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Tesla - This bullish break and retest!Tesla - NASDAQ:TSLA - confirmed the bullish reversal: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Tesla recently created a very bullish break and retest. Therefore together with the monthly bullish price action, the recent rally was totally expected. But despite the short term volatility, Tesla remains bullish, is heading higher and will soon create new highs. Levels to watch: $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
14
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp DropTesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound After Sharp Drop When analysing the Tesla (TSLA) stock price chart six days ago, on the morning of 5 June, we: → highlighted Elon Musk’s critical comments regarding the spending bill promoted by the US President; → noted that a potential rift between Musk and Trump could have long-term implications, including for TSLA shares; → outlined an ascending channel (marked in blue); → suggested that the price might correct from the upper to the lower boundary of the channel. This scenario played out rather aggressively: later that same day, during the main trading session, Tesla’s share price dropped sharply to the lower boundary of the channel amid a scandal involving Musk and Trump. However, the lower boundary of the channel predictably acted as support. Yesterday, TSLA shares were among the top five performers in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), gaining around 5.6%. As a result, TSLA stock price climbed back above the psychologically important $300 mark, recovering from the previous week’s sell-off. Why Are Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rising? Bullish drivers include: → The upcoming launch of Tesla’s robotaxi service, provisionally scheduled for 22 June. Elon Musk has stated he intends to use the service himself. → Easing of tensions with the US President. Donald Trump declared that he has no intention of "getting rid of Tesla or Starlink" should he return to the White House. → Continued support from Cathie Wood, the prominent asset manager, who once again reaffirmed her confidence in Tesla’s future success. Technical Analysis of TSLA Chart Today, TSLA’s share price is hovering near the median line of the previously identified ascending channel – a zone where supply and demand typically seek equilibrium. Also worth noting is the $320 level: in May, it acted as support, which suggests it may now function as resistance. Given these factors, it is reasonable to expect that the sharp recovery from the 5 June low may begin to lose momentum, with the price likely to stabilise and form a consolidation range following the recent spike in volatility. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
TSLA Rebounds from $290 | Buy the Dip or Political Trap?⚠️Just when it looked like Tesla was heading for a breakdown, we got a sharp bounce off the $290 level — and traders are watching closely. But here’s the twist: the move came after a headline-heavy week featuring none other than Trump vs. Elon. 🗞️ According to Politico, tensions flared after Trump made comments suggesting EVs were "doomed without government subsidies." Elon clapped back, defending Tesla’s profitability and independence. This added pressure on TSLA... and then came the bounce. Coincidence? Or whales buying fear? 📥 Entry Zones • $290 – Strong demand zone, tested and respected • $275 – Deeper retest if market pulls back • $240 – Extreme fear level, unlikely unless macro worsens 🎯 Profit Targets • $305 – Gap-fill magnet • $320 – Resistance test • $355+ – If Robotaxi or AI hype returns in force
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Robert_V12
2
TSLA cup and handle INVALIDATEDThe TSLA cup and handle breakout case has been invalidated as of Thursday June 5th of this past week. The start of the week showed lack of conviction in the follow through to and over the 360 price level, where sellers stepped up. This indicated a slowdown in bullish momentum and a weakening trend early in the week. The ultimate catalyst that caused the breakdown for TSLA was, of course, the public breakup of Musk and DJT over social media platforms. This caused a "waterfall effect" of intense selling pressure through low volume zones from ~330 to the high volume node and put wall at the 280 level. Price ended up overshooting 280 but ended up reclaiming that level by the end of the session and bounced higher the following day. At this point, the weekly and daily charts are showing a short term wedge formation that may take some weeks to play out. There has not been signs of big institutional buying at the these levels as of now, and as such I suspect that there may be a bit more downside these coming weeks. My current idea is a short/put position under 293.5 to about 273, with a maximum target of 250. If price ends up at or near 250 levels, I would look to start a long position for a play back up to the 300 level.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by ManDude
Tesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion MeltdownTesla's Perfect Storm: A $152 Billion Meltdown, Chinese Rivals on the Attack, and a Faltering Shanghai Fortress A tempest has engulfed Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth, wiping a staggering $152 billion from its market capitalization in a single day. This monumental loss, the largest in the company's history, was triggered by a dramatic and public feud between CEO Elon Musk and former U.S. President Donald Trump. The confrontation, however, is but the most visible squall in a much larger storm. Lurking just beneath the surface are the relentless waves of competition from Chinese automakers, who are rapidly eroding Tesla's dominance, and the ominous sign of eight consecutive months of declining shipments from its once-impenetrable Shanghai Gigafactory. The confluence of these events has plunged Tesla into a precarious position, raising fundamental questions about its future trajectory and its ability to navigate the turbulent waters of a rapidly evolving automotive landscape. The narrative of Tesla as an unstoppable force is being rewritten in real-time, replaced by a more complex and challenging reality. The Trump-Musk Spat: A Bromance Turned Billion-Dollar Blow-Up The relationship between Elon Musk and Donald Trump, once a seemingly symbiotic alliance of power and influence, has spectacularly imploded, leaving a trail of financial and political wreckage in its wake. The public falling out, which played out in a series of scathing social media posts and public statements, sent shockwaves through Wall Street and Washington, culminating in a historic sell-off of Tesla stock. The genesis of the feud lies in Musk's vocal criticism of a sweeping tax and spending bill, a cornerstone of the Trump administration's second-term agenda. Musk, who had previously been a vocal supporter and even an advisor to the President, lambasted the legislation as a "disgusting abomination" filled with "pork." This public rebuke from a figure of Musk's stature was a direct challenge to Trump's authority and legislative priorities. The President's response was swift and sharp. In an Oval Office meeting, Trump expressed his "disappointment" in Musk, questioning the future of their "great relationship." The war of words then escalated dramatically on their respective social media platforms. Trump, on his social media platform, threatened to terminate Tesla's lucrative government subsidies and contracts, a move that would have significant financial implications for Musk's business empire. He also claimed to have asked Musk to leave his advisory role, a statement Musk labeled as an "obvious lie." Musk, in turn, did not hold back. On X (formerly Twitter), he claimed that without his substantial financial support in the 2024 election, Trump would have lost the presidency. This assertion of his political influence was a direct jab at the President's ego and a stark reminder of the financial power Musk wields. The spat took an even more personal and inflammatory turn when Musk alluded to Trump's name appearing in the unreleased records of the Jeffrey Epstein investigation. The market's reaction to this public spectacle was brutal. Tesla's stock plummeted by over 14% in a single day, erasing more than $152 billion in market capitalization and pushing the company's valuation below the coveted $1 trillion mark. The sell-off was a clear indication of investor anxiety over the political instability and the potential for tangible financial repercussions from the feud. The incident underscored how intertwined Musk's personal and political activities have become with Tesla's financial performance, a vulnerability that has been a recurring theme for the company. The Chinese Dragon Breathes Fire: Tesla's EV Dominance Under Siege While the political drama in Washington captured headlines, a more fundamental and perhaps more enduring threat to Tesla's long-term prosperity is brewing in the East. The Chinese electric vehicle market, once a key engine of Tesla's growth, has become a fiercely competitive battleground where a host of domestic rivals are not just challenging Tesla, but in some aspects, surpassing it. Companies like BYD, Nio, XPeng, and now even the tech giant Xiaomi, are relentlessly innovating and offering a diverse range of electric vehicles that are often more affordable and technologically advanced than Tesla's offerings. This intense competition has led to a significant erosion of Tesla's market share in China. From a dominant position just a few years ago, Tesla's share of the battery electric vehicle market has fallen significantly. One of the key advantages for Chinese automakers is their control over the entire EV supply chain, particularly in battery production. This allows them to produce vehicles at a lower cost, a crucial factor in a price-sensitive market. The result is a growing disparity in pricing, with many Chinese EVs offering comparable or even superior features at a fraction of the cost of a Tesla. Furthermore, Chinese consumers are increasingly viewing electric vehicles as "rolling smartphones," prioritizing advanced digital features, connectivity, and a sophisticated user experience. In this regard, many domestic brands are seen as more innovative and in tune with local preferences than Tesla. This shift in consumer sentiment has been a significant factor in the declining interest in the Tesla brand in China. The numbers paint a stark picture of Tesla's predicament. While the overall new-energy vehicle market in China continues to grow at a remarkable pace, Tesla's sales have been on a downward trend. This is a worrying sign for a company that has invested heavily in its Chinese operations and has historically relied on the country for a substantial portion of its global sales. The pressure on Tesla's sales in China is so intense that its sales staff are working grueling 13-hour shifts, seven days a week, in a desperate attempt to meet demanding sales targets. The high-pressure environment has reportedly led to high turnover rates among sales staff, a clear indication of the immense strain the company is under in this critical market. The Shanghai Gigafactory: A Fortress with a Faltering Gate The struggles in the Chinese market are reflected in the declining output from Tesla's Shanghai Gigafactory. For eight consecutive months, shipments from the factory, which serves both the domestic Chinese market and is a key export hub, have seen a year-on-year decline. In May 2025, the factory delivered 61,662 vehicles, a 15% drop compared to the same period the previous year. This sustained decline in shipments is a significant red flag for several reasons. Firstly, the Shanghai factory is Tesla's largest and most efficient production facility, accounting for a substantial portion of its global output. A slowdown in production at this key facility has a direct impact on the company's overall delivery numbers and financial performance. Secondly, the declining shipments are a direct consequence of the weakening demand for Tesla's vehicles in China. Despite being a production powerhouse, the factory's output is ultimately dictated by the number of cars it can sell. The falling shipment numbers are a clear indication that the company is struggling to maintain its sales momentum in the face of fierce competition. The situation in China is a microcosm of the broader challenges facing Tesla. The company's product lineup, which has not seen a major new addition in the affordable segment for some time, is starting to look dated compared to the rapid product cycles of its Chinese competitors. The refreshed Model 3 and Model Y, while still popular, are no longer the novelties they once were, and are facing a growing number of compelling alternatives. A Confluence of Crises: What Lies Ahead for Tesla? The convergence of a high-profile political feud, intensifying competition, and production headwinds has created a perfect storm for Tesla. The company that once seemed invincible is now facing a multi-front battle for its future. The spat with Trump, while seemingly a short-term crisis, has exposed the risks associated with a CEO whose public persona is so closely tied to the company's brand. The incident has also highlighted the potential for political winds to shift, and for government policies that have benefited Tesla in the past to be reversed. The challenge from Chinese automakers is a more fundamental and long-term threat. The rise of these nimble and innovative competitors is not a fleeting trend, but a structural shift in the global automotive industry. Tesla can no longer rely on its brand cachet and technological lead to maintain its dominance. It must now compete on price, features, and innovation in a market that is becoming increasingly crowded and sophisticated. The declining shipments from the Shanghai factory are a tangible manifestation of these challenges. The factory, once a symbol of Tesla's global manufacturing prowess, is now a barometer of its struggles in its most important market. To navigate this storm, Tesla will need to demonstrate a level of agility and adaptability that it has not been required to show in the past. This will likely involve a renewed focus on product development, particularly in the affordable EV segment, to better compete with the value propositions offered by its Chinese rivals. It will also require a more nuanced and strategic approach to the Chinese market, one that acknowledges the unique preferences and demands of Chinese consumers. The coming months will be a critical test for Tesla and its leadership. The company's ability to weather this storm and emerge stronger will depend on its capacity to innovate, to compete, and to navigate the complex and often unpredictable currents of the global automotive market. The era of unchallenged dominance is over. The battle for the future of electric mobility has truly begun.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by bryandowningqln
Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5%Tesla (TSLA) Share Price Falls by 3.5% Yesterday, the share price of Tesla (TSLA) dropped by 3.5%, placing it among the five worst-performing stocks of the day in the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen). Since the peak on 29 May, the decline now totals nearly 10%. Why Tesla (TSLA) Shares Are Falling Among the bearish factors are: → A drop in car sales in Europe. Sales in Germany fell by 36% year-on-year in May. → Growing competition from China. May deliveries from Tesla’s Chinese factory were down 15% year-on-year. → Elon Musk’s criticism of the US President’s proposed government spending bill. Media reports also suggest that Musk took offence at staffing decisions at NASA, while Trump is reportedly losing patience with Musk over his attacks on the spending bill. A potential rift between Musk and Trump could have far-reaching consequences — including for TSLA shares. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart Six days ago, we: → Drew an ascending channel (shown in blue), noting that the upper boundary could pose a challenge to further gains; → Highlighted the $355–$375 zone (shown in purple) as a possible resistance area; → Suggested a correction scenario following a roughly 27% surge in TSLA’s stock price during May. Since then, the price has dropped towards the median line of the ascending channel. If this fails to offer sufficient support, the correction may continue towards the lower boundary of the channel, which is reinforced by support around the psychological $300 level and former resistance at $290. News related to the planned rollout of Tesla’s robotaxi trials could significantly impact TSLA’s price movements in June. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1
TSLA weekly cup and handleNASDAQ:TSLA Last week, the daily chart on TSLA showed a cup and handle formation. Price attempted to break up but rejected overhead supply in the 360s. Price action is starting to show the formation of a handle on the weekly chart that may present a stronger move in the coming weeks to break through the 360 resistance level and overhead supply. June tends to be a strong month for TSLA historically, so the move could happen by the end of the month. Strong break of 360 and a close over to confirm a projected movement to $400 as a first price target, with $420.69 as a secondary PT.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ManDude
TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025📉 TSLA Weekly Options Outlook — June 1, 2025 🚨 AI Consensus: Bearish Momentum Ahead of June 6 Expiry 🧠 Summary of AI Model Signals 🔹 Grok (xAI) Technicals: Below EMAs, RSI deeply oversold (26.95), MACD bearish. Sentiment: VIX steady, max pain at $340 implies downside. Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $9.08 (+10%) / Stop $6.60 (−20%) Confidence: 65% 🔹 Claude (Anthropic) Technicals: Bearish EMAs/MACD, volume spike on red bars. Sentiment: Negative sales buzz, falling VIX, max pain $340. Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.20 → Target +50–100% / Stop $5.74 Confidence: 72% 🔹 Llama (Meta) Technicals: Bearish M5 EMA stack; support at $345 zone. Trade: Buy $342.5P @ $9.40 → Target +20% / Stop −50% Confidence: 70% 🔹 Gemini (Google) Technicals: Strong bearish momentum, RSI oversold. Trade: Buy $305P @ $0.95 → Target $1.90 / Stop $0.47 (Day trade) Confidence: 75% 🔹 DeepSeek Technicals: Breakdown in progress, momentum fading. Sentiment: Weak China/Europe news; max pain support at $340. Trade: Buy $340P @ $8.25 → Target $12.38 (+50%) / Stop $5.78 Confidence: 70% ✅ Consensus Takeaways 🔻 Bearish technical setup on all timeframes 🔄 Max Pain at $340 = potential price magnet 📉 Strong directional momentum + oversold RSI across models 📆 Preferred strategy: Buy weekly naked puts, enter Monday open 🎯 Recommended Trade Setup 💡 Strategy: Bearish Single-Leg Weekly Put 📈 Ticker: TSLA 🔀 Direction: PUT (SHORT) 🎯 Strike: $340 💵 Entry Price: $8.25 🎯 Target: $9.08 (+10%) 🛑 Stop: $6.60 (−20%) 📏 Size: 1 Contract 📆 Expiry: 2025-06-06 ⏰ Entry: At Market Open 📊 Confidence: 70% ⚠️ Key Risks to Watch 📉 RSI is oversold — potential for a short-term bounce 🕒 Time decay accelerates midweek — don’t hold too long 🚀 Unexpected bullish catalyst (e.g., SpaceX PR, macro rally) 💵 Liquidity fine (4.4k OI), but wide spreads in fast markets 📊 TRADE DETAILS (JSON) json Copy Edit { "instrument": "TSLA", "direction": "put", "strike": 340.0, "expiry": "2025-06-06", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 9.08, "stop_loss": 6.60, "size": 1, "entry_price": 8.25, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-06-02 09:30:00 UTC-04:00" }
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by quantsignals
Musk Steps Away from Politics: What Does It Mean for Tesla?Musk Steps Away from Politics: What Does It Mean for Tesla (TSLA) Stock? Yesterday, it was announced that Elon Musk will be stepping down from the Trump administration as his term as head of DOGE—where he focused on reducing government spending—has come to an end. This decision follows his statement at the economic forum in Qatar, where Musk said he plans to focus less on politics, as he feels he has already done enough in that realm. What Does This Mean for Tesla (TSLA) Stock? Musk’s move away from politics is likely a positive signal for investors. Here's why: → The company’s CEO can now devote more time to addressing issues such as declining vehicle sales in Europe; → Musk’s role at DOGE will no longer pose reputational risks for Tesla.. During yesterday’s main trading session, TSLA stock surged to $367—its highest level since mid-February. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart The price continues to hover near the upper boundary of an ascending channel (marked in blue), which could pose a challenge for further upward movement. Additionally, the price has entered the $355–$375 range—a zone that previously triggered significant reversals (as indicated by arrows). Notably, there was a sharp decline from this zone between February 21–26. From a bearish standpoint, this area could act as resistance, and the candle’s close near its low yesterday supports this view. From a bullish perspective, the fundamental outlook may still provide upward momentum: → A joint press conference with Trump and Musk is scheduled for today; → In early June, Tesla is expected to begin testing its autonomous taxis. So, while a continued uptrend is possible, a short-term correction would seem reasonable after TSLA’s nearly 27% surge throughout May. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
2
Tesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound on Musk’s CommentsTesla (TSLA) Shares Rebound on Musk’s Comments According to media reports, speaking via video link at the Qatar Economic Forum, Elon Musk stated that he plans to: → remain Tesla’s CEO for another five years; → reduce his focus on politics, saying he feels he has already done enough; → increase his stake in the company from 12.5% to 25%. These comments, which came alongside news that Tesla will begin testing robotaxis in Texas in June, sparked renewed interest in Tesla (TSLA) shares. TSLA stock outperformed other MAG7 members, climbing above the $353 mark at yesterday’s peak — its highest level since late February 2025. Just ten days ago, when the price was still below the psychological $300 level, we highlighted TSLA’s strength following its rebound from the $220 support area and suggested a bullish outlook. But is the picture still as optimistic today? Technical Analysis of TSLA Chart The chart shows that TSLA is trading within an ascending channel (highlighted in blue), with the price currently near the upper boundary — an area that often acts as resistance. Price action supports this: note the two large candlesticks with closes near their lows (indicated by arrows), suggesting strong bearish pressure. This gives reason to believe that sellers may take advantage of the roughly 22% rise in the TSLA stock price to lock in profits — a potentially bearish signal. Traders should therefore consider a correction scenario in which the local support at point Q could be tested for resilience. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
$TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis🚀 NASDAQ:TSLA Weekly Chart Analysis 🔹 Strong Momentum: Launching off the volume shelf and cruising with the market’s bullish energy. 🔹 Room to Run: Approaching the red barrier, but not there yet—still has upside before a pullback. 🔹 Healthy RSI: Sitting at 56.60, meaning plenty of room for further gains. 🔹 Catalyst Ahead: Robotaxi event incoming! (Sell the news? You bought the rumor. 🤔) 🔹 Key Resistance: Watch levels at $350–$400. Stay sharp—let’s see if TSLA keeps charging forward! ⚡📈
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RonnieV29
Swing Trade Plan for TSLA (as of $285)TSLA has rallied from its previous consolidation zone and is approaching a potential resistance area between $290–$295. Momentum is solid, but RSI and volume trends may suggest we’re nearing short-term exhaustion. ✅ Strategy 1: Wait for the Pullback (Safer Play) Entry zone: • $240 – Ideal level near former resistance turned support • $215 – Strong support with higher reward potential Stop-loss: • Below $200 (to protect against deeper trend reversal) Profit targets: • $265 – Conservative • $290 – Re-test zone • $355 – Bullish breakout continuation (if sentiment remains strong) This setup gives room for the price to breathe and positions you after a healthy correction. ⚡️ Strategy 2: Momentum Breakout Trade (Aggressive) Entry: • On breakout above $295 with volume confirmation Stop-loss: • Below $280 (tight, breakout failure protection) Target: • $320, $340+, depending on follow-through This is higher risk, higher reward — you’re betting on bulls continuing the charge without a pullback. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk. Always do your own analysis and trade with proper risk management.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Robert_V12
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Hit Two-Month HighTesla Shares (TSLA) Hit Two-Month High During Friday’s trading session, Tesla shares briefly rose above the $300 mark — the first time in over two months. Although the daily candle closed below this key psychological level, TSLA still outperformed the broader stock market. This move was supported by: → Investor approval of Elon Musk’s late-April pledge to spend less time on the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) and focus more on his role at the company. → A recent announcement from the Trump administration regarding a trade deal with the UK, alongside hints that more agreements may follow — potentially alluding to US-China negotiations. Technical Analysis of TSLA Shares In our previous analysis of TSLA’s stock price, we: → Highlighted the key support level around $220, which prevented deeper declines in early April even as broader indices saw more bearish trends; → Identified a descending channel (marked in red). This channel remains relevant for now, but the price has already approached its upper boundary. It’s reasonable to assume that this level could act as resistance — similar to the midline of the channel (as indicated by arrows) — especially when reinforced by the psychological $300 level. However, bulls may find strong support from any further details on a US-China trade deal (as discussed earlier today). A bullish breakout of the red channel in the coming days cannot be ruled out, potentially confirming the relative strength of TSLA stock and extending the trajectory marked by the blue lines. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
1
$TSLA : The road to 400 $In this space we have discussed about NASDAQ:TSLA multiple times. In one of our very recent blogs on 21 April 2025, we flipped bullish for the first time and presented a case to accumulate NASDAQ:TSLA between 214 $ – 250 $. Congrats to everyone who did it. On Friday’s close the stock is above 250 $ and its currently sitting above its 20-Day and 50-Day SMA. This can be taken as a first bullish sign and maybe the start of a primary reversal trend towards up. After some turbulent time and more than a 50% dip the stock is holding up very well. As Elon will be back on the helm of the NASDAQ:TSLA we can expect some more macro tailwind for the stock itself. In the daily chart below, we see that the RSI chart has flipped bullish and on the Fib retracement levels we are well above the 0.382 Fib retracement levels which is at 272 $. The next stop as per the chart is 310 $ @ 0.5 Fib level. My assessment is that once the momentum is flipped bullish the stock can end above 400 $ once this is all said and done. Verdict: Go Long $TSLA. 400 $ see you there $TSLA.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RabishankarBiswal
Tesla Suspends Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Were Often WrongTesla Pulls the Plug on Guidance: Why Its Forecasts Weren't Worth Much Anyway Tesla, the electric vehicle behemoth that has captivated and often confounded investors for over a decade, has made another move guaranteed to stir debate: it's suspending its forward-looking guidance. For many companies, withdrawing financial forecasts signals significant uncertainty or a major strategic shift, often sending shares tumbling. While Tesla's stock undoubtedly reacts to such news, a deeper look reveals a compelling argument: Tesla's official guidance, particularly in recent years, had become such a moving target, so frequently untethered from eventual reality, that its predictive value was already deeply questionable. Suspending it might simply be acknowledging the obvious. For years, Tesla's earnings calls and investor communications were punctuated by ambitious, often audacious, targets set by CEO Elon Musk and the company. These weren't just vague aspirations; they were often specific numbers for vehicle deliveries, production ramps, timelines for new technologies like Full Self-Driving (FSD), and launch dates for anticipated models like the Cybertruck or the Semi. The market, enthralled by Tesla's disruptive potential and Musk's charismatic pronouncements, frequently hung on these words, baking them into valuation models and trading strategies. However, the history of Tesla meeting these self-imposed targets is, charitably speaking, inconsistent. The guidance often veered into the quixotic, reflecting a potent blend of extreme optimism, engineering ambition, and perhaps a dash of Musk's famed "reality distortion field." Consider the infamous "production hell" of the Model 3 ramp-up. Initial targets were wildly optimistic, projecting volumes that the company struggled immensely to achieve, facing bottlenecks in battery production and assembly line automation. While Tesla eventually overcame these hurdles, the timeline and cost deviated significantly from early guidance. Similarly, the promise of Full Self-Driving has been a perennial "next year" phenomenon. While the capabilities of Tesla's Autopilot and FSD Beta have advanced significantly, the arrival of true Level 4 or 5 autonomy, capable of operating without driver supervision under virtually all conditions – as often implied by the timelines suggested in guidance – remains elusive, years behind schedules hinted at in past forecasts. The Cybertruck provides another stark example. Unveiled in 2019 with a projected start date that came and went multiple times, its eventual, limited launch in late 2023 was years behind schedule, and scaling its unique manufacturing process remains a challenge. Guidance around its ramp-up has been adjusted repeatedly. This pattern isn't necessarily born from deliberate deception, but rather from a confluence of factors inherent to Tesla's DNA and the volatile industries it operates in: 1. Aggressive Goal Setting: Musk is known for setting incredibly ambitious "stretch goals" intended to motivate teams to achieve breakthroughs. While effective internally, translating these aspirational targets directly into public financial guidance is fraught with risk. 2. Underestimation of Complexity: Bringing revolutionary products to mass market – whether it's a new vehicle platform, a complex software suite like FSD, or novel battery technology – involves navigating unforeseen engineering, manufacturing, supply chain, and regulatory hurdles. Initial guidance often seemed to underestimate these complexities. 3. Market Volatility: The EV market itself is dynamic. Consumer demand shifts, government incentives change, raw material costs fluctuate, and competition intensifies – all factors that can derail even well-laid plans and render guidance obsolete. 4. The "Musk Factor": Elon Musk's public statements, sometimes made spontaneously on social media or during earnings calls, often became de facto guidance, even if not formally enshrined. His optimism could inflate expectations beyond what the operational side of the business could reliably deliver on a set schedule. Given this history, why did the market continue to pay such close attention? Part of it was the sheer scale of Tesla's ambition and its undeniable success in revolutionizing the automotive industry. Investors betting on disruption were often willing to overlook missed targets, focusing instead on the long-term vision. Past stock performance also created a feedback loop; as the stock soared despite missed guidance, it reinforced the idea that the specific numbers mattered less than the overall trajectory and narrative. Guidance served as a signal of intent and ambition, even if the execution timeline slipped. However, the context has shifted dramatically. Tesla is no longer the lone wolf in a nascent EV market. Competition is fierce, particularly from Chinese automakers like BYD, but also from legacy manufacturers finally hitting their stride with compelling EV offerings. Global EV demand growth, while still present, has slowed from its previously exponential pace. Tesla itself has engaged in significant price cuts globally to maintain volume, putting pressure on its once-stellar automotive margins. In this more challenging environment, the luxury of consistently missing ambitious targets wears thin. The decision to suspend guidance now can be interpreted in several ways: • Pragmatic Realism: Management may genuinely lack visibility into near-term demand, production capabilities (especially with new models or processes), or the impact of macroeconomic factors. Suspending guidance is arguably more responsible than issuing forecasts they have low confidence in. • Strategic Pivot: Tesla is increasingly emphasizing its future potential in AI, robotics (Optimus), and autonomous ride-sharing (Robotaxi). These ventures have even longer and more uncertain development timelines than vehicle production. Focusing investor attention away from quarterly delivery numbers might be part of a strategy to reframe the company's narrative around these future bets. • Avoiding Accountability: A more cynical take is that suspending guidance removes a key benchmark against which management's performance can be judged, particularly during a period of slowing growth and heightened competition. Regardless of the primary motivation, the practical implication for investors is clear: the already thin reed of Tesla's official guidance is now gone entirely. This forces a greater reliance on analyzing tangible results – actual deliveries, reported margins, cash flow generation, progress on FSD adoption rates, and demonstrable advancements in new ventures – rather than promises of future performance. The suspension underscores that investing in Tesla requires a strong belief in its long-term vision and its ability to execute on extremely complex technological and manufacturing challenges, often without a clear, company-provided roadmap for the immediate future. The focus must shift from parsing guidance to meticulously evaluating performance, competitive positioning, and the plausibility of its next-generation bets. In conclusion, Tesla's decision to stop issuing formal guidance is less of a shockwave and more of a formal acknowledgment of a long-standing reality. Its forecasts were often more aspirational than operational, reflecting a culture of ambitious goal-setting within a highly volatile industry. While the absence of guidance introduces a new layer of uncertainty, savvy investors likely already applied a significant discount factor to Tesla's projections. The company's future success now hinges more transparently than ever not on what it promises for tomorrow, but on what it demonstrably delivers today. The quixotic forecasts may be gone, but the fundamental challenge of execution remains.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by bryandowningqln
Breaking: Tesla Up 6% In Premarket Albeit Q1 Profit Drops 71%Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock surged 6% in early premarket trading on Wednesday amidst missing expectation, Q1 profit drops 71%. Tesla investors breathed a sigh of relief after CEO Elon Musk said he would refocus his attention on the electric automaker, but that promise did not entirely dispel worries that his right-wing shift had irrevocably damaged the company's image. The automaker's shares (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ), rose about 6.5% in premarket trading on Wednesday after Musk said he would cut back, opens new tab his work for U.S. President Donald Trump to a day or two per week from sometime next month after the automaker posted a 71% slump in net income and a sharp drop in automotive revenue. Since hitting a record high in December, Shares of Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) have lost about half its value reducing its market capitalization by more than $500 billion, largely on concerns that brand damage could hurt sales for a second straight year. Tesla said it will a review of its full-year delivery forecast amid shifting global trade policies in the second quarter earnings update, which is expected in July. While Tesla is less likely to be affected by global tariffs than legacy automakers, it still expects an outsized impact on the fast-growing energy storage business that uses battery cells from China. Technical Outlook As of the time of writing, NASDAQ:TSLA shares are up 6.5% in premarket trading. The asset is undergoing a bullish reversal pattern after bouncing off from the critical support point of $218. TSLA shares are aiming for a 118% surge should the asset break the key Fibonacci levels highlighted on the chart. With the last trading session's RSI at 46, NASDAQ:TSLA is well primed for a bullish campaign since consolidating late December, 2024 losing almost 56% of value, TSLA shares are looking to capitalize on that.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DEXWireNews
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Nearly 6% Ahead of Quarterly Report On Monday, Tesla’s share price fell by almost 6%, dipping below $230 and hovering near its yearly low. Since the beginning of 2025, Tesla shares have lost approximately 44% in value, marking their worst quarter since 2022. Why Is TSLA Falling? There is no shortage of investor concerns, including (as reported by various media outlets): → Elon Musk’s involvement with the Trump administration, which is said to be distracting him from focusing on Tesla, particularly as signs emerge of slowing progress in the development of robotaxis and autonomous driving technology. → A decline in demand — both for the Cybertruck model specifically and the product line in general — especially amid protests and boycotts across the US and Europe. Tesla previously reported 336,681 vehicle deliveries in Q1, down 13% compared to the same period last year. → Increased competition from Chinese carmakers, uncertainty around international trade tariffs, and other contributing factors. According to The Wall Street Journal, analysts at Barclays and Oppenheimer have voiced concerns about “brand dilution” and weakness in China, while Dan Ives of Wedbush is hopeful for an “inspirational vision” from Elon Musk. Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock We previously noted the importance of the $220 support level, which prevented the price from falling further during the first half of April (as indicated by the arrow), at a time when broader stock indices showed much more bearish trends. That level still appears relevant for now, but it’s likely that the upcoming quarterly earnings report will trigger a sharp increase in volatility. Should investors find the results underwhelming, TSLA’s share price could fall to the lower boundary of the current descending channel (highlighted in red), potentially breaching the psychological $200-per-share mark. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by FXOpen
TSLA Setting Up for the Next Big Move?🚘Tesla's been cooking up some serious price action — and now it’s getting interesting. After holding above key supports, bulls might be eyeing their next shot. Here’s the plan I’m watching: 📥 Entry zones: • 240 (aggressive) • 215 (ideal support zone) • 195 (deep discount territory) 🎯 Profit targets: • 265 • 290 • 355+ (if momentum takes off) TSLA has been showing signs of accumulation — and if buyers step in near 215–195, we could be looking at the early stages of a powerful move. Of course, nothing is guaranteed. The EV space is competitive, and macro volatility can flip the script fast. 🔍 Keep an eye on volume, trend confirmations, and news that could push sentiment one way or the other. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Just sharing my personal analysis and trade idea. Always do your own research and manage risk according to your own strategy.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Robert_V12