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TRUMP MEME COIN TO $77 – LAMBO SEASON IS WILL BE HERE!I just did what any rational investor would do… SOLD MY CAR TO GO ALL-IN ON TRUMP COIN! 🚗➡️🚀 Because who needs wheels when you’re aiming for a Lamborghini by year-end? Currently sitting at $10, this absolute rocket ship is gearing up for a 777% move to $77—a number so patriotic it might just get its own national holiday. Elliott Wave 2.0, Fibonacci magic, and pure meme momentum all align for a face-melting rally! 🔥 Catalysts fueling the moon mission: ✅ 2024 election hype = infinite liquidity ✅ Meme magic = unstoppable retail FOMO to kick in ✅ "Only up" is my new trading strategy By the end of the year, we’re either driving Lambos or explaining to Uber drivers how we were “early”. ALL IN, BABY! 🚀🇺🇸
Long
by SabahEquityResearch
1
Soybeans: Deja Vu all over againCBOT: Micro Soybean Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MZS1! ) Let’s rewire the clock back for seven years. In 2018, trade tensions escalated between the US and China, resulting in a series of tariffs and retaliations. On July 6, 2018, US imposed a 25% tariff on $34 billion of Chinese imports. On the same day, China immediately hit back with 25% tariff on equal value of US goods. American soybeans were among the hardest hit by tariffs. The United States has been the largest soybean producer in the world. According to USDA data, American farmers produced 120 million metric tons of soybeans in 2017, contributing to 35.6% of the world production. About 48.2%, or 57.9 metric tons, were exported to the global market, making US the second largest soybean exporter after Brazil. China is the largest soybean consumer and importer. In 2017, it imported 94 million metric tons of soybeans, accounting for 61.7% of the global imports. Brazil and the US were the largest sources of China’s imports, with 53% and 34% shares, respectively. Tariffs on US soybeans punished American farmers. Total tariff level was raised from 5% to 30%. As a result, the FOB cost to Shenzhen harbor in southern China hiked up 700 yuan (=$110) per ton. This made US soybeans 300 yuan more expensive than imports from Brazil. Tariffs priced American farmers out of the Chinese market. According to USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, China imported 1,164 million bushels of US soybeans in 2017. By 2018, China import dropped 74% to 303. While US exports recovered to 831 in 2019, it did not resume to the pre-tariff level until the signing of US-China trade agreement. CBOT soybean futures plummeted 15-20% in the months after the tariffs were imposed. US farmers incurred huge losses from both reduced sales and lower prices. The following illustration is an exercise of our mind, not from actual export data. • Without trade tensions, we assume exports of 1,164 million bushels each in 2018 and 2019, at an average price of $105 per bushel. This comes to a baseline export revenue of $244.4 billion for both years combined. • Tariffs lowered export sales to 1,134 million bushels for the two-year total, at an average price of $87. Thus, the tariff-impacted revenue data comes to $98.6 billion. • The total impact on soybean sales volume would be -51%, from 2,328 down to 1,134. • The total impact on export revenue would be -60%, from $244.4 to $98.6 billion. It is déjà vu all over again. In February 2025, the Trump administration announced 10% additional tariffs on Chinese goods. This was raised by another 10% in March, setting the total to 20%. To retaliate against US tariffs, China imposed import levies covering $21 billion worth of U.S. agricultural and food products, effective March 10th. These comprised a 15% tariff on U.S. chicken, wheat, corn and cotton and an extra levy of 10% on U.S. soybeans, sorghum, pork, beef, aquatic products, fruits and vegetables and dairy imports. This is just the beginning. In the last trade conflict, average US tariff on Chinese imports was raised from 4% to 19%. Now we set the starting point at 39%. How high could it go? From history, we learnt that this could go for several rounds before it settles. Trading with Micro Soybean Futures On March 11th, USDA published its World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report. Both the U.S. and global 2024/25 soybean supply and use projections are basically unchanged this month, meeting market expectations. In the last week, soybean futures bounced back by about 2%, recovered most the lost ground since China first announced the retaliative measures. The latest CFTC Commitments of Traders report shows that, as of March 11th, CBOT soybean futures have total open interest of 810,374 contracts. • Managed Money has 101,927 in long, 109,849 in short, and 108,993 in spreading positions. • It appears that the “Small Money” spreads their money evenly, not knowing which direction the soybean market would go. In my opinion, the futures market so far has completely ignored the possibility of a pro-long trade conflict with China. • Seriously, ten percent is just the start. What if the tariff goes to 30% like in 2018? • How would soybean prices react to a 50% drop in US soybean exports? Anyone with a bearish view on soybeans could express it by shorting the CBOT micro soybean futures (MZS). These are smaller-sized contracts at 1/10 of the benchmark CBOT soybean futures. At 500 bushels per contract, market opportunities are more accessible than ever with lower capital requirements, an initial margin of only $200. Coincidently, Friday settlement price of $10.17 for May contract (MZSK5) is identical to the soybean futures price of $10.40 immediately prior to the 2018 tariff. History may not repeat, but it echoes . At the last time, the tariff on soybeans saw futures prices plummeting 20% within a month. If we were to experience the same, soybeans could drop to $8.00. This is a likely scenario if tariffs were to rise higher. Hypothetically, a decline of $2 per bushel would cause a short futures position to gain $1,000, given each micro contract has a notional of 500 bushels. The risk of short futures is the continuous rise in soybean prices. The trader would be wise to set a stoploss at his sell order. For example, a stop loss at $10.50 would set the maximum loss to $165 (= (10.50-10.17) x 500), which is less than the $200 initial margin. To learn more about all Micro Ag futures contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site: www.cmegroup.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
CBOT_MINI:MZS1!Short
by JimHuangChicago
S&P500 Index Goes 'DRILL BABY DRILL' Mode due to Tariffs BazookaThe Trump administration's aggressive use of tariffs — we termed at @PandorraResearch Team a "Tariff' Bazooka" approach due to their broad, unilateral application — has exerted significant downward pressure on the S&P 500 index through multiple channels. These include direct impacts on corporate profitability, heightened trade war risks, increased economic uncertainty, and deteriorating market sentiment. Direct Impact on Corporate Earnings Tariffs raise costs for U.S. firms reliant on imported inputs, forcing them to either absorb reduced profit margins or pass costs to consumers. For example, intermediate goods like steel and aluminum—key inputs for manufacturing—face steep tariffs, squeezing industries from automakers to construction. Goldman Sachs estimates every 5-percentage-point increase in U.S. tariffs reduces S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) by 1–2%. The 2025 tariffs targeting Canada, Mexico, and China could lower EPS forecasts by 2–3%, directly eroding equity valuations6. Additionally, retaliatory tariffs from trading partners (e.g., EU levies on bourbon and motorcycles) compound losses by shrinking export markets. Trade Escalation and Retaliation The EU’s threat to deploy its Anti-Coercion Instrument—a retaliatory tool designed to counter trade discrimination—could trigger a cycle of tit-for-tat measures. For instance, Canada and Mexico supply over 60% of U.S. steel and aluminum imports, and tariffs on these goods disrupt North American supply chains. Retaliation risks are particularly acute for S&P 500 companies with global exposure: 28% of S&P 500 revenues come from international markets, and prolonged trade wars could depress foreign sales. Economic Uncertainty and Market Volatility The U.S. Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (FED website link added for learning purposes) surged to 740 points early in March 2025, nearing levels last seen during the 2020 pandemic. Historically, such spikes correlate with a 3% contraction in the S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio as investors demand higher risk premiums. Trump’s inconsistent tariff implementation—delaying Mexican tariffs after negotiations but accelerating others—has exacerbated instability. Markets reacted sharply: the S&P 500 fell 3.1% in one week following tariff announcements, erasing all post-election gains. Recession Fears and Sector-Specific Pressures Tariffs have amplified concerns about a U.S. recession. By raising consumer prices and disrupting supply chains, they risk slowing economic growth—a fear reflected in the S&P 500’s 5% decline in fair value estimates under current tariff policies. Industries like technology (dependent on Chinese components) and agriculture (targeted by retaliatory tariffs) face acute pressure. For example, China’s tariffs on soybeans and pork disproportionately hurt rural economies, indirectly dragging down broader market sentiment. Long-Term Structural Risks Studies show tariffs fail to achieve their stated goals. MIT research found Trump’s 2018 steel tariffs did not revive U.S. steel employment but caused job losses in downstream sectors8. Similarly, the 2025 tariffs risk accelerating economic decoupling, as firms diversify supply chains away from the U.S. to avoid tariff risks. This structural shift could permanently reduce the competitiveness of S&P 500 multinationals. Conclusion In summary, Trump’s tariff strategy has destabilized equity markets by undermining corporate profits, provoking retaliation, and fueling macroeconomic uncertainty. Overall we still at @PandorraResearch Team are Bearishly calling on further S&P 500 Index opportunities with further possible cascading consequences. The S&P 500’s recent slump reflects investor recognition that tariffs act as a tax on growth—one with cascading consequences for both domestic industries and global trade dynamics. -- Best 'Drill Baby, Drill' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:SPX
by PandorraResearch
Ethereum — March 2025 Edition. The Lord Giveth and Taketh AwayWe have discovered already at @PandorraResearch Team a month ago or so in earlier published idea , that Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors. Donald Trump's actions and announcements have had a negative influence on Ethereum prices through several mechanisms. Disappointment Over Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Order. Trump's executive order to establish a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve was initially seen as a positive move, but it did not lead to immediate government purchases of cryptocurrencies. Instead, it focused on creating a budget-neutral strategy, which meant no taxpayer funds would be used for spot purchases in the short term. This lack of immediate action led to disappointment and selling in the market, affecting Ethereum's price. "Pump & Dump" Effect. Trump's rhetoric and announcements often create a "Pump & Dump" effect in the cryptocurrency market. This phenomenon involves a brief surge in prices followed by a sharp decline as investors realize there is no concrete action behind the rhetoric. Ethereum, along with other cryptocurrencies, experienced this volatility after Trump's statements about including Ethereum in a crypto reserve. Trade Tensions and Tariffs. Trump's tariff announcements have exacerbated global trade tensions, which negatively impact the broader financial markets, including cryptocurrencies. Ethereum has been particularly sensitive to these developments, experiencing significant price drops in response to tariff threats against major trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and China. Market Volatility and Uncertainty. Trump's unpredictable policies and statements contribute to market volatility and uncertainty. This environment can deter investors and lead to price fluctuations in Ethereum and other cryptocurrencies. The lack of clear regulatory guidance under his administration adds to the uncertainty, affecting investor confidence and Ethereum's price stability. Technical challenge. The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on further Bearish trend in development (since mid-December 2024) with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House. Previous key supports were considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 per Ethereum), $2200 flat multi bottom and 5-years SMA (near $2100 per Ethereum), so all of them are broken to this time. That is why we believe (in this case of multi breakthrough), it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart. Conclusion. Overall, Trump's influence on Ethereum prices is characterized by disappointment over unfulfilled expectations, market volatility driven by his rhetoric, and negative impacts from trade tensions and regulatory uncertainty. -- Best 'Trump & Dump' wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
by PandorraResearch
President Trump's World Liberty Financial partners with SUIPresident Trump's World Liberty Financial partners with SUI to launch a Strategic SUI Reserve a move that saw SUI surged 13% today with a speculated 100% surge in the short term should CRYPTOCAP:SUI break the $4 resistant zone, a 100% surge is inevitable. The layer-1 blockchain platform designed to support the needs of global adoption by offering a secure, powerful, and scalable development platform had a great start of the year as it broke out surging to $5 early the start of the year. Sui Price Live Data The live Sui price today is $2.96 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $1,481,325,553 USD. We update our SUI to USD price in real-time. Sui is up 18.74% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $9,373,175,223 USD. It has a circulating supply of 3,169,845,047 SUI coins and a max. supply of 10,000,000,000 SUI coins.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin: A US Reserve CurrencyCME: Micro Bitcoin Futures ( CME:MBT1! ) On the morning of March 2nd, President Donald Trump posted a tweet to reinforce his commitment to a Crypto Strategic Reserve, including XRP, SOL and ADA. Cryptocurrency market took off immediately. Despite not being mentioned in the tweet, Bitcoin shot up from $78,400 to $83,900, and Ethereum from $2,090 to $2,240. Later in the afternoon, President Trump posted an update and clarified that BTC and ETH will be in the Reserve. “I also love Bitcoin and Ethereum!”, he tweeted. At the time of this writing, BTC is quoted $94,308, up 20.3% since the first tweet. ETH is trading at $2,520, up 20.6% within the day. We are in a new age of cryptocurrencies, where BTC, ETH, XRP, SOL and ADA just gained the official backing of the US Government. This day has been in the making for months. • On May 24, 2024, then presidential candidate Trump promised to launch a national crypto stockpile if he wins the election. Investors warmed to this idea and Bitcoin lifted 18% • On November 5, 2024, Trump won the US election. Market cheered for the most pro-crypto president and Bitcoin shot up 57% in a month • On January 23, 2025, President Trump signed the “Executive Order to establish United States leadership on digital financial technology.” Bitcoin went up 17% • Recent events have brought bitcoin down 28% since reaching its all-time-high of $109,241. In a matter of two tweets, the crypto market has completely turned around Bitcoin for the Long Haul A year ago, I published this market commentary, “A Bitcoin Bull Run?”, and laid out the key drivers for bitcoin’s long-term rise. Limited supply, increased demand and excessive liquidity helped bitcoin prices doubled in a year. In my opinion, these tailwinds remains intact for bitcoin in the coming months. On top of these, we now have the explicit endorsement from a sitting US president. Therefore, I stay bullish for holding bitcoin for the long haul. Trading with Micro Bitcoin Futures On “HODL with a Twist”, published on May 6, 2024, I explored using Futures Rollover strategy to invest in CME Micro Bitcoin Futures ( LSE:MBT ). This strategy worked nicely in the past, and I favor to continue deploying it. The paragraphs below provide a brief update with new contract months and new price data. Firstly, using futures over spot bitcoin provides these compelling advantages: • Capital efficiency in using margins. A trader could invest with as little as $2,075 to take on the full exposure of $9,431 (1/10th of a bitcoin) • Futures contracts come with build-in leverage. For MBT, it is approximately 4.5 times (= 9431/2075). If bitcoin moves 10% in your favor, you could gain 45% with futures • Price protection. MBT has a daily price limit (limit-up and limit-down) at 10%. In a volatile day with big moves, the Exchange will pause trading at the prescribed limits Secondly, futures contracts have a limited lifespan that will influence the outcome of your trades and exit strategy. Micro Bitcoin futures are traded actively in the nearby March and April contracts. Liquidity in the back-month contracts has yet to pick up. Rollover is when a trader moves his position from the front month contract to another contract further in the future, prior to the expiration of his existing holding. Below is an illustration on how to hold a long MBT position overtime: • In March, a trader buys (going long) April contract (MBTJ5) at $94,308 • In April, the trader enters an offsetting trade, going short on MBTJ5, to close his existing position. He would book a profit or loss, determined by the difference in selling price and purchasing price • Simultaneously, the trader would buy May MBT contract (MBTK5) and re-establish a long position in Bitcoin • In May, the trader will close out MBTK5 (going short) and buy June (MBTM5) • The trader would repeat the above steps, so far as he holds a bullish view Finally, Bitcoin prices are extremely volatile. Holding spot Bitcoin with no leverage could face potential drawdown of 70%-80%. With the leverage in futures, a sharp price move in the wrong direction could quickly deplete the available fund and trigger margin calls. Trader could set up a stop-loss in the buy order, limiting the maximum loss. Hypothetically, he could set the stop-loss at $85,000 when executing long futures at $94,308. If bitcoin moves sharply down, the maximum loss will be $931 (= (94308-85000)*0.1). His margin account will be decreased to $1,144 from $2,075. To learn more about all the Micro futures and options contracts traded on CME Group platform, you can check out the following site: www.cmegroup.com Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.sweetlogin.com
CME:MBT1!Long
by JimHuangChicago
1
$TRUMP Coin on the Verge of a Major Breakout: Can It Reach $30?The cryptocurrency market is buzzing with excitement as $TRUMP coin approaches a critical resistance level. Currently trading near $17, the token has already broken a significant Break of Structure (BOS), hinting at a potential bullish surge. If $TRUMP successfully breaches this resistance point, technical indicators suggest a remarkable 200% rally, pushing the price toward $30. Technical Analysis A closer look at $TRUMP’s daily chart reveals key bullish signals: The $17 mark has proven to be a significant resistance level. A confirmed breakout could trigger a strong uptrend, with $30 as the next major target. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 48, indicating neutral momentum. However, with buying pressure increasing, RSI could soon move into the bullish zone, reinforcing the uptrend. The token's recent candlestick formations suggest a bullish engulfing pattern, which often precedes a strong rally. The $11 price point has emerged as a crucial support level. If this level holds, bulls could maintain momentum. However, a break below $11 may lead to a strong sell-off. Trump Organization’s Metaverse & NFT Plans The Trump Organization has officially filed a trademark application for 'TRUMP' to launch a metaverse and NFT trading platform. This development aligns with the growing trend of Web3 adoption by prominent figures and institutions. A metaverse and NFT ecosystem tied to the Trump brand could significantly increase interest in $TRUMP coin, driving speculative demand and institutional involvement. If the project gains traction, it could serve as a major long-term growth factor for the token’s valuation. What’s Next for $TRUMP Coin? With both technical and fundamental indicators aligning, $TRUMP coin is at a pivotal moment. The key level to watch remains the $17 resistance. A decisive breakout could ignite a major rally toward $30, while failure to hold above support at $11 might trigger a correction.
Long
by DEXWireNews
#TRUMPUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Breakout Down📉 SHORT BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P from $12.278 🛡 Stop Loss: $12.599 ⏱ 1H Timeframe ⚡ Trade Plan: ✅ The BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P price has formed a Bearish Flag and broke its lower boundary, confirming a bearish scenario. ✅ The asset is trading below POC (Point of Control) at $12.978, indicating strong seller dominance. ✅ Increasing volume on the breakdown further confirms the strength of the downward move. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $12.100 🔥 TP 2: $11.900 ⚡ TP 3: $11.785 📢 A close below $12.278 would confirm further downside movement. 📢 POC at $12.978 is a strong resistance level that the price failed to break. 📢 Increasing volume on the drop supports the bearish outlook. 📢 Securing partial profits at TP1 ($12.100) is a smart risk-management strategy. 🚨 BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P remains in a downtrend – monitoring for continuation and securing profits at TP levels!
Short
by MoriartyTrading
3
#TRUMPUSDT – Bearish Scenario, Expecting a Downward Breakout📉 SHORT BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P from $12.492 🛡 Stop Loss: $12.785 ⏱️ 1H Timeframe ⚡️ Trade Plan: ✅ The BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P price continues to decline after a recent sharp drop. ✅ The chart shows that the asset is consolidating below POC (Point of Control) at $13.105, indicating seller dominance. ✅ The price is testing a support level, and a breakdown could trigger a stronger bearish move. 🎯 TP Targets: 💎 TP 1: $12.305 🔥 TP 2: $12.110 ⚡️ TP 3: $11.966 📢 A close below $12.492 would confirm the downward move. 📢 POC at $13.105 is a key volume area that now acts as resistance. 📢 Increasing volume on the decline supports the bearish trend. 📢 Securing partial profits at TP1 ($12.305) is a risk-management strategy. 🚨 BYBIT:TRUMPUSDT.P remains under pressure – monitoring for a confirmed breakdown and securing profits at TP levels!
Short
by MoriartyTrading
Ethereum — 2025. The Lord Giveth and Taketh Away (Caution! 18+)Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors. Historical Context of Trump's Views on Cryptocurrency Trump has a mixed history with cryptocurrencies, as we mentioned in earlier published ideas. Initially, he labeled them a "scam", "based on thin air" as well as "threat to the U.S. dollar" and expressed skepticism about their value, stating that they are not real money and are highly volatile. However, in recent months, he has shifted his stance somewhat, reportedly owning between $1 million and $5 million in Ethereum as of August 2024. Despite this personal investment, his public comments continue to reflect a critical view of the crypto market. Impact of Recent Tariffs on Ethereum The most immediate cause of concern for Ethereum investors has been Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. This decision triggered a significant sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum experiencing a drastic price drop of over 26% in just one day. The overall cryptocurrency market lost nearly half a trillion dollars in value following these announcements, highlighting the interconnectedness of global trade policies and digital asset valuations. The tariffs have led to increased uncertainty among investors, prompting many to liquidate their positions in riskier assets like Ethereum. This reaction is indicative of a broader trend where geopolitical tensions and economic policies directly influence cryptocurrency prices. Analysts noted that such trade policies could lead to inflationary pressures and a stronger dollar, making cryptocurrencies less attractive to international buyers. Future Outlook for Ethereum Under Trump's Administration Looking ahead, Trump's administration is likely to focus on stricter regulations for cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in enhanced oversight that may slow down the adoption of Ethereum by businesses and individuals. However, there is also potential for increased legitimacy if clear regulations are established. Moreover, Trump's interest in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) might further complicate the landscape for Ethereum. As the U.S. explores its digital dollar initiative, Ethereum's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem could face stiff competition from state-backed digital currencies. Technical challenge The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on Bearish trend in development, since mid-December 2024, with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House. Key support considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 in this time) and $2200 flat multi bottom, that helps so far; otherwise (in case of breakthrough) we believe it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart. Conclusion In summary, while Trump’s personal investment in Ethereum marks a notable shift from his previous criticisms, his administration's policies—especially regarding tariffs—have created a challenging environment for Ethereum investors. The combination of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic factors will likely continue to influence Ethereum's market performance in the near future.
by PandorraResearch
2
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline: High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks. Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility. Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices. Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market. Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance. Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains. Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize. // While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again. Best wishes, PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:SPX
by PandorraResearch
Bears in the market RapBears in the market, we playin’ it smart, I see the markets crashin’ like ‘08 and ‘20 conceived a baby, On Putin’s Berlin Wall, this vibe be gettin’ shady. Options spread wide, keep my capital tight like trump's Epstein supply, Hedgin’ every move ‘cause this ain’t my first fight. YQQQ payin’ dividends, I'm takin’ my part. They all panic sellin’, but I planned from the start, FIAT is king when those crypto scams fall apart. Political tides shiftin’, policies determin’ trends, Macro factors got these rookies shifting to bonds and I be selling them short, Fed rates rising, tech stocks takin’ hits, While CMBS is drownin’, banks hidin’ like Thompson's Ghost. CMBS breakin’, banks won’t admit the fall, Hold-to-Maturity? Nah, it’s worthless on the call. They waitin’ for the markdown, valuations fade, DRV stackin’ profits while they sinkin’ in the shade. This CRSH got me stackin’ up like they seig heiled the top in swastikar, Their Nazi heart, redneck crypto, got FIAT lookin’ sexy, inflation creepin, Been stocking up on GDXY, like a libertarian in heat. Cyber threats risin’, HACK'n that ETF space like it's the matrix, and every red pill swapped with the blue pill, like the prez date raped them, and sold em to epstein at the polls Tariffs hit the market, but these dunces never learn. Commercial real estate? Ain’t no savin’ that crash, DRV on the rise, I be stackin’ that cash. If you be bear'n to bear arms, let me hear you roar, Let those inverse dividends stackin’, I got those passive gains to steer. While they stress about the crash, I be movin’ with the tide, Bear market blues, but my strategy aligned.
NASDAQ:YQQQ
by livingdracula
Buy the Dip: TEM is a Resilient AI Healthcare Pick for 2025Tempus AI NASDAQ:TEM is presenting a compelling investment opportunity as we move into 2025. This health tech company, focused on leveraging AI for precision medicine, has weathered a recent downturn and is showing strong signs of recovery. After a 4 week correction that presented a chance to buy at a discount, TEM has finally shown the ability to rally. This recovery makes it a particularly interesting prospect for several reasons: 1. AI's Continued Rise: The field of artificial intelligence is advancing at breakneck speed, and Tempus is at the forefront of applying these advancements to healthcare. Their work in areas like genomic sequencing and data analysis for personalized treatment plans positions them exceptionally well to capitalize on this megatrend. 2. Weathering the Political Storm: Tempus's core business is less vulnerable to possible tariffs that may be introduced by incoming President Trump. Healthcare, particularly innovative approaches to disease treatment, remains a critical sector regardless of the political landscape. Furthermore, Tempus' customers being mostly internal U.S. customers provides further resilience in the face of possible tariffs. 3. Technical Rebound: As the attached chart illustrates, TEM is in the midst of a technical bounce back. The recent price action suggests that the sell-off may be overdone, and the stock is finding support at current levels. The upward sloping support and resistance lines indicate a potential 40-80% gain if TEM can continue to show resilience in the face of selling pressure. The stock currently trades below it's 20 day EMA, but the recent rally shows that it could potentially find support along this average before continuing to trend upwards. In Conclusion: Tempus AI offers a unique combination of growth potential in a rapidly expanding sector, resilience to potential political headwinds, and a technically attractive entry point. While all investments carry risk, TEM's current profile suggests it's a stock worth serious consideration for gaining exposure to the intersection of AI and healthcare in 2025, especially at these highly discounted prices. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Remember, Patience is Paramount.
NASDAQ:TEMLong
by PatienceIsParamount
XAUUSD - Gold, no competitors!Gold is located in a 2 -hour timeframe, above EMA200 and EMA50 and is on its uptrend channel. Gold reform to the demand range will provide us with a good risk position for us. According to Tom Stevenson from Fidelity International, gold remains resilient despite challenges such as high interest rates and a strong dollar, continuing its march towards the $3,000 mark. However, while these fundamental factors persist, he believes that silver could be a more attractive investment option in the future. Stevenson notes that gold prices have increased tenfold since 2000 and have surged by over $1,000 since late 2023. Yet, he argues that fundamentally, gold should not be this expensive. He explains: “Historically, precious metals tend to underperform when interest rates rise. This is because, unlike bonds, stocks, cash, or real estate, gold does not generate income for investors. When other assets offer appealing returns, there is less incentive to hold onto what economist John Maynard Keynes once referred to as the ‘barbarous relic.’ This situation remains true today, yet gold continues to set new record highs.” Stevenson also believes that gold should benefit from a weaker dollar. He states: “Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, when other currencies strengthen against the dollar, their purchasing power for gold increases.Conversely, when the dollar strengthens, global demand for gold should decline. However, despite Trump’s policies reinforcing the dollar, gold remains on an upward trajectory.” He concludes that this signals something important to the market: “Gold’s performance suggests that not everything is as stable in the world as some may think. It indicates investor concerns, and history has shown that ignoring gold’s signals during times of uncertainty is a mistake.” Stevenson further emphasizes that central banks around the world are taking steps to hedge against risks. Since the onset of the Ukraine war and subsequent sanctions, countries like Russia, China, India, and Turkey have increased their gold purchases in an effort to reduce their dependence on the U.S. dollar. He points out that gold has long been recognized as a valuable store of wealth and a diversification tool, as it carries no credit risk unlike paper currencies. According to him, central bank gold purchases in 2024 have surpassed 1,000 tons for the third consecutive year. Meanwhile, Elon Musk, the world’s richest man and head of the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has shared memes resurfacing old conspiracy theories regarding the status of the U.S. government’s gold reserves at Fort Knox. In response, a prominent politician seized this rare opportunity to call for greater transparency. Senator Rand Paul, a Republican representative from Kentucky, replied to one of Musk’s posts advocating for an annual audit of Fort Knox, writing, “Let’s do it.” So far, no evidence has surfaced to support Musk’s theory of missing gold, but the status of these reserves remains highly classified.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND