GBP/USD: Ttrading Plan for the U.S Session Sell Below 1.3591In my morning forecast. I focused on the 1.3536 level and planned to make trading decisions based on it. Let's take a look at the 5-minute chart and see what happened. A rise and formation of a false breakout around 1.3536.
On Tuesday, the GBP/USD currency pair also showed a downward movement, although the decline and the day's volatility were relatively weak. Once again, the market effectively ignored the macroeconomic background, The minimal reaction from traders was prompted by the jolts report in the U.S., which showed job openings exceeding forecasts, leading to a slight strengthening of the dollar.
Overall, everything remains the same. If the British pound falls, it does so very weakly and for a short time. Whenever there's too much, "chaos," and the dollar grows longer than expected, Trump steps in and puts everything back in its place. Thus, expecting a sustained rise in the dollar remains extremely difficult. Technically, The pair remains above the indicator lines, so the uptrend is intact despite the price breaking out of the ascending channel.
As the global trade war situation continues to worsen, the dollar lacks medium-term growth prospects. For the market, the trade war factor is currently the only thing that matters; practically all other factors are being ignored.
Trend Lines
Continue to short goldTechnical aspect:
Although the ADP data release is a big positive for gold, the trend of gold is quite different. It only rebounded to around 3362 and then gradually fell back, which to a certain extent strengthened the effectiveness of the short-term resistance area of 3365-3375. For the time being, technical indicators alone cannot support gold to continue to rebound. After consuming a certain degree of bullish momentum, gold will continue to retreat. And I think 3340 will be broken, and even continue to the 3330-3320 area. So in terms of short-term trading, I still prefer to short gold.
Trading strategy:
Consider shorting gold in the 3360-3370 area, TP: 3345-3335.
EURJPY higher bearish expectations from here
OANDA:EURJPY analysis before this one, is be closed, i am note will share new analysis on EJ soon.
ASCENDING CHANNEL visible, price in zone currently, after ISM events today, we are not see break of res zone 164.250, which for me having positive imact on bearish expectations here.
Trend line is breaekd and soon exxpecting to see and break of ASCEDING CHANNEL and higher bearish fall continuation.
SUP zone: 164.250
RES zone: 161.750, 160.900
Bitcoin - Bearish Head & Shoulders Within a Falling Wedge | Key This chart illustrates a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a possible trend reversal on the 1H Bitcoin/USD timeframe. The price is currently compressing within a falling wedge, and the right shoulder has recently completed.
Key highlights:
Head & Shoulders pattern: Suggests a bearish reversal if neckline breaks.
Price inside falling wedge: Could act as a short-term consolidation structure before a breakout.
Demand zones:
102,965 – 102,602
107,000 – 101,737
97,350 – 97,083
Scenarios:
Bullish breakout of the wedge may invalidate the head & shoulders and trigger upside continuation.
Bearish breakdown below neckline and demand zones could open deeper retracements.
This setup offers a clear "wait-for-confirmation" strategy before entering long or short, based on price reaction at key levels.
If this Head & Shoulders plays out... oh boy 😏
We’re diving straight into those demand zones.
Next stops?
🔻 102,600
🔻 101,700
🔻 97,000 (ultimate trap zone)
But hey — break the wedge to the upside and bulls might flip the script.
Let’s see who wins 🔥📉📈
#Bitcoin #BTC #HeadAndShoulders #CryptoAnalysis
EUR/USD is about to clarify its trend direction
💡Message Strategy
The recent trend of the euro is affected by the resonance of multiple macroeconomic factors. First, the eurozone CPI data for May showed that the overall annual rate dropped sharply from 2.2% to 1.9%, and the core CPI annual rate also fell to 2.3%, hitting a one-year low, which suppressed the market demand for the euro. This cooling trend of inflation has significantly strengthened the market's expectations that the European Central Bank will further cut interest rates. The current market has fully taken into account the possibility of a 25 basis point rate cut on Thursday, and even expectations of further rate cuts in July have fermented.
At the same time, US economic data is still weak. The ISM manufacturing PMI fell to 48.5, which has been in the contraction range for several consecutive months. In addition, the JOLTS job vacancies may hit a new low, which makes the dollar bulls lack support. In general, the euro is facing a tug-of-war between the eurozone's easing expectations and the weakness of the US dollar, and the market is generally optimistic about the trend.
📊Technical aspects
From the K-line pattern, the long and short sides are stuck near 1.1400, and a unilateral trend has not yet formed. It is worth noting that the high point of 1.1572 in mid-April has formed an obvious resistance band so far, and the upper 1.1500 is a psychological integer mark, and it is also the previous high, forming the first key resistance line. If it breaks through this level, it may usher in further upward space.
In terms of MACD indicators, the bar chart is currently oscillating near the zero axis, and the fast and slow lines are above the zero axis, indicating that the bullish momentum is dominant. RSI remains at 57.94, which is in the neutral to strong range, but has not entered the overbought area, and there is still potential for short-term growth.
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position:1.13750-1.13850
Crude oil is about to end its shock outbreak
💡Message Strategy
International oil prices rose in early Asian trading on Tuesday, mainly due to rising risks of supply disruptions. Iran is expected to reject a nuclear deal proposal from the United States, which would have paved the way for easing sanctions on Iranian oil exports.
In addition, wildfires in Alberta, Canada, also caused some oil and gas production to be suspended, exacerbating market concerns about supply.
Brent crude rose 0.86% to $65.20 a barrel; U.S. West Texas Intermediate rose 0.75% to $63.00. This continued the previous trading day's nearly 3% increase.
Geopolitical tensions also added to market concerns. The ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine has increased uncertainty in the global supply chain and geopolitical risk premiums.
Oil prices were also supported by OPEC+'s slowing production increase. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) decided at a meeting last week to increase production by only a small 411,000 barrels per day in July, the same as in the previous two months and lower than the large increase some market participants had expected.
International market conditions have a great impact on crude oil trends. Currently, various reasons have indicated an upward trend in crude oil, paving the way for the upcoming rising market.
📊Technical aspects
Technical analysis shows that the daily chart of US crude oil (WTI) is strong and still has room for upward movement in the short term. After the current WTI crude oil price stabilized at the integer mark of $61, it closed positively for several consecutive days, showing an obvious upward channel pattern.
In terms of technical indicators, the MACD fast and slow lines have formed a golden cross, and the kinetic energy column continues to expand, indicating that the bulls are strengthening; the RSI is near 65, not entering the overbought range, but showing good upward momentum.
In addition, the 5-day and 10-day moving averages continue to diverge upward after the golden cross, supporting the oil price trend. If the oil price can effectively break through the resistance level of $63.50, it is expected to challenge the previous high of $65.80;
💰 Strategy Package
Long Position: 62.00-62.50
Market situation unclear? Check out this analysis📰 Impact of news:
1. ADP data is significantly positive
2. Trump: "Mr. Too Late" Fed Chairman Powell must cut interest rates now
📈 Market analysis:
The ADP data is significantly bullish, but we cannot rule out that this is an illusion created by the market, because although the daily line has formed a golden cross, it has not fully released the bullish momentum, and has not been able to exert force in the bullish upward trend. Therefore, I prefer to go long at a low position in the US market rather than chasing it immediately. At the same time, the upper 3365 may become a short-term strong pressure level. If the gold price encounters resistance here, the US market will usher in a retracement, and then it will be our time to go long.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3360-3365
TP 3340-3330
BUY 3330-3317
TP 3360-3370-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
If the direction is unclear, don’t panic, respond flexibly!Gold has been showing a daily yin-yang alternating pattern since last Wednesday, but the overall rising rhythm has not been broken. The MA5-day moving average and the MA10-day moving average formed a golden cross and continued to extend upward. The arrangement of this moving average system provides a certain support momentum for the gold price. During the day, we need to focus on the support effect of the moving average. The current 5-day moving average is near 3340, and the 10-day moving average is near 3325. These two positions constitute an important support area for the short-term gold price correction. In terms of upper resistance, first pay attention to yesterday's high of 3392. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it means that the upward momentum is strong, and it is expected to continue to be strong to 3400-3420, further opening up the upward space.
From the 4-hour chart, as long as the short-term gold market is above 3330, then gold is still in a strong bullish trend. On the contrary, if it falls below the closing line near 3330, then it is a broken trend line, and the subsequent market is likely to form a weak shock pattern again, so the current operation is actually very simple. As long as the 3330 position is not broken, you can rely on 3330 to enter the market and do more. Focus on the support near yesterday's low of 3333 below, and focus on the resistance near 3375-3380 above.
Gold operation suggestions: It is recommended to short gold near 3365-3375, with a target of 3350. Go long gold when it falls back to 3335-3345, with a target of 3360-3370.
Biotechs May Have Broken Their DowntrendBiotechnology stocks have struggled this year along with the broader health-care sector, but some traders may think a bullish turn has begun.
The first pattern on today’s chart of the Nasdaq Biotechnology Index is the series of lower highs since early April. NBI closed above that falling trendline yesterday, which may signal a change of direction.
Second, you have the rally between early April and early May. The index retraced half that advance by mid-May and bounced. That may confirm its direction is now to the upside.
Third, this week’s push above the 50-day simple moving average may suggest the intermediate-term downtrend is over.
Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. MACD is also rising. Those may be viewed as bullish short-term signals.
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GOLD → Consolidation before a strong move...FX:XAUUSD is consolidating after a false breakout of resistance at 3365, awaiting economic data. The metal remains attractive to investors amid the economic crisis.
Gold is supported by the weakening dollar amid increased trade risks. Today, US tariffs on steel and aluminum come into force, and Trump's ultimatum to trading partners expires. Investors are also awaiting news of a possible meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping amid new accusations against China. The focus is on key employment data (ADP) and the ISM services index, which could influence the dollar and expectations for the Fed's actions.
Technically, the market may test the 3323 liquidity zone before continuing its growth.
Resistance levels: 3365, 3391
Support levels: 3345, 3323, 3303
Overall, both the global and local trends are bullish, with the price forming a local correction after a false breakout of resistance. If the bulls hold their ground above 3323-3345 after retesting support, growth may continue in the short to medium term.
Best regards, R. Linda!
TAIAUSDT Eyeing Re-accumulation Within Ascending ChannelTAIAUSDT continues to develop within a potential ascending channel structure, clearly respecting both dynamic support and resistance boundaries. The lower boundary near 0.02303 serves as a key support level, while the upper boundary around 0.48774 marks a significant resistance zone and the projected target for this bullish structure.
Price action remains constructive, with the main accumulation zone presenting a favorable area for re-accumulation a critical region for traders seeking long exposure on strength. As long as the structure holds, any dips into this zone may offer a compelling risk reward setup.
oversold?shitter stock on my radar longed this break see if it can run. Ill be out if it on pullback below 4.50. 90% cut to Ebidta guidance. Has a domestic supply chain but capacity-constrained so 30% of revenue will be affected by the China tariffs. Although $4.5B backlog, 50% revenue growth despite some of their practices it's a very real company with a good bit of hate but insiders are buying sub $5 **
Short % of Shares Out 12.60%
Short % of Float 35.96%
Short Ratio (days to cover) 4.06
Gold trend analysis and layout before ADP data release📰 Impact of news:
1. May ADP data
2. The geopolitical situation worsens
📈 Market analysis:
Today, the gold price in the Asian session hit the 3370 line and then began to fall. Before the release of the ADP data, the gold price is likely to fall into a volatile pattern. The upper short-term resistance is 3370-3380. Pay attention to whether it can break through 3392, which will determine whether the short-term gold price can reach 3400. Pay attention to the support below 3350-3345, and focus on the 3330 line support. Once it falls below 3330, the gold price may reach 3317. If the ADP data is released and stabilizes near 3317, and then quickly closes the long lower shadow. Then you can rely on the 3317 to enter the market and do more. As long as it rebounds to above 3330 again, then the high point near 3390 above will definitely not be maintained. On the contrary, if gold falls below the 3330 and 3317 levels during the US trading session, don't go long easily. Participate in the high-altitude and low-multiple cycle during the European session. If it retreats to 3355-3345, consider going long with a light position and look at 3360-3370. If it touches 3375-3390 and is under pressure, consider shorting. Focus on ADP data!!
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3360-3370
SELL 3375-3390
TP 3350-3340
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold awaits data storm
The international gold market is playing out a wonderful duel between long and short forces. The following data will guide gold to continue to start a new direction, so what should we do?
💡Message Strategy
Employment data: complex signals of long and short interweaving
The latest US JOLTS employment data for April presents a strange picture of "ice and fire". On the one hand, the number of job vacancies unexpectedly increased by 191,000, far exceeding market expectations. This eye-catching data was called "surprisingly strong performance" by Joseph Capurso, an analyst at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. But on the other hand, the number of layoffs surged by 196,000, the largest increase in nearly nine months, exposing the potential fragility of the labor market.
Trade Cloud: Continuing Fermentation of Geopolitical Risks
The current global trade situation is like a sword of Damocles hanging over the market. The White House has signaled that President Trump may hold key talks with the leaders of major Asian countries this week, and this news brings a glimmer of hope to the market.
Policy fog: The Fed's cautious dance
Market participants are focusing on the key data that will be released one after another. Before the release of the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, the ADP private employment data on Wednesday night will become an important indicator. Analysts generally believe that these data will provide more clues for judging the direction of the Fed's policy, which will in turn affect the investment logic of the gold market.
📊Technical aspects
Monday's pull-up seemed to be the start of a new round of bulls, but yesterday there was a sharp retracement again. If we look at it from a unilateral rise, the retracement has been too large, and it has obviously destroyed the rising pattern. If we count the rising point from the low point of 3260 last Thursday to the high point of 3390 in the morning yesterday, the increase has reached more than 140 US dollars, and it is still within the range of weekly and monthly levels. This is why it is not recommended to chase the rise directly.
At present, gold cannot form a continuous rise, so 3390 is likely to be the high point of this round of highs, and it will start to fall again, still with weekly level range fluctuations and high-level adjustments.
The US dollar stabilized and rebounded. It continued to rebound yesterday. After testing the support near 90 in the morning today, it rose again. In addition, under the expectation that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in June, the US dollar is likely to continue to fall in June, which will create time for gold to adjust. Therefore, gold does not have the conditions for a breakthrough in the short term. Once the US dollar accelerates its rebound, gold still has the possibility of another sharp drop.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3365-3370,3375-3380
GBPJPY - Short Term Sell Trade Update!!!Hi Traders, on May 14th I shared this idea "GBPJPY - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short Term"
I expected to see pullbacks and further continuation lower until the strong resistance zone holds. You can read the full post using the link above.
Pullback and push lower happened as per the plan!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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AUDCHF → Hunting for liquidity. Fall from resistanceFX:AUDCHF is emerging from local consolidation and entering a distribution phase. Potentially, against the backdrop of a downtrend, the market may be interested in the liquidity zone at 0.5356
Globally, we have a strong downtrend and a countertrend correction that is facing pressure in the 0.545 zone. The decline is resuming, but at some point the market formed an EQH liquidity pool at 0.5356, which is most likely acting as a magnet pulling the price towards it...
Based on the technical situation, we can conclude that if the price continues to form a distribution towards the target, the market is quite capable of stopping the price and returning to the downtrend phase.
Resistance levels: 0.535, 0.5356
Support levels: 0.5327, 0.5314
Thus, a breakout of the resistance level of 0.5356 without the possibility of continuing growth and a return of the price below the resistance level with subsequent price consolidation in the sales zone (below 0.5356) may trigger a resumption of the downward trend.
Best regards, R. Lind
ARKMUSDT Correction Structuring MidTerm RecoveryARKMUSDT has completed a complex corrective structure, terminating near a well-defined immediate demand zone where price action has begun to exhibit basing characteristics. The final leg into this zone coincided with the lower boundary of a descending broadening wedge, further reinforcing this region as a potential accumulation area.
Price is currently stabilizing above this demand zone, with the 0.840 level emerging as a pivotal structural resistance that must be reclaimed for bullish continuation. A successful breakout above this threshold opens the pathway toward 1.727, a mid-range liquidity target, and subsequently to the 3.798 zone, which aligns with the prior external supply zone and confluence of historical distribution.
Directional bias remains bullish while price holds above the immediate demand zone, though the level around 0.756 remains critical for directional validation. Any failure to sustain above this zone could see price cascading toward the lower strong demand region.