classic bearish market structure. Currently, Gold is trading near 3,306, facing resistance at 3,339 (marked as a possible lower high). If price fails to break above this level and sustain, there is a strong probability of continuation towards 3,249 and even 3,216. Key Technical Highlights - Immediate Resistance: 3,339 – 3,353 - Support Levels: 3,301 (short-term), 3,249, and 3,216 A rejection near 3,339 can lead to another leg down targeting 3,249 and 3,216. However, a strong breakout above 3,339–3,353 could temporarily shift momentum towards 3,394. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SibiSh
2
Lingrid | USDCHF Potential Bullish Move Following Level BreakoutFX:USDCHF surged from a higher low and is now retesting the broken structure near 0.802, maintaining its position within the broader upward channel. A clean bounce from this zone would confirm the bullish structure, targeting the upper channel resistance near 0.815. Pullback and higher low structure support continued upside movement with short-term consolidation possible. A breakout from the consolidation box could accelerate momentum toward the resistance area. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 0.802 – 0.805 Buy trigger: Bullish confirmation above 0.805 Target: 0.815 Invalidation: Drop below 0.796 💡 Risks False breakout near 0.805 may lead to rejection Failure to form higher high would invalidate bullish sequence Momentum divergence could slow rally near resistance If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
6
$XRP Historical Golden Ratio - Weekly Timeframe The Historical Golden Ratio (HGR) is the Fibonacci-based market analysis methodology that I created in 2020 (but really discovered). It identifies critical price inflection points by applying Fibonacci in a very unique and fundamental way. It may appear complex from the outside to new and even experienced technical analysis, but under the hood is a very simple and logically built engine that only has two critical parts really. However, it reveals an underlying structure within markets that appears to be fractal-based and dictated by the Golden Ratio. For the experienced market participant, time behind the wheel will reveal that the driving force behind markets has been in plain sight all along; M = φ * H(t) * e^(k * I(t))
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by kofibonacci
1
MSFT – A correction brewing? zero day CRWD-like scenario?In July 2025, a critical vulnerability in Microsoft SharePoint (CVE-2025-53770) was exploited by threat actors globally. Although the issue was first reported during the Pwn2Own Berlin competition back in May, Microsoft delayed the patch — allowing attackers a significant head start. Over 400 servers and dozens of organizations were breached, including U.S. and European government entities. 💬 On July 18, Reddit users began discussing the flaw’s severity, comparing it to past vulnerabilities like Log4j. Interestingly, this coincided with the first significant technical deviation from the bullish trend — marking a potential beginning of downside momentum. 🔍 In the chart above: Strong bullish run until the Zero-Day disclosure Clear gap beneath current price action TARGET 1 reflects a natural technical retracement toward EMA 50–100 and the mid-term trendline TARGET 2 is conditional – it only applies if a massive event occurs, similar to what we saw with CRWD ⚠️ Key distinction: CrowdStrike: A software update bug caused a global Windows crash — no cyberattack, but massive operational impact Microsoft: A real, actively exploited security vulnerability — with long-tail risk for data leaks, ransomware, and regulatory backlash 🎯 Conclusion: If the SharePoint exploit escalates in visibility or consequences, and Microsoft fails to contain the damage — we could see extended downside pressure. TARGET 2 remains valid only under a high-severity scenario, like CRWD’s global meltdown.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by oTokyou