If it rises above 0.07728, a sharp rise is expectedHello?
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(TRXUSDT chart)
Looking at the 1M and 1W charts, it is expected to continue its upward trend as it has risen above the respective HA-High indicators.
(1D chart)
However, since it is located below the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart, the important question is whether it can be supported by rising above 0.07728.
If support is confirmed by rising above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart, it is expected to rise to around 0.09029.
If it rises above the HA-High indicator, it is likely to break the previous high.
However, since the volatility is highly likely to form, careful trading is required.
The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 0.07288 point.
So, we need to see if we can get support and rise around 0.07192-0.07288.
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** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Even if you know other people's know-how, it takes a considerable period of time to make it your own.
** This is a chart created with my know-how.
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TRON
TRX founder Justin Sun 17 days to respond to US District Court If you haven`t sold TRX here:
Justin Sun, the CEO and founder of Tron, has been served a summons by the U.S. District Court and is required to respond within 17 days to the United States Securities and Exchange Commission's (U.S. SEC) lawsuit against him for alleged fraudulent crypto trading activity.
The Southern District of New York has given Sun a deadline to reply to the complaint, and the SEC has sent the summons to both his residential and office addresses. Failure to respond may result in a judgement against Sun in favor of the plaintiff.
I expect a major selloff before the expiration date.
looking forward to read your opinion about it.
TRX Potential Death Spiral similar to Terra LUNAHistory repeats itself for those who haven't learned from it.
SEC Charges Crypto Entrepreneur Justin Sun and his Companies for Fraud and Other Securities Law Violations.
Eight celebrities also charged for illegal touting of Sun’s crypto asset securities. But let`s say the market doesn`t care about he Securities and Exchange Commission lawsuit, like we can see reflected in TRX price right now, but...
The reason for the potential collapse of TRX Tron is their stablecoin, USDD.
According to their website, USDD is secured by the over-collateralization of multiple mainstream digital assets (e.g. TRX , BTC , and USDT). The total value of collateralized assets is significantly higher than that of USDD in circulation with the collateral ratio set at 120%.
This is the USDD collateral:
TRX 10,929,535,279
BTC 14,040.6 = about $313Mil
USDT 29,964,253
USDC 39,719,839
so besides TRX , the total amount of other collateral is $383Mil for a stablecoin that has a mk cap of $724Mil.
Now let`s say TRX drops to the Covid level of $0.0072, which is not unrealistic in my opinion.
Then the TRX collateral of 10,929,535,279 coin will be worth $78,692,654.
Assuming that BTC won`t go lower, then still the liquid collateral of USDD will be around $462Mil for a mk cap now of $724Mil, which will result in a huge depegging od the "stablecoin".
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Tron back to ATH or Down to Next Support LevelTron flipped old weekly resistance to support and then broke up and out of a wedge. It is now re-testing the wedge.
- Successful re-test / remain above the wedge, and it will revisit just above its ATH candle close, but below its ATH wick, near the top of resistance around ~24.4 cents.
- Failed re-test may lead to wedge loss and loss of support, with a move down to the next level of support in the 1-2 cent area or ~1.2 cents
Accumulation Phase: #TRXUSD Buyers Prepare for Potential Rally💎#TRXUSDT has emerged as one of the standout performers this year, displaying remarkable resilience during the recent market downturn. The overwhelming presence of buyers is undeniable, indicating a strong likelihood of continued upward momentum.
💎It's worth noting that the price has reclaimed its position above the long-term uptrend trendline, which now serves as a potential support level. This suggests that buyers are actively accumulating, and could be setting the stage for a rapid rally in the near future.
💎We might witness a substantial 40% surge in #TRX, with a test of the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance or even a push towards the upper boundary of the long-term range. However, it's crucial to keep in mind that this bullish scenario remains valid only as long as #Tron maintains its position above the trendline.
Stay tuned and seize the opportunities, ParadiseClub members! 🌴💎
TRX Break Out Failed, Possibly Heading Under 3 cents in 2024One of the most important things in trading is forego your own wants and want what the market wants. When Glenn Neely and I first came up with the x-wave idea for BTC, I did not want to believe it was true and I continued to WANT my diametric pattern to be the end of the bear market, as it had been for the last few months. As time has gone on it gets harder to deny that what we have formed over the last few months is an x-wave, on both BTC and TRX and the vast majority of crypto assets, and that we are only a little past half way finished with this bear market that began in 2021.
The market is probably going to go to max pain from here. That means another 1-2 years of bear market and the global crypto market cap being slashed in half over that time.
This is based almost entirely on the wave forecast, which indicates the bull market over the last few months is an x-wave. The reason why this is now being considered as an x-wave instead of the beginning of a new bull run is because we did not see the required confirmatory price action following the bottom in January. We should have seen moves much bigger and faster than wave-b, what we had, especially on TRX, was a move which is far smaller and far slower than wave-b. This is not what the beginning of a new bull market looks like.
In particular on TRX it looks like it has formed a contracting triangle after wave-g, which is very weak and not at all how a bull market should begin, but it does form into a very nice looking x-wave. This is likely to be followed by another diametric which could take just as long as the previous one, and will probably be slightly shorter, taking TRX to under 3 cents. After this happens probably sometime in 2024 we will begin to see a move bringing TRX above 1 USD and probably much higher than that. Momentum is also bearish on multiple timeframes including the weekly and the monthly. Neely River Theory has also not given any buy signals on TRX yet and remains in bearish territory.
On top of that, the regulatory issues in the US, and the lack of new money coming from other parts of the world like China is a major headwind for the whole market. A Wells Notice received by Coinbase at the same time the SEC sued Justin Sun implies that Coinbase will soon be charged with operating an unlicensed securities exchange, and may have to pause and seriously wind down operations until the court case is finished. The exact timing of when this lawsuit will be filed is not clear, but one thing is almost certain is they will be sued eventually after receiving a well's notice, and the comments made by Brian Armstrong indicate they are coming after their core spot business model. This is being considered as a possible regulatory trigger for this protracted bear market, however there are many other possible events which could cause negative headwinds especially from a regulatory standpoint, like Ripple losing their lawsuit or seeing it drag on for another year or two, and further ugly developments in Justin Sun's suit or other developers being sued. The reason this is significant is because it will seriously hinder new money coming in from the US, and short of mainland China opening retail crypto exchanges it's hard to imagine anyway that new money is going to be coming into the market at the same pace as 2017 or 2013. The lawsuits against Ripple and Justin Sun are also very significant because they hinder big developer's ability to effectively market their cryptos to US-based persons, or even through social media platforms like Twitter which may have US citizens browsing on there, opening developers up to liability if they advertise on these platforms or within the US, again severely reducing the flow of new money into the market, which is required for any real bull market to emerge.
Whatever the eventual trigger is for this bear market, most important to this analysis is the Wave theory which indicates, based on the rule of reverse logic, that we are only near the middle of this bear market and this could drag on until next year. As much as I didn't want to believe this at first and I wanted to assume even if we do get a wave down it will be quick, that is most likely not what the market wants. Based on the best wave analysis possible, all signs point to this going to max pain, which is a very deep, protracted bear market that could drag on well into next year.
The attitudes of many traders I have seen, especially to bearish ideas, are an echo of the peak in November 2021 which I called almost perfectly. The regulatory headwinds are also an echo of the SEC's DeFi crackdown which began in late 2021. And the wave theory and technical indicators here are clear and convincing, just like in 2021. Over leveraged crypto firms like Microstrategy and some BTC miners that are at risk of collapse during a protracted bear market are an echo of Luna, 3AC, and FTX. There may still be some small upside left in wave-x, but short of a massive breakout which would need to go almost completely vertical and send us flying past the velocity of wave-b (which is very unlikely), then we are probably going to form a top here very soon and begin a major decent towards max pain, finally squeezing out these over leveraged crypto firms and creating a temporary fire sale of cryptos.
TRX: Bullish Flag BreakoutTRON (TRX) technical analysis:
Trade setup : A rare asset that’s remained in an uptrend despite the overall market correction, signaling robust demand from buyers. Price broke bullishly out of an Ascending Triangle pattern, which is a sign of an Uptrend. Price got overbought RSI ~ 80 and pulled back near $0.073-$0.075 support, briefly consolidated in a Bullish Flag pattern, and broke out again in the direction of existing uptrend. Next resistance level is $0.09.
Pattern : Bullish Flag pattern. Short term small rectangle trading range between diagonal parallel lines. It moves counter to the prevailing price trend observed in a longer time frame on a price chart. It forms typically following a sharp advance and often indicates a small change in direction (or areas of consolidation) before the previous trend resumes. Flag pattern is among the most reliable continuation patterns that traders use because it generates a setup for entering an existing trend that is ready to continue. Trade is initiated on a breakout, if it is in the same direction as the prevailing trend. Also, with bullish flag patterns, traders prefer a breakout with an increase in volume but it isn’t a must.
Trend : Uptrend across all time horizons (Short- Medium- and Long-Term).
Momentum is Bullish (MACD Line is above MACD Signal Line and RSI is above 55).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.073, (previous resistance) then $0.065. The nearest Resistance Zone is $0.080, which it broke, then $0.090.
TRX Shows Strong GrowthTRX has experienced a growth rate exceeding 10% as a result of renewed demand, reaching the specific resistance range of $0.082-0.086. It is noteworthy to observe that this resistance level has historically elicited significant market reactions. Additionally, the price movement has consistently progressed towards the upper boundary of the medium-term ascending channel. Consequently, there exists a potential for the price trend to consolidate beneath this resistance level. The medium-term outlook for Tron remains optimistic, and under favorable market conditions, a successful breach of the current resistance level may lead to a plausible next target within the $0.10 range.
TRXUSDT(TRON) Daily tf Range Updated till 03-06-23TRXUSDT(TRON) Daily timeframe range. we all know what alt this is. #0.07816 is a solid level we can see last several times fakeout and failed here, so gotta be careful here and potential of setup here too. clearing here can lead the price to jump in above zone.
TRX: Bullish FlagTRON (TRX) technical analysis:
Trade setup : A rare asset that’s remained in an uptrend despite the overall market correction, signaling robust demand from buyers. Price broke bullishly out of an Ascending Triangle pattern, which is a sign of an Uptrend. Price got overbought RSI ~ 80 and pulled back near $0.073-$0.075 support, which could be a potential swing entry with upside potential to $0.09. After a sharp move up, price is consolidating in a Bullish Flag pattern, which typically resolves with a breakout in the direction of existing uptrend.
Pattern : Bullish Flag pattern. Short term small rectangle trading range between diagonal parallel lines. It moves counter to the prevailing price trend observed in a longer time frame on a price chart. It forms typically following a sharp advance and often indicates a small change in direction (or areas of consolidation) before the previous trend resumes. Flag pattern is among the most reliable continuation patterns that traders use because it generates a setup for entering an existing trend that is ready to continue. Trade is initiated on a breakout, if it is in the same direction as the prevailing trend. Also, with bullish flag patterns, traders prefer a breakout with an increase in volume but it isn’t a must.
Trend : Uptrend across all time horizons (Short- Medium- and Long-Term).
Momentum is Mixed as MACD Line is below MACD Signal Line (Bearish) but RSI > 55 (Bullish).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.073, (previous resistance) then $0.065. The nearest Resistance Zone is $0.080, then $0.090.
TRX: Ascending Triangle BreakoutTRON (TRX) technical analysis:
Trade setup : A rare asset that’s remained in an uptrend despite the overall market correction, signaling robust demand from buyers. Price broke above the Ascending Triangle pattern, which is a sign of an Uptrend. However, price is getting overbought RSI ~ 80. Wait for price to pullback near $0.073. This could be a potential swing entry with upside potential to $0.09.
Pattern : Ascending Triangle which is a continuation pattern (it typically breaks out in the direction of existing trend). Most traders wait for a breakout but Swing traders could trade between the trendlines (Buy at Support, Sell at Resistance) as long as the trendlines are still relatively far apart.
Trend : Uptrend across all time horizons (Short- Medium- and Long-Term).
Momentum is Bullish (MACD Line is above MACD Signal Line and RSI is above 55).
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.065, then $0.058. The nearest Resistance Zone is $0.073, which it broke, then $0.090.
Bitcoin is breaking out above the resistance trend line.Bitcoin has broken out above the resistance trend line which is also the upper line of the triangle we anticipated on previous analysis as the bearish pennant structure. However, still there isn't any confirmation for the continuation for this breaking out. Must wait the break also on this horizontal resistance at $27465 level. Also look at the TRX as the hotlist coin for today.
Tron [TRX] to face price rejection at range highTRX has been oscillating within the $0.0670 - $0.0710 range in the second half of May.
Price action has hit the range high and could expose TRX to more selling pressure.
A likely drop could offer a shorting opportunity targeting the support zone of $0.06700 - $0.06770 (cyan).
The zone was a crucial resistance in the second half of April but was flipped to support in May.
Entry: $0.07074 (below range high)
Target: $0.06700 (resistance-cum-support)
Stop-Loss: $0.07176 (above range high)
R:R - 3.9
Tron: Trend is your friendA lot of people getting bullish here but it's important to remember that Tron was and still is in a bearish market structure. Consistent lower highs and the current push still has the potential to be the next lower high. Especially with the current state of the economy, the FED has no intentions of slowing down interest rates. Making it harder to attract money into high-risk plays like altcoins. It is much more likely for the bearish trend to continue and for new lows to form. Best case wait for a strong market structure change and acceptance at higher prices or wait for the market to head lower down to accumulate.
TRONUSD: Logscale AB=CD Looking to Play Out For a 2nd TimeThis is a Cup with Handle and an AB=CD at the same time that I posted before, but it was on the FTX chart and that one actually ended up playing out perfectly but on other exchanges TRXUSD just kinda sat here but now it's breaking out on a Monthly timeframe and it's starting to look like we will be getting the same performance we got on FTX on a more Global level so I'm just reposting it on a chart that's still alive since the FTX chart is gone.
The MACD on the Monthly should also be going into positive territory very soon.
Here is the link to the original setup:
On another note, TRX recently reached the TP target of a more recent daily trend line trade, one could try to hold on for the bigger target presented on the monthly chart, or they could take some profits now given how much they are up. Here's a link to that setup:
Trade Of The Day | TRX | Tron breaking out for potential 8.17%Trade Of The Day | TRX | Tron breaking out for potential 8.17%
Tron has had a ton of bullish news around it recently and the technicals are starting to look pretty good wit ha key breakout now showing. It's a little overbought so could be a little retrace before a bigger move up.
| Breaking Longterm Resistance & Triangle Pattern
| Break and retest Daily 20 EMA
| Bullish Signal
| Overbought so watch out for a retrace maybe into a cup and handle
TRX Tron Double TopThe Double Top and Double Bottom are some of the most obvious and reliable chart patterns in technical analysis, especially for financial instruments that don't trade based on fundamentals, such as TRX Tron.
If it were based on fundamentals, TRX should have been traded much lower by now, considering Justin Sun is being sued by the SEC (Securities and Exchange Commission).
However, that's not the case.
In fact, for crypto technical analysis, which focuses on human behavior in the candlestick charts, it works better than fundamental analysis, which often involves FUD (fear, uncertainty, and doubt) or FOMO (fear of missing out).
According to the Double Top chart pattern, my short-term price target for TRX Tron is $0.054.
I look forward to reading your opinion about it!
TRX: Ascending TriangleTRON (TRX) technical analysis:
Trade setup : A rare asset that’s remained in an uptrend despite the overall market correction, signaling robust demand from buyers. Now it’s trading in an Ascending Triangle, which typical resolves in a bullish breakout in the direction of existing Uptrend. In this case, price needs to break above $0.070-$0.075 resistance zone to signal Uptrend continuation, with upside potential to $0.09 thereafter.
Pattern : Ascending Triangle which is a continuation pattern (it typically breaks out in the direction of existing trend). Most traders wait for a breakout but Swing traders could trade between the trendlines (Buy at Support, Sell at Resistance) as long as the trendlines are still relatively far apart.
Trend : Uptrend across all time horizons (Short- Medium- and Long-Term).
Momentum is Mixed as MACD Line is below MACD Signal Line (Bearish) but RSI > 55 (Bullish). MACD Histogram bars are rising, which suggests that momentum could be nearing another upswing.
Support and Resistance : Nearest Support Zone is $0.065 (previous resistance), then $0.058. The nearest Resistance Zone is $0.071.
TRON (TRX)/USDT WCA - Inverted Head and Shoulders PatternHello and thank you for taking the time to read my post. Today, we analyze TRON (TRX)/USDT on the weekly scale chart, focusing on an exciting price pattern known as the "Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern." In our analysis, this pattern suggests that TRX/USDT could be a strong candidate for an upcoming breakout to the upside.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern:
The inverted head and shoulders pattern is a bullish reversal pattern that occurs at the end of a downtrend. It is characterized by three troughs or valleys, with the middle one being the lowest (the head) and the two on either side being relatively higher (the shoulders). The pattern is completed by a horizontal line called the "neckline," which connects the highs of the shoulders. In a nutshell, the formation of the inverted head and shoulders pattern signals a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend.
Analysis:
The general trend for TRX/USDT has been a downtrend since 12/04/2021, as seen through the diagonal resistance. We broke this resistance on 23/01/2023 and have since been trading sideways. A strong indication of potential support is evident in the wicks (price extremes) highlighted with blue markers, and the 200 EMA playing a supporting role, indicating a bullish environment.
The main focus of our analysis is the perfectly defined inverted head and shoulders pattern. With a clear neckline and horizontal resistance at 0.07201, the two shoulders respect the symmetry line. It appears that the right shoulder is preparing for a test of the neckline. Upon a breakout, the price target would be 0.02615, corresponding to a 36.30% increase. A breakout filter could be applied to avoid premature breakouts.
Conclusion:
The TRX/USDT weekly chart analysis highlights the inverted head and shoulders pattern as a potential breakout candidate to the upside. Traders should closely monitor this pattern and the neckline for any signs of a breakout. As always, it's essential to consider risk management and proper position sizing when trading based on chart patterns.
Please note that this analysis is not financial advice. Always do your own due diligence when investing or trading.
If you found this analysis helpful, please like, share, and follow for more updates. Happy trading!
Best regards,
Karim Subhieh