FTSE to recoup some of Friday's 'SVB' selloff?Friday was the most bearish day for the FTSE since September, as concerns over SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) and the potential for contagion across the finance sector weighed on sentiment. Yet a joint statement from the Fed, Treasury and FDIC (Federal Deposit Insurance Corp) released on Sunday assured that deposits at the bank will be guaranteed, which helped boost sentiment in today's Asian session.
Futures markets point to a higher open, and we suspect the FTSE can rebound and recoup at least some of Friday's losses. Note that the RSI (2) reached oversold by Friday's close, and the low of the day found support around the 2019 / 2020 highs and monthly S1 pivot.
The bias is bullish above Friday's low and for an initial move to 7800, a break above which brings 7850 into focus.
UK100 CFD
FTSE 100 Index Trending HigherFTSE 100 Index trending higher on the weekly chart; current price is above its 10 week moving average (bullish); both the 4 and 13 week rate of change indicators above zero (bullish); upside prospects for the short to medium term (5-49 days) spotted at 8,023 and 8,203, while downside price risk below 7,742 implies the end of the prevailing up-trend.
Not investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee or predict future performance.
FTSE Broke from a range to the upside.Previous support located at 7950.
Previous resistance located at 8000.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
Further upside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 8006 and 8024
UK100 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 7926 (stop at 7894)
Resistance: 800 / 8050 / 8100
Support: 7950 / 7900 / 7850
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE Top?It looks like the FTSE has found a top. I'm expecting the price to 'Re-balance' the Daily Imbalance of last week before continuing trending lower.
I have set an alarm if to this BLUE AREA (Daily Imbalance).
FTSE bulls eye break of 8,000The FTSE snapped a 4-day losing streak yesterday, after the pullback from its record high found support along the bullish trendline. A bullish engulfing candle also closed above the 10 and 20-day EMA’s, after the RSI (2) went into oversold territory the day prior. So it appears a swing low has formed and we’re looking for a move back above 8,000 whilst prices remain above last week’s low.
UK Inflation drop to 5 month low at 10.10% - Still crazy high!The UK inflation rate has dropped to a 5-month low of 10.1%.
This tells us that the peak inflation may be behind us.
The decrease in transport costs, as well as restaurants and hotels, were the main drivers of the lower inflation rate.
However, if we compare it to other developed nations like the US, France, and Germany - the UK's inflation rate is still quite a bit higher.
Now we need to see the Bank of England (BoE) to keep taking action to drop the inflation and interest rates.
I mean an inflation rate of 10% or higher is still crazy!
UK100 to breakdown?UK100 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 7899 (stop at 7943)
Previous support located at 7900.
Previous resistance located at 7975.
Bearish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a higher high while the oscillator makes a lower high), often a signal of exhausted bullish momentum, or at least a correction lower.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A move through 7900 will confirm the bearish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 7789 and 7759
Resistance: 7975 / 8000 / 8050
Support: 7900 / 7750 / 7700
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
FTSE Optimum SHORT ENTRY next week?I'm looking at the BLUE BOX where I can see a prince IMBALANCE.
It's going to be juicy next week I believe.
FTSE / Ending Diagonal - The BIG SHORT is comingThis very looks like an ending diagonal and you best believe that the downfall will be pretty explosive!
FTSE on the RISE into price discoveryWho said the financial markets were rational? I guess no one, but why people always try to find reasons for an asset to go up or down.
When you look at the UK economy and the FTSE making new 'All Time High', we understand my first setence.
Price could go much higher if this 'Expanding Diagonal Figure were to play out'
FTSE bulls eye the record highWe have been patiently waiting for momentum to turn higher, which it finally did yesterday thanks to the dovish 50bp BOE hike. It closed above its recent consolidation, having formed several lower spikes which held above historic highs. From here we now fancy a retest of its YTD high and move towards 7900, near its record high.
UK100 D1: TP +500 points BEST Level TO SHORT IT(SWING/TP)Why get subbed to me on Tradingview?
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UK100 D1: TP +500 points BEST Level TO SHORT IT(SWING/TP)
IMPORTANT NOTE: speculative setup. do your own
due dill. use STOP LOSS. don't overleverage.
🔸 Summary and potential trade setup
::: trading near range highs
::: risk/reward shifting in BEARS favor
::: distribution in progress on daily TF
::: maxed out already / will re-test MID RANGE
::: SHORT IT near market / short rips / rallies
::: expect pullback/correction mode SOON
::: BEARS will target re-test of MID RANGE
::: maxed out / overbought conditions
::: BEARS will take over from overhead
::: expect limited upside going forward
::: SHORT IT near market Target is 7100/7200
::: TP1 +250 points TP2 +500 points BEARS
::: Conservative TP BEARS is 7 100 points
::: unsustainable gains, pullback incoming
::: distribution at the TOP setup
::: spells MAJOR trouble for the BULLS
::: BEARS taking over from overhead S/R at 7850
::: expecting CORRECTION to last next 2-4 weeks
::: distribution at the top in progress
::: will lose up to 10% during pullback/correction
::: There is no upside in this market now
::: Get out / trim exposure / or SHORT IT
::: RISK/REWARD shifting in BEARS favor
::: into BEAR mode soon
::: either way setting up for 10%+ correction
::: 2-4 weeks of correction incoming soon
::: better be prepared in advance
::: when there's GREED there's also PAIN
::: good luck traders
🔸 Supply/Demand Zones
::: 7850 supply zone triggered
::: 7100/7200 fresh demand
🔸 Other noteworthy technicals/fundies
::: TD9 /Combo update: N/A
::: Sentiment: BEARS/BULLS GAME OVER
::: Sentiment outlook short-term: BEARISH /CORRECTION
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.