Trend Lines
USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers!
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Key Points
- The Bank of Japan has decided to maintain its policy of reducing government bond purchases beyond April next year. It is expected to officially announce the extension of its bond-buying plan during the Monetary Policy Meeting scheduled for June 16–17.
- The United States and China concluded the first day of trade talks in London. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Besant described the talks as “positive,” while Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said they were “productive.”
- According to the New York Federal Reserve, 1-year inflation expectations fell by 0.4% to 3.2% from the previous month. Expectations for 3-year and 5-year inflation also showed signs of easing, further fueling hopes of interest rate cuts.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 11: U.S. May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ June 12: U.K. April GDP, U.S. May Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ June 13: Germany May Consumer Price Index (CPI)
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The 142 level has consistently provided strong support, and the pair has since climbed to the upper range around 144. However, resistance near the 146 level remains, making it difficult to confirm a full bullish trend. While we may anticipate a potential rise toward the 149 level, we’ll be keeping a close watch on how the price behaves around 146.
The golden direction after non-agricultural
💡Strategy Review
Gold fell sharply from a high on Friday. We insisted on high shorts. Although gold seemed to rebound strongly, it quickly fell back under pressure at 3375. Gold continued to short at 3370 and fell before the non-farm payrolls. Gold was bearish on the US non-farm payrolls. Gold continued to short at 3365 and finally fell sharply. Gold continued its two consecutive wins at high altitudes on Friday.
Although gold has not reached our second target, it has fallen perfectly to our first target, and there is also room for profit of $70.
So what will be the trend of gold in the future?
At present, the short trend of gold is still strong. If it continues to fall below 3290 after opening, there will be a lot of room for further decline.
📊Technical aspects
The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so gold still has downward momentum. After the gold 1-hour high box oscillation, gold finally fell below the box, indicating that the gold short position is better.
Then the bottom of the gold box has now formed resistance, and the short-term 3340 line of gold has formed resistance to gold. If gold is under pressure at 3340 at the beginning of next week, then gold can continue to be short.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3330-3340
The trend after the surge in crude oil prices
💡Message Strategy
Core economic data and event-driven
The US employment report boosted expectations of rate cuts. According to the US Department of Labor, the unemployment rate stabilized at 4.2% in May, and 139,000 new non-farm jobs were added (the previous value was revised down). Phil Flynn, senior analyst at Price Futures Group, pointed out: "The employment data is 'just right', neither too hot nor too cold, but it strengthens the possibility of the Fed's rate cut." The expectation of a rate cut is seen as a potential positive for the crude oil market, as loose policies may stimulate economic recovery and boost oil demand.
OPEC+ moderately increased production to balance market expectations. OPEC+ reached an agreement on Saturday to increase production by 411,000 barrels per day in July, which is lower than Saudi Arabia's proposal, but in line with market expectations. HSBC analysts believe: "Summer oil demand will peak in July-August, matching the increase in OPEC+ supply, and the market supply and demand will tend to balance in the second and third quarters." The decision did not suppress oil prices, but instead eased concerns about oversupply.
📊Technical aspects
WTI crude oil: closed at $64.73 per barrel on Friday, up 2.21% on the day and 6.55% this week. It is about to reach our strategic target of 65.00. When everyone is looking at the decline of crude oil, our strategy is firmly on the rise, and the result is consistent with our direction.
From a technical perspective, the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) shows that the price is running in a short-term rising channel, with support at around $63, while the upper resistance is concentrated in the $64.50 area. In recent trading days, WTI has received support at the 60-day moving average and successfully broke through the 20-day moving average, indicating that the short-term bullish momentum is gradually increasing.
At the same time, the MACD indicator shows a golden cross signal, and the momentum column continues to expand, indicating that the price is expected to further test the $65 mark. If the resistance level can be effectively broken, the next target may be $67.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 63.50-64.00
Solana Wave Analysis – 9 June 2025
Solana: ⬆️ Buy
- Solana reversed from the support zone
- Likely to rise to the resistance level 163.80
Solana cryptocurrency recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 141.65 (which has been reversing the price from April), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 50% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse (1) from April.
The upward reversal from this support zone created the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern, the Piercing Line.
Given the improved sentiment across the cryptocurrency markets, Solana can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 163.80 (top of the previous wave B).
Bidding XLM Under 30c – Easy 2x From here!
Bidding this area under 30c—starting to like how things are shaping up.
Easy setup, especially with BTC aiming for 110k again.
If momentum fades and the market pulls back, I’ll cut and look to re-enter sub 20c on a key retest.
CRYPTOCAP:XLM gets really interesting above 65c—if it breaks that, expect strong follow-through. BINANCE:XLMUSDT
XAU could go up to 3820 by mid of July 2025XAU has been following a parallel channel since January 2025. If we assume it will reach the channel's highest resistance by July 15, 2025, its value will be around 3820.
I have drawn Fibonacci channels, which can indicate possible future support and resistance levels.
The Fib 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 levels are very important resistances.
How to invest in Gold?
Whenever you find the XAU price at its support level, take a buy position. Whenever you find the price at a resistance level, sell your positions.
Note: I never suggest a short recommendation for Gold, as it is always bullish—or maybe I'm just biased toward Gold.
XAU could go up to 3820 by mid of July 2025XAU has been following a parallel channel since January 2025. If we assume it will reach the channel's highest resistance by July 15, 2025, its value will be around 3820.
I have drawn Fibonacci channels, which can indicate possible future support and resistance levels.
The Fib 0.5, 0.618, and 0.786 levels are very important resistances.
How to invest in Gold?
Whenever you find the XAU price at its support level, take a buy position. Whenever you find the price at a resistance level, sell your positions.
Note: I never suggest a short recommendation for Gold, as it is always bullish—or maybe I'm just biased toward Gold.
Buying opportunity for COINSince the news on May 13, COIN has slumped with the rest of the crypto market. It appears to be consolidating and has shown promise since the large drop last Thursday. With Bitcoin appearing to approach the highs once again after retracing to the 0.3 level, there is a good chance COIN may reach the 350 level or beyond in the near future.
Short Gold,gold is expected to test 3300 or even 3280 againAlthough gold is currently above 3310, it does not mean that gold has stopped falling and stabilized. As long as gold remains below 3330-3340, gold is still in a weak state, so I think the decline of gold may not be over yet. Judging from the current trend, I think gold will have to retest 3300 at least again, or even around 3280 before it will have a chance to stop falling and rebound.
So for the grasp of short-term trading opportunities, I think you can consider shorting gold with 3330-3340 as resistance.
McDonald (MCD): Near Critical Trendline Support Overview: McDonald's (MCD) on the daily chart has been consolidating within a broad range after a significant uptrend. The stock is currently trading at a pivotal point, testing a long-standing ascending trendline that has supported its bullish movement. Bearish pressure is evident from repeated rejections at a key resistance zone, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment.
Context & Price History:
Ascending Trend: From approximately July 2024, MCD embarked on a strong uptrend, consistently finding support along the depicted blue ascending trendline. This indicates underlying bullish momentum and buyers stepping in on dips.
Major Resistance Zone (317 - 323): Since late 2024, MCD has repeatedly faced strong selling pressure in the 317 to 323 range, labeled as "320". This area has acted as a formidable ceiling, preventing further upward progression. We can observe what appears to be a multi-peak formation (potentially a triple top) at this resistance, a classic bearish reversal pattern.
Consolidation: Following the initial uptrend, the price action has entered a consolidation phase, oscillating between the "320" resistance and the rising trendline support.
Key Levels & Patterns:
Ascending Trendline (Blue Line): This is the primary support for the current market structure. A break below this line would signal a significant shift in the trend.
Major Resistance Zone (Red Shaded Area): Strong supply zone between $317 and $323. Multiple rejections here indicate significant selling interest.
Immediate Support Zone (Green Shaded Area): Around $290, this level represents the next key horizontal support below the trendline.
Key Level Support (Deep Green Shaded Area): A broader support range between $270 and $280. This area could provide strong demand if the stock experiences a deeper correction.
Minor Resistance/Bounce Point (Labelled 310): While not a strong horizontal support currently, the "310" label aligns with potential prior horizontal action and is shown as a retest point in the projected bearish scenario.
Current Situation: MCD is currently trading around $303.21. It has seen a sharp decline from the 317-323 resistance zone and is now directly approaching the confluence of the ascending trendline and recent lows. The highlighted blue circle indicates this critical area.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Breakdown (Primary Indication on Chart):
Breakdown Confirmation: If MCD fails to hold the ascending trendline support and closes convincingly below it (e.g., below $300), especially with increased volume, it would confirm a bearish breakdown.
First Target: The immediate target for bears would be the $290 horizontal support zone.
Second Target: If 290 fails to hold, the price could then move lower towards 270 to $280.
Bullish Reversal / Trendline Hold:
Reversal Confirmation: If MCD finds strong buying pressure at the current trendline support, we could see a bullish reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., a hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star).
Upside Potential: A successful bounce could lead to a retest of prior minor resistance around the
310 and then towards 320
Trend Continuation: A decisive break above the $323 resistance would invalidate the current bearish pressure and signal a continuation of the broader uptrend.
Conclusion:
MCD is at a crucial juncture. The repeated rejections at the 317-323 resistance zone and the current approach to the ascending trendline indicate a potential for a significant directional move. Traders should closely monitor price action around the trendline. A break below opens the door for a move to 290 and potentially 270-280, while a strong bounce could see a retest of the higher resistance levels.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
SPX 500 to 17,000 in 7 years.This chart represents the S&P 500, showcasing its performance over time, including quarterly data.
It captures everything.
Every recession.
Every war.
Every president.
Every variation of the monetary base as superpowers rise and fall.
Whenever I hear a bear in the stock market declare that THE TOP has been reached, and we are about to CRASH -50% to -90%
I find myself drawn to these comprehensive long term charts.
If the bulls are genuinely in control and we have merely undergone an intermediate-term correction, then the long-term bull market that commenced at the 2009 low remains robust, with many more years ahead.
The chart also illustrates that the three significant bull market phases typically last around 18-20 years following a major breakout.
And they yield a comparable number of X's.
It's all quite fascinating, if you ask me.
See you in the future!
Trent Ltd: Breakout or Fakeout?Trent Ltd: Breakout or Fakeout? Someone’s positioning — the question is which side.
Trent Ltd remains one of the more resilient players in India’s retail landscape. While broader consumer sentiment remains mixed, the company continues expanding its footprint, especially through its Westside stores and fashion vertical. Recent earnings have been stable, and institutional interest appears to be creeping back in — confirmed by a steady rise in volume.
Technically, we’re at a decision point. Price is testing a major descending trendline drawn from the all-time highs. So far, no breakout — but signs of accumulation are building. All major EMAs (50/100/200) are below the price, putting buyers firmly in control. Volume is rising on bullish candles, with no signs of distribution. RSI is holding above 50, climbing steadily, and showing a healthy impulse without overheating — plenty of room left for upside.
The key setup: wait for a confirmed breakout above the trendline, then a retest, and only after that consider entering. Targets, based on Fibonacci levels, line up cleanly:
tp1: 6337.60 (0.618)
tp2: 7484.65 (1.0)
tp3: 8301.40 (1.272)
Until then — this is a watching game, not a trading one. Momentum is building, the structure is clean — but confirmation is king.
AUD/USD Bulls Capped by Critical Resistance Aussie is trading into a critical resistance range into the start of the week at 6511/50- a region defined by the July close low and the 61.8% retracement of the 2024 decline. Note that the 75% parallel converges on this threshold this week – looking for possible inflection here with the near-term rally vulnerable while below.
A topside breach exposes a potential run towards the upper parallel / September low at 66222 and the 2019 low at 6670. Initial support rests with 52-week moving average and is backed by the February high-week close (HWC) at 6357. A break / close below the low-week close (LWC) / 38.2% retracement of the yearly range at 6290-6300 is needed to mark resumption of the broader downtrend.
-MB
BANKNIFTY - 1 Day Time Frame Analysis📈 NSE:BANKNIFTY - 1 Day Time Frame Analysis
This chart shows a classic Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the daily timeframe of BankNifty. This is a bullish reversal pattern, generally indicating a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Left Shoulder: Formed around April 23rd–25th, marked by a short-term low.
Head: The lowest point in the pattern, formed around May 8th.
Right Shoulder: Formed around May 28th, indicating buyers are stepping in earlier, showing strength.
The neckline resistance lies near 55,913, which the price is currently testing. A decisive breakout above this level, with good volume, could signal a further upward move towards the higher resistance zones like 56,526, 56,907, and possibly 57,292.
Key Support Zones:
55,167
54,791
54,479
Traders may look for a daily candle close above 55,913 for confirmation. Risk management is crucial as a failed breakout may lead to a retest of support levels.
TRADE PLAN:
🔹 Entry:
On a daily candle close above 55,913 (neckline resistance).
Preferably with strong volume confirmation.
🔹 Targets (Upside Levels):
Target 1: 56,526
Target 2: 56,907
Target 3: 57,292
🔹 Stop Loss:
Below 55,167 (recent support and right shoulder low)
Conservative traders can use a tighter stop below 55,400 (previous candle low).
🔹 Risk Management:
Use appropriate position sizing (risk only 1-2% of capital).
Wait for candle close above breakout level, not just intraday movement.
🔹 Invalidation:
If price fails to hold above neckline and breaks below 55,167, pattern becomes invalid.
This setup favors bulls as long as price sustains above the neckline.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
XAUUSD Long Ideaall the necessary analysis has been shown in the chart . please do proper money and risk management before taking trades .
Please take profits on the way the market price action can be change before reaching full tp so please take profits and be and be out if you feel like market changing its direction.
Please follow and subscribe to support me . Thank you !
Gold rebound fails to change the trend and is still bearish?📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
At the hourly level: the Bollinger Band opening is narrowing, the MACD technical indicator is running in a golden cross, and the RSI fluctuates frequently in the short term. There is a certain potential for short-term promotion. If the gold price stabilizes above 3315, it may trigger a rebound and touch 3330-3340 again. If the gold price continues to be below 3300 and the short position is strengthened, it may fall to a new low. Therefore, if it rebounds again to the 3330-3340 resistance line, short positions can still be considered.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3315-3318
TP 3330-3335
SELL 3330-3340
TP 3300-3290-3280
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Evening gold trend analysis and operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. The streets of Los Angeles are full of "gunpowder smell"! Immigration protests escalate, and Trump sends troops to suppress them
2. Geopolitical situation
3. Federal Reserve political expectations
📈 Market analysis:
Gold rebounded as expected and touched the 3330 line. In the short term we need to pay attention to the 3335 line. On the one hand, it is the top and bottom, and on the other hand, the annual average line is also the pressure point of the upper track of the downward channel. Once it is suppressed below 3335, it will continue to fluctuate downward. If it unexpectedly breaks through 3335 or even 3340, then 3293 is likely to become the short-term bottom.
At present, the rise has slowed down after rising to 3330, and the technical side shows a top divergence signal, so in the short term, we still maintain the idea of shorting at a high level of fluctuation.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3335-3345-3355
TP 3310-3300
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-06-03 22:30 UTC✅ Bullish Reversal Confirmed
Breakout from a descending wedge with a strong volume surge (3x avg)
EMA(20) crossover above EMA(50) – early uptrend signal
RSI(14) at 58.7 – shows healthy bullish momentum
MACD turning positive with a fresh signal line crossover
OBV rising in line with price – confirms genuine accumulation
🔍 Smart Money Activity
Whale bid zone spotted between $105,500–$105,600 (visible in DOM)
Breakout aligns with London session high, adding sessional strength
🧠 Technical Confluence
This move combines structure, momentum, and volume — classic signs of a trend reversal and early entry opportunity. Chart markups include the wedge breakout zone, whale bids, EMA cross, and Fibonacci levels for context.
📈 Watching for potential continuation if current momentum sustains. Clean setup backed by technicals and smart money presence.
Gold: Market Analysis and Trading StrategiesSo far, although the price has risen, it has not yet broken through the upper resistance, and the lower support remains intact. Overall, the market is still in a narrow range of consolidation. From a technical perspective, the 2-hour chart shows a bullish bias, indicating a potential for continued upward movement in the short term.
However, if during this consolidation phase the price breaks below the key support at 3309, it is likely to further test the support zone around 3296–3288.
At this stage, traders can consider entering light long positions and gradually add to them on dips to reduce the average entry price. For more conservative traders, it's advisable to wait until a clear breakout occurs before taking action.
Watch the 3338–3352 area for potential short opportunities as it's a key resistance zone, and the 3303–3288 range for long entries as it offers strong support. Trading near these levels generally carries lower risk and a higher probability of profit.