Trend Lines
GOLD → Consolidation ahead of CPI. Chances for growth?FX:XAUUSD Gold is consolidating amid a correction in the dollar ahead of important news. Consumer price index data is due later today. The market is stagnant and will not move prematurely.
On Tuesday, gold rose slightly amid profit-taking ahead of the US CPI release. Investors are waiting for a signal from inflation: weaker data could strengthen bets on a Fed rate cut and support gold, while strong inflation would strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The situation is exacerbated by Trump's new tariff threats and his criticism of the Fed chair. Let me remind you of Trump's pressure on regulators regarding inflation and interest rate cuts.
Technically, gold is trading above the previously broken “symmetrical triangle” consolidation. Bulls are trying to hold their ground above 3340-3350. Focus on the current range of 3340-3373
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3350, 3340
Favorable news for gold could boost interest in the metal, which would generally lead to growth. However, there is a factor of unpredictability, and against this backdrop, gold may test support at 3350-3340. If the bulls manage to keep the price above this zone, we may see growth in the medium term. Otherwise, the price may drop to 3310-3280.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Buy XAUUSD?Date: July 15, 2025
Pair: XAUUSD (Gold Spot)
Timeframe: 4H
Direction: Long
Entry: ~3,360
Stop Loss: ~3,327 (below sell-side liquidity)
Take Profit: ~3,492
RR Ratio: ~1:4
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🔍 Market Context
• Price had been trending downward and then consolidated for several sessions.
• A sell-side liquidity sweep occurred just below 3,327 — taking out stops beneath local lows.
• Strong bullish reaction followed, forming a clean bullish order block and reclaiming structure.
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🎯 Trade Rationale
• Sell-side liquidity taken → market structure shift → bullish BOS (break of structure).
• Bullish order block formed with clear mitigation.
• Small black-box consolidation likely a retest zone for low-risk entry.
• Targeting inefficiency toward 3,492, with a clean range above.
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🧠 Trade Management Plan
• Move stop to breakeven at 3,375 once price clears local resistance.
• Consider partial TP at 3,420–3,450 to lock profit.
• Trail remainder to higher lows or use fib-based trailing stop.
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😐 Emotional State Before Trade
Calm and focused. Recognized a textbook SMC entry — no rush or FOMO.
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✅ Post-Trade Reflection (To Fill Later)
• ❓ Did price react to the zone as expected?
• ❓ Was entry execution precise (limit vs market)?
• ❓ Any slippage or management improvements?
• ❓ Was I patient enough?
USNAS100 Outlook – CPI Data to Confirm Breakout or PullbackUSNAS100 – Bullish Momentum Holds Ahead of CPI
USNAS100 continues to show strong bullish momentum, trading above 22,905 and recently printing a new all-time high (ATH).
As long as price remains above this level, the next upside target is 23,170, followed by 23,300.
Market Focus – CPI Data Today:
• Expected: 2.6%
• Below 2.6% → bullish reaction likely
• Above 2.6% → bearish pressure expected
• Exactly 2.6% → could trigger a short-term bearish pullback
Key Risk Level:
A confirmed break below 22,905 would signal weakness and open the door for a correction toward 22,615.
Trendline Breakout for Wave 3Navitas is currently looking at breaking out of its recent downtrend to potentially begin wave 3 of its move up, which, as we all know, is the most impulsive move.
Could be very tasty after a 350% pump already
Need to get above the range POC and breakout of the trend line, would be looking to get in on the retest of the downtrend line.
Stellar (XLM) Rejected Hard—Brace for $0.25 Next?On the daily chart of XLM/USDT, price has made a steep, parabolic rise, pushing directly into a well-established resistance zone around $0.5155. This level has historically capped price moves, evident from several prior swing highs clustering near this area. The rally itself unfolded rapidly, without significant consolidation, leaving a series of untested supports in its wake.
This combination—a near-vertical climb into resistance—often signals buyer exhaustion. Indeed, the rejection candle formed right at the $0.5155 ceiling, which strengthens the bearish argument.
Below the current price action, there is a broad support zone between $0.3347 and $0.3504. This area previously acted as resistance earlier in the year and is likely to attract some buying interest if price pulls back decisively. Beneath it lie deeper supports around $0.2500, $0.2268, and $0.2000—levels that remain untested during this move up.
While the chart does not display volume bars, the sheer steepness of the final leg suggests momentum was likely unsustainable. Often, such aggressive spikes without healthy consolidation result in a retracement of 30–50% or more.
One critical factor to watch is whether price manages to reclaim and hold above $0.5155. Failure to do so implies that sellers remain in control, raising the probability of a broader pullback toward the mid-$0.30s or lower.
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📉 Why This Setup Leans Bearish
This chart structure supports a bearish thesis because:
• Price is reacting strongly to historical resistance.
• The rally was parabolic, making it prone to sharp corrections.
• There is no clear consolidation base above the breakout point.
• Several untested support levels remain below current price, which the market may revisit.
If this move is indeed an exhaustion spike, the next phase is typically a retest of the last major consolidation area around $0.3504–$0.3347.
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📊 Potential Bearish Trading Setup
Here is a structured trading idea to consider:
Short Entry Zone:
• Retest of the $0.5155–$0.5200 resistance area.
• Look for confirmation by way of bearish candlestick patterns (shooting star, bearish engulfing, or consecutive rejection wicks).
Stop Loss:
• Conservative stop above $0.6374 to allow for volatility.
• Alternatively, a tighter stop just above $0.5200 if using smaller size.
Targets:
• First target: $0.3504 (major support).
• Second target: $0.2500.
• Third target: $0.2000–$0.2268 (deeper retracement zone).
ETHUSD REACHED NEW HIGH - SHORT OPPORTUNITY
TRADING IDEA - ETHUSD REACHED NEW HIGH - SHORT OPPORTUNITY📉
The same as BTCUSD, ETHUSD has reached a new maximum at 3.083.52. After that the asset went sideways, waiting for some impulse. I see strong divergence on 4h timeframe on RSI and expect a decline within next 24-48 hours. Basically, it is the same story here as with the bitcoin, cause the nature of the recent hike is also the same. So, I put a
🔽 a market sell order at 2977.94 with
❌a stop loss at 3183.83 and
🤑a take profit at 2718.11
It is a counter-trend trade, so it's a bit more risky than usual.
Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
Eyes on 3335–3325: Next Bullish Launchpad!!!Today, gold hit 3375 several times and then fell back after encountering resistance. The lowest has reached 3341. Although the rising structure has not been completely destroyed, and the technical double bottom structure and the inverted head and shoulder structure support resonance effect still exist below, since gold fell below 3350, it has not even been able to stand above 3350 in the current rebound. The gold bull pattern has been weakened to a certain extent, and the market has begun to diverge in the long and short consciousness.
Gold encountered resistance and fell back near 3375 three times, proving that the upper resistance is relatively strong. Gold must increase liquidity by retracement to store more energy for breakthrough, so the short-term correction of gold is actually within my expectations, which is why I advocate brave shorting of gold today! However, according to the current retracement range and the fact that gold has been unable to stabilize above 3350, I believe that gold has not fallen to the right level and there is still room for retracement below. So I think gold will continue to pull back to test the 3335-3325 area. If gold retests this area and does not fall below, we can boldly go long on gold in this area.
Once gold rebounds after testing the 3335-3325 area, as liquidity increases, the market may form a strong bullish force to support gold to continue its rebound and continue to the 3380-3390 area, or even the 3400-3410 area.
EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT
TRADING IDEA UPDATE - EURUSD SEEMS TO FIND SUPPORT🦾
EURUSD seems to find support on a trendline and shows us divergence on RSI on 1-h timeframe. So, I decided to close my trade in advance before my stop loss gets triggered and open long position with a
🔼 a market buy order at 1.16833 with
❌a stop loss at 1.16324 and
🤑a take profit at 1.18266
Additionally, today is the U.S. CPI report data coming out. Market expects the annual inflation to be around 2.7%. Me, personally, think that actual June inflation will be a bit lower, which may provide some fundamental support to the EURUSD. Will see.
Converging triangle, may rise again in the short termUnder the influence of recent tariffs and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the main trend of the gold market remains bullish, but from the weekly and monthly level analysis, there is a high probability that it will pull back again after this round of highs and maintain a large range of fluctuations at a high level. Technical analysis shows that gold currently does not have the conditions for a unilateral surge at the daily level. Although the key level of 3345 has been broken, the continuity of the market is extremely poor, and volatility is still the main theme. At present, the trend of gold has formed a converging triangle pattern, and it may rise again in the short term. However, we need to be vigilant that the weekly line may form a high-rise and fall pattern, and the price of gold may fall back to 3300! Therefore, in today's late trading, you can consider retreating to the 3335-3330 area to go long
OANDA:XAUUSD
Bitcoin in New Ascending channel wait for 160K$As we can see Price broke previous ATH & channel resistance together and is holding strong, if it continue soon new channel is path to claim for Price based on chart and targets like 160K is just easy to hit.
So get Ready for new Highs and ATH here also this breakout to upside was mentioned in previous analysis and now that it is happening don't get surprise if you see notifications like Bitcoin new ATH 150K$.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
ETHUSDT Ready for 3K$ and New possible ATH after YearsSoon Red trendline resistance And 4K$ resistances will break and market will easily continue this bull Move and reaching new highs here After each other.
I am expecting more rise here at least to 3500$ near red trendline resistance and only after a valid breakout there more pump is expected like green arrow.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
GOLD → Consolidation. Long squeeze before growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD has broken through resistance at 3353-3357 since the session opened, and bulls are currently trying to keep the market in the buying zone. Should we expect a long squeeze before growth?
Gold is in local consolidation after breaking through a key level. The price is still in the consolidation phase formed during a week-and-a-half correction. The price reached a three-week high of $3,374 on Monday but fell after the EU's conciliatory statements. Investors are awaiting US inflation data and Chinese GDP figures as they assess the prospects for a Fed rate cut. Heightened geopolitical and trade tensions are keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Technically, gold has entered a local buying zone, but there is a fairly complex resistance zone above it, and consolidation is needed to break through it. Such patterns could include a retest of support and a liquidity grab before growth.
Resistance levels: 3373, 3394
Support levels: 3357, 3353, 3345
There is a possibility of a retest of eql 3353 in a long squeeze format and a return to resistance at 3373 for a breakout. I also do not rule out a retest of the key level of 3345. The global trend is bullish, with the price locally in a fairly wide range, with an emphasis on the support zone of 3345-3355. If the bulls can hold this zone overall, the market will have a good chance of rising to 3400-3450
Best regards, R. Linda!
USDJPY Short: Completion of Triple Combination Sub-wave 2Hello everyone! Over in this video, I analyzed the USDJPY and go through how I counted the waves and go through the lower levels sub-wave counts. I believe that USDJPY has completed a triple combination with the Z wave as a 5-wave structure. I talk about how this final wave might not be ideal and propose how the waves might be viewed in a different perspective. However, I believe also that the price is now good enough to short and propose a scaling-in method to short USDJPY.
Eventually, I think that USDJPY will go down to the lower trendline and break it. However, we will have to revisit the chart again when it does to see how the waves unfolded and then decide how to trade it.
Finally, as always, keep your risk tight and Good luck!
USDJPY InsightHello to all subscribers,
Please feel free to share your personal thoughts in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- U.S. President Trump raised tariff uncertainty by sending tariff letters to 25 countries, but mentioned that “negotiations remain open with major trading partners like the EU,” reigniting TACO trading sentiment.
- Trump warned that if Russia does not reach a ceasefire agreement with Ukraine within 50 days, the U.S. will impose “secondary tariffs” on Russia and any countries conducting trade with it.
- BOE Governor Andrew Bailey hinted that the Bank of England could cut interest rates more aggressively if needed.
Key Economic Events This Week
+ July 15: U.S. June Consumer Price Index (CPI)
+ July 16: U.K. June CPI, U.S. June Producer Price Index (PPI)
+ July 17: Eurozone June CPI
USDJPY Chart Analysis
The pair showed a mild upward trend near the 142 level and successfully rose to the 148 level. The direction is expected to shift around the 148 resistance. If it fails to break through, a decline back to 142 is likely. However, if it breaks above 148, a further rise toward the 151 level is expected.
Crude oil rises slowly but falls quickly?
💡Message Strategy
International oil prices continued to climb on Monday, but the gains were limited. Brent crude futures rose 8 cents to $70.44 a barrel, continuing Friday's 2.51% rise. U.S. WTI crude rose 5 cents to $68.50, having surged 2.82% the previous trading day.
The main driving force behind this round of gains came from the market's expectation that the United States would further increase sanctions on Russia. U.S. President Trump said on Sunday that he would provide Ukraine with the Patriot air defense missile system and would make a "major statement" on the Russian issue on Monday.
The contradiction between supply and demand is also intensifying. According to market surveys, Brent crude oil rose by 3% last week and WTI rose by 2.2%. The International Energy Agency (IEA) pointed out that although the market supply and demand appear to be balanced on the surface, the actual global oil supply may be tighter than expected due to the summer refining peak and rising electricity demand.
📊Technical aspects
WTI crude oil continued its rebound from last week's low on the daily chart, and the current price is running at the downward support of $66.70, indicating that the short-term bullish power has increased. The MACD indicator shows a golden cross and initial volume, and the momentum column begins to turn positive, indicating that the price is expected to challenge the previous high area (69.50-70.20 US dollars).
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil is highly repetitive, and the oil price is supported at the lower edge of the wide range and rises again. The short-term objective trend direction is upward within the range. The bullish momentum is sufficient.
💰Strategy Package
Long Position:65.50-66.50,SL:64.00,Target:69.00-70.00
INTC – Breakout Confirmed, Bullish Continuation Inside AscendingIntel NASDAQ:INTC has broken above previous resistance and a descending trendline, confirming a bullish reversal.
Price is currently respecting an ascending channel and forming higher highs and higher lows. The breakout retest around $22.50 has held as new support.
If the current structure remains intact, price could continue toward the $26.00–$26.50 resistance zone. A breakout above this zone opens the door for a move toward $28+.
Key levels:
Support: $22.50 (previous resistance)
Resistance: $26.00–$26.50
Trend structure: Bullish channel
Volume supports the trend, and price is trading above both the 50 SMA and 200 SMA.
📌 Watching for a pullback and continuation move inside the channel.
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research.