Chart Patterns - How to read them like a ProChart patterns are visual formations on price charts that help traders anticipate potential market movements.
These patterns fall into three main categories: bullish , bearish , and indecisive .
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1. Bullish Chart Patterns
Bullish patterns often signal that price is likely to move upward.
1.1 Bull Flag
* What it looks like: A sharp upward move followed by a small downward-sloping rectangle (the flag).
* Meaning: After a strong rally, the price consolidates briefly before continuing higher.
* Key insight: A breakout above the flag typically signals a continuation of the trend.
1.2 Pennant (Bullish)
* What it looks like: A strong upward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle.
* Meaning: Similar to the bull flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form.
* Key insight: Once price breaks above the pennant, the uptrend often resumes.
1.3 Cup & Handle
* What it looks like: A “U”-shaped curve (the cup) followed by a small downward drift (the handle).
* Meaning: This pattern suggests a period of accumulation before price breaks higher.
* Key insight: A breakout above the handle signals the beginning of a new bullish leg.
1.4 Inverse Head & Shoulders
* What it looks like: Three low points, with the middle low being the deepest.
* Meaning: This reversal pattern appears after a downtrend and signals a potential change to an uptrend.
* Key insight: A breakout above the “neckline” confirms the reversal.
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2. Indecisive Chart Patterns
These patterns show market hesitation, where neither bulls nor bears are clearly in control.
2.1 Consolidation Channel
* What it looks like: Price moves within a horizontal channel.
* Meaning: Market is moving sideways with no strong trend.
* Key insight: A breakout in either direction often leads to a significant move.
2.2 Symmetrical Triangle
* What it looks like: Two converging trend lines forming a triangle.
* Meaning: This is a neutral pattern that can break out in either direction.
* Key insight: Traders wait for a breakout before taking a position.
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3. Bearish Chart Patterns
Bearish patterns signal a high probability of downward price movement.
3.1 Bear Flag
* What it looks like: A sharp decline followed by a small upward-sloping rectangle.
* Meaning: After a strong drop, price consolidates before continuing lower.
* Key insight: A breakout below the flag suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
3.2 Pennant (Bearish)
* What it looks like: A sharp downward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle.
* Meaning: Similar to the bear flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form.
* Key insight: A breakout downward typically resumes the bearish trend.
3.3 Inverse Cup & Handle
* What it looks like: An upside-down cup with a small upward drift forming the handle.
* Meaning: Indicates weakness after an uptrend, often followed by a drop.
* Key insight: A break below the handle usually signals a strong bearish move.
3.4 Head & Shoulders
* What it looks like: Three peaks, with the middle one being the highest.
* Meaning: A classic reversal pattern that indicates a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
* Key insight: A break below the “neckline” confirms the bearish reversal.
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How to Use These Patterns
* Combine pattern recognition with support/resistance, volume, and indicators for stronger confirmation.
* Always wait for breakouts and avoid acting too early.
* Manage risk with stop-loss orders.
Community ideas
Broadcom (AVGO): Is This the Dip You've Been Waiting For?Broadcom (AVGO) has been demonstrating a remarkably strong bullish trend since early April, carving out a clear path of higher highs and higher lows. This robust upward momentum is well-defined by a series of ascending channels.
Trend and Channel Dynamics:
Initially, we observed price action moving steadily within a well-established ascending green channel. The stock showed consistent respect for the channel's boundaries, indicating controlled yet persistent buying pressure. More recently, AVGO broke out above the upper boundary of this initial channel, suggesting an acceleration in momentum. This breakout led the stock into a new, steeper ascending channel, which it has largely been respecting since late June/early July.
Current Price Action and Retracement:
AVGO is currently trading around the $294.10 mark. After reaching a peak just above $307, the stock appears to be undergoing a healthy pullback. This retracement is a natural part of any strong uptrend, allowing for consolidation and the absorption of profit-taking.
Key Support Levels to Watch:
Intermediate Support ($283 to $288): Our first crucial area of interest is the intermediate support zone between $283 and $288. This level aligns closely with prior areas of consolidation and, importantly, the lower boundary of the most recent ascending channel. A test of this area would be a typical and healthy retest of previous resistance now turned support, and a bounce here would signal continued strength within the current channel.
Key "Good Level" Support ($260 to 270) This zone is highlighted as a "good level" for a reason. It perfectly aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels from the recent major swing low to high:
The 0.5 Fibonacci level at $275.76 sits just above this zone. The crucial 0.618 Fibonacci level is at $268.28. This 'golden ratio' is frequently a strong reversal point in healthy pullbacks. The 0.71 Fibonacci level at $262.44 reinforces the strength of this broader zone. A move into this 260−270 area would represent a deeper but still very much acceptable retracement within a strong uptrend, offering potentially compelling entry or re-entry opportunities for long-term participants.
Overall Outlook:
The current pullback in AVGO should be viewed as a necessary consolidation within a powerful uptrend rather than a sign of weakness. The stock has demonstrated clear impulsive moves followed by corrective retracements throughout its journey higher, as visually reinforced by the white zigzag line.
We will be closely monitoring how AVGO interacts with the 283−288 intermediate support. A successful hold and bounce from this level would suggest a continuation of the upward trajectory. However, if this level is breached, the 260−270 zone becomes the critical area where fresh buying interest is likely to emerge, presenting a lower-risk entry point for those looking to capitalize on AVGO's impressive run.
In summary, AVGO remains firmly in a bullish posture, and these identified support levels offer tactical insights for managing positions or initiating new ones.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
MRVL Massive 15-Years Symmetrical Breakout Targets AheadMarvell Technology (MRVL) has just completed a monumental breakout from a 15-years symmetrical triangle, a rare and powerful long-term accumulation structure. This type of macro consolidation typically precedes a major directional expansion, and in this case, the breakout confirmed bullish continuation.
Currently, MRVL is forming a rising channel structure, with price bouncing cleanly from the lower boundary confirming demand and the continuation phase of the macro move.
The 1:1 projection from the symmetrical triangle gives us a clear target trajectory, with the final leg potentially extending to $229, aligning perfectly with the upper boundary of the rising channel.
In the short to mid-term, the ideal buyback opportunity rests near $67.50, should the market retest previous breakout support or the lower boundary of the channel once more. This zone offers asymmetric risk-to-reward potential for long-term investors and swing traders alike.
Key Targets
📈 $67.50 – Buyback Opportunity Zone
📈 $229 – Rising Channel Top / 1:1 Expansion Target
A breakout this large is no coincidence, it’s backed by years of price compression and institutional positioning. Now is the time to watch closely.
📩 Drop your view in the comments and share your stock requests for quick analysis.
Only stock assets will be accepted under this post.
Smoothie in One Hand, Chart in the Other: Your Vacation ManualSome traders bring a beach read. Others bring their TradingView charts.
It’s the heat of the summer and we figured, why not take it easy with a breeze of lightweight lines to pair with your mezcal espresso martini? Let’s talk about how to relax while still watching the markets.
🏄♂️ Market Never Sleeps… But You Should
Vacations are supposed to be about unplugging, but for traders, that’s just code for “I’ll switch to the app instead.”
And we don’t blame you. With all that’s going on — US-EU tariff deal, stocks at record highs, and Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD outperforming Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD in a monster July run — it’s only natural for market participants to be hooked at this time.
But watch for those signs of getting overly attached. Studies show performance suffers when you're overcooked — like your last scalp trade on Powell Day. So yes, that mojito matters. Just don’t place a leveraged position on a pool float.
📅 Timing the Market… and Your Booking
Let’s talk timing. The pros know not to schedule getaways during Nonfarm Payrolls week or FOMC decision day. (Unless your idea of relaxing is explaining yield curves to your kids on a ferry across lake Como.)
Instead, try planning your time off during historically low-volatility periods. Summer often sees volume dry up like your skin without sunscreen. Think August’s fairly dry weeks — when even the algorithms seem to be on holiday. As always, consult with the Economic Calendar to know when these are.
Bonus tip: if you’re flying and you wanna stay wired in, go for premarket or after-hours shifts. Nothing says “seasoned trader” like placing an order while the flight attendant gathers everyone’s attention for the safety demo.
🧴 SPF 50 and the S&P 500: Know Your Risk Exposure
In these scorchers outside, you wouldn’t step out without sunscreen, right? But would you let your positions roast unsupervised?
Use stop losses like you use sunblock: generously and repeatedly. Even better — scale back. Summer’s thin liquidity (and other summer trading traps ) can turn minor market moves into full-on tidal waves. No one wants to explain to their friends why they lost 40% of their portfolio during a snorkeling trip.
Adequate position sizing is your beach umbrella. It doesn’t stop the storm, but it’ll stop the burn.
🧭 Wi-Fi, but Make It Secure
Public Wi-Fi is great for scrolling memes, not executing trades. One accidental login from a beachside café in Mykonos and boom — your brokerage account may become a group project.
Trading from your vacation spot shouldn’t be a flex (no matter how much you want to look cool to the bunch of people around you). Focus on your game, trade in silence, and bask in sunlight and success.
☀️ Pack Light, Trade Lighter
The golden rule? If you’re not at your desk, don’t trade like you are.
Scale back positions, minimize leverage, and don’t try to outperform the market while someone’s kid is throwing a beach ball at your head. This is a maintenance phase, not a moonshot month.
Think: protect capital, avoid drawdowns, maybe sneak in a swing trade between sunscreen applications.
📲 Must-Have Apps for Sand-and-Screen Trading
You’re not bringing a full setup, but your phone can still do the heavy lifting. Load it with TradingView (obviously), your broker, ideally paired with TradingView, and a solid news feed . Bonus points for noise-canceling headphones that can drown out both market panic and crying toddlers.
Set up push notifications smartly — only the alerts you actually need. You don’t want your wrist buzzing every time Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA moves 0.1%.
Question for the road : What’s your best summer trade… and was it worth checking your phone at dinner to place it?
Deep Dive Into Relative Strength Index (RSI)The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr. that measures the speed and magnitude of price changes.
Introduction
In the world of trading, timing is everything — and few indicators have stood the test of time like the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Introduced by J. Welles Wilder in 1978, the RSI is a momentum oscillator that helps traders evaluate the strength and speed of price movements. Whether you're trading stocks, forex, or crypto, understanding how RSI is calculated and how to interpret its signals can give you a critical edge.
In this article, we’ll break down exactly how the RSI works, explore its formula, and dive into practical ways you can incorporate it into your trading strategies. From spotting potential reversals to identifying overbought and oversold conditions, the RSI remains a cornerstone of technical analysis — but only if you know how to use it properly.
Let’s explore the mechanics and the mindset behind this powerful indicator.
What Is RSI and How Is It Calculated?
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements over a defined period. It outputs a value between 0 and 100, which helps traders determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold.
The default RSI setting uses a 14-period lookback window and is calculated with the following steps:
🔷Calculate the average gain and loss over the last 14 periods:
Average Gain = Sum of all gains over the past 14 periods / 14
Average Loss = Sum of all losses over the past 14 periods / 14
🔷Compute the Relative Strength (RS):
RS = Average Gain / Average Loss
🔷Apply the RSI formula:
RSI=100−(100/(1+RS))
The result is a single number between 0 and 100 that indicates the asset's momentum.
How to Use RSI in Trading Strategies
⚡️Overbought and Oversold Conditions Strategy
RSI > 70 typically signals that an asset may be overbought and due for a pullback.
RSI < 30 suggests the asset might be oversold, potentially primed for a bounce.
However, these levels aren’t absolute sell or buy signals. In strong trends, RSI can stay overbought or oversold for extended periods.
📈Long Trading Strategy Example:
1. Identify the major trend, to find the long trades it shall be uptrend. On the screen below you can see 1D time frame for BITMART:BTCUSDT.P .
2. Move to lower time frame (in our case 4h) and find the moment when RSI falls below 30. This is our oversold condition and we are going to look for long trade.
3. Find the local support zone and open long trade.
4. Take profit when price reaches resistance level next to the previous swing high
5. Don’t forget to put initial stop loss when enter position. The best stop loss which will give you 3:1 risk to reward ratio.
📉Short Trading Strategy Example
1. Identify the major trend, to find the short trades it shall be downtrend. On the screen below you can see 1D time frame for BITMART:ETHUSDT.P .
2. Move to lower time frame (in our case 4h) and find the moment when RSI grows above 70. This is our overbought condition and we are going to look for short trade.
3. Find the local resistance zone and open short trade.
4. Take profit when price reaches support level next to the previous swing low
5. Don’t forget to put initial stop loss when enter position. The best stop loss which will give you 3:1 risk to reward ratio.
⚡️RSI Breakout Strategy
RSI is breaking through 60 indicating bullish momentum shift if the long-term trend is bullish can be the potential long signal
RSI is breaking down 40 indicating bearish momentum shift if the long-term trend is bearish can be the potential short signal
This strategy works great only on the trending market, don’t use it on the range bounded market to avoid whiplashes.
📈Long trading strategy example:
1. Make sure that long-term trend is bullish. Use 200 period EMA as its approximation. If price remains above it we can look for potential long trade setup.
2. If RSI crossed above the level 60 open long trade.
3. Put the initial stop-loss under the signal candle’s low.
4. Take profit when price reached 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio.
📉Short trading strategy example
1. Make sure that long-term trend is bearish. Use 200 period EMA as it’s approximation. If price remains below it we can look for potential short trade setup.
2. If RSI crossed below the level 40 open short trade.
3. Put the initial stop-loss above the signal candle’s high.
4. Take profit when price reached 3:1 risk-to-reward ratio. In our case we received very fast and profitable trade
⚡️RSI Divergence Strategy
RSI can be used also as a trend reversal indicator if we are looking for divergences. This is very reliable sign of current trend weakness and great opportunity open trade against the trend. Usually it’s not recommended, but in case if divergence can be applicable.
Bullish divergence is the situation when price created the lower low, while RSI made the lower low. Usually, it indicates that current downtrend is weakening and we can look for long trades
Bearish divergence is the situation when price created the higher high, while RSI made the lower high. Usually, it indicates that current uptrend is weakening and we can look for short trades
😎Important hint: it’s rarely covered in textbooks about technical analysis, but in our opinion it’s better to used divergences when RSI was able to cross level 50 between two lows/highs.
📈Long trading strategy example
1. Find at the chart situation, when the price made the lower low
2. At the same time RSI shall set the higher low
3. RSI shall break level 50 between these lows indicating shift to the bullish momentum
4. If price failed to set the clean breakdown open long trade on the candle which set the lower low. Put stop loss under it’s low
5. Take profit at 3:1 RR. When you master this concept, you will be able to have much more RR trades, even 10:1. This is possible because when trend finish you have the highest potential upside
📉Short trading strategy example
1. Find at the chart situation, when the price made the higher high
2. At the same time RSI shall set the lower high
3. RSI shall break level 50 between these highs indicating shift to the bearish momentum
4. If price failed to set the clean breakout open short trade on the candle which set the higher high. Put stop loss above it’s high
5. Take profit at 3:1 RR. When you master this concept, you will be able to have much more RR trades, even 10:1. This is possible because when trend finish you have the highest potential upside
Conclusion
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains one of the most powerful and flexible tools in a trader’s technical arsenal — but its real value lies in how you use it.
We’ve explored three key RSI strategies:
✅ Overbought/Oversold setups offer simple entry signals in ranging markets, where price tends to revert to the mean.
✅ Breakout strategies unlock RSI’s momentum-tracking potential, helping you ride strong directional moves with confidence.
✅ Divergence detection reveals hidden shifts in market sentiment, giving you an early warning of possible reversals or trend continuations.
Each approach has its strengths — and its risks — but together, they offer a complete framework for using RSI across different market conditions
🔑 Key Takeaways:
RSI is not just a “buy low, sell high” tool — it’s a multi-dimensional indicator that adapts to trends, momentum, and market structure.
The best RSI signals come from confluence: combining RSI with price action, support/resistance, volume, or trend filters like moving averages.
Patience and discipline are essential — RSI signals are only effective when paired with proper risk management and confirmation.
By mastering RSI beyond the basics, you'll be better equipped to make timely, confident, and informed trading decisions — whether you're entering a pullback, chasing a breakout, or spotting the early signs of reversal.
TSLA Long-Term Bold Projection (2025-2035)This is a long-term analysis of Tesla (TSLA) stock on the weekly timeframe, combining Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci extensions, and price structure (base formations) within a broad logarithmic trend channel.
Key Highlights:
🔹 Base Formations:
Base 1 (2010–2013): First consolidation before TSLA’s breakout.
Base 2 (2014–2019): A wide triangle structure leading to explosive growth.
Base 3 (2021–2024): Ongoing range suggesting wave (2) correction.
Base 4 (2026–2032): Projected future range before a possible euphoric blow-off phase.
🔹 Elliott Wave Structure:
Current wave count suggests TSLA is finishing wave (2) of a larger 5-wave structure.
Bullish impulse expected with wave (3), (4), and (5) leading to new ATHs, potentially into the $8,000–$10,000+ range.
A corrective ABC phase may follow, bringing price back toward key support (~$450 zone), aligned with Fibonacci retracements and channel support.
🔹 Fibonacci Levels:
0.618 and 2.618 extensions align with historical breakout points and future resistance zones.
Long-term projection targets include $1,226, $4,400, and potentially $8,000+, with eventual reversion to the mean.
🔹 Log Channel:
Price has respected a long-term ascending channel.
Midline and upper resistance bands guide potential future resistance zones.
MRVL | Ichimoku Breakout Setup with Fractal and MACDMarvell Technology (MRVL) just printed a clean bullish breakout setup across multiple technical systems. Here's the breakdown:
Why This Setup Matters
Ichimoku Cloud: Price has decisively cleared the cloud with bullish Tenkan-Kijun alignment. The Senkou Span A is rising, and the cloud ahead is thin — suggesting low resistance and potential acceleration.
Fractal Support: Multiple upward fractals formed near the $73–$74 support zone, validating the base before the breakout. Price broke the most recent fractal high, triggering a potential continuation.
MACD Momentum: A bullish crossover just occurred, with the histogram flipping positive — a classic momentum confirmation following consolidation.
Trade Parameters
Entry: $76.02
Stop: $70.41 (below the recent flat Kijun and cloud base)
Target: $89.93 (R1 pivot zone and psychological resistance)
Risk:Reward Ratio: 2.48
Projected Move: +18.35%
Additional Confluence
The Kumo breakout occurred alongside a flat Kijun and a narrowing cloud — a textbook edge-to-trend signal.
Price structure has formed higher lows since June.
Potential for strong institutional interest heading into earnings.
Risk Notes
Watch for rejection around $78.50 (prior resistance zone).
The upcoming cloud twist is narrow — if the Tenkan turns flat, a short-term pullback could occur before continuation.
Let me know in the comments if you're watching MRVL or trading this breakout. I’ll post an update if we get confirmation above $78 with volume.
Markets on Fire: Stock Indexes Pop, but Will Big Tech Deliver?S&P 500 and Nasdaq set records. Now it's up to big tech to justify that.
Talk about forward-looking valuation. Tech companies’ valuations are largely based on future potential rather than current performance. And that’s what we’re seeing right now getting priced in across the big indexes.
You’d think we’d be bored of record highs by now. But no — Wall Street keeps hitting refresh on its all-time-high counter. 🎵 Over and over again. 🎵
On Friday, the S&P 500 SP:SPX notched its 14th record close this year, ending at 6,388.64. The Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC followed with its 15th at 21,108.32. Even the Dow TVC:DJI — the older sibling who prefers yield over hype — climbed nearly 0.5% to 44,901.92, within a latte’s foam of its December record .
And while indexes are breaking personal bests, investors are buying ahead of some big data deliveries. Why? Because the week ahead is the Super Bowl of Earnings, and the bigger chunk of the Magnificent Seven is up next.
😎 What in the Magnificent Seven?
A highly exclusive club with just seven members, the Mag 7 has entered the earnings spotlight — and the audience isn’t going mild. Traders are pricing perfection, and the script better deliver.
Meta NASDAQ:META kicks things off Wednesday after the close with expected revenue of $44.8 billion and EPS of $5.87. Can Zuckerberg’s AI narrative get investors to forget about the metaverse?
Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT shows up at the same time, hoping to dazzle with $73.8 billion in revenue and $3.38 EPS. Copilot AI better be doing overtime.
Then on Thursday, again after lights out, Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN joins the chat with its AWS and ecommerce empire expected to pick up $162.1 billion in revenue. Right behind is Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , fighting to stop its slide into meh-land with projected revenue of $89.2 billion and $1.43 EPS. (Fast fact: AAPL is down 12% year to date — among the worst performers in the crew.)
So far, Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL already crushed its quarter , posting $96.4 billion in revenue and $2.31 EPS, plus a spicy raise in capex to $85 billion.
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA ? Not so great. The EV maker reported a 12% revenue drop and a 16% net income decline, spooking investors with a warning of “rough quarters ahead.” The stock is lower by 17% year to date.
Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , the AI trailblazer, reports in late August. Until then, it’s chilling on a $4 trillion throne, as per our Top companies rankings, watching its friends sweat it out.
💸 Can the Mag 7 Keep Carrying?
Here’s a harsh dose of reality: the entire S&P 500 is riding on the backs of these seven stocks. Analysts expect them to post 14% earnings growth, while the other 493 companies limp along at 3.4%. Talk about top-heavy things.
So what happens if even one tech titan misses the mark big time and spooks with scary guidance? A market correction? A buy-the-dip opportunity?
And let’s not forget: valuations are stretched. The S&P 500 is now trading at nearly 23x forward earnings (that’s projected profits per share). And the Nasdaq? Don’t even ask. (We’ll tell you anyway — it’s close to 30x). In all that, now’s a great time to keep a close eye on the Earnings Calendar .
📊 Not All Is Big Tech: Fed and Jobs Loom
As if this week wasn’t already packed enough, macro is back on the menu. The Federal Reserve meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and Chair Jay Powell is expected to hold rates steady at 4.5%.
But don’t rule out drama. A single hawkish word and this party could quickly get some rain on. Powell, the man who moves trillions with a simple “Good afternoon,” has a track record of putting markets in their place when they get too euphoric.
And then there’s Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report. Consensus calls for just 108,000 jobs added in July — soft, but not disastrous, and fewer than June’s 147,000 . Blame summer hiring slumps, tariff uncertainty, or the market finally digesting its own hype.
Off to you : Can the Magnificent Seven keep this market magnificent? Or are we about to learn what happens when you ride too close to the sun on AI-generated wings?
ALGO Breaks Out of Falling Wedge – 400% Target Ahead?BINANCE:ALGOUSDT has consistently followed a bullish pattern on the weekly timeframe. Each major rally has been preceded by a falling wedge breakout, as shown by the three highlighted instances on the chart.
- First breakout: ~200%+ move
- Second breakout: ~300%+ move
- Current breakout projection: Potential target up to +400%
The price has just broken above the wedge and is currently retesting the breakout zone. If history repeats itself, ALGO may be poised for a strong upside move from its current levels.
Cheers
Hexa🧘♀️
COINBASE:ALGOUSD EURONEXT:ALGO
Retro Editors' picks 2021Going further in our retro EP selection , we present to you a collection of additional scripts from 2021 that have earned a spot in our Editors' picks. These retrospective selections reflect our continued commitment to honoring outstanding contributions in our community, regardless of when they were published. To the authors of these highlighted scripts: our sincere thanks, on behalf of all TradingViewers. Congrats!
Circular Candlestick Chart - alexgrover
Dominance Pie Chart - fikira
Tape - LucF
ta (library) - TradingView
MathConstants (library) - RicardoSantos
MathStatisticsKernelFunctions (library) - RicardoSantos
Zigzag Candles - Trendoscope
Over the next three months, in the last week of each month, we will share retro Editors' picks for subsequent years:
July: retro EPs for 2022
August: retro EPs for 2023
September: retro EPs for 2024
They will be visible in the Editors' picks feed.
Previously published retro Editors' picks:
May: retro EPs for 2020
█ What are Editors' picks?
The Editors' picks showcase the best open-source script publications selected by our PineCoders team. Many of these scripts are original and only available on TradingView. These picks are not recommendations to buy or sell anything or use a specific indicator. We aim to highlight the most interesting publications to encourage learning and sharing in our community.
Any open-source script publication in the Community Scripts can be picked if it is original, provides good potential value to traders, includes a helpful description, and complies with the House Rules.
— The PineCoders team
Retro Editors' picks 2022Going further in our retro EP selection , we present to you the third collection of additional scripts that have earned a spot in our Editors' picks, now from 2022.
These retrospective selections reflect our continued commitment to honoring outstanding contributions in our community, regardless of when they were published. To the authors of these highlighted scripts: our sincere thanks, on behalf of all TradingViewers. Congrats!
Volume Profile, Pivot Anchored by DGT - dgtrd
Estimated Time At Price - KioseffTrading
Signs of the Times - LucF
Strategy (library) - TradingView
Intrabar Efficiency Ratio - TradingView
Over the next two months, in the last week of each month, we will share retro Editors' picks for subsequent years:
August: retro EPs for 2023
September: retro EPs for 2024
They will be visible in the Editors' picks feed .
Previously published retro Editors' picks:
May: retro EPs for 2020
June: retro EPs for 2021
█ What are Editors' picks ?
The Editors' picks showcase the best open-source script publications selected by our PineCoders team. Many of these scripts are original and only available on TradingView. These picks are not recommendations to buy or sell anything or use a specific indicator. We aim to highlight the most interesting publications to encourage learning and sharing in our community.
Any open-source script publication in the Community Scripts can be picked if it is original, provides good potential value to traders, includes a helpful description, and complies with the House Rules.
— The PineCoders team
XRP 4H – Golden Pocket Bounce, But Will Bulls Reclaim $3.60?XRP pulled back cleanly into the golden pocket (0.618 Fib) after a strong rally — and buyers stepped in with force. Momentum flipped quickly, and Stochastic RSI is curling up with bullish intent.
Now price is holding above short-term support, but faces a key challenge:
→ $3.60 marks the prior high
→ Reclaiming that level would confirm bullish continuation
→ A rejection here would set up a lower high and shift structure bearish
This is a make-or-break moment for XRP in the short term. The golden pocket held — now the top of the range needs to flip.
#XRP #GoldenPocket #Fibonacci #CryptoAnalysis #StochasticRSI #LowerHighRisk #PriceAction #QuantTradingPro
Inflection point"Tesla is at a binary point on the chart. The stock is wedged tightly between the red, downward-sloping resistance line (upper boundary) and the green, upward-sloping support line (lower boundary)—the classic apex of an asymmetrical triangle.
At this stage:
A breakout above the red resistance would be a clear bullish signal, potentially starting a new upward trend.
A rejection at resistance and breakdown below the green support would signal bearish momentum, with likely downside toward lower Fibonacci levels like 272.77 or 213.97.
With price at this inflection zone, the next decisive move—either up or down—will likely define Tesla’s short-to-medium-term trend. This is a textbook example of a binary technical situation: whichever direction is confirmed next, that’s likely to dictate the coming weeks' price action." (Some help from Perplexity)
Trading Divergences With Wedges in ForexTrading Divergences With Wedges in Forex
Divergence trading in forex is a powerful technique for analysing market movements, as is observing rising and falling wedges. This article explores the synergy between divergence trading and wedges in forex, offering insights into how traders can leverage these signals. From the basics to advanced strategies, learn how you could utilise this approach effectively, potentially enhancing your trading skills in the dynamic forex market.
Understanding Divergences
In forex trading, the concept of divergence plays a pivotal role in identifying potential market shifts. A divergence in forex, meaning a situation where price action and a technical indicator like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) move in opposite directions, often signals a weakening trend. This discrepancy is a valuable tool in divergence chart trading, as it may indicate a possible reversal or continuation of the current trend.
There are two primary types of divergence in forex—regular and hidden. Regular divergence occurs when the price makes higher highs or lower lows while the indicator does the opposite, often signalling a reversal. Hidden divergence, on the other hand, happens when the price makes lower highs or higher lows while the indicator shows higher highs or lower lows, typically suggesting a continuation of the current trend.
Trading Rising and Falling Wedges
Rising and falling wedges are significant patterns in forex trading, often signalling potential trend reversals. A rising wedge, formed by converging upward trendlines, often indicates a bearish reversal if it appears in an uptrend. Conversely, a falling wedge, characterised by converging downward trendlines, typically reflects a bullish reversal if it occurs in a downtrend.
Traders often look for a breakout from these patterns as a signal to enter trades. For rising wedges, a downward breakout can be seen as a sell signal, while an upward breakout from a falling wedge is often interpreted as a buy signal. When combined with divergences, this chart pattern can add confirmation and precede strong movements.
Best Practices for Trading Divergences
Trading divergence patterns in forex requires a keen eye for detail and a disciplined, holistic approach. Here are key practices for effective trading:
- Comprehensive Analysis: Before trading on divergence and wedges, be sure to analyse overall market conditions.
- Selecting the Right Indicator: Choose a forex divergence indicator that suits your trading style. Common choices include RSI, MACD, and Stochastic.
- Confirmation Is Key: It’s best to watch for additional confirmation from price action or other technical tools before entering a trade.
- Risk Management: Traders always set stop-loss orders to manage risk effectively. Divergence trading isn't foolproof; protecting your capital is crucial.
- Patience in Entry and Exit: Be patient as the divergence develops and confirm with your chosen indicators before entering or exiting a trade.
Strategy 1: RSI and Wedge Divergence
Traders focus on regular divergence patterns when the RSI is above 70 (overbought) or below 30 (oversold), combined with a rising or falling wedge pattern. The strategy hinges on identifying highs or lows within these RSI extremes. It's not crucial if the RSI remains consistently overbought or oversold, or if it fluctuates in and out of these zones.
Entry
- Traders may observe a regular divergence where both the price highs/lows and RSI readings are above 70 or below 30.
- After the formation of a lower high (in an overbought zone) or a higher low (in an oversold zone) in the RSI, traders typically watch as the RSI crosses back below 70 or above 30. This is accompanied by a breakout from a rising or falling wedge, acting as a potential signal to enter.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses might be set just beyond the high or low of the wedge.
Take Profit
- Profit targets may be established at suitable support/resistance levels.
- Another potential approach is to exit when the RSI crosses back into the opposite overbought/oversold territory.
Strategy 2: MACD and Wedge Divergence
Regarded as one of the best divergence trading strategies, MACD divergence focuses on the discrepancy between price action and the MACD histogram. The strategy is particularly potent when combined with a rising or falling wedge pattern in price.
Entry
- Traders typically observe for the MACD histogram to diverge from the price. This divergence manifests as the price reaching new highs or lows while the MACD histogram fails to do the same.
- The strategy involves waiting for the MACD signal line to cross over the MACD line in the direction of the anticipated reversal. This crossover should coincide with a breakout from the rising or falling wedge.
- After these conditions are met, traders may consider entering a trade in anticipation of a trend reversal.
Stop Loss
- Stop losses may be set beyond the high or low of the wedge, which may help traders manage risk by identifying a clear exit point if the anticipated reversal does not materialise.
Take Profit
- Profit targets might be established at nearby support or resistance levels, allowing traders to capitalise on the expected move while managing potential downside.
Strategy 3: Stochastic and Wedge Divergence
Stochastic divergence is a key technique for divergence day trading in forex, especially useful for identifying potential trend reversals. This strategy typically employs the Stochastic Oscillator with settings of 14, 3, 3.
Entry
- Traders may look for divergence scenarios where the Stochastic readings are above 80 or below 20, mirroring the RSI approach.
- This divergence is observed in conjunction with price action, forming a rising or falling wedge.
- Entry may be considered following a breakout from the wedge, which signals a potential shift in market direction.
Stop Loss
- Setting stop losses just beyond the high or low of the wedge might be an effective approach.
Take Profit
- Profit targets may be set at key support/resistance levels.
The Bottom Line
Divergence trading, coupled with the analysis of rising and falling wedges, offers a comprehensive approach to navigating the forex market. By integrating the discussed strategies with sound risk management and market analysis, traders may potentially enhance their ability to make informed decisions in the dynamic world of forex.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Flat, Quiet… and Full of Clues .Most traders only see the middle.
The acceleration. The “trend”. The movement.
But that’s just one-third of the story.
If you really want to understand the market’s rhythm,
you need to study how moves begin, evolve, and die.
Let’s break down the 3 key phases every market goes through —
again, and again, and again.
📌 1. Accumulation Phase
This is the part no one talks about.
Why? Because it’s boring. Choppy. Range-bound. Confusing.
Most traders get shaken out here.
But smart money? They’re quietly buying.
You’ll often see:
Flat price action with no clear trend
Fake breakdowns (to trigger stop-losses)
Volume starting to shift
Long wicks — both directions
This phase is a test of patience, not prediction.
And if you learn to read it well, you’ll start catching moves before they go parabolic.
🚀 2. Markup / Acceleration Phase
Here’s where everyone wakes up.
Momentum kicks in.
News gets bullish.
Breakouts start working.
Pullbacks are shallow.
And suddenly, everyone’s calling it a bull market.
But don’t be fooled.
This is not where smart money enters — this is where they ride the wave they already created.
Learn to:
Ride trends, not chase them
Add on pullbacks
Avoid FOMO entries
This is the fastest and most emotional part of the cycle — which means it rewards discipline, not excitement.
🧯 3. Distribution Phase
The party’s still on… but the hosts are quietly leaving.
Price starts to stall.
Breakouts stop working.
Volume gets heavy at the top.
And the same excitement that brought everyone in?
It’s now being used to sell into.
Distribution is sneaky.
It’s not an obvious top.
It’s a process — just like accumulation.
You’ll often see:
Lower highs forming quietly
False breakouts to trap buyers
Increasing volatility
Bullish news… with no follow-through
If you’re not paying attention, you’ll keep buying strength —
right before the rug gets pulled.
So what’s the lesson here?
Markets don’t just “go up or down.”
They prepare, move, then exhaust.
And if you learn to spot these transitions —
you’ll stop reacting late
and start positioning early.
That’s the real edge.
currently we are on the accumulation phase so in this idea I tried to show you the real story behind it and as well talk about the two others to beware of them also in the right moment I will talk about them , but for now let's focous on the current phase because we want to be part of the smart money and enjoy the next phase which is 🚀Markup / Acceleration Phase .
—
🧠 Save this post.
🔁 Revisit it when you’re confused.
📊 Because the chart isn’t random — it’s just cycling
And also remember our golden rule :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
Understanding ROI in Crypto: More Than Just a NumberHello, Traders! 👏
Return on Investment (ROI) is often the first metric new investors focus on when evaluating an asset, a strategy, or even their trading performance. It’s easy to see why. It's simple, intuitive, and widely used across both traditional finance and the cryptocurrency sector. One formula, and suddenly you have a "score" for your investment. Green is good. Red is bad. Right?
Well…Not quite.
In the crypto market, where price swings can be extreme, timelines are compressed, and risk profiles differ significantly from those in traditional markets, a simplistic ROI figure can be dangerously misleading.
A 50% ROI on a meme coin might look great, until you realize the token is illiquid, unbacked, and you're the last one holding the bag. Conversely, a 10% ROI on a blue-chip crypto asset with strong fundamentals might be significantly more meaningful in risk-adjusted terms.
In this article, we'll delve beyond the basic formula and break down what ROI really tells you, how to use it correctly, and where it falls short. Let's go!
What Is ROI and How Do You Calculate It?
The Basic Formula for Return on Investment Is: ROI = (Current Value – Initial Investment) / Initial Investment.
Let’s say you bought ETH at $2,000 and sold it at $2,600: ROI = (2,600 – 2,000) / 2,000 = 0.3 → 30%. Seems straightforward. You made 30% profit. However, crypto is rarely straightforward.
What if you held it for 2 years? Or 2 days? What if gas fees, staking rewards, or exchange commissions altered your real costs or returns? Did you include opportunity cost and the profits missed by not holding another asset? ROI as a raw percentage is just the beginning. It’s a snapshot. However, in trading, we need motion pictures, full narratives that unfold over time and within context.
Why Time Matters (And ROI Ignores It)
One of the most dangerous omissions in ROI is time.
Imagine two trades: Trade A returns 20% in 6 months. Trade B returns 20% in 6 days.
Same ROI, very different implications. Time is capital. In crypto, it’s compressed capital — markets move fast, and holding a position longer often increases exposure to systemic or market risks.
That’s why serious traders consider Annualized ROI or utilize metrics like CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) when comparing multi-asset strategies or evaluating long-term performance.
Example: Buying a Token, Earning a Yield
Let’s say you bought $1,000 worth of a DeFi token, then staked it and earned $100 in rewards over 60 days. The token value remained the same, and you unstaked and claimed your rewards.
ROI = (1,100 – 1,000) / 1,000 = 10%
Annualized ROI ≈ (1 + 0.10)^(365/60) - 1 ≈ 77%
Now that 10% looks very different when annualized. But is it sustainable? That brings us to the next point…
ROI Without Risk Analysis Is Useless
ROI is often treated like a performance badge. But without risk-adjusted context, it tells you nothing about how safe or smart the investment was. Would you rather: Gain 15% ROI on a stablecoin vault with low volatility, or Gain 30% ROI on a microcap meme token that could drop 90% tomorrow?
Traders use metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio (which measures returns versus volatility), Maximum Drawdown (the Peak-to-Trough Loss During a Trade), and Sortino Ratio (which measures returns versus downside risk). These offer a more complete picture of whether the return was worth the risk. ⚠️ High ROI isn’t impressive if your capital was at risk of total wipeout.
The Cost Side of the Equation
Beginners often ignore costs in their ROI math. But crypto isn’t free: Gas fees on Ethereum, trading commissions, slippage on low-liquidity assets, impermanent loss in LP tokens, maybe even tax obligations. Let’s say you made a 20% ROI on a trade, but you paid 3% in fees, 5% in taxes, and lost 2% in slippage. Your actual return is likely to be closer to 10% or less. Always subtract total costs from your gains before celebrating that ROI screenshot on X.
Final Thoughts: ROI Is a Tool, Not a Compass
ROI is beneficial, but not omniscient. It’s a speedometer, not a GPS. You can use it to reflect on past trades, model future ones, and communicate performance to others, but don’t treat it like gospel.
The real ROI of any strategy must also factor in time, risk, capital efficiency, emotional stability, and your long-term goals. Without those, you’re not investing. You’re gambling with better math. What do you think? 🤓
My UNH Thesis: Betting on a Healthcare Giant's Come BackThe healthcare sector has been in decline, which creates interesting opportunities. I recently talked about a few pharma plays - Eli Lilly, Novo Nordisk, and Pfizer.
Here's why I'm investing in NYSE:UNH :
UnitedHealth Group (UNH) has tanked ~50% in the past year, but the July 29 (VERY SOON) earnings could flip the script. As a historically dominant player, UNH is now undervalued amid sector weakness, offering massive upside if regulatory fears ease.
Here's my full bull case. 👇 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Why the Sell-Off? A Perfect Storm of Bad News
UNH crushed the market for 15 straight years (2009-2023) with positive returns, predictable EPS growth, and 134% gains over the last decade.
But 2024 brought chaos:
Feb: Massive cyber attack caused a one-time EPS hit (non-recurring).
Ongoing: DOJ antitrust probe, criminal fraud investigation, rising Medicare costs, and Optum losses.
April: Disastrous Q1 earnings miss + lowered guidance.
Leadership drama: CEO death.
This erased gains (down 7% over 5 years), amplified by healthcare sector outflows—the biggest since 2020. But is this overblown? Signs point to yes. The markets almost always overreact to bad news.
Bullish Signals: Insiders Betting Big
The tide is turning:
Insider Buying Boom: $32M+ in 2024 (vs. $6.6M in 2019), including new CEO/CFO—highest in 15 years.
Congress Buying: Q2 2024 saw net purchases for the first time in 5 years (vs. historical selling).
DOJ Shift: Probe refocusing on pharmacy benefits (PBM) unit, dropping acquisition/monopoly scrutiny—implies no major findings. Great news!
Sector Tailwinds: Healthcare is one of 3 S&P sectors below historical valuations. Super investors (usually tech-obsessed) are piling in, despite the sector's -10% YTD vs. S&P's +13%.
Plus, UNH's dividend yield is at a record ~3% (vs. 1.5% avg), with 16%+ historical growth and 100%+ free cash flow conversion. Rare combo of yield + growth!
Valuation: Screaming Buy?
UNH trades at PE ~11.9 (vs. 10-year avg 23)—a steal.
Analysts project 16.7% EPS CAGR through 2029.
Conservative Scenario: 16.5% EPS growth + PE to 16.5 = $780/share by 2030 (173% total return, 18% CAGR ex-dividends).
Optimistic: PE back to 23 = $1,084/share (280% return).
Models confirm:
DCF (8% FCF growth): ~$484/share (70% upside).
DDM (7% div growth): ~$607/share (112% upside).
Blended Fair Value: ~$545/share (75-90% upside from ~$300). Buy below $436 for 20% safety margin.
Still, there is fear of DOJ uncertainty—investors hate unpredictability and that's why the stock is so low.
Key Catalyst: July 29 Earnings
This could be UNH's "most important report ever." Watch for:
Regulatory/legal updates (DOJ progress).
Full-year guidance revisions.
Metrics like medical loss ratio and PBM performance.
Positive news = potential rocket 🚀. Expectations are low (20 bearish EPS revisions vs. 0 bullish), so a beat could spark volatility... upward.
Risks: Not Without Bumps
Regulatory escalation (e.g., PBM issues) could tank it further.
Short-term headwinds: Medicare costs, sector selling.
Mitigants: DOJ de-risking, strong FCF buffer, insider confidence. Enter cautiously—size positions small.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
I also did a little technical analysis:
UNH price is at a resistance level
My EVaR indicator tells me we are in a low-risk area
RSI says the stock is oversold
I added the different price targets for better visualization
THE PLAN
My plan:
Later today, I will allocate 1% to 1.5% of my portfolio to the stock. If it drops, I will continue to DCA. The stock is already really beaten down, and I think a company this large cannot drop much more.
Quick note: I'm just sharing my journey - not financial advice! 😊
How to navigate the Amazonian Squeeze. AMZNHello I am the Cafe Trader.
This week has been a deep dive on the MAG 7 and today AMZN is up next.
We are going to look at long term and short term opportunities.
We are near the All Time Highs, with one final Seller to get through before making the break.
Today we tested to see if those sellers are there still (and indeed they are). Today was a key reaction, I'm going to give you the keys to profit.
Long Term
It's important to consider how aggressive you would like to be with pricing. This list of prices should align with your conviction with Amazon.
Aggressive: $226 is where the current aggressive players are sitting. They are going to look to buy again at this level, although they should be the weakest of the buyers.
Fair sentiment: 203-210 is where stronger buyers are sitting. I think this price is still realistic to get to.
Conservative: 161 - 171 Is a great price, buyers have shown to buy this with extreme demand. Amazon at this price is a fantastic purchase, if you are holding from here or lower, congradulations.
Short term
Testing the supply and rejecting tells us that sellers are still really active in this zone. We will see how tomorrow closes, if we do not close in the supply zone, there is a good chance that net week will have some bearish winds and a great chance of testing the light demand at 226. this brings us to the two trading ideas.
1 Green line
I think we will test those sellers by next week. and i think its very possible that we break trend and touch the light demand line. If its a slow drag down to the light demand, Shorts will have to cover as soon as any real demand shows up (Light Demand Line).
Entry 226.50
Stop 221.50
Partial TP 233, or you can hold for a test of the highs (242 would suffice)
2 Red Line
If we get a Hot reaction from the supply zone, or if we close below 233.50 tomorrow, Look for a retest and short entry off the supply zone. If the reaction starts to be slow (more than 5 days of red bars) it's likely this will turn into the green scenario.
Entry 233.5
Stop 237
Partial TP 226.5
Full TP 218
That's all for AMZN Follow for more!
Also comment if you would like me to chart a stock you are considering.
@thecafetrader
GBPUSD Traders Beware: A Major Drop Could Be ComingThe classic rule says what doesn’t go up must come down. After a failed breakout at 1.3439, GBPUSD is struggling. With longs sitting on big gains from January’s low, a drop toward 1.3361 or even lower looks likely. Watch this key level now.
This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
TradingView Show: Trade Ideas You Can't Miss with TradeStationJoin us for a timely TradingView live stream with David Russell, Head of Global Market Strategy at TradeStation, as we break down the latest rebound in the markets and what it could mean for traders and investors. In this session, we’ll dive into:
- New sectors to watch, like homebuilders
- Prior insights on companies like Coinbase and Micron
- What trades are setting up, why, and educational concepts to plan for them
- Upcoming economic news and more to have on your calendar
- Key charts, indicators, and technical patterns to watch for signs of sustained momentum
- Essential strategies for navigating market recoveries, corrections, and upcoming Federal Reserve decisions
Bonus: Discover our latest broker integration update with TradeStation—now supporting equity options trading directly on TradingView. This upgrade brings advanced tools like the strategy builder, options chain sheet, and volatility analysis to your fingertips, making it easier to trade through uncertain market conditions.
This session is sponsored by TradeStation, whose vision is to provide the ultimate online trading platform for self-directed traders and investors across equities, equity index options, futures, and futures options markets. Equities, equity options, and commodity futures services are offered by TradeStation Securities Inc., member NYSE, FINRA, CME, and SIPC.
EV Stocks Are Back on Track: Who’s Got the Juice in 2025?This year is big for the EV sector so we figured let’s do a piece on it and bring you up to speed on who’s making moves and getting traction — both in the charts and on the road.
What we’ve got here is a lean, mean lineup of real contenders. Let’s go for a ride.
🚗 Tesla: Still King of the Road (for Now)
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA isn’t just an EV company. It’s a tech firm, an AI shop, a robotaxi rollout machine, and an Elon-flavored media event every quarter. Even so, when it comes to margins, global volume, and name recognition, Tesla is still the benchmark everyone else is chasing.
In 2025, Tesla’s bounceback is fueled not just by EV hype but by its push into autonomous driving and different plays into the AI space.
The stock is down about 13% year-to-date. But investors love a narrative turnaround. Apparently, the earnings update didn't help the situation as shares slipped roughly 5%. Well, there's always another quarter — make sure to keep an eye on the Earnings Calendar .
🐉 BYD: The Dragon in the Fast Lane
BYD 1211 is calmly racking up sales, expanding across continents, and stealing global market share without breaking a sweat. The Chinese behemoth is outselling Tesla globally and doing it with less drama and more charge… literally .
Vertical integration is BYD’s secret weapon — they make their own batteries, chips, and even semiconductors. The West might not be in love with BYD’s designs, but fleet operators and emerging-market governments are. And that’s where the real growth is.
⛰️ Rivian: Built for Trails, Not Earnings (Yet)
Rivian NASDAQ:RIVN still feels like the Patagonia of EV makers — rugged, outdoorsy, aspirational. Its R1T pickup truck has cult status, but the company had to tone down its ambitions and revised its guidance for 2025 deliveries to between 40,000 and 46,000. Early 2025 projections floated around 50,000 .
The good news? Rivian is improving on cost control, production pace, and market fit. The bad news? It’s still burning cash faster than it builds trucks. But for investors betting on a post-rate-cut growth stock rally, Rivian may be the comeback kid to watch. It just needs a few solid quarters.
🛋️ Lucid: Luxury Dreams, Reality Checks
Lucid NASDAQ:LCID , the one that’ll either go under or make it big. The luxury carmaker, worth about $8 billion, came into the EV game promising to out-Tesla Tesla — with longer range, more appeal, and a price tag to match.
But here’s the rub: rich people aren’t lining up for boutique sedans, especially when Mercedes and BMW now offer their own electric gliders with badge power and a dealer network.
Lucid’s challenge in 2025 is existential. The cars are sleek, the tech is strong, but the cash runway is shrinking and demand isn’t scaling like the pitch deck promised.
Unless it nails a strategic partnership (Saudi backing only goes so far), Lucid could end up as a cautionary tale — a beautifully engineered one, but a cautionary tale nonetheless. Thankfully, Uber NYSE:UBER showed up to the rescue ?
💪 NIO : Battling to Stay in the Race
Remember when NIO NYSE:NIO was dubbed the “Tesla of China”? Fast forward, and it’s still swinging — but now the narrative is more about survival than supremacy. NIO's battery-swap stations remain a unique selling point, but delivery volumes and profitability are still trailing.
The company’s leaning into smart-tech partnerships and next-gen vehicle platforms. The stock, meanwhile, needs more than just optimism to get moving again — it’s virtually flat on the year.
✈️ XPeng: Flying Cars, Literally
XPeng’s NYSE:XPEV claim to fame used to be its semi-autonomous driving suite. Now? It's working on literal flying vehicles with its Land Aircraft Carrier. Innovation isn’t the problem — it's execution and scale.
XPeng is beloved by futurists and punished by spreadsheets. It’s still getting government love, but without a clear margin path, the stock might stay grounded.
🏁 Li Auto: The Surprise Front-Runner
Li Auto NASDAQ:LI doesn’t get the headlines, but it’s quietly killing it with its range-extended EVs — hybrids that let you plug in or gas up. A smart move in a country still building out its charging infrastructure.
Li is delivering big numbers, posting improving margins, and seems laser-focused on practicality over hype. Of all the Chinese EV stocks, this one might be the most mature.
🧠 Nvidia: The Brains of the Operation
Okay, not an EV stock per se, but Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA deserves a spot on any EV watchlist. Its AI chips are running the show inside Tesla’s Full Self-Driving computers, powering sensor fusion in dozens of autonomous pilot programs, and quietly taking over the brains of modern mobility.
As self-driving becomes less sci-fi and more of a supply-chain item, Nvidia's value-add grows with every mile driven by data-hungry EVs.
🔋 ChargePoint & EVgo: Picks and Shovels
If you can’t sell the cars, sell the cables.
EV charging companies were once seen as the “safe bet” on electrification. Now they’re just seen as massively underperforming.
ChargePoint BOATS:CHPT : Still the leader in US charging stations but struggling with profitability and adoption pacing. Stock’s down bad from its peak in 2021 (like, 98% bad).
EVgo NASDAQ:EVGO : Focused on fast-charging and partnerships (hello, GM), but scale and margin pressures remain.
Both stocks are beaten down hard. But with billions in infrastructure funding still flowing, who knows, maybe there’s potential for a second act.
👉 Off to you : are you plugged into any of these EV plays? Share your EV investment picks in the comments!
Calling the Unthinkable: Why a Bitcoin Drop May Be ComingCOINBASE:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD OKX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
Predicting a drop in Bitcoin's price during a strong uptrend is extremely difficult and calling it takes real courage. It puts my credibility at risk, but based on everything I see, I believe BTC has reached dangerously high levels.
From a psychological perspective , investor behavior is sending warning signs. There’s a rush of people buying in out of FOMO, amplified by heavy promotion on social media and mainstream claiming BTC is the safest investment out there. Many who missed earlier buying opportunities now regret betting on altcoins instead, and they see this as a last chance to profit. Even if BTC drops below their entry points, most of these “late buyers” won’t sell. They’ll convince themselves it’s just another minor correction like what happened in the previous 2 years, and that they’re in it for the long term.
From a technical analysis point, the signs are just as concerning. A “ shooting star ” candle has formed on the weekly chart. This candle is often seen at market tops. The MACD histogram on the same timeframe is showing a potential divergence, suggesting weakening momentum. The Fear and Greed Index is approaching 70, indicating strong market greed. On top of that, traders are opening high-leverage long positions in anticipation of another big bullish candle.
These technical and psychological signals combined paint a risky picture. If this kind of setup is confirmed , it will lead to sharp corrections.
A Sleeping Giant in the Energy Sector?While everyone’s chasing the next hot AI stock, a quiet opportunity might be taking shape in the energy sector; and it could be a big one.
🔋 As AI data centers explode in size and number, the demand on our power grid is rising fast. Nuclear is still years away, and renewables are struggling to scale in time. That leaves oil and gas as the most reliable players; and one U.S. company may be perfectly positioned to ride that wave.
📊 Technical Analysis
NASDAQ:PROP PROP has been in a steady downtrend, moving within a falling wedge pattern (marked in green). Right now, it’s retesting the bottom of that wedge, typically where things get oversold.
Even more interesting, PROP bounced off a major monthly demand zone last week, a signal that buyers may be stepping in.
In the short term, if the blue demand zone holds, we could see a push toward the $7 mark, which lines up with the top of the wedge.
But to really confirm a medium-term reversal, we’ll need a clean break above the $8.3 resistance. If that happens, the door could open to a rally toward $15, a key level from early 2024.
🛢️ Why PROP? A Hidden Play With Room to Run
Prairie Operating Co. (NASDAQ: PROP) isn’t your typical small-cap oil stock. They own 65,000 acres in Colorado’s DJ Basin and use modern drilling tech to stay lean and efficient. That means they can still make money even when oil prices dip.
As energy demand continues to climb, PROP could be sitting in the sweet spot , especially with the world so focused on tech stocks. But behind every AI boom is a growing energy need, and companies like PROP are the ones powering it.
One well-known Wall Street firm recently gave PROP a Buy rating with a $21.75 price target; that’s a potential 281% upside from where it stands today. And that’s not even counting the potential boost from energy-friendly policies under the current administration.
📌 One to Watch in 2025
PROP might just be one of the most under-the-radar energy plays going into the new year.
The biggest moves often start quietly; and this one has all the ingredients to surprise.
➡️ As always, speak with your financial advisor and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All strategies are good, if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr