Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Japanese YenThe price test at 144.27 occurred when the RSI indicator had already moved significantly above the zero line, but the strong U.S. labor market data offered a high probability of the dollar strengthening against the yen, which I decided to take advantage of. As a result, the pair rose toward the target level of 145.06.
The confident growth in U.S. non-farm employment recorded in May exceeded experts' expectations' causing noticeable fluctuations in currency, markets. The publications of data showing the creation of 139,7000 new jobs versus the forecasted 127,000 instantly strengthened the U.S. dollar, putting pressure on the Japanese yen. The yen's reaction to the news was immediate: the currency weakened significantly against the dollar. Investors perceived the data as a signal of the strength of the U.S. economy and the likely continuation of Federal Reserve's tight monetary policy. Furthermore, the stable unemployment rate in the U.S. recorded at 4.2%, also reinforced the market's optimistic sentiment.
Today's data shows that Japan's GDP for the first quarter was revised upward, which helped the yen recover slightly from Friday's losses against the U.S. dollar. However, despite the positive revision, Japan's economy still faces serious challenges. Weak domestic demand and an aging population continue to pressure growth, while geopolitical uncertainty poses additional obstacles. The Bank of Japan maintains a wait-and-see approach and has no plans to raise interest rates for now, which had previously provided good support to the the yen. Strong growth in bank lending also contributed to increased demand for the yen.
Trend Lines
Have you seized the golden opportunity again and again?Today, the strength of gold is very weak. It only rushed up at the opening, and quickly fell below the 3400 mark. Keeping above the key point of 3400, gold continues to be bullish. Now that it has fallen below 3400, the short-term has gone out of the small-level top, and the market is no longer so strong. For our short-term operations, the short-term correction of gold prices focuses on the daily cycle MA5 support, and the weekly MA5 support is long. The rebound focuses on the 3403-3408 resistance card. The rebound can be followed by the short-term! Although gold has fallen below 3400, the short-term direction has changed, but the general direction has not changed. It is still bullish. In the future, we still have the opportunity to look at the high point of 3500, but we have to wait for the bottom to stabilize. Now we can only follow the trend. We will do what the market does.
From a technical point of view, the current macd high dead cross in 4 hours has a large volume, and the smart indicator sto is oversold, which represents the 4-hour shock trend. The current bollinger band three-track shrinkage in 4 hours also represents the range compression. At present, the upper pressure of 4 hours is located at the adhesion point of the middle rail and the moving average MA10 at 3404-3409, while the support corresponds to the moving average MA30 and MA10 near the 3380-3363 line. From the current 4 hours, if the price is to fall directly, the rebound will not exceed the 3420-3422.5 line. The current macd dead cross of the gold 1-hour line is shrinking and sticking, and the smart indicator sto is running downward, indicating that the hourly line continues to fluctuate weakly. What we need to pay attention to now is the adhesion pressure of the upper moving average MA60 and MA30 corresponding to the 3412 line. Pay attention to the resistance of 3403 in the short term. Today's short-term operation of gold recommends rebound shorting as the main, and callback long as the auxiliary, and pay attention to the support of 3380-3370 in the short term.
XAUUSD: The beginning of range trading.Last week, I perfectly predicted the sharp rise in the market. At the beginning of this week, XAUUSD reached a high of 3451, which is the front pressure position. Due to the cooling of risk aversion in the international market, the New York market fell back to 3373 on Monday.
XAUUSD did experience a typical "news-driven callback", and the analysis of technical and fundamental aspects is very critical. The following is a professional analysis and operation suggestions for the current market:
Key points and technical structure
1. Pressure level: 3450 area
- The previous high pressure is effective. This is the resonance resistance area of the upper track of the daily level channel + Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level, and the demand for long profit-taking is concentrated.
2. Support level: 3370-3380 area
- Currently falling back to 3373, here is:
- 50-day moving average dynamic support
- 4-hour chart previous low level support platform
- Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
- If the daily closing is above 3380, the technical structure is still a healthy correction.
News-driven logic
- Negative factors:
Geopolitical situation and peace talks ➜ Risk aversion cools down ➜ Gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset decreases.
- Potential risks:
The progress of peace talks may be repeated (such as the situation between Israel and Hamas and Russia and Ukraine). If the negotiations fail, safe-haven buying will return quickly. Need to keep an eye on news sources.
Key signals for long-short game
Long signal: long lower shadow candlestick appears in 3370 area, US dollar index (DXY) falls below 105.0
Short signal: rebound fails to break through 3400 integer mark, US bond yield rises above 4.3%
Trading strategy suggestion
- *Long order opportunity*: 3370-3380 light position to try long, stop loss 3355 (below the previous low), target 3400/3420.
- *Short order opportunity*: 3415-3425 to arrange short orders in batches, stop loss 3440, target 3390.
2: Break down
- Trigger condition: daily closing price <3365
The callback is upgraded to a deep correction
- Target: 3340→ 3300 (psychological barrier + trend line support)
- Operation: Chasing short needs to wait for a rebound to around 3400, stop loss 3420.
3: Restart the rise (probability 10%)
- Trigger condition: Break through 3440 and stand firm for 1 hour
- Possible driving force: Geopolitical conflict escalates/Fed rate cut expectations rise
- Target: 3480 (historical high psychological resistance) → 3500
- Operation: After breaking through 3440, step back to 3425 to chase longs, stop loss 3405.
Key event risks this week
1. Wednesday: US May CPI data (core CPI expected to be 3.5%)
- If data > expectations: expectations of rate hikes rise → bearish for gold
- If data < expectations: expectations of rate cuts come earlier → bullish for gold
2. Thursday: Fed interest rate decision + Powell press conference
- Pay attention to the dot plot's hints on the number of rate cuts in 2024 (current market pricing is about 2 times)
3. Geopolitical headlines: progress in the Iran nuclear agreement, black swan risks in the French election
Position management principles
1. Total risk exposure ≤ 5% of account net value
2. Reduce positions by 50% 3 hours before key events (avoid instantaneous fluctuations in CPI/FOMC)
3. Breakout strategy stop loss setting: 15 points outside the previous high/low to prevent burrs
Conclusion: The effectiveness of the current 3373 support needs to be verified by Wednesday's CPI data. It is recommended that the London market operate in the 3370-3420 range and reduce positions before the US market to wait for data guidance. If you hold long positions, 3380 is the last line of defense; if you hold short positions, consider taking profits in batches above 3400. The medium-term bullish trend of gold has not been broken, but the risk aversion premium needs to be digested in the short term.
If you need a more detailed entry point analysis or position management to solve your long-term loss problem, please feel free to tell me your trading cycle and risk preference, and I will provide you with a customized strategy.
Continue to be bullish after successful adjustment of low longToday, gold opened high at 3448, and fell under pressure after touching 3452. It fell after repeatedly confirming resistance at high levels. We arranged short orders in the 3445-3450 area, successfully touched the target of 3330, and realized profit-taking. Then the market fell back to around 3409 and stabilized and rebounded. We arranged long orders and stopped profit at around 3420. Then we fell back and arranged long orders of 3385 and 3395 to take profits at 3405.
Overall, gold fell slowly after opening high, and maintained sideways consolidation in the European session. The US session continued to fall due to the easing of the geopolitical situation. At present, the focus of the evening is on the support of 3390. If it does not break after the retracement, it can still go long. Pay attention to the key pressure levels of 3410 and 3422 above. The current market is still in the adjustment stage of the upward trend. After the adjustment, it is expected to continue the upward rhythm.
Operation suggestion: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3390-3392, with the target at 3410 and 3435.
If you still lack direction in gold trading, you might as well try to follow my pace. The strategy is open and transparent, and the execution logic is clear and definite, which may bring new breakthroughs to your trading. The real value does not rely on verbal promises, but is verified by the market and time.
AMD – Breakout Watch (Daily Chart)NASDAQ:AMD surged +9.12% on June 16 with volume 1.8× above average, reclaiming the 200-day SMA for the first time in 7 months.
This marks a clear character change, but not yet a setup. Price stalled into multi-quarter trendline resistance around 128–130.
No pivot, no contraction — just strength into supply. Still needs to consolidate below trendline resistance for a valid trade.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 130 / 145
• Support: 124.35 (breakout zone), 116.55 (MA stack)
• Watch for: Tight coil, volume dry-up, pivot pattern formation
Not chasing — watching for structure. Patience is a position.
📉 Weekly chart also reclaimed 30-week MA for the first time since Nov ’24.
#AMD #technicalanalysis #breakoutwatch #tradingview
XAU / USD ANALYSIS [Bullish Bias]Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3375 - 3370
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # VeloraFXReal
Continue to try to short gold,It's expected to touch 3355-3345 Gold has broken through 3380 twice, but recovered quickly, indicating that the bulls still have some defensive power. At present, gold has touched 3400 again; it can be seen that the bulls' potential defense is still good, but it is not enough to support the continued rebound of gold in the short term. Obviously, gold is still under pressure in the 3410-3420 area in the short term. If gold cannot break through this resistance area in the short term, gold may continue to maintain a volatile state and continue to seek strong support downward. Only after gold breaks through the 3410-3420 area, it is expected to continue to rise and touch the area near 3450 again.
When gold tested the support near 3380 several times during the day and tried to break through this area, after gold failed to break through the 3410-3420 area in the short term, I think gold will be more likely to choose a downward direction, or even continue to test the 3355-3345 area. Therefore, for short-term trading, before breaking through the 3410-3420 area, we should not chase gold too much, and we can try to short gold in this area appropriately.
Gold is expected to hit 3410-3420 againBecause of the news that Iran hopes to ease the hostile relationship with Israel, gold fell sharply in the short term, then rebounded after touching 3383, and quickly recovered above 3390. From this point of view, the buying support below is strong, and the market sentiment is still high, which limits the downside of gold, and the support of 3390-3380 area is still valid.
Although the bullish momentum of gold has weakened relatively due to the retracement in the short term, as long as gold remains above 3380, it still maintains a strong upward structure; and the retracement only exacerbates the short-term shock trend. Gold is still likely to maintain a shock upward structure and try to touch the 3410-3420 area again. Once gold breaks through 3420 strongly, it is expected to hit the area near 3450 again.
So for short-term trading, I still hold a long position in gold, and there is still a certain profit now. I have to say that if gold can reach the 3410-3420 area as expected, our profits will increase significantly!
SPX500 Under Pressure Amid Renewed Israel-Iran TensionsSPX500 Overview
Israel-Iran Truce Hopes Collapse
Investor hopes for a swift de-escalation between Israel and Iran were quickly shattered as both sides resumed hostilities. The situation intensified further after U.S. President Donald Trump urged Iranian civilians to evacuate Tehran and abruptly ended his participation at the G7 summit, reportedly convening the U.S. National Security Council.
These developments have fueled broad risk-off sentiment across markets.
Technical Outlook:
SPX500 remains under bearish pressure as long as the price trades below 6010. A continued drop toward the key support at 5966 is likely, with a break below this level potentially opening the path to 5938 and 5902.
However, if the price stabilizes above 5966 without breaking it, we may see a rebound attempt toward 6010 and 6041.
Any signs of negotiation or de-escalation in the conflict could trigger a strong bullish reversal.
Support: 5966, 5938, 5902
Resistance: 6041, 6098, 6143
Gold maintains bullish trend
💡Message Strategy
Gold rebounded in shock before the US market, and the market rose. Previously, gold recorded the largest single-day drop in a month (1.4%) on Monday. After the sudden situation in the Middle East and US President Trump's warning to Tehran, the market's risk aversion demand heated up again, pushing gold prices to rebound in the Asian session.
The two-day interest rate meeting of the Federal Reserve has also become the top priority of the market. Tensions in the Middle East have heated up again. According to Reuters, Israel's air strikes on Iran's state-run TV station, Iran's threats to launch the most violent missile attack in history, and the fire of three oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz have caused market concerns about the escalation of geopolitical conflicts. US President Trump left the G7 summit early and convened a national security meeting, which increased market risk aversion.
At the same time, ETF holdings have increased significantly. Data shows that ETFs increased their gold holdings by 136,000 ounces on the previous trading day, and the net purchase volume has reached 6 million ounces this year, reflecting that funds still have strong confidence in the future of gold. SPDR Gold ETF recorded a single-day net inflow of US$285 million last Friday, the largest scale in weeks.
In the US macroeconomics, the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this week, but the focus is on Powell's speech and changes in the dot plot. As expectations of further interest rate cuts in 2025 heat up, the US dollar is still under pressure near a three-year low, and analysts believe that this will form structural support for gold in the medium term.
📊Technical aspects
The gold daily candlestick chart shows that the current trend is in a typical "rising wedge" pattern. Prices have been rising steadily along an upward trend line this year, while the upper side is suppressed by strong resistance in the 3420-3430 area. The current market is in a wait-and-see state.
The current gold market sentiment is in a "highly sensitive" stage. On the one hand, risk aversion once pushed gold to rebound rapidly, reflecting the market's extremely high pricing sensitivity to geopolitical risks; on the other hand, traders are still uncertain about the outlook for the Fed's policy, and the expectation that interest rates will remain unchanged has been fully priced in, but there are large differences in the future path of interest rate cuts.
If the results of the FOMC meeting are hawkish or Powell sends a signal that there will be no interest rate cut, and the market's risk aversion sentiment eases, gold may fall back to the key support area of 3350-3360 US dollars. Traders are closely watching the changes in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and geopolitical situation, and at the same time be alert to the risks of "false breakthroughs" and sharp pullbacks.
💰 Strategy Package
Trend: Upward trend
Support: Around 3360.00
Resistance: Around 3420.50
Long Position:3365-75
Stop loss at 3350, take profit around 3400-3420, and trailing stop loss of 300 points.
GOLD Eyes New Highs Amid Geopolitical Risk and Bullish StructureGOLD – Safe-Haven Demand Lifts Gold, Eyes on New Highs if Tensions Escalate
Gold futures pared some gains after approaching fresh record highs earlier in the session. The metal rallied strongly on Friday as escalating Middle East tensions — particularly between Israel and Iran — drove investors toward safe-haven assets.
Analysts note that if the conflict intensifies further in the coming days, new highs could be within reach for gold.
Technical Outlook:
A short-term correction toward 3404 or 3390 is likely. However, as long as the price holds above this support zone, the bullish trend is expected to continue toward 3448, with potential to reach 3486.
For a bearish shift, the price must break below the 3391–3381 area with at least a confirmed 1H close, which would open the path toward 3347.
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3431, 3449, 3486
• Support: 3404, 3391, 3381
USDJPY InsightHello to all our subscribers.
Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe.
Key Points
- The armed conflict between Israel and Iran has continued for five days. However, geopolitical risks in the Middle East have eased as Iran reportedly conveyed its willingness to agree to a ceasefire indirectly to the United States.
- U.S. President Trump stated on Truth Social, "Iran should have signed the 'deal' I told them to sign, and everyone must immediately leave Tehran, the capital of Iran."
- The Bank of Japan kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% and announced it will reduce long-term government bond purchases from the current 400 billion yen to 200 billion yen starting April next year.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 17: BOJ Interest Rate Decision, U.S. May Retail Sales
+ June 18: U.K. May Consumer Price Index, Eurozone May CPI, FOMC Meeting Results
+ June 19: BOE Interest Rate Decision
USDJPY Chart Analysis
There hasn’t been any major movement around the 144 level yet, but a clear trend is expected to emerge soon. An upward move is anticipated, and in that case, a peak is likely to form near the 148 level. Further direction will be determined once that zone is reached.
USDCHF → Retesting resistance will lead to a declineFX:USDCHF , having failed to reach its global target after breaking through support, is turning back to retest the zone of interest at 0.8157. A fall in the dollar could trigger a decline in prices...
After breaking through support and falling to 0.8055, a correction is forming towards the zone of interest and liquidity at 0.8157. After reaching the local target, the price may return to the global target (liquidity zone) at 0.8042.
The dollar returned to its downward phase at the opening of the session, to which the forex market reacted accordingly. Most likely, bearish pressure may also affect the USDCHF currency pair, which continues to follow the downward trend.
Resistance levels: 0.8157
Support levels: 0.8055, 0.8042
A retest of resistance amid high volatility could form a false breakout (liquidity capture) before the decline continues within the downtrend.
Best regards, R. Linda!
US30 | Bearish Below 42610, Eyes on 42410 and 42160US30 | OVERVIEW
The price has reversed and is now under bearish pressure, following stabilization below the 42690 – 42610 zone.
📉 As long as the index trades below this zone, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 42410, and a 1H candle close below that level could extend the move to 42160.
📈 Alternative Scenario:
A clear stabilization above 42810 would shift momentum to bullish, targeting higher levels.
Pivot: 42610
Support Levels: 42410, 42160
Resistance Levels: 42690, 42810, 43080
Gold is weak, and there may be a low point yet to come!According to the current structure, gold is obviously in a weak position. Gold has failed to break through the high point of the previous wave after multiple rebounds during the day. 3400 has become a new round of pressure area; and gold has just accelerated its decline and fell below 3370. For the current trend, falling below 3370 will weaken the bullish sentiment to a certain extent and indicate that there is further room for decline, so I think gold should have a low point, and the low point we should first pay attention to is in the range of 3365-3355.
So in terms of short-term trading,
First, we can try to short gold with the short-term resistance area of 3395-3405;
But if gold first retreats to the support area of 3365-3355, we can first choose to go long on gold.
GBPJPY: Important New High 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY set a new higher high higher close on a daily,
violating a key horizontal resistance cluster.
I think that it opens a potential for more growth.
Next strong resistance is 195.15
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
NZDUSD → Correction and liquidity capture ahead of growthFX:NZDUSD , following a sharp decline during the Pacific-Asian session, is testing the support of the upward trend and the liquidity zone...
The dollar is correcting amid escalating tensions in the Middle East. This is a temporary move, and the market may return to its main trend. The currency pair is forming a false breakdown of support
Against the backdrop of an uptrend and a weak dollar, the currency pair is testing support at 0.6000. The reaction is weak at the moment, but there is a chance for growth if the price consolidates above 0.6020. I do not rule out a retest of the liquidity zone at 0.5989 before growth
Support levels: 0.6000, 0.5989
Resistance levels: 0.6068
The inability to continue falling and the formation of a local reversal structure relative to 0.6000 (price consolidation above 0.6020) may support the market. I do not rule out that the market may decline to the liquidity zone of 0.5989 before rising.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3370
TP 3390-3400-3450
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3370-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
DOGE Support Is Crumbling Here’s Why a Drop to $0.15 Is On CardsThe 4-hour chart for DOGEUSDT reveals a weakening structure, with price currently hovering just above a key support at $0.16863, which also aligns with the marked TP1/Daily Support level. Price action has been consistently rejected from the upper zone near $0.18500–$0.18756, confirming that supply is dominant at higher levels.
The Supertrend indicator remains firmly red and is trailing far above the current price — a strong confirmation that the trend bias is still bearish. Each attempt to retest or reclaim higher ground is quickly sold off, indicating a lack of bullish conviction.
From a structural perspective, DOGE recently formed a lower high followed by a breakdown beneath the local mid-range. This has pushed the price back into a distribution-to-breakdown zone, where the probability of further downside is increasing. If the current support at $0.16863 breaks with momentum, the next obvious liquidity pool is sitting near $0.15285, which is already marked as the Next Support/TP2. That level could serve as the next major bearish target.
Volume also supports a bearish narrative — despite brief surges, the recent volume profile shows no sustained buying pressure, and sellers remain in control around each resistance test. The failure to push above the $0.173–$0.175 region in the last bounce attempt further reinforces the weakening bullish effort.
While some buyers may attempt to defend the $0.168 level, the lack of follow-through on rebounds suggests this support is softening. A clean 4H close below $0.168 — especially on volume — would likely trigger stop-losses and lead to a swift drop toward $0.160 and then $0.152.
If you're looking to position with the bearish trend:
• A low-risk short entry could be placed on any failed bounce near $0.173–$0.175 (prior local supply zone).
• Ideal targets remain at $0.160 and $0.15285.
• Stop-loss can be positioned just above $0.177–$0.180, depending on your risk appetite.
Given the current structure, DOGE is making lower highs, testing support more frequently, and showing no bullish divergence in volume — all classic signs of a market preparing for a breakdown. Unless a sudden reversal in momentum occurs (which would require DOGE reclaiming at least $0.180), short setups are favored.
SGX Iron Ore: Retest of 2025 Lows Back in PlaySitting in an established downtrend and with momentum indicators providing bearish signals, a retest of the 2025 lows may be on the cards for SGX iron ore.
A move below $93—where the price bottomed on Monday—would allow for shorts to be established targeting $91.75. A tight stop above would protect against reversal. Alternatively, if the price bounces towards downtrend resistance running from the May highs, bearish positions could be set with a stop above for protection.
If the trade target is achieved, either setup could be reevaluated with a more pronounced support zone located beneath $90.
Good luck!
DS
6/17 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning!
Yesterday, gold opened with a gap-up and surged to around 3451, but failed to sustain above key resistance. After another failed attempt to break higher, prices gradually turned lower and finally broke below 3400, finding short-term support near 3382.
The primary driver of this decline was a waning of geopolitical risk sentiment, which had previously fueled the rally. Additionally, the market is now pricing in expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged, a factor that was likely preemptively reflected in price.
🔍 Fundamental Focus:
Today’s U.S. session will feature a key news release, which may prove decisive for gold’s next directional move. With yesterday’s advance pullback, market dynamics are likely to be more volatile today. We recommend caution, especially ahead of the announcement.
📉 Technical View:
Gold is currently in a post-decline consolidation phase.
The main resistance lies between 3430–3450, while 3415 on the 30-minute chart also presents a short-term cap.
For those entering long positions, target zones should remain conservative, ideally around 3412–3418, and then be adjusted depending on volume momentum and breakout structure.
📊 Weekly Structure Outlook:
The weekly chart shows that gold is at a key trend inflection point.
If no additional bullish catalysts emerge, the market is likely to develop into a bearish consolidation, with the next major downside target around 3200.
📌 Trading Plan (For VIP):
✅ Sell Zone: 3436–3466
✅ Buy Zone: 3347–3323
✅ Flexible Trade Zones: 3428 / 3415 / 3403 / 3392 / 3378 / 3362 / 3354
Long term trendThe long term trend line is long and strong with this one. We’re a good ways off of it though, so a mellowing while the Stochastic RSI resets could result in doubt that equates to a slight pullback. The trend line should provide ample support, due to the aforementioned length and strength, so new highs should be in order by the end of the month. 🎢