Trumptrade
SHORT NZD/CAD NAFTA MS TRADECAD should outperform NZD over the coming weeks. Constructive NAFTA news suggests that the US may be getting closer to an acceptable agreement with its trading partners, which should lead to a continued re-pricing of the trade risk premium. Risks to a more dovish RBNZ continue, with the new Policy Targets Agreement likely to add a second employment mandate and potentially offer specific language on the currency. Data in NZ also remain uncompelling, including the business PMI and GDP. Positioning also favors the trade, with the market remaining long NZD while CAD sentiment is net bearish. A risk to the trade is a dovish shift from the BoC, leading to CAD weakness. - Morgan Stanley
Has the Market Mispriced Refined Coal?Just finished writing a detailed analysis of ADES in which I talk about the growing demand for refined coal both in the United States, and more importantly Southeast Asia. ADES is sitting on loads of cash, its turning around its cash from operations, and has a solid catalyst in its chemicals business that puts it ahead of the industry. Using DCF it has a fair value of around $22/share when using the average EPS over the last four years.
The technicals aren't great, but I like the support level and am looking for a bounce from support.
Check out my post if you're interested, and please, leave feedback if my analysis is missing something or if I am overlooking anything: rockvuecapital.wordpress.com
Possible Boeing Trade Possible trade based of North Korea mess. Boeing could see more upside. Will consider weeklies and monthlies.
Feel free to comment if you have any input on this analysis.
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Thnx.
Gold OUTLOOK Long term Gold Chart I see a Potential Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern forming "waiting 4 right shoulder".
At moment long call option is active.
But this is what i'll be tracking as the week goes on.
So, let's see how geopolitics will react.
#Gold and Treasuries Rallied on Geopolitical tension
#Trump Tax
#North Korean Problem and French election
this is a general market view!
Happy trading!
(FAZ) 3x Short Financials ETFThe Trump rally has the financials arguably overbought. Interested on people's take on the rationale behind price tag of these financial stocks. FAZ provides a great opportunity to profit from a selloff.
TRUMP TRADE HIDDEN CORRELATIONCopper and russel 2000 express a strong correlation during the last year due to the reflation trade.
I see a deterioration of the situation in copper (confirmed HS). Can be indicative of a deterioration of the most crowded trade of the last month?
