GOLD → Retesting resistance may lead to a breakoutFX:XAUUSD is still bullish. The price is consolidating in the range of 3390-3345, with an intermediate bottom forming inside the channel, which overall indicates positive signs.
On Thursday, gold is consolidating ahead of $3390. Consolidation after growth, within a bullish trend, is a good sign. But, on the one hand, the price is supported by growing tensions between Russia and Ukraine. On the other hand, optimism about US trade negotiations with Canada, the EU, and China is strengthening the dollar and holding back demand for gold.
Additional pressure on the dollar is coming from weak US macro statistics, especially ADP data and the decline in the ISM Services PMI, which have reinforced expectations of Fed policy easing. Traders are waiting for further signals from the regulator.
Resistance levels: 3391.4, 3414, 3435
Support levels: 3365, 3345
Technically, gold is rising and forming a retest of consolidation resistance. If the 3391 level is broken, the price may head towards 3435. Before breaking through resistance, a correction or retest of 3365 may form. However, consolidation near 3391 and a gradual squeeze towards the level will increase the chances of a breakout and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trend Lines
GBP USD LONG RESULT The Pound Price is still in an overall bullish trend against the Dollar.
So when I saw the breakout from the minor falling wedge and then breakout of the minor pennant I setup the long position with TP to the previous high and it moved perfectly as predicted.
Even though it was a scalp, I feel we left the chart earlier 😅.
But it's All Good 😊💪. We keep on Gaining Together.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Strong Bullish Pattern
Following my previous analysis, Gold in going up.
Your next signal to buy will be a bullish breakout
of a neckline of an ascending triangle pattern on a 4H time frame.
A 4H candle close above 3392 will confirm a violation.
Next resistances will be 3408 / 3428
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SPXUSDT Wave Structure and Bullish OutlookAfter a clean break from the descending structure, SPXUSDT established a solid base within the strong demand zone, followed by a bullish pennant breakout.
The wave count suggests the current move is targeting the $1.77 zone as wave (3) before a minor correction for wave (4), with the projected end of this bullish cycle aiming around $3.20. Immediate support remains at $1.14, and invalidation only occurs on a break below the previous base. Structure remains bullish unless proven otherwise.
XAUUSD - Will Gold Continue Its Rise?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. We should wait for a valid breakout of the specified pattern and then enter the trade in the formed pattern. If gold corrects towards the demand zone, we can buy it in the short term with appropriate risk-reward.
According to the latest ADP report, private-sector employers in the United States added just 37,000 new jobs in May, marking a decline from 60,000 in April and reaching the lowest level in two years. While ADP data is typically interpreted with caution, many economists still anticipate that Friday’s official Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report will reflect stronger employment growth.
President Donald Trump seized on this data to renew his criticism of the Federal Reserve for not lowering interest rates to support job creation. Some analysts argue that if the ADP figures are taken as an indicator, Trump’s tariffs may have impacted the labor market sooner than experts expected—though that remains a significant “if.”
ADP, a payroll services provider, announced on Wednesday that private employers added only 37,000 jobs in May, down from April’s 60,000 and the lowest number since March 2023. According to a survey of economists by Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal, this figure falls well short of the expected 110,000 job increase.
If this sharp slowdown in job growth is mirrored in the government’s official report, it may indicate that businesses have drastically reduced hiring in response to the uncertainty caused by Trump’s frequently shifting trade policies. Forecasts have long predicted that higher inflation and slower job growth could result from trade conflicts. However, many experts believe the true effects will become visible in the summer, rather than being fully reflected in May’s data.
Additionally, many economists regard ADP as an imprecise leading indicator of the more comprehensive BLS report. Other labor market surveys have thus far shown greater resilience in employment conditions.
Oliver Allen, senior U.S. economist at Pantheon Economics, wrote: “As always, we recommend ignoring the headline message of the ADP jobs report, primarily because its recent track record has been very poor.” Analysts widely expect Friday’s BLS report to show that the labor market remained stable in May, with employers adding approximately 125,000 jobs.
Continuing his criticisms, Trump again used the ADP figures to attack Fed Chair Jerome Powell for not cutting interest rates this year. In a post on Truth Social, Trump compared the Fed to the European Central Bank, which has already lowered rates nine times. The Federal Reserve, in contrast, has maintained the federal funds rate at elevated levels since January, aiming to reduce inflation to its 2% annual target by keeping upward pressure on borrowing costs. This policy is being implemented amid persistent uncertainty about the broader economic impact of the tariffs.
Trump has repeatedly pressured the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates in order to reduce borrowing costs, stimulate economic growth, and prevent a potential recession. He wrote: “The ADP numbers are out!!! ‘Late’ Powell must cut rates now. He’s unbelievable!!! Europe has cut nine times!”
Meanwhile, the latest edition of the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book was released. Half of the Federal Reserve districts reported slight to moderate declines in economic activity, while three districts reported no change and three reported modest growth. All districts cited high levels of economic and political uncertainty. Reports on consumer spending varied. Home sales remained largely unchanged. While employment remained steady, hiring was conducted cautiously due to the uncertain outlook. Tariffs were reported to have caused moderate price increases, with rising costs increasingly passed on to consumers. Manufacturing activity was slightly weakened by tariffs, and businesses adopted a more cautious approach to investment.
GBP USD LONG RESULT The Pound Price made a Bullish retracement in a straight parallel line to the 0.5lev of the fibonacci coupled with the the double top formed previously.
I Highlighted two points of possible retracement i.e the 0.618 and 0.5 levels for possible entry.
When price broke out (fake out) at the o.618 I entered the trade which ended up being fake and took support at the 0.5lev where my stop was.
This was a FOMO trade and totally misjudged and impatient for Price.
Better Concise, Patience and Luck next time 💪🙌
Bull market returns? Aiming at 3400?📰 Impact of news:
1. New uncertainty in Russia-Ukraine negotiations
📈 Market analysis:
The current trend of gold prices is erratic and discontinuous, and only swing trading can be adopted during the day. In the short term, there is a certain pressure at 3385-3395 above. If this resistance area is broken, the gold price is expected to continue to rise. The short-term support below FOREXCOM:XAUUSD is at 3350-3340. At present, the news has a greater impact on the gold price, coupled with the support of market risk aversion, so in the short term, attention should be paid to the break of the upper resistance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3370-3365
TP 3385-3395-3400
SELL 3395-3400
TP 3380-3370
BUY 3350-3340
TP 3370-3380
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
PEPE at Key Reversal Zone — Support Test Coming Soon?Today I want to look at the PEPE token ( BINANCE:PEPEUSDT ), which is part of the memecoin category, and provide you with a short-term analysis on the 1-hour timeframe .
PEPE token is trading in Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , the PEPE token appears to be completing the microwave 5 of the main wave C . The structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the PEPE token to attack the Support zone($0.0000120-$0.0000108) after completing the main wave C .
Note: Stop Loss = $0.0000362
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Pepe Analyze (PEPEUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
S&P500 Index (US500): Bullish Accumulation Pattern
I spotted a nice example of an ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To confirm a bullish continuation, we will need a bullish breakout
of its neckline.
A daily candle close above 5996 will provide a reliable confirmation.
A rise will be anticipated at least to 6080 resistance then.
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I still have a short position.Although gold has risen sharply to above 3380 due to the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it has not made a substantial breakthrough, and has not stabilized above 3380. The bulls are not determined, which also shows that the technical suppression in the 3290-3295 area above is still strong. If gold does not break through in one fell swoop, gold is likely to usher in a wave of retracement in the short term.
Due to the fundamental impact of tariff issues and geopolitical conflicts, for short-term trading, we should not have too high expectations for the extent of the retracement for the time being, but it is expected to retrace to the 3365-3355 area. In terms of short-term trading, I still hold a short position executed near 3375, and I hope that gold can fall back and hit TP as expected.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3375-3385 area, TP: 3365-3355
US OIL LONG POSITION RESULT Oil had now formed a triple bottom pattern, and also holding the minor Support Trendline indicating signs for bullisd potential.
Price action did move in our direction, just couldn't break above the orange resistance zone, and then reversed and went straight down to our Sl (my bad though, Should've moved sl to entry price to make it safe).
Better Luck and TA next time.
US OIL LONG RESULT Oil price broke out of the falling expanding wedge, with some good volume in Confluence woth the double pattern (as at entry) and also holding the minor support Trendline I decided to open a long trade to the next supply zone.
Price did move in our direction, just dumped down to grab liquidity at the support again hitting our SL.
Was a B" setup so we'll move on.
Gold price fluctuates before NFP data, be careful📰 Impact of news:
1. European Central Bank deposit facility rate in the eurozone as of June 5
2. Initial jobless claims data
3. Non-farm payroll data
4. Worsening geopolitical situation
📈 Market analysis:
Since the release of ADP data last night, gold prices have been rising all the way, reaching a high of around 3382, which is in line with the expected resistance of 3385-3395 we saw yesterday. Currently, the bulls are stable above 3330, and the gold price is still in a bullish trend on the daily chart. Although the current market is in a state of consolidation, there is a possibility of a surge and fall in the short term. Only after a negative line correction occurs, it may continue to be bullish. In short-term trading, pay attention to 3385-3395 on the top and the opportunity to retreat to 3365-3355 on the bottom. Pay attention to data such as initial jobless claims and tomorrow's non-agricultural data.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355-3345
TP 3370-3380-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Celestia (TIA) – Ascending Triangle Setup (4H)BINANCE:TIAUSDT is printing a clean ascending triangle on the 4H chart, signalling a potential reversal.
Key Levels
• Support: Ascending trendline
• Resistance: $2.30 – a key level that acted as support since early April
• Measured Target: $2.50–$2.55 – aligns with prior support area
• Watch out for the longer-term descending trendline, which could act as resistance on breakout around ~$2.40
Breakout Trigger
A solid 4H close above $2.30 with convincing volume could confirm the move
Invalidation
A sustained break below the ascending support would fully invalidate the setup and potentially lead to a drop to $1.70
NZD/USD: Bullish signals build ahead of U.S. data gauntletNZD/USD is holding an established uptrend with bullish momentum building, supported by strengthening RSI and MACD signals. The pair is testing key resistance at .6050—a level that’s capped price repeatedly over the years.
A break and close above would confirm a bullish setup, allowing for longs to be established above the level with a stop just beneath. Initial resistance comes in at .6110, with scope for a move towards .6200 if momentum continues.
Good luck!
DS
SNXUSDT Tracking Final Leg of Downtrend or Reversal SetupSNXUSDT remains in a downtrend despite breaking its trendline, with price action still dipping. The current focus is on the potential completion of Wave 5, targeting the projected re-accumulation zone but this setup only activates if $0.548 support breaks.
If this level holds, a rebound could drive price toward the upside targets already outlined. On the flip side, a sudden breakout above $0.96 would invalidate the drop scenario entirely.
What’s your take on this structure? Drop your thoughts below
GBPUSD InsightHello to all our subscribers!
Feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments.
Please don't forget to boost and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump pressured Fed Chair Jerome Powell via Truth Social, saying, “Powell is acting too slowly and should cut rates.”
- The U.S. Services PMI for May came in at 49.9, signaling a contraction in the sector following a similar downturn in manufacturing.
- The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book, which evaluates regional economic activity, noted that “all districts reported elevated levels of economic and policy uncertainty, leading to hesitancy and caution in decision-making by businesses and households.”
- Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey suggested that if inflation in the U.K. is seen falling below the 2% target, the central bank may pursue more aggressive rate cuts.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ June 5: ECB Interest Rate Decision
+ June 6: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (May), U.S. Unemployment Rate (May)
GBPUSD Chart Analysis
The pair is currently approaching resistance near the 1.36000 level. Future direction will largely depend on price action at this zone.
- A successful breakout above 1.36000 could open the path to a long-term rally toward 1.40000.
- Failure to break resistance may lead to a medium-to-long-term decline toward 1.32000.
BTC log pitchfork (re-up)the BTC Log scale Pitchfork shows perfect Fib levels being respected. I don't know what it means or how to interpret this, no price target or direction from this, but the levels seem significant so I'm just noticing and playing the levels being held. All I know is buy the yellow the line (SMA40), and I drew the next lower pitchfork levels according to proportions.
Also, last season's ATH is always the next bearmarket season's bottom.
When in doubt, zoom out.
WILL IT HOLD THE LINE this time ?Hello ,
one of big boy players .
And my 30000 overview .
Yes I like to look far away to see whats is the haos about ........
Many many many !!!! learned that you dont play that one down ;) .... However charting can be helpfulll .
You in it ? You know why .....
Am I ?
NO .
Is there potential to Fly .. YES.....
What you see here is very simple aproach to charting using the most old simple aproach .
Can I make this complicated and get your head spin ? YES.
some fundamentals dont change .......
SUPPLY / DEMAND is one of them .
Here you can see how this price reponded to market conditions ,
Yes im talking about price at this poin only . (why) ( other metricks are out )
Deeper rabbit O >>>
ONLY one way is simply put this on Play mode and that would be the only one way to watch this develop .
This can deserve deeper brake down eventualy.
But I belive that this mode its great for the company volatility .
cheers !.
Any OPINIONS ?
Although the market fluctuates, the rhythm is not chaotic.Today's public strategy suggested shorting gold at 3365, and accurately predicted the retracement of the resistance level again. The brothers who followed up again reaped good rewards. Then arranged long orders in the 3344-3345 range, and exited the market at 3360 after the market fell and rebounded; then arranged short orders at 3360-3361, and fell again under pressure, and successfully took profits at the target of 3350. Although the short-term fluctuations were large, we finally managed to grasp the rhythm steadily and reaped ideal profits.
Judging from the current trend, as long as the short-term gold market is above 3330, gold will still be in a strong bullish trend. On the contrary, if it falls below the closing line near 3330, it will break the trend line, and the subsequent market will most likely form a weak shock pattern. Therefore, the current operation is actually very simple. As long as the 3330 position is not broken, you can rely on the 3330 area to enter the market and do more. Pay attention to the support near yesterday's low point of 3333 below, and pay attention to the resistance near 3380-3390 above.
Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to short gold with a light position near 3380-3385, with a target of 3370-3360, and go long near 3345-3350 when gold falls back, with a target of 3360-3370.