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XAUUSD - Gold Awaits Tariff News?!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly chart and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. We remain bullish on the commodity and can expect to see $3,400. A correction towards the demand zones would provide us with a better risk-reward buying opportunity. Gold markets experienced significant volatility this past week, largely driven by global trade developments and speculation over future Federal Reserve actions. Although gold posted a positive weekly performance, it remained confined within its recent trading range and continued to trade cautiously. Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, noted, “Gold saw declines on Monday and Tuesday, but a three-day rally brought the week to a positive close. It appears that the announcement of new U.S. tariffs played a major role in this rebound. However, it remains uncertain whether the consolidation phase following the historic high near $3,500 has concluded.” Adam Button, head of currency strategy at Forexlive.com, said that since the passage of the “Big, Beautiful Bill” last week, markets have split into two opposing camps. “The optimists are enthusiastically buying equities, while the pessimists are flocking to precious metals. The bulls believe the budget deficit could stimulate growth, but the bears are concerned about the long-term burden of repaying it.” He continued: “This divide is evident across the market. Bearish capital is flowing into bitcoin, silver, and gold. While retail traders are largely focused on bitcoin and silver, gold remains the preferred safe haven for central banks and global reserve managers. These institutions are likely observing Trump’s policies and the political landscape carefully before reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and reallocating reserves toward gold.” He added, “Among retail traders, patience seems to have worn thin, and many are ready to enter the market aggressively.” Button also stated that the markets are no longer reacting seriously to Trump’s tariff rhetoric. “The reaction of the Canadian dollar after the 35% tariff announcement on Thursday clearly reflected this indifference. Even the Brazilian real barely moved despite facing unexpected tariffs. Now all eyes are on the potential tariffs on Europe—an announcement that could come at any moment and serve as a key test. Still, I expect the market will shrug it off. The only question is whether that indifference lasts an hour or even less.” Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank has issued a warning that financial markets may be underestimating the risk of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell being dismissed by Trump. According to Bloomberg, George Saravelos, the bank’s senior strategist, said that such a move could result in a 3–4% drop in the U.S. dollar and a 30–40 basis point surge in Treasury yields within a single day. He emphasized that removing Powell would be a significant blow to the Fed’s independence and would raise concerns about direct political interference in monetary policymaking. The market’s long-term response would depend on Trump’s nominee to replace Powell, how other Fed officials react, and the overall state of the economy. Deutsche Bank also warned that the U.S.’s weak external financing position could amplify market volatility well beyond the initial shock. Looking ahead to next week, investors will be closely watching developments around trade tariffs, but special attention will also be paid to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June. According to the ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), prices in the manufacturing sector have slightly accelerated, while price components in the non-manufacturing sector have dropped notably. Since manufacturing only accounts for 10% of U.S.GDP, the risks to CPI appear skewed to the downside. A slowdown in inflation may lead some market participants to reassess the likelihood of a July rate cut—potentially halting the recent upward momentum of the U.S. dollar. On Wednesday, June’s Producer Price Index (PPI) data will be released, followed by June retail sales figures on Thursday. Additionally, Friday will see the preliminary results of the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey for July. This report is closely watched for its one-year inflation expectations. The annual rate surged to 6.6% in May before dropping to 5% in June. If this downward trend continues, it could reinforce the view that inflation risks are easing, potentially leading to a modest pullback in the dollar.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Nifty has taken support at 25K but can the support hold?Nifty today took a meaningful support at 25001 and bounced close to 25082. However ending the was in the negative by 67.55 points. RSI today went as low as 13.52 indication of oversold market. IT was a major drag after result that market did not like. Now the resistances in front of Nifty are at 25106, Father Line Resistance at 25106, 25234, Mother Line Resistance at 25297, 25403 and finally 25543. Supports for Nifty remain at 25K, 24866 Chanel Bottom support and finally 24752. Below 24752 Bears can totally take control of the market if we reach there. Things are in balance right now with Mid-cap, Small-cap starting to see some buying. If IT can hold the levels we will see growth from here. If IT index further caves in and other indices do not support we can see a down side. Shadow of the candle right now is neutral to negative. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NSE:NIFTY
by Happy_Candles_Investment
EURUSD Testing Patience – Bearish Trend Not Over YetEURUSD – Overview EURUSD continues to trade under pressure amid bearish momentum, respecting key technical levels. The price maintains bearish momentum as long as it trades below 1.1745, with downside targets at 1.1627 and 1.1557. A retest of 1.1745 is possible and considered normal in this structure. However, if the price stabilizes below 1.1684, it will likely continue dropping toward the support targets. To shift back to a bullish bias, the pair must break and hold above 1.1745. Pivot Line: 1.1695 Support Levels: 1.1627 – 1.1557 Resistance Levels: 1.1745 – 1.1810 previous idea:
Short
by SroshMayi
Gold bulls explode to new highs 💡Message Strategy Gold prices hit a three-week high near $3,375 an ounce in early trading on Monday before retreating. Gold prices are under selling pressure again as buyers failed to sustain higher levels hit earlier on Monday. Gold prices hit a three-week high in early Asian trading on Monday, supported by safe-haven demand after U.S. President Trump threatened to impose 30% tariffs on imports from the European Union and Mexico. Gold prices encountered resistance just below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement of April’s record rally at $3,377 an ounce in early Asian trading on Monday. Despite the pullback, the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) continues to show additional upside as the indicator is well above its midline, currently near 54.20. 📊Technical aspects Gold 4H chart. From the perspective of the morphological structure, gold has recently been rising in lows, and has been oscillating upward along the rising trend line, moving out of the standard rising trend wave rhythm. On Friday night, the bulls once again made a strong effort to break through the key pressure level of 3345.0, further opening up the bullish upside space, and the market outlook continues to see the bullish continuation of the market. According to the comprehensive MACD indicator, the fast and slow lines are running above the 0 axis, indicating that the bullish power dominates the market trend. In terms of strategy, it is recommended to follow the bullish rebound wave trend to find support levels and ambush long orders. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3335-3340，SL：3320，Target: 3390-3400
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Explosive Rebound: Delcath at Critical Support Zone!Delcath Systems (DCTH) has pulled back to a key long-term support trendline after a sharp correction, presenting an exciting opportunity for a powerful rebound. The stock has respected this rising support for over a year, and buyers have historically stepped in at this level. With the analyst price target set much higher at $24.29, risk/reward here is highly attractive. A confirmed bounce could ignite strong momentum toward previous highs and beyond. I’m watching closely for bullish price action and increased volume to signal entry. Stop placement should be just below the trendline to manage risk. Not financial advice—always use proper risk management and do your own research!
NASDAQ:DCTHLong
by NinjaCodeSolutions
Gold continues to rise after keeping low and breaking high Last Thursday and Friday, I repeatedly mentioned the position of 3344 to my members. As a strong resistance position in the early stage, every time the price falls below the low point, the pressure to find the bottom and rebound is this area, and then continue to break the low under pressure. This time, we emphasize that breaking through and standing firmly on 3344 is the key. If it can break through and stand firmly, the next resistance is 3358, followed by 3373. Now the price has broken upward as expected, completing the qualitative change. The next step is to look at the switching of space. Keep low and break high to see acceleration. After breaking the low point, consider sweeping. Specific key points are expanded: 1. The daily line pattern is still closing and flat. The lifeline is the space switching point in the past one or two months, which will determine the subsequent market space rhythm. At present, the price has successfully broken through the lifeline and switched upward to enter the lifeline to the upper track. 3339-3396 Then, in the case of subsequent market holding the lifeline, maintain the upper range sweep, yes, it is still the rhythm of sweeping, just change the space 2. The four-hour pattern opens slightly upward, pointing to the upward direction Starting from the lower track 3283 of the squat probe pattern, it has risen steadily. After repeatedly determining the lifeline position 3310 area, it will start to rise further and the pattern will open upward The lifeline position coincides with the support 3330-3328 area repeatedly determined last Friday, and together they become the last defensive dividing line for the bulls to rise 3. The double-line interval 3330-3325 of the hourly chart has become a space switching area, which previously suppressed the price from falling further, and now it has turned into support, and will rely on the price to further rise Step up, pay attention to the role of the dividing line 4. Maintain the idea of switching with the same profit space, start from 3283 and calculate 3313, then 3328, then 3343, then 3358, and finally 3373, and then 3388, and 3403 (here needs to be highlighted) 5. As shown in the figure, the purple large channel range is swept, the space range is about 100-150 US dollars, this wave of increase is about 100 US dollars, and there is still room to pay attention to. The upper track of the channel overlaps with the upper track of the daily line pattern in the 3396-3400 area, and the 3403 position mentioned above together become the next space dividing line area In summary, for the current gold, it is still in the rising stage, and the idea remains low and bullish. Pay attention to the process The intensity and amplitude of the adjustment can be squatted to gain leverage, or sideways for a period of time to gain space. Both are ways of correction. After the correction is completed, continue to be bullish and break through. Referring to this idea, we gave a long position from 3358-3356 in the afternoon. As expected, it sprinted to 3375 as of press time. Those who keep positions should pay attention to the upward loss point, and then pay attention to further rise. Of course, today's trend will be more tiring, so there is still an opportunity to step back and buy low. Pay attention to the 3364-3362 position to continue to buy low (aggressive 3366 can start), stop loss 3355, target 3380-3388 Another extreme sweep needs to pay attention to the 3342-3339 and 3330-3328 areas. This needs to be determined according to the situation. Pay attention to 3388 and 3396-3403 when switching upward.
TVC:GOLDLong
by jiqeu1
1
NZDJPY: Another Bullish Wave Ahead?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵 NZDJPY violated a significant daily resistance cluster last week. The broken structure and a rising trend line compose a contracting demand zone now. That will be the area from where I will anticipate a bullish movement. Next resistance - 89.0 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
2
Crude oil awaits upward breakthrough 💡Message Strategy Inventory data provides short-term support, but it is difficult to change the trend Although oil prices are under pressure overall, inventory data released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) show that as of last week, U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories have dropped significantly, while gasoline consumption has increased by 6% month-on-month to 9.2 million barrels per day, indicating that the summer driving peak has brought short-term positive factors. In addition, global aviation demand has also become an important variable to boost market sentiment. JPMorgan Chase pointed out in a client report: "In the first eight days of July, the global daily number of flights reached an average of 107,600, a record high, among which aviation activities in Asian countries have recovered to the peak in nearly five months." The bank also expects that the average daily global crude oil demand growth this year will be 970,000 barrels, which is basically consistent with its forecast of 1 million barrels at the beginning of the year, indicating that although the consumption end is under pressure, it has not yet experienced a cliff-like decline. 📊Technical aspects The short-term (4H) trend of crude oil breaks through the upper resistance of the range and runs in an upward trend. The moving average system is arranged in a bullish pattern, and the short-term objective trend direction is upward. The MACD indicator opens upward above the zero axis, and the bullish momentum is sufficient. The oil price fluctuates in a narrow range, and it is expected that the crude oil will continue to rise. In terms of operation, crude oil is mainly long at a low level. If it rises to the target point, the direction will be selected according to the pattern and continued attention will be paid. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:65.50-66.50，SL：64.00，Target:69.00-70.00
TVC:USOILLong
by TheodoreSilas
USDJPY: Bearish Divergence – Eyeing Shorts to 143 CAPITALCOM:USDJPY We’re seeing strong bearish divergence in USDJPY near the 148 resistance zone, shifting our focus to short opportunities with a medium-term target at 142. 📈 Trading Plan: 🔻 SELL Stop: 147.040 ❌ Stop Loss: 149.220 ✅ Take Profit: 143.000 (Click 👉 Trade Now 👈 on your mobile to copy SL & TP easily) 🔍 Why am I short here? ✅ Technical: Clear bearish divergence on the H4 (RSI & MACD), indicating potential reversal signals. ✅ Resistance Zone: Price is testing the key 148 resistance, providing an ideal risk-reward location for shorts. ✅ Macro Event: Ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI release, a conservative trade structure is maintained to manage volatility risks. 📰 Fundamental Snapshot: Japan’s economy shows signs of stabilization: Core machinery orders fell only 0.6% MoM in May to ¥913.5B, much better than April’s -9.1% and forecasts of -1.5%. Despite the headline decline, it indicates resilience in Japan’s capital spending, supporting the JPY’s medium-term outlook amid global trade and growth risks. Trade cautiously!
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal). Here's why we're likely going a little higher. First correction of -32% Followed by first peak, ATH Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are: Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Long
by BlockTechEv
19
NASDAQ at Risk – Tariffs Pressure Tech IndexUSNAS100 – Market Outlook The index is currently in a sensitive zone, heavily influenced by ongoing tariff tensions. If the current geopolitical pressure continues, it may fuel bearish momentum across the tech-heavy index. To regain a bullish outlook, we need to see signs of negotiation or de-escalation, which could stabilize the price and lead it toward 23010 and 23170. However, as of today, the market appears to be setting up for a correction, potentially dipping to 22815, followed by a deeper bearish move targeting 22420. Support Levels: 22615 – 22420 Resistance Levels: 22905 – 23010
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
NAS100 - Stock market awaits inflation!The index is located between EMA200 and EMA50 on the one-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel and confirming it after breaking the downtrend line will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets (23000), but in case of no increase and channel failure, one can look for selling positions up to the target of 22500. Last week, the U.S.dollar demonstrated strong performance against major global currencies, despite having experienced some weakness since April 2, when President Donald Trump announced retaliatory tariffs against key U.S. trading partners. However, these tariffs were ultimately postponed, and only a baseline 10% tariff was maintained. The 90-day deadline for implementing these tariffs, originally set to expire on Wednesday, has now been extended to August 1. Nevertheless, Trump surprised the markets this week by announcing a 25% tariff on imports from Japan and South Korea, threatening a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods, and implementing lower tariffs for other partners. These developments triggered a shift of capital toward the U.S. dollar as a safe-haven asset, boosting its strength. This marks a notable shift in how the dollar is reacting to tariff tensions. In April, fears of an economic slowdown weighed on the greenback, but now it is gaining traction as a refuge in times of uncertainty, particularly as inflation risks mount—contributing to choppy moves in U.S. equity markets. As is customary, the earnings season will kick off with reports from major banks and financial institutions. On Tuesday, JPMorgan is set to release its financial results, opening the floodgates for a wave of earnings reports. The image referenced lists several other companies, many of which are market heavyweights. Following a relatively quiet week due to Independence Day holidays and a lack of major economic data, markets are now gearing up for a steady stream of reports in the coming days. Tuesday will bring the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June along with the Empire State manufacturing survey. On Wednesday, the spotlight will shift to the Producer Price Index (PPI) for the same month. Then, on Thursday, traders will focus on June’s retail sales report, the Philadelphia Fed’s manufacturing survey, and the weekly jobless claims figures. The week will conclude with two additional reports on Friday: the June housing starts data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index. June’s CPI report is expected to reflect an uptick in inflation, potentially driven by Trump’s tariff policies. Some analysts believe the tariffs will have an “undeniable” impact on prices, though others remain uncertain. Despite concerns from both experts and consumers that businesses might pass tariff costs on to buyers, inflation has so far remained relatively moderate this year. The effects of Trump’s aggressive tariff campaign on hard economic data have not yet been clearly reflected—but that may be about to change. According to Bloomberg’s consensus forecasts, as cited by Wells Fargo Securities, the CPI is expected to show a 2.7% year-over-year increase in June—up from 2.4% the previous month. Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to have risen 3% over the same period, compared to a prior gain of 2.8%. If these numbers come in as expected, it could support the forecasts of analysts who have warned that the costs of Trump’s heavy import tariffs would eventually show up on price tags, as manufacturers, importers, and retailers pass along the burden through the supply chain. Since taking office, Trump has imposed a wide array of tariffs, including a 10% levy on most imports, a 25% duty on foreign automobiles, and tariffs exceeding 50% on Chinese products.
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Ali_PSND
Gold Bullish Above 3342 – Watching 3365 BreakoutGold Futures Rise on Trade & Geopolitical Tensions Gold continues to gain as renewed tariff threats from the U.S. and rising geopolitical risks weigh on market sentiment. While markets have become somewhat desensitized to Trump’s recurring trade rhetoric, concerns remain that resolutions may be delayed. Technical Outlook: As long as the price holds above 3342, the bullish trend is likely to continue toward 3355 and 3365. A stable close above 3365 would open the way to 3395. However, a 1H close below 3342 may trigger a pullback to 3329. Pivot: 3342 Resistance: 3355, 3365, 3395 Support: 3329, 3319, 3309
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SroshMayi
8
Gold gaps up and open higher,beware of going long at high levelsBros, the Asian session opened higher in the morning. Currently, gold is falling back to the SMA1O moving average. We will continue to be bullish after it falls back and stabilizes. At present, it has broken through the key resistance level of 3360. The daily line has shown a strong pattern of three consecutive positives. The gold price remains in the rising channel, and the bullish trend is obvious. As the gold price moves up, the short-term moving average moves up with it. At present, 3355-3345 constitutes an important support in the short term, and 3375-3385 above constitutes a short-term resistance area. Whether it can stand firmly above 3360 this week is the key. Severe overbought in the short term, there are trading risks for long positions at high levels. Short-term operation suggestions for the Asian and European sessions: consider shorting when it touches 3365-3375, and stop loss when it breaks 3375. The target focuses on 3355-3345, and the breakout looks at 3330-3320. On the contrary, if it stabilizes at 3355-3345, you can consider going long.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HuntingWolves
3
Short position profit, focus on 3355-3345 support📰 News information： 1. Focus on tomorrow's CPI data 2. Bowman's speech at the Federal Reserve 3. Tariff information outflows and countries' responses to tariff issues 📈 Technical Analysis： The short-term bears have successfully hit the TP to realize profits, and the trading strategy is still valid. Continue to pay attention to the 3355-3345 support during the day. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long. For the rebound, the first TP can focus on the 3365 line. If the gold price breaks through 3380 in the future, it will not be far from 3400. If it falls below, pay attention to the support of 3330-3320 below. It is expected that this is the limit position of short-term bearishness. The impact of tariffs is still there, and the bullish trend remains optimistic in the short term, unless Europe, Japan and other countries have a new solution to tariffs. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3355-3345 TP 3365-3380-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
The bulls have started, aiming at 3400!Gold rose as soon as the market opened, and the highest has now reached above 3374. The upward momentum of gold is strong. It can be seen that after breaking through the recent high of 3365, its morphological structure has obviously tended to a bullish structure, and the technical form shows a "W" double bottom structure and an inverted head and shoulder resonance. The resonance of this technical structure will continue to support the continued rise of gold. At present, gold is under pressure near the 3380 area in the short term, followed by the area near 3405. At present, gold has a technical retracement near 3380, but it is difficult to destroy the already formed rising structure based on the current retracement strength. Once gold rises again, 3380 will definitely be conquered! It will even continue to the 3400-3410 area; and the area with obvious short-term support is concentrated in the 3350-3340-3330 area, so gold may still rebound again with the support of this area after the decline, and continue to rise. So for short-term trading, I would consider buying gold in batches based on the support of the 3350-3330 area, with the first target looking at 3380, followed by the 3400-3410 area.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trading_Steffen
GBPUSD → Correction amid a global bullish trend...FX:GBPUSD is testing the 1.345 - 1.35 area as part of a correction. The price is closing the imbalance zone and testing support, which may trigger a reaction. Further developments will largely depend on the dollar, which is testing resistance. The daily market structure is quite strong. The correction against the backdrop of a strong trend is within acceptable limits, and bulls should fight to keep the price away from risk zones. GBPUSD, as part of the correction, closes the imbalance zone of 1.34 - 1.35 (0.7 - 0.79f) and forms a false breakdown of the intermediate support level of 1.3476. If buyers hold their ground in the 1.347-1.35 zone, the currency pair will be able to return to the global trend. Support levels: 1.3476, 1.345, 1.3382 Resistance levels: 1.3511, 1.359, 1.375 Price consolidation above 1.349 - 1.350 will confirm the market's intentions. In this case, we can expect growth to 1.36 - 1.374. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
14